Ozzy
@ozzy_livin • 16,518 subscribers
🌊 market cycles #tradfi + #energy + #crypto Follow the flows 👸🦥 https://t.co/NOk7KEvLKB
Videos
🥐 fresh TASTY crumbs on tastylive 🍒 #OPex Week 🗓️ Next Week Sep 16th #Fed meeting + #VIXpiration Sep 18th #OPex Expect #vol compression ➿ with 👸🦥 flows remaining supportive 👉 UNTIL expiration 👈 If the market unpins heading into Friday ⚠️ Cem Karsan 🥐 with Jermal Chandler + Mike Butler
Ozzy13,998 次观看 • 6 天前
🥐 fresh crumbs The Summer of George ☀️ is coming to an end VOL is compressed (VIX 14.65) heading into August OPex week and a window 🪟 opens Aug 19th ⭕️ #VIXpiration If we see volatility ~10% decline August - September Expect the Administration to squeeze the market into midterms After the midterms, there is less incentive for Trump + Bessent to hold the market together 20%-25% decline possible post-midterms into Q1 2027 ... but This is a feature of this Administration 👏 "Take it down, to take it up" In an Economy driven by the market, this Administration will respond to a major decline with Liquidity 🌊 QE, Large Scale Asset Purchases, driving markets + inflation higher Cem Karsan 🥐 on tastylive Full Interview
Ozzy42,538 次观看 • 1 个月前
🥐 fresh "TASTY" crumbs Momentum names have only a short window of support into August expiration - Circle ⭕️ August 19th #VIXpiration on your calendar - Beyond that #vol expansion The Administration is setting up to Print & Buy Equities Flows are supportive now, but will start turning 🔀 in August. Prepare for meaningful #volatility to the downside 📉 into November midterms Cem Karsan 🥐 with tastylive Full Interview :
Ozzy45,557 次观看 • 1 个月前
🥐 Cem Karsan 🥐 serves up fresh Crumbs We were pretty adamant coming out of February, if we didn't see weakness, it was risk on for the year As we entered summer, I was very clear it would be a slow grind with dispersion + lack of pullback "Summer of George" As we get to mid-August, summer flows start to change a bit Wednesday, Aug 14th #VIXpiration, there is a short window of 👉potential risk 👈 into September 30th Quarterly OpEX Weakness in this 🪟 would very buyable dip leading into the real end of year rally (true blow off top) ... a market up vol up event Early 2025 🗓️ we'll see a real (2nd move) market decline TopTradersLive.com | Alan Dunne
Ozzy269,426 次观看 • 2 年前
🥐 fresh crumbs This is a bubble 🫧 ... but this bubble will not end here In the face of record valuations, the Government can essentially provide unlimited liquidity, especially with the centralization of power in the executive branch What I'm saying is ... UP and UP fast! FAT right tail ⛪️ FAT left tail Cem Karsan 🥐 with Full Interview
Ozzy139,684 次观看 • 1 年前
🥐 fresh crumbs 🔥 People are aware of this decline 🦜🍹 so it's not going to be fast... But it's coming 🔸 This is the 🪟 weakness into March #OPex 🔸 Will be met with QE causing ✍️ a rally into May-Jun 🔸 First FED rate cut ✂️ in Q2 ( June ) 🔸 30-40% decline from ATH into Q4 Cem Karsan 🥐 on Forward Guidance Full interview
Ozzy181,847 次观看 • 1 年前
🥐 fresh crumbs Summer of George ☀️ more than ever this year If they can keep the market up until June, 👸🦥 flows kick in and we are going to squeeze through the summer Could last until September when summer vol compression stops ... or as long as November into midterm elections Look for a rotation out of tech ✍️ Until it breaks ... "Laissez les bons temps rouler" Cem Karsan 🥐 with 𝐁𝐞𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐡𝐧 AFTER HOURS 🍶 Stocktwits Full interview
Ozzy46,427 次观看 • 4 个月前
🥐 fresh crumbs Expectations into Midterm Election 🇺🇸 - Structural Flows are positive through September - September to Early November flows are less positive Summer of George - Positioning is Everything! Dealer flows 👸🦥 + Structured product flows outweigh headlines Reflexive Dynamics 🔀 crowded longs face headwinds and vice versa Cem Karsan 🥐 on TopTradersLive.com Full interview
Ozzy26,243 次观看 • 2 个月前
🥐 fresh crumbs Here we are $ES 6100 in the Summer of George ☀️ 👸Vanna 🦥 Charm have been supportive ... but Friday #Opex they are gone Next couple weeks, expect market 🔻 down + vol 🔻 down #Vol compression will continue for at least 1-2 months Base case, this decline will be a slow-motion train wreck to yearly lows ( $ES ~4800 ) within the next 6 months Cem Karsan 🥐 with Stocktwits Full interview
Ozzy102,408 次观看 • 1 年前
🥐 fresh crumbs Something has changed 🫢 We just got a BIG BEAUTIFUL DEAL with China 🇨🇳 🔸 we expected the decline into March #Opex 🔸 we expected the rally to 5700-6000 🔸 the bigger decline will begin in Q3 We still believe this, but a deal like this changes the path 🔀 Follow The Flows 👇 If you have ever wondered how Cem Karsan is able to call pivotal moments (exact dates in some cases) well in advance 👸 Vanna and 🦥 Charm are structural flows embedded in this market Click below to hear the full interview with Ash Bennington Ash Bennington + Cem Karsan Cem Karsan 🥐 ▶️
Ozzy88,845 次观看 • 1 年前
🥐 fresh crumbs We need to hit new meaningful highs if we are going to continue this rally In the absence of a dovish FED 🕊️ FOMC this rally will likely fade $SPX could decline below the Nov gap 5500 - 5200 around March #OPex ... followed by a 10% rally 🔺 after March #OPex to a minor new all time high ~6100 May, June ☀️ look for signs of a reversal (top) Cem Karsan 🥐 with Maggie Lake Full Video
Ozzy100,859 次观看 • 1 年前