The Pacific Ocean is going absolutely nuts right now.... There are currently SIX named tropical cyclones spinning across the basin at the same time. Meanwhile, over in the Atlantic, we can barely get one storm to organize. El Niño has entered the chat.show more

Four named tropical systems swirl in the western Pacific... Ocean. This is the first time since 1951 that there are four tropical storms at the same time in November for the basin.show more

It is absolute chaos in the West Pacific right... now. Typhoon Dolphin making landfall in China; Tropical Storm Chan-hom heading towards mainland Japan; and THREE MORE systems spinning around the Mariana Islands, all at the same time.show more

NEW: Tropical Storm #Amanda has formed in the Eastern... Pacific, first of the season. No threat to land. The tropics still remain quiet in the Atlantic!show more

The North Atlantic active pattern is going nuts! Countless... deep low blasts across the ocean over the next 10 days. Thanks to the High over Greenland, an open corridor has been established for cold-air outbreaks moving in from Arctic Canada into the Atlantic, triggering intense storms. Video via WXCharts - a MetDesk Companyshow more

Big dawg El Niño coming this summer and fall!... This is a bit science-y… but easy I promise. So follow along. You are looking at a vertical cross section of the tropical Pacific Ocean at the Equator with depth downward deep into the ocean. Left side is west near Asia. Right side is east near South America. It’s where we measure El Niño, the king control knob of the climate. One main way we know it’s coming is “subsurface heat”. See the dark red shades moving east under the surface and rising upward? That’s the El Niño developing! El Niño is a build up of hotter than normal water on the surface Eastern Tropical Pacific Ocean. What’s cool (or hot) is that the water comes from the West Tropical Pacific. During cool La Niña years it’s like a piggy bank. The West Pacific hoards and stores the heat near Asia. Then every couple-few years that warm water sloshes back East. It first appears under the surface where we measure it. It surfaces in late spring and El Niño grows in Summer to fall. You can tell by the magnitude of warm subsurface water that this looks like a biggie! So how will it impact us? For one, it typically subdues Atlantic hurricane season. That doesn’t mean no storms - just less active than it would have otherwise been. Also it releases lots of Heat… so it super charges heat waves around the planet and floods too - it all tends to be more immense and intense. And you can bet Earth will experience its hottest days on record coming later 2026 into 2027. El Niño is one of the biggest climate forces on Earth and it has a profound impact on world-wide weather because of all the heat released into the atmosphere from the ocean.show more

We have simultaneous storms yet again in the Pacific... Ocean, with Tropical Storm Lala headed towards Hawaii and Tropical Storm Hernan desperately chasing after her (he will dissipate harmlessly out-at-sea). A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Big Island.show more

As we enter July, models anticipate the Atlantic to... remain generally quiet hurricane-wise. El Niño is dominating the current and forecast conditions in the tropical Atlantic, manifesting as high shear in the Caribbean and less thunderstorm activity than normal. By contrast, the eastern Pacific is expected to spring to life, supported by the El Niño background state. Watch the continuous cyclone activity (orange blobs) in this 35-day GEFS forecast, versus the rather docile Atlantic. We can't guarantee no Atlantic storms in July, especially with the always-present risk of so-called "home grown" development along old cold fronts that drape across the SW Atlantic and Gulf region. But things seem likely to stay in check for a while.show more

Jul 12: Plumes of Saharan dust are moving across... the Atlantic. This is typical in July, bringing hazy skies. This NASA model shows a forecast for the dust plumes over the next 10 days across the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean, and into the Gulf. More atshow more

Tropical Cyclone Narelle has spent the last few days... journeying westward across northern Australia, making several landfalls along the way. After starting out in the Pacific Ocean, Narelle will soon emerge over the Indian Ocean while not straying too far from Western Australia.show more

From training one week to real-world missions the next,... our Hunters are always on the move at a moment’s notice. They departed Keesler AFB on Monday and are currently monitoring Tropical Storm Lala in the Pacific, with eyes in the sky for Hawaii. #WeatherReady 🎥 by Lt. Col. Mark Witheeshow more

El Niño is born! Destined to be the biggest... in 150 years +?? NOAA declares: El Niño Advisory This morning conditions in the Eastern Pacific met the criteria for El Niño. This means Sea Surface Temps reached a certain level above normal, and the ocean and atmosphere “coupled” meaning they are now working in tandem to produce impacts. This event is widely advertised by models to be potentially the strongest on record. El Niño takes very hot water stored in the deep tropical west Pacific, pushing it east and up to the surface, lofting that heat into the atmosphere, which supercharges weather events and throws the climate off-kilter. This typical means more intense heatwaves & floods, but also it restrains the Atlantic hurricane season. So its impacts are both good and bad. One thing seems virtually certain: the heat released into the atmosphere will make for some unprecedented events through 2027, and on top of longterm warming, the hottest global temperatures in many tens of 1000s of years. #ElNino #florida #storm #heatwave #flood #droughtshow more

Genesis of a Super El Niño! Why do we... expect this El Niño to be one of the strongest on record? - A main reason: Huge subsurface heat - exceeding most anything we’ve observed in spring - motoring eastward from the deep Western Tropical Pacific Ocean to the East Pacific and emerging at the surface. This is rapidly warming the El Niño region. This is how El Niño forms - it’s not new, it’s just supercharged. This matches most computer model forecasts for a historic El Niño pattern, throwing Earth’s climate patterns off-kilter. Expect robust effects of El Niño to begin this summer and maximize this fall and winter. The aim of the visual is to help people orient to subsurface views, tough to do without a frame of reference. Credit to Alex Boreham for the animating map inlay. #elnino #science #stem #climateshow more

“spx6900 is going to be the coin that goes... parabolic. we’re at $.50 cents right now. i believe we are going to $100 this cycle and $1,000 next cycle. right now, we’re on a dip. this is your chance to get in. this is going to be the biggest movement since GME and right now is the time for you to join the movement.” -Muradshow more

🇺🇸Trump at 8:00 AM: "The Gulf of Mexico is... the Gulf of America." 🇺🇸Trump at 9:00 AM: "Lake Ontario is Lake of America." 🇺🇸Trump at 10:00 AM: "The Atlantic and the Pacific Ocean are the American Ocean." Donald Trump has become a global laughing stock.show more

The Atlantic will be very windy over the next... three days. 🧐🌬️One windstorm is currently affecting Scotland and will move over Norway. Another, significantly stronger storm will develop tomorrow over the Atlantic and hit Iceland at the beginning of the week. Wind gusts will exceed 100 km/h:show more

Monster subsurface heat bubble and associated “downwelling Kelvin wave”... is traversing the deep Pacific, transporting anomalously warm water from the West Pacific Warm Pool towards the East Equatorial Pacific, and emerging toward to surface. This mechanism should provide the boost to jump start our El Niño which is defined by surface warming in the eastern half of the deep tropical Pacific. All signs are pointing to a top tier El Niño episode this summer/ fall/ winter - emitting pent up ocean heat - throwing Worldwide weather patterns into overdrive! In ENSO terms, a downwelling Kelvin wave often happens after westerly wind bursts in the western or central Pacific. The wave carries warm water eastward below the surface, deepens the thermocline in the east, reduces cold-water upwelling (ie. near the Galapagos), and can help favor El Niño development. Thanks to CyclonicWx for the great map visual. #elninoshow more

Hurricanes and wildfire: #hawaii #maui #wildfire #LahainaFire The winds... brought the power poles and transformers down, that sparked fires, communications went down, then 80MPH gusts fanned the flames across the landscape. A perfect storm… but why?! If you look at the National Interagency Fire Center’s Predictive Services, which we have been covering, they knew Hawaii would be ready for significant fire growth as far back at Spring. “El Niño will be the driving factor.” There was a La Niña/El Niño switch this spring… El Niño has developed in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, and rapid warming continues in much of the ENSO region, especially in the central Pacific with continued anomalous warmth off the coast of South America. Above normal sea surface temperatures are observed in all ENSO regions. Most forecast guidance depicts continued warming through summer, with El Niño conditions forecast to continue into winter. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a greater than 95% chance of El Niño conditions continuing into winter, with a 56% chance of a strong El Niño developing this fall. Other teleconnection patterns, such as the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and Pacific-North American Pattern may influence weather and climate during the outlook period, but El Niño will be the main driver…show more

🇳🇿 Meanwhile over Rotura, NZ today Looks familiar right... - if they keep going the way they currently are, then the entire World will look like this all of the time.show more