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Jeff Berardelli

@WeatherProf58,172 subscribers

WFLA-TV (Tampa Bay) Chief Meteorologist and Climate Specialist. BS Atmospheric Sciences Cornell U. MA Climate Columbia U. Past CBS News NY and Miami, Tampa, WPB

Shorts

A swing and a miss, but a rare break in Florida’s sweltering humidity by late week! The tropical moisture originally poised to hit Florida is being shoved towards Texas instead. That means, after a very muggy start to the week, very low humidity for summer arrives in Florida by Thursday. But it also blocks our downpours for a few days, delaying our #drought relief, for now. #florida #rain

A swing and a miss, but a rare break in Florida’s sweltering humidity by late week! The tropical moisture originally poised to hit Florida is being shoved towards Texas instead. That means, after a very muggy start to the week, very low humidity for summer arrives in Florida by Thursday. But it also blocks our downpours for a few days, delaying our #drought relief, for now. #florida #rain

87,890 views

Hurricane season starts today. Here’s why we expect it to be a quieter than normal year in the Atlantic. The relatively hotter East Pacific due to a Super El Niño overpowers the near waters of the Atlantic. Rising air, thunderstorms and hurricanes in the East Pacific should subdue the Caribbean with sinking air, wind shear, and less storms. But less storms does not equal no storms. So be prepared as usual. #hurricaneseason #hurricane #science #stem #florida

Hurricane season starts today. Here’s why we expect it to be a quieter than normal year in the Atlantic. The relatively hotter East Pacific due to a Super El Niño overpowers the near waters of the Atlantic. Rising air, thunderstorms and hurricanes in the East Pacific should subdue the Caribbean with sinking air, wind shear, and less storms. But less storms does not equal no storms. So be prepared as usual. #hurricaneseason #hurricane #science #stem #florida

15,534 views

Watch as a strong Bermuda high and persistent southerly fetch funnels a plume of tropical moisture north into the Gulf. The main event will start this weekend and persistent into next week. The details are fuzzy, but you can bet some folks along the Gulf Coast, from Louisiana to Florida will get 10” of rain over the next two weeks. Pinpointing exactly where though is still unclear, but all will see #drought relief! Stay tuned! #florida #rain #tropical

Watch as a strong Bermuda high and persistent southerly fetch funnels a plume of tropical moisture north into the Gulf. The main event will start this weekend and persistent into next week. The details are fuzzy, but you can bet some folks along the Gulf Coast, from Louisiana to Florida will get 10” of rain over the next two weeks. Pinpointing exactly where though is still unclear, but all will see #drought relief! Stay tuned! #florida #rain #tropical

36,830 views

Just watch how gargantuan this storm is. I still can’t get over it. In terms of girth, it’s def in the top 5 that I recall. This will impact 2/3rds of the nation and half of the country in a big way. Longevity too, with us Friday-Monday! And the brutal cold that follows. 🥶 Disruption deep into next week! #Snow #ice #storm

Just watch how gargantuan this storm is. I still can’t get over it. In terms of girth, it’s def in the top 5 that I recall. This will impact 2/3rds of the nation and half of the country in a big way. Longevity too, with us Friday-Monday! And the brutal cold that follows. 🥶 Disruption deep into next week! #Snow #ice #storm

687,734 views

No, your eyes are not deceiving you! Next week's cold blast is going to be “near” historic in #Florida for early November. The models are very aggressive and if they are right we may tie or break records set ~100 years ago. These are wind chills for Tuesday morning BUT it is not out of the question that North FL will see actual low temps near freezing next Tuesday and Wednesday mornings. Fire up the fireplaces! You don't have one? You have a week to get it :)

No, your eyes are not deceiving you! Next week's cold blast is going to be “near” historic in #Florida for early November. The models are very aggressive and if they are right we may tie or break records set ~100 years ago. These are wind chills for Tuesday morning BUT it is not out of the question that North FL will see actual low temps near freezing next Tuesday and Wednesday mornings. Fire up the fireplaces! You don't have one? You have a week to get it :)

901,782 views

This may be hard to believe given how cold it’s been, but the coldest air of the season is still to come in the Northeast this weekend. Wind chills to -30°F or lower Sunday morning. -20 in NYC!! Holy moly. #cold #winter #ArcticBlast #snow

This may be hard to believe given how cold it’s been, but the coldest air of the season is still to come in the Northeast this weekend. Wind chills to -30°F or lower Sunday morning. -20 in NYC!! Holy moly. #cold #winter #ArcticBlast #snow

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The Arctic flood gates are opening up, as a strong & warm (relatively) block grows over Greenland. That warmth will shove the frigid Polar Vortex south, with multiple cold plunges in the batters box for the next 10-15 days in the Midwest, Great Lakes, Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. The chilly air will visit the Deep South and #Florida periodically too.

The Arctic flood gates are opening up, as a strong & warm (relatively) block grows over Greenland. That warmth will shove the frigid Polar Vortex south, with multiple cold plunges in the batters box for the next 10-15 days in the Midwest, Great Lakes, Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. The chilly air will visit the Deep South and #Florida periodically too.

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Watch #Melissa meander on a path right through some of the hottest (deep) waters on the planet, powering one of the strongest hurricanes ever, then leave a cool wake behind as it turns hot water into power to charge its rain and wind. The #caribbean in October is notorious for monster hurricanes and Melissa literally moved over the hottest waters not just in the Atlantic but also in the entire Caribbean. How it ended up there is part luck, part climatology, and - in a local sense - partly that storms without steering can sometimes be tugged towards areas with the greatest heat/ instability. #hurricane #fyp #jamaica

Watch #Melissa meander on a path right through some of the hottest (deep) waters on the planet, powering one of the strongest hurricanes ever, then leave a cool wake behind as it turns hot water into power to charge its rain and wind. The #caribbean in October is notorious for monster hurricanes and Melissa literally moved over the hottest waters not just in the Atlantic but also in the entire Caribbean. How it ended up there is part luck, part climatology, and - in a local sense - partly that storms without steering can sometimes be tugged towards areas with the greatest heat/ instability. #hurricane #fyp #jamaica

524,424 views

#Hurricaneerin is hungry. It will feast on hot water up to 88 degrees. After using this heat to power its engine, it will dissipate said heat. Leaving a cool ocean wake in its path, ~10 degrees lower than it found it. The water cools not just due to heat absorption, but also overturning /upwelling, wind and rain.

#Hurricaneerin is hungry. It will feast on hot water up to 88 degrees. After using this heat to power its engine, it will dissipate said heat. Leaving a cool ocean wake in its path, ~10 degrees lower than it found it. The water cools not just due to heat absorption, but also overturning /upwelling, wind and rain.

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Can’t stop. Won’t stop. The models keep insisting on historic cold as the huge Canadian Polar Vortex pays the Eastern US a visit! A pool of record breaking cold 850mb temps and record breaking 500 mb heights (for early-mid Nov) will do a “fly by” Monday-Wednesday as actual surface low temps fall below freezing in the SE US, 30s as far south as Central-North FL!! 40s south of I-4, 50s deep into South FL. #Florida #ColdFront #Freeze #Snow #Winter

Can’t stop. Won’t stop. The models keep insisting on historic cold as the huge Canadian Polar Vortex pays the Eastern US a visit! A pool of record breaking cold 850mb temps and record breaking 500 mb heights (for early-mid Nov) will do a “fly by” Monday-Wednesday as actual surface low temps fall below freezing in the SE US, 30s as far south as Central-North FL!! 40s south of I-4, 50s deep into South FL. #Florida #ColdFront #Freeze #Snow #Winter

499,537 views

When I look at this jet stream the word insane comes to mind. It's even more astonishing when you consider it's mid June! This configuration, likely enhanced by climate heating, is fueling a record heat dome so extreme that even experts are astonished!

When I look at this jet stream the word insane comes to mind. It's even more astonishing when you consider it's mid June! This configuration, likely enhanced by climate heating, is fueling a record heat dome so extreme that even experts are astonished!

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What if #Milton went 25 mi north? Disaster for #tampabay! Milton’s eye went south of the bay and winds on north side forced 2-5 ft of water out. Reverse surge. But landfall 25 miles north would have changed fate as 15 ft of surge would have funneled into the narrowing bay. WFLA NEWS

What if #Milton went 25 mi north? Disaster for #tampabay! Milton’s eye went south of the bay and winds on north side forced 2-5 ft of water out. Reverse surge. But landfall 25 miles north would have changed fate as 15 ft of surge would have funneled into the narrowing bay. WFLA NEWS

1,308,148 views

If you like cold and snow in the East, the pattern the next 2 weeks is text book! Watch as a Giant Greenland Block intensifies and retrogrades across the Canadian Tundra through the period, forcing cold air deep south and trapping it in the Eastern US. This pattern may even have potential for Southern ❄️ ! We’ll see. For the layman, (relative) warm blocking in the Arctic “displaces” the tropospheric Polar Vortex, forcing cold southward into the US. For the weather nerds out there, the high latitude block reaches 4.5 Standard Deviations / Sigma from the mean next weekend on the European model. Easily a record. It may not verify, but if it’s even in the ballpark, it’s on like Donkey Kong! Buckle up!!

If you like cold and snow in the East, the pattern the next 2 weeks is text book! Watch as a Giant Greenland Block intensifies and retrogrades across the Canadian Tundra through the period, forcing cold air deep south and trapping it in the Eastern US. This pattern may even have potential for Southern ❄️ ! We’ll see. For the layman, (relative) warm blocking in the Arctic “displaces” the tropospheric Polar Vortex, forcing cold southward into the US. For the weather nerds out there, the high latitude block reaches 4.5 Standard Deviations / Sigma from the mean next weekend on the European model. Easily a record. It may not verify, but if it’s even in the ballpark, it’s on like Donkey Kong! Buckle up!!

347,503 views

Some rare and remarkable processes are taking place this week, that we are not likely to observe for a long time! These 2 Atlantic hurricanes are closer than any since at least the 1960s. They are now connected - in each other’s orbit, pivoting. Stop 1. Notice the calm area at the pivot point between the two storms caused by sinking air. Stop 2. #Humberto dissipates and #Imelda cannibalizes its moisture and energy, passes over #Bermuda, grows, then heads out to sea. (2 hurricanes can NOT merge both as hurricanes. One must die or transition extra tropical first) Stop 3. Imelda meets a frontal boundary where it scales the front and is accelerated NE.

Some rare and remarkable processes are taking place this week, that we are not likely to observe for a long time! These 2 Atlantic hurricanes are closer than any since at least the 1960s. They are now connected - in each other’s orbit, pivoting. Stop 1. Notice the calm area at the pivot point between the two storms caused by sinking air. Stop 2. #Humberto dissipates and #Imelda cannibalizes its moisture and energy, passes over #Bermuda, grows, then heads out to sea. (2 hurricanes can NOT merge both as hurricanes. One must die or transition extra tropical first) Stop 3. Imelda meets a frontal boundary where it scales the front and is accelerated NE.

523,995 views

A 180! After a record hot Christmas across the Middle & parts of the South, a New Year’s Arctic Blast promises a Deep South Freeze by New Year’s Eve. Gonna be quite the shock to the system, with 20s into North FL, 30s Central FL, and this one may actually reach far South FL with 40s! These are real temps. Wind chills will be lower. #florida #cold

A 180! After a record hot Christmas across the Middle & parts of the South, a New Year’s Arctic Blast promises a Deep South Freeze by New Year’s Eve. Gonna be quite the shock to the system, with 20s into North FL, 30s Central FL, and this one may actually reach far South FL with 40s! These are real temps. Wind chills will be lower. #florida #cold

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Can’t say I remember a more impressive early cold season blast!! Early next week models advertise that temps will tumble 20 plus degrees below normal in the East, with freezing temps into the Deep South and 30s and 40s overtaking northern and central Florida. Meantime snow flakes will fly across the Great Lakes and Northeast!

Can’t say I remember a more impressive early cold season blast!! Early next week models advertise that temps will tumble 20 plus degrees below normal in the East, with freezing temps into the Deep South and 30s and 40s overtaking northern and central Florida. Meantime snow flakes will fly across the Great Lakes and Northeast!

407,306 views

Big Polar Plunge across Europe as the jet stream takes a nose dive! Temps 10-20C below normal! Lots of snow in the mountains!!

Big Polar Plunge across Europe as the jet stream takes a nose dive! Temps 10-20C below normal! Lots of snow in the mountains!!

353,095 views

This is the definition of compound, concurrent heat extremes! What you're looking at is the pressure pattern & wind flow at the 500mb level (5600 m, 18K ft). This is why Death Valley hit 129, the Med may hit 118, Iran heat index 152F and China hit an all-time heat record of 126.

This is the definition of compound, concurrent heat extremes! What you're looking at is the pressure pattern & wind flow at the 500mb level (5600 m, 18K ft). This is why Death Valley hit 129, the Med may hit 118, Iran heat index 152F and China hit an all-time heat record of 126.

1,502,415 views

Flip the rainy season switch! A sight for sore eyes, as FL has endured the worst drought in decades. After a brief dry break Friday, the models consistently show a rapid surge in moisture and a rapid start to wet season, as a long southeast fetch of wind forces tropical moisture from the tropics across the state leading daily downpours starting as early as this weekend/ early next week with East coast morning showers, West coast late day downpours. And consistently humid days. #rain #storms #florida

Flip the rainy season switch! A sight for sore eyes, as FL has endured the worst drought in decades. After a brief dry break Friday, the models consistently show a rapid surge in moisture and a rapid start to wet season, as a long southeast fetch of wind forces tropical moisture from the tropics across the state leading daily downpours starting as early as this weekend/ early next week with East coast morning showers, West coast late day downpours. And consistently humid days. #rain #storms #florida

38,345 views

A big pattern Flip-Flop is about to happen. The East and West will swap cold and warm. In the Southeast toasty warm weather will build while in the west cold & VERY stormy weather will settle in.

A big pattern Flip-Flop is about to happen. The East and West will swap cold and warm. In the Southeast toasty warm weather will build while in the west cold & VERY stormy weather will settle in.

291,976 views

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