Загрузка видео...

Не удалось загрузить видео

Возникла проблема при загрузке этого видео. Это может быть связано с временными проблемами сети или видео может быть недоступно.

На главную

𝐖𝐡𝐞𝐧 𝐠𝐥𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐥 𝐟𝐮𝐞𝐥 𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞𝐬 𝐞𝐱𝐩𝐥𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐝, 𝐦𝐨𝐬𝐭 𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐩𝐚𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐜𝐤 𝐝𝐢𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐥𝐲 𝐭𝐨 𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐢𝐫 𝐜𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐳𝐞𝐧𝐬. 𝐇𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐫, 𝐈𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐚 𝐜𝐡𝐨𝐬𝐞 𝐚 𝐝𝐢𝐟𝐟𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐩𝐚𝐭𝐡. As the West Asian crisis pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel, countries across the world saw massive fuel hikes — Myanmar up to 112%, the US around 45%,... and Pakistan over 50%. In comparison, India limited the increase in petrol and diesel prices to around 3%. For 76 days, India’s public-sector oil companies absorbed massive losses instead of immediately burdening citizens. The ₹3 revision announced in May was the first major increase in nearly four years. This stability reflects strong energy planning, diversified imports, and decisive leadership. 👉 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡 𝐡𝐨𝐰 𝐈𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐚 𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐠𝐞𝐝 𝐚 𝐠𝐥𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐥 𝐟𝐮𝐞𝐥 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐜𝐤 𝐰𝐡𝐢𝐥𝐞 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐭𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐜𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐳𝐞𝐧𝐬 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐫𝐮𝐧𝐚𝐰𝐚𝐲 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧.show more

BJP

23,035,957 subscribers

11,150 просмотров • 1 месяц назад •via X (Twitter)

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

Комментарии: 0

Нет доступных комментариев

Здесь появятся комментарии из оригинального поста

Похожие видео

#WATCH | The war between the United States, Israel and Iran in West Asia continues much like before. While there are reports of diplomacy and talks between the sides, no concrete step towards ending the conflict is visible yet. The war has triggered global concerns over energy security, with its impact being felt across the US, Europe, Asia, and Africa, particularly in crude oil and gas markets. Amid these developments, countries around the world are increasingly worried about their energy stability. There are fears of disruptions in petrol, diesel, gas, electricity, and even fertilisers. In such a situation, several questions arise regarding India’s preparedness. Was India already ready for such a crisis? What steps has the country taken in advance to avoid a shortage of crude oil? What measures have been implemented to reduce dependence on foreign energy sources? What initiatives has India taken to ensure that electricity supply and energy needs do not remain heavily dependent on imported oil and gas? What steps has the government taken to reduce the consumption of petrol and diesel in the transport sector? And what efforts have been made to increase electricity availability and strengthen power infrastructure? Watch the video to find out. Chandra Shekhar Joshi PMO India Randhir Jaiswal Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas #MoPNG Ministry of Information and Broadcasting PIB India #WestAsia #MiddleEastCrisis #EnergySecurity #GlobalEnergy #OilPrices #GasSupply #IndiaEnergy

#WATCH | The war between the United States, Israel and Iran in West Asia continues much like before. While there are reports of diplomacy and talks between the sides, no concrete step towards ending the conflict is visible yet. The war has triggered global concerns over energy security, with its impact being felt across the US, Europe, Asia, and Africa, particularly in crude oil and gas markets. Amid these developments, countries around the world are increasingly worried about their energy stability. There are fears of disruptions in petrol, diesel, gas, electricity, and even fertilisers. In such a situation, several questions arise regarding India’s preparedness. Was India already ready for such a crisis? What steps has the country taken in advance to avoid a shortage of crude oil? What measures have been implemented to reduce dependence on foreign energy sources? What initiatives has India taken to ensure that electricity supply and energy needs do not remain heavily dependent on imported oil and gas? What steps has the government taken to reduce the consumption of petrol and diesel in the transport sector? And what efforts have been made to increase electricity availability and strengthen power infrastructure? Watch the video to find out. Chandra Shekhar Joshi PMO India Randhir Jaiswal Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas #MoPNG Ministry of Information and Broadcasting PIB India #WestAsia #MiddleEastCrisis #EnergySecurity #GlobalEnergy #OilPrices #GasSupply #IndiaEnergy

DD News

442,584 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

India’s Oil Marketing Companies absorbed losses of nearly ₹60,000 CRORE in just March and April 2026 alone. That means close to ₹1,000 CRORE being lost every single day. Every litre of petrol sold at a loss of ₹12.96. Every litre of diesel sold at a loss of ₹48.12. Every LPG cylinder reaching your kitchen carrying a loss of ₹475. And yet… prices did not explode on ordinary Indians. No sudden shock at petrol pumps. No crushing LPG hike for families. No panic buying. No fuel queues. The government quietly stood behind the people and absorbed the burden. Not only that — excise duty on petrol and diesel was also cut, meaning the government willingly gave up its own revenue to reduce pressure on citizens. At a time when countries across the world were passing every rupee of global oil pain directly to consumers, India chose a different path. Protection over politics. Relief over headlines. Stability over chaos. This is what leadership looks like during a crisis. No dramatic speeches demanding applause. No daily press conferences asking for credit. Just silent action for 140 crore Indians. The opposition will continue doing politics. They will continue shouting, twisting, and creating narratives. But facts are facts. The numbers are public. The global fuel situation is visible to everyone. The world increased prices. India shielded its people. That is the difference. That is Modi’s India.

India’s Oil Marketing Companies absorbed losses of nearly ₹60,000 CRORE in just March and April 2026 alone. That means close to ₹1,000 CRORE being lost every single day. Every litre of petrol sold at a loss of ₹12.96. Every litre of diesel sold at a loss of ₹48.12. Every LPG cylinder reaching your kitchen carrying a loss of ₹475. And yet… prices did not explode on ordinary Indians. No sudden shock at petrol pumps. No crushing LPG hike for families. No panic buying. No fuel queues. The government quietly stood behind the people and absorbed the burden. Not only that — excise duty on petrol and diesel was also cut, meaning the government willingly gave up its own revenue to reduce pressure on citizens. At a time when countries across the world were passing every rupee of global oil pain directly to consumers, India chose a different path. Protection over politics. Relief over headlines. Stability over chaos. This is what leadership looks like during a crisis. No dramatic speeches demanding applause. No daily press conferences asking for credit. Just silent action for 140 crore Indians. The opposition will continue doing politics. They will continue shouting, twisting, and creating narratives. But facts are facts. The numbers are public. The global fuel situation is visible to everyone. The world increased prices. India shielded its people. That is the difference. That is Modi’s India.

Mr Sinha

33,297 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Khata-Khat badh gayi mehengai! After not fulfilling the promises of transferring Rs 8500/month to a woman of each family, Congress ruled Karnataka government has saddled the people of Karnataka with the burden of paying Rs 3/litre more for petrol and diesel in the state. After this decision, people of Karnataka would be forced to pay higher amounts for food items, clothing, medicines and all items of basic necessities as fuel prices directly impact prices of all goods. Such a decision just after elections have been concluded, exposes the hypocrisy of the Congress which talks about mehengai but levies approximately Rs 8litre-Rs 12/litre additional VAT in comparison with BJP ruled states. With this hike, petrol in Karnataka is now Rs 8.21/litre more expensive than both BJP-run governments in UP and Gujarat. The price gap is even more staggering if Karnataka is compared with BJP-governed Arunachal Pradesh where the party has come back to power strongly. The petrol prices in Karnataka are over Rs 12/litre higher than in Arunachal. The price gap for diesel is Rs 8.59/litre between the two states with Arunachal being much less expensive. During the last three years of global energy turmoil, the NDA government led by PM Narendra Modi Ji deftly diversified India’s crude oil purchases to ensure that petrol prices actually decreased by about 14% and diesel prices fell by nearly 11% during November 2021 -May 2024 period. During the same period, US saw petrol prices soar 29%, while neighbours Pakistan and Sri Lanka faced severe financial stress due to spike in global crude prices. Additionally, to maintain availability and affordability of transport fuels, Modi government made substantial and timely cut in excise duty in November 2021 and followed it up with another cut in May 2022. The Central govt reduced petrol and diesel prices by ₹5 per litre and ₹10 per litre, respectively, in November 2021. Following up in May 2022, petrol and diesel prices were further cut by ₹8 per litre and ₹6 per litre, respectively. Again on March 14 this year, the OMCs played a vital role in reducing prices further by Rs 2/litre. The BJP-run state governments aligned with the pro-people policies and reduced sales tax on transport fuels to further cut rates for the public and rein in inflationary pressures. For instance, petrol prices in Congress-ruled Telangana is Rs 12.76/litre higher than in UP. The difference in diesels prices between these two states is also significant at Rs 7.89/litre. Similarly, the petrol prices are Rs 9.29/ litre higher in Trinamool Congress-run West Bengal compared with BJP-run Gujarat. PM Modi Ji’s visionary leadership ensured that while the world was facing fuel price surge due to a war in Europe, India remained the only country during that period where petrol and diesel prices went down. #Khatakhat #Hypocrisy

Khata-Khat badh gayi mehengai! After not fulfilling the promises of transferring Rs 8500/month to a woman of each family, Congress ruled Karnataka government has saddled the people of Karnataka with the burden of paying Rs 3/litre more for petrol and diesel in the state. After this decision, people of Karnataka would be forced to pay higher amounts for food items, clothing, medicines and all items of basic necessities as fuel prices directly impact prices of all goods. Such a decision just after elections have been concluded, exposes the hypocrisy of the Congress which talks about mehengai but levies approximately Rs 8litre-Rs 12/litre additional VAT in comparison with BJP ruled states. With this hike, petrol in Karnataka is now Rs 8.21/litre more expensive than both BJP-run governments in UP and Gujarat. The price gap is even more staggering if Karnataka is compared with BJP-governed Arunachal Pradesh where the party has come back to power strongly. The petrol prices in Karnataka are over Rs 12/litre higher than in Arunachal. The price gap for diesel is Rs 8.59/litre between the two states with Arunachal being much less expensive. During the last three years of global energy turmoil, the NDA government led by PM Narendra Modi Ji deftly diversified India’s crude oil purchases to ensure that petrol prices actually decreased by about 14% and diesel prices fell by nearly 11% during November 2021 -May 2024 period. During the same period, US saw petrol prices soar 29%, while neighbours Pakistan and Sri Lanka faced severe financial stress due to spike in global crude prices. Additionally, to maintain availability and affordability of transport fuels, Modi government made substantial and timely cut in excise duty in November 2021 and followed it up with another cut in May 2022. The Central govt reduced petrol and diesel prices by ₹5 per litre and ₹10 per litre, respectively, in November 2021. Following up in May 2022, petrol and diesel prices were further cut by ₹8 per litre and ₹6 per litre, respectively. Again on March 14 this year, the OMCs played a vital role in reducing prices further by Rs 2/litre. The BJP-run state governments aligned with the pro-people policies and reduced sales tax on transport fuels to further cut rates for the public and rein in inflationary pressures. For instance, petrol prices in Congress-ruled Telangana is Rs 12.76/litre higher than in UP. The difference in diesels prices between these two states is also significant at Rs 7.89/litre. Similarly, the petrol prices are Rs 9.29/ litre higher in Trinamool Congress-run West Bengal compared with BJP-run Gujarat. PM Modi Ji’s visionary leadership ensured that while the world was facing fuel price surge due to a war in Europe, India remained the only country during that period where petrol and diesel prices went down. #Khatakhat #Hypocrisy

Hardeep Singh Puri

108,459 просмотров • 2 лет назад

India did the entire world a favour by buying Russian oil because if we had not done so, the global oil prices would have skyrocketed to $200/barrel. Russian oil was never under any sanctions and there was only a price cap, which Indian entities also followed. Let us not forget that while some ill informed commentators talked about putting restrictions on India, many other European and Asian nations bought much more crude oil, diesel, LNG, rare earth minerals worth billions of dollars from Russia. We will continue to buy energy from whoever offers the best rates to our oil companies. That’s the confidence of PM Narendra Modi Ji’s leadership. We need to ensure steady availability, affordability and sustainability of energy for our 7 crore citizens who visit a petrol pump everyday. That’s our top priority. India is the only major consumer where fuel prices has come down significantly in the last 3 years despite unprecedented global price increases in other nations. #PuriOnRussianOil PMO India Randhir Jaiswal Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas #MoPNG PIB India Ministry of Information and Broadcasting MyGovIndia FIPI Indian Oil Corp Ltd Bharat Petroleum Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited Indian Foreign Service Association OPEC International Energy Agency ADIPEC India in UAE India in Dubai World Economic Forum

India did the entire world a favour by buying Russian oil because if we had not done so, the global oil prices would have skyrocketed to $200/barrel. Russian oil was never under any sanctions and there was only a price cap, which Indian entities also followed. Let us not forget that while some ill informed commentators talked about putting restrictions on India, many other European and Asian nations bought much more crude oil, diesel, LNG, rare earth minerals worth billions of dollars from Russia. We will continue to buy energy from whoever offers the best rates to our oil companies. That’s the confidence of PM Narendra Modi Ji’s leadership. We need to ensure steady availability, affordability and sustainability of energy for our 7 crore citizens who visit a petrol pump everyday. That’s our top priority. India is the only major consumer where fuel prices has come down significantly in the last 3 years despite unprecedented global price increases in other nations. #PuriOnRussianOil PMO India Randhir Jaiswal Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas #MoPNG PIB India Ministry of Information and Broadcasting MyGovIndia FIPI Indian Oil Corp Ltd Bharat Petroleum Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited Indian Foreign Service Association OPEC International Energy Agency ADIPEC India in UAE India in Dubai World Economic Forum

Hardeep Singh Puri

62,173 просмотров • 1 год назад

There’s a lot of rumours online about India heading toward a fuel crisis. The reality is far less dramatic. India currently has enough fuel reserves, so there is no shortage and no talk of rationing. Over the past few years, India has also diversified its oil imports, buying crude from 40+ countries including the US, Russia, Brazil, Guyana and several African nations. So the idea that India depends entirely on the Middle East is simply not true. Even in the case of tensions in the Gulf or a disruption around the Strait of Hormuz, only about 40% of India’s oil passes through that route, and contingency plans—including alternative routes and naval protection for shipments—are already in place. Behind the scenes, the system is far more prepared than people think. India has built strategic underground petroleum reserves, expanded its pipeline network to nearly 26,000 km, and monitoring teams track fuel stocks and supply chains 24×7 to ensure there are no disruptions. On prices, the global market has seen volatility, but domestic impact has been limited. Delhi petrol today is about ₹94.77, slightly lower than ₹95.41 in 2022. Policies over the past few years have also helped cushion shocks—India stepped in to buy discounted Russian oil after 2022, expanded refining capacity, blended 20% ethanol in petrol to reduce imports, cut excise duties to soften price spikes, and expanded CNG stations and piped gas connections across the country. All of this means India’s fuel system today is far more diversified, monitored and prepared than it was a decade ago. Despite global uncertainty, supply remains stable and the country is not in the situation some rumours compare it to.

There’s a lot of rumours online about India heading toward a fuel crisis. The reality is far less dramatic. India currently has enough fuel reserves, so there is no shortage and no talk of rationing. Over the past few years, India has also diversified its oil imports, buying crude from 40+ countries including the US, Russia, Brazil, Guyana and several African nations. So the idea that India depends entirely on the Middle East is simply not true. Even in the case of tensions in the Gulf or a disruption around the Strait of Hormuz, only about 40% of India’s oil passes through that route, and contingency plans—including alternative routes and naval protection for shipments—are already in place. Behind the scenes, the system is far more prepared than people think. India has built strategic underground petroleum reserves, expanded its pipeline network to nearly 26,000 km, and monitoring teams track fuel stocks and supply chains 24×7 to ensure there are no disruptions. On prices, the global market has seen volatility, but domestic impact has been limited. Delhi petrol today is about ₹94.77, slightly lower than ₹95.41 in 2022. Policies over the past few years have also helped cushion shocks—India stepped in to buy discounted Russian oil after 2022, expanded refining capacity, blended 20% ethanol in petrol to reduce imports, cut excise duties to soften price spikes, and expanded CNG stations and piped gas connections across the country. All of this means India’s fuel system today is far more diversified, monitored and prepared than it was a decade ago. Despite global uncertainty, supply remains stable and the country is not in the situation some rumours compare it to.

Megh Updates 🚨™

20,791 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

𝐇𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐫𝐞𝐰𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐭𝐞𝐧 𝐢𝐧 𝐖𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐁𝐞𝐧𝐠𝐚𝐥, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐞, 𝐢𝐭’𝐬 𝐚 𝐩𝐞𝐨𝐩𝐥𝐞’𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐞. 🗳️ From just 3 seats in 2016 to a massive 207 seats in 2026, the rise of BJP marks one of the most dramatic political shifts in modern India. Years of violence, fear, and political suppression gave way to a decisive verdict, driven by growing trust in PM Modi’s vision. With a significant rise in vote share, strong performances across regions, and record participation, especially from women, this victory reflects a collective push for change. From grassroots workers to first-time candidates, every number tells a story of persistence and belief. What unfolded wasn’t overnight. It was built through years of struggle, sacrifice, and rising public confidence. 👉 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡 𝐡𝐨𝐰 𝐁𝐞𝐧𝐠𝐚𝐥’𝐬 𝐩𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐥𝐚𝐧𝐝𝐬𝐜𝐚𝐩𝐞 𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐬𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐞𝐝, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐰𝐡𝐲 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐦𝐨𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐜𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐞𝐝 𝐚 𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐩𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐡𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲.

𝐇𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐫𝐞𝐰𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐭𝐞𝐧 𝐢𝐧 𝐖𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐁𝐞𝐧𝐠𝐚𝐥, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐞, 𝐢𝐭’𝐬 𝐚 𝐩𝐞𝐨𝐩𝐥𝐞’𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐞. 🗳️ From just 3 seats in 2016 to a massive 207 seats in 2026, the rise of BJP marks one of the most dramatic political shifts in modern India. Years of violence, fear, and political suppression gave way to a decisive verdict, driven by growing trust in PM Modi’s vision. With a significant rise in vote share, strong performances across regions, and record participation, especially from women, this victory reflects a collective push for change. From grassroots workers to first-time candidates, every number tells a story of persistence and belief. What unfolded wasn’t overnight. It was built through years of struggle, sacrifice, and rising public confidence. 👉 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡 𝐡𝐨𝐰 𝐁𝐞𝐧𝐠𝐚𝐥’𝐬 𝐩𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐥𝐚𝐧𝐝𝐬𝐜𝐚𝐩𝐞 𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐬𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐞𝐝, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐰𝐡𝐲 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐦𝐨𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐜𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐞𝐝 𝐚 𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐩𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐡𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲.

BJP

16,007 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

🚨BREAKING: Iran is striking major ports and oil tankers in the Middle East and this could trigger a crash in stock markets. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively blocked. Around 20 million barrels of oil per day pass through this route. Nearly 20% of global LNG exports, mainly from Qatar, also move through here. If this route stays disrupted, the impact spreads fast. 1. It could push oil toward $100–$120 per barrel. If that happens, petrol and diesel prices rise globally. Electricity costs also increase in countries that rely on gas. Airlines, logistics companies, and manufacturers all face higher fuel costs. 2. Qatar is one of the world’s largest LNG exporters. If LNG shipments are delayed or blocked, Europe and Asia face tighter gas supply. Power generation costs go up. Governments may need to use emergency reserves again. That’s why some analysts are comparing this to the 2022 energy crisis. 3. Shipping routes are being rerouted around Africa. That adds: 10–14 extra days to deliveries, higher fuel costs, and higher freight rates. Car manufacturers depend on just-in-time parts. If parts are delayed for weeks, production lines slow or temporarily stop. 4. The Gulf region exports key petrochemicals used to make fertilizer. If fertilizer supply tightens, farming costs rise and food prices increase in the coming months. This doesn’t hit instantly, but it builds over time. 5. War-risk insurance costs have reportedly jumped around 50%. For large vessels, that means hundreds of thousands of dollars in extra cost per trip. That reduces trade flow and pushes freight costs higher globally. The UAE has already shut its stock market for two days. Global markets are reacting. This is not just about oil prices moving up. It impacts energy supply, trade routes, inflation pressure, and global growth. If the disruption lasts more than a few weeks, the economic effects will compound quickly.

🚨BREAKING: Iran is striking major ports and oil tankers in the Middle East and this could trigger a crash in stock markets. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively blocked. Around 20 million barrels of oil per day pass through this route. Nearly 20% of global LNG exports, mainly from Qatar, also move through here. If this route stays disrupted, the impact spreads fast. 1. It could push oil toward $100–$120 per barrel. If that happens, petrol and diesel prices rise globally. Electricity costs also increase in countries that rely on gas. Airlines, logistics companies, and manufacturers all face higher fuel costs. 2. Qatar is one of the world’s largest LNG exporters. If LNG shipments are delayed or blocked, Europe and Asia face tighter gas supply. Power generation costs go up. Governments may need to use emergency reserves again. That’s why some analysts are comparing this to the 2022 energy crisis. 3. Shipping routes are being rerouted around Africa. That adds: 10–14 extra days to deliveries, higher fuel costs, and higher freight rates. Car manufacturers depend on just-in-time parts. If parts are delayed for weeks, production lines slow or temporarily stop. 4. The Gulf region exports key petrochemicals used to make fertilizer. If fertilizer supply tightens, farming costs rise and food prices increase in the coming months. This doesn’t hit instantly, but it builds over time. 5. War-risk insurance costs have reportedly jumped around 50%. For large vessels, that means hundreds of thousands of dollars in extra cost per trip. That reduces trade flow and pushes freight costs higher globally. The UAE has already shut its stock market for two days. Global markets are reacting. This is not just about oil prices moving up. It impacts energy supply, trade routes, inflation pressure, and global growth. If the disruption lasts more than a few weeks, the economic effects will compound quickly.

Bull Theory

1,417,400 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

🇮🇷 GAS AND OIL TRADE - IRAN’S ATTRITION STRATEGY: A queue of ships has built up in front of the Strait of Hormuz. This is what the artery supplying the global economy with 25% of oil and 30% of liquefied natural gas currently looks like. Brent (European benchmark) reached $94.16 per barrel today (+10%). WTI (US oil) peaked at $92.42 per barrel (+14%). Overall, prices have risen more than 30% this week, a direct consequence of Sunday’s events. Russian Urals oil has outpaced this increase: by the end of February it had risen nearly 50%, from $45 to $68 per barrel. For the first time in a long while, no discounts apply. Moreover, Russian oil is now selling to India above Brent, with a $4–5 premium—around $100 per barrel. The market is experiencing shortages and panic. Experts estimate that a blockade of Hormuz could cause a 2% drop in global GDP. It may sound minor, but it isn’t. A healthy global economy typically grows 3–4% per year. Today, even without a major Middle East war, the world is on the edge of recession with 2.9% growth. A global recession is defined as growth slowing to 2–2.5%. That’s just a slowdown, not a collapse. A 2% decline from current levels would mean a roughly 5-percentage-point swing—a massive failure that would erase trillions in value. This would no longer be a recession but a deep depression by historical standards. In 2009 the global economy contracted by about 1.7%. The result: mass layoffs, falling incomes, widespread bankruptcies, and stock market crashes. If they do it on purpose, then the goal is to plunge the world into chaos and wage a war of attrition with China—otherwise China will soon overtake them. This is the only way the US can prevail. Just as Iran now has a chance to survive only through a prolonged war. Chaos by design

🇮🇷 GAS AND OIL TRADE - IRAN’S ATTRITION STRATEGY: A queue of ships has built up in front of the Strait of Hormuz. This is what the artery supplying the global economy with 25% of oil and 30% of liquefied natural gas currently looks like. Brent (European benchmark) reached $94.16 per barrel today (+10%). WTI (US oil) peaked at $92.42 per barrel (+14%). Overall, prices have risen more than 30% this week, a direct consequence of Sunday’s events. Russian Urals oil has outpaced this increase: by the end of February it had risen nearly 50%, from $45 to $68 per barrel. For the first time in a long while, no discounts apply. Moreover, Russian oil is now selling to India above Brent, with a $4–5 premium—around $100 per barrel. The market is experiencing shortages and panic. Experts estimate that a blockade of Hormuz could cause a 2% drop in global GDP. It may sound minor, but it isn’t. A healthy global economy typically grows 3–4% per year. Today, even without a major Middle East war, the world is on the edge of recession with 2.9% growth. A global recession is defined as growth slowing to 2–2.5%. That’s just a slowdown, not a collapse. A 2% decline from current levels would mean a roughly 5-percentage-point swing—a massive failure that would erase trillions in value. This would no longer be a recession but a deep depression by historical standards. In 2009 the global economy contracted by about 1.7%. The result: mass layoffs, falling incomes, widespread bankruptcies, and stock market crashes. If they do it on purpose, then the goal is to plunge the world into chaos and wage a war of attrition with China—otherwise China will soon overtake them. This is the only way the US can prevail. Just as Iran now has a chance to survive only through a prolonged war. Chaos by design

Lord Bebo

105,020 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

DISTURBING: Governments across the world are suddenly reviving policies that look eerily familiar: remote work mandates, travel discouragement, and fuel rationing—all triggered by a rapidly escalating global energy crisis. And this time, it’s not COVID-19 driving the restrictions. It’s oil. As war in the Middle East disrupts fuel supplies and sends prices swinging, governments from Southeast Asia to Europe are scrambling to conserve energy. Thailand and Vietnam are already urging public employees to work from home while asking citizens to avoid overseas travel and cut back on personal vehicle use. In Vietnam’s capital, Hanoi, officials are even encouraging residents to ditch their cars entirely, recommending public transit, cycling, and carpooling as fuel costs surge and petrol stations shorten hours. But the trend is spreading far beyond Southeast Asia. Pakistan is shifting large portions of its workforce to remote work, reducing office staffing to roughly half capacity and introducing four-day workweeks in some departments. Schools and universities are moving online to cut commuting and conserve fuel. The Philippines is rolling out similar measures, including four-day workweeks in executive offices and expanded remote work across both public and private sectors to lower fuel consumption. Bangladesh has already closed universities to conserve electricity and transportation fuel, while Myanmar has begun rationing fuel by forcing half the country’s private vehicles off the roads each day based on license plate numbers. Meanwhile, in the UK, motorists are being advised to drive less, while authorities in India have invoked emergency powers to ration LPG supplies for restaurants and businesses. And in Australia, the crisis is already hitting the ground. Farmers report empty diesel tanks, stalled machinery, and canceled deliveries, while some petrol stations are limiting customers to just $20 of fuel as panic buying spreads. If energy shortages deepen, these early conservation measures could quickly evolve into something far more restrictive. The question now is obvious: are we watching the first phase of global energy lockdowns? If the situation in the Middle East does not resolve soon, these measures may only be the beginning. Don't miss ZeeeMediaOfficial's report: 👇

DISTURBING: Governments across the world are suddenly reviving policies that look eerily familiar: remote work mandates, travel discouragement, and fuel rationing—all triggered by a rapidly escalating global energy crisis. And this time, it’s not COVID-19 driving the restrictions. It’s oil. As war in the Middle East disrupts fuel supplies and sends prices swinging, governments from Southeast Asia to Europe are scrambling to conserve energy. Thailand and Vietnam are already urging public employees to work from home while asking citizens to avoid overseas travel and cut back on personal vehicle use. In Vietnam’s capital, Hanoi, officials are even encouraging residents to ditch their cars entirely, recommending public transit, cycling, and carpooling as fuel costs surge and petrol stations shorten hours. But the trend is spreading far beyond Southeast Asia. Pakistan is shifting large portions of its workforce to remote work, reducing office staffing to roughly half capacity and introducing four-day workweeks in some departments. Schools and universities are moving online to cut commuting and conserve fuel. The Philippines is rolling out similar measures, including four-day workweeks in executive offices and expanded remote work across both public and private sectors to lower fuel consumption. Bangladesh has already closed universities to conserve electricity and transportation fuel, while Myanmar has begun rationing fuel by forcing half the country’s private vehicles off the roads each day based on license plate numbers. Meanwhile, in the UK, motorists are being advised to drive less, while authorities in India have invoked emergency powers to ration LPG supplies for restaurants and businesses. And in Australia, the crisis is already hitting the ground. Farmers report empty diesel tanks, stalled machinery, and canceled deliveries, while some petrol stations are limiting customers to just $20 of fuel as panic buying spreads. If energy shortages deepen, these early conservation measures could quickly evolve into something far more restrictive. The question now is obvious: are we watching the first phase of global energy lockdowns? If the situation in the Middle East does not resolve soon, these measures may only be the beginning. Don't miss ZeeeMediaOfficial's report: 👇

The Vigilant Fox 🦊

275,452 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

🚨BREAKING: UAE🇦🇪 EXITS OPEC AND OPEC+, OPEC LOSES ITS THIRD LARGEST PRODUCER The UAE announced its withdrawal from OPEC after more than five decades, effective on the 1st of May. The UAE is a founding member, having joined in 1967, four years before the UAE itself was established. The UAE said the move reflects its national interest and its role in meeting market needs at a time when the Strait of Hormuz crisis has disrupted energy flows and kept oil prices elevated, and forecasted higher energy demand in the future. The UAE has ambitions to increase production from 3.4 million barrels per day to five million by 2027, which OPEC quotas would have constrained. The UAE’s decision to leave OPEC and OPEC+ is a fundamental reordering of the global energy market, and a further shift towards multipolarity, with the UAE positioning itself to be at the forefront of meeting rising global energy demand. OPEC has long declined in its geopolitical power, and the UAE has decided to forge its own path with having no limits on increasing production, as the world reels from the energy shock unleashed by the Trump-Netanyahu war of aggression against Iran. The UAE is not the first in the GCC to leave OPEC, with Qatar leaving in 2019. The propaganda headlines you’ll be seeing of a UAE-Saudi conflict over the decision will likely amount to hot air. There will inevitably be short-term energy price instability, but countries around the world will rush to secure deals with the UAE to offset a major economic crisis caused by the war on Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The international institutions of old are increasingly irrelevant, and OPEC is widely seen as the organisation of yesterday. The future will likely involve energy institutions and mechanisms within BRICS, to facilitate stable energy prices in a multipolar world. The UAE’s exit from OPEC is just one step closer in that direction. With China and the global south set to drive economic growth this century, the UAE is now well-positioned to benefit from multipolarity, free of production caps, as long-term energy demand will continue climbing, as the nations of the global south develop their economies and increase living standards for their people. My live segment on RT

🚨BREAKING: UAE🇦🇪 EXITS OPEC AND OPEC+, OPEC LOSES ITS THIRD LARGEST PRODUCER The UAE announced its withdrawal from OPEC after more than five decades, effective on the 1st of May. The UAE is a founding member, having joined in 1967, four years before the UAE itself was established. The UAE said the move reflects its national interest and its role in meeting market needs at a time when the Strait of Hormuz crisis has disrupted energy flows and kept oil prices elevated, and forecasted higher energy demand in the future. The UAE has ambitions to increase production from 3.4 million barrels per day to five million by 2027, which OPEC quotas would have constrained. The UAE’s decision to leave OPEC and OPEC+ is a fundamental reordering of the global energy market, and a further shift towards multipolarity, with the UAE positioning itself to be at the forefront of meeting rising global energy demand. OPEC has long declined in its geopolitical power, and the UAE has decided to forge its own path with having no limits on increasing production, as the world reels from the energy shock unleashed by the Trump-Netanyahu war of aggression against Iran. The UAE is not the first in the GCC to leave OPEC, with Qatar leaving in 2019. The propaganda headlines you’ll be seeing of a UAE-Saudi conflict over the decision will likely amount to hot air. There will inevitably be short-term energy price instability, but countries around the world will rush to secure deals with the UAE to offset a major economic crisis caused by the war on Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The international institutions of old are increasingly irrelevant, and OPEC is widely seen as the organisation of yesterday. The future will likely involve energy institutions and mechanisms within BRICS, to facilitate stable energy prices in a multipolar world. The UAE’s exit from OPEC is just one step closer in that direction. With China and the global south set to drive economic growth this century, the UAE is now well-positioned to benefit from multipolarity, free of production caps, as long-term energy demand will continue climbing, as the nations of the global south develop their economies and increase living standards for their people. My live segment on RT

Afshin Rattansi

18,021 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

🚨BP SMASHES Expectations! More Than DOUBLES Underlying Profits in Early 2026… on basically ONE MONTH of sky-high oil prices! 🤑 Brent crude has exploded from $60-70 to over $110 a barrel amid the US-Iran war, naval blockades, and chaos in the Strait of Hormuz. That brief surge alone supercharged BP’s trading desk and sent profits soaring. If this conflict drags on and prices remain elevated? Buckle up as next quarter’s results could SKYROCKET even higher. And it’s not just oil giants. Commodity traders are reaping a massive bonanza from the extreme market dislocations, spot cargoes trading at huge premiums, with some deals generating $20–30 per barrel margins in physical oil trades that are normally pennies. Houses with storage, logistics, and global reach are arbitraging shortages and volatility like never before. Shipping firms are cashing in too: rerouting around the blocked Strait, surging freight rates, war-risk premiums, and massive diversions have driven up costs, and profits, for tanker operators and container lines willing to navigate the chaos. Stocks in the sector have spiked on the longer voyages and tighter supply. It’s the same sick pattern every time: a handful of massive corporations, oil majors, defense contractors, commodity traders, shippers, and their networks, make obscene war-time windfalls while ordinary people get crushed by skyrocketing fuel, food, energy, and living costs across the board. We’ve seen this movie play out again and again. In interconnected global markets, there’s no simple fix unfortunately. And spare me the fantasy from people like Zack Polanski telling everyone to “vote Green on 7 May” if you want to change hugely complex global issues. That man is completely detached from reality.

🚨BP SMASHES Expectations! More Than DOUBLES Underlying Profits in Early 2026… on basically ONE MONTH of sky-high oil prices! 🤑 Brent crude has exploded from $60-70 to over $110 a barrel amid the US-Iran war, naval blockades, and chaos in the Strait of Hormuz. That brief surge alone supercharged BP’s trading desk and sent profits soaring. If this conflict drags on and prices remain elevated? Buckle up as next quarter’s results could SKYROCKET even higher. And it’s not just oil giants. Commodity traders are reaping a massive bonanza from the extreme market dislocations, spot cargoes trading at huge premiums, with some deals generating $20–30 per barrel margins in physical oil trades that are normally pennies. Houses with storage, logistics, and global reach are arbitraging shortages and volatility like never before. Shipping firms are cashing in too: rerouting around the blocked Strait, surging freight rates, war-risk premiums, and massive diversions have driven up costs, and profits, for tanker operators and container lines willing to navigate the chaos. Stocks in the sector have spiked on the longer voyages and tighter supply. It’s the same sick pattern every time: a handful of massive corporations, oil majors, defense contractors, commodity traders, shippers, and their networks, make obscene war-time windfalls while ordinary people get crushed by skyrocketing fuel, food, energy, and living costs across the board. We’ve seen this movie play out again and again. In interconnected global markets, there’s no simple fix unfortunately. And spare me the fantasy from people like Zack Polanski telling everyone to “vote Green on 7 May” if you want to change hugely complex global issues. That man is completely detached from reality.

J Stewart

36,616 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

$Jeff Currie of Carlyle went on live television and said the oil market is completely mispriced. He said futures price crude at around $100 a barrel, but physical oil delivered to Asian refiners is actually costing between $130 and $170. At one point this month, Oman crude, the benchmark for oil on the free side of the Strait spiked all the way to $173 a barrel. The paper market and the real world have completely split from each other and Currie was explicit about why that split is dangerous. He said jet fuel spiked to $230 a barrel in Singapore last week, then the same spike hit Rotterdam at $220 a barrel, then Thailand, then the Philippines, then New Zealand, then Australia. He called it molecular contagion, a physical shortage virus spreading across global supply hubs one by one. To understand why that phrase matters, consider what the Strait of Hormuz actually is. Before the war, roughly 20 million barrels of oil per day moved through that single 100-mile waterway. The IEA now says flows have dropped from 20 million barrels per day to what they described as a trickle and Barclays estimates the effective supply loss at 13 to 14 million barrels per day in a prolonged closure scenario. Currie said there are no more spare barrels in the system. The price spread between Singapore and Rotterdam which normally tells traders where surplus oil is sitting has completely disappeared and when that spread goes to zero, there is no buffer left anywhere on earth. He said this supply shock is nearly equal in size to the COVID demand crash, and he reminded viewers what COVID did to global supply chains. COVID wiped out approximately 20 million barrels per day of demand and fractured supply chains for two full years. This war has now wiped out a comparable volume of supply and supply chains cannot work from home. The data behind his warning is already visible. Middle Eastern crude exports to Asia have collapsed from roughly 19 million barrels per day in February to under 7 million barrels per day in March. Dubai crude surged past $166 a barrel on March 19, hitting an all-time record and Oman crude crossed $150 for the first time in history just days before. Meanwhile, Chevron's CEO and Shell's CEO both stood up at the CERAWeek conference in Houston and confirmed the same thing Currie said, physical disruptions are now spreading from South Asia into Southeast Asia, Northeast Asia and are beginning to reach Europe. Currie said the reason WTI and Brent paper prices stayed suppressed is that Russian Urals crude rallied 65 to 70 dollars a barrel after sanctions were lifted. That closed the gap between cheap Russian oil and expensive Western benchmarks. Once that gap closed, the last pressure valve in the global system shut off and now the entire complex has nowhere to hide.$

Jeff Currie of Carlyle went on live television and said the oil market is completely mispriced. He said futures price crude at around $100 a barrel, but physical oil delivered to Asian refiners is actually costing between $130 and $170. At one point this month, Oman crude, the benchmark for oil on the free side of the Strait spiked all the way to $173 a barrel. The paper market and the real world have completely split from each other and Currie was explicit about why that split is dangerous. He said jet fuel spiked to $230 a barrel in Singapore last week, then the same spike hit Rotterdam at $220 a barrel, then Thailand, then the Philippines, then New Zealand, then Australia. He called it molecular contagion, a physical shortage virus spreading across global supply hubs one by one. To understand why that phrase matters, consider what the Strait of Hormuz actually is. Before the war, roughly 20 million barrels of oil per day moved through that single 100-mile waterway. The IEA now says flows have dropped from 20 million barrels per day to what they described as a trickle and Barclays estimates the effective supply loss at 13 to 14 million barrels per day in a prolonged closure scenario. Currie said there are no more spare barrels in the system. The price spread between Singapore and Rotterdam which normally tells traders where surplus oil is sitting has completely disappeared and when that spread goes to zero, there is no buffer left anywhere on earth. He said this supply shock is nearly equal in size to the COVID demand crash, and he reminded viewers what COVID did to global supply chains. COVID wiped out approximately 20 million barrels per day of demand and fractured supply chains for two full years. This war has now wiped out a comparable volume of supply and supply chains cannot work from home. The data behind his warning is already visible. Middle Eastern crude exports to Asia have collapsed from roughly 19 million barrels per day in February to under 7 million barrels per day in March. Dubai crude surged past $166 a barrel on March 19, hitting an all-time record and Oman crude crossed $150 for the first time in history just days before. Meanwhile, Chevron's CEO and Shell's CEO both stood up at the CERAWeek conference in Houston and confirmed the same thing Currie said, physical disruptions are now spreading from South Asia into Southeast Asia, Northeast Asia and are beginning to reach Europe. Currie said the reason WTI and Brent paper prices stayed suppressed is that Russian Urals crude rallied 65 to 70 dollars a barrel after sanctions were lifted. That closed the gap between cheap Russian oil and expensive Western benchmarks. Once that gap closed, the last pressure valve in the global system shut off and now the entire complex has nowhere to hide.

StockMarket.News

360,188 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

🚨BULGARIA IN CHAOS AFTER EUROZONE ENTRY: OPPOSITION MP ACCUSES EU RULES OF CAUSING MASSIVE INSURANCE PRICE EXPLOSION — NOW TRANSPORT SECTOR BLOCKS SOFIA IN PROTEST! 🇧🇬⚠️🇪🇺 Simple explanation for people outside Bulgaria: Bulgaria recently joined the eurozone (the group of EU countries that use the euro as currency). The government promised this would bring prosperity and lower prices. Instead, one of the first things that happened is that mandatory car insurance (called “Civil Liability” or “Гражданска отговорност”) has skyrocketed. In just one year (May 2025 – May 2026): • Normal car insurance rose by 15% on average — now around 360 leva (€184) per car. • Motorcycle insurance nearly doubled (+100%) — now 250 leva (€128). • Insurance for trucks, buses and heavy vehicles went up even more. These huge extra costs hit the transport industry hardest. Truckers and bus companies say they can’t absorb it, so they are passing the bill to everyone else — meaning higher prices for bread, milk, fuel and all basic goods in the shops. Today, angry drivers and transport workers are blocking the center of Sofia in protest. In parliament, a Bulgarian opposition MP gave a fiery speech accusing the government and previous pro-EU politicians of this disaster: • They rushed through new Insurance Code changes just to please Brussels and meet eurozone requirements. • The rules benefit big Western European insurance companies. • Bulgarian drivers, businesses and families are left paying the price. • He demands an immediate audit of the insurance market, a real bonus-malus system (discounts for safe drivers), a revision of the law to protect Bulgarians, and a complete stop to any new price hikes.

🚨BULGARIA IN CHAOS AFTER EUROZONE ENTRY: OPPOSITION MP ACCUSES EU RULES OF CAUSING MASSIVE INSURANCE PRICE EXPLOSION — NOW TRANSPORT SECTOR BLOCKS SOFIA IN PROTEST! 🇧🇬⚠️🇪🇺 Simple explanation for people outside Bulgaria: Bulgaria recently joined the eurozone (the group of EU countries that use the euro as currency). The government promised this would bring prosperity and lower prices. Instead, one of the first things that happened is that mandatory car insurance (called “Civil Liability” or “Гражданска отговорност”) has skyrocketed. In just one year (May 2025 – May 2026): • Normal car insurance rose by 15% on average — now around 360 leva (€184) per car. • Motorcycle insurance nearly doubled (+100%) — now 250 leva (€128). • Insurance for trucks, buses and heavy vehicles went up even more. These huge extra costs hit the transport industry hardest. Truckers and bus companies say they can’t absorb it, so they are passing the bill to everyone else — meaning higher prices for bread, milk, fuel and all basic goods in the shops. Today, angry drivers and transport workers are blocking the center of Sofia in protest. In parliament, a Bulgarian opposition MP gave a fiery speech accusing the government and previous pro-EU politicians of this disaster: • They rushed through new Insurance Code changes just to please Brussels and meet eurozone requirements. • The rules benefit big Western European insurance companies. • Bulgarian drivers, businesses and families are left paying the price. • He demands an immediate audit of the insurance market, a real bonus-malus system (discounts for safe drivers), a revision of the law to protect Bulgarians, and a complete stop to any new price hikes.

Slavic Networks

21,299 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

With Nowhere Else to Turn, Niger Begs Nigeria for Fuel Amid Severe Shortages By: Zagazola Makama For nearly two weeks, Niger Republic has been crippled by a severe fuel crisis, bringing vehicular movement and economic activity to a grinding halt. Long queues stretched across cities, with desperate motorists and businesses struggling to obtain a few liters of petrol. The situation was so dire that the military junta, which once prided itself on rejecting external influence, had no choice but to swallow its pride and turn to Nigeria for help. Despite months of hostile rhetoric and diplomatic friction, Niger’s rulers quietly dispatched their Minister of Petroleum and Renewable Energy, along with top officials from the Niger Petroleum Company (SONIDEP), to beg Abuja for urgent fuel supplies. Nigeria, ever the regional big brother, obliged, approving the immediate delivery of 300 fuel trucks across the border to Niamey. Niger’s fuel crisis didn’t happen overnight. It was the direct consequence of a disastrous confrontation between the ruling junta and Chinese oil companies, which have long dominated Niger’s petroleum sector. The trouble began in March 2024, when China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) granted the Nigerien government a $400 million advance, using future crude oil deliveries as collateral. This deal was meant to help Niger cope with the crippling economic sanctions imposed by ECOWAS following the July 2023 coup. However, when it came time to repay the debt, the junta found itself strapped for cash. Rather than negotiating, the military rulers decided to strong-arm China. In a move that stunned industry insiders, they slapped an $80 billion tax demand on SORAZ (Zinder Refinery Company) despite the state-owned Sonidep already owing SORAZ a staggering $250 billion. When China refused to provide additional loans, the junta retaliated by expelling Chinese oil executives from the country and seizing SORAZ’s bank accounts. A Self-Inflicted Crisis This reckless decision backfired almost immediately. Niger’s entire petroleum sector which is heavily reliant on Chinese expertise and investment began to collapse. The SORAZ refinery, the lifeline of Niger’s fuel supply, ground to a halt, and fuel shortages spread like wildfire. This crisis could not have come at a worse time. The Niger-Benin oil pipeline, a project designed to boost Niger’s crude exports to 100,000 barrels per day by 2025, was also at risk. With Chinese engineers gone and no viable alternative in place, the junta’s decision plunged the country into economic uncertainty. Turning to Nigeria for Help For weeks, the military leadership refused to acknowledge the crisis publicly. State-controlled media was ordered to stay silent about the fuel shortage and the growing unrest among Nigeriens, who were forced to buy petrol at sky-high black-market prices. But as the situation worsened, the junta had no choice but to seek external help even if it meant approaching Nigeria, the very country they had repeatedly criticized since the coup. Without any public announcement, Niger quietly sent a delegation to Abuja, appealing for an emergency fuel supply. The irony was lost on no one this was the same junta that had openly defied ECOWAS sanctions, severed ties with France and the West, and aligned itself with Russia. Yet when faced with economic collapse, it was Nigeria that they turned to for salvation. Nigeria Plays the Good Neighbor Again Despite months of insults, false accusations, name calling, diplomatic snubs, and hostility, Nigeria once again stepped in to help. It was gathered that the Nigerian Government approved the release of 300 fuel trucks, which immediately began crossing into Niger to ease the crisis.

With Nowhere Else to Turn, Niger Begs Nigeria for Fuel Amid Severe Shortages By: Zagazola Makama For nearly two weeks, Niger Republic has been crippled by a severe fuel crisis, bringing vehicular movement and economic activity to a grinding halt. Long queues stretched across cities, with desperate motorists and businesses struggling to obtain a few liters of petrol. The situation was so dire that the military junta, which once prided itself on rejecting external influence, had no choice but to swallow its pride and turn to Nigeria for help. Despite months of hostile rhetoric and diplomatic friction, Niger’s rulers quietly dispatched their Minister of Petroleum and Renewable Energy, along with top officials from the Niger Petroleum Company (SONIDEP), to beg Abuja for urgent fuel supplies. Nigeria, ever the regional big brother, obliged, approving the immediate delivery of 300 fuel trucks across the border to Niamey. Niger’s fuel crisis didn’t happen overnight. It was the direct consequence of a disastrous confrontation between the ruling junta and Chinese oil companies, which have long dominated Niger’s petroleum sector. The trouble began in March 2024, when China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) granted the Nigerien government a $400 million advance, using future crude oil deliveries as collateral. This deal was meant to help Niger cope with the crippling economic sanctions imposed by ECOWAS following the July 2023 coup. However, when it came time to repay the debt, the junta found itself strapped for cash. Rather than negotiating, the military rulers decided to strong-arm China. In a move that stunned industry insiders, they slapped an $80 billion tax demand on SORAZ (Zinder Refinery Company) despite the state-owned Sonidep already owing SORAZ a staggering $250 billion. When China refused to provide additional loans, the junta retaliated by expelling Chinese oil executives from the country and seizing SORAZ’s bank accounts. A Self-Inflicted Crisis This reckless decision backfired almost immediately. Niger’s entire petroleum sector which is heavily reliant on Chinese expertise and investment began to collapse. The SORAZ refinery, the lifeline of Niger’s fuel supply, ground to a halt, and fuel shortages spread like wildfire. This crisis could not have come at a worse time. The Niger-Benin oil pipeline, a project designed to boost Niger’s crude exports to 100,000 barrels per day by 2025, was also at risk. With Chinese engineers gone and no viable alternative in place, the junta’s decision plunged the country into economic uncertainty. Turning to Nigeria for Help For weeks, the military leadership refused to acknowledge the crisis publicly. State-controlled media was ordered to stay silent about the fuel shortage and the growing unrest among Nigeriens, who were forced to buy petrol at sky-high black-market prices. But as the situation worsened, the junta had no choice but to seek external help even if it meant approaching Nigeria, the very country they had repeatedly criticized since the coup. Without any public announcement, Niger quietly sent a delegation to Abuja, appealing for an emergency fuel supply. The irony was lost on no one this was the same junta that had openly defied ECOWAS sanctions, severed ties with France and the West, and aligned itself with Russia. Yet when faced with economic collapse, it was Nigeria that they turned to for salvation. Nigeria Plays the Good Neighbor Again Despite months of insults, false accusations, name calling, diplomatic snubs, and hostility, Nigeria once again stepped in to help. It was gathered that the Nigerian Government approved the release of 300 fuel trucks, which immediately began crossing into Niger to ease the crisis.

Zagazola

327,792 просмотров • 1 год назад

CHINA FORFEITS 450 MILLION BARRELS IN ONE MONTH: WHY OIL PRICES ARE CRASHING DESPITE RECORD INVENTORY DRAWS Eric Nuttall, Senior Portfolio Manager of Ninepoint Energy Strategies, revealed the single biggest reason oil prices have collapsed despite record-low inventories. China quietly slashed its oil imports by 4.9 million barrels per day in June alone, forfeiting nearly 450 million barrels and draining its own hidden stocks. This massive move has temporarily masked the true tightness in the physical market and created one of the largest disconnects between fundamentals and price in decades. The result is oil trading in the high 60s while the real balance sheet screams much higher. THE INVENTORY REALITY CHECK ➡️ Global oil inventories are at the lowest levels ever seen for this time of year. ➡️ We have moved from a 177 million barrel surplus before the war to a 141 million barrel deficit relative to the five-year average. ➡️ Total inventory draws since the conflict began reach 430 million barrels, creating a 508 million barrel swing compared to last year. ➡️ US commercial oil inventories now sit at their lowest level since at least 2016. THE PRODUCT SHORTAGE SIGNAL ➡️ Gasoline and distillate stocks show clear shortages in key regions. ➡️ Refinery crack spreads for gasoline and diesel have hit all-time highs, up 182 percent year to date. ➡️ These extreme margins prove strong underlying product demand that contradicts the weak price action. THE STRATEGIC RESERVE FLOOR ➡️ US strategic petroleum reserves have fallen to 325 million barrels. ➡️ That is the lowest level since June of 1983. ➡️ Advisers close to the issue see 300 million barrels as a practical floor the market cannot breach without serious consequences. THE CHINA STOCKPILE DRAIN ➡️ China cut oil imports by a staggering 4.9 million barrels per day in June. ➡️ They have forfeited nearly 450 million barrels of imports in a single month, drawing down invisible domestic stocks. ➡️ Yet every mobility indicator from flights to road traffic shows demand remains very strong. ➡️ This buying behavior is unsustainable and the return of Chinese demand will expose the real tightness. THE TEMPORARY SUPPLY SURGE ➡️ Post-truce tanker traffic out of the Strait has surged to about 10 ships per day. ➡️ Roughly 140 million barrels of previously sanctioned Iranian oil are now accessible to the market. ➡️ Still, 9.4 million barrels per day of regional production remains shut in across the Middle East. ➡️ The market is absorbing a short-term flood that analysts expect will fade within one to two months. THE FINANCIAL MARKET BLIND SPOT ➡️ Speculative net length in oil has collapsed back to pre-war levels. ➡️ The paper market is pricing oil as if the anticipated glut from before the conflict is still here. ➡️ Physical fundamentals point to an implied fair value of 130 to 140 dollars per barrel. THE ADMINISTRATION RESPONSE ➡️ Vice President JD Vance stated the goal is to refill the world's oil economy and restock supplies. "What the president has told us to do is to use this to sort of refill the world's oil economy to refill some stocks and then see where the hand is." ➡️ The timing of the truce announcement right before the market open showed clear concern over energy price impacts ahead of the midterms. THE BOTTOM LINE The oil market is far tighter than current prices suggest because China temporarily drained its stocks and a post-truce supply surge is hitting all at once. Once those barrels are absorbed and China returns as a buyer, the real shortage will become impossible to ignore. Energy stocks are already discounting around 60 dollar oil while the marginal cost of new supply sits near 70 dollars. The rebound in oil prices is closer than the market thinks. HT: YouTube Ninepoint Partners Eric Nuttall #OilShortage #ChinaOil #InventoryCrisis #EnergyMarkets #OilPrices #MarketRebound #GeopoliticalOil

CHINA FORFEITS 450 MILLION BARRELS IN ONE MONTH: WHY OIL PRICES ARE CRASHING DESPITE RECORD INVENTORY DRAWS Eric Nuttall, Senior Portfolio Manager of Ninepoint Energy Strategies, revealed the single biggest reason oil prices have collapsed despite record-low inventories. China quietly slashed its oil imports by 4.9 million barrels per day in June alone, forfeiting nearly 450 million barrels and draining its own hidden stocks. This massive move has temporarily masked the true tightness in the physical market and created one of the largest disconnects between fundamentals and price in decades. The result is oil trading in the high 60s while the real balance sheet screams much higher. THE INVENTORY REALITY CHECK ➡️ Global oil inventories are at the lowest levels ever seen for this time of year. ➡️ We have moved from a 177 million barrel surplus before the war to a 141 million barrel deficit relative to the five-year average. ➡️ Total inventory draws since the conflict began reach 430 million barrels, creating a 508 million barrel swing compared to last year. ➡️ US commercial oil inventories now sit at their lowest level since at least 2016. THE PRODUCT SHORTAGE SIGNAL ➡️ Gasoline and distillate stocks show clear shortages in key regions. ➡️ Refinery crack spreads for gasoline and diesel have hit all-time highs, up 182 percent year to date. ➡️ These extreme margins prove strong underlying product demand that contradicts the weak price action. THE STRATEGIC RESERVE FLOOR ➡️ US strategic petroleum reserves have fallen to 325 million barrels. ➡️ That is the lowest level since June of 1983. ➡️ Advisers close to the issue see 300 million barrels as a practical floor the market cannot breach without serious consequences. THE CHINA STOCKPILE DRAIN ➡️ China cut oil imports by a staggering 4.9 million barrels per day in June. ➡️ They have forfeited nearly 450 million barrels of imports in a single month, drawing down invisible domestic stocks. ➡️ Yet every mobility indicator from flights to road traffic shows demand remains very strong. ➡️ This buying behavior is unsustainable and the return of Chinese demand will expose the real tightness. THE TEMPORARY SUPPLY SURGE ➡️ Post-truce tanker traffic out of the Strait has surged to about 10 ships per day. ➡️ Roughly 140 million barrels of previously sanctioned Iranian oil are now accessible to the market. ➡️ Still, 9.4 million barrels per day of regional production remains shut in across the Middle East. ➡️ The market is absorbing a short-term flood that analysts expect will fade within one to two months. THE FINANCIAL MARKET BLIND SPOT ➡️ Speculative net length in oil has collapsed back to pre-war levels. ➡️ The paper market is pricing oil as if the anticipated glut from before the conflict is still here. ➡️ Physical fundamentals point to an implied fair value of 130 to 140 dollars per barrel. THE ADMINISTRATION RESPONSE ➡️ Vice President JD Vance stated the goal is to refill the world's oil economy and restock supplies. "What the president has told us to do is to use this to sort of refill the world's oil economy to refill some stocks and then see where the hand is." ➡️ The timing of the truce announcement right before the market open showed clear concern over energy price impacts ahead of the midterms. THE BOTTOM LINE The oil market is far tighter than current prices suggest because China temporarily drained its stocks and a post-truce supply surge is hitting all at once. Once those barrels are absorbed and China returns as a buyer, the real shortage will become impossible to ignore. Energy stocks are already discounting around 60 dollar oil while the marginal cost of new supply sits near 70 dollars. The rebound in oil prices is closer than the market thinks. HT: YouTube Ninepoint Partners Eric Nuttall #OilShortage #ChinaOil #InventoryCrisis #EnergyMarkets #OilPrices #MarketRebound #GeopoliticalOil

Mark

80,009 просмотров • 13 дней назад

History they don’t teach you: on this day in 1960, Fidel Castro nationalised Esso, Shell and Texaco in Cuba🇨🇺, breaking the United States’ draconian control of the Cuban economy. After the Soviet Union began supplying Cuba with crude oil, Texaco, Esso, and British-Dutch Shell refused to refine Soviet oil for Cuba after pressure from the US government. 100% of Cuba’s oil refining capacity was controlled by these 3 corporations, meaning the US government and these corporations effectively held the Cuban economy at gunpoint. Fidel Castro responded to this by nationalising the assets of all 3 corporations. Before Cuba's revolution, US financial interests owned 90% of Cuba’s mines, 80% of public utilities, 50% of railways, 40% of sugar production & 25% of bank deposits. In the first 30 months after Fidel Castro and Cuba’s communists came to power, more classrooms were built in those 30 months than had been built in the previous 30 years. Within the first six months of Castro's government, 600 miles of road had been built across the island, while $300 million was spent on water and sanitation schemes. Over 800 houses were constructed every month in the early years of the administration in a measure to cut homelessness, while nurseries and day-care centers were opened for children and other centers opened for the disabled and elderly. With the arrival of the revolutionary government, Cuban healthcare was nationalised and expanded with heavy investment, bringing free healthcare access to millions. Universal vaccination for childhood diseases was introduced, leading to infant mortality rates plummeting. Cuba's 'army of doctors' is now sent to crisis-hit countries around the world. Since 1963, more than 600,000 Cuban health workers have provided medical services in more than 160 countries. Despite being under the illegal embargo imposed by the US, Cuba now has a higher life expectancy than the US, has more doctors per capita than the US, and is among the top 35 countries for lowest child mortality rates. Under Fidel Castro's rule, UNICEF declared severe child malnutrition to be eradicated. Donald Trump’s looming war on Cuba is revenge for Cuban revolutionaries daring to break the US’ control of the island nation. Trump wants to return to the times when Cuba was effectively an American economic colony.

History they don’t teach you: on this day in 1960, Fidel Castro nationalised Esso, Shell and Texaco in Cuba🇨🇺, breaking the United States’ draconian control of the Cuban economy. After the Soviet Union began supplying Cuba with crude oil, Texaco, Esso, and British-Dutch Shell refused to refine Soviet oil for Cuba after pressure from the US government. 100% of Cuba’s oil refining capacity was controlled by these 3 corporations, meaning the US government and these corporations effectively held the Cuban economy at gunpoint. Fidel Castro responded to this by nationalising the assets of all 3 corporations. Before Cuba's revolution, US financial interests owned 90% of Cuba’s mines, 80% of public utilities, 50% of railways, 40% of sugar production & 25% of bank deposits. In the first 30 months after Fidel Castro and Cuba’s communists came to power, more classrooms were built in those 30 months than had been built in the previous 30 years. Within the first six months of Castro's government, 600 miles of road had been built across the island, while $300 million was spent on water and sanitation schemes. Over 800 houses were constructed every month in the early years of the administration in a measure to cut homelessness, while nurseries and day-care centers were opened for children and other centers opened for the disabled and elderly. With the arrival of the revolutionary government, Cuban healthcare was nationalised and expanded with heavy investment, bringing free healthcare access to millions. Universal vaccination for childhood diseases was introduced, leading to infant mortality rates plummeting. Cuba's 'army of doctors' is now sent to crisis-hit countries around the world. Since 1963, more than 600,000 Cuban health workers have provided medical services in more than 160 countries. Despite being under the illegal embargo imposed by the US, Cuba now has a higher life expectancy than the US, has more doctors per capita than the US, and is among the top 35 countries for lowest child mortality rates. Under Fidel Castro's rule, UNICEF declared severe child malnutrition to be eradicated. Donald Trump’s looming war on Cuba is revenge for Cuban revolutionaries daring to break the US’ control of the island nation. Trump wants to return to the times when Cuba was effectively an American economic colony.

Afshin Rattansi

53,761 просмотров • 15 дней назад

CRUDE SHORTAGE WHIPLASH: WHY OIL PRICES WILL SPIKE AFTER THE BACKLOG CLEARS IN DAYS Troy Eckard of Enterprises Oil & Gas Investing has just revealed why the headlines about record crude oil moving through the Strait of Hormuz are misleading at best. What looks like a sudden flood of supply is actually the release of oil that has been loaded and waiting for nearly four months. This temporary surge is masking a much deeper supply problem that the world has been papering over with strategic reserves. Once the backlog is gone, the real supply picture will come into focus fast. THE HORMUZ BACKLOG REALITY ➡️ The recent movement of 19.1 million barrels per day is not new oil from opened wells or increased production. ➡️ It is not coming from storage tanks sitting at the ports ready to go. ➡️ Every single barrel was loaded onto tankers before the strait closed and has been stuck waiting for safe passage. ➡️ The main body of the strait is still not open and remains full of mines. ➡️ Only a narrow pathway is being used to let these long-delayed vessels through. THE SCALE OF WHAT JUST MOVED ➡️ When the strait closed, estimates show 110 to 120 million barrels of oil were trapped on vessels behind the gate. ➡️ That amount equals just one day of total global consumption at 104 million barrels per day. ➡️ At the pace seen recently, that entire backlog will clear in roughly five to six days. ➡️ After those days pass, there will be no equivalent volume of new oil taking its place. THE FOUR-MONTH SUPPLY HOLE ➡️ The closure created a massive 1.2 to 1.5 billion barrel deficit over almost four months. ➡️ The world responded by draining strategic reserves, pipelines, and every available storage to prevent prices from reaching 150 or 200 dollars. ➡️ That emergency action suppressed prices and created the current calm at around 70 dollars and fifty cents. ➡️ But those reserves cannot be drained indefinitely. THE PRICE ILLUSION ➡️ Oil trading near 70 dollars today exists because traders are dumping positions on the back of this one-time inventory release. ➡️ The media is calling it a solution and record progress through the strait. ➡️ In truth, production has not ramped up and new infrastructure is still months away from delivering. ➡️ This is a pretend moment of adequate supply that will not last. THE COMING WHIPLASH ➡️ In five to eight days the extra 100 million barrels of backlog oil will be absorbed into the global supply chain. ➡️ Physical buyers needing real barrels for customers will then enter the market in force. ➡️ A daily shortfall of 8 to 12 million barrels could become clear within three to four weeks. ➡️ The shift from trader covering losses to genuine physical demand will create a sharp reversal. THE BOTTOM LINE The recent drop in oil prices is riding on the final escape of oil that was already in the system long before the recent disruptions. That temporary relief is ending fast, and the underlying four-month supply hole remains unfilled. The market is about to discover that celebrating this surge was premature. This is the sound of the real supply picture reasserting itself. HT: YouTube Eckard Enterprises | Oil & Gas Investing #OilPrices #HormuzBacklog #CrudeOilReality #SupplyShortage #EnergyMarkets #OilWhiplash

CRUDE SHORTAGE WHIPLASH: WHY OIL PRICES WILL SPIKE AFTER THE BACKLOG CLEARS IN DAYS Troy Eckard of Enterprises Oil & Gas Investing has just revealed why the headlines about record crude oil moving through the Strait of Hormuz are misleading at best. What looks like a sudden flood of supply is actually the release of oil that has been loaded and waiting for nearly four months. This temporary surge is masking a much deeper supply problem that the world has been papering over with strategic reserves. Once the backlog is gone, the real supply picture will come into focus fast. THE HORMUZ BACKLOG REALITY ➡️ The recent movement of 19.1 million barrels per day is not new oil from opened wells or increased production. ➡️ It is not coming from storage tanks sitting at the ports ready to go. ➡️ Every single barrel was loaded onto tankers before the strait closed and has been stuck waiting for safe passage. ➡️ The main body of the strait is still not open and remains full of mines. ➡️ Only a narrow pathway is being used to let these long-delayed vessels through. THE SCALE OF WHAT JUST MOVED ➡️ When the strait closed, estimates show 110 to 120 million barrels of oil were trapped on vessels behind the gate. ➡️ That amount equals just one day of total global consumption at 104 million barrels per day. ➡️ At the pace seen recently, that entire backlog will clear in roughly five to six days. ➡️ After those days pass, there will be no equivalent volume of new oil taking its place. THE FOUR-MONTH SUPPLY HOLE ➡️ The closure created a massive 1.2 to 1.5 billion barrel deficit over almost four months. ➡️ The world responded by draining strategic reserves, pipelines, and every available storage to prevent prices from reaching 150 or 200 dollars. ➡️ That emergency action suppressed prices and created the current calm at around 70 dollars and fifty cents. ➡️ But those reserves cannot be drained indefinitely. THE PRICE ILLUSION ➡️ Oil trading near 70 dollars today exists because traders are dumping positions on the back of this one-time inventory release. ➡️ The media is calling it a solution and record progress through the strait. ➡️ In truth, production has not ramped up and new infrastructure is still months away from delivering. ➡️ This is a pretend moment of adequate supply that will not last. THE COMING WHIPLASH ➡️ In five to eight days the extra 100 million barrels of backlog oil will be absorbed into the global supply chain. ➡️ Physical buyers needing real barrels for customers will then enter the market in force. ➡️ A daily shortfall of 8 to 12 million barrels could become clear within three to four weeks. ➡️ The shift from trader covering losses to genuine physical demand will create a sharp reversal. THE BOTTOM LINE The recent drop in oil prices is riding on the final escape of oil that was already in the system long before the recent disruptions. That temporary relief is ending fast, and the underlying four-month supply hole remains unfilled. The market is about to discover that celebrating this surge was premature. This is the sound of the real supply picture reasserting itself. HT: YouTube Eckard Enterprises | Oil & Gas Investing #OilPrices #HormuzBacklog #CrudeOilReality #SupplyShortage #EnergyMarkets #OilWhiplash

Mark

72,764 просмотров • 19 дней назад

📈 EXPLAINED | Oil Shock Spreads Across Gulf Energy Markets Brent crude briefly surged above $94 a barrel Friday and is now trading around $93, up from $73 just over a week ago, as Kuwait announces production cuts, and war disruptions spread across the Gulf energy system. 📌 Here’s a recap of the latest developments: 1. 🇶🇦 Qatar’s energy minister Saad al-Kaabi warned the conflict could send oil to $150 a barrel within two to three weeks if tankers cannot safely pass through the Strait of Hormuz; the waterway carries roughly 20% of global oil and gas trade, the Financial Times reported. 2. Qatar, which is the world’s second-largest LNG exporter, has already declared force majeure after an Iranian drone strike hit the Ras Laffan LNG complex, allowing the country to suspend gas deliveries due to war conditions. 3. “This will bring down the economies of the world,” the energy minister told the FT, warning that prolonged disruption would not just drive energy shortages and spike prices, but also trigger a global industrial supply chain reaction, including in fertilizer and food production. 4. Kaabi said if the war continues, Gulf energy exporters may be forced to fully shut down production within weeks, with shipments unlikely to resume until hostilities fully cease. This is connected to the availability of storage. See the video explainer below for clarification. 5. 🇰🇼 Kuwait announced it has begun reducing output at several oil fields because it is running out of storage for crude that cannot be exported while shipping through Hormuz has slowed dramatically, the Wall Street Journal reported. 6. Storage crisis: Officials are discussing deeper cuts to match only domestic demand, with a final decision expected within days. Kuwait normally produces about 2.6 million barrels per day. 7. 🇮🇶 Kuwait is now the second major producer forced to curb output this week, after Iraq slashed production by over half earlier. 8. Shutting oil wells is considered a last-resort measure because restarting them can be costly, time-consuming, and may damage reservoirs. (Sources: Financial Times, Wall Street Journal. Video: Sky News)

📈 EXPLAINED | Oil Shock Spreads Across Gulf Energy Markets Brent crude briefly surged above $94 a barrel Friday and is now trading around $93, up from $73 just over a week ago, as Kuwait announces production cuts, and war disruptions spread across the Gulf energy system. 📌 Here’s a recap of the latest developments: 1. 🇶🇦 Qatar’s energy minister Saad al-Kaabi warned the conflict could send oil to $150 a barrel within two to three weeks if tankers cannot safely pass through the Strait of Hormuz; the waterway carries roughly 20% of global oil and gas trade, the Financial Times reported. 2. Qatar, which is the world’s second-largest LNG exporter, has already declared force majeure after an Iranian drone strike hit the Ras Laffan LNG complex, allowing the country to suspend gas deliveries due to war conditions. 3. “This will bring down the economies of the world,” the energy minister told the FT, warning that prolonged disruption would not just drive energy shortages and spike prices, but also trigger a global industrial supply chain reaction, including in fertilizer and food production. 4. Kaabi said if the war continues, Gulf energy exporters may be forced to fully shut down production within weeks, with shipments unlikely to resume until hostilities fully cease. This is connected to the availability of storage. See the video explainer below for clarification. 5. 🇰🇼 Kuwait announced it has begun reducing output at several oil fields because it is running out of storage for crude that cannot be exported while shipping through Hormuz has slowed dramatically, the Wall Street Journal reported. 6. Storage crisis: Officials are discussing deeper cuts to match only domestic demand, with a final decision expected within days. Kuwait normally produces about 2.6 million barrels per day. 7. 🇮🇶 Kuwait is now the second major producer forced to curb output this week, after Iraq slashed production by over half earlier. 8. Shutting oil wells is considered a last-resort measure because restarting them can be costly, time-consuming, and may damage reservoirs. (Sources: Financial Times, Wall Street Journal. Video: Sky News)

Drop Site

47,705 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Kharg Island is widely known among Iranians as the “forbidden island.” Behind its modern geoeconomic significance lies an ancient history, from early human settlements dating back more than 4,000 years to occupation by various empires that understood its strategic maritime importance as a trading post. The small coral outcrop sits around 25 kilometers off the coast of Iran. Up to 90 percent of Iran’s oil exports pass through the terminal there, which is able to load 10 supertankers at once. Access is restricted and the island is guarded by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. The island became Iran’s dominant export port for two reasons. First, it could be connected by pipeline to the major oil fields in south-western Iran. Second, its deep water location made it one of the only places on Iran’s western coast that could accommodate supertankers. In 1956 work began to build oil reservoirs on Kharg. In the 1960s, under the Shah, the island was developed into an oil terminal in partnership with US company Amoco. By around 1975, there were three major oil terminals. Amoco’s property was expropriated after the Iranian Revolution in 1979. The island was particularly important for French energy giant Total. Over time it became such a priority target during the Iran-Iraq war in the 1980s that its destruction would have economically crippled Iran. The war destroyed most of the facilities on the island, and after it ended, Iran made it a priority to rebuild them. Since then, Kharg Island has become one of Iran’s best defended sites. The economic artery No other major oil-producing country is so reliant on just one facility. Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates, and massive producers elsewhere such as Russia, Mexico and Venezuela, do not concentrate almost all their export capacity in a single location. About half of the nation’s $50 billion oil industry is controlled by the Revolutionary Guard. Targeting Kharg would deprive the regime of a key funding source for controlling the population. “If they can’t sell their own oil, they can’t make payroll,” as one analyst put it. As the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran entered its third week, Kharg remained unscathed. That restraint was deliberate. Crippling Iran’s entire oil industry for months, if not years, would shatter the already fragile confidence in financial markets that Trump can achieve his vague war aims without long-term disruption to the global economy. Some analysts predict that oil prices could soar to $150 a barrel if Kharg is hit. Russia’s 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine caused Brent crude to rise above $100 for four months, contributing to roughly 9% inflation at the time. Analysts interpreting satellite imagery noted that Iran apparently expected Kharg to become a target and had started reducing the amount of oil in storage there since early February. By 7 March, only nine of the oil tanks were estimated to be full, compared to 27 in mid-January. In the days prior to the outbreak of war, Iran ramped up exports from Kharg to near-record levels. Brent crude futures climbed to $103 a barrel on the first Monday of the conflict, their highest level since mid-2022. Experts note that a third option may be on the table: sabotage and cyberattacks affecting the oil infrastructure on the island, which “would certainly choke the Iranian economy without having to engage militarily.” The island is a pressure point without a clean trigger. Whoever controls the decision to strike it controls the price of petrol in every country on earth. That is precisely why it still stands. Gandalv Gandalv

Kharg Island is widely known among Iranians as the “forbidden island.” Behind its modern geoeconomic significance lies an ancient history, from early human settlements dating back more than 4,000 years to occupation by various empires that understood its strategic maritime importance as a trading post. The small coral outcrop sits around 25 kilometers off the coast of Iran. Up to 90 percent of Iran’s oil exports pass through the terminal there, which is able to load 10 supertankers at once. Access is restricted and the island is guarded by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. The island became Iran’s dominant export port for two reasons. First, it could be connected by pipeline to the major oil fields in south-western Iran. Second, its deep water location made it one of the only places on Iran’s western coast that could accommodate supertankers. In 1956 work began to build oil reservoirs on Kharg. In the 1960s, under the Shah, the island was developed into an oil terminal in partnership with US company Amoco. By around 1975, there were three major oil terminals. Amoco’s property was expropriated after the Iranian Revolution in 1979. The island was particularly important for French energy giant Total. Over time it became such a priority target during the Iran-Iraq war in the 1980s that its destruction would have economically crippled Iran. The war destroyed most of the facilities on the island, and after it ended, Iran made it a priority to rebuild them. Since then, Kharg Island has become one of Iran’s best defended sites. The economic artery No other major oil-producing country is so reliant on just one facility. Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates, and massive producers elsewhere such as Russia, Mexico and Venezuela, do not concentrate almost all their export capacity in a single location. About half of the nation’s $50 billion oil industry is controlled by the Revolutionary Guard. Targeting Kharg would deprive the regime of a key funding source for controlling the population. “If they can’t sell their own oil, they can’t make payroll,” as one analyst put it. As the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran entered its third week, Kharg remained unscathed. That restraint was deliberate. Crippling Iran’s entire oil industry for months, if not years, would shatter the already fragile confidence in financial markets that Trump can achieve his vague war aims without long-term disruption to the global economy. Some analysts predict that oil prices could soar to $150 a barrel if Kharg is hit. Russia’s 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine caused Brent crude to rise above $100 for four months, contributing to roughly 9% inflation at the time. Analysts interpreting satellite imagery noted that Iran apparently expected Kharg to become a target and had started reducing the amount of oil in storage there since early February. By 7 March, only nine of the oil tanks were estimated to be full, compared to 27 in mid-January. In the days prior to the outbreak of war, Iran ramped up exports from Kharg to near-record levels. Brent crude futures climbed to $103 a barrel on the first Monday of the conflict, their highest level since mid-2022. Experts note that a third option may be on the table: sabotage and cyberattacks affecting the oil infrastructure on the island, which “would certainly choke the Iranian economy without having to engage militarily.” The island is a pressure point without a clean trigger. Whoever controls the decision to strike it controls the price of petrol in every country on earth. That is precisely why it still stands. Gandalv Gandalv

Gandalv

83,398 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Indonesia, Australia and New Zealand was far more than a diplomatic tour. It was a strategic assertion of India’s growing role as a leading power in the Indian Ocean and Indo-Pacific, delivering concrete outcomes across defence, trade, technology, energy security, critical minerals, digital innovation, culture and people-to-people ties. The visit has imparted fresh momentum to India’s engagement across the Indian Ocean, from Seychelles in the west to Indonesia in the east, while reinforcing partnerships with Australia and New Zealand in the wider Indo-Pacific. It reflects the success of India’s multi-alignment approach, where strategic autonomy is translating into meaningful partnerships based on mutual trust and shared interests. Strategic and Defence Partnerships India’s strategic partnerships across the region have reached a new level. Indonesia welcomed India’s participation in the integrated development of Sabang Port, creating new opportunities for connectivity between India’s Andaman & Nicobar Islands and Indonesia’s Sumatra, while facilitating trade, investment and regional prosperity. With Australia, India further strengthened its Comprehensive Strategic Partnership through a Joint Declaration on Defence and Security Cooperation, a Maritime Security Collaboration Roadmap, enhanced maritime domain awareness, greater intelligence sharing, expanded joint patrols and an agreement to service each other’s naval vessels. India and New Zealand elevated bilateral ties to a Strategic Partnership and adopted a Roadmap to 2030, providing a structured framework for cooperation in defence, trade, technology, education and people-to-people exchanges. Defence cooperation also witnessed major breakthroughs. Indonesia decided to further expand its inventory of BrahMos supersonic cruise missiles and expressed interest in India’s indigenous defence platforms such as the Astra beyond-visual-range missile, underlining India’s emergence as a trusted defence manufacturing partner. India and New Zealand signed a Mutual Logistics Support Arrangement, maritime cooperation agreements and established a Maritime Security Dialogue, while New Zealand joined the Maritime Security pillar of India’s Indo-Pacific Oceans Initiative. Critical Minerals and Energy Security The visit significantly strengthened India’s long-term resource security. India and Australia established a Critical Minerals Corridor covering lithium, cobalt and rare earths, shifting cooperation beyond imports to joint investments in processing and value addition. India also deepened cooperation with Indonesia to leverage its vast nickel reserves for electric vehicles, batteries and clean energy manufacturing. In just two years, India has now concluded critical minerals partnerships with 24 countries while negotiating with 11 more, an extraordinary achievement in securing supply chains for future technologies. Another landmark outcome was Australia’s long-term uranium supply agreement with India. Australia possesses nearly one-third of the world’s known uranium reserves, making this partnership critical for India’s ambitious target of achieving 100 GW of nuclear power capacity by 2047. New Zealand also joined the India-led Global Biofuels Alliance, further strengthening international cooperation on sustainable energy. Trade, Investment and Economic Cooperation Economic partnerships received a major boost. India and Australia reaffirmed their commitment to an ambitious Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement while AustralianSuper announced an additional investment of AU$500 million in India’s National Investment and Infrastructure Fund, taking its total exposure in India to AU$3.3 billion. India and New Zealand committed to doubling bilateral trade to NZ$7 billion by 2030 and accelerating implementation of the India–New Zealand Free Trade Agreement signed earlier this year. These developments reinforce growing global confidence in India’s economic growth story and investment ecosystem. Digital Public Infrastructure and Education India’s Digital Public Infrastructure continues to emerge as a global public good. Indonesia launched the Indonesia Open Network (ION), built entirely on the architecture of India’s Open Network for Digital Commerce (ONDC), marking another milestone in the internationalisation of India’s digital innovations. Both countries also advanced work on UPI-based cross-border QR payment integration, enabling seamless digital transactions. An agreement to establish an international campus of IIM Bangalore in Indonesia further expanded India’s educational footprint in Southeast Asia. Culture and Civilisational Partnerships India’s soft power received an equally significant boost. Prime Minister Modi and President Prabowo jointly launched the conservation of the UNESCO World Heritage Prambanan Temple complex, led by the Archaeological Survey of India, reaffirming centuries-old civilisational ties. Australia announced the repatriation of three priceless ancient Indian artefacts from Tamil Nadu, while India and New Zealand signed new agreements to deepen cultural cooperation and maritime heritage collaboration. These initiatives reflect India’s growing role in preserving shared global heritage. Sports and People-to-People Ties India and Australia unveiled a Sports Collaboration Roadmap at the iconic Melbourne Cricket Ground covering cricket, sports science, youth exchanges and technology. The announcement that the opening match of Australia’s Big Bash League will be played in Chennai later this year marks another milestone in sporting cooperation. India and New Zealand adopted a Joint Action Plan on Sport spanning rugby, rowing, athletics, golf, sports medicine and high-performance training. Diplomatic Recognition The warmth extended during the visit reflected India’s rising global stature. President Prabowo personally received and saw off Prime Minister Modi, accompanied him to the Prambanan Temple and ensured fighter aircraft escorted the Prime Minister’s aircraft. Prime Minister Modi was conferred Indonesia’s highest civilian honour, the Bintang Adipurna. New Zealand Prime Minister Christopher Luxon personally welcomed and bid farewell to Prime Minister Modi, while Auckland’s iconic Sky Tower was illuminated in the colours of the Indian Tricolour. In all three countries, the heads of government joined Indian diaspora events and remained present throughout, an extraordinary diplomatic gesture rarely witnessed. This visit has strengthened India’s strategic position across the Indo-Pacific, secured critical resources for future growth, expanded defence partnerships, accelerated trade and investment, deepened civilisational ties and demonstrated the confidence that the world places in India under Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s leadership. India today is not merely participating in shaping the Indo-Pacific, it is helping lead it.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Indonesia, Australia and New Zealand was far more than a diplomatic tour. It was a strategic assertion of India’s growing role as a leading power in the Indian Ocean and Indo-Pacific, delivering concrete outcomes across defence, trade, technology, energy security, critical minerals, digital innovation, culture and people-to-people ties. The visit has imparted fresh momentum to India’s engagement across the Indian Ocean, from Seychelles in the west to Indonesia in the east, while reinforcing partnerships with Australia and New Zealand in the wider Indo-Pacific. It reflects the success of India’s multi-alignment approach, where strategic autonomy is translating into meaningful partnerships based on mutual trust and shared interests. Strategic and Defence Partnerships India’s strategic partnerships across the region have reached a new level. Indonesia welcomed India’s participation in the integrated development of Sabang Port, creating new opportunities for connectivity between India’s Andaman & Nicobar Islands and Indonesia’s Sumatra, while facilitating trade, investment and regional prosperity. With Australia, India further strengthened its Comprehensive Strategic Partnership through a Joint Declaration on Defence and Security Cooperation, a Maritime Security Collaboration Roadmap, enhanced maritime domain awareness, greater intelligence sharing, expanded joint patrols and an agreement to service each other’s naval vessels. India and New Zealand elevated bilateral ties to a Strategic Partnership and adopted a Roadmap to 2030, providing a structured framework for cooperation in defence, trade, technology, education and people-to-people exchanges. Defence cooperation also witnessed major breakthroughs. Indonesia decided to further expand its inventory of BrahMos supersonic cruise missiles and expressed interest in India’s indigenous defence platforms such as the Astra beyond-visual-range missile, underlining India’s emergence as a trusted defence manufacturing partner. India and New Zealand signed a Mutual Logistics Support Arrangement, maritime cooperation agreements and established a Maritime Security Dialogue, while New Zealand joined the Maritime Security pillar of India’s Indo-Pacific Oceans Initiative. Critical Minerals and Energy Security The visit significantly strengthened India’s long-term resource security. India and Australia established a Critical Minerals Corridor covering lithium, cobalt and rare earths, shifting cooperation beyond imports to joint investments in processing and value addition. India also deepened cooperation with Indonesia to leverage its vast nickel reserves for electric vehicles, batteries and clean energy manufacturing. In just two years, India has now concluded critical minerals partnerships with 24 countries while negotiating with 11 more, an extraordinary achievement in securing supply chains for future technologies. Another landmark outcome was Australia’s long-term uranium supply agreement with India. Australia possesses nearly one-third of the world’s known uranium reserves, making this partnership critical for India’s ambitious target of achieving 100 GW of nuclear power capacity by 2047. New Zealand also joined the India-led Global Biofuels Alliance, further strengthening international cooperation on sustainable energy. Trade, Investment and Economic Cooperation Economic partnerships received a major boost. India and Australia reaffirmed their commitment to an ambitious Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement while AustralianSuper announced an additional investment of AU$500 million in India’s National Investment and Infrastructure Fund, taking its total exposure in India to AU$3.3 billion. India and New Zealand committed to doubling bilateral trade to NZ$7 billion by 2030 and accelerating implementation of the India–New Zealand Free Trade Agreement signed earlier this year. These developments reinforce growing global confidence in India’s economic growth story and investment ecosystem. Digital Public Infrastructure and Education India’s Digital Public Infrastructure continues to emerge as a global public good. Indonesia launched the Indonesia Open Network (ION), built entirely on the architecture of India’s Open Network for Digital Commerce (ONDC), marking another milestone in the internationalisation of India’s digital innovations. Both countries also advanced work on UPI-based cross-border QR payment integration, enabling seamless digital transactions. An agreement to establish an international campus of IIM Bangalore in Indonesia further expanded India’s educational footprint in Southeast Asia. Culture and Civilisational Partnerships India’s soft power received an equally significant boost. Prime Minister Modi and President Prabowo jointly launched the conservation of the UNESCO World Heritage Prambanan Temple complex, led by the Archaeological Survey of India, reaffirming centuries-old civilisational ties. Australia announced the repatriation of three priceless ancient Indian artefacts from Tamil Nadu, while India and New Zealand signed new agreements to deepen cultural cooperation and maritime heritage collaboration. These initiatives reflect India’s growing role in preserving shared global heritage. Sports and People-to-People Ties India and Australia unveiled a Sports Collaboration Roadmap at the iconic Melbourne Cricket Ground covering cricket, sports science, youth exchanges and technology. The announcement that the opening match of Australia’s Big Bash League will be played in Chennai later this year marks another milestone in sporting cooperation. India and New Zealand adopted a Joint Action Plan on Sport spanning rugby, rowing, athletics, golf, sports medicine and high-performance training. Diplomatic Recognition The warmth extended during the visit reflected India’s rising global stature. President Prabowo personally received and saw off Prime Minister Modi, accompanied him to the Prambanan Temple and ensured fighter aircraft escorted the Prime Minister’s aircraft. Prime Minister Modi was conferred Indonesia’s highest civilian honour, the Bintang Adipurna. New Zealand Prime Minister Christopher Luxon personally welcomed and bid farewell to Prime Minister Modi, while Auckland’s iconic Sky Tower was illuminated in the colours of the Indian Tricolour. In all three countries, the heads of government joined Indian diaspora events and remained present throughout, an extraordinary diplomatic gesture rarely witnessed. This visit has strengthened India’s strategic position across the Indo-Pacific, secured critical resources for future growth, expanded defence partnerships, accelerated trade and investment, deepened civilisational ties and demonstrated the confidence that the world places in India under Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s leadership. India today is not merely participating in shaping the Indo-Pacific, it is helping lead it.

Amit Malviya

17,512 просмотров • 4 дней назад