The zombie inner core of Typhoon Bavi is undergoing... some slight re-intensification. An ice cube’s worth of thunderstorms have regenerated a well-defined eyewall, while a ragged, 958 mbar eye has become present on radar. A direct landfall over Ishigaki, Japan is impending.show more

🇯🇵 LANDFALL: With sustained winds of 100 mph (160... kph), a central pressure of 951 mbar, and a questionably dilapidated inner core structure, Category 2 Typhoon Bavi appears to have made landfall over Japan’s Tarama Island as one of the largest Typhoons of the 21st Century. To the east of the eye, the island of Miyako-jima is currently enduring the storm’s most intense quadrant of howling winds and rain.show more

Sunrise over a sea monster of the Atlantic deep.... The Hurricane Hunters have found that the core pressure in Hurricane Erin’s misty eye has deepened to 933 MBAR, marking a 12 mbar drop over the last 3 hours. Her winds continue to whirl at 130 MPH. Intensification is underway.show more

After her first eyewall replacement attempt resulted in a... merger that pushed her to a 165 MPH, 913 mbar peak, Super Typhoon Bavi is finally in the throes of a true EWRC. The thick and persistent nature of her inner core is still protecting a stellar Stadium Effect in the eye, but her infrared satellite signature shows a textbook EWRC structure developing, with a pronounced moat thawing out between the colder, dueling eyewalls. Confidence for a direct or near-direct landfall over the tiny island of Rota continues to increase today; however, Guam should keep a very close eye out for any consistent southward jogs in Bavi’s motion. Even a small deviation could expose the 165,000 residents there to high-end Category 4 or 5 winds.show more

The eye of Fung-wong (UwanPH) is really starting to... melt through the icy shell of her CDO now. New, towering thunderstorms are rising up within the inner eyewall as well. On microwave imagery, the Typhoon’s cumbersome core structure is still yet to fully solidify. What we could see in the coming hours, especially after the Pacific sun evanesces below the horizon, is for this new burst of core thunderstorms to freeze the eyewall into a more complete and circular ring around the eye. That would likely jumpstart a true phase of rapid intensification right as Fung-wong enters her final approach to Luzon in the Philippines.show more

🇲🇵 LANDFALL: Category 5 Super Typhoon Bavi has made... landfall over the Pacific Ocean island of Rota with extreme winds of 180 MPH and a core pressure near 900 MBAR, becoming the strongest storm to strike the United States or its territories since the 1935 Labor Day Hurricane, and the most intense by pressure since Hurricane Camille (1969).show more

UPDATE: Cyclone Fina has unexpectedly re-intensified to a 120... MPH (195 kph) Category 3 after initially being forecast to only be a Tropical Storm at landfall in the Drysdale River National Park area of Australia. Fina is also trending further south as this ice blender of extremely cold convection swirls around her 958 mbar eye, meaning that landfall could potentially take place closer to the Ord River Nature Reserve.show more

Typhoon #Bavi is still churning in the Philippine Sea.... Though it’s weakening some, it will remain a large and powerful typhoon when it hits the Yaeyama Islands of southern Japan on Friday. The center looks to pass just north of Taiwan before making landfall in China this weekend.show more

🇨🇳 LANDFALL: A rapidly strengthening Typhoon Noul has made... landfall over the ancient, 600 year-old military city of Pinghai, China, with sustained winds of 100 mph (160 kph) and a pressure of <960 mbar. Based on her radar presentation, Noul did not stop organizing and intensifying until her core fully crawled onto land. Drenching rainfall and potentially life-threatening wind conditions are now ongoing NE of the Pearl River Delta.show more

Tropical Storm Dolphin formed only 17 hours ago and... already she is constructing a frantic inner core, with boiling, dry-ice bubbles of convection deep freezing the embryonic eyewall structure hidden beneath the cloud tops. This compact, fast-growing behavior seems to be priming Dolphin for explosively rapid intensification. From the very first advisory, she has been forecast to become a Super Typhoon, and everything we’re seeing right now looks to be snowballing in that direction.show more

BREAKING: Category 5 Hurricane Melissa has achieved a new... peak intensity of 180 MPH sustained winds and a core pressure of 896 MBAR. She is officially the 5TH MOST INTENSE Atlantic Hurricane in history and is nearing the maximum theoretical strength a storm can reach in this part of the world. Landfall over Jamaica is just hours away.show more

Bad news in the South China Sea. Typhoon Kalmaegi... (TinoPH) is back to Category 2 strength ahead of schedule and looks to be developing a tight inner core that’s fully ensconced in ice-cold convection. This brings to the table the possibility of a Category 3-4 landfall in Vietnam, IF these trends continue. Something that could halt Kalmaegi’s re-strengthening bid is the fact that he’s about to track over more marginal sea surface temperatures, though they are still likely warm enough to support a major Typhoon.show more

The previously unnamed Tropical Storm in the shallow Malacca... Strait has since been given the name Senyar. The system made landfall over the city of Langsa in Aceh, Indonesia at a 50 mph (80 kph), 996 mbar peak intensity. But Senyar isn’t done. The storm has now RE-EMERGED into the Malacca Strait and is forecast to soon make a second landfall, this one in Malaysia. While Senyar won’t be very strong (potentially only ~40 mph), a Malaysian landfall by a bonafide tropical cyclone is historically rare, as few storms on record have formed this close to the equator (due to the weakness of the Coriolis Effect here).show more

🌀 Super Typhoon Sinlaku is approaching the Mariana Islands.... A powerful Category 5 system with a well-defined eye and winds of around 280 km/h. It has likely peaked but will weaken only gradually. Follow official warnings and instructions from local authorities. ⚠️show more

Super Typhoon Ragasa (NandoPH) has left the Babuyan Islands... of the Philippines in darkness. Now, after finally weakening just below Category 5 intensity, this monstrous storm’s convection is suddenly re-freezing around his still-perfect, ~925 MBAR stadium eye over the South China Sea. With favorable conditions ahead, Ragasa could weaken very gradually and remain a major Typhoon by the time he makes landfall in southern China. However, the track will be important. The further south Ragasa trends, the more strength he’ll lose due to land interaction.show more

NEW! Here's Cat-5 #Hurricane #MELISSA's #Jamaica landfall as captured... on Cayman Islands radar. These images did not exist until a few days ago, when b e n 🥀✟ ✟ & team at CINWS processed the data. This is at the very edge of the radar range—the radar site is over 200 mi away—& it's quite attenuated. Even so, this gives us a second complete look at that intense (160-knot) eyewall screaming ashore. The star indicates my location, scraping along the right edge of the eye. An absolutely ferocious storm that remains burned in my mind.show more

Very exciting weather happening over LA county right now... as the Core if s new Low pressure is forming 10 miles offshore. Expect rain to become heavy with a risk if Severe Thunderstorms and maybe an isolated tornado over LA county and the OC between 10pm-4am! Not often we have rain moving in 3 different directions on one radar image in SoCal! Shows the amount of spin I the upper atmosphere. #CAwx #Rain #LosAngeles #Thunderstorms #Tornadoshow more

Torrential thunderstorms are on the way that pose a... significant threat of flash flooding. The amount of rain will vary from place to place, but some could get 60-90mm, well over a month's worth of rain. Warnings have been already been issued, updates are possible later.show more

UPDATE: With only a few hours left before landfall... in Luzon, colossal Typhoon Fung-wong (UwanPH) has hit a new peak intensity. Her sustained winds are now at 130 MPH (210 kph), and the sea-level pressure in her giant eye has fallen to 943 mbar, making her a CATEGORY 4 storm. This will be the strongest Typhoon to hit the Philippines since Man-yi (Pepito) in November of last year, and is coming just 5 days after Kalmaegi (Tino) ravaged Cebu Island.show more

I think we might need to invent a new... term for Rapid Intensification for this Blizzard. Because it is about to BLOW the normal parameters OUT OF THE PARK. ✅Normal rapid intensification, or Bombogenesis, is defined as a Storm dropping 24 millibars in pressure in 24 hours. That alone is an incredibly high rate. ⏫This Storm is forecast to deepen nearly DOUBLE that rate, with pressure falling OVER 40 millibars in just 24 hours. That kind of strengthening is almost UNHEARD OF. 💨 At peak intensity, this Storm may even LOOK like a Hurricane on satellite, with a tight core and powerful wind field wrapping around it. ⚠️ This level of intensification is exactly why impacts could become so extreme. 👊 This Storm is the REAL DEAL, my brotheren. Get ready to witness history.show more

The Philippines can’t catch a break in the wake... of Typhoon Kalmaegi (TinoPH), because just as that system heads deeper into the Vietnamese jungle, a new leviathan has emerged from the depths of the Pacific. On the right side of this satellite loop is Tropical Storm Fung-wong, a sprawling embryonic cyclone in the Philippine Sea. She may be weak and disorganized now, but the environment ahead is going to be favorable for rapid intensification. The island of Luzon is her most likely target for landfall. Watch this one closely.show more