Movez

@0xMovez • 26,009 subscribers

Content creator | Researcher & Contributor | @Polymarket beliver | @zscdao member

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The best Polymarket Quant bot for copy-trading with a 99.3% win rate. backtested strategy on 72M Polymarket/Kalshi trades to hit +$805K PnL on 27,000 predictions. bot doesn't gamble - it uses math and statistics in its algo to consistently hit 99% win rate. his algo decoded: 1. Mispricing formula based on 72M trades data, traders constantly overpay for cheap contracts (0.1¢–50¢) most of the edge sits in (80¢-99¢) contracts - that's the range where the bot mostly trades • formula: δ = actual win rate - implied probability bot applies this to every trade to find the edge. // 2. Expected value calculation EV tells you whether a bet is worth taking, regardless of the outcome of any single trade. • formula: EV = (P win × Payout) - (P lose × Cost) bot calculates it to understand if the trade is worth the risk. // 3. Kelly Criterion sizing most powerful position sizing formula ever discovered for gambling, trading and prediction markets it tells the algo what % of your portfolio to size into each bet to win long term. • formula: f* = (p * b - q) / b mispricing found → EV calced → kelly sizing → enter profile: start copy trading the bot with as little as $10 using Ares: 2 more formulas behind its algo revealed in the article below ↓

1,789,062 次观看

Weather trading Clawdbots making thousands $ on Polymarket by simple arbitrage. Scanning weather markets every 2 mins and comparing data to NOAA forecast for location/date If they see undervalued temperature bucket ( Run your clawdbot in 5 simple steps: • install clawdbot on mac/pc using oneliner code • connect clawdbot with ChatGPT 5.2 & TG bot • create Simmer SDK account & fund wallet • install simmer { weather trader } skills • send your clawdbot right { configuration } > Weather clawdbot configuration: • entry threshold: 0.45¢ • max position: $5.00 • locations: NYC, Chicago, Seattle, Atlanta, Dallas • max trades/run: 5 • safeguards: Enabled • trend detection: Enabled • scan run: every 2 minutes Start testing with small sum $2-5 to calibrate your Clawdbot and give it data for analysis. Scale it when you see $20-50 of consistent revenue for several days. Use my detailed article to run you first weather clawdbot.

Weather trading Clawdbots making thousands $ on Polymarket by simple arbitrage. Scanning weather markets every 2 mins and comparing data to NOAA forecast for location/date If they see undervalued temperature bucket ( Run your clawdbot in 5 simple steps: • install clawdbot on mac/pc using oneliner code • connect clawdbot with ChatGPT 5.2 & TG bot • create Simmer SDK account & fund wallet • install simmer { weather trader } skills • send your clawdbot right { configuration } > Weather clawdbot configuration: • entry threshold: 0.45¢ • max position: $5.00 • locations: NYC, Chicago, Seattle, Atlanta, Dallas • max trades/run: 5 • safeguards: Enabled • trend detection: Enabled • scan run: every 2 minutes Start testing with small sum $2-5 to calibrate your Clawdbot and give it data for analysis. Scale it when you see $20-50 of consistent revenue for several days. Use my detailed article to run you first weather clawdbot.

1,404,667 次观看

MIT math-professor quit university and turned $300 → $66K on Polymarket weather markets. His thesis was: "ML models produce better weather forecasts than physics-based ones." He built his own model that predicts super-rare weather events { 0.01¢ - 0.1¢ } The result is crazy: 24$ → 12,398$ 13$ → 6,850$ 11$ → 5,752$ He trades a wide range of regions from Chicago to Ankara only thing that matters is 0.01¢ - 0.1¢ range. Start copy-trading his ML model using Kreo: Pinned his research and wallet below ↓

MIT math-professor quit university and turned $300 → $66K on Polymarket weather markets. His thesis was: "ML models produce better weather forecasts than physics-based ones." He built his own model that predicts super-rare weather events { 0.01¢ - 0.1¢ } The result is crazy: 24$ → 12,398$ 13$ → 6,850$ 11$ → 5,752$ He trades a wide range of regions from Chicago to Ankara only thing that matters is 0.01¢ - 0.1¢ range. Start copy-trading his ML model using Kreo: Pinned his research and wallet below ↓

297,993 次观看

Bot turned $300 → $101K in 2 months on Polymarket weather markets scanning forecasts across 20 cities via WeatherAPI hunting ultra-rare weather events {0.01¢ -0.1¢} I found a fully working, self-calibrating Python bot running this exact strategy bots results are crazy: 25$ → 12,452$ 16$ → 8,106$ 11$ → 5,752$ bot uses (ECMWF, HRRR, METAR) forecast, calculates EV, sizes positions with Kelly, and self-calibrates. how to set-up: • install python 3.10 on PC/Mac • get free weather API from { visualcrossing .com } • set polymarket account and get API in /profile • git clone { github .com/alteregoeth-ai/weatherbot } • setup config .json using article below • run $1,000 dry test → then go live with real USDC • give it 100+ trades to self-calibrate for more accurate results add paid APIs like OpenWeather, Tomorrow .io, OpenMeteo bot profile:

57,208 次观看

This Quant bot turned $1.4K → $203K in 3 months using a self-trained ML model i traced his 55K predictions → uploaded into Codex 5.5 → connected Hermes agent installed it on a VPS + connected Binance + Synth ML models API 3 days → 343% ROI run trading agent in 5 steps: • rent a VPS on Hetzner - $5.99 • install Hermes CLI using one-liner code - free • connect Codex 5.5 + TG bot + Polymarket API • provide Synth Data API's for crypto predictions • sent Hermes step-by-step prompts from article start small 1-2$ give Hermes least {50-100} trades to build self-learning skills based on Synth ML models self-learning agent + crypto predictions models = best combination for building algo-trading setup bot profile: s tart copy-trading it with even with $5 using Ares: read full article below to build your first trading agent ↓

28,459 次观看

MIT student failed YCombinator pitch, so he turned $250→ $66K on Polymarket weather markets to fund his startup. His pitch topic was: "Weather forecasting with AI probabilistic models." His custom model forecasts super-rare weather events {0.01¢ - 0.1¢} MVP pitch was crazy: 23$ → 12,398$ 14$ → 6,850$ 9$ → 4,671$ His model trades a wide range of regions from Atlanta to Ankara only thing that matters is 0.01¢ - 0.1¢ range. his profile: Start copy-trading his ML model using Kreo: Pinned his research and wallet below ↓

55,135 次观看

Polymarket Weather Clawbots making thousands $ monthly on simple arbitrage Aggregate forecasts API from: NOAA, Weatherbit, Tomorrowio & compare to Polymarket prices every 2-min When they see undervalued temperature bucket ( Run weather trading clawdbot on VPS for 12,2$: • visit { contabo. com/en/openclaw-hosting } and choose Cloud VPS 20 ~ $7.2 • install OpenClaw v2026.2.6 by one-liner code ~ $0 • connect Claude Opus 4.6 API to Clawdbot ~ $5 • connect TG bot for controlling Clawdbot ~ $0 • install Simmer SDK { weather trader } skill ~ $0 • send configuration to your clawdbot // > Weather clawdbot configuration: • entry threshold: 0.70¢ • max position: $5.00 • locations: NYC, Chicago, Seattle, Atlanta, Dallas • max trades/run: 5 • safeguards: Enabled • trend detection: Enabled • scan run: every 2 minutes Test with small sum $2-5 to calibrate your Clawdbot and give it data for analysis or test SIM token. Scale it when you see >$50 of consistent revenue for several days.

Polymarket Weather Clawbots making thousands $ monthly on simple arbitrage Aggregate forecasts API from: NOAA, Weatherbit, Tomorrowio & compare to Polymarket prices every 2-min When they see undervalued temperature bucket ( Run weather trading clawdbot on VPS for 12,2$: • visit { contabo. com/en/openclaw-hosting } and choose Cloud VPS 20 ~ $7.2 • install OpenClaw v2026.2.6 by one-liner code ~ $0 • connect Claude Opus 4.6 API to Clawdbot ~ $5 • connect TG bot for controlling Clawdbot ~ $0 • install Simmer SDK { weather trader } skill ~ $0 • send configuration to your clawdbot // > Weather clawdbot configuration: • entry threshold: 0.70¢ • max position: $5.00 • locations: NYC, Chicago, Seattle, Atlanta, Dallas • max trades/run: 5 • safeguards: Enabled • trend detection: Enabled • scan run: every 2 minutes Test with small sum $2-5 to calibrate your Clawdbot and give it data for analysis or test SIM token. Scale it when you see >$50 of consistent revenue for several days.

47,733 次观看

Polymarket 5-min markets arbitrage with Clawdbot powered by Chainlink API Polymarket uses Chainlink data for 5-min markets resolution. But sometimes the terminal instant lag vs Chainlink API. Exploit this inefficiency using a simple Clawdbot: • install Clawdbot using: { curl -fsSL https: //openclaw.ai/install.sh } • connect it to Claude Opus 4.6 and TG bot in CLI. • create an account on { simmer } → set up wallet. • install the { fast loop trading skill } by simmer • connect Chainlink API to your Clawdbot • change Binance data price for Chainlink API // How its works: • fetches BTC price momentum from Chainlink API • discovers active 5-min fast markets via Gamma API • compares API momentum against market odds • trades when divergence exceeds threshold - dry-run by default // Configuration for clawdbot: • asset: BTC • entry threshold: 0.05 (min divergence from 50¢) • min momentum: 0.5% (min price move) • max position: $5.00 • signal source: chainlink api • lookback: 5 minutes • Min time left: 60s • Volume weighting: enable When Clawdbot finds a divergence, it apes the opportunity. This is simple arbitrage between Chainlink API and Polymarket prices.

Polymarket 5-min markets arbitrage with Clawdbot powered by Chainlink API Polymarket uses Chainlink data for 5-min markets resolution. But sometimes the terminal instant lag vs Chainlink API. Exploit this inefficiency using a simple Clawdbot: • install Clawdbot using: { curl -fsSL https: //openclaw.ai/install.sh } • connect it to Claude Opus 4.6 and TG bot in CLI. • create an account on { simmer } → set up wallet. • install the { fast loop trading skill } by simmer • connect Chainlink API to your Clawdbot • change Binance data price for Chainlink API // How its works: • fetches BTC price momentum from Chainlink API • discovers active 5-min fast markets via Gamma API • compares API momentum against market odds • trades when divergence exceeds threshold - dry-run by default // Configuration for clawdbot: • asset: BTC • entry threshold: 0.05 (min divergence from 50¢) • min momentum: 0.5% (min price move) • max position: $5.00 • signal source: chainlink api • lookback: 5 minutes • Min time left: 60s • Volume weighting: enable When Clawdbot finds a divergence, it apes the opportunity. This is simple arbitrage between Chainlink API and Polymarket prices.

22,157 次观看

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