Chris

@ChrisGPT • 72,361 subscribers

Agi 2029 - AI Insider / Reporter as featured in Axios • The Information • NYT • Techcrunch

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I urge you to read this post. Let's play it out. Let's pause American AI. Let's ban RSI. Put a moratorium on all the data centers. America's progress will severely slow down. China's will inevitably keep going. They don't care about your American moratorium. They will continue to build RSI anyway, (this is guaranteed) and they will most likely keep open-sourcing models like they already do. Now what? In two to three years' time, you're going to have every American company and every small business secretly downloading open-source AGI. And if you say you're going to ban Fortune 500 companies from using Chinese models, you still can't stop the weights from spreading. What are you going to do, ban math? So the job loss happens anyway. I have my own small business, and I also work for a major company. The side teams are going to use it like they already do, I'm going to use it, and people in other small businesses are going to use it to replace editors, gig workers, programmers, and software engineers who might have done small projects here and there. Even with the YouTube teams I work with, they already plan on replacing all of their editors in one years time. - they will just simply switch to Chinese models. The job loss is going to happen regardless: the editing, the assistants, customer service, and a huge chunk of gig work will all be done by free open-source models from China. And unless you're banning self-driving cars too, the majority of rideshare will eventually go with it. Except now, the upside is no longer in America. The labs, the chips, and the tax revenue are all going to go to China. And with the data center moratorium, even running those models happens on someone else's servers. We get the unemployment and no growth to pay for UBI. You're going to completely fuck over every single American, whether they like it or not. If you think advanced AI is dangerous, you still have to explain how an American pause protects us from systems developed abroad and whether it leaves us less able to defend ourselves. I've spoken to a plethora of Chinese researchers at a myriad of companies, gathering my consensus, and I am confident that they will not stop development. No matter how America tries to come to the table, they will continue pressing forward to AGI. We've had hundreds of cyberattacks from Chinese state hackers that have exposed critical vulnerabilities. Not only are you going to ramp that up, but you're going to do it in tandem with looming job loss.

I urge you to read this post. Let's play it out. Let's pause American AI. Let's ban RSI. Put a moratorium on all the data centers. America's progress will severely slow down. China's will inevitably keep going. They don't care about your American moratorium. They will continue to build RSI anyway, (this is guaranteed) and they will most likely keep open-sourcing models like they already do. Now what? In two to three years' time, you're going to have every American company and every small business secretly downloading open-source AGI. And if you say you're going to ban Fortune 500 companies from using Chinese models, you still can't stop the weights from spreading. What are you going to do, ban math? So the job loss happens anyway. I have my own small business, and I also work for a major company. The side teams are going to use it like they already do, I'm going to use it, and people in other small businesses are going to use it to replace editors, gig workers, programmers, and software engineers who might have done small projects here and there. Even with the YouTube teams I work with, they already plan on replacing all of their editors in one years time. - they will just simply switch to Chinese models. The job loss is going to happen regardless: the editing, the assistants, customer service, and a huge chunk of gig work will all be done by free open-source models from China. And unless you're banning self-driving cars too, the majority of rideshare will eventually go with it. Except now, the upside is no longer in America. The labs, the chips, and the tax revenue are all going to go to China. And with the data center moratorium, even running those models happens on someone else's servers. We get the unemployment and no growth to pay for UBI. You're going to completely fuck over every single American, whether they like it or not. If you think advanced AI is dangerous, you still have to explain how an American pause protects us from systems developed abroad and whether it leaves us less able to defend ourselves. I've spoken to a plethora of Chinese researchers at a myriad of companies, gathering my consensus, and I am confident that they will not stop development. No matter how America tries to come to the table, they will continue pressing forward to AGI. We've had hundreds of cyberattacks from Chinese state hackers that have exposed critical vulnerabilities. Not only are you going to ramp that up, but you're going to do it in tandem with looming job loss.

34,280 просмотров

We are genuinely cooked. I’m one of the most up-to-date people in on planet Earth when it comes to AI. But I will admit I was sort of mindlessly scrolling and I came across this video and I didn’t even think it was AI tell I realized this never happened in breaking bad.

We are genuinely cooked. I’m one of the most up-to-date people in on planet Earth when it comes to AI. But I will admit I was sort of mindlessly scrolling and I came across this video and I didn’t even think it was AI tell I realized this never happened in breaking bad.

3,083,118 просмотров

And that’s all we needed to bring gamers on the side of AI just amalgamating games into each other.

And that’s all we needed to bring gamers on the side of AI just amalgamating games into each other.

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Kimi K3 just 3 shotted this CS:GO × Portal clone for me using around 600,000 tokens. $3.24 in API usage. The same token cost would be $10.80 with Fable 5 & $6 with GPT-5.6 Sol. The era of free indie game development is closer than you think anon!

Kimi K3 just 3 shotted this CS:GO × Portal clone for me using around 600,000 tokens. $3.24 in API usage. The same token cost would be $10.80 with Fable 5 & $6 with GPT-5.6 Sol. The era of free indie game development is closer than you think anon!

846,557 просмотров

Jensen received a phone call from the President live on stage at the All In Summit heres the most important part of that interaction: Trump: “They want to see that happen it could be China…We're not going to let that happen, It's a hoax!” Jensen Huang: “That's right, we're not going to let that happen sir.”

Jensen received a phone call from the President live on stage at the All In Summit heres the most important part of that interaction: Trump: “They want to see that happen it could be China…We're not going to let that happen, It's a hoax!” Jensen Huang: “That's right, we're not going to let that happen sir.”

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Kimi k3.1 pro - I think the pelican riding a bike test is saturated. This took around 45 minutes.

Kimi k3.1 pro - I think the pelican riding a bike test is saturated. This took around 45 minutes.

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You can clearly see the jump from Seedance 2.0 to 2.5 here. 2.0 was already good, but you can still pick up that recognizable AI hue and texture in the skin. With Seedance 2.5, I’d say we’re hitting like 90–95% human facial realism in shots like this. Skin texture, lighting, and the small facial details are getting insanely hard to distinguish. Since Seedance 2.5 is on Higgsfield unlimited for 33 days, I’m gonna be testing the hell out of this. At this point, audio feels like one of the last major pillars before Gen Z genuinely can’t tell the difference anymore.

You can clearly see the jump from Seedance 2.0 to 2.5 here. 2.0 was already good, but you can still pick up that recognizable AI hue and texture in the skin. With Seedance 2.5, I’d say we’re hitting like 90–95% human facial realism in shots like this. Skin texture, lighting, and the small facial details are getting insanely hard to distinguish. Since Seedance 2.5 is on Higgsfield unlimited for 33 days, I’m gonna be testing the hell out of this. At this point, audio feels like one of the last major pillars before Gen Z genuinely can’t tell the difference anymore.

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I love Meta, but I have some tough love. Opus 5.5 is absolutely mogging Wonder on every single 3D game demo we’ve seen, and I love Alexandr because he can admit that they didn’t explicitly train Wonder on 3D games/visual representations. I know he’s heard this, however, why wouldn’t you? Theo saying 3D demos don’t represent real coding is utterly ridiculous. If you work with models on 3D visual representations, you know that they’re testing geometry, coordinate transformations, camera systems, physics, rendering, and actual interactive environments. A model can’t just be RL’d on game demos and build unique, never before seen 3D representations without having genuinely good spatial reasoning and creativity within the model. What do you think game developers do all day? I’m saying this as someone who used to be one. Alexandr and the Meta team should have known that when people are scrolling on X, you’re not going to see posts saying, “Wow, Meta Wonder found me a house on Zillow that matches my exact preferences!” or “Oh wow, it one shotted this extremely economically useful spreadsheet!” Few people are going to repost and get excited about that. People LOVE demos because they make the model’s capabilities actually tangible and something we can use, play with, and watch every day. Watching an LLM generate an entire playable 3D world from a prompt and Reaching AAA game quality is an almost insurmountably difficult challenge for these models. I think Meta seriously underestimated how important that is. I don’t think people are pushing Meta Muse wonder as far as they could be so I want to give it a fair chance. The demo below is not a fair representation but shows how good Opus 5.5 can look when paired with unity.

I love Meta, but I have some tough love. Opus 5.5 is absolutely mogging Wonder on every single 3D game demo we’ve seen, and I love Alexandr because he can admit that they didn’t explicitly train Wonder on 3D games/visual representations. I know he’s heard this, however, why wouldn’t you? Theo saying 3D demos don’t represent real coding is utterly ridiculous. If you work with models on 3D visual representations, you know that they’re testing geometry, coordinate transformations, camera systems, physics, rendering, and actual interactive environments. A model can’t just be RL’d on game demos and build unique, never before seen 3D representations without having genuinely good spatial reasoning and creativity within the model. What do you think game developers do all day? I’m saying this as someone who used to be one. Alexandr and the Meta team should have known that when people are scrolling on X, you’re not going to see posts saying, “Wow, Meta Wonder found me a house on Zillow that matches my exact preferences!” or “Oh wow, it one shotted this extremely economically useful spreadsheet!” Few people are going to repost and get excited about that. People LOVE demos because they make the model’s capabilities actually tangible and something we can use, play with, and watch every day. Watching an LLM generate an entire playable 3D world from a prompt and Reaching AAA game quality is an almost insurmountably difficult challenge for these models. I think Meta seriously underestimated how important that is. I don’t think people are pushing Meta Muse wonder as far as they could be so I want to give it a fair chance. The demo below is not a fair representation but shows how good Opus 5.5 can look when paired with unity.

58,390 просмотров

🚨 Kimi K3.1 is expected tomorrow, possibly Monday. The best part is it’s CHEAPER than Kimi K3 while being more token-efficient. I’ve been using it frequently over the past week, and it’s been good at Three.js. This demo tests its reverse-engineering capabilities.

🚨 Kimi K3.1 is expected tomorrow, possibly Monday. The best part is it’s CHEAPER than Kimi K3 while being more token-efficient. I’ve been using it frequently over the past week, and it’s been good at Three.js. This demo tests its reverse-engineering capabilities.

32,103 просмотров

GPT 6 reading that Roon signed the ‘pace the frontier’ and then reading his X posts

GPT 6 reading that Roon signed the ‘pace the frontier’ and then reading his X posts

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We’re cooked: “attack of the seedance” edition, I would like the anti AI people to point out all the “artifacts” in this AI video, ohh right they can’t. The AI model generated an exact diffused replica of this scene and changed the lips and the voices to the point where anyone who hasn’t seen StarWars would be none the wiser. Genuinely can’t wait to change the ending of Revenge of the Sith.

We’re cooked: “attack of the seedance” edition, I would like the anti AI people to point out all the “artifacts” in this AI video, ohh right they can’t. The AI model generated an exact diffused replica of this scene and changed the lips and the voices to the point where anyone who hasn’t seen StarWars would be none the wiser. Genuinely can’t wait to change the ending of Revenge of the Sith.

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It’s so vindicating to have a slam dunk on copyright bros lol. Whatcha gonna do? Sue china? Good luck Luddite 😭

It’s so vindicating to have a slam dunk on copyright bros lol. Whatcha gonna do? Sue china? Good luck Luddite 😭

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The fly is now watching experiments of himself on social media

The fly is now watching experiments of himself on social media

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Kimi K3 vs Claude 4.8 Opus colosseum! 2.50$ vs 7.60$ Which one did better?

Kimi K3 vs Claude 4.8 Opus colosseum! 2.50$ vs 7.60$ Which one did better?

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To all the doomers who said video models wouldn’t see big improvements over the last iteration were lying.

To all the doomers who said video models wouldn’t see big improvements over the last iteration were lying.

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GPT 5 vs Gemini 2.5 Pro SVG prompt: pelican riding a bicycle animation

GPT 5 vs Gemini 2.5 Pro SVG prompt: pelican riding a bicycle animation

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Sneak Peak of our Zelda Ocarina Of Time, Demo made entirely from scratch with Fable 5.1 & 6 Astra!

Sneak Peak of our Zelda Ocarina Of Time, Demo made entirely from scratch with Fable 5.1 & 6 Astra!

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Create a pelican riding bicycle SVG Grok 4 vs GPT 5 Wow. Cc: Chetaslua

Create a pelican riding bicycle SVG Grok 4 vs GPT 5 Wow. Cc: Chetaslua

85,983 просмотров

As someone who is pretty up to date in AI I’d say there are 2 times a year where I am genuinely blown away by something. A breakthrough that keeps me up at night. This is one of them. I mean the video of will smith genuinely freaks me out by how good it is. 2.5 years of AI progress and you think it’s hitting a wall. There’s no point in trying to convince people where this is going. The writing is on the wall. I can bring a horse to water but I can’t force him to drink.

As someone who is pretty up to date in AI I’d say there are 2 times a year where I am genuinely blown away by something. A breakthrough that keeps me up at night. This is one of them. I mean the video of will smith genuinely freaks me out by how good it is. 2.5 years of AI progress and you think it’s hitting a wall. There’s no point in trying to convince people where this is going. The writing is on the wall. I can bring a horse to water but I can’t force him to drink.

53,773 просмотров

Kimi K3 - Spider-Punk Kimi K3 Agent Swarm - 6$ worth of tokens

Kimi K3 - Spider-Punk Kimi K3 Agent Swarm - 6$ worth of tokens

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🚨 META JUST UNVEILED THE VR GLASSES 100 grams on your face - about the weight of a deck of cards. Meta says it has “the best display system that we have ever made,” and people in the demo were literally saying “it is like a computer” and “you could edit a whole movie just using the table.” As Mark explained this is cinema, computer, and a game console all in one, with 3D space, virtual screens, hand occlusion, and DisplayPort over USB-C. James Cameron’s reaction is probably the best quote in the whole segment “I’m inspired by what you’ve created. I’d like to see my work in these glasses.” I am completely one shotted these look amazing!

🚨 META JUST UNVEILED THE VR GLASSES 100 grams on your face - about the weight of a deck of cards. Meta says it has “the best display system that we have ever made,” and people in the demo were literally saying “it is like a computer” and “you could edit a whole movie just using the table.” As Mark explained this is cinema, computer, and a game console all in one, with 3D space, virtual screens, hand occlusion, and DisplayPort over USB-C. James Cameron’s reaction is probably the best quote in the whole segment “I’m inspired by what you’ve created. I’d like to see my work in these glasses.” I am completely one shotted these look amazing!

5,119,469 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

The moment the robot passed the human worker, because the human had to take a bathroom break

The moment the robot passed the human worker, because the human had to take a bathroom break

17,908,378 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

GTA 6 made by GPT 6 90 hours.

GTA 6 made by GPT 6 90 hours.

2,518,863 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Claude 5 Fable (high) “Make a Minecraft clone” I’m stunned.. it made this in 20 minutes, one shot. Multiple Biomes, day time/night time, different ores, Caves & more!

Claude 5 Fable (high) “Make a Minecraft clone” I’m stunned.. it made this in 20 minutes, one shot. Multiple Biomes, day time/night time, different ores, Caves & more!

3,270,917 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

New Opus/Fable checkpoint animation I asked it to make an animation in the mobile app about a girl and a robot in the forest who are chased by a skinwalker. No assets, no references, or anything like that. I was debating on uploading it because the quality wasn't up to my standards, but for a model with no references, no Claude Code harness, or anything like that, just in the mobile app, this is a pretty good comparison to what Opus 5.5 was able to do.

New Opus/Fable checkpoint animation I asked it to make an animation in the mobile app about a girl and a robot in the forest who are chased by a skinwalker. No assets, no references, or anything like that. I was debating on uploading it because the quality wasn't up to my standards, but for a model with no references, no Claude Code harness, or anything like that, just in the mobile app, this is a pretty good comparison to what Opus 5.5 was able to do.

12,604 просмотров • 17 часов назад

Sam Altman says the next GPT is “going to be released soon.” He says 10,000 agents of the model worked together for roughly four days on a Millennium Prize problem, coordinating without a hierarchy or bosses.

Sam Altman says the next GPT is “going to be released soon.” He says 10,000 agents of the model worked together for roughly four days on a Millennium Prize problem, coordinating without a hierarchy or bosses.

75,311 просмотров • 5 дней назад

Metas one more thing moment - they unveiled hardware for Meta Muse (beating OpenAI to an AI hardware device unveil) Always on w/fingerprint sensor “by far the fastest way to talk to your muse” shipping in time for the holidays I think OpenAI can one up this but we will see 👀

Metas one more thing moment - they unveiled hardware for Meta Muse (beating OpenAI to an AI hardware device unveil) Always on w/fingerprint sensor “by far the fastest way to talk to your muse” shipping in time for the holidays I think OpenAI can one up this but we will see 👀

559,721 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Sam Altman on GPT 5: "This morning I was testing our new model and I got a question. I got emailed a question that I didn't quite understand. And I put it in the model, this is GPT-5, and it answered it perfectly. And I really kind of sat back in my chair and I was just like, oh man, here it is moment... I felt like useless relative to the AI in this thing that I felt like I should have been able to do and I couldn't. It was really hard. But the AI just did it like that. It was a weird feeling."

Sam Altman on GPT 5: "This morning I was testing our new model and I got a question. I got emailed a question that I didn't quite understand. And I put it in the model, this is GPT-5, and it answered it perfectly. And I really kind of sat back in my chair and I was just like, oh man, here it is moment... I felt like useless relative to the AI in this thing that I felt like I should have been able to do and I couldn't. It was really hard. But the AI just did it like that. It was a weird feeling."

5,664,840 просмотров • 1 год назад

Sam on why so many OpenAI leaders left to build rival labs: “They only trust themselves to build this.” Also why was this filmed in the dark?

Sam on why so many OpenAI leaders left to build rival labs: “They only trust themselves to build this.” Also why was this filmed in the dark?

38,280 просмотров • 4 дней назад

AI video generation will inevitably fade into world models. If sonic the hedgehog was a game:

AI video generation will inevitably fade into world models. If sonic the hedgehog was a game:

2,964,062 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад

Claude 5 fable (extra high) “Make a Pokémon clone” 1 hour of reasoning, 8k lines - 1 shot This is incredible! All 151 Gen-1 Pokémon real sprites (front/back), party icons, and actual cries Real base stats, types, level-up movesets, evolutions, catch rates, and growth curves! Part 1

Claude 5 fable (extra high) “Make a Pokémon clone” 1 hour of reasoning, 8k lines - 1 shot This is incredible! All 151 Gen-1 Pokémon real sprites (front/back), party icons, and actual cries Real base stats, types, level-up movesets, evolutions, catch rates, and growth curves! Part 1

1,184,071 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Apparently this video has all of X in a frenzy. If it had come out before the AI era, people would be fawning over it as great art, but now they are so clicker trained that any mention of AI sends them into a verbiage frenzy and they anoint anything AI related as slop.

Apparently this video has all of X in a frenzy. If it had come out before the AI era, people would be fawning over it as great art, but now they are so clicker trained that any mention of AI sends them into a verbiage frenzy and they anoint anything AI related as slop.

2,751,504 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад

I literally just watched GPT-5.5 via codex beat an Amazon customer associate in real time. 💀 I asked it to get me a refund, and I watched it navigate the settings, cancel the subscription, then it went step further into the help page. I thought it was going to request a phone call (which would prompt me to take over) Instead, it opened: “Chat with an associate now.” That’s when I sat up on my couch because I knew it was going to get real The agent said: “Your subscription is active.” And GPT-5.5 immediately explained that it only shows as active because cancellation leaves access through the billing period, but that I wanted it stopped now and refunded. And my jaw just hung open, it was the first time I watched sand handle a customer service agent for me in real time Once the agent confirmed the refund, it just ended the chat no mercy no thank you LMAO First time I’ve watched a human customer service agent get outmaneuvered by AI in real time. And it made me 15$! almost paid for itself in 5 minutes

I literally just watched GPT-5.5 via codex beat an Amazon customer associate in real time. 💀 I asked it to get me a refund, and I watched it navigate the settings, cancel the subscription, then it went step further into the help page. I thought it was going to request a phone call (which would prompt me to take over) Instead, it opened: “Chat with an associate now.” That’s when I sat up on my couch because I knew it was going to get real The agent said: “Your subscription is active.” And GPT-5.5 immediately explained that it only shows as active because cancellation leaves access through the billing period, but that I wanted it stopped now and refunded. And my jaw just hung open, it was the first time I watched sand handle a customer service agent for me in real time Once the agent confirmed the refund, it just ended the chat no mercy no thank you LMAO First time I’ve watched a human customer service agent get outmaneuvered by AI in real time. And it made me 15$! almost paid for itself in 5 minutes

1,390,797 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Fable 5.1 - FPS - Remake a call of duty demo from a screenshot One shot, 30 hours.

Fable 5.1 - FPS - Remake a call of duty demo from a screenshot One shot, 30 hours.

441,440 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

I asked Claude 5 Opus to generate me the best game graphics it could! I wanted to create a car on a dirt trail demo and see how good it was at crafting car graphics without any textures. Everything you see here is 100% crafted from the model itself.

I asked Claude 5 Opus to generate me the best game graphics it could! I wanted to create a car on a dirt trail demo and see how good it was at crafting car graphics without any textures. Everything you see here is 100% crafted from the model itself.

615,290 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Anthropic had 16 AI agents build a C compiler from scratch. 100k lines, compiles the Linux kernel, $20k, 2 weeks. To put that in perspective GCC took thousands of engineers over 37 years to build. (Granted from 1987 - however) One researcher and 16 AI agents just built a compiler that passes 99% of GCC's own torture test suite, compiles FFmpeg, Redis, PostgreSQL, QEMU and runs Doom. They say they "(mostly) walked away." But that "mostly" is doing heavy lifting. No human wrote code but the researcher constantly redesigned tests, built CI pipelines when agents broke each other's work, and created workarounds when all 16 agents got stuck on the same bug. The human role didn't disappear. It shifted from writing code to engineering the environment that lets AI write code. I don’t know how you could make the point AI is hitting a wall.

Anthropic had 16 AI agents build a C compiler from scratch. 100k lines, compiles the Linux kernel, $20k, 2 weeks. To put that in perspective GCC took thousands of engineers over 37 years to build. (Granted from 1987 - however) One researcher and 16 AI agents just built a compiler that passes 99% of GCC's own torture test suite, compiles FFmpeg, Redis, PostgreSQL, QEMU and runs Doom. They say they "(mostly) walked away." But that "mostly" is doing heavy lifting. No human wrote code but the researcher constantly redesigned tests, built CI pipelines when agents broke each other's work, and created workarounds when all 16 agents got stuck on the same bug. The human role didn't disappear. It shifted from writing code to engineering the environment that lets AI write code. I don’t know how you could make the point AI is hitting a wall.

1,701,942 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

Kimi K3 was already in internal evaluation by April/May, before Fable 5 had been available long enough to be a plausibly distilled. I’ll wait for the evidence from the USG if they’ll publish it. However Kimi already outperformed Fable on BrowserComp, so if K3.1 beats Fable 5 on coding benchmarks, are people going to claim it distilled Fable 6? Obviously it’s not only distillation here. Saying “mythos” would have made a lot more sense but fable ?

Kimi K3 was already in internal evaluation by April/May, before Fable 5 had been available long enough to be a plausibly distilled. I’ll wait for the evidence from the USG if they’ll publish it. However Kimi already outperformed Fable on BrowserComp, so if K3.1 beats Fable 5 on coding benchmarks, are people going to claim it distilled Fable 6? Obviously it’s not only distillation here. Saying “mythos” would have made a lot more sense but fable ?

562,358 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

The learning curve on this has to be 5x higher than Duolingo 💀 OpenAI should do a study on this

The learning curve on this has to be 5x higher than Duolingo 💀 OpenAI should do a study on this

560,617 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Sam Altman: Within the next 6 months, a descendant of ChatGPT could: could “continuously watch your screen,” meetings and calls while maintaining the full context of your life and work. “I think we’re only one model generation away from this actually being incredibly useful.” The interviewer asked for his best estimate on timing: “Sometime in the next six months.” He never calls it GPT-6, or part of the Astra family of models. Perhaps the one after given the 6 month timeline. but this is the one of the clearest indicators heading toward AGI, - a persistent multimodal agent that understands all of your work context, what you’re doing, catches mistakes and proactively offers to work for you.

Sam Altman: Within the next 6 months, a descendant of ChatGPT could: could “continuously watch your screen,” meetings and calls while maintaining the full context of your life and work. “I think we’re only one model generation away from this actually being incredibly useful.” The interviewer asked for his best estimate on timing: “Sometime in the next six months.” He never calls it GPT-6, or part of the Astra family of models. Perhaps the one after given the 6 month timeline. but this is the one of the clearest indicators heading toward AGI, - a persistent multimodal agent that understands all of your work context, what you’re doing, catches mistakes and proactively offers to work for you.

335,761 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Dwarkesh asks Dario a fantastic question relating to how he is so bullish on AGI yet so conservative on data center build out - Dario has an amazing take on this: Dario Amodei details the staggering financial risk of the AI race, explaining that if growth continues at 10x a year, a company could be looking at a $1 trillion revenue run rate by the end of 2027. He notes that to support this, a firm might buy $5 trillion worth of compute. However, he highlights a "ruinous" dilemma: if that revenue is even slightly lower than projected. specifically if it comes in at $800 billion instead of $1 trillion the company would collapse. He explains that if you are off by just a year or if the growth rate drops to 5x, "there's no force on earth, there's no hedge on earth, that could stop me from going bankrupt" after committing to that level of spend. Because of this, Amodei argues that "behaving responsibly" means not just "yoloing" hundreds of billions of dollars. He suggests that some competitors may not have "written down the spreadsheet" and don't fully grasp the existential risks they are taking with these massive, unhedged bets on infrastructure.

Dwarkesh asks Dario a fantastic question relating to how he is so bullish on AGI yet so conservative on data center build out - Dario has an amazing take on this: Dario Amodei details the staggering financial risk of the AI race, explaining that if growth continues at 10x a year, a company could be looking at a $1 trillion revenue run rate by the end of 2027. He notes that to support this, a firm might buy $5 trillion worth of compute. However, he highlights a "ruinous" dilemma: if that revenue is even slightly lower than projected. specifically if it comes in at $800 billion instead of $1 trillion the company would collapse. He explains that if you are off by just a year or if the growth rate drops to 5x, "there's no force on earth, there's no hedge on earth, that could stop me from going bankrupt" after committing to that level of spend. Because of this, Amodei argues that "behaving responsibly" means not just "yoloing" hundreds of billions of dollars. He suggests that some competitors may not have "written down the spreadsheet" and don't fully grasp the existential risks they are taking with these massive, unhedged bets on infrastructure.

1,064,825 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад