⚡️BREAKDOWN: Bondholders are offering the US Treasury about 10x... its long-end buyback cap. Treasury runs liquidity support buybacks in the 10 to 30 year sectors, capped at $2 BILLION per operation. On Tuesday holders offered $19.87 BILLION. Treasury ended up taking $2 BILLION. Across 22 long-end operations this year, holders have offered more than $520 BILLION against a combined cap of $44 BILLION. When the first long-end operation ran in June 2024, offers covered the cap 1.93 times. On Tuesday they covered it 9.93 times. So Treasury doubled the cap, to at least $4 BILLION per operation from September 9 through November 4. Its stated reason was the "significant volume of high-quality offers" it keeps receiving. Even at $4 BILLION, that is negligible in a market worth $32.2 TRILLION, per Reuters. For context, Treasury launched the 2000 buyback program during an era of budget surpluses. That fiscal year closed with a $237 BILLION surplus, the largest ever recorded in nominal terms, as the government paid down publicly held debt. Today the stated purpose is liquidity support, the deficit is projected at around $2 TRILLION, and the national debt has crossed $40 TRILLION.show more

Coin Bureau
36,987 次观看 • 13 天前
The world just paid $2 trillion for a rocket... company that lost $4.9 billion last year. And the rockets are not why it lost the money. They are the only part making any. SpaceX went public Friday, the largest IPO in history. Up 19%, a $2 trillion valuation, Elon Musk the first trillionaire. Then you open the filing. Three businesses sit inside it. Starlink, the satellites, brought in $11.4 billion, 61% of all revenue, and $4.4 billion in profit. It is the only piece that earns a dollar. The rockets that land themselves run a small loss reinvesting in Starship. And the AI arm, Grok plus the app once called Twitter, folded in this February, lost $6.4 billion in a single year on $12.7 billion of spending. Read that again. The satellites pay for everything. The AI loses more than the satellites make. And the AI is the part the market fell in love with. It gets bolder. The prospectus claims a total market of $28.5 trillion, the largest any company has ever put in a filing. Larger than the GDP of the United States. That is the number underwriting a $2 trillion price tag built on a division bleeding $6 billion a year. Now the structure. About 4% of the company trades. That sliver sets the price for all of it. Musk is locked up for 366 days and holds roughly 80% of the votes. The public bought a company they cannot steer, priced on the one segment losing the most. This is the whole year in one ticker. The profit is satellites. The story is AI. The market bought the story. The rockets were never the risk. The risk is a $2 trillion price resting on the one bet that has yet to make a cent.show more

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
722,020 次观看 • 2 个月前
Three of the biggest companies in the world are... going public at the same time. The market has never seen anything like this. And this is how major bubbles peak. SpaceX is targeting a June 2026 IPO raising up to $75 billion at a $1.5 trillion valuation, the largest IPO in human history, bigger than Saudi Aramco's $29 billion raise in 2019. OpenAI is filing with the SEC targeting September 2026, raising at least $60 billion at a $1 trillion valuation. The company is losing $14 billion this year alone and won't be profitable until 2029. Anthropic just raised $30 billion in February 2026 at a $380 billion valuation. Its valuation has increased 15x in just 14 months. It is now preparing what could be a $900 billion private round before going public. Combined, these three IPOs could pull $200 billion from global capital markets. That is real. That is unprecedented. And here's the real risk. OpenAI is projected to lose $44 billion cumulatively before reaching profitability. Anthropic's valuation has risen 15x in 14 months on the same underlying business. Both companies are being priced for perfection at a moment when the first companies to actually deploy their products at scale are blowing their AI budgets and cancelling licenses. The real liquidation pressure from these IPOs doesn't even arrive at listing day. It arrives 180 days later when lock-up periods expire and early investors and employees can finally sell. That is when the real rotation happens. The S&P 500 concentration risk is genuine. The Magnificent 7 now represent 36% of the entire index, higher than the dot-com peak in 2000. If any of these companies disappoint, the index follows. That is not a conspiracy. That is basic math. Three historically unprecedented IPOs. $44 billion in projected OpenAI losses. An AI capex cycle that must deliver ROI. Lock-up expirations six months after listing. That combination is what you must pay attention to, as it often break cycles.show more

Crypto Rover
69,902 次观看 • 3 个月前
‼️🇩🇪 BREAKING | The German government has approved the... draft for a 2027 "super-militaristic" state budget. Under this plan, the core defense budget is set at €105.8 billion. This will be supplemented by €27.5 billion mobilized into a special defense fund—a result of abolishing the "debt brake" mechanism—plus €11 billion allocated for direct defense budgetary assistance to Ukraine. Additionally, €58.2 billion has been earmarked for indirect defense spending focused on the modernization of logistics and infrastructure (ports, airfields, highways, and bridges). Consequently, it is fair to say that in 2027, Germany will spend over €200 billion on defense and defense-related matters. Crucially, this is not a one-time surge. Defense spending is projected to leap forward annually, bolstered by the removal of the debt brake and the potential to mobilize €500 billion in loans for the defense sector. This will significantly increase the net defense budget, which could potentially reach €300–350 billion per year within the next 3 to 5 years. Video is made Grok AIshow more

Visioner
106,536 次观看 • 4 个月前
The US Treasury bought yen on Friday and paid... for it in euros. Then it pointed Tokyo at a Federal Reserve facility that turns US Treasuries into dollars without selling them. The bond Washington feared Japan might dump is now the collateral for not dumping it. The Fed wrote that purpose down in 2020. Three dates. July 23rd. The Japanese yen hits 163.99 per American dollar, weakest since 1986. July 29th. The Fed holds at 3.50 to 3.75 percent, three officials dissent for a hike, and the 30-year Treasury closes at 5.21 percent, highest since 2007. July 31st. The New York Fed sells euros and buys yen for the Treasury through Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, per the Financial Times. A notepad in front of Scott Bessent at Camp David is photographed at 11.33 that morning reading buy Japanese yen 5 to 10 billion. First US operation to strengthen the yen since 1998. August 3rd. Tokyo confirms, and says it will tap the Fed's FIMA repo facility. Long yields fall. Paying in euros was the tell. Selling American dollars to buy Japanese Yen would have broadcast a weak dollar policy with US core inflation at 3.3 percent. Washington sold its own euro reserves instead and bought the yen support without the signal. The facility is the real story here folks! FIMA lets an approved foreign central bank hand Treasuries to the Fed for dollars, up to 60 billion outstanding per counterparty, on terms out to seven days, then take them back. When the Fed extended it in July 2020 it said in writing that the facility would support the Treasury market by supplying dollars "other than sales of securities in the open market." That machine was built 6 years ago for exactly this situation. Last week it was aimed for the first time. Follow the loop very carefully. A weak yen forces Tokyo to buy yen. Buying yen burns dollar reserves, and Japan's reserves have already fallen from 1.41 trillion in February to 1.31 trillion at the end of May, 77 billion of it in May alone. Rebuilding them by selling Treasuries lifts US yields. FIMA lends dollars against those same Treasuries instead, and the bonds never reach the market. One security, three roles. The asset at risk. The collateral the Fed accepts. The funding for the currency defense. Now the part that decides everything. FIMA is open to central banks and official institutions. It is closed to Japanese banks, insurers, pension funds, and every leveraged carry book on earth. The trillion plus of Treasuries attributed to Japan in US data is a country total covering all Japanese holders, not a government portfolio.... Washington has built a firewall around the official seller. There is none around the private one. The Bank of Japan held at 1%, 8 to 1, one member pushing 1.25%. Headline core inflation reads 1.6 percent while the bank forecasts core clearly above 2 percent in the second half of the fiscal year, citing wages, oil and the weak yen. September is live and nothing is promised. The Fed sits at 3.50 to 3.75. The gap runs 2.5 points at its narrowest. US jobs land Friday. Washington can repo away a government's need to sell. It cannot repo away everyone else's decision to.show more

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
228,038 次观看 • 1 个月前
🚨 THIS IS ABSOLUTELY INSANE: Elon Musk is now... worth over $1.3 TRILLION. He could become the world's first MULTI-TRILLIONAIRE. SpaceX is up 11% PREMARKET. On top of a 40% surge in its first two days. Since the IPO, it has added over $750 BILLION in market cap. In three trading sessions. Let that number sink in. SpaceX is now worth more than the entire crypto market. It's worth more than the entire economy of Russia. Only Nvidia, Apple and Alphabet are ahead now.show more

CryptoGoos
40,378 次观看 • 2 个月前
Morningstar ran a discounted cash flow model on SpaceX... and got $780 billion. Damodaran's range tops out near $1 trillion. The market says $2.65 trillion. Same company. That gap is not a verdict on rockets. It is about who is doing the buying. Retail was handed more than 20 percent of this IPO, against a 5 to 10 percent norm, and threw over $100 billion of orders at it. Then the index funds, fast tracked into the benchmarks, forced to buy an estimated $22 to $27 billion of the stock at any price, because a rule says so, not because anyone ran a model. Now the calendar. About 4 percent of the company trades today. The first insider unlock opens around August and keeps coming through December, eventually freeing multiples of that float. So the forced money and the chasing money arrive at almost exactly the moment the earliest investors and employees can finally sell. A loss-making company at 140 times sales, trading at roughly three times the value those cash flow models can find, held up by buyers who mostly had no choice or no spreadsheet. Whether that demand swallows the unlock or chokes on it is the only open question left. The supply was always going to arrive. The piece is about who is on the other side of that trade.show more

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
98,414 次观看 • 2 个月前
The US govt debt just reached a new all-time... high of $39.5 trillion. It will reach $40 trillion within 3 or 4 months. 42% of all income tax revenue now goes to paying interest on the national debt. The debt will never be reduced. When bonds come due, the govt refinances at the current higher rates. This increases interest payments the govt pays. in the next 12 months, about $9 trillion in US govt debt will come due. The US treasury will need to refinance $9 trillion, plus they need to sell over $2 trillion in additional bonds (new debt) to cover the govt budget deficit. The key issue you have to consider is how this will affect you and your family. The US govt debt is swallowing the budget. The interest payments will likely consume more than 50% of all income tax revenue in a few years. At some point this financial Ponzi causes bond buyers to demand higher rates for the risk of owning US govt debt. The US govt will always pay it's debt, but if the Fed has to print money (digitally) to monetize the debt, then the US dollar declines in value. That affects your buying power and quality of life dramatically. Everything gets more expensive, but your income doesn't keep up with the process.show more

Wall Street Mav
204,698 次观看 • 1 个月前
Aster's burn switch flips, and the market answers aster-2:native... ripped to a new local high within hours of its buyback-and-burn going live. The token jumped to $0.79 before settling near $0.73, up 12% on the day, with volume exploding 317% to nearly $500 million. Aster 🥷's deflationary model that activated at 12:00 UTC today, routing 99% of platform fees into buybacks matched 1:1 by burns, aiming to shrink supply from 8 billion toward a 3 billion floor. Traders are pricing in the squeeze before it happens. Whether the burn delivers depends on sustained fee volume.show more

BSCN
10,204 次观看 • 2 个月前
🚨 WARNING: 99% OF PEOPLE WILL MISS THIS! The... $MURAD airdrop is now LIVE for $ANSEM and #SPX6900 holders. And this could be one of the BIGGEST opportunities of the past year. $ANSEM has around 122,000 holders. #SPX6900 has around 49,000 holders. That's up to 171,000 eligible wallets. Now imagine if each eligible holder bought just $5 worth of $MURAD. That's up to $855,000 in potential buy pressure. Based on the current liquidity, even limited participation could have a major impact: 100% → $855,000 in buys → ~$272M market cap 50% → $427,500 → ~$136M market cap 25% → $213,750 → ~$68M market cap 12.5% → $106,875 → ~$34M market cap And that is only the airdrop side. The first $15,000 buyback has already been completed. Another $15,000 buyback will happen at every $1 MILLION increase in market cap. Every token bought back will be sent directly to Murad’s wallet, which already holds 40% of the total supply. What happens if Murad buys $MURAD or posts about it publicly. #SPX6900 grew into a $2 BILLION memecoin while Murad became one of its biggest public supporters. $MURAD does NOT need to reach those levels for the upside to become massive. From a $2M market cap: → $10M = 5x → $50M = 25x → $100M = 50x → $500M = 250x → $1B = 500x One post does NOT guarantee any of this. But if Murad publicly supports the project, the entire narrative changes instantly. I’m doubling my first target for $MURAD to a $10 MILLION market cap. And I’ve already bought more. Most people will wait until the next rally before paying attention. I would rather buy $MURAD before that happens. Do NOT miss the same setup twice.show more

Wimar.X
36,708 次观看 • 1 个月前
🚨 TOMORROW WILL BE THE WORST DAY OF 2026... FOR MARKETS!! You MUST read this before August 24. Japan is dumping $5.5 TRILLION in U.S. Treasuries. China is dumping $650 BILLION in U.S. Treasuries. The U.S. just admitted the economy is collapsing and DOUBLED buybacks to cover the damage. If you own any assets today, you MUST know this: Japan and China are forcing capital back into their countries. And the biggest carry trade in history is now starting to unwind. This is NOT normal. For decades, Japan kept interest rates near zero. That turned the yen into the world's cheapest funding currency. Investors borrowed trillions of yen. Then they poured that money into U.S. Treasuries, stocks, real estate, crypto, and markets around the world. That trade is now breaking apart. Japan is facing soaring government debt. A rapidly aging population. Massive pension obligations. And years of pressure from a weak yen. Now policymakers want that capital back home. And now China is adding another layer of pressure to the U.S. Treasury market. China has been steadily reducing its holdings of U.S. Treasuries. Chinese Treasury holdings just fell to $633 BILLION, the lowest level since 2008. At the same time, China continues to build its gold reserves. → U.S. Treasuries get reduced → Gold holdings increase → Demand for U.S. debt weakens → Pressure on Treasury yields increases Japan and China were both among the major sources of the latest decline in foreign Treasury holdings. And when two of the world's biggest holders reduce their exposure at the same time... Someone else has to absorb that supply. That means higher yields are required to attract buyers. And U.S. bond yields are already surging. The 30-year Treasury yield recently pushed above 5.3%, reaching levels not seen since 2007. The U.S. Treasury is now forced to buy back its own debt because no one else wants it. Read that again. This is the part most people are missing. Japan is pulling capital toward Japan. China is reducing Treasury exposure and increasing its strategic gold position. → Foreign Treasury demand weakens → Treasury prices fall → U.S. bond yields rise → Borrowing costs increase → Liquidity tightens This creates another feedback loop. Higher U.S. yields increase the cost of financing the enormous U.S. government debt load. Higher Japanese yields make Japanese assets more attractive. And China's continued diversification adds another structural source of pressure to the Treasury market. Pay attention. Most people won't understand why markets are collapsing until it's already happening. I’ve studied markets for over 12 years and called nearly every major top and bottom. If you want to survive the 2026 cycle, follow and turn notifications on. I warned you before. And I'll warn you again soon. A lot of people will wish they paid attention earlier.show more

0xNobler
658,189 次观看 • 11 天前
🚨 CRYPTO: TOKENIZED REAL-WORLD ASSET MARKET HITS $27.6B RECORD... AS TRADITIONAL FINANCE FLOODS ON-CHAIN The tokenized real-world asset market has reached $27.65 billion according to RWA.xyz, up 4% in the past 30 days and roughly fourfold from $6.6 billion a year ago, continuing to grow even as the broader crypto market struggles. Total asset holders have climbed to 710,792, up 5.6% month-over-month. Six categories have each surpassed $1 billion in on-chain value: private credit, commodities, US Treasuries, corporate bonds, non-US government debt, and institutional alternative funds. Tokenized stock transfer volume hit $2.87 billion in March alone, up 80% over the prior month, with stockholders surpassing 200,000. The growth is driven by institutional heavyweights including BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, JPMorgan, and Fidelity launching or expanding tokenized products. The RWA sector is increasingly viewed as crypto's bridge to mainstream finance, with Standard Chartered CEO Bill Winters predicting the majority of transactions will eventually settle on blockchain.show more

BSCN
13,974 次观看 • 5 个月前
Americans handed over about 253 billion dollars in credit... card interest and fees in a single year, and for millions the debt never actually shrinks. Total household debt in the United States just hit a record of about 18.8 trillion dollars. Credit cards are only a slice of that, but they are the cruelest slice, because the interest rate almost never drops below 20 percent. Here is what that does. If you carry a balance of 5,000 dollars and pay only the minimum, it can take more than 15 years to clear, and cost you more than 6,000 dollars in interest alone. You end up paying for the same purchase twice. The amount Americans pay each year just in card interest is now more than triple what it was in 2021. This is not an accident of the market. High rates and low minimum payments are built to keep you paying, slowly, for as long as possible.show more

Anonymous
57,255 次观看 • 1 个月前
In 2024, Russia faced a 13-year record jump in... gas prices after a series of Ukrainian drone attacks on refineries that caused fuel production to collapse by more than 10% in the first half of the year. According to Rosstat, from the beginning of the year to December 23, gasoline prices rose by 11% on average in Russia. At the same time, prices in remote regions of the Far East exceeded the Russian average by a quarter. By the end of the year, gasoline price growth will be the strongest since 2011. For the first time in 6 years, gasoline prices have risen significantly above the headline inflation rate, which the Russian ministry of economic development estimates at 9.7% a week before the end of the year. This year, the Russian government tried to curb gasoline prices by banning its exports: the restrictions were imposed shortly after two dozen major Russian refineries were attacked by Ukrainian UAVs and a number of them were forced to halt production. By the end of May, the decline in gasoline production in Russia reached 20% compared to December 2023, and diesel fuel - 11%. In response, the authorities classified fuel output statistics, citing geopolitics and the threat of market manipulation as reasons. In 2025, gasoline will continue to rise in price in Russia. In the best-case scenario, it will rise by 10-15%, and in the worst case - 20%, which, according to Rosstat, has not happened in Russia since 2004 (when the cost of fuel jumped by a record 31.3%). The reason will be an increase in Transneft's pipeline pumping tariffs, as well as a sharp increase in excise taxes: they will rise 14% for gasoline and 16% for diesel fuel, which is three times more than was provided for in the Tax Code (4.7%). According to government calculations, this will bring 170 billion rubles ($1,6 billion) to the treasury, of which 116 billion ($1,13 billion) will be due to the unscheduled increase. Rising gasoline prices will automatically lead to higher prices for everything else in Russia, as the cost of fuel is included in the delivery of all goods and automatically increases the cost of the end product for the buyer. Inflation in Russia will also increase.show more

Anton Gerashchenko
81,314 次观看 • 1 年前
SHIBA INU QUIETLY STACKING WINS Shiba (Shib) is approaching... 3 million holders, with on-chain data showing 2.95 million wallets and a $3.76 billion market cap. Holder growth has accelerated in late April, and exchange netflows have turned sharply negative as more than 133 billion SHIB exits centralized exchanges, signaling accumulation rather than rotation. The 2026 story has been building all year. The SEC classified ethereum:0x95ad61b0a150d79219dcf64e1e6cc01f0b64c4ce as a digital commodity in March, paving the way for institutional access. T. Rowe Price included SHIB in a proposed Active Crypto ETF filing. Burn rate spikes have hit 800% in January and 276,545% in March, with cumulative burns now topping 410 trillion tokens worth more than $2.35 billion. Shibarium has crossed 1.5 billion transactions and rolled out the Shib Alpha Layer, a Layer-3 rollup framework that lets developers spin up custom rollups with TREAT staking. The Fully Homomorphic Encryption upgrade with Zama, scheduled for completion this quarter, will enable private smart contracts on the network, a feature almost no other meme coin can credibly claim.show more

BSCN
17,555 次观看 • 4 个月前
This could be the biggest IPO ever… and make... Elon the first TRILLIONAIRE in history. SpaceX is quietly gearing up for a $1.5–$1.75 trillion valuation...yeah… trillion. that’s bigger than anything the market has ever seen...we’re talking about a potential $30–50 billion raise in one shot. the kind of money that doesn’t just fund a company… it reshapes an entire industry and for once… regular people might actually get a shot at owning a piece of it. speculated to drop around June 28… Elon’s birthday and the rumored ticker is $SEX 😭show more

shirish
454,013 次观看 • 5 个月前
Africa GDP (all 54 nations): $3.1 Trillion India GDP:... $3.55 Trillion *point: the economy of a nation state is larger than the economies of all the states in the continent. And there are debates about the true scale of informal economy and whether it is captured in the numbers* South Africa GDP: $377.8 Billion Mumbai GDP: $310 Billion *point: a single state is the economy equivalent of the largest most industrialised economy in all of Africa* India population: 1,429 Billion Africa population: 1.527 Billion Point: I just realised that most of my community reading this will not understand what “scale” truly means. Wave after wave after unending wave of businesses, traders, shops, hawkers, merchants, dealers, artisans, engineers, analysts, doctors, engineers, bankers, financiers, realtors, accountants etc. The list is endless. The scale of precision engineering that I witnessed on one of tours. It’s not just low-vector labour work that is at scale. It’s the complex tooling & engineering industries that are also at scale. (Obviously can’t share that material publicly). Just yesterday, during my book signing, I spoke to more engineers, masters students, analysts, cyber security professionals & developers in a single sitting than I have ever had in the past. Ever! Read that again. As my team & I leave for DxB next I am left wondering, “will Africa ever catch up?” I came here thinking we have a chance. I leave thinking we haven’t even arrived at the stadium where the race is happening yet. To the incredible team (picture 3 & 4) that made this immersion happen, God bless you Descriptions: Video 1 is my team & I walking through a random market to understand the scale of the informal economy here. Video 2 was an intimate dinner with some of the most influential business leaders x kingdom builders. VTshow more

VT
84,915 次观看 • 1 年前
One football league is spending money at a scale... the rest of the world cannot match. With the transfer window still open, Premier League clubs have already spent more than about 1.9 billion dollars this summer, and they are on track to beat last year's record of about 4 billion dollars. A handful of clubs drive most of it. This summer the British transfer record was broken twice in three weeks. Manchester City paid about 156 million dollars for Elliot Anderson, then Chelsea topped it with about 158 million dollars for Morgan Rogers. Tottenham alone spent more than about 270 million dollars rebuilding their squad. To put it in perspective, at the start of 2026 the combined value of Premier League squads was around two and a half times that of Spain's La Liga. The gap is not about talent alone. It is about who controls the television money, and right now one league is pulling away from everyone else.show more

Anonymous
58,871 次观看 • 1 个月前
Cardano breaks above $0.20 as the Dijkstra era rally... gathers pace $ADA is trading at $0.202, up 6.2% on the day and 18.4% on the week, with 24-hour volume surging 78% to $747M as the token cleared the $0.20 resistance that capped every recovery attempt this year. Market cap now sits at $7.37B. The run is being fed by Cardano Community's transition into the Dijkstra development era, a newly approved roadmap that makes it the first chain to fund core development directly from its community treasury. Whale wallets have added 240M ADA over recent days, per Santiment. A fresh IBC testnet bridge to Cosmos via Injective rounds out the momentum.show more

BSCN
21,023 次观看 • 28 天前
🧵 Why China Does Not Want War With the... United States—Even If It Has Military Supremacy It is becoming increasingly clear that China now holds a decisive military edge in many areas over the United States. It has built a war machine optimized for network-centric warfare, outpacing the U.S. in electronic jamming, long-range missile precision, radar integration, and regional air dominance. It can deny access, blind satellites, and overwhelm fleets. But military supremacy doesn’t mean recklessness. China has the ability to win battles. But it has no interest in starting a war—because it understands the cost of victory might be national suicide. Let us begin with a basic truth. China is not self-sufficient when it comes to economic demand. Its internal market is still maturing. Who feeds the Chinese people economically? The answer is: the world—especially the rich, Western world. China’s total foreign trade in 2024 hit 43.85 trillion yuan (~US$6 trillion), with exports accounting for 25.45 trillion yuan (~US$3.47 trillion). This figure is often downplayed by critics who claim “exports only represent around 18–30% of China’s GDP.” But such figures miss the structural importance of exports: they power the coastal provinces, which in turn power the entire nation. The bulk of China’s industrial and export muscle is concentrated in six coastal provinces: 1. Guangdong (~US$888 billion exports) 2. Zhejiang (~US$532 billion) 3. Jiangsu (~US$518 billion) 4. Shandong (~US$272 billion) 5. Shanghai (~US$255 billion) 6. Fujian (~US$167 billion) Together, these provinces account for the majority of China's exports. They are also home to China’s largest ports—Shenzhen, Shanghai, Ningbo, Qingdao—which function as lifelines for both imports and exports. Once war breaks out, these ports will shut down—either by enemy blockade, missile strikes, or insurance collapse. That means factories stop, logistics freeze, and tens of millions are thrown into unemployment. Some believe China can pivot to trade with the Global South—BRICS, Belt and Road nations, Africa, Latin America. It’s a comforting illusion. Here’s the problem: China mainly imports resources from the Global South—oil, gas, lithium, bauxite, copper, iron ore—not finished goods. It uses these to manufacture high-end products. But who consumes these products? The West. In 2024: Exports to the United States totaled 3.73 trillion yuan (approx. 514 billion USD) Exports to the European Union: 3.68 trillion yuan (approx. 508 billion USD) Exports to Japan and South Korea: over 1.5 trillion yuan combined (approx. 207 billion USD) - ASEAN nations were the top partner bloc, but much of this was processing trade with end-markets in the West This adds up to nearly half of China's total exports going to Western or high-income markets. These are the only markets with the income level and consumer appetite to absorb the full output of Chinese industry. Remove them from the equation—and the entire chain collapses. Here’s how a war, or even a serious blockade, would detonate the economy: 1. Western demand disappears 2. China stops exporting to Europe, the U.S., Japan, South Korea. 3. China no longer needs to import energy, iron ore, or copper from BRICS and the Global South 4. Global South trade drastically drops—because there’s no downstream use 5. Coastal factories go silent 6. Wealth stops flowing inland 7. Domestic consumption drops 8. Local governments collapse under fiscal pressure 9. Unemployment skyrockets 10. Social unrest erupts That’s the chain reaction. It would a few months, not years. Despite all efforts to de-dollarize, to promote RMB trade, to build an alternative system—this is still a Western-centric global economy. Even in 2024, over 59% of Chinese exports were mechanical and electrical products—designed for Western consumers, not subsistence economies. 👇show more

America-China Watcher
25,099 次观看 • 1 年前