
Justin Wolfers
@JustinWolfers • 452,281 subscribers
Prof @UMichEcon & @FordSchool | Fellow @BrookingsInst | Intro Econ textbook author | https://t.co/p3ziw22KMT | https://t.co/vvrskX2z0e
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A 30-year mortgage currently has an interest rate of 6.3%. A reasonable guess it that a 50-year mortgage rate would be about 7.0%. ⇒ The monthly payment on a $500k mortgage: - 30 years: $3,050 per month - 50 years: Only $100 less at $2,950 (but 240 months longer).
Justin Wolfers1,995,576 views • 11 months ago

Interviewer: "When you look at today's numbers, what do they tell us about the effectiveness of Donald Trump's tariffs." Me, very serious economist: "Hahahahahahahahahahaha... hahahahahahahaha... hahahahahahahaha... oh, wow." Sometimes all you can do is laugh at the absurdity.
Justin Wolfers899,688 views • 8 months ago

Americans hear "51st state" as Trump trolling. Canadians hear it as an existential threat to their sovereignty. That gap in perception is why Carney can't afford to look conciliatory, even if the economics of retaliation don't add up. This isn't just a trade war anymore.
Justin Wolfers166,473 views • 1 month ago

Trump ripped up NAFTA, replaced it with USMCA, then ripped that up too. The lesson is that markets have little reason to trust this president's signature. So Canada shouldn't accept pain today in exchange for promises about tomorrow. It should judge any deal by whether it serves Canada's interests now.
Justin Wolfers254,348 views • 2 months ago

Trump's "big" trade deal is with the UK: - It's a framework not a deal - They're our 11th largest trading partner - They're only 3% of US trade (97% to go) - They *already* charge average tariffs of only 1% (limited upside) It's a photo op, with little macroeconomic significance
Justin Wolfers1,421,692 views • 1 year ago

The scarier story isn't a president firing a commissioner over bad jobs numbers. It's what happened last week, quietly, with no front-page coverage: our statistical agency actually put out a number shaped to please the president. That's not a bad data point. That's the loss of a shared source of truth.
Justin Wolfers130,011 views • 1 month ago

The United States is no longer negotiating with Canada because its Republican President does not understand his predecessor's view of tariffs. Forget the clip that worries the President. Reagan was consistent, and here's a different speech where he made his case.
Justin Wolfers787,766 views • 11 months ago
