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Stefan Burns

@StefanBurnsGeo • 96,184 subscribers

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Strong overflow has begun at Kilauea Volcano on the Big Island of Hawaii, indicating the eruptive episode 50 will begin shortly (perhaps this is the start right here). Follow the livestream to watch it live, the fountaining is expected to last about 9 hours!

Strong overflow has begun at Kilauea Volcano on the Big Island of Hawaii, indicating the eruptive episode 50 will begin shortly (perhaps this is the start right here). Follow the livestream to watch it live, the fountaining is expected to last about 9 hours!

1,112,985 просмотров

Here it comes... A reoccurring negative polarity coronal hole structure is soon to go geoeffective and hit Earth with its high-speed-stream. This follows after a sequence of M-flares have charged up the ionosphere, and a minor CME impact has just come in. Yeehaw!

Here it comes... A reoccurring negative polarity coronal hole structure is soon to go geoeffective and hit Earth with its high-speed-stream. This follows after a sequence of M-flares have charged up the ionosphere, and a minor CME impact has just come in. Yeehaw!

849,707 просмотров

KILAUEA ERUPTIVE EPISODE 55 HAS BEGUN!!!

KILAUEA ERUPTIVE EPISODE 55 HAS BEGUN!!!

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The Sun exploded off another powerful solar flare (6.5 M-class) today October 10th 2026. This struck right when a much stronger than expected (by most) solar storm hit Earth, and as I'm writing this we're now in a G3 strong geomagnetic storm, with the potential for G4 severe levels in the hours ahead...

The Sun exploded off another powerful solar flare (6.5 M-class) today October 10th 2026. This struck right when a much stronger than expected (by most) solar storm hit Earth, and as I'm writing this we're now in a G3 strong geomagnetic storm, with the potential for G4 severe levels in the hours ahead...

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Today a coronal mass ejection launched from the Sun towards Earth and the northern flank is expected to impact us around July 28th. Here is the awesome visualizer used:

Today a coronal mass ejection launched from the Sun towards Earth and the northern flank is expected to impact us around July 28th. Here is the awesome visualizer used:

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Multiple solar storms have launched from the Sun over the last few days, and the first #spaceweather impacts have begun here at 1 AU as more waves of plasma are soon to arrive. NOAA expects minor to moderate (G1-G2) geomagnetic storming, and it's possible it goes higher...

Multiple solar storms have launched from the Sun over the last few days, and the first #spaceweather impacts have begun here at 1 AU as more waves of plasma are soon to arrive. NOAA expects minor to moderate (G1-G2) geomagnetic storming, and it's possible it goes higher...

37,983 просмотров

Two high-magnitude earthquake forecasts for Colombia and Indonesia that I made seven weeks ago the same day as the Venezuela M7.2 & M7.5 earthquakes (06/24/26 have now come to pass. Colombia has a history of big earthquakes close in time to big earthquakes in Venezuela, and it was hit by the M7.4 earthquake just 4 days ago (08/10/26), and the M7.7 that struck Indonesia today (08/14/26) was directly antipodal (opposite side of the globe) to the epicenter of the Venezuela earthquakes. I also successfully forecasted the first megaquake in 4 years, the M8.8 Kamchatka Megaquake of July 29th 2025, 3 days before it occurred based on the anomalous earthquake swarming that was occurring in that location paired with the 4 year megaquake deficit we were in (meaning we were statistically very overdue, typically we have one M8.0+ EQ yearly). In November 2025 when magnitude 5.0+ earthquake swarming struck Japan I then forecasted that high magnitude activity was likely coming based on the intensity and frequency of the growing earthquake swarm. A few days later M6.4 and M6.8 earthquakes struck, and in the months since multiple magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes have battered Japan non-stop. That's four different successful earthquake forecasts for most of the strongest earthquakes to have hit Earth over the last year - a very active 12 months seismically. There are other successful forecasts too but we'll stick with these for brevity. There may be some roughness around the edges of earthquake forecasting currently - the holy grail of EQ forecasting is exact location, time, magnitude, and depth - but clearly these different techniques utilized (historic EQ patterns, earthquake swarm activity, EQ antipodes, among others) are informative and have merit based on real-life observations. Space weather, especially coronal hole high-speed-stream impacts, are also super useful for global high-magnitude earthquake forecasting. It's also quite common to see a BIG M7.5+ earthquake strike the same day a significant solar flare and CME launches from anywhere on the Sun. I'll keep research, learning, and sharing with everyone. Thanks so much. Namaste

Two high-magnitude earthquake forecasts for Colombia and Indonesia that I made seven weeks ago the same day as the Venezuela M7.2 & M7.5 earthquakes (06/24/26 have now come to pass. Colombia has a history of big earthquakes close in time to big earthquakes in Venezuela, and it was hit by the M7.4 earthquake just 4 days ago (08/10/26), and the M7.7 that struck Indonesia today (08/14/26) was directly antipodal (opposite side of the globe) to the epicenter of the Venezuela earthquakes. I also successfully forecasted the first megaquake in 4 years, the M8.8 Kamchatka Megaquake of July 29th 2025, 3 days before it occurred based on the anomalous earthquake swarming that was occurring in that location paired with the 4 year megaquake deficit we were in (meaning we were statistically very overdue, typically we have one M8.0+ EQ yearly). In November 2025 when magnitude 5.0+ earthquake swarming struck Japan I then forecasted that high magnitude activity was likely coming based on the intensity and frequency of the growing earthquake swarm. A few days later M6.4 and M6.8 earthquakes struck, and in the months since multiple magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes have battered Japan non-stop. That's four different successful earthquake forecasts for most of the strongest earthquakes to have hit Earth over the last year - a very active 12 months seismically. There are other successful forecasts too but we'll stick with these for brevity. There may be some roughness around the edges of earthquake forecasting currently - the holy grail of EQ forecasting is exact location, time, magnitude, and depth - but clearly these different techniques utilized (historic EQ patterns, earthquake swarm activity, EQ antipodes, among others) are informative and have merit based on real-life observations. Space weather, especially coronal hole high-speed-stream impacts, are also super useful for global high-magnitude earthquake forecasting. It's also quite common to see a BIG M7.5+ earthquake strike the same day a significant solar flare and CME launches from anywhere on the Sun. I'll keep research, learning, and sharing with everyone. Thanks so much. Namaste

214,853 просмотров

WOAH check out this giant plasma filament release that just happened! Another large one launches shortly afterwards. Powerful electric currents pulse through plasma filaments, so when they "snap", the electromagnetic field of the Sun changes dynamically at these layers...

WOAH check out this giant plasma filament release that just happened! Another large one launches shortly afterwards. Powerful electric currents pulse through plasma filaments, so when they "snap", the electromagnetic field of the Sun changes dynamically at these layers...

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WE HAVE IMPACT. The EMP from the solar storm shockwave spiked the interplanetary magnetic field to Bt 87 nT and Bz -32 nT which is INSANE. We're simultaneously in severe G4 geomagnetic and S4 radiation storms. Now the interplanetary magnetic field is at Bt ~35 nT and Bz -23 nT.

WE HAVE IMPACT. The EMP from the solar storm shockwave spiked the interplanetary magnetic field to Bt 87 nT and Bz -32 nT which is INSANE. We're simultaneously in severe G4 geomagnetic and S4 radiation storms. Now the interplanetary magnetic field is at Bt ~35 nT and Bz -23 nT.

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Two solar storms have left the Sun and are racing towards Earth's position in interplanetary space. Geomagnetic disturbances are expected to begin tomorrow, but don't be surprised if instead it starts on Oct. 3rd, and/or the impacts are minor.

Two solar storms have left the Sun and are racing towards Earth's position in interplanetary space. Geomagnetic disturbances are expected to begin tomorrow, but don't be surprised if instead it starts on Oct. 3rd, and/or the impacts are minor.

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A sequence of coronal mass ejections have launched from the Sun and Earth will be impacted by these waves of plasma on September 8th. A G1 minor geomagnetic storm watch has been issued by NOAA.

A sequence of coronal mass ejections have launched from the Sun and Earth will be impacted by these waves of plasma on September 8th. A G1 minor geomagnetic storm watch has been issued by NOAA.

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Two large coronal holes are currently Earth-facing and soon to be geoeffective. September 15-16th we'll be connected magnetically to them via their high-speed streams of solar wind. High-magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes often follow.

Two large coronal holes are currently Earth-facing and soon to be geoeffective. September 15-16th we'll be connected magnetically to them via their high-speed streams of solar wind. High-magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes often follow.

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Double hit directly over the Americas with 6.7 and 6.3 M-flares. A solar storm impact is also already in progress, through the geomagnetic activity from it has been relatively muted thus far (+Bz)...

Double hit directly over the Americas with 6.7 and 6.3 M-flares. A solar storm impact is also already in progress, through the geomagnetic activity from it has been relatively muted thus far (+Bz)...

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Nature is metal 📍Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii

Nature is metal 📍Kilauea Volcano, Hawaii

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Check out the INSANE growth on 4366 that's happened since just yesterday! It just keeps getting bigger while staying compact because new magnetic flux keeps pushing through the intermediate regions. The risk of a modern Carrington Event is incredibly high right now...

Check out the INSANE growth on 4366 that's happened since just yesterday! It just keeps getting bigger while staying compact because new magnetic flux keeps pushing through the intermediate regions. The risk of a modern Carrington Event is incredibly high right now...

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Today (02/02/26 UTC) we had one of the strongest solar flares of the 21st century, a combined 8.1, 1.5, and 2.8 x-class solar flare sequence that is still ongoing at m-class levels. FLASHING LIGHT WARNING FOR SENSITIVE VIEWERS.

Today (02/02/26 UTC) we had one of the strongest solar flares of the 21st century, a combined 8.1, 1.5, and 2.8 x-class solar flare sequence that is still ongoing at m-class levels. FLASHING LIGHT WARNING FOR SENSITIVE VIEWERS.

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This comet impact to the Sun followed immediately afterwards with a huge CME is definitely 100% totally certifiably absolutely undoubtedly a coincidence. Nothing to see here folks! /s October 1-2 2011

This comet impact to the Sun followed immediately afterwards with a huge CME is definitely 100% totally certifiably absolutely undoubtedly a coincidence. Nothing to see here folks! /s October 1-2 2011

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BOOMSHAKALAKA Another successful long-range #spaceweather forecast completed ✅ On July 30th a 1.9 m-class solar flare exploded from AR4492 with an unusually Earth-directed coronal mass ejection and triggered a S1 radiation storm in < 2 hours (which we are still in), the first S1 radiation storm since May 26th, one day before I issued my long-range #swx forecast (synchronicity) for this timeframe of end of July/Early August based on precisely geometric heliocentric planetary geometry. There is also strong evidence this was jointly triggered by a sundiving comet to that sector of the Sun under the influence of a Jupiter Cazimi. Considering how the planets and comets how a notable influence over solar activity, the choice is to investigate into the phenomenon further or be left behind as science advances. No other "official" agency or outside commentator that I know of provided any guidance or was so precise.

BOOMSHAKALAKA Another successful long-range #spaceweather forecast completed ✅ On July 30th a 1.9 m-class solar flare exploded from AR4492 with an unusually Earth-directed coronal mass ejection and triggered a S1 radiation storm in < 2 hours (which we are still in), the first S1 radiation storm since May 26th, one day before I issued my long-range #swx forecast (synchronicity) for this timeframe of end of July/Early August based on precisely geometric heliocentric planetary geometry. There is also strong evidence this was jointly triggered by a sundiving comet to that sector of the Sun under the influence of a Jupiter Cazimi. Considering how the planets and comets how a notable influence over solar activity, the choice is to investigate into the phenomenon further or be left behind as science advances. No other "official" agency or outside commentator that I know of provided any guidance or was so precise.

76,045 просмотров

BREAKING: Five M-class solar flares have exploded in the "Earth strike zone" from the Sun over the last 21 hours, the strongest being a M6.9, and CMEs have been launched towards Earth. Solar storm impacts and geomagnetic storming are expected in a few days...

BREAKING: Five M-class solar flares have exploded in the "Earth strike zone" from the Sun over the last 21 hours, the strongest being a M6.9, and CMEs have been launched towards Earth. Solar storm impacts and geomagnetic storming are expected in a few days...

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Earth was hit by multiple CMEs triggering a G3- geomagnetic storm last night, and we're now being buffeted by fast solar wind. More Earth-directed solar storms are racing towards Earth and are expected to impact in &lt;12 hours now. I expect G3-G4 geomagnetic conditions, get ready!

Earth was hit by multiple CMEs triggering a G3- geomagnetic storm last night, and we're now being buffeted by fast solar wind. More Earth-directed solar storms are racing towards Earth and are expected to impact in &lt;12 hours now. I expect G3-G4 geomagnetic conditions, get ready!

222,033 просмотров

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Two high-magnitude earthquake forecasts for Colombia and Indonesia that I made seven weeks ago the same day as the Venezuela M7.2 & M7.5 earthquakes (06/24/26 have now come to pass. Colombia has a history of big earthquakes close in time to big earthquakes in Venezuela, and it was hit by the M7.4 earthquake just 4 days ago (08/10/26), and the M7.7 that struck Indonesia today (08/14/26) was directly antipodal (opposite side of the globe) to the epicenter of the Venezuela earthquakes. I also successfully forecasted the first megaquake in 4 years, the M8.8 Kamchatka Megaquake of July 29th 2025, 3 days before it occurred based on the anomalous earthquake swarming that was occurring in that location paired with the 4 year megaquake deficit we were in (meaning we were statistically very overdue, typically we have one M8.0+ EQ yearly). In November 2025 when magnitude 5.0+ earthquake swarming struck Japan I then forecasted that high magnitude activity was likely coming based on the intensity and frequency of the growing earthquake swarm. A few days later M6.4 and M6.8 earthquakes struck, and in the months since multiple magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes have battered Japan non-stop. That's four different successful earthquake forecasts for most of the strongest earthquakes to have hit Earth over the last year - a very active 12 months seismically. There are other successful forecasts too but we'll stick with these for brevity. There may be some roughness around the edges of earthquake forecasting currently - the holy grail of EQ forecasting is exact location, time, magnitude, and depth - but clearly these different techniques utilized (historic EQ patterns, earthquake swarm activity, EQ antipodes, among others) are informative and have merit based on real-life observations. Space weather, especially coronal hole high-speed-stream impacts, are also super useful for global high-magnitude earthquake forecasting. It's also quite common to see a BIG M7.5+ earthquake strike the same day a significant solar flare and CME launches from anywhere on the Sun. I'll keep research, learning, and sharing with everyone. Thanks so much. Namaste

Stefan Burns

214,853 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

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By far the best highlight from the NASA 3I/ATLAS livestream 😂💀

Stefan Burns

135,147 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад