🚨 A MASSIVE Shift happened overnight with the Weather... Models that has pushed the heaviest Snow Zone roughly 200 miles north ⬆️ ❄️ This means areas like Ohio, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Pennsylvania, and even parts of the Northeast may now see higher Snow totals than previously expected. 🧊 On the flip side, this shift also increases the risk of Sleet and Freezing Rain for areas that were hoping for Snow, including Tennessee, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Virginia, and the Carolinas. ⚠️ IMPORTANT: These shifts DO NOT remove the threat of a CRIPPLING Ice Storm in the South. That risk has not changed. Places like Texas, Mississippi, Tennessee, Georgia, Alabama, Virginia, and the Carolinas should prepare NOW for potentially crippling ice accumulations. ‼️WE ARE STILL EXPECTING MORE SHIFTS IN THE FUTURE. But this is now a Trend we need to watch CLOSELY‼️ 👀 I’ll keep watching the models LIKE A HAWK 🦅 👊 See you on the next one, my brotherenshow more

⬆️The NORTHERN TRENDS are holding (for now) in the... latest 12z model runs that came in just now. ❄️ Most Guidance now places the heaviest Snow Zone from Oklahoma through southern Missouri, Kentucky, southern Indiana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and into the lower Northeast. 🌨️ Snow Totals in the hardest hit areas will likely accumulate to 6–12 inches, with someone likely topping a Foot+. ↕️More Shifts are still likely over the next 48 hours, so I’ll continue posting updates as trends evolve. 🧊 FREEZING RAIN STILL remains a major concern in the South, with devastating Ice Accumulations still possible in some areas. These northern shifts do NOT change the overall impact. This is still a HIGH IMPACT Winter Storm for millions. More updates to come. I’m pulling for EPIC Snow for all of you. 👊 See you on the next one, my brotherenshow more

🚨 People across the South need to start preparing... for a potentially HISTORIC Winter Storm this weekend. 🧊Models continues to point toward a Major Ice Storm combined with a multi day period of Snow and Freezing Rain, with wintry precipitation lasting from Friday into Monday morning in some areas. That duration alone raises MASSIVE red flags. 📊 Nearly every major weather model and its ensembles are now on board with this scenario, showing widespread Ice Accumulations that could reach 0.5 to 1 inch in spots. Anything over 0.25 inches is destructive, with a high risk of widespread power outages and roads that are undrivable. 🌨️ Snow Totals could also be significant, with areas that normally see NO SNOW ALL YEAR, picking up 6 inches or significantly more in parts of the South. 📍 The areas most at risk include Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Tennessee, Alabama, Georgia, the Carolinas, and Virginia. This is a serious setup with the potential for long lasting and far reaching impacts. I would start at least coming up with a plan in case roads are hazardous this weekend. 👀 I’ll stay on this closely, my brotheren.show more

🚨Models are starting to LOCK IN on where the... Heaviest Snow and Strongest Winds will be with our upcoming Bomb Cyclone. ✅ Every Weather Model is now on board with a DUMPING of snow across the Carolinas, with some spots getting several inches and some spots getting up to 1 Foot! ❄️ The highest Snow Totals will fall closest to the center of the Nor’easter in coastal North Carolina and Virginia, where up to a foot of snow is possible. 🎯 Cities like Raleigh, Wilmington, Virginia Beach, and the Outer Banks will see Blizzard conditions for much of the day Saturday as snow piles up and winds really start to CRANK. ⬅️ Further inland, Heavy Snow is also likely in Charlotte, Columbia, Greenville, and Asheville, with totals generally in the 3–6 inch range. 🌨️ Elsewhere in the Northeast, models currently agree this storm largely misses you, with lighter snow of 2–4 inches possible in Delaware, Maryland, and into Nantucket. ➡️⬅️ There is still time for small east or west shifts, but each new model run lowers those odds. ⚠️ We know this will be a big storm for our Carolina brotheren. Winter Storm Watches are already out, and several may be upgraded to Blizzard Warnings by Friday. 🔒 Lock in, my brotheren. A Blizzard is coming. ❄️🌬️show more

❄️ SNOWFALL REPORT: Week of 1/18 – 1/25 ❄️... This is a another BIG one. A HIGH IMPACT Winter Storm could develop late this upcoming week, with the potential to bring Heavy Snow and Ice to parts of the country. 🌨️ The heaviest Snow will likely fall on the north side of this storm Friday - Sunday, wherever it ultimately tracks. As we move through the week, I would not be surprised to see Winter Storm Watches and Warnings issued as it becomes more clear where this storm will setup. ❄️When it comes to exact locations and Snow totals, we are still WAY too far out to pin that down. That said, the most likely SNOW ZONE appears to be somewhere within the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys, though this will almost certainly shift as we get closer. ❄️Elsewhere, the Midwest will see a few rounds of light to moderate Snow Monday through Wednesday as a series of Alberta Clippers pass through. These should be minor systems, generally producing a few inches. ❄️ Boston, NYC, and parts of the Northeast will start the week with a healthy dose of Snow, with 4-5 inches possible by Monday morning. 🏔️ Out West, the Rocky Mountains from Colorado through Wyoming, Montana, and Idaho should pick up significant Mountain Snow, with over a foot possible in higher elevations. 🏔️The Cascades in Washington and Oregon will also see Snowfall, with a few feet possible in favored areas. ❄️The MAIN THING to remember this week: whoever gets hit by the late week Winter Storm could get A LOT of Snow, but there will also be plenty of busts nearby. That’s the nature of these storms. 👀 I’ll be watching this late week storm LIKE A HAWK 🦅and will post updated maps as details become clearer. ❄️ Get ready, my brotheren. This is shaping up to be an exciting week of weather tracking. May the odds of Snow be ever in your favorshow more

⚠️ I can’t overstate how CATOSTROPHIC this Ice Storm... could be if the models are even half right. 🧊The Model AVERAGES are showing around 1 inch of Ice Accumulation from Texas, through Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, Georgia, Alabama, and into the Carolinas. Some Models (like the generally reliable Euro Model) even have a crippling 1-2" of Ice accumulating there. 🧊 To put Ice amounts into perspective: 🧊0.25” – Highly disruptive. Iced roads, scattered power outages, tree and line damage. 🧊0.5” – CRIPPLING. Severe tree damage and widespread, long-lasting power outages. 🧊1” or more – Catastrophic. Infrastructure failure, impassable roads, and weeks-long power outages. ⚠️ This is why this setup is so concerning. A prolonged, multi-day freezing rain event would lead to disastrous ice accumulations. 🙏 Let’s hope the models are overdoing this, because if they aren’t, the South could be in serious trouble. Don't panic yet. There is still time for trends to change. I'll be live at 7:00pm ET to talk through this. Hang in there. I'll help get you through this my brotherenshow more

⚠️ I’m not liking the way this Winter Storm... is trending for our Texas brotheren.... One aspect that isn’t being talked about enough is the combination of significant Ice Accumulations followed by days of Brutal Cold. If Texas were to receive even a fraction of the ice currently being shown, widespread power outages would become a real concern. With frigid air rushing in behind the storm, temperatures could remain at or below freezing for days, making recovery much harder. This will not be as cold as the deadly Winter Storm of 2021, but the dangerous combination of ice and prolonged cold will still be there. 🌡️ Some areas could see temperatures 30 to 40 degrees below average after the storm, which would compound impacts if outages occur. I’m not saying panic, my Texas brotheren, but this is a situation worth paying attention to and preparing for if current trends hold. 👀 I’ll be watching this LIKE A HAWK 🦅show more

⭐️❄️ 1ST CALL SNOW MAP ❄️⭐️ I’m comfortable enough... now to put real numbers on a forecast map — not raw model output, but a forecast built from actual meteorological reasoning. This forecast is based on: • Snow ratios • Lower DGZ placement • Front-end focused snowfall • Dry dew points early • Mixing potential near 800 mb (~6,000 ft) as coastal redevelopment occurs 🩶 ZONE 1: 4–6" Lower Manhattan • Long Island • NJ Coast • Philadelphia The front end of this storm should deliver 4–6" of snow, with locally higher amounts, before a transition to sleet and possibly freezing rain. ⚠️ I do NOT see this turning into “just rain.” Ground temperatures will be in the upper teens to lower 20s — meaning freezing rain is a legitimate concern and should not be ignored. 🟦 ZONE 2: 6–10" Interior North/Central NJ • North Shore LI • Upper Boroughs • Lower Westchester • Lower Fairfield CT Soundings support some sleet here, but also a longer-duration front-end snowfall. This is a challenging transition zone — and there is still a realistic scenario where no meaningful changeover occurs due to strong dynamics. ➡️ Higher-end totals are very much on the table. 🟪 ZONE 3: 10–15" NW NJ • Poconos • Lower Hudson Valley • Central CT This area benefits from very high snow ratios for nearly 90% of the storm before eventually shifting to wetter snow. I am very confident that areas in purple do not switch to sleet or freezing rain. This is the jackpot zone. 📌 SIDE THOUGHTS This is my First Call. Adjustments will be made. Forecasting for more than 7+ million homes is never perfect — especially in a setup with this many microclimates and boundary-layer challenges. But this is the best possible forecast with the data we have right now. More updates coming. Stay tuned ON tv UNTIL 10AM PIX11 News ❄️📺show more

‼️I don't think people are grasping how MISERABLE this... Winter Storm will be. This Winter Storm will be NOTHING like last week’s storm❌ 🥶 Portions of the Carolinas will turn into SIBERIA on Saturday, as Hurricane Force Wind gusts and close to a FOOT of Snow fall at the same time. 🌀 Our Storm is what’s called a BOMB CYCLONE, meaning it is a rapidly strengthening Low Pressure System. 💨 Instead of a calm, steady Snow, conditions will be ABSOLUTELY BRUTAL inside the core of the storm as Blizzard like Snow and Wind WHIP around. 🌡️ On top of that, Temperatures will be Frigid, with Wind Chills close to 0. I’ll have another update later tonight, but right now this is looking like a BIG ONE for our Carolina brotheren. More to come my brotheren. 👊❄️show more

🚨 The Western US is about to get RAILED... by Snow. This begins early next week as an Atmospheric River of Moisture absolutely BLASTS the West Coast. ❄️ The heaviest Snow will fall in the Sierra Nevada, where up to 100 inches, nearly 8 FEET, could pile up mainly Monday through Wednesday. 🏔️ Heavy Snow is also likely in the Rockies, where places like Colorado and Utah have been STARVED for Snow. Multiple waves of Moisture could bring 1 Foot or more over several days. 🏔️ The Cascades get in on the action too, with up to 1 Foot or more possible. Some Snow arrives this weekend, with another stronger round next Wednesday. 🌧️ Lower elevations in California and Washington could see Flooding Rain, with localized totals pushing 3 inches or more. Overall, this is WELCOME news for our West Coast brotheren who have seen very little Snow over the past month. 👊 Enjoy the Snow and Rain, my brotheren.show more

🚨 An absolutely LUDICROUS amount of Snow is about... to fall out West as a TRAIN of Storms pushes onshore. ❌This comes as our West Coast brotheren have been dealing with RECORD low Snowpack, with many ski resorts forced to close parts of their mountains due to a lack of Snow. That is ALL about to change next week as an Atmospheric River delivers a near constant FEED of moisture into the West. ❄️ The heaviest Snow remains on track to fall in the Sierra Nevada, where 4 to 8 FEET or more could pile up early this week. 🏔️ Heavy Snow will also dump into the Rockies, including Colorado and Utah. Here, 1 Foot or more could fall over several days. 🌲 The Cascades will see PLENTY of Snow as well, with 1 to 2 FEET likely in the higher elevations. 🌧️ Lower elevations along the West Coast, including Seattle, could see a few Snow Flakes mix in, but little to no accumulation is expected. ✅This is FANTASTIC news for our mountain loving brotheren out West who have been DYING for Snow. It will also do wonders for the California and Rocky Mountain Snowpack, which desperately needs the boost. 👊 Enjoy the Snow, my mountain loving brotheren.show more

⚠️A VERY ACTIVE Weather Pattern is setting up next... week, bringing MULTIPLE chances for major Winter Storms to sweep through the US. 🥶👊🔥This setup features a BATTLEGROUND of Warm Tropical Air clashing with Frigid Polar Air, creating an environment that is ripe for Winter Storm development. ❓Specific storm details are still VERY much up in the air, and we should not treat any single model run as gospel at this point. I'm only showing this GFS run as an example. 🌨️ The key takeaway is that the pattern is right, and Heavy Snow, Ice, and Wind are all on the table somewhere across the country. ❄️ Hang in there, my US Snow brotheren. More details to come....show more

Trend towards some #snow around #Chicago for later Saturday... into Sunday is still on the board Now 4 of 5 models put some snow into the area as the monster winter storm passes well to our south Frosty fly in the ointment is the impact of lake effect snow materializing, or not. That’s the difference of a little to 3”, or the 8-9” advertised by the UK model Short range hi res models still 2 days out til we see that, but wording has dropped into the official long range NWS forecast for this chance of snow for the 2nd half of the weekend All of this of course follows our deepest freeze in 7 years that kicks in about midnight Thursday and will get some -30° and dare I say -40° wind chills by sunrise Friday. Talk about model agreement? 14 models all go at least -20°show more

⬆️The 00z GFS just made a HUGE shift north,... bringing it much more in line with the latest European Model. ⬆️⬆️Over the past 4 runs, the GFS has been steadily trending north, which makes this a trend worth watching, not just senseless Model noise. ‼️It’s still very important NOT to overreact to any single model run, but when you see consistent movement like this, it matters. 😴 I’m exhausted from a long day of work and weather tracking. More updates tomorrow. Sleep well, my brotheren.show more

World Models are the path for some AI Models... in the future. But how can we efficiently train these models to not only see the world the way humans do but to see the world in a new and unique way. By visualizing, what is normally sequenced audio patterns, we can derive much more insights. Here we see Paganini in a visual form that can than be described and transcribed into a World Model. We can observe connections in a manner that may not have been clear prior to the digitalization of music and sound in this way. The company with the most valuable potential in building a World Model is Tesla. Not that this type of visualization is being used, but that the mechanisms are in place, and the technology is in place for the company to thrive in this new form of AI.show more

❄️ One thing that’s NOT being talked about enough:... Snow Ratios with this Storm could be WAY higher than 10:1, meaning there's a chance our Storm OVERPERFORMS A normal storm is around 10:1 (10 inches of snow from 1 inch of liquid). But when Arctic air is in place, snowflakes grow lighter, fluffier, and more efficient, and ratios SKYROCKET. Our Storm has: ✅ Arctic air firmly in place ✅ Ideal snow forming temps aloft (-12°F to -24°F) ✅ A very solid upper-level temperature profile ➡️ That supports 12:1 or even 15:1 snow ratios in spots. Every inch of liquid turns into WAY more snow. ⬇️ Bottom line: This is the kind of setup where storms *could OVERPERFORM. I would not be surprised if some areas push close to 1.5 FEET of Snow where ratios are highest. Now, I do think the Kuchera Snow Ratios are overdone, but they are likely closer than the simple 10:1 Snow ratios being show everywhere. Going to be VERY interesting to watch, my Snow-loving brotheren 👀❄️show more

Woke up to severe rain before 5am this morning.... Got a flash flood alert about 6:00. What is falling from the sky right now? It’s more than just water. It’s easy to see with the naked eye but trying to capture it on video is not easy. You might think everything is just a rain drop but these small particles aren’t falling like the rain is, more like floating to the ground. If it was winter I might assume it’s snow but it’s not. On this clip everything that looks like a line is rain. Watch the speed it falls and compare it to the small particles that are traveling much slower. Some of the small bits are flying sideways and up. That’s not rain.show more

I've uncovered a bit more about FSD V14's behavior... in the snow. FSD has an invisible & binary "Snow Mode" where it shifts in and out of a different profile upon detection of snow-covered roads. Snow Mode is either ON or OFF. It does not appear to be a gradient based on condition severity. Example: In the video below, you can see tiny bits of snow drifting across the highway surface. Before this snow appeared, FSD drove normally (at the speed limit or above). When it saw this snow, it instantly slowed to 10-15mph under the speed limit. Then, when the snow cleared, it sped back up. It did this multiple times over a 10 mile drive: >Drive Normally >Detect Snow >Enter Snow Mode >Slow Down >Snow is gone >Exit Snow Mode >Drive Normally In this particular instance driving between various conditions, Snow Mode was unnecessary for this type of snow drifting. Pressing the accelerator or increasing the speed profile does NOT override Snow Mode. Elon said last year they may need to create different versions of FSD for different regions, driving types, and weather (Deep snow vs. Manhattan, etc). This may be our first look at that separated version of FSD that is activated under a certain condition!show more

Quick update from Clark LeClair Stadium Looks like they... are tryin to blow the snow/ice off of the tarp for starters. Parking lot still has a lot of ice… but I’d imagine that will melt pretty well There is probably a 1-2” layer of ice on top of the entire field and surrounding ground. The groundscrew has their work cut out for them…. But nobody better in the business to tackle itshow more