TROPICAL UPDATE: Considering the ensemble support, the NHC has... designated a new area in the Bahamas towards Florida with currently a 10% chance of development. Rainmaker regardless if it forms or not into the weekend. You'll notice in the final frames of our GRAF model a low tries to tighten up a bit towards West Palm and Jupiter Saturday night. Nothing to stress over, I'll watch it for you. WINK Newsshow more

TROPICAL UPDATE: Here's the latest GRAF model for the... area pinned with a 20% chance of tropical development. The model historically is more aggressive / stronger than others, but does highlight the development of a low in the Gulf by the weekend. Regardless of development, it will help to bump up rain chances for Florida the next several days.show more

UPDATE: A LOT of tropical moisture on the way... across Florida the next 5-10 days. For example, those moisture levels will be 50%-75% above average, which will aid in developing numerous rounds of storms across the state. Values shown are PWATS or precipitable water levels. Around 1.6" is typical this time of the year for Florida, which you'll notice we'll be above the next 7-10 days. Some online chatter about tropical development. Not impossible, but current odds are low. Physics-based models show the potential, AI models largely don't. Rainmaker regardless if it tries to form into a weak tropical/subtropical system or not. We need the rain!show more

Deep in extreme drought, #Florida needs a good soaking.... Good news: there’s strong model support for a tropical connnection setting up across Florida in about 8-12 days! This should deliver some widespread significant rain to the state and there’s even the outside chance of weak tropical development nearby, as #hurricane season begins. Although I’d say the chance is remote. Still the potential for a good soaking #rain is high.show more

A surge of tropical moisture associated with the Central... American Gyre will being higher rain chances to Florida later this week and into the weekend. The good news is tropical development is not expected at this time in the Gulf at this time. #flwxshow more

Addressing the elephant in the room, our area of... interest in the gulf. It has deteriorated a bunch today but that was as expected as convection inland will likely remain more dominant until the sun sets tonight. However, even then it did not and continues to not show real signs of imminent development. But we do need to watch this, the NHC has it at a 30% of development. Atmos Weathershow more

Best way to think about it is that Florida... will see a one-two punch. The first one will bring us rain Sunday into Monday with an area of low pressure along a stalled out front. Then the 2nd, main punch from tropical storm or hurricane approaches on Tuesday into Wednesday. WINK Newsshow more

⛈️ Heavy rainfall and flooding threat from South Texas... to the lower Mississippi Valley A multi-day episode of heavy rain will be driven by the interaction of a nearly stationary cold front, tropical moisture, and a tropical disturbance. The tropical disturbance is currently located over Mexico and will gradually move toward South Texas. According to the NHC/NOAA, the chance that it will organize into a tropical cyclone remains low, around 30%. Regardless of whether a tropical cyclone actually forms, the system may bring intense showers and thunderstorms along the western and central Gulf Coast. Over the next four days, widespread rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches are expected from the Texas coast into Louisiana, with locally higher amounts possible. Such rainfall totals could trigger flash and river flooding, posing a significant threat to life and property. ⚠️ Please monitor official warnings and follow the instructions of local authorities.show more

‼️ In house Hi Res Model escalates this weekend.... GRAF Indicates #Bertha by early week as the storm drifts west away from Florida into the #Gulf. This model is very good, but I emphasize this is an incredibly tough forecast, and it may be wrong. I find it tends to spin things up too fast, and we are not yet in the GRAF wheelhouse of inside 48 hours. I only post this because it’s 3 days from now and as we go into the weekend I don’t want folks sleeping on this, and I want to be transparent with ya’ll. It’s nothing to be concerned about, just something to be aware off. Right now NHC development chance is at 30%. Otherwise on/ off downpours through the weekend.show more

A swing and a miss, but a rare break... in Florida’s sweltering humidity by late week! The tropical moisture originally poised to hit Florida is being shoved towards Texas instead. That means, after a very muggy start to the week, very low humidity for summer arrives in Florida by Thursday. But it also blocks our downpours for a few days, delaying our #drought relief, for now. #florida #rainshow more

If you are an USM student, Alumni, Fan, or... a resident of the Pinebelt/surrounding areas you need to be at The Rock this Saturday vs Texas State, and in 2 weeks vs Troy. The Eags are 7-2. They are 5-0 in the Sunbelt. People have wanted a winning product, and Huff has delivered by flipping a 1-11 team over night basically. The Eags not only have a chance to win the west, and play for a conference championship. But win out and with some help there is a small outside chance of being the G5 team in the playoffs. Which is crazy to say, but it’s not impossible. The team is fun to watch, and KujForCongress brings the energy to make it a good time for everyone. Don’t miss out! Need tickets call Tyler Cochran ! #SMTTTshow more

62th day of our movement, the Sit-In at NPC,... Islamabad wraps after a long march and a continuous Sit-In for more than a month in the harsh weather of Islamabad. Our movement was successful in the sense that it mobilized the Oppressed Baloch from remote and unreachable corners of Balochistan. Who had been subjugated for long now. While the administration of Islamabad and State vowed to continue it's Genocidal policies in Balochistan reflected through it's behaviour towards the protesting families. And We, as a nation have vowed to Resist for the sake of survival. This movement has not ended, but has entered a new stage, where it has become our collective duty to stand against the inhumane policies of State in Balochistan. Soon the Caravan of the #MarchAgainstBalochGenocide will be heading towards Quetta.show more

Two surges of #Sarahan dust will head towards #florida.... The first arrives tonight into Thursday then a thicker surge of dust arrives over the weekend. While it may make for some pretty sunrises and sunsets it will make breathing harder for asthmatics. #weshwxshow more

🤧 A hefty plume of Saharan Dust will likely... push into Florida by the weekend… This would lead to lower air quality and possible irritation of respiratory conditions. On the bright side, the dust is currently playing a large role in inhibiting tropical activity!show more

Caribbean Storm Shredding Shear! You’ve probably heard that there’s... a chance of development in the Tropical Atlantic. There’s a decent signal for it in 1-2 weeks. But if it dares enter the #Caribbean, it will meet its maker with 60-80+ mph shear!show more

Trend towards some #snow around #Chicago for later Saturday... into Sunday is still on the board Now 4 of 5 models put some snow into the area as the monster winter storm passes well to our south Frosty fly in the ointment is the impact of lake effect snow materializing, or not. That’s the difference of a little to 3”, or the 8-9” advertised by the UK model Short range hi res models still 2 days out til we see that, but wording has dropped into the official long range NWS forecast for this chance of snow for the 2nd half of the weekend All of this of course follows our deepest freeze in 7 years that kicks in about midnight Thursday and will get some -30° and dare I say -40° wind chills by sunrise Friday. Talk about model agreement? 14 models all go at least -20°show more

A cloudy start to Wednesday in places, but for... most it will turn increasingly sunny as the morning progresses ☁️➡️☀️ The chance of a few showers towards the far southwest of England 🌦️show more

🚨NEW: Stephen A. Smith to Dems: "Hear me and... hear me good: If you want a chance in the midterms, if you want a chance for the presidency — you better not lean far left the way that you did in 2024!" "It will not work! It won't work!" Daily Callershow more

BIG UPDATE! #IRyStocrats & #deadbeats ! Per our last... update, everything was supposed to have shipped already - Irys Portrait tees and Calli Metalcropolis Hoodies. Due to issues with our printer being unable to obtain the appropriate blanks garments in a timely fashion, everything is running late with them (not just our items). That's the bad news. The good news is they've finally caught up and have promised us all items will be printed next week. You'll probably start seeing update emails with tracking towards the end of next week/beginning of the following week, and then items will start shipping a few days after once our new shipping company gets the items and gets them out the door. Thank you so much for your patience. For deadbeats, we've got a little something in each package for you. For Irystocrats, we'll be sending you an email with something in it once items start shipping. It will be useful very soon after. Trust. #vagueposting In the meantime, enjoy this animation of maegjuw ♡ メイジュ ‘s art by Jusagi 🎲💭⏳🗿 !!!show more

If you go down, to The Crown today, you're... in for a big surprise With huge thanks to the iconic Jim Simpson (photos of Sabbath / Big Bear Music) and Southside District Birmingham for the vids you'll see The Crown has had a little bit of a spruce up courtesy of some amazing Brummies like Jim!show more