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@xapa03 • 30,708 subscribers

BITCOIN OG SINCE 2013 03 | ₿ ₿ ALL IN IS THE KEY NFA join XAPA's world https://t.co/6atyr1dSg7

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As you could already see from my previous videos, the drop to $75,500 was expected at the same time as in 2023. In 2023, when Bitcoin experienced its first strong sell-off, a wick formed below the blue TEM zone. Measured from that point, it took roughly 5 days until Bitcoin fell 0.8% below the last TEM wick. I expected Bitcoin to once again drop 0.8% below the last wick outside the blue TEM area, which pointed to a price region of $75,500. The only change on the 4-hour timeframe is that a wick has formed below the blue zone once again. Looking at the timing and the day intervals, I conclude that Bitcoin has to see a pump within the next 3 days. If I compare the patterns one-to-one in percentage terms, $73,500 could be the exact target! If the $75k area is lost, $73,000–$73,900 are the next targets where I’ll add more to my long. Check out the picture! NFA Since this is a high-timeframe (1W) pattern, delays or deviations may occur on lower timeframes than 1W. It doesn't necessarily mean it has to happen again! bitcoin:native

As you could already see from my previous videos, the drop to $75,500 was expected at the same time as in 2023. In 2023, when Bitcoin experienced its first strong sell-off, a wick formed below the blue TEM zone. Measured from that point, it took roughly 5 days until Bitcoin fell 0.8% below the last TEM wick. I expected Bitcoin to once again drop 0.8% below the last wick outside the blue TEM area, which pointed to a price region of $75,500. The only change on the 4-hour timeframe is that a wick has formed below the blue zone once again. Looking at the timing and the day intervals, I conclude that Bitcoin has to see a pump within the next 3 days. If I compare the patterns one-to-one in percentage terms, $73,500 could be the exact target! If the $75k area is lost, $73,000–$73,900 are the next targets where I’ll add more to my long. Check out the picture! NFA Since this is a high-timeframe (1W) pattern, delays or deviations may occur on lower timeframes than 1W. It doesn't necessarily mean it has to happen again! bitcoin:native

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I already said in my earlier post that I expected the Saturday top and that Bitcoin would be sitting in the red zone of the Paranoia Indicator. A small correction after that is also visible on the chart. I’ve observed that when the black bar left the red zone in 2023, the pump continued. I’m seeing the exact same pattern today. It takes roughly one day from the first breakout point to the local top (marked with green circles). The funny part is that the timestamps match exactly, in 2023 the local top formed at the same time of day as yesterday, Saturday 2026. After that came a correction into the yellow zone of the TEM, and at the same time the black bar left the overheated area of the Paranoia Indicator. It can’t be ruled out that Bitcoin drops again toward $79,800–$78,500! Should that happen, I’ll enter new scalp positions before the move toward $82,000 continues. Since this is a high-timeframe (1W) pattern, delays or deviations may occur on lower timeframes than 1W. It doesn't necessarily mean it has to happen again! bitcoin:native

I already said in my earlier post that I expected the Saturday top and that Bitcoin would be sitting in the red zone of the Paranoia Indicator. A small correction after that is also visible on the chart. I’ve observed that when the black bar left the red zone in 2023, the pump continued. I’m seeing the exact same pattern today. It takes roughly one day from the first breakout point to the local top (marked with green circles). The funny part is that the timestamps match exactly, in 2023 the local top formed at the same time of day as yesterday, Saturday 2026. After that came a correction into the yellow zone of the TEM, and at the same time the black bar left the overheated area of the Paranoia Indicator. It can’t be ruled out that Bitcoin drops again toward $79,800–$78,500! Should that happen, I’ll enter new scalp positions before the move toward $82,000 continues. Since this is a high-timeframe (1W) pattern, delays or deviations may occur on lower timeframes than 1W. It doesn't necessarily mean it has to happen again! bitcoin:native

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Back in 2023 the dump came within 2–3 days and landed on Sunday, exactly like yesterday. Bitcoin pumped 1.20% on Sunday and then dumped, as you can see in the picture after the video. Tonight there was no difference, exact same time, 10pm to 2am. If this pattern keeps confirming, Bitcoin could still see $75,000 range today before continuing the start of a massive rally. Measured from the Sunday dump, Bitcoin broke out 1 day and 16 hours later and pumped 17% in nearly 4 days. If the pattern continues this precisely, the breakout could happen Tuesday afternoon. $87,000 looks next to me, followed by a drop into October. This thesis only holds if there is no rejection in the $83,000 range. Since this is a high-timeframe (1W) pattern, delays or deviations may occur on lower timeframes than 1W. It doesn't necessarily mean it has to happen again! " If the pattern continues this precisely, the last dump can rather be expected into Monday. A move toward $75,500 would not be unrealistic there, before it heads toward $87,000 afterward. I will add more to my long position between $73k and $75.5k. " bitcoin:native

Back in 2023 the dump came within 2–3 days and landed on Sunday, exactly like yesterday. Bitcoin pumped 1.20% on Sunday and then dumped, as you can see in the picture after the video. Tonight there was no difference, exact same time, 10pm to 2am. If this pattern keeps confirming, Bitcoin could still see $75,000 range today before continuing the start of a massive rally. Measured from the Sunday dump, Bitcoin broke out 1 day and 16 hours later and pumped 17% in nearly 4 days. If the pattern continues this precisely, the breakout could happen Tuesday afternoon. $87,000 looks next to me, followed by a drop into October. This thesis only holds if there is no rejection in the $83,000 range. Since this is a high-timeframe (1W) pattern, delays or deviations may occur on lower timeframes than 1W. It doesn't necessarily mean it has to happen again! " If the pattern continues this precisely, the last dump can rather be expected into Monday. A move toward $75,500 would not be unrealistic there, before it heads toward $87,000 afterward. I will add more to my long position between $73k and $75.5k. " bitcoin:native

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Bitcoin is in the overheated zone, but only on the 4h timeframe. The 4H and higher timeframes are the most reliable and strongest for the Paranoia Indicator (LTF!). We’ve either dropped right around the moment the black bar entered the red zone, or we’ve been stuck in the overheated zone for multiple days, which causes the black bar on higher timeframes to slide into the red area as well. This means we could see multiple pumps, or the local top for now is in. ($86,300) That would also align with the view that Bitcoin marked its high on Monday and the sell-off will continue thereafter. bitcoin:native

Bitcoin is in the overheated zone, but only on the 4h timeframe. The 4H and higher timeframes are the most reliable and strongest for the Paranoia Indicator (LTF!). We’ve either dropped right around the moment the black bar entered the red zone, or we’ve been stuck in the overheated zone for multiple days, which causes the black bar on higher timeframes to slide into the red area as well. This means we could see multiple pumps, or the local top for now is in. ($86,300) That would also align with the view that Bitcoin marked its high on Monday and the sell-off will continue thereafter. bitcoin:native

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I am very confident that Bitcoin will rise rather than fall. The bear market is over, so it is advisable to take every dip seriously when it comes to long-term investments. I still expect September to be bullish rather than bearish. The $85,000 to $87,000 range will be reached soon. I bought more Bitcoin and Ethereum today! In 2023, when Bitcoin topped (green circle), the 5D chart showed wick gaps between candles of no more than 1%. I expected that move for Monday. The difference this time, we had a weekend, in 2023 we didn’t. The stock market was closed on Monday, so I was expecting a 3-day delay. Since this is a high-timeframe (1W) pattern, delays or deviations may occur on lower timeframes than 1W. It doesn't necessarily mean it has to happen again! As soon as Bitcoin loses the area around $76,777, I’m targeting levels between $73,880 and $75,300. bitcoin:native

I am very confident that Bitcoin will rise rather than fall. The bear market is over, so it is advisable to take every dip seriously when it comes to long-term investments. I still expect September to be bullish rather than bearish. The $85,000 to $87,000 range will be reached soon. I bought more Bitcoin and Ethereum today! In 2023, when Bitcoin topped (green circle), the 5D chart showed wick gaps between candles of no more than 1%. I expected that move for Monday. The difference this time, we had a weekend, in 2023 we didn’t. The stock market was closed on Monday, so I was expecting a 3-day delay. Since this is a high-timeframe (1W) pattern, delays or deviations may occur on lower timeframes than 1W. It doesn't necessarily mean it has to happen again! As soon as Bitcoin loses the area around $76,777, I’m targeting levels between $73,880 and $75,300. bitcoin:native

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These drawdowns are not comparable to 2023, as you can see in the video. It ran well up to here, but there is no time left to be bearish. I was never a bear, by the way. I trade the market I see and nothing else. Every dip is a gift for our future! This week is decision time.. make it or break it ⌛️ Into tonight’s daily close, and at the latest Friday night into the daily close, I had $81,400–$80,000 in mind. The zone between $82,800 and $83,800 is holding so firmly that it is not worth sitting on it and stubbornly waiting for lower prices. I expect a bullish crossover by Monday, October 5, so there is not much time left to be bearish either. I have already built a long between $82,800 and $83,800. If the pattern plays out, a pump towards $87,000/$89,000 is to be expected, followed by a dump. The dump could and this cannot be ruled out, reach the $75,000 level, though I would not bet on it. Should Bitcoin fall, I expect the range between $78,000 and $80,000 to hold. bitcoin:native

These drawdowns are not comparable to 2023, as you can see in the video. It ran well up to here, but there is no time left to be bearish. I was never a bear, by the way. I trade the market I see and nothing else. Every dip is a gift for our future! This week is decision time.. make it or break it ⌛️ Into tonight’s daily close, and at the latest Friday night into the daily close, I had $81,400–$80,000 in mind. The zone between $82,800 and $83,800 is holding so firmly that it is not worth sitting on it and stubbornly waiting for lower prices. I expect a bullish crossover by Monday, October 5, so there is not much time left to be bearish either. I have already built a long between $82,800 and $83,800. If the pattern plays out, a pump towards $87,000/$89,000 is to be expected, followed by a dump. The dump could and this cannot be ruled out, reach the $75,000 level, though I would not bet on it. Should Bitcoin fall, I expect the range between $78,000 and $80,000 to hold. bitcoin:native

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The last two giveaways are done! Time for a third one and this time it’s different. When I hit 35,000 followers, I’ll give away $3,500 to 35 people ($100 each). To enter, you need to comment, like, and share this post, and Grok will select the winners! Thank you for the incredible support! EDUCATION ONLY, NFA! Welcome to XAPA's World!

The last two giveaways are done! Time for a third one and this time it’s different. When I hit 35,000 followers, I’ll give away $3,500 to 35 people ($100 each). To enter, you need to comment, like, and share this post, and Grok will select the winners! Thank you for the incredible support! EDUCATION ONLY, NFA! Welcome to XAPA's World!

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I'm often asked where I'd best open my long. I point to the pattern, it's played out perfectly so far. According to the pattern, this week could start bullish and then drop toward $73k. I see Bitcoin falling toward $73k–$75k over the next two weeks. I'll start scaling in from $75k with a max of 20% to avoid getting front-run. I expect a pump to $86k once Bitcoin reaches the $73k–$75k target. My largest order will be at $67.5k. You can see the Ichimoku Cycle Engine in the video, and you'll also recognize the similar behavioral pattern from 2023. the genius behind every indicator i am using is my brother Follow him, he deserves it! bitcoin:native

I'm often asked where I'd best open my long. I point to the pattern, it's played out perfectly so far. According to the pattern, this week could start bullish and then drop toward $73k. I see Bitcoin falling toward $73k–$75k over the next two weeks. I'll start scaling in from $75k with a max of 20% to avoid getting front-run. I expect a pump to $86k once Bitcoin reaches the $73k–$75k target. My largest order will be at $67.5k. You can see the Ichimoku Cycle Engine in the video, and you'll also recognize the similar behavioral pattern from 2023. the genius behind every indicator i am using is my brother Follow him, he deserves it! bitcoin:native

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The final stage of the pattern is about to play out or it will be invalidated. The final countdown starts now! It was to be expected that the $75k cluster would be reached, but i expected that for Monday. That’s why I showed you the Ichimoku Cycle Engine perspective, which unfortunately invalidated overnight. (last picture) It feels a bit like there are going to be delays. Since this is a high-timeframe (1W) pattern, delays or deviations may occur on lower timeframes than 1W. You can see that Bitcoin did not print another wick below the blue TEM in 2023. Will it be different this time? Make it or break it, it’s decision time. ⌛️ I will add more to my long around $75,500, scaling down to $73,000. After that I will only add more in the $67k–$69k zone. It doesn't necessarily mean it has to happen again! bitcoin:native

The final stage of the pattern is about to play out or it will be invalidated. The final countdown starts now! It was to be expected that the $75k cluster would be reached, but i expected that for Monday. That’s why I showed you the Ichimoku Cycle Engine perspective, which unfortunately invalidated overnight. (last picture) It feels a bit like there are going to be delays. Since this is a high-timeframe (1W) pattern, delays or deviations may occur on lower timeframes than 1W. You can see that Bitcoin did not print another wick below the blue TEM in 2023. Will it be different this time? Make it or break it, it’s decision time. ⌛️ I will add more to my long around $75,500, scaling down to $73,000. After that I will only add more in the $67k–$69k zone. It doesn't necessarily mean it has to happen again! bitcoin:native

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In 2023 BTC printed a sharp Thursday sell-off with wicks below the blue zone. This Thursday we printed wicks below it again, last wick at the exact same time as in 2023. If the pattern repeats this way, $87,000 looks next to me, followed by a drop into October. This thesis would only be confirmed if there is no rejection in the $83,000 range. A sweep of $75.5k is still on the table. That’s where I’d look to add to my longs. Since this is a high-timeframe (1W) pattern, delays or deviations may occur on lower timeframes than 1W. It doesn't necessarily mean it has to happen again! bitcoin:native

In 2023 BTC printed a sharp Thursday sell-off with wicks below the blue zone. This Thursday we printed wicks below it again, last wick at the exact same time as in 2023. If the pattern repeats this way, $87,000 looks next to me, followed by a drop into October. This thesis would only be confirmed if there is no rejection in the $83,000 range. A sweep of $75.5k is still on the table. That’s where I’d look to add to my longs. Since this is a high-timeframe (1W) pattern, delays or deviations may occur on lower timeframes than 1W. It doesn't necessarily mean it has to happen again! bitcoin:native

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In this video, I’m showing you the pattern from the perspective of the Ichimoku Cycle Engine indicator. In 2023, Bitcoin broke through the resistance, held above it, and then pumped for 16 hours, up to a maximum of 1 day and 8 hours. I expected that move for Tuesday, but it happened today. If the pattern continues from this Ichimoku Cycle Engine perspective, the final pump should run into Tuesday. $87,000 looks next to me, followed by a drop into October. This thesis only holds if there is no rejection in the $83,000 range. Since this is a high-timeframe (1W) pattern, delays or deviations may occur on lower timeframes than 1W. It doesn't necessarily mean it has to happen again! bitcoin:native

In this video, I’m showing you the pattern from the perspective of the Ichimoku Cycle Engine indicator. In 2023, Bitcoin broke through the resistance, held above it, and then pumped for 16 hours, up to a maximum of 1 day and 8 hours. I expected that move for Tuesday, but it happened today. If the pattern continues from this Ichimoku Cycle Engine perspective, the final pump should run into Tuesday. $87,000 looks next to me, followed by a drop into October. This thesis only holds if there is no rejection in the $83,000 range. Since this is a high-timeframe (1W) pattern, delays or deviations may occur on lower timeframes than 1W. It doesn't necessarily mean it has to happen again! bitcoin:native

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Whenever the Paranoia Indicator goes into the red zone on the 12-hour timeframe, a correction has followed. We’ve either dropped right around the moment the black bar entered the red zone, or we’ve been stuck in the overheated zone for multiple days, which then causes the black bar on higher timeframes to slide into the red area as well. I said Bitcoin would reject around 82,000 and it did. Now I’m watching for new scalp entries. Do not miss anything and join XAPA's World The Paranoia Indicator shows me the perfect long entries and the perfect exits. The brilliant genius behind that indicator is my brother At the Bitcoin Frontier 🦅 He deserves every follower. Make sure to follow him. bitcoin:native

Whenever the Paranoia Indicator goes into the red zone on the 12-hour timeframe, a correction has followed. We’ve either dropped right around the moment the black bar entered the red zone, or we’ve been stuck in the overheated zone for multiple days, which then causes the black bar on higher timeframes to slide into the red area as well. I said Bitcoin would reject around 82,000 and it did. Now I’m watching for new scalp entries. Do not miss anything and join XAPA's World The Paranoia Indicator shows me the perfect long entries and the perfect exits. The brilliant genius behind that indicator is my brother At the Bitcoin Frontier 🦅 He deserves every follower. Make sure to follow him. bitcoin:native

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The moment Bitcoin succeeds in reclaiming this zone serves as a warning signal to all bears. The bull rally is imminent. ✅ It is the first time that we have reclaimed the red box around $78,500 and flipped it to support. (second picture) Good chance to touch $82k–$86k! I am looking for a short position between $83,300 and $85,500. I would never short that strong market if I weren’t still remaining in my long position from $64,000. There is a good chance of a rejection around $82,000, but I am not interested in shorts, only at the max targets. Check out the last attachment of this post, you can clearly see the targets on the video. Check out the video in my previous thread to understand the Ichimoku cycle engine. Coded by At the Bitcoin Frontier 🦅 bitcoin:native

The moment Bitcoin succeeds in reclaiming this zone serves as a warning signal to all bears. The bull rally is imminent. ✅ It is the first time that we have reclaimed the red box around $78,500 and flipped it to support. (second picture) Good chance to touch $82k–$86k! I am looking for a short position between $83,300 and $85,500. I would never short that strong market if I weren’t still remaining in my long position from $64,000. There is a good chance of a rejection around $82,000, but I am not interested in shorts, only at the max targets. Check out the last attachment of this post, you can clearly see the targets on the video. Check out the video in my previous thread to understand the Ichimoku cycle engine. Coded by At the Bitcoin Frontier 🦅 bitcoin:native

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You already know the Paranoia Indicator and what happens when the black bar goes into the red zone. This time I’ll show you what happens whenever the black bar enters the green zone on the 12-hour timeframe. Of course, you also have to be able to understand when we’re in an uptrend and when we're in a downtrend. The Paranoia Indicator shows good long entries and the perfect exits. There’s still a chance to hit $73k to $75.5k, check out my previous Thread! The brilliant genius behind that indicator is my brother At the Bitcoin Frontier 🦅 He deserves every follower, make sure to follow him. bitcoin:native

You already know the Paranoia Indicator and what happens when the black bar goes into the red zone. This time I’ll show you what happens whenever the black bar enters the green zone on the 12-hour timeframe. Of course, you also have to be able to understand when we’re in an uptrend and when we're in a downtrend. The Paranoia Indicator shows good long entries and the perfect exits. There’s still a chance to hit $73k to $75.5k, check out my previous Thread! The brilliant genius behind that indicator is my brother At the Bitcoin Frontier 🦅 He deserves every follower, make sure to follow him. bitcoin:native

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Let’s briefly look back at what actually happened back then, before the breakout was visible, as in the August thread. In 2023, the final bottom formed 147 to 161 days after the wick outside the blue TEM zone. The 161 days are explained by COVID, the FTX crash, and a two-week delay with a price difference of less than 1%. What matters is the time interval itself. It took 245 days to reach the top. The move from the wick outside the blue TEM zone to the top was +43.5%. From the last low, Bitcoin pumped for three weeks, then moved sideways for three weeks, and after that consolidation gained more than +24% within one week. The impulse ended after exactly three weeks with the first sign of weakness and a pullback of -11%. The highest high formed in week six. After that, price dropped -22%. From the end of the three-week sideways phase to the peak, it took 42 days. In 2026, the final bottom formed 147 days after the wick outside the blue TEM zone. It took 231 days to reach the top, without the two-week delay from back then. The move from the wick outside the blue TEM zone to the top is +45.5%. Here as well, Bitcoin pumped for three weeks from the last low, then moved sideways for three weeks, and after that consolidation gained more than +24% within one week. After exactly three weeks came the first sign of weakness and a pullback of -9%. The highest high formed again in week six and therefore lines up with the current week. From the end of the three-week sideways phase to the peak, it again took 42 days. A final upside impulse is possible and cannot be ruled out. If the structure repeats 1:1, the local top is already in. The key levels are the 50-week EMA/SMA . If Bitcoin finds support there, the path toward $100,000 remains open! If the pattern repeats 1:1, Bitcoin would likely sit around $78–79k next week, then pump into $82/83k. What matters is whether this range holds. The pattern is too precise to dismiss as coincidence. bitcoin:native

XAPA

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xapa03's profile picture

I’ve been mapping this HTF pattern onto the LTF for weeks now, with very high precision. Delays can still happen because this is an HTF pattern on the weekly timeframe. After I said Bitcoin would reach the $84,600–$85,600 zone and get rejected there and it played out exactly that way, I want to explain why I thought that and what I expect next. Measured from the number 8 (you see the pattern on the 8H timeframe, but the overall pattern in this video was drawn on the 3D timeframe), one day before the breakout, it took 24–27 days for Bitcoin to find its low. Bitcoin still needed a maximum wick into the orange zone between $84,600 and $85,600. You can see that in 2023 the wick into the orange zone happened, and the next 8-hour candle pumped only 0.41% and got rejected below the orange TEM zone. You can follow the rest of the move in the video. The same scenario played out again today. Exact wick into the orange TEM zone, then the next 8H candle started bullish with a +0.40% pump and got rejected below the orange TEM zone. $85,600 was hit, euphoria kicked into the market, impatience got punished, and late longs are now trapped. If the pattern continues to play out on the LTF with the same high precision, I first expect a drop to $82,300, followed by another drop toward $80,000. If it plays out that way, I expect a wick above the orange zone once again, before it drops further towards the $79,000–$75,000 range. It’s not the time to be bearish. Bitcoin looks extremely strong, the $82,000–$83,000 zone is holding beautifully. I still expect Bitcoin to drop below $80,000, but I’m not betting on it. I’m preparing for the next brutal pump and will start building my swing position. Because the TEM zones move with price and levels can shift, the targets can change as well, I’ll keep posting daily updates. It doesn't necessarily mean it has to happen again! Since this is a high-timeframe (1W) pattern, delays or deviations may occur on lower timeframes than 1W.

XAPA

33,938 просмотров • 13 дней назад