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🚨 24 YEARS SPACEX DID NOT OPEN IT'S BOOKS $SPCX is private since 2002... No real numbers. No audited losses. Just Musk's word and a valuation built on vibes and rocket footage. That ends this quarter. (around November) For the FIRST TIME EVER, SpaceX has to open its books....

40,571 次观看 • 1 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Elon Musk's biggest competitor is secretly paying him $1.25 BILLION per month. SpaceX just revealed its financials for the first time in 23 years of existence. And buried deep in the S-1 is a detail that changes how you should think about the entire AI race. Anthropic, the company building Claude, the company that positions itself as OpenAI's biggest threat, the company valued at over $100 billion, is paying SpaceX $1.25 billion EVERY SINGLE MONTH for compute capacity through May 2029. That is $15 billion a year flowing directly from Elon's top AI competitor into Elon's bank account. Think about what that means: Every time Anthropic trains a new model, improves Claude, or lands an enterprise customer, a massive chunk of that revenue goes straight to the guy who owns the competing AI product. Anthropic is literally funding the war against itself. And that's just the beginning of what this filing reveals... The entire SpaceX IPO is structured around a bet most people haven't figured out yet. In 2025, SpaceX spent $20 billion in capex. 60% of that, roughly $12 billion, went to AI infrastructure. Rockets and satellites got the leftovers. In Q1 2026 alone, $7.7 billion out of $10 billion in total capex went to AI. The "rocket company" is spending like an AI company. Meanwhile, xAI, the division that houses Grok, generated $3.2 billion in revenue for the full year of 2025. But its R&D costs TRIPLED to $5 billion. It's burning cash at a pace that would have destroyed it as a standalone company. Which is exactly why Elon merged it into SpaceX two months before filing the IPO. And Starlink is the engine that makes the whole thing work: $11.4 billion in revenue, $4.4 billion in operating profit, and 10.3 million subscribers across 164 countries. It's one of the most profitable subscription businesses on the planet right now. But the average revenue per user DROPPED from $99 per month in 2023 to $66 per month in March 2026. Subscribers quadrupled but each one is paying a third less. Starlink is growing by getting cheaper. SpaceX has lost $37 BILLION since it was founded. Net loss in 2025 was $4.9 billion. This is a company that has never turned an annual profit in 23 years of operation, and it is about to IPO at a $1.75 trillion valuation. And the total addressable market SpaceX claims in the filing is $28.5 trillion. That is a QUARTER of global GDP. So here is what investors are actually buying when this IPO prices: They are buying the most profitable satellite internet business in history, stapled to an AI lab that is burning cash, wrapped inside a Mars colonization pitch that requires building a permanent city on another planet, funded by monthly billion-dollar payments from a direct competitor who has no other option for compute at that scale. This is the kind of thing only Elon could pull off.

Ricardo

208,631 次观看 • 3 个月前

🚨THEY CALLED HIM CRAZY FOR 20 YEARS.. HE'S ABOUT TO FILE THE BIGGEST IPO IN HISTORY.. SpaceX is quietly preparing to go public.. targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation.. bigger than Saudi Aramco.. the biggest IPO in human history.. but that's not even the real story.. in february elon merged xAI into SpaceX.. so now one single company owns the rockets.. owns about 65% of every satellite in orbit.. owns Starlink with over 10 million users.. and owns the AI.. think about that for a second.. OpenAI rents its servers from Microsoft.. Anthropic rents from Amazon.. they don't own anything.. they're tenants.. elon owns the infrastructure.. they're putting AI data centers in space.. solar powered.. no electric grid.. no cooling problems.. just satellites running AI in orbit while everyone else is fighting over GPU shipments on the ground.. the pentagon just handed them $2 billion for a defense satellite network.. starlink aviation customers are paying $300K a year.. NASA used to be their biggest customer.. now NASA is only 5% of their revenue.. they outgrew the entire US government.. this man built a company that launches the rockets.. owns the satellites.. provides the internet.. runs the AI.. and is about to go public at the highest valuation in history.. nobody is connecting the dots.. i got into xAI before the merger.. that converts to SpaceX equity before it even hits public markets.. sometimes the play is obvious.. you just have to be paying attention.

Evan Luthra

101,861 次观看 • 5 个月前

🚨 SPACEX NEEDS TO GROW 600X TO JUSTIFY ITS IPO PRICE!! No company in the history of capitalism has ever come close to that. Current revenue: $18,700,000,000 Revenue needed by 2035: $1,100,000,000,000 That requires 50% annual growth every single year for a decade. Not one bad quarter, not one slowdown, not one miss. In 2035 alone SpaceX would need to add... JUST IMAGINE. $360,000,000,000 IN REVENUE. That's MORE than $NVDA added during its entire record-breaking year To put that in perspective: SpaceX would need to generate 2.4% of the ENTIRE US GDP by itself. More than whole industries produce combined. Now look at what they're actually working with: Current losses: $4,280,000,000 in Q1 2026 alone Total losses since founding: $41,300,000,000 Not a single profitable year on record Starlink is real, launches are real, the technology is real. But the valuation has nothing to do with. At $1,750,000,000,000 you're not buying a rocket company. You're buying a math problem that has never been solved in market history. Amazon at peak growth, Apple during its best decade, Google in its prime. None of them came anywhere near this growth requirement. The IPO is June 12. Insiders have been waiting years for this door to open. By November 93% of their shares are free to sell. Draw your own conclusions. This sounds SCARY, but I'll be tracking every move around this listing. I will post my moves here so my FOLLOWERS can SAVE their money. Follow me and turn NOTIFICATIONS ON, as I will share my strategy soon. Many will regret not following me earlier...

ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ

811,446 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨 SPACEX IS DONE? It opened at $150, ripped to $225 in three days, and everyone called it the buy of the decade. Now it's at $145 - an all-time low, below the open, sitting a few dollars above the IPO price. Down 35% from the top. The chart isn't breaking. It already broke. And this was the easy part. Here's where it goes from here: $145 → $135 → $120 → $100 Why this has to happen the math is brutal and public: → Only ~4% of shares actually trade. Nasdaq bent the float rule just to let this listing through. → It got jammed into the indexes, and every passive fund on the planet was forced to buy near the top. → Insiders still hold 96% of the supply. → The first unlock hits on August 6 - right at Q2 earnings. About 20% of insider shares go free, and the float doubles overnight. → Then it doubles again through the fall, all the way to a full unlock. Sit with that. This entire 35% collapse happened on a tiny float, with no supply. The actual wall of stock hasn't even arrived yet. And look at the backdrop: Apple's printing new all-time highs while SPCX bleeds to fresh lows. That's not a market problem that's a SpaceX problem. The hype died, the capex is enormous, the valuation is priced at ~100x sales, and the unlock cliff is dead ahead. Everything I said would happen is happening. No surprises. The next leg is where the real money gets made but not on the long side yet. Save this. Turn on notifications. Or come back in 30 days wishing you had.

Shelpid.WI3M

356,362 次观看 • 1 个月前

The largest IPO in history is also shaping up to be the largest exit liquidity operation in history SpaceX went public at more than 90x revenue, and the insiders who bought in at a fraction of today's price are about to start selling their shares to you. Let me walk you through why this IPO is built to separate retail investors from their money: SpaceX has NEVER turned a profit and lost close to $5 billion last year. At the offering you were paying more than 90x revenue and at the peak the market briefly valued it near 140x. 30 years ago the head of Sun Microsystems explained in detail why paying even 10x revenue almost always ends in tears, and he was right. But listen closely, because the valuation is not even the real story. The scarcity is what CREATED this valuation in the first place, and the calendar that kills the scarcity is what kills the price. Less than 5% of SpaceX shares were actually available to trade at the IPO. Then the index committees REWROTE their own rules to fast track the stock into the Nasdaq 100 just 15 trading days after listing, which forced every passive fund and index ETF in the country to buy at the exact moment the float was at its tightest. The Nasdaq inclusion alone forced an estimated $4.3 billion of buying, and the Russell reweighting added roughly $3 billion more. The supply was minuscule and the buying was mandatory. That's a manufactured squeeze, and it is why the stock went above $225 in its first week. Now watch what happens next, because this is the part they ain't explaining to you: The lockup was staggered on purpose, and the entire schedule is sitting in the prospectus for anyone who bothers to read it. In early August, right after Q2 earnings, 20% of the locked shares come free. Another 10% unlocks early if the stock trades 30% above the $135 IPO price going into the report. Then tranches of 7% hit the market at 70, 90, 105, 120 and 135 days after the IPO, which means fresh insider supply lands roughly every 2 to 3 weeks from late August through late October. Q3 earnings triggers the single biggest release of all, another 28%, roughly 1.3 billion shares. On December 8 the 180 day lockup expires entirely. And on June 12, 2027 comes the final wave, when Musk's own 6.4 billion shares, 42% of the whole company, become sellable for the first time. Add it all up and insiders could be free to sell as much as 44% of the company by early September, which would balloon the tradable float by roughly 900%. All of that supply lands on a stock the company deliberately packed with retail, because SpaceX reserved close to 30% of the offering for individual investors vs the usual 10%. This deal created over 4,400 paper millionaires inside the company. You think none of them are looking to cash out? Early holders are already loading up on puts to lock in what they have. First they keep the float tiny. Then they let the index rules force the world to buy at the top. Then they release a flood of insider stock into a crowd of retail buyers who were handed the shares up high. When the price finally breaks the offering level, the people who got in years ago at pennies on today's dollar will hit the bid, and the exit liquidity is your retirement account. And what are you actually left holding? Strip away the science fiction and the only business inside SpaceX that reliably earns money is Starlink, which produced $1.2 billion of operating income last quarter. A wonderful business worth hundreds of billions on its best day. NOT $2 trillion. Serious fair value work lands around $30 a share. Nobody has been a bigger bear on this deal than me. I called it out the moment it started trading, and it is already playing out on schedule as the shares have given back the entire squeeze and slipped below their opening print. I was Peter Lynch's auto analyst back in 1981 and I have watched every disaster since, and I am telling you this is one of the great wealth transfers of my lifetime packed into a fancy narrative. Tesla was the biggest misallocation of capital in the history of stock markets. SpaceX may have just surpassed it. SPCX goes straight onto my short list, and the beauty of this setup is that the catalyst is not a guess or something, it is literally a PUBLISHED CALENDAR. This is the most grossly overpriced stock at scale that I have ever seen.

George Noble

349,691 次观看 • 1 个月前

🚨 THE BIGGEST IPO IN HISTORY HAS ONE UGLY THING IN COMMON WITH EVERY MARKET TOP This is not a theory. It happened for 100 YEARS. Goldman Sachs in 1928. Intel in 1971. AT&T in 2000. Every one looked like the opportunity of a lifetime. Every one came near a major market top. Every one was followed by a brutal correction. Funny how the biggest “once-in-a-generation” IPOs always show up when the market is already overheated. Probably nothing. Now look at the real problem nobody wants to talk about: A $2 TRILLION listing needs buyers. Buyers need cash. But cash on the sidelines is already sitting near historic lows. So where does the money actually come from? It doesn’t appear out of nowhere. It comes from selling what funds already own. That means: • Big tech gets sold • Indexes get rebalanced • Liquidity gets drained • Retail becomes the exit JPMorgan estimates passive funds may need to dump around $95 BILLION of the biggest tech stocks just to make room for SpaceX. Read that again. $95 BILLION in forced selling. At the exact same time retail is rushing in to buy the hype. And smart money already started moving first. Hedge funds were dumping big tech before the IPO even opened. That is not a coincidence. That is liquidity leaving the room. Now let me be very clear: SpaceX is not a bad company. It might be one of the most important companies ever built. But the best company and the best trade are NOT the same thing. The market doesn’t care about the mission. It cares about: • Liquidity • Positioning • Forced buyers • Forced sellers • Math And the math looks almost identical to every major top of the last 100 years. SpaceX might not mark the exact top. But history is screaming that we are very close to one. Most people will celebrate. Smart money will exit. Retail will realize it too late. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again. That’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

DANNY

59,498 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨 I WARNED YOU. $SPCX IS ENTERING A 6-MONTH "DEAD MONEY" PHASE. Everything is unfolding exactly the way I laid it out. SPCX is already showing cracks - and the real test hasn't even arrived. Let me put it in the simplest possible terms. Right now, only about 4% of SpaceX actually trades. The other 96% is locked up tight. That single fact is the entire reason the chart looks the way it does: a tiny sliver of stock is holding up a $2.7 trillion valuation after a 53% post-IPO melt-up. Insiders, employees, and early funds are all sitting on shares they're not allowed to sell. Yet. Late summer is where that changes. Once the Q2 report drops in late July, the first chunk of insider stock - roughly 20% comes unlocked. And it doesn't stop there: the tradable float is set to roughly double by late August, then keep bleeding open in tranches all the way to the full unlock in December. Sit with that math. Only ~4% trades today. By late August, that pool doubles - and it can start hitting the tape all at once. So who do they sell into? → Retail still chasing the SpaceX dream → Index funds forced to buy when MSCI added it on June 13 → Everyone who piled in after the pump If this feels familiar, it should. It's the exact playbook crypto ran for years: tiny float → enormous valuation → index inclusion → forced buyers → then the unlock cliff arrives and reality catches up. The only difference is SpaceX is running it at a $2.7 trillion price tag. We even have the blueprint. Facebook's 2012 IPO used the same staggered-lockup trick - and the stock was down 40%+ by the time those releases finished. Most people are still staring at the pump. I'm already looking at the calendar. The first exit door swings open in late July - and the last buyer in always pays for the dream. I've been calling tops for 10 years. I shorted BTC from six figures last October. This next one is the biggest call yet. Follow and turn notifications on. I post before the headlines catch up.

Shelpid.WI3M

232,249 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING THIS WEEK Everyone thinks the SpaceX crash is over. Wrong. And if you think it can't go lower, you're not seeing what's about to hit. SpaceX topped at $225. It's now near $110 almost −52% in a month. And here's the kicker: that entire collapse happened while only about 5% of shares were even tradeable. That changes next week. The first earnings report in company history lands Aug 4, after close. Everyone's fixated on the revenue number (~$6.8B, Starlink printing). They're watching the wrong thing. Because two days later, the lockup breaks and up to 911 million shares flood the market. That more than doubles the tradeable float overnight. Then another ~7% unlocks around Aug 21, again in September, and it keeps stacking through November. Now connect the dots. The −52% dump already happened. Retail chased. Funds bought. And now supply is about to 4x. If the stock is already bleeding on 5% float, imagine what 20%+ does to it. And here's the trap it doesn't matter how the earnings actually look: → If the report is strong, the pop just gives insiders the exit they've been waiting for. They finally get to sell, and retail becomes the liquidity they sell into. → If the report is weak, you get falling price and a doubled float at the same time a straight trapdoor. Either way, the outcome is the same. A float that doubles doesn't get bought it gets absorbed. Slowly. Lower. Wave after wave into December. Be ready. The real price discovery starts next week. Reminder: I've called the major tops and bottoms for years gold, silver, the oil collapse, the SpaceX drop, Bitcoin's crash. All before they happened. When I exit the markets completely, I'll post it here like always. Turn notifications on. If you're not following yet, you'll understand why soon enough.

Shelpid.WI3M

85,781 次观看 • 27 天前