
Afghan Analyst
@AfghanAnalyst2 • 31,395 subscribers
You can read about key security& political developments in #AFG here. Personal twitter account of an ordinary Afghan (#OSINT Analyst). Retweets ≠ endorsements
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𝗣𝗿𝗼-𝗚𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗻𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗰𝗲𝘀 𝗗𝗲𝗮𝘁𝗵 𝗧𝗼𝗹𝗹 𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗰𝗵𝗲𝘀 𝟱𝟯 𝗶𝗻 𝗙𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗗𝗮𝘆𝘀 𝗔𝗺𝗶𝗱 𝗪𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗔𝘁𝘁𝗮𝗰𝗸𝘀 𝗶𝗻 𝗕𝗮𝗹𝗼𝗰𝗵𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻 Today in Balochistan, BLA attackers, including suicide bombers, reportedly stormed the residence of Mir Shafiq ur Rahman Mangal in Khuzdar. Mangal has been described by BLA and other critics as a Pakistani intelligence asset who leads a pro-government militia, called "death squad." According to Iftikhar Firdous, at least 11 of Mangal's associates have been confirmed killed, although the final casualty toll remains unclear. Some pro-Taliban accounts have previously accused Mangal of being the mastermind behind the Islamic State group in Balochistan, though these claims remain contested. The attack came on the same day Pakistan's military spokesperson said that 42 members of pro-government forces, including militias and regular security forces, had been killed over four days in attacks by the BLA and TTP in Balochistan. If the reported fatalities from today's attack are included, the total death toll would rise to 53 over the past five days in the province. Pakistan has blamed India and the Afghan Taliban for orchestrating the recent wave of violence in Balochistan.
Afghan Analyst13,185 просмотров • 7 дней назад

𝗜𝗿𝗮𝗻 𝗦𝗮𝘆𝘀 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗮𝗻 𝗗𝗲𝗰𝗶𝘀𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗼𝗻 𝗕𝗮𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗺 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗣𝗼𝘁𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝗳𝗹𝗶𝗰𝘁 During an interview with ShamshadNews, Iran’s ambassador to Kabul, Alireza Bikdeli, thanked the Taliban leadership for what he called their “wise decision” not to hand over Bagram Airbase to the United States. He said that if a U.S. base had been established there, Iran might now also be in conflict with Afghanistan. Bikdeli added that the Taliban’s refusal to allow a U.S. military presence at Bagram stems from their religious beliefs and the Islamic principle that Muslims should not enable non-Muslims to attack other Muslims.
Afghan Analyst119,366 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Abdul Hamid Khorasani, a controversial Tajik commander from Panjshir, responded to a SM post by the Pakistan's caretaker minister of information, Jan Achakzai / جان اچکزئی, stating that Afghanistan has defeated formidable adversaries like the British Empire, Russia, and America, suggesting Pakistan is insignificant. He also warned that Pakistan's own citizines, like the TTP, could destabilize Pakistan's government. Earlier today, Achakzai warned of potential Pakistani action to conquer the Wakhan corridor in Badakhshan if Pakistan faces militant attacks from Afghanistan.
Afghan Analyst253,576 просмотров • 2 лет назад

𝗠𝗶𝘀𝗶𝗱𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗳𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗖𝗹𝗮𝗶𝗺 𝗗𝗲𝗯𝘂𝗻𝗸𝗲𝗱: 𝗠𝗮𝗻 𝗶𝗻 𝗣𝗵𝗼𝘁𝗼 𝗗𝗲𝗻𝗶𝗲𝘀 𝗕𝗲𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗛𝗮𝘀𝘀𝗮𝗻 𝗕𝗶𝗻 𝗟𝗮𝗱𝗲𝗻 On 19 April, former CIA Intelligence Analyst and Targeter Sarah Adams shared a photo on X, claiming that a young man pictured alongside Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid was Hassan bin Laden, a member of Osama bin Laden’s family. Today, pro-Taliban accounts released a video of the same individual, who states in Pashtu that the photo shows him with the Taliban spokesman was four years old. He identifies himself as Jumadin from Ghazni province and says he is an ordinary Taliban soldier, not Hassan bin Laden. An interesting element of Sarah Adams’ claims about links between Al-Qaeda and the Taliban is her emphasis on marital ties. She argues that both Mullah Mohammad Omar and Jalaluddin Haqqani had multiple daughters who married into families of Al-Qaeda leaders. The claim of marital ties is untrue.
Afghan Analyst26,357 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

𝗗𝗲𝗯𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗢𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝗠𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗮𝗻𝘁 𝗦𝗮𝗻𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗲𝘀 𝗥𝗲𝗶𝗴𝗻𝗶𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗔𝗳𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗜𝘀𝗹𝗮𝗺𝗮𝗯𝗮𝗱 𝗕𝗼𝗺𝗯𝗶𝗻𝗴 Pakistani Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi’s claim that 21 terrorist groups are based in Afghanistan, and that the planning of the deadly suicide attack in Islamabad took place there, echoes similar cross-border accusations made in 2008, by former Afghan intelligence chief Amrullah Saleh Saleh against Pakistan. While the Taliban have apparently dismantled all known ISKP cells inside Afghanistan, various reports in recent years have pointed to ISKP-linked networks or cells operating in parts of Pakistan, including Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan. Three main networks of ISKP reportedly exist in Bajaur, Khyber and Nowshera districts of KPK, in addition to other networks in Balochistan and beyond. As experience in our region has shown, counterinsurgency efforts focusing solely on military action are unlikely to succeed without also addressing underlying drivers such as extremist ideology, recruitment pipelines, governance gaps, and regional rivalries. * Footage courtesy of Al Jazeera and Capital TV
Afghan Analyst46,723 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗮𝗻-𝗔𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗻𝗲𝗱 𝗖𝗹𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗰 𝗖𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘀 𝗝𝗶𝗵𝗮𝗱 𝗔𝗴𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀𝘁 𝗣𝗮𝗸𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻 𝗮 𝗥𝗲𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗶𝗼𝘂𝘀 𝗗𝘂𝘁𝘆 Outspoken senior Taliban-aligned religious scholar Sheikh Abdul Sami Ghaznawi said in a newly released video that Pakistan’s political system is un-Islamic and described the country’s military establishment as highly oppressive. Ghaznawi argued that armed struggle against Pakistan is a religious obligation, comparing it to the jihad waged in the past against Soviet and U.S. forces in Afghanistan. Ghaznawi was previously detained after publicly criticizing the Taliban’s ban on girls’ education and objecting to the prohibition on Afghan participation in militant activities in Pakistan.
Afghan Analyst32,724 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗮𝗻 𝗘𝗱𝘂𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗠𝗶𝗻𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗖𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗗𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗹𝗼𝗽𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗗𝗿𝗼𝗻𝗲𝘀 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗠𝗶𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗹𝗲𝘀, 𝗦𝗮𝘆𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗱𝗲𝗿𝗻 𝗗𝗲𝗳𝗲𝗻𝘀𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗾𝘂𝗶𝗿𝗲𝘀 𝗔𝗱𝘃𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲𝗱 𝗪𝗲𝗮𝗽𝗼𝗻𝘀, 𝗡𝗼𝘁 𝗦𝘄𝗼𝗿𝗱𝘀 During a ceremony in Kabul, Taliban Education Minister Mawlawi Habibullah Agha argued that defending the nation and religion in the modern era requires advanced weaponry such as drones, combat aircraft and long-range missiles, not swords and small arms. He urged students to focus on developing those capabilities through science and ingenuity, saying intelligence and effort — not adopting Western lifestyles, Christianity, or being from America or Europe — are the path to achieving them. Agha added that Muslims possess great intellectual potential and must apply their minds and avoid laziness to build the technologies needed for defense.
Afghan Analyst38,537 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

𝗟𝗮𝗹 𝗠𝗮𝘀𝗷𝗶𝗱 𝗖𝗹𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗰 𝗖𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗦𝗵𝗮𝗿𝗶𝗮 𝗦𝘆𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗺 𝘁𝗼 𝗘𝗻𝗱 𝗠𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘁𝗮𝗻𝗰𝘆 𝗶𝗻 𝗣𝗮𝗸𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻 In a recent interview with Khabrain TV, senior Pakistani cleric, Mawlana Abdul Aziz, head of Jamia Hafsa at Lal Masjid, argued that Pakistan’s current system is not Islamic. He said the long-term solution to militancy and separatist conflicts in the country lies in establishing a Sharia-based system, which would remove the justification for militants to wage jihad against the state. He also acknowledged that the Balochistan Liberation Army insurgency stems from what he described as the deprivation of Baloch rights.
Afghan Analyst19,357 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

𝗦𝗶𝗿𝗮𝗷𝘂𝗱𝗱𝗶𝗻 𝗛𝗮𝗾𝗾𝗮𝗻𝗶’𝘀 𝗥𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸𝘀 𝗘𝘅𝗽𝗼𝘀𝗲 𝗝𝗶𝗵𝗮𝗱𝗶𝘀𝘁 𝗜𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 Taliban-affiliated Al-Mersaad media has released a video on the assassination of Taliban minister Khalil-ur-Rahman Haqqani by ISKP. Notably, the remarks by Taliban Interior Minister Khalifa Sirajuddin Haqqani in the video underscore the true intentions of jihadist groups that at times falsely present themselves as moderate or ‘infidel-friendly.’ Addressing ISKP, he says: “What achievement do you claim in killing a Muslim (Khalil Haqqani) and calling it an honour? I wish you had carried out a major operation in the lands of disbelief, against infidels, something Muslims could be proud of.” Note: Khalifa Sirajuddin Haqqani’s remarks featured in the video are taken from his speech at Khalil Haqqani’s funeral ceremony (December 2024).
Afghan Analyst28,432 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗮𝗻 𝗞𝗮𝗺𝗶𝗸𝗮𝘇𝗲 𝗗𝗿𝗼𝗻𝗲𝘀 𝗗𝗲𝘁𝗼𝗻𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗶𝗻 𝗣𝗮𝗸𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻; 𝗔𝗿𝗺𝘆 𝗔𝗶𝗿 𝗗𝗲𝗳𝗲𝗻𝘀𝗲𝘀 𝗤𝘂𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗲𝗱 Videos and photos circulating on social media show Taliban kamikaze drones detonated in multiple Pakistani cities. While Pakistani sources claim that the drone strikes caused no casualties, the operation questions the Pakistani army’s military capabilities, particularly its air defense systems.
Afghan Analyst18,691 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

𝗙𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗹𝗲 𝗣𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗲 𝗨𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗮𝗻: 𝗟𝗶𝗺𝗶𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗯𝘂𝘁 𝗠𝘂𝗹𝘁𝗶-𝗘𝘁𝗵𝗻𝗶𝗰 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲 Recently, Afghans on social media have been discussing the ethnicity of female security personnel under the Taliban. To clarify the issue, I have shared videos of female police officers interviewed in recent years. A limited number of women, reportedly around 2,000 under the Taliban’s Interior Ministry in Kabul only, from various ethnic groups, are still working, mainly for tasks such as searching or processing women during security operations and in international borders. Note: Videos obtained from open sources.
Afghan Analyst15,582 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Abdul Rahim Muslim Dost, former Guantanamo detainee accused of being the founder of the #ISKP group, who surrendered to the #Taliban last year saying that PAK Army/#ISI agents including Major Amir, Colonel Arif& Brigadier Ashfaq provided financial support to #Hafiz_Saeed_Khan ...
Afghan Analyst62,806 просмотров • 3 лет назад

𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗮𝗻 𝗦𝗮𝘆 𝗔𝗿𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗗𝗿𝗼𝗻𝗲 𝗢𝗽𝗲𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗼𝗿 𝗠𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗸𝗲𝗻 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗣𝗮𝗸𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻𝗶 𝗣𝗶𝗹𝗼𝘁 The Taliban media office in Nangarhar clarified that the detained individual was found in possession of a drone and a parachute. According to reports, he is an Afghan national who was mistakenly identified as a Pakistani pilot. The rumors circulating on social media about a downed Pakistani jet are false. Several images showing a crashed aircraft and a pilot in uniform appear to be AI-generated or otherwise misleading and do not provide evidence of a shootdown.
Afghan Analyst12,511 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗮𝗻 𝗖𝗹𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗰 𝗖𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘀 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗝𝗶𝗵𝗮𝗱 𝗔𝗴𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀𝘁 𝗣𝗮𝗸𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻’𝘀 𝗥𝗲𝗽𝘂𝗯𝗹𝗶𝗰 The Taliban’s controversial senior religious scholar, Sheikh Abdul Sami Ghaznavi, called for jihad against “republican governments” in Islamic countries, specifically naming Pakistan. He argued that merely allowing Islamic practices does not make a country Islamic; only an Islamic system—not a republican one—can do so. In an implicit critique of the Taliban leadership, he argued that if someone rejects the obligation of jihad against Pakistan today, then they should also have rejected the obligation of jihad against the former Republic government in Kabul. "We are not fighting the Pakistani people, nor are we waging a national war. Our fight is against the Republic, which we consider to be infidelity. By fighting the Republic, we believe we are doing good for you and working to free you from it, and the Mujahideen will achieve this through their sacrifices." He expressed gratitude to the Pakistani public for hosting Afghan refugees over the past five decades. Ghaznavi also claimed that the world, including America, Europe, and Pakistan, should be grateful to Afghans for “saving them from the threat of communism” by defeating the Soviet Union.
Afghan Analyst15,171 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

𝗘𝘅-𝗔𝗳𝗴𝗵𝗮𝗻 𝗣𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗲 𝗖𝗵𝗶𝗲𝗳 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗔𝗻𝘁𝗶-𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗮𝗻 𝗙𝗶𝗴𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝗦𝗵𝗼𝘁 𝗗𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗶𝗻 𝗜𝗿𝗮𝗻 General Ikramuddin Sari, the former police chief of Takhar province under the former Republic government, was reportedly killed by unknown gunmen in Tehran, Iran. He was known as an active anti-Taliban, pro-resistance figure, but was also arrested by Iranian authorities in 2024. The motive behind his killing remains unclear. It is not yet known whether the attack was connected to his opposition to the Taliban, his arrest in Iran, or personal disputes dating back to his tenure as a senior police official in Afghanistan. He was involved in internal political rivalries and disputes among anti-Taliban factions and recently also headed the Grand Shura of Shamali.
Afghan Analyst13,575 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

𝗣𝗮𝗸𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻 𝗔𝗿𝗺𝘆 𝗖𝗵𝗶𝗲𝗳: 𝟳𝟬% 𝗼𝗳 𝗧𝗧𝗣 𝗙𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝗔𝗿𝗲 𝗔𝗳𝗴𝗵𝗮𝗻 𝗡𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘀 Pakistan’s army chief, Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir, told Pakistani religious scholars that Pakistani children are being killed by militants operating from Afghanistan. He said that around 70 percent of TTP fighters involved in attacks inside Pakistan are Afghan nationals, calling it a betrayal of Pakistan’s sacrifices. Munir said Pakistan has conveyed a clear message to the Taliban: they must choose between supporting the TTP or maintaining relations with Pakistan. Note: The “70%” figure is unverified and highly exaggerated.
Afghan Analyst12,626 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗮𝗻 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗺𝗻𝘀 𝗣𝗮𝗸𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻’𝘀 𝗔𝗶𝗿𝘀𝗽𝗮𝗰𝗲 𝗩𝗶𝗼𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻, 𝗪𝗮𝗿𝗻𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗲𝗾𝘂𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲𝘀 In a statement, the Taliban’s Ministry of Defense condemned Pakistan’s violation of Afghanistan’s airspace in Paktika and Kabul, warning that if the situation escalates, the responsibility will rest with the Pakistani military.
Afghan Analyst12,871 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

𝗔𝗰𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗶𝘀𝘁 𝗦𝗮𝗹𝗲𝗲𝗺 𝗣𝗮𝗶𝗴𝗲𝗲𝗿 𝗜𝗻𝗷𝘂𝗿𝗲𝗱; 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗮𝗻 𝗖𝗶𝘁𝗲 𝗣𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗗𝗶𝘀𝗽𝘂𝘁𝗲 Political activist Saleem Paigeer was seriously injured in an attack at his home in Kabul today. A spokesman for the Taliban’s Ministry of Interior told media that the incident stemmed from a personal dispute, and that the perpetrators have been arrested.
Afghan Analyst10,478 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

A senior religious scholar of the Taliban, Mufti Abdul Rauf Etminan, in his new Fatwa said that Afghans are not obliged to perform Jihad outside the borders of AFG. He argues that only defensive Jihad is an obligation. ISKP call the TB a nationalist movement, not an Islamic one.
Afghan Analyst19,712 просмотров • 2 лет назад

𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗮𝗻 𝗚𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗻𝗼𝗿’𝘀 $𝟭𝟬,𝟬𝟬𝟬 𝗗𝗼𝗻𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗰𝗵𝗲𝘀 𝗣𝗮𝗹𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗶𝗮𝗻𝘀 The $10,000 donation from the Taliban's Governor of Badakhshan, Mawlawi Mohammad Ayub Khalid, has reached Palestinians in Gaza. In a video published by pro-Taliban media, the recipients expressed gratitude for the contribution.
Afghan Analyst10,183 просмотров • 1 год назад