
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
@nntaleb • 1,149,829 subscribers
Flaneur: probability (philosophy), probability (mathematics), probability (real life),Phoenician wine, deadlifts & dead languages. Greco-Levantine.Canaan. #RWRI
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To sum up: Charles Murray is not a scholar; he is not a scientist; and he is not a gentleman.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb178,473 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

From a near-empty Paris café (on the Place de la Sorbonne) on a Sunday morning: a teaser (in French) of the frth. conversation w/David Bessis on errors with IQ, asymmetries, & other bullshit by social "scientists". A Zoom-style conversation (in English) to follow.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb178,308 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Explaining the debt/death spiral. Some of my comments were spreading on social media (they was a a discussion in Congress). Debt servicing = 40% of the past deficit. Next year we will pay interest on that. Debt servicing will reach 70% ,80%, displacing other expenditures. On top of the fragility, there is an intergenerational transfer of liability, highly immoral (h/t Spitznagel). Note/Errata: total deficit north of 30 Bil is the accumulated deficit. (I mistakenly used the same word to describe current and accumulated).
Nassim Nicholas Taleb657,602 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce

Trishank Karthik Kuppusamy I tried Akkadian here. Can try Gilgamesh
Nassim Nicholas Taleb13,037 görüntüleme • 22 gün önce

Maximum Ignorance Probability: What do you do when you must estimate a probability and there is ZERO information? Surgeon did 60 operations & 0 failure. What's the failure rate? I realized the trick wasn't in the literature when someone wrote a paper in SPL on my blog post.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb235,091 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce

How ChatGPT answers questions when it has no idea about the answer.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb156,920 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce
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