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๐Ÿš€๐Ÿšจ EVERYONE IS STARING AT THE ROCKET. I AM STARING AT THE EXIT DOOR. SpaceX is up 70% and the timeline is losing its mind. Here is what they are not telling you. Only about 4 of every 100 shares actually trade. The rest are locked with insiders. With...

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๐Ÿšจ SPACEX: THE BIGGEST EXIT LIQUIDITY IN HISTORY SpaceX is up 70% from IPO. Everyone is FOMOing hard. But almost nobody is talking about the real reason. Only 4% of shares are available to the public. So they can paint any price they want. The playbook never changes: Hold 96% in your pocket. Drop a few crumbs into the market. Pull the chart wherever you want. But now itโ€™s wrapped as "the biggest IPO in history." And Wall Street has already found their FORCED buyers. On June 13, SPCX was rushed into the MSCI indices. This means every passive fund worldwide is now obligated to buy it. Not because they believe in Elon Musk. Because that's how the system works: If it's in the index, you must buy it. We're talking about $15โ€“20 trillion in passive funds. Massive forced demand + tiny float = perfect pump. But the lock-ups are coming: August: first 20% unlock November: another big wave Day 180: everything unlocked In other words, early investors will exit in 1โ€“2 months, not in 6 months like most people think. And who will they sell to? Retail and those funds that were just forced into the stock. No one is arguing that SpaceX isn't a real company with a real future. Moon bases, Mars, orbital data centers: all of this might happen. But not anytime soon. Right now, something else is happening. The US stock market is going through a wild overvaluation of everything. SpaceX is just the biggest example. They are selling a dream about space today, at a price that won't make sense for another 15 to 20 years. And as always, the crowd will buy the top just to fund the exit. Remember, I've called every major turn for the last 10 years, including short BTC from $111K in October. My next call will be the biggest one this cycle. Turn on notifications. Most people will follow me too late.

WhaleTwits

54,628 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

๐Ÿšจ SPACEX: THE BIGGEST EXIT LIQUIDITY IN HISTORY SpaceX is up 70% from IPO. Everyone is FOMOing hard. But almost nobody is talking about the real reason. Only 4% of shares are available to the public. So they can paint any price they want. The playbook never changes: Hold 96% in your pocket. Drop a few crumbs into the market. Pull the chart wherever you want. But now itโ€™s wrapped as "the biggest IPO in history." And Wall Street has already found their FORCED buyers. On June 13, SPCX was rushed into the MSCI indices. This means every passive fund worldwide is now obligated to buy it. Not because they believe in Elon Musk. Because that's how the system works: If it's in the index, you must buy it. We're talking about $15โ€“20 trillion in passive funds. Massive forced demand + tiny float = perfect pump. But the lock-ups are coming: August: first 20% unlock November: another big wave Day 180: everything unlocked In other words, early investors will exit in 1โ€“2 months, not in 6 months like most people think. And who will they sell to? Retail and those funds that were just forced into the stock. No one is arguing that SpaceX isn't a real company with a real future. Moon bases, Mars, orbital data centers: all of this might happen. But not anytime soon. Right now, something else is happening. The US stock market is going through a wild overvaluation of everything. SpaceX is just the biggest example. They are selling a dream about space today, at a price that won't make sense for another 15 to 20 years. And as always, the crowd will buy the top just to fund the exit. Remember, I've called every major turn for the last 10 years, including short BTC from $111K in October. My next call will be the biggest one this cycle. Turn on notifications. Most people will follow me too late.

MARMOT

715,884 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

๐Ÿšจ SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING SpaceX will go public tomorrow at a $1.75T valuation. The biggest IPO in market history. And Wall Street just changed the rules right before it happens. I've been trading for more than 15 years and have never seen them rewrite the rules so urgently: IPO access now lowered from $500,000 to $2,000 (-99.6% cut). That means millions of investors can suddenly enter a deal and buy shares tomorrow. One day before the most expensive IPO in history. And suddenly... SpaceX reserved up to 30% of the deal for regular investors. Three times the normal share. Why? Because retail investors need to buy what insiders sell. And here is the part most people are missing: SpaceX does not just create demand for SpaceX. It pulls liquidity out of everything else: - Retail sells stocks to chase the IPO. - Funds sell stocks to prepare for forced buying. - Brokers open access to generate demand. - Everyone needs cash at the same time. That is why the market is selling now. First, insiders create the hype. Then brokers open the gates. Then regular investors rush in. And by the time the crowd realizes what happened, the exit door is already closed. Weโ€™ve seen this before. 2000: Dotcom IPOs became the symbol of the bubble. Then Nasdaq collapsed 80%. 2021: SPACs, Coinbase, Robinhood, Rivian. Retail thought they were buying the future. They were buying the exit. Now the same playbook is back. Only this time, it is much bigger. When Wall Street cuts the entry ticket from $500K to $2K right before a $1.75T IPO, they are not giving retail a gift. They are creating buyers. Remember: Insiders need liquidity. Funds need allocation. The market needs a dream. And Wall Street needs someone to hold the bag. That is what tomorrow is really about. Reminder: Iโ€™ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, Iโ€™ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If youโ€™re not following yet, youโ€™ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason ๐Ÿ‘โ–ณ

1,749,995 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

$SPCX IS ABOUT TO TURN BUYERS INTO EXIT LIQUIDITY! SpaceX is currently up around 28% from its $135 IPO price Most people keep buying have no idea what that pump just triggered Here's why everyone who bought SpaceX right now will only lose money: Right now 95% of the shares are locked, so it all trades on a thin sliver of float with $2T valuation Also, there's a clause buried in the lockup, an extra 10% of insider shares Unlocks early if the stock holds ~30% above the $135 IPO price into the first earnings which is $175.5 And here's the worst part: Insiders unlock -> they sell into the hype -> price drops -> the next unlock hits an even weaker bid. And the calendar only gets heavier from there: After Q2 earnings the first 20% unlocks, then 7% drips out every couple of weeks Q3 earnings frees another 28%, and by mid-December the full lockup is gone Then in June 2027 Musk's 6.4 billion shares come online A wall of supply, on a fixed schedule, already counting down We've seen something similar before: Facebook IPO'd at $38 in 2012, the lockups expired, and months later it traded near $18 Half the value gone, not because the company failed, but because supply showed up and buyers ran out Now ask yourself one thing: Who's on the other side of your buy up here? It's people who got in at $40, $60, $90, sitting on years of gains and waiting for exactly this window They don't need price higher, they just need someone to sell into and right now that someone is you I've been here for 9+ years and seen dozens of such IPOs, not so big ofc but each used same system So I am here to warn you and tell you how you can really earn on this I'll post a full breakdown in a few days, so make sure to turn on notifs and follow me

๐—–๐—›๐—”๐—œ๐—ก ๐— ๐—œ๐—ก๐—— โ›“๐Ÿง 

177,103 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 1 Monat

๐Ÿšจ WARNING: SPACEX IPO IS A REAL BIG STORM FOR MARKETS!! Everyone thinks $SPCX IPO will be free money. But people thought the same about Meta in 2012. After Meta went public, the stock dumped more than 70% in the first 100 days. Retail bought the hype. Then insiders and early investors got liquidity. Now the same setup is coming again. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at a $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That would instantly make it one of the biggest companies in the US market. But hereโ€™s the problem. This is not just an IPO. This is a massive liquidity event. SpaceX $SPCX is now expected to IPO at $135 per share, with 555,555,555 shares available. That means almost $75 BILLION in shares could hit the market. Read that again. $75 BILLION of liquidity could be absorbed on day one. And everyone still thinks this is bullish. Insiders reportedly own around 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only around 5%. That means insiders are sitting on more than $1.6 TRILLION of paper wealth. And after the IPO, that paper wealth starts becoming real exit liquidity. Michael Burry already warned about this. He said SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could raise more money than the 300 biggest IPOs in 2000. And he is not just talking. He is already betting against the AI bubble with a massive short position in $PLTR and $NVDA. So now connect the dots. Meta IPO dumped after the hype. AI stocks are already crowded. SpaceX IPO could pull $75 BILLION of liquidity from the market. Stocks. Crypto. High beta tech. Everything retail is already holding. Most people will see the Elon hype. I see the liquidity drain. This could become one of the biggest insider cashout events in modern market history. I have studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning before it hits the headlines.

DANNY

973,924 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

The largest IPO in history is also shaping up to be the largest exit liquidity operation in history SpaceX went public at more than 90x revenue, and the insiders who bought in at a fraction of today's price are about to start selling their shares to you. Let me walk you through why this IPO is built to separate retail investors from their money: SpaceX has NEVER turned a profit and lost close to $5 billion last year. At the offering you were paying more than 90x revenue and at the peak the market briefly valued it near 140x. 30 years ago the head of Sun Microsystems explained in detail why paying even 10x revenue almost always ends in tears, and he was right. But listen closely, because the valuation is not even the real story. The scarcity is what CREATED this valuation in the first place, and the calendar that kills the scarcity is what kills the price. Less than 5% of SpaceX shares were actually available to trade at the IPO. Then the index committees REWROTE their own rules to fast track the stock into the Nasdaq 100 just 15 trading days after listing, which forced every passive fund and index ETF in the country to buy at the exact moment the float was at its tightest. The Nasdaq inclusion alone forced an estimated $4.3 billion of buying, and the Russell reweighting added roughly $3 billion more. The supply was minuscule and the buying was mandatory. That's a manufactured squeeze, and it is why the stock went above $225 in its first week. Now watch what happens next, because this is the part they ain't explaining to you: The lockup was staggered on purpose, and the entire schedule is sitting in the prospectus for anyone who bothers to read it. In early August, right after Q2 earnings, 20% of the locked shares come free. Another 10% unlocks early if the stock trades 30% above the $135 IPO price going into the report. Then tranches of 7% hit the market at 70, 90, 105, 120 and 135 days after the IPO, which means fresh insider supply lands roughly every 2 to 3 weeks from late August through late October. Q3 earnings triggers the single biggest release of all, another 28%, roughly 1.3 billion shares. On December 8 the 180 day lockup expires entirely. And on June 12, 2027 comes the final wave, when Musk's own 6.4 billion shares, 42% of the whole company, become sellable for the first time. Add it all up and insiders could be free to sell as much as 44% of the company by early September, which would balloon the tradable float by roughly 900%. All of that supply lands on a stock the company deliberately packed with retail, because SpaceX reserved close to 30% of the offering for individual investors vs the usual 10%. This deal created over 4,400 paper millionaires inside the company. You think none of them are looking to cash out? Early holders are already loading up on puts to lock in what they have. First they keep the float tiny. Then they let the index rules force the world to buy at the top. Then they release a flood of insider stock into a crowd of retail buyers who were handed the shares up high. When the price finally breaks the offering level, the people who got in years ago at pennies on today's dollar will hit the bid, and the exit liquidity is your retirement account. And what are you actually left holding? Strip away the science fiction and the only business inside SpaceX that reliably earns money is Starlink, which produced $1.2 billion of operating income last quarter. A wonderful business worth hundreds of billions on its best day. NOT $2 trillion. Serious fair value work lands around $30 a share. Nobody has been a bigger bear on this deal than me. I called it out the moment it started trading, and it is already playing out on schedule as the shares have given back the entire squeeze and slipped below their opening print. I was Peter Lynch's auto analyst back in 1981 and I have watched every disaster since, and I am telling you this is one of the great wealth transfers of my lifetime packed into a fancy narrative. Tesla was the biggest misallocation of capital in the history of stock markets. SpaceX may have just surpassed it. SPCX goes straight onto my short list, and the beauty of this setup is that the catalyst is not a guess or something, it is literally a PUBLISHED CALENDAR. This is the most grossly overpriced stock at scale that I have ever seen.

George Noble

349,308 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 1 Monat

๐Ÿšจ I WARNED YOU. $SPCX IS ENTERING A 6-MONTH "DEAD MONEY" PHASE. Everything is unfolding exactly the way I laid it out. SPCX is already showing cracks - and the real test hasn't even arrived. Let me put it in the simplest possible terms. Right now, only about 4% of SpaceX actually trades. The other 96% is locked up tight. That single fact is the entire reason the chart looks the way it does: a tiny sliver of stock is holding up a $2.7 trillion valuation after a 53% post-IPO melt-up. Insiders, employees, and early funds are all sitting on shares they're not allowed to sell. Yet. Late summer is where that changes. Once the Q2 report drops in late July, the first chunk of insider stock - roughly 20% comes unlocked. And it doesn't stop there: the tradable float is set to roughly double by late August, then keep bleeding open in tranches all the way to the full unlock in December. Sit with that math. Only ~4% trades today. By late August, that pool doubles - and it can start hitting the tape all at once. So who do they sell into? โ†’ Retail still chasing the SpaceX dream โ†’ Index funds forced to buy when MSCI added it on June 13 โ†’ Everyone who piled in after the pump If this feels familiar, it should. It's the exact playbook crypto ran for years: tiny float โ†’ enormous valuation โ†’ index inclusion โ†’ forced buyers โ†’ then the unlock cliff arrives and reality catches up. The only difference is SpaceX is running it at a $2.7 trillion price tag. We even have the blueprint. Facebook's 2012 IPO used the same staggered-lockup trick - and the stock was down 40%+ by the time those releases finished. Most people are still staring at the pump. I'm already looking at the calendar. The first exit door swings open in late July - and the last buyer in always pays for the dream. I've been calling tops for 10 years. I shorted BTC from six figures last October. This next one is the biggest call yet. Follow and turn notifications on. I post before the headlines catch up.

Shelpid.WI3M

232,032 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 1 Monat

๐Ÿšจ THE SPACEX PUMP JUST ACTIVATED THE INSIDER SELL BUTTON And almost nobody buying at $159 understands what just happened: SpaceX IPOโ€™d at $135 on June 12. Five days later, it peaked at $226. Everyone was calling it the trade of the decade. Almost nobody understands what is really happening. 95% of SpaceX shares are still locked. You are trading on just 5% of the total supply. A $2.35 trillion valuation was set by a tiny float that can be moved by thin volume. Thin liquidity pumps easily and dumps easily as well. Now the part that should concern everyone buying here: There is a clause buried in the lockup agreement. An early unlock can trigger if the stock holds 30% above the $135 IPO price. 30% above $135 is $175. SpaceX peaked at $226. It opened the door to an additional insider unlock. If this isnโ€™t surprising you, the calendar will: In a month, the first insider shares can hit the market around Q2 earnings. December 8: the full 180-day lockup will be over. June 2027: Muskโ€™s 6.4 billion personal shares unlock. This creates enormous selling pressure. I saw this movie before: Facebook IPOโ€™d at $38 in 2012. Four months later, it was trading at $18. 60% of the value was erased. Now look at SpaceX. $2.35 trillion peak valuation. $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue. 125x sales. And Muskโ€™s own $1 trillion revenue target is still โ€œmaybe by 2030.โ€ You are paying for that future today. So ask yourself one question: Who is selling into your buy today, at $159? People who got in at $20/$40/$60. Insiders sitting on 5x, 8x, 10x gains who have waited years for this window. They do not need the price higher. They need buyers. And right now, that buyer is you. The rockets are real. The company is real. The technology is real. The unlock calendar is real too. At $159 after the $226 ATH, you are the exit. Remember: I was the one who publicly called Bitcoinโ€™s ATH in October and cycle bottom in 2022. And I will call it again. Thatโ€™s literally my job. Make sure to follow and turn notifications on. If you are not following yet, you will regret it.

Alex Mason ๐Ÿ‘โ–ณ

227,321 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 1 Monat

๐Ÿšจ WARNING: SPACEX IPO IS A REAL BIG STORM FOR MARKETS!! Everyone thinks $SPCX IPO will be free money. But people thought the same about Meta in 2012. After Meta went public, the stock dumped more than 70% in the first 100 days. Retail bought the hype. Then insiders and early investors got liquidity. Now the same setup is coming again. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at a $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That would instantly make it one of the biggest companies in the US market. But hereโ€™s the problem. This is not just an IPO. This is a massive liquidity event. SpaceX $SPCX is now expected to IPO at $135 per share, with 555,555,555 shares available. That means almost $75 BILLION in shares could hit the market. Read that again. $75 BILLION of liquidity could be absorbed on day one. And everyone still thinks this is bullish. Insiders reportedly own around 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only around 5%. That means insiders are sitting on more than $1.6 TRILLION of paper wealth. And after the IPO, that paper wealth starts becoming real exit liquidity. Michael Burry already warned about this. He said SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could raise more money than the 300 biggest IPOs in 2000. And he is not just talking. He is already betting against the AI bubble with a massive short position in $PLTR and $NVDA. So now connect the dots. Meta IPO dumped after the hype. AI stocks are already crowded. SpaceX IPO could pull $75 BILLION of liquidity from the market. Stocks. Crypto. High beta tech. Everything retail is already holding. Most people will see the Elon hype. I see the liquidity drain. This could become one of the biggest insider cashout events in modern market history. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning before it hits the headlines.

WhaleTwits

148,383 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

๐Ÿšจ WARNING: SPACEX IPO IS A REAL BIG STORM FOR MARKETS!! Everyone thinks $SPCX IPO will be free money. But people thought the same about Meta in 2012. After Meta went public, the stock dumped more than 70% in the first 100 days. Retail bought the hype. Then insiders and early investors got liquidity. Now the same setup is coming again. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at a $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That would instantly make it one of the biggest companies in the US market. But hereโ€™s the problem. This is not just an IPO. This is a massive liquidity event. Insiders reportedly own around 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only around 5%. That means insiders are sitting on more than $1.6 TRILLION of paper wealth. And after the IPO, that paper wealth starts becoming real exit liquidity. Michael Burry already warned about this. He said SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could raise more money than the 300 biggest IPOs in 2000. And he is not just talking. He is already betting against the AI bubble with a massive short position in $PLTR and $NVDA. So now connect the dots. Meta IPO dumped after the hype. AI stocks are already crowded. SpaceX IPO will pull liquidity from everything else. - Stocks. - Crypto. - High beta tech. Everything retail is already holding. Most people will see the Elon hype. I see the liquidity drain. This could become one of the biggest insider cashout events in modern market history. I have studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning before it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

826,109 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

๐Ÿšจ WARNING: SPACEX IPO IS A REAL BIG STORM FOR MARKETS!! Everyone thinks $SPCX IPO will be free money. But people thought the same about Meta in 2012. After Meta went public, the stock dumped more than 70% in the first 100 days. Retail bought the hype. Then insiders and early investors got liquidity. Now the same setup is coming again. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at a $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That would instantly make it one of the biggest companies in the US market. But hereโ€™s the problem. This is not just an IPO. This is a massive liquidity event. Insiders reportedly own around 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only around 5%. That means insiders are sitting on more than $1.6 TRILLION of paper wealth. And after the IPO, that paper wealth starts becoming real exit liquidity. Michael Burry already warned about this. He said SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could raise more money than the 300 biggest IPOs in 2000. And he is not just talking. He is already betting against the AI bubble with a massive short position in $PLTR and $NVDA. So now connect the dots. Meta IPO dumped after the hype. AI stocks are already crowded. SpaceX IPO will pull liquidity from everything else. - Stocks. - Crypto. - High beta tech. Everything retail is already holding. Most people will see the Elon hype. I see the liquidity drain. This could become one of the biggest insider cashout events in modern market history. I have studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning before it hits the headlines.

DANNY

583,053 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten