Another PCA Classic yesterday, the difficult play he makes... look routine. Just 40% catch prob. What is the eye test missing? Great jump, elite speed, and he was positioned well into right-center.show more

This is the kind of play that eye testers... have a hard time with, but also shows why catch probability is so useful. This ball had just a 55% catch probability, and is just made to look so easy by Ceddanne Rafaela. It's all about what you don't see on the screen, because it happens before the camera is on the play. The jump is 9.0 feet above average. He was positioned well into right-center. Lesser outfielders win catch on the week on this one with a full extension dive.show more

This Wyatt Langford catch from yesterday is a great... example of why catch probability is good to know. Just a 45% catch probability here. Why? Any MLB outfielder catches this ball if they get there. Most can't get there. Langford's jump is elite, +8.7 feet above the average outfielder. The jump is so good he doesn't even have to get up to top speed. This is just a routine double into the gap much of the time, and the TV viewer thinks nothing of it:show more

another angle… the leg strength this takes is insane…... and the squat uses up the speed into the jump too yet it's a huge jump… there is truly no difficult entry he can't do into a quadshow more

Yesterday's best outfield catch! Just a 45% catch probability.... Looks like a routine play, no? Why is it so special? Because of what happens before the camera is on PCA. This is why the eye test is poor for fielding. A +10.7 feet jump, just remarkable, allows him to cruise to the ball, covering 77 feet in 4.2 seconds. Jump is player movement in the first three seconds from pitch release. Most MLB outfielders don't catch this one, and many who do are diving...show more

Pretty routine catch by Cam Smith, no? No. Only... 60% of MLB outfielders catch this ball, and most make it look much tougher, many even diving. Why? It's what happens before the camera is on the play. The jump, and then the route. Jump: +5.6 feet above average Route: 99% route efficiency (Oh, and he homered twice as well, let the kids play!)show more

You didn't notice this play, did you? Not a... single request. Makes sense, he didn't even need to dive. 35% catch probability. Isaac Collins is #1 in the league in jumps, leading PCA and Rafaela by nearly two feet. His jump on this ball was +11.7 feet above average, just astounding. Collins had to cover 115 feet. He makes it look incredibly easy, all due to that jump.show more

Daulton Varsho: Catch Probability 25%... he now has an... MLB-leading 11 "non-routine" outfield outs this season (oh, and the jump was absolutely elite too)show more

Fernando Tatis Jr. had a nearly perfect catch in... Yankee Stadium, and he executed it so well that it hasn't gotten much acclaim! Just 15% initial catch probability, what makes this catch so special happens before the camera is on him. +6.9 feet of jump above average, and back toward the wall. The route efficiency was elite, 97.9%. Not only are very few outfielders getting to this, most who do have to make it look spectacular.show more

Some people are tired of PCA highlights, but he... just keeps making plays. Just 35% on this ball last night. The jump and speed are so good he's able to make a casual catch in front of the wall instead of slamming into it. +8 OAA and +9 DRS in 30 games.show more

Adolis makes the difficult look routine. 🫡

Just ran into Steve Letarte and he’s like “go... look at the line for the merchandise tent.” Huh? Well, he was right…check this out. 🤯show more

Routine catch here by Cody Bellinger, the best defensive... LF in baseball. The out probability on this play from Statcast is just 45%, but his outstanding read and jump make everything we see look simple:show more

Play Two: PCA robs Tommy Edman on a liner... into the gap. Just a 10% probability, and he doesn't even have to dive! Why? An otherworldly +14.8 feet above average in his jump.show more

Pete Crow-Armstrong is a wizard in CF! Two plays!... 🧵 Play One: How good is PCA? This ball (a single) had a ZERO PERCENT catch probability! He covered an insane 43 feet in his "jump", and the play didn't even last long enough to be considered a full jump!show more

Catch of the Day- By the Numbers The first... 5-star catch of the season for the reigning champ, Pete Crow-Armstrong! PCA did what he does best, making a 5% probability play look much easier than it was. 69 feet in 3.9 seconds with a smooth sliding grab.show more

Just look at the distance on that jump... 🤯... How's he doing this at 40???show more

This is just such a great play by Barkov... you literally just look at what he did and you say Jesus Christshow more

Pete Crow-Armstrong did it again yesterday, snagging this Mike... Trout rocket that had a catch probability of just 35%. Nobody makes plays look easier (so easy that many don't believe the numbers). Just check out how fast he's already moving when the camera gets to him, his brilliance is in the first second of the play into his top 1% speed.show more

There is just no way he got that far... Into the water. Not like he was running very fast. We used to jump off waterfalls with some serious speed and would get maybe 20 feet away from the falls... I don't buy itshow more

People are wondering what Rickie Fowler was looking at... after he won the Rocket Mortgage Classic yesterday.show more