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Movez

@0xMovez • 26,009 subscribers

Content creator | Researcher & Contributor | @Polymarket beliver | @zscdao member

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The best Polymarket Quant bot for copy-trading with a 99.3% win rate. backtested strategy on 72M Polymarket/Kalshi trades to hit +$805K PnL on 27,000 predictions. bot doesn't gamble - it uses math and statistics in its algo to consistently hit 99% win rate. his algo decoded: 1. Mispricing formula based on 72M trades data, traders constantly overpay for cheap contracts (0.1¢–50¢) most of the edge sits in (80¢-99¢) contracts - that's the range where the bot mostly trades • formula: δ = actual win rate - implied probability bot applies this to every trade to find the edge. // 2. Expected value calculation EV tells you whether a bet is worth taking, regardless of the outcome of any single trade. • formula: EV = (P win × Payout) - (P lose × Cost) bot calculates it to understand if the trade is worth the risk. // 3. Kelly Criterion sizing most powerful position sizing formula ever discovered for gambling, trading and prediction markets it tells the algo what % of your portfolio to size into each bet to win long term. • formula: f* = (p * b - q) / b mispricing found → EV calced → kelly sizing → enter profile: start copy trading the bot with as little as $10 using Ares: 2 more formulas behind its algo revealed in the article below ↓

The best Polymarket Quant bot for copy-trading with a 99.3% win rate. backtested strategy on 72M Polymarket/Kalshi trades to hit +$805K PnL on 27,000 predictions. bot doesn't gamble - it uses math and statistics in its algo to consistently hit 99% win rate. his algo decoded: 1. Mispricing formula based on 72M trades data, traders constantly overpay for cheap contracts (0.1¢–50¢) most of the edge sits in (80¢-99¢) contracts - that's the range where the bot mostly trades • formula: δ = actual win rate - implied probability bot applies this to every trade to find the edge. // 2. Expected value calculation EV tells you whether a bet is worth taking, regardless of the outcome of any single trade. • formula: EV = (P win × Payout) - (P lose × Cost) bot calculates it to understand if the trade is worth the risk. // 3. Kelly Criterion sizing most powerful position sizing formula ever discovered for gambling, trading and prediction markets it tells the algo what % of your portfolio to size into each bet to win long term. • formula: f* = (p * b - q) / b mispricing found → EV calced → kelly sizing → enter profile: start copy trading the bot with as little as $10 using Ares: 2 more formulas behind its algo revealed in the article below ↓

1,789,062 views

Weather trading Clawdbots making thousands $ on Polymarket by simple arbitrage. Scanning weather markets every 2 mins and comparing data to NOAA forecast for location/date If they see undervalued temperature bucket ( Run your clawdbot in 5 simple steps: • install clawdbot on mac/pc using oneliner code • connect clawdbot with ChatGPT 5.2 & TG bot • create Simmer SDK account & fund wallet • install simmer { weather trader } skills • send your clawdbot right { configuration } > Weather clawdbot configuration: • entry threshold: 0.45¢ • max position: $5.00 • locations: NYC, Chicago, Seattle, Atlanta, Dallas • max trades/run: 5 • safeguards: Enabled • trend detection: Enabled • scan run: every 2 minutes Start testing with small sum $2-5 to calibrate your Clawdbot and give it data for analysis. Scale it when you see $20-50 of consistent revenue for several days. Use my detailed article to run you first weather clawdbot.

Weather trading Clawdbots making thousands $ on Polymarket by simple arbitrage. Scanning weather markets every 2 mins and comparing data to NOAA forecast for location/date If they see undervalued temperature bucket ( Run your clawdbot in 5 simple steps: • install clawdbot on mac/pc using oneliner code • connect clawdbot with ChatGPT 5.2 & TG bot • create Simmer SDK account & fund wallet • install simmer { weather trader } skills • send your clawdbot right { configuration } > Weather clawdbot configuration: • entry threshold: 0.45¢ • max position: $5.00 • locations: NYC, Chicago, Seattle, Atlanta, Dallas • max trades/run: 5 • safeguards: Enabled • trend detection: Enabled • scan run: every 2 minutes Start testing with small sum $2-5 to calibrate your Clawdbot and give it data for analysis. Scale it when you see $20-50 of consistent revenue for several days. Use my detailed article to run you first weather clawdbot.

1,404,667 views

MIT math-professor quit university and turned $300 → $66K on Polymarket weather markets. His thesis was: "ML models produce better weather forecasts than physics-based ones." He built his own model that predicts super-rare weather events { 0.01¢ - 0.1¢ } The result is crazy: 24$ → 12,398$ 13$ → 6,850$ 11$ → 5,752$ He trades a wide range of regions from Chicago to Ankara only thing that matters is 0.01¢ - 0.1¢ range. Start copy-trading his ML model using Kreo: Pinned his research and wallet below ↓

MIT math-professor quit university and turned $300 → $66K on Polymarket weather markets. His thesis was: "ML models produce better weather forecasts than physics-based ones." He built his own model that predicts super-rare weather events { 0.01¢ - 0.1¢ } The result is crazy: 24$ → 12,398$ 13$ → 6,850$ 11$ → 5,752$ He trades a wide range of regions from Chicago to Ankara only thing that matters is 0.01¢ - 0.1¢ range. Start copy-trading his ML model using Kreo: Pinned his research and wallet below ↓

297,993 views

Bot turned $300 → $101K in 2 months on Polymarket weather markets scanning forecasts across 20 cities via WeatherAPI hunting ultra-rare weather events {0.01¢ -0.1¢} I found a fully working, self-calibrating Python bot running this exact strategy bots results are crazy: 25$ → 12,452$ 16$ → 8,106$ 11$ → 5,752$ bot uses (ECMWF, HRRR, METAR) forecast, calculates EV, sizes positions with Kelly, and self-calibrates. how to set-up: • install python 3.10 on PC/Mac • get free weather API from { visualcrossing .com } • set polymarket account and get API in /profile • git clone { github .com/alteregoeth-ai/weatherbot } • setup config .json using article below • run $1,000 dry test → then go live with real USDC • give it 100+ trades to self-calibrate for more accurate results add paid APIs like OpenWeather, Tomorrow .io, OpenMeteo bot profile:

Bot turned $300 → $101K in 2 months on Polymarket weather markets scanning forecasts across 20 cities via WeatherAPI hunting ultra-rare weather events {0.01¢ -0.1¢} I found a fully working, self-calibrating Python bot running this exact strategy bots results are crazy: 25$ → 12,452$ 16$ → 8,106$ 11$ → 5,752$ bot uses (ECMWF, HRRR, METAR) forecast, calculates EV, sizes positions with Kelly, and self-calibrates. how to set-up: • install python 3.10 on PC/Mac • get free weather API from { visualcrossing .com } • set polymarket account and get API in /profile • git clone { github .com/alteregoeth-ai/weatherbot } • setup config .json using article below • run $1,000 dry test → then go live with real USDC • give it 100+ trades to self-calibrate for more accurate results add paid APIs like OpenWeather, Tomorrow .io, OpenMeteo bot profile:

57,208 views

This Quant bot turned $1.4K → $203K in 3 months using a self-trained ML model i traced his 55K predictions → uploaded into Codex 5.5 → connected Hermes agent installed it on a VPS + connected Binance + Synth ML models API 3 days → 343% ROI run trading agent in 5 steps: • rent a VPS on Hetzner - $5.99 • install Hermes CLI using one-liner code - free • connect Codex 5.5 + TG bot + Polymarket API • provide Synth Data API's for crypto predictions • sent Hermes step-by-step prompts from article start small 1-2$ give Hermes least {50-100} trades to build self-learning skills based on Synth ML models self-learning agent + crypto predictions models = best combination for building algo-trading setup bot profile: s tart copy-trading it with even with $5 using Ares: read full article below to build your first trading agent ↓

This Quant bot turned $1.4K → $203K in 3 months using a self-trained ML model i traced his 55K predictions → uploaded into Codex 5.5 → connected Hermes agent installed it on a VPS + connected Binance + Synth ML models API 3 days → 343% ROI run trading agent in 5 steps: • rent a VPS on Hetzner - $5.99 • install Hermes CLI using one-liner code - free • connect Codex 5.5 + TG bot + Polymarket API • provide Synth Data API's for crypto predictions • sent Hermes step-by-step prompts from article start small 1-2$ give Hermes least {50-100} trades to build self-learning skills based on Synth ML models self-learning agent + crypto predictions models = best combination for building algo-trading setup bot profile: s tart copy-trading it with even with $5 using Ares: read full article below to build your first trading agent ↓

28,459 views

MIT student failed YCombinator pitch, so he turned $250→ $66K on Polymarket weather markets to fund his startup. His pitch topic was: "Weather forecasting with AI probabilistic models." His custom model forecasts super-rare weather events {0.01¢ - 0.1¢} MVP pitch was crazy: 23$ → 12,398$ 14$ → 6,850$ 9$ → 4,671$ His model trades a wide range of regions from Atlanta to Ankara only thing that matters is 0.01¢ - 0.1¢ range. his profile: Start copy-trading his ML model using Kreo: Pinned his research and wallet below ↓

MIT student failed YCombinator pitch, so he turned $250→ $66K on Polymarket weather markets to fund his startup. His pitch topic was: "Weather forecasting with AI probabilistic models." His custom model forecasts super-rare weather events {0.01¢ - 0.1¢} MVP pitch was crazy: 23$ → 12,398$ 14$ → 6,850$ 9$ → 4,671$ His model trades a wide range of regions from Atlanta to Ankara only thing that matters is 0.01¢ - 0.1¢ range. his profile: Start copy-trading his ML model using Kreo: Pinned his research and wallet below ↓

55,135 views

Polymarket Weather Clawbots making thousands $ monthly on simple arbitrage Aggregate forecasts API from: NOAA, Weatherbit, Tomorrowio & compare to Polymarket prices every 2-min When they see undervalued temperature bucket ( Run weather trading clawdbot on VPS for 12,2$: • visit { contabo. com/en/openclaw-hosting } and choose Cloud VPS 20 ~ $7.2 • install OpenClaw v2026.2.6 by one-liner code ~ $0 • connect Claude Opus 4.6 API to Clawdbot ~ $5 • connect TG bot for controlling Clawdbot ~ $0 • install Simmer SDK { weather trader } skill ~ $0 • send configuration to your clawdbot // > Weather clawdbot configuration: • entry threshold: 0.70¢ • max position: $5.00 • locations: NYC, Chicago, Seattle, Atlanta, Dallas • max trades/run: 5 • safeguards: Enabled • trend detection: Enabled • scan run: every 2 minutes Test with small sum $2-5 to calibrate your Clawdbot and give it data for analysis or test SIM token. Scale it when you see >$50 of consistent revenue for several days.

Polymarket Weather Clawbots making thousands $ monthly on simple arbitrage Aggregate forecasts API from: NOAA, Weatherbit, Tomorrowio & compare to Polymarket prices every 2-min When they see undervalued temperature bucket ( Run weather trading clawdbot on VPS for 12,2$: • visit { contabo. com/en/openclaw-hosting } and choose Cloud VPS 20 ~ $7.2 • install OpenClaw v2026.2.6 by one-liner code ~ $0 • connect Claude Opus 4.6 API to Clawdbot ~ $5 • connect TG bot for controlling Clawdbot ~ $0 • install Simmer SDK { weather trader } skill ~ $0 • send configuration to your clawdbot // > Weather clawdbot configuration: • entry threshold: 0.70¢ • max position: $5.00 • locations: NYC, Chicago, Seattle, Atlanta, Dallas • max trades/run: 5 • safeguards: Enabled • trend detection: Enabled • scan run: every 2 minutes Test with small sum $2-5 to calibrate your Clawdbot and give it data for analysis or test SIM token. Scale it when you see >$50 of consistent revenue for several days.

47,733 views

Polymarket 5-min markets arbitrage with Clawdbot powered by Chainlink API Polymarket uses Chainlink data for 5-min markets resolution. But sometimes the terminal instant lag vs Chainlink API. Exploit this inefficiency using a simple Clawdbot: • install Clawdbot using: { curl -fsSL https: //openclaw.ai/install.sh } • connect it to Claude Opus 4.6 and TG bot in CLI. • create an account on { simmer } → set up wallet. • install the { fast loop trading skill } by simmer • connect Chainlink API to your Clawdbot • change Binance data price for Chainlink API // How its works: • fetches BTC price momentum from Chainlink API • discovers active 5-min fast markets via Gamma API • compares API momentum against market odds • trades when divergence exceeds threshold - dry-run by default // Configuration for clawdbot: • asset: BTC • entry threshold: 0.05 (min divergence from 50¢) • min momentum: 0.5% (min price move) • max position: $5.00 • signal source: chainlink api • lookback: 5 minutes • Min time left: 60s • Volume weighting: enable When Clawdbot finds a divergence, it apes the opportunity. This is simple arbitrage between Chainlink API and Polymarket prices.

Polymarket 5-min markets arbitrage with Clawdbot powered by Chainlink API Polymarket uses Chainlink data for 5-min markets resolution. But sometimes the terminal instant lag vs Chainlink API. Exploit this inefficiency using a simple Clawdbot: • install Clawdbot using: { curl -fsSL https: //openclaw.ai/install.sh } • connect it to Claude Opus 4.6 and TG bot in CLI. • create an account on { simmer } → set up wallet. • install the { fast loop trading skill } by simmer • connect Chainlink API to your Clawdbot • change Binance data price for Chainlink API // How its works: • fetches BTC price momentum from Chainlink API • discovers active 5-min fast markets via Gamma API • compares API momentum against market odds • trades when divergence exceeds threshold - dry-run by default // Configuration for clawdbot: • asset: BTC • entry threshold: 0.05 (min divergence from 50¢) • min momentum: 0.5% (min price move) • max position: $5.00 • signal source: chainlink api • lookback: 5 minutes • Min time left: 60s • Volume weighting: enable When Clawdbot finds a divergence, it apes the opportunity. This is simple arbitrage between Chainlink API and Polymarket prices.

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Spotify's Chief Architect just showed how they ship 4,5K deployments /day with Claude at Anthropic stage 27-minutes. free. By #1 music app dev "More than 99% of our engineers use AI coding tools. Adoption took off after Opus 4.5" Worth more than any $500 vibe-coding course.
27:12
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Spotify's Chief Architect just showed how they ship 4,5K deployments /day with Claude at Anthropic stage 27-minutes. free. By #1 music app dev "More than 99% of our engineers use AI coding tools. Adoption took off after Opus 4.5" Worth more than any $500 vibe-coding course.

Movez

2,537,520 views • 16 days ago

Jane Street pays $750k/ year for quants who can answer how to use Stochastic Process and Markov Chains in quant trading. This 1-hour MIT lecture on probability gives you the same insights quants get paid $60K/month for. Bookmark & watch today. Then read the article below.
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Jane Street pays $750k/ year for quants who can answer how to use Stochastic Process and Markov Chains in quant trading. This 1-hour MIT lecture on probability gives you the same insights quants get paid $60K/month for. Bookmark & watch today. Then read the article below.

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2,618,190 views • 22 days ago

Creator of Claude Code just dropped a 6-min workshop on new Claude feature during live session in London. Boris Cherny: “A lot of my code these days is written by "routines". I’m not doing the prompting - I create the routines that do the prompting.” 6 minutes. Free. From a live session. Watch this now. This will change the way you vibe-code forever.
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Creator of Claude Code just dropped a 6-min workshop on new Claude feature during live session in London. Boris Cherny: “A lot of my code these days is written by "routines". I’m not doing the prompting - I create the routines that do the prompting.” 6 minutes. Free. From a live session. Watch this now. This will change the way you vibe-code forever.

Movez

1,657,041 views • 16 days ago

Google Cloud AI engineer just showed how they go from idea to deployed app at Google in 30-minutes using Claude. 26-minutes. free. by Google AI team. one person + Claude + Google Cloud = a full engineering org running on a laptop. worth more than any $500 vibe-coding course.
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Google Cloud AI engineer just showed how they go from idea to deployed app at Google in 30-minutes using Claude. 26-minutes. free. by Google AI team. one person + Claude + Google Cloud = a full engineering org running on a laptop. worth more than any $500 vibe-coding course.

Movez

1,740,786 views • 22 days ago

This 30-min workshop by the creator of Claude Code will teach you more about vibe-coding than 100 YouTube video guides. Bookmark it & give it 30 minutes today. This video will change the way you use Claude forever.
27:54
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This 30-min workshop by the creator of Claude Code will teach you more about vibe-coding than 100 YouTube video guides. Bookmark it & give it 30 minutes today. This video will change the way you use Claude forever.

Movez

3,712,101 views • 1 month ago

Anthropic AI engineer just showed how to give AI agents real memory in 4 steps - and it changes everything in 28 minutes he shows exactly how agents can remember across sessions, completely free worth more than any $500 AI engineering course here's what he covers: • why agents forget everything between sessions • memory stores - agents read, write across sessions • dreaming - agents that improve their own memory • 95% cache hit rate, so it stays cheap most people are still copy-pasting context into every new chat - while the people who figured this out are building agents that get smarter every single night watch full video then read article below
28:22
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Anthropic AI engineer just showed how to give AI agents real memory in 4 steps - and it changes everything in 28 minutes he shows exactly how agents can remember across sessions, completely free worth more than any $500 AI engineering course here's what he covers: • why agents forget everything between sessions • memory stores - agents read, write across sessions • dreaming - agents that improve their own memory • 95% cache hit rate, so it stays cheap most people are still copy-pasting context into every new chat - while the people who figured this out are building agents that get smarter every single night watch full video then read article below

Movez

689,880 views • 12 days ago

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Anthropic pays $750,000+ a year for engineers who can build LLM architectures from scratch. This 2-hour Stanford lecture gives you the exact pipeline LLM engineers get paid $750K/year for. Data + architecture + scaling laws + post-training. Bookmark it & watch today. Then read article below.

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549,453 views • 10 days ago

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This 1 hour lecture on "Probability Theory" from MIT will teach you more about prediction markets than 2 month internship at at a Wall Street Quant firm. Bookmark this & give it 1 hour today, no matter what. It’s the most productive start you can give your week. Then read post below.

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This 1 hour Stanford lecture on "Sports betting math" by founder of $160M sports platform, reveal the math used by betting platforms to print millions on sports. Bookmark this & give it 1 hour today, no matter what. It’s the most productive start you can give your week. Then read post below.
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This 1 hour Stanford lecture on "Sports betting math" by founder of $160M sports platform, reveal the math used by betting platforms to print millions on sports. Bookmark this & give it 1 hour today, no matter what. It’s the most productive start you can give your week. Then read post below.

Movez

1,395,843 views • 1 month ago

Anthropic AI engineer just dropped a live masterclass on how to ship a team of production‑ready AI agents. 37 minutes. Free. From the Anthropic team. here’s what she covers: • 3 building blocks: brain, hands, sessions • server-side loop, so nothing breaks on refresh • agent teams shipping to production 10–15x faster • why agents die before production brain (persona) + hands (environment) + sessions = a production agent out of the box. most people are still babysitting fragile agent scripts, while the people who figured this out ship agents that just stay running. Watch this workshop, then read the full guide below.
36:48
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Anthropic AI engineer just dropped a live masterclass on how to ship a team of production‑ready AI agents. 37 minutes. Free. From the Anthropic team. here’s what she covers: • 3 building blocks: brain, hands, sessions • server-side loop, so nothing breaks on refresh • agent teams shipping to production 10–15x faster • why agents die before production brain (persona) + hands (environment) + sessions = a production agent out of the box. most people are still babysitting fragile agent scripts, while the people who figured this out ship agents that just stay running. Watch this workshop, then read the full guide below.

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This 8 minute video by Nassim Taleb will show you how a 70-year-old formula used by quants separates top traders from bankrupt ones Bookmark & watch it. It will change the way you trade forever. Then read the post below

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Anthropic pays $750K/ year per senior engineer. The creator of Claude Code just revealed his coding setup at the Sequoia AI session. Boris Cherny: "100% of my code is written by Claude Code. I run around 100 agents at one time." free. 24 minutes. watch it then read article below

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This 1 hour podcast with the Head of Claude Code will teach you more about vibe-coding than 100 paid courses. Bookmark this & give it 1 hour today. It's the best video about AI you'll watch this week. Then read the article below.
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This 1 hour podcast with the Head of Claude Code will teach you more about vibe-coding than 100 paid courses. Bookmark this & give it 1 hour today. It's the best video about AI you'll watch this week. Then read the article below.

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This 9-minute lecture by Nassim Taleb on "Probability Distribution" will teach you more about prediction trading than 2 months as a Quant intern at Jane Street. Bookmark it & give it 9-minutes today. It’ll be the most productive start for your week. Then read article below.

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This 16-min lecture on "Black Scholes model" by Nassim Taleb will tell you more about quant trading than a 2 month internship at Goldman Sachs or JPMorgan. Bookmark it & watch today,no matter what. It’s the most productive way to start your week. Then read article below.

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🚨 OpenAI's head of engineering just revealed how they actually code in 2026. 80 minutes. free. on Lenny's Podcast. watch it. bookmark it. 95% of their engineers use Codex daily. you still type prompts one at a time. then read the article below.

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Jane Street pays $750K /year for Senior Engineer This 1-hour lecture by Jane Street core engineer on "Production Engineering in Quant Trading" will show how they build algo-trading systems from scratch. Bookmark & watch today. It'll change how you build trading systems. Then read the article below.

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Head of Google Antigravity just showed their flagman agent-first IDE in action under 30-mins 25-minutes. free. by Google Deepmind team he revealed live how agents can plan + code + browse + validate themselves, and self-educate. bookmark this & give it 30 minutes today. Then read the article below.
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Head of Google Antigravity just showed their flagman agent-first IDE in action under 30-mins 25-minutes. free. by Google Deepmind team he revealed live how agents can plan + code + browse + validate themselves, and self-educate. bookmark this & give it 30 minutes today. Then read the article below.

Movez

97,726 views • 21 days ago

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20:26
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Jane Street pays $750k/year for engineers who build AI trading systems. The Head of AI at Man Group Hedge fund ($200B AUM) just revealed in 24 minutes how they run AI-built signals with Claude on real client money. AI ideates → gets data → backtests → productionizes signal. worth more than any $500 quant-trading course. Bookmark & watch. Then read the article below.

Movez

57,246 views • 12 days ago

This 1 hour MIT lecture on "Probabilistic Analysis" using Markov Chains will teach you more about prediction markets than a 2-month Wall Street Quant firm internship. Bookmark this & give it 1 hour today, no matter what. It’s the most productive start you can give your week. Then read article below
51:01
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This 1 hour MIT lecture on "Probabilistic Analysis" using Markov Chains will teach you more about prediction markets than a 2-month Wall Street Quant firm internship. Bookmark this & give it 1 hour today, no matter what. It’s the most productive start you can give your week. Then read article below

Movez

226,804 views • 1 month ago