Mario Nawfal
@MarioNawfal • 3,754,555 subscribers
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump wants Iran to hand him an exit. Fmr Trump Lawyer Robert Barnes says the intel community just told him, in writing, that Iran isn't giving him one. He laid out what leaked out of the Washington Post this week: every round of strikes has hardened Iran's position rather than softened it. Trump saw it happen in real time too, rejecting three separate ceasefire attempts run through Pakistan, Qatar, and finally Iraq's prime minister. Barnes expects a 75% chance Trump hits Pickax Mountain this weekend, a strike that likely won't destroy the facility but gives him something to declare victory over. Rebuild the narrative, claim the nuclear threat is gone, quietly lift the blockade, and let Fox News run with it while his base, already exhausted by this war, doesn't push back. If the plan is a symbolic strike dressed as a win, does anyone still watching get fooled, or does everyone already know the difference? Robert Barnes
Mario Nawfal229,092 views • 4 hours ago
🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. could be hitting Iran 400 TIMES A DAY by the middle of next week... Admiral Mark Montgomery, one of the few retired flag officers who speaks on the record while colleagues hide behind "unnamed official," expects that tempo within days, matching the peak of the March war. The buildup spells it out: the largest C-17 and C-5 transport surge from Europe since March, fresh fighter squadrons, electronic warfare aircraft, and above all the bombers, because a single B-1 delivers the precision payload of eight to ten fighters. Together it hands Trump war-peak firepower with no need for Israel at all. Pickaxe Mountain is on the target list, and the Admiral drew the limits exactly. The weapon a B-1 would drop there is large but no bunker buster. A raid can seal doors and wreck entrances; whatever sits deep inside survives. What troubles him lives beneath the tempo. Offensive missiles are entering a cheap 3D-printed era at a tenth the old price, while every defensive interceptor still costs $4 to $10 MILLION a shot, and those are exactly the rounds draining fastest. "We're not ready for this war," he said of the defenses America skipped for twenty years. Mark Montgomery
Mario Nawfal380,987 views • 22 hours ago
🇧🇭 🇮🇷 The mystery strike nobody could pin down finally has names: Bahrain and Kuwait, with UAE cover. It may explain the whole shape of this war... That's the Wall Street Journal's reporting, and Larry Johnson needed one line to make it land: which may be why Iran keeps pounding Kuwait and Bahrain day after day. If it holds, the map rearranges. The two Gulf states taking the heaviest retaliation, the ones whose desalination plants and power stations have been hit, aren't being punished for hosting American aircraft. They pulled a trigger. His verdict on that choice: it may have been a poor one. The forward-looking thread is a London meeting Axios reports for next week, where Washington and London try to assemble a coalition to protect Hormuz shipping. The Europeans reportedly set one condition, stop the shooting first, because nobody sends minesweepers into a live fight. Larry waved the whole thing off, and his reasoning is the war in miniature: the US won't pay the military price freedom of navigation would actually cost, so the only road there runs through negotiating with Iran, which Washington keeps refusing. He also flagged a sharpened US embassy alert for Israel, an Italian carrier suspending Tel Aviv flights, and satellite imagery showing roughly twenty American aircraft now parked on an Israeli base. His sharpest line was the caveat that undercuts every optimist: Iran can absolutely manage one day of March-level intensity. It just can't sustain it. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
Mario Nawfal329,739 views • 21 hours ago
🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran is rebuilding faster than America can bomb it... Malcolm Nance has been under bombardment himself, in eastern Ukraine, where his unit stayed sane by tallying Russian impacts and laughing between them. He is certain the same scene is running inside Iran's mountain tunnels right now: a tally scratched on a wall, tea brewing, men waiting for the doors to be dug back open. The Wall Street Journal all but confirmed it. Satellite imagery shows Iran rapidly rebuilding what months of strikes destroyed, missile bases, bridges, ports. No mystery, just arithmetic: a country of 93 million clears rubble with shovels and excavators, while Washington would bid a quarter billion dollar contract for the same job. That arithmetic also breaks the escalation talk. A number making the rounds promises 400 strikes a day. Desert Storm needed six carriers and every Saudi airbase for that tempo; today three carriers are available, the Gulf bases sit abandoned, and quite possibly HALF of America's global precision missile inventory is already gone, missiles designed for Chinese and Russian defenses. Iran takes three and a half hours to cross by jet, and his warning was BLUNT: "You're going to start bombing rubble to bomb rubble." This war is being measured in sorties. The country underneath it is measured in shovels, and the shovels are winning. Malcolm Nance
Mario Nawfal311,676 views • 22 hours ago
🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. hasn't run out of bombs to drop on Iran. It's run out of targets worth dropping them on. Colonel Mark Cancian, retired Marine and CSIS analyst, broke down why nightly strikes have dropped from roughly 350 targets a day in the war's opening phase to 80-100 now. Munitions aren't the bottleneck yet. Target identification is. Verifying and planning a strike takes time, and doing it every 24 hours caps how many you can hit. "Both sides are engaged in what you might call economic attrition... on several levels, this is a battle of endurance." Cancian says that endurance contest normally favors Iran. No midterms, no domestic political clock, and a regime that already crushed an uprising in January On the loudest rumor circulating, a strike on Pickax Mountain, he's blunt: even the GBU-57 can't reach a facility buried that deep, and a tactical nuke would cross a threshold for a target that isn't even the last one that matters. Neither side is winning this war, and neither can afford to stop fighting.
Mario Nawfal147,568 views • 3 hours ago
🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Somebody inside that tunnel is keeping a tally of American bombs on the wall. Fmr. U.S. Navy intel officer Malcolm Nance says the strikes on the Jask complex are just shaking rocks, and he knows exactly what's happening inside because he played the same game under Russian bombardment in eastern Ukraine. Mark the wall, laugh, wait: "They were just in there frying up bread, drinking tea and having dates, waiting for the entrance to open." He briefed commanders who insisted the Iranians can't take this. They can take it, he kept telling them. And when the entrance reopens, the anti-ship missiles come out. Malcolm Nance
Mario Nawfal275,682 views • 20 hours ago
🚨🇮🇱🇵🇸 WATCH: The moment a Palestinian took the gun from an Israeli security coordinator and opened fire, near the West Bank village of Tell. One Israeli was shot dead, and at least two others were injured by the gunfire of the Palestinian who snatched the weapon. Israeli soldiers “eliminated the terrorist who carried out the attack and injured several Israeli civilians.” Source: Times of Israel, bintjbeilnews / Writer: Michael
Mario Nawfal455,724 views • 1 day ago
🇹🇭 An 11-year-old in northeastern Thailand drove his parents' pickup truck into a single line procession of monks, killing 8 and seriously injuring 10 more today. It's not yet clear what led up to this horrendous tragedy. May they rest in the peace they already found. Writer: Mhedi
Mario Nawfal10,776,008 views • 23 days ago
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump remains trapped because he still refuses to accept how much leverage Iran possesses. He still thinks overwhelming American power will eventually force Tehran to give in, and political scientist Ian Bremmer says that's the mistake keeping this war alive. Instead, Iran has shown it can keep raising the economic cost of the war without crossing Trump's red lines. Ian doesn't think Iran believes it can defeat the U.S militarily; it believes it can make continuing the war more painful than ending it. And so far, it's working. Trump keeps threatening to destroy Iran's infrastructure, eliminate its leadership and dramatically escalate the conflict. But Ian points to something more revealing than Trump's rhetoric: His actions. Despite months of fighting, Trump has avoided the biggest escalations. No ground invasion, no sustained campaign against Iran's energy sector, and no full-scale assault on the country's leadership. Even after American casualties, his instinct has repeatedly been to play them down rather than use them to justify a much wider war. And Tehran has noticed. It increasingly sees a president who talks like he's preparing for total war but behaves like someone searching for an exit. The bigger problem, Ian says, is inside the White House itself. Trump's advisers know the military and economic costs are mounting, and many want the war to end, but very few are willing to tell Trump the uncomfortable truth: Iran has far more leverage over how this ends than Washington expected. Until Trump accepts that reality, Ian believes a genuine compromise remains unlikely. ian bremmer
Mario Nawfal353,956 views • 1 day ago
🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest lie in global energy markets may be starting to fall apart. For months, we've been told the oil market is under control, but economist Philip Pilkington says that's becoming impossible to sustain. His argument isn't simply that oil prices have been manipulated; it's that the entire strategy is beginning to collide with physical reality. Philip believes officials have been able to suppress futures prices through a combination of AI-driven trading, carefully crafted political messaging, and massive short positions entering the market at key moments. The result? A paper market that looks far calmer than the physical energy market underneath it. But futures contracts don't put diesel into trucks, and optimistic headlines don't refill storage tanks. According to Philip, that's where the strategy is starting to unravel. China is returning to global oil markets, refining margins remain unusually high, physical fuel markets are tightening, and the Strategic Petroleum Reserve continues to shrink. Every additional disruption puts more pressure on a system that's already running with far less room for error than it had a few months ago. Philip believes the Trump administration had a plan to carry the energy market safely through the midterms. It relied on temporary diplomacy with Iran, lower Chinese demand and continued releases from America's Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Then Trump tore up the MOU, China started buying more oil again, and the assumptions behind the entire strategy began to fall apart. Philip Pilkington
Mario Nawfal341,897 views • 1 day ago
🇨🇳🇮🇷 China is laying railroads that could make the Strait of Hormuz worthless, and America is bombing the tracks that run through Iran Col. Larry Wilkerson, Colin Powell's former chief of staff, keeps pointing at a map almost nobody in Washington bothers to look at. China now runs seven or eight rail lines from its Pacific ports into the heart of Europe, two of them cutting straight across Iran. Cargo that once had to squeeze through Hormuz can ride the tracks instead. Those corridors, by his count, are the ONLY genuinely strategic target America has bombed inside Iran this entire war. Follow that thread and the chokepoints start losing their bite. Hormuz, Bab el Mandeb, even Suez matter a little less every year the trains keep moving, and no navy on earth can blockade freight that never touches water. His verdict on the whole contest: sea power fading, land power rising, both sides holding nuclear weapons for the first time in history.
Mario Nawfal455,012 views • 2 days ago
🇮🇷 🇺🇸 A $2 billion radar was wiped out by two $20,000 drones. Fmr. U.S. Navy intel officer Malcolm Nance walks through the systematic blinding: the Qatari radar controlling the entire Gulf's airspace, gone. THAAD radars hit in the UAE and Jordan. Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain, the base Nance lived on, abandoned and run by telemetry from Norfolk while Iranian drones level it almost symbolically: "The Iranians have put us technically out of the theater." Patrols now fly five hours from Sicily. CENTCOM will likely move to Israel. And his starkest prediction: "Mark my words, the US will leave Kuwait." Malcolm Nance
Mario Nawfal214,854 views • 19 hours ago
🇺🇸 This absolute monster named Tesfaye Cooper, the same thug who tortured a disabled teenager on Facebook Live, is back on the streets. The twist?? He just got arrested again... okay, who am I kidding? Of course he was. He chased down a cyclist who simply waved at him, beat him, spat on him, screamed “Gangster Disciples,” and stole his bike. Released after only 7 years for the first savage attack. In a saner penal system, this predator would never see daylight again. Disgusting. Lock him up for good. Source: Collin Rugg
Mario Nawfal57,679,391 views • 3 months ago
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump needs Iran to give him a face-saving victory, but they've deliberately decided to deny him one. Trump expected this war to end within weeks. Instead, months later, he's venting at aides, insulting Iranian leaders, and growing increasingly frustrated that the war refuses to end. Military analyst Elijah Magnier says that's because Trump fundamentally misunderstood Iran from the very beginning. In his view, every insult, every new strike, and every failed ultimatum only convinces Tehran that giving Trump a face-saving victory would guarantee another war in the future. So they've made a strategic decision: Don't give him the ladder. That's why Elijah believes Tehran rejected another temporary ceasefire. From the Iranian perspective, Trump launched the war, walked away from previous commitments, kept sanctions in place, and tried to change the facts on the ground while negotiations were supposedly continuing. Why help him now? Elijah says the real battle isn't over missiles; it's over the Strait of Hormuz. Not because Iran just wants to collect shipping fees, but because Hormuz has become the leverage that can force Washington to negotiate issues it has refused to address for decades: Sanctions, frozen Iranian assets, and America's wider military role in the region. Until those issues are addressed, Elijah believes Iran has no incentive to surrender its strongest bargaining chip. And right now, Tehran has made one thing absolutely clear: It has no intention of rescuing Trump from the war he chose to start. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺
Mario Nawfal279,389 views • 1 day ago
🇵🇰 The BLA says it blew up a Pakistani army patrol in Bolan with an IED The Baloch Liberation Army, the separatist group that's been fighting the state out in Balochistan, says its guys ambushed the patrol with a roadside bomb in Bolan district in the province's east and took out at least 12 soldiers. That number's just the BLA talking for now. And it lines up with how the month's gone. July's been brutal for the army in Balochistan, one early wave of attacks alone left 42 people dead across the province, 18 police and 11 soldiers among them. Source: Tabz / Writer: Daniyal
Mario Nawfal105,916 views • 5 hours ago
🚨🇸🇦 BREAKING: ARAMCO is burning. -New footage reportedly shows massive plumes of smoke rising from the Aramco complex at Jazan on Saudi Arabia's Red Sea coast -At least five missiles were reported fired, with the Houthis' "escalation with escalation" vow barely 24 hours old and no formal claim yet -No Saudi damage assessment or casualty count has been released, and the smoke's exact source within the complex is unconfirmed Source: MES on TG / Writer: Daniel
Mario Nawfal195,611 views • 21 hours ago
🚨🇮🇷 Britain, France and Germany have all pulled their diplomats out of Tehran, and the last time London did this the bombs fell the next day... Britain emptied its Tehran embassy yesterday, after Trump vowed to destroy a bridge or power plant for every ship Iran hits, naming targets inside the capital itself. France followed a day later. Germany's remaining staff were reported gone by Friday, with Turkey said to be doing the same. Larry Johnson spent decades across the CIA and State Department reading precisely this signal, and caution is not the word he uses. Allied missions do not abandon a capital on instinct. Somebody tells them to... which points toward strikes on Tehran and, he suspects, an attempt on Iranian LEADERSHIP. The precedent is chilling. Britain's embassy also emptied on February 27, one day before the American and Israeli strikes that started this war. Everything else points the same way: bombers on alert, electronic warfare aircraft inbound, a relay plane sent to cover destroyed radar and satellite links, which he called duct tape on a broken hose. Plus more than 150 medics deployed to Germany. Diplomats leave when governments already know what's coming. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
Mario Nawfal335,562 views • 1 day ago
A Korean fan was filming herself at the World Cup when a group of Mexico supporters behind her started pulling their eyes into a slant and laughing at her. Social media tracked the main guy down. He's reportedly the president of Jalisco's college of surveyors….
Mario Nawfal12,899,722 views • 1 month ago