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Are we heading for a "Super El Niño"?🦸🌀 El Niño is declared when Pacific temperatures rise 0.5°C above average. Forecasts suggest 2026 could see rises of 2–3°C. Find out how the @IFRC is getting to reduce humanitarian impacts ➡️

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New NMME modeling shows the *strongest El Niño on record* unfolding from October 2026 through at least January 2027. Sea temperatures in the central equatorial Pacific are forecast to soar 3.1˚C above average, reaching a peak in November.
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New NMME modeling shows the *strongest El Niño on record* unfolding from October 2026 through at least January 2027. Sea temperatures in the central equatorial Pacific are forecast to soar 3.1˚C above average, reaching a peak in November.

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A remarkable 3.5˚C rise in central equatorial Pacific Ocean temperatures is possible by November, shows new ECMWF, which would mark the strongest El Niño on record. Possible strength scenarios range from +2.8˚C to +4.3˚C, with sweeping consequences on global climate into 2027.
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A remarkable 3.5˚C rise in central equatorial Pacific Ocean temperatures is possible by November, shows new ECMWF, which would mark the strongest El Niño on record. Possible strength scenarios range from +2.8˚C to +4.3˚C, with sweeping consequences on global climate into 2027.

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A freight train of warm water chugging beneath the surface of the Pacific Ocean is a big reason why a super El Niño may form this year. Ocean waters have peaked around 7.5˚C (13.5˚F) above average, breaking records. And now, it's nearing the western shores of South America 🧵
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A freight train of warm water chugging beneath the surface of the Pacific Ocean is a big reason why a super El Niño may form this year. Ocean waters have peaked around 7.5˚C (13.5˚F) above average, breaking records. And now, it's nearing the western shores of South America 🧵

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El Niño has officially returned and could be severe. The UN is warning the world to prepare. The Pacific Ocean-warming phenomenon will bring above-average temperatures “nearly everywhere” and fuel more extreme weather, according to World Meteorological Organization. Here are 5️⃣ facts you need to know⤵️

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Are you a dairy farmer or feedlot operator in need of high-quality forage silage? Now is the time to stock up before the Super El Niño impacts supply. We have plenty of silage available and ready for delivery secure yours today.
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A Kelvin wave is carrying ocean waters that have reached 13.5 degrees Fahrenheit above average in parts of the deep ocean. It could contribute to one of the strongest El Niño events on record, with increasing risks for drought, rain and record heat.
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We are likely to experience a new warmest year on record in the next 5 years. New World Meteorological Organization & Met Office report shows that annual global mean near-surface temperatures from 2026–2030 are likely to range between 1.3°C - 1.9°C above the 1850-1900 average.

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CBC is already warning Canadians of a super El Niño Record breaking temperatures this summer and a warmer winter ahead More severe fire season All because of burning fossil fuels, of course
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CBC is already warning Canadians of a super El Niño Record breaking temperatures this summer and a warmer winter ahead More severe fire season All because of burning fossil fuels, of course

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How rare is it for temperatures to hit 30°C in Scotland?
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How rare is it for temperatures to hit 30°C in Scotland?

STV News

19,461 views • 1 year ago

Will we be a witness to El Niño history? It’s very possible! Every new model run exceeds our expectation for the “potential” strength of this upcoming El Niño event. The vast majority of models say a “Super” El Niño is coming. The caveat is that this is just a forecast, it’s early and it may fall short. Regardless though, while curbing our Atlantic Hurricane season, it can have a devastating impact to biodiversity like the Galápagos Islands. The 1982 event wiped out 97% of their penguin 🐧 population! Here’s a look at how El Niño evolves, the warning signs we are already seeing, and how it cripples the islands. (Remember the animation contained inside an idealized visual, it’s not exact) One last note: I’m not using the RONI here because I am simply making an apples to apples comparison of SST anom in the 3.4 region. When discussing the weather/ climate impact of an El Niño event I do agree that the RONI is the better metric. But this video focuses on the Biodiversity of the Galapagos Islands in which absolutes (not relative) matters more. #ElNino #florida
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Will we be a witness to El Niño history? It’s very possible! Every new model run exceeds our expectation for the “potential” strength of this upcoming El Niño event. The vast majority of models say a “Super” El Niño is coming. The caveat is that this is just a forecast, it’s early and it may fall short. Regardless though, while curbing our Atlantic Hurricane season, it can have a devastating impact to biodiversity like the Galápagos Islands. The 1982 event wiped out 97% of their penguin 🐧 population! Here’s a look at how El Niño evolves, the warning signs we are already seeing, and how it cripples the islands. (Remember the animation contained inside an idealized visual, it’s not exact) One last note: I’m not using the RONI here because I am simply making an apples to apples comparison of SST anom in the 3.4 region. When discussing the weather/ climate impact of an El Niño event I do agree that the RONI is the better metric. But this video focuses on the Biodiversity of the Galapagos Islands in which absolutes (not relative) matters more. #ElNino #florida

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Guess who's back, back again. La Niña's back, tell a friend. For the fifth time in six years, La Niña is back. Is the La Niña trend being influenced by rising global temperatures? Given how important El Niño and La Niña are to weather patterns, it's critical to figure this out!
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Guess who's back, back again. La Niña's back, tell a friend. For the fifth time in six years, La Niña is back. Is the La Niña trend being influenced by rising global temperatures? Given how important El Niño and La Niña are to weather patterns, it's critical to figure this out!

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