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Almost every technical indicator we've seen at previous bottoms is hitting right now "That's the thing. Whichever technical indicator you choose, most of the ones we've seen at previous bottoms are hitting it right now" "There's very few indicators people have used for bottoms in the past that are...

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The Wolf Of All Streets

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43,667 просмотров • 4 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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Crypto is at lowest valuation since the last bitcoin bear market. The crypto market looks absolutely terrible right now. But I remain focused on the unemotional aspect of the cycle: 1. Bitcoin fair value: $158K (trading at $76K)...Lowest valuation since early 2023 2. PMI preparing for cycle expansion 3. Weekly RSI approaching levels only seen at MAJOR cycle bottoms 4. BTC dominance consolidating for 8 months What's the difference between now and previous oversold moments? This isn't the beginning of a bear market, it's the end of one. In my opinion. Intro 00:00 Crypto is undervalued 00:30 Bitcoin vs. altcoins 2:10 Crytpo in bear market oversold territory 5:30
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On April 20th 2020, something "impossible" happened: oil futures prices crashed through the floor, settling at MINUS $37.62 a barrel The reason? Because of lockdowns, demand for fuel crashed, oil tanks filled up, and no storage space was left, so those who held oil for delivery had to dump contracts at any price. Important to notice how, in 2020, speculative traders were positioned heavily long on Oil futures under the assumption lockdowns would not have lasted long and demand quickly spiked as soon as they were lifted, propping up the depressed crude oil prices. What would it take for the exact opposite to happen and for oil prices to suddenly skyrocket? Logically speaking, the answer is: SPR, Commercial, and Cushing inventories all at critical lows at the same time while demand remains strong and supply is in deficit. Does anything I said sound familiar? Of course it does, because that's exactly where we are right now. Those who say all-time low SPRs don't matter might be right. Those who say low commercial inventories do not matter might be right. Those who say Cushing hitting tank bottoms do not matter might be right too. Yes, they might be right if you consider these factors in isolation. The problem is that all-time low SPRs, low commercial inventories, Cushing about to hit tank bottoms, while demand remains strong (otherwise monster drawdowns would not happen) ARE ALL HAPPENING AT THE SAME TIME. Beware: trading models are always based upon what happened in the past, but they aren't the right tool to try to predict something that never happened for the simple reason they have no data points to be built on. This is the reason why those who just looked at their models and charts could not see coming what happened in 2020. The same is happening today; that's just how the system works. Furthermore, opposite to what happened in 2020, speculative traders are holding a significant amount of short positions, effectively betting against the laws of Mother Nature, exactly like in 2020.
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On April 20th 2020, something "impossible" happened: oil futures prices crashed through the floor, settling at MINUS $37.62 a barrel The reason? Because of lockdowns, demand for fuel crashed, oil tanks filled up, and no storage space was left, so those who held oil for delivery had to dump contracts at any price. Important to notice how, in 2020, speculative traders were positioned heavily long on Oil futures under the assumption lockdowns would not have lasted long and demand quickly spiked as soon as they were lifted, propping up the depressed crude oil prices. What would it take for the exact opposite to happen and for oil prices to suddenly skyrocket? Logically speaking, the answer is: SPR, Commercial, and Cushing inventories all at critical lows at the same time while demand remains strong and supply is in deficit. Does anything I said sound familiar? Of course it does, because that's exactly where we are right now. Those who say all-time low SPRs don't matter might be right. Those who say low commercial inventories do not matter might be right. Those who say Cushing hitting tank bottoms do not matter might be right too. Yes, they might be right if you consider these factors in isolation. The problem is that all-time low SPRs, low commercial inventories, Cushing about to hit tank bottoms, while demand remains strong (otherwise monster drawdowns would not happen) ARE ALL HAPPENING AT THE SAME TIME. Beware: trading models are always based upon what happened in the past, but they aren't the right tool to try to predict something that never happened for the simple reason they have no data points to be built on. This is the reason why those who just looked at their models and charts could not see coming what happened in 2020. The same is happening today; that's just how the system works. Furthermore, opposite to what happened in 2020, speculative traders are holding a significant amount of short positions, effectively betting against the laws of Mother Nature, exactly like in 2020.

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"We've been accused of ducking and all of that crap. Come on. We've played UConn the past 11 seasons. Now is the time to duck?" #Gamecock HC Dawn Staley on the importance playing #UConn next season. The programs have played at least once in each of the last 11 seasons. ABC Columbia

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JD Vance on Iran: These ceasefires are always a little messy, and sometimes the guys at the lower level aren't communicating with the guys at the top level. Sometimes people make mistakes, but even when the ceasefire is holding, as we've seen not just in Iran but all over the world, sometimes these things have little flare-ups. If you compare the conflict now to where it was five or six weeks ago, I think the president's ceasefire is very much holding.

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David Sacks: Anthropic Is Great at Two Things, Releasing Products and Scaring People “Anthropic has proven that it's very good at two things. One is product releases. The second is scaring people. And we've seen a pattern in their previous releases where, at the same time they roll out a new model or a new model card, something like that, they also roll out some study showing really the worst possible implications of where the technology could lead.” Source: The All-In Podcast

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One of the most shocking things happening right now is that in addition to all the very real bombings from Israel ... in almost every city there are people (likely working for Israel) putting tires on fire or setting off firecrackers to make people panic even further

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Qullamaggie on The Only Technical Indicators You Need to Make Millions “It actually found support on the rising 50 day. Look at this thing; this thing always finds support on a 50 day. Right here. Just keeps riding, keeps surfing the 50 day. These are all the only technical indicators you need. The 10 day, the 20 day, and the 50 day moving averages. You do not need anything else. You don’t even need to look at intra day charts. This is all you need to make millions; this is all you need. Literally nothing else. You don’t even need to look at the intraday chart. F*ck level 2; f*ck intraday charts; it’s all noise. All you need.”

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Why riots in the place where there's an ungodly amount of fraud discovered right at the same time? Everybody forgets about the fraud. Now, all anybody cares about is ICE, fascists, and Nazis The idea that this is an organic protest that these riots are organic is nonsense. It’s provably nonsense because now they have access to the Signal chats. This is a very coordinated thing
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Why riots in the place where there's an ungodly amount of fraud discovered right at the same time? Everybody forgets about the fraud. Now, all anybody cares about is ICE, fascists, and Nazis The idea that this is an organic protest that these riots are organic is nonsense. It’s provably nonsense because now they have access to the Signal chats. This is a very coordinated thing

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Kylian Mbappé: “ That's the problem! That it's the UCL, we've won and you want us to talk about the results.. but it’s not the most important thing right now. I couldn’t care less about the results right now. There are things bigger than football. ”

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Reporter: Data that shows that Americans are now saving a smaller share of their incomes than at any time over the past four years. Does data like that concern you right now? Bessent: That can mean one of two things. The kind of the doomer view that you took or that people have more confidence.
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Reporter: Data that shows that Americans are now saving a smaller share of their incomes than at any time over the past four years. Does data like that concern you right now? Bessent: That can mean one of two things. The kind of the doomer view that you took or that people have more confidence.

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Arteta: “Throughout this journey, we have made some massive steps, and we have accomplished a lot of things that, in my opinion, have a lot of value, but at the end of the day, we are here to win major trophies. “That was the ultimate goal, and we were very close. And in three occasions, we fell short at the end, and that was very painful. But I think that's what has driven all of us to find new ways to show what we are made of. That's what I said, the manner that we've done it, it makes it even better.”

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