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BASECASE $CASE IS NOW LIVE! CA: 0x91Af643fc6db5eF56c3001a988bBbe40af6E2CcB Crypto, sports, weather, politics - or even a casual bet between friends. If you can think of it, you can find (or create) a market on BaseCase. The best part? There’s no house setting the odds and extracting value. Participants trade directly...

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Launch with Seed | $SEED

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Kairos And Why You Should Be A Part Of It Now. I’m sure that in the past few weeks, you’ve seen Kairos on your timeline whether from traders or creators like geek and tochi. What is Kairos? Kairos is currently the best prediction market trading terminal, aggregating Polymarket, Kalshi, and predict.fun. In simple terms, you can trade on all these prediction markets on kairos. Backed by a16z crypto, Geneva Trading, and more. Kairos is still in its beta phase, which means if you’re seeing this now, you’re genuinely early think HyperLiquid early. Why You Should Use Kairos Now • You get a major advantage by building volume early while it’s still in beta, ahead of any potential points system or token launch. • Its features outperforms every other prediction market product in speed, performance, advanced order types, news integration, and intelligence tools. No prediction market product comes close to Kairos in terms of technology. - Kill two birds with one stone: While trading Polymarket on Kairos, you’re simultaneously building trading volume for both platforms. This strategically positions you for potential $KAIROS and $POLY airdrops should any be announced. One volume. Two potential rewards. For Traders & Creators: • $30K Trading Competition Compete for a share of the prize pool using Kairos. Details: • There is currently a $5K Creator Pool and you get rewarded for creating content about Kairos. Also, if you’re a prediction market creator or micro-creator and you believe Kairos is the right place for you to grow and create, please feel free to reach out to me or Nexi and Zubby.hl. Use Kairos here: Join the Discord: Kairos is the Bloomberg Terminal for prediction markets and you’re truly early.
0:56

Kairos And Why You Should Be A Part Of It Now. I’m sure that in the past few weeks, you’ve seen Kairos on your timeline whether from traders or creators like geek and tochi. What is Kairos? Kairos is currently the best prediction market trading terminal, aggregating Polymarket, Kalshi, and predict.fun. In simple terms, you can trade on all these prediction markets on kairos. Backed by a16z crypto, Geneva Trading, and more. Kairos is still in its beta phase, which means if you’re seeing this now, you’re genuinely early think HyperLiquid early. Why You Should Use Kairos Now • You get a major advantage by building volume early while it’s still in beta, ahead of any potential points system or token launch. • Its features outperforms every other prediction market product in speed, performance, advanced order types, news integration, and intelligence tools. No prediction market product comes close to Kairos in terms of technology. - Kill two birds with one stone: While trading Polymarket on Kairos, you’re simultaneously building trading volume for both platforms. This strategically positions you for potential $KAIROS and $POLY airdrops should any be announced. One volume. Two potential rewards. For Traders & Creators: • $30K Trading Competition Compete for a share of the prize pool using Kairos. Details: • There is currently a $5K Creator Pool and you get rewarded for creating content about Kairos. Also, if you’re a prediction market creator or micro-creator and you believe Kairos is the right place for you to grow and create, please feel free to reach out to me or Nexi and Zubby.hl. Use Kairos here: Join the Discord: Kairos is the Bloomberg Terminal for prediction markets and you’re truly early.

JustDara

12,155 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🚨IEX and Market coupling, Rajeev Thakker explains what he thinks on the market coupling and IEX. The power market continues to be strong, and power trading has a good future. Market coupling is an uncertainty, In a bear case, Even if a market coupling case does come in, Volumes and liquidity will still remain with IEX, PPFAS owns more than 9% of IEX, And has been buying more, Needless to say, Even in the base case, IEX will continue to remain the market leader Love the fact that PPFAS is even answering investor stock-specific questions and sharing the rationale of investment!
6:31

🚨IEX and Market coupling, Rajeev Thakker explains what he thinks on the market coupling and IEX. The power market continues to be strong, and power trading has a good future. Market coupling is an uncertainty, In a bear case, Even if a market coupling case does come in, Volumes and liquidity will still remain with IEX, PPFAS owns more than 9% of IEX, And has been buying more, Needless to say, Even in the base case, IEX will continue to remain the market leader Love the fact that PPFAS is even answering investor stock-specific questions and sharing the rationale of investment!

Aditya Shah

93,888 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

Based Prediction Markets In partnership with Polymarket, the Based team will be launching prediction market access to users of Based. This manifests as a highly performant and intuitive way for users to trade prediction markets across iOS, Android, and our Web terminal product. Utilising Polymarket's deep liquidity and robust settlement, we carve out a new market segment for our users to trade. This is built in deep integration with Hyperliquid's hypercore to allow users to easily move funds in and out of their Perpetual accounts into Prediction Market account. The BasedPals will also receive an unique utility in-line with our agentic trading roadmap in partnership with Polymarket. With the integration of Prediction Market access, we diversify and increase Based's revenue streams as we move ahead into our eventual TGE. In order to grow our Prediction Market business, the Based team will be setting aside 2mil Based Gold every epoch (starting #14) for Based users who trade on our Prediction Markets. Stay Based.
0:21

Based Prediction Markets In partnership with Polymarket, the Based team will be launching prediction market access to users of Based. This manifests as a highly performant and intuitive way for users to trade prediction markets across iOS, Android, and our Web terminal product. Utilising Polymarket's deep liquidity and robust settlement, we carve out a new market segment for our users to trade. This is built in deep integration with Hyperliquid's hypercore to allow users to easily move funds in and out of their Perpetual accounts into Prediction Market account. The BasedPals will also receive an unique utility in-line with our agentic trading roadmap in partnership with Polymarket. With the integration of Prediction Market access, we diversify and increase Based's revenue streams as we move ahead into our eventual TGE. In order to grow our Prediction Market business, the Based team will be setting aside 2mil Based Gold every epoch (starting #14) for Based users who trade on our Prediction Markets. Stay Based.

Based

230,851 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

today we’re happy to announce actions fun v2 — fully focused on creators’ prediction markets thesis: livestreaming while launching a creator token will obviously become an industry standard and go mainstream, and .@pumpdotfun is working towards that at actions fun we’re supporting this shift by giving creator tokens real utility and making viewers actually want to buy them prediction markets are inevitable, they will be everywhere — on every topic, across every vertical. use cases will only keep expanding, and the future of prediction markets is permissionless imagine the amount of prediction markets that can be created during a single livestream — whether it’s gaming or irl. every moment, every decision can become a market actions fun is where prediction markets and livestreaming collide. both are on the rise, and together we’ll rise even higher, shaping the new standard you’re not ready for what’s coming creator capital markets.
0:41

today we’re happy to announce actions fun v2 — fully focused on creators’ prediction markets thesis: livestreaming while launching a creator token will obviously become an industry standard and go mainstream, and .@pumpdotfun is working towards that at actions fun we’re supporting this shift by giving creator tokens real utility and making viewers actually want to buy them prediction markets are inevitable, they will be everywhere — on every topic, across every vertical. use cases will only keep expanding, and the future of prediction markets is permissionless imagine the amount of prediction markets that can be created during a single livestream — whether it’s gaming or irl. every moment, every decision can become a market actions fun is where prediction markets and livestreaming collide. both are on the rise, and together we’ll rise even higher, shaping the new standard you’re not ready for what’s coming creator capital markets.

actionsdotfun

17,966 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce

i got you - prediction markets need a dedicated trading terminal + analytics dashboard to attract more volume and provide greater clarity to traders on their performance. traders need data visualizations which are geared towards tracking prediction oriented metrics like calibration curve + brier score. after spending months talking to prediction market traders on twitter - i built out this prototype (mock data for now since Kalshi doesn't offer auth in their API). over the last few months i've become prediction market pilled - believing in a future where experts in topics can profit from their knowledge and a world where most people can make better decisions for their future based off of prediction market odds. a world where someone can see the odds of a jerome powell interest rate cut and decide whether or not to buy a house. a world where someone can directly see the odds of an election and have better data on whether they should move somewhere accordingly. (i want to work in prediction markets btw)
0:23

i got you - prediction markets need a dedicated trading terminal + analytics dashboard to attract more volume and provide greater clarity to traders on their performance. traders need data visualizations which are geared towards tracking prediction oriented metrics like calibration curve + brier score. after spending months talking to prediction market traders on twitter - i built out this prototype (mock data for now since Kalshi doesn't offer auth in their API). over the last few months i've become prediction market pilled - believing in a future where experts in topics can profit from their knowledge and a world where most people can make better decisions for their future based off of prediction market odds. a world where someone can see the odds of a jerome powell interest rate cut and decide whether or not to buy a house. a world where someone can directly see the odds of an election and have better data on whether they should move somewhere accordingly. (i want to work in prediction markets btw)

steve

17,525 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

Mr Shift: What's the true innovation with prediction markets? Kalshi CEO: There's many ways to answer that question. Um there's the Kalshi piece of it, but then there's the prediction market piece of it, which are not exactly the same. “But the... the true innovation in prediction markets, I think, is this notion, like... and, and I think it has been built through a lot of literature, and then I think the prediction markets have come in our generation, like Kalshi and some of the others have proven it” “The best way to answer like all these most pressing questions is like you have to ask the crowd”
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Mr Shift: What's the true innovation with prediction markets? Kalshi CEO: There's many ways to answer that question. Um there's the Kalshi piece of it, but then there's the prediction market piece of it, which are not exactly the same. “But the... the true innovation in prediction markets, I think, is this notion, like... and, and I think it has been built through a lot of literature, and then I think the prediction markets have come in our generation, like Kalshi and some of the others have proven it” “The best way to answer like all these most pressing questions is like you have to ask the crowd”

ShaDow | Clipur.com

23,860 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

The future of decentralized prediction markets is evolving and Panta is leading the way. What if your market insights could become real earning opportunities? In this short video and thread, I'll walk you through Panta's powerful ecosystem, from prediction markets and creator rewards to built-in wallets, market creation, and the exciting new upgrades including USDC integration, cross-chain bridging, Panta Intelligence, and enhanced creator earnings. Panta Solana Summit Nigeria 🇳🇬 Explore panta: 🎥 Watch the VIDEO to see PANTAMARKETS in action, then scroll down and 🧵 check the THREAD for a deeper breakdown of everything the platform has to offer.... The future of prediction starts here. THE THREAD 🧵
2:33

The future of decentralized prediction markets is evolving and Panta is leading the way. What if your market insights could become real earning opportunities? In this short video and thread, I'll walk you through Panta's powerful ecosystem, from prediction markets and creator rewards to built-in wallets, market creation, and the exciting new upgrades including USDC integration, cross-chain bridging, Panta Intelligence, and enhanced creator earnings. Panta Solana Summit Nigeria 🇳🇬 Explore panta: 🎥 Watch the VIDEO to see PANTAMARKETS in action, then scroll down and 🧵 check the THREAD for a deeper breakdown of everything the platform has to offer.... The future of prediction starts here. THE THREAD 🧵

John Mark💫

24,401 görüntüleme • 17 gün önce

🌱 $SEED is live on Pineapple $PAPPLE 🌱 CA: 6xmo7F4DgFWd2q5xqn4vRqnmP9qSe6Ar3bsNM63S4exn $SEED was built to power the new standard for token launches: 🌱 Structured liquidity 🌱 Stable-led KOL pushes 🌱 ROI-driven marketing 🌱 Chart and market support 🌱 Continuous buybacks 🌱 Treasury building …and a revenue loop that strengthens the ecosystem with every cycle. But won’t just describe our full-funnel launch engine, we’ll prove it with $SEED. This is where the model is forged. Buy $SEED now to unlock access to future launches built on this system: with major projects already lined up well into 2026. You won’t want to miss this: #sol Solana #papple #pineappledex #tge #launch
0:31

🌱 $SEED is live on Pineapple $PAPPLE 🌱 CA: 6xmo7F4DgFWd2q5xqn4vRqnmP9qSe6Ar3bsNM63S4exn $SEED was built to power the new standard for token launches: 🌱 Structured liquidity 🌱 Stable-led KOL pushes 🌱 ROI-driven marketing 🌱 Chart and market support 🌱 Continuous buybacks 🌱 Treasury building …and a revenue loop that strengthens the ecosystem with every cycle. But won’t just describe our full-funnel launch engine, we’ll prove it with $SEED. This is where the model is forged. Buy $SEED now to unlock access to future launches built on this system: with major projects already lined up well into 2026. You won’t want to miss this: #sol Solana #papple #pineappledex #tge #launch

Launch with Seed | $SEED

12,223 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

A new dimension of utility just unlocked on Bitcoin. Beyond HODLing, beyond DeFi... now you can predict. We just launched the first native, permissionless prediction market on the Bitcoin layer. You can transact in $BTC, win in $BTC, and even create your own markets to earn a share of the fees. We're live now with a small group of early testers, but we're saving a few spots. Slide into our DMs for possible access to our private Discord, where you can test the dApp and meet the other builders. Trade on Anything. Secured by Bitcoin.
0:27

A new dimension of utility just unlocked on Bitcoin. Beyond HODLing, beyond DeFi... now you can predict. We just launched the first native, permissionless prediction market on the Bitcoin layer. You can transact in $BTC, win in $BTC, and even create your own markets to earn a share of the fees. We're live now with a small group of early testers, but we're saving a few spots. Slide into our DMs for possible access to our private Discord, where you can test the dApp and meet the other builders. Trade on Anything. Secured by Bitcoin.

Forsat 🔮

10,169 görüntüleme • 11 ay önce

Prediction markets are no longer a niche corner of crypto. real people are putting real money behind real convictions on sports, crypto, and global geopolitics. the infrastructure is maturing fast. at the center of that shift is POTS MARKET. not just a platform a tool for aggregating collective intelligence. Users bet on outcomes with actual stakes, and the market reveals what the crowd actually believes. The numbers back it up. POTS Market is officially ranked a Top 20 Builder on Polymarket, with over $4M in monthly trading volume. that's not speculation that's traction. sports. financial indicators. major world events. POTS Market gives you the liquidity and depth to turn sharp insights into actual positions. If you see it before the market does, you can profit from it. stop guessing. start backing your conviction with stakes. explore the ecosystem → POTS MARKET POTS MONEY
1:23

Prediction markets are no longer a niche corner of crypto. real people are putting real money behind real convictions on sports, crypto, and global geopolitics. the infrastructure is maturing fast. at the center of that shift is POTS MARKET. not just a platform a tool for aggregating collective intelligence. Users bet on outcomes with actual stakes, and the market reveals what the crowd actually believes. The numbers back it up. POTS Market is officially ranked a Top 20 Builder on Polymarket, with over $4M in monthly trading volume. that's not speculation that's traction. sports. financial indicators. major world events. POTS Market gives you the liquidity and depth to turn sharp insights into actual positions. If you see it before the market does, you can profit from it. stop guessing. start backing your conviction with stakes. explore the ecosystem → POTS MARKET POTS MONEY

KAISER

12,208 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

The Bloomberg Terminal of Prediction Markets. Private beta is live with Polymarket and Kalshi, delivering actionable insights for serious traders. - Real-time price tracking - Trading volume & liquidity data - Cross-market arbitrage - Recent trades & top holders - Edge discovery across markets - Graded Buy & Sell Signals Built by seasoned data and analytics veterans, to turn data into a trading advantage, now it’s your turn to test it. Private Beta is live. Like and reply for access.
0:35

The Bloomberg Terminal of Prediction Markets. Private beta is live with Polymarket and Kalshi, delivering actionable insights for serious traders. - Real-time price tracking - Trading volume & liquidity data - Cross-market arbitrage - Recent trades & top holders - Edge discovery across markets - Graded Buy & Sell Signals Built by seasoned data and analytics veterans, to turn data into a trading advantage, now it’s your turn to test it. Private Beta is live. Like and reply for access.

Predictefy

63,418 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟔 𝐖𝐨𝐫𝐥𝐝 𝐂𝐮𝐩 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐠𝐞𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐦𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐬𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐡𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲. Most people will use sportsbooks. A few will discover something better. Here's why the World Cup is actually POTS MARKET Market biggest moment. Every match carries dozens of predictable outcomes, not just who wins, but scorelines, goalscorers, red cards, halftime leads, VAR decisions. Traditional sportsbooks will process billions in bets. And keep most of it. Here is the problem with sportsbooks that nobody talks about: They set the odds. Not the market. Which means the house always has an edge baked in before you place a single bet. You're not trading against the market, you're trading against a company whose entire business model depends on you losing. That's not a prediction market. That's a casino with a football shirt on. Prediction markets are different. The odds aren't set by a company. They're set by the collective intelligence of everyone participating. When millions of people put real money behind their beliefs, the market finds truth faster than any analyst, pundit, or algorithm working alone. This is why prediction markets outperform polls, pundits, and press releases, every single time. Now here's where POTS Market changes the game entirely. POTS MONEY has a dedicated sports vertical, built specifically for football, basketball, and esports. Not a generic market with a football category tucked in the corner. A tailored module optimized for the way sports prediction actually works, short windows, live data, rapid settlement. 64 World Cup matches = 64 live prediction markets. Each one open, on-chain, transparent. But the real edge is not the markets themselves. It's the capital layer underneath them. On a traditional sportsbook, every bet locks your full stake. You place £100, that £100 is gone until settlement. POTS Money changes this. The DeFi lending primitive means you can collateralize positions and optimize capital across multiple markets simultaneously, without locking up dead capital on each one. That's not betting. That's portfolio management. And then there's the AI layer. Via MCP (Model Context Protocol), you can deploy autonomous trading agents that monitor live match data and execute positions based on your pre-set strategy. Imagine this: Agent monitors possession stats in real time Detects a momentum shift at the 60th minute Auto-places a position on the next goalscorer market before the crowd even reacts 𝙏𝙝𝙖𝙩'𝙨 𝙣𝙤𝙩 𝙖 𝙥𝙧𝙚𝙙𝙞𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣. 𝙏𝙝𝙖𝙩'𝙨 𝙖𝙣 𝙚𝙙𝙜𝙚 Compare the two worlds side by side: Sportsbook: ❌ House sets the odds ❌ Geo-restricted ❌ Capital locked per bet ❌ No automation ❌ Withdraw only when they allow it POTS Market: ✅ Market sets the odds ✅ Open and on-chain ✅ Capital efficient via DeFi lending ✅ AI agents execute your strategy ✅ Fully collateralized, transparent settlement One of these is built for the next decade. The other is built for the last one. The timing is not a coincidence. POTS Market launches Q2 2026, right as World Cup fever peaks globally. Q1 2026 — MVP + Polymarket integration ✅ Q2 2026 — Market Launch + DeFi lending beta 👈 we are here Q3-Q4 2026 — Skill Hub + Sub-accounts 2027+ — DAO governance + cross-chain The infrastructure is ready exactly when the biggest prediction event on earth arrives. That's timing. The 2026 World Cup will mint the first generation of serious prediction market traders. Most will start on sportsbooks. The ones who do their research will end up on POTS. From trusting the house to trusting the market. From locked capital to capital efficiency. From punting to positioning. POTS MARKET POTS MONEY, the World Cup just became a DeFi event.
3:28

𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟔 𝐖𝐨𝐫𝐥𝐝 𝐂𝐮𝐩 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐠𝐞𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐦𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐬𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐡𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲. Most people will use sportsbooks. A few will discover something better. Here's why the World Cup is actually POTS MARKET Market biggest moment. Every match carries dozens of predictable outcomes, not just who wins, but scorelines, goalscorers, red cards, halftime leads, VAR decisions. Traditional sportsbooks will process billions in bets. And keep most of it. Here is the problem with sportsbooks that nobody talks about: They set the odds. Not the market. Which means the house always has an edge baked in before you place a single bet. You're not trading against the market, you're trading against a company whose entire business model depends on you losing. That's not a prediction market. That's a casino with a football shirt on. Prediction markets are different. The odds aren't set by a company. They're set by the collective intelligence of everyone participating. When millions of people put real money behind their beliefs, the market finds truth faster than any analyst, pundit, or algorithm working alone. This is why prediction markets outperform polls, pundits, and press releases, every single time. Now here's where POTS Market changes the game entirely. POTS MONEY has a dedicated sports vertical, built specifically for football, basketball, and esports. Not a generic market with a football category tucked in the corner. A tailored module optimized for the way sports prediction actually works, short windows, live data, rapid settlement. 64 World Cup matches = 64 live prediction markets. Each one open, on-chain, transparent. But the real edge is not the markets themselves. It's the capital layer underneath them. On a traditional sportsbook, every bet locks your full stake. You place £100, that £100 is gone until settlement. POTS Money changes this. The DeFi lending primitive means you can collateralize positions and optimize capital across multiple markets simultaneously, without locking up dead capital on each one. That's not betting. That's portfolio management. And then there's the AI layer. Via MCP (Model Context Protocol), you can deploy autonomous trading agents that monitor live match data and execute positions based on your pre-set strategy. Imagine this: Agent monitors possession stats in real time Detects a momentum shift at the 60th minute Auto-places a position on the next goalscorer market before the crowd even reacts 𝙏𝙝𝙖𝙩'𝙨 𝙣𝙤𝙩 𝙖 𝙥𝙧𝙚𝙙𝙞𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣. 𝙏𝙝𝙖𝙩'𝙨 𝙖𝙣 𝙚𝙙𝙜𝙚 Compare the two worlds side by side: Sportsbook: ❌ House sets the odds ❌ Geo-restricted ❌ Capital locked per bet ❌ No automation ❌ Withdraw only when they allow it POTS Market: ✅ Market sets the odds ✅ Open and on-chain ✅ Capital efficient via DeFi lending ✅ AI agents execute your strategy ✅ Fully collateralized, transparent settlement One of these is built for the next decade. The other is built for the last one. The timing is not a coincidence. POTS Market launches Q2 2026, right as World Cup fever peaks globally. Q1 2026 — MVP + Polymarket integration ✅ Q2 2026 — Market Launch + DeFi lending beta 👈 we are here Q3-Q4 2026 — Skill Hub + Sub-accounts 2027+ — DAO governance + cross-chain The infrastructure is ready exactly when the biggest prediction event on earth arrives. That's timing. The 2026 World Cup will mint the first generation of serious prediction market traders. Most will start on sportsbooks. The ones who do their research will end up on POTS. From trusting the house to trusting the market. From locked capital to capital efficiency. From punting to positioning. POTS MARKET POTS MONEY, the World Cup just became a DeFi event.

KIMMY OF GOOD LIFE 😍

21,955 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

DROPS E39: Worm - The permissionless truth machine Nass Diba studied quantum physics, worked at Facebook, then left to build in crypto. He's now building Worm - a permissionless prediction market on Solana with leverage. His thesis: prediction markets are the only mechanism that consistently surfaces truth, and they're about to matter more than ever. He grew up in Iran under a dictatorship. He watched state TV claim there was no inflation while the money in people's pockets shrank. That's not a metaphor for him - it's the problem he's building to solve. We talk about: - Why CNN and Fox both showed different election results in 2024 - Growing up in Iran and experiencing information asymmetry under dictatorship firsthand - Building a Poly Market Telegram mini app in September 2024 and getting 56,000 users overnight - Why 90% of those users weren't American - and what that revealed about the technology - How leverage works on prediction markets, why it took 9 months to build, and what liquidation actually means when there's no price - just probability - Why Polymarket and Kalshi are scratching the surface of what's possible - Prediction markets as the engagement layer for Web3 - and what Worm is launching on HyperLiquid HIP-4 And much more… Timestamps: 0:00 Introduction 1:17 Welcome to DROPS 1:57 Prediction Markets in 2026 3:08 Can the crowd be wrong? 4:26 Money Creates Better Truth Discovery 5:22 Who is Nass? 5:55 Growing up in Iran 6:52 Entered Crypto in 2019 8:05 Discovering Prediction Markets 10:08 Signal Behind the 2024 Elections 11:59 How Prediction Markets Disrupt Traditional Media 13:16 Traditional Media Prioritizes Incentives Over Truth 17:33 Polymarket vs Kalshi: Which Model Wins? 18:25 Why is Kalshi or Polymarket enough? 19:43 Lessons Learned Building on Polymarket 21:07 Building Worm on Solana 21:56 What Is Worm and its special elements? 23:36 How Leverage Works on Prediction Markets 25:29 Hedging 27:33 Prediction Markets vs Options & Perps 29:15 How Liquidations Work 31:13 Why Leverage is more than a Gimmick 33:04 Building Leverage Was Harder Than Expected 34:12 Solving Liquidity Problem 36:05 How Worm Acquires Users 36:59 Inflection Point for Prediction Markets 39:06 Why Worm chose Solana 40:24 Becoming the Hyperliquid of Prediction Markets 42:26 Solana vs Hyperliquid: Which Wins? 45:00 Conclusion
46:11

DROPS E39: Worm - The permissionless truth machine Nass Diba studied quantum physics, worked at Facebook, then left to build in crypto. He's now building Worm - a permissionless prediction market on Solana with leverage. His thesis: prediction markets are the only mechanism that consistently surfaces truth, and they're about to matter more than ever. He grew up in Iran under a dictatorship. He watched state TV claim there was no inflation while the money in people's pockets shrank. That's not a metaphor for him - it's the problem he's building to solve. We talk about: - Why CNN and Fox both showed different election results in 2024 - Growing up in Iran and experiencing information asymmetry under dictatorship firsthand - Building a Poly Market Telegram mini app in September 2024 and getting 56,000 users overnight - Why 90% of those users weren't American - and what that revealed about the technology - How leverage works on prediction markets, why it took 9 months to build, and what liquidation actually means when there's no price - just probability - Why Polymarket and Kalshi are scratching the surface of what's possible - Prediction markets as the engagement layer for Web3 - and what Worm is launching on HyperLiquid HIP-4 And much more… Timestamps: 0:00 Introduction 1:17 Welcome to DROPS 1:57 Prediction Markets in 2026 3:08 Can the crowd be wrong? 4:26 Money Creates Better Truth Discovery 5:22 Who is Nass? 5:55 Growing up in Iran 6:52 Entered Crypto in 2019 8:05 Discovering Prediction Markets 10:08 Signal Behind the 2024 Elections 11:59 How Prediction Markets Disrupt Traditional Media 13:16 Traditional Media Prioritizes Incentives Over Truth 17:33 Polymarket vs Kalshi: Which Model Wins? 18:25 Why is Kalshi or Polymarket enough? 19:43 Lessons Learned Building on Polymarket 21:07 Building Worm on Solana 21:56 What Is Worm and its special elements? 23:36 How Leverage Works on Prediction Markets 25:29 Hedging 27:33 Prediction Markets vs Options & Perps 29:15 How Liquidations Work 31:13 Why Leverage is more than a Gimmick 33:04 Building Leverage Was Harder Than Expected 34:12 Solving Liquidity Problem 36:05 How Worm Acquires Users 36:59 Inflection Point for Prediction Markets 39:06 Why Worm chose Solana 40:24 Becoming the Hyperliquid of Prediction Markets 42:26 Solana vs Hyperliquid: Which Wins? 45:00 Conclusion

MR SHIFT 🦁

31,065 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

I built a decentralized prediction market app called Aracana Markets, fully live and deployed on Arc network. Arcana Market is an onchain prediction market where anyone trades YES or NO on real-world events using USDC on arc network. Right now , there are active 33 markets covering: crypto, politics, sports, macro, AI , culture , arc , and science. To get started claim faucet at - Visit - connect your wallet - pick any market of your choice - predict either yes or no - trade with USDC - contract settles automatically when the event resolves i would really love it if you could test it out and share your feedback with me. Thank you. ⚠️ testnet only , please use a burner wallet
2:35

I built a decentralized prediction market app called Aracana Markets, fully live and deployed on Arc network. Arcana Market is an onchain prediction market where anyone trades YES or NO on real-world events using USDC on arc network. Right now , there are active 33 markets covering: crypto, politics, sports, macro, AI , culture , arc , and science. To get started claim faucet at - Visit - connect your wallet - pick any market of your choice - predict either yes or no - trade with USDC - contract settles automatically when the event resolves i would really love it if you could test it out and share your feedback with me. Thank you. ⚠️ testnet only , please use a burner wallet

Stephanie

43,885 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

World Cup 2026 kicks off June 11, accompanied by 48 teams, and billions of dollars are expected to flow through prediction markets in real time. With these events unfolding, prediction markets are finding their fit as the world stage for expressing opinions on real world outcomes like the World Cup 2026. But most of that money will flow through systems that are designed to take it from you, like traditional sports betting. Traditional sports betting is built around a house and a bookie that sets the odds and profits from your losses. The house controls whether you can even withdraw or not. Pots Market is built differently. With the Polymarket integration, it inherits deep peer-to-peer liquidity from day one. Users buy "Yes" or "No" shares for an event, with prices fluctuating based on supply and demand, representing the crowd's estimated probability. There is no bookmaker that's control every bet like traditional platforms do. And Pots Market will have functions similar to a stock market. You can enter or exit a position at any time by selling your shares at the current market price before an event concludes, allowing you to lock in profits or cut losses. Here is what makes it different from anything else launching right now: (1) Resolution is on-chain, where the rules are visible to everyone and changeable by no one, making the code the referee rather than a central authority. (2) Capital is also programmable, where DeFi lending primitives let you size positions intelligently, sub-accounts isolate strategies, and the MCP interface lets you deploy autonomous AI agents to execute on your behalf. (3) And prediction is not limited to football, as crypto prices, and any real world outcome with a verifiable resolution becomes a tradeable position. The rate at which gambling amongst the younger populations is increasing is quite alarming, to say the least. It feels like almost every person within the age range of 18-30 is doing sports betting. With the largest sport event happening in just a few weeks, it is also the single largest coordinated prediction event on the planet, arriving at the exact moment when a generation of young, digitally-native bettors are looking for something better than what the house has been offering them. That generation already knows how to take risk. What they have never had is infrastructure that is not rigged and actually works in their favor. Pots Market is that infrastructure. Pots Market Pots Money
0:54

World Cup 2026 kicks off June 11, accompanied by 48 teams, and billions of dollars are expected to flow through prediction markets in real time. With these events unfolding, prediction markets are finding their fit as the world stage for expressing opinions on real world outcomes like the World Cup 2026. But most of that money will flow through systems that are designed to take it from you, like traditional sports betting. Traditional sports betting is built around a house and a bookie that sets the odds and profits from your losses. The house controls whether you can even withdraw or not. Pots Market is built differently. With the Polymarket integration, it inherits deep peer-to-peer liquidity from day one. Users buy "Yes" or "No" shares for an event, with prices fluctuating based on supply and demand, representing the crowd's estimated probability. There is no bookmaker that's control every bet like traditional platforms do. And Pots Market will have functions similar to a stock market. You can enter or exit a position at any time by selling your shares at the current market price before an event concludes, allowing you to lock in profits or cut losses. Here is what makes it different from anything else launching right now: (1) Resolution is on-chain, where the rules are visible to everyone and changeable by no one, making the code the referee rather than a central authority. (2) Capital is also programmable, where DeFi lending primitives let you size positions intelligently, sub-accounts isolate strategies, and the MCP interface lets you deploy autonomous AI agents to execute on your behalf. (3) And prediction is not limited to football, as crypto prices, and any real world outcome with a verifiable resolution becomes a tradeable position. The rate at which gambling amongst the younger populations is increasing is quite alarming, to say the least. It feels like almost every person within the age range of 18-30 is doing sports betting. With the largest sport event happening in just a few weeks, it is also the single largest coordinated prediction event on the planet, arriving at the exact moment when a generation of young, digitally-native bettors are looking for something better than what the house has been offering them. That generation already knows how to take risk. What they have never had is infrastructure that is not rigged and actually works in their favor. Pots Market is that infrastructure. Pots Market Pots Money

lefttoorz 👑

36,825 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

AI is everywhere. But the real question is: how does AI participate in the economy? That's where Base comes in. While everyone is focused on AI models, Base is building the rails for AI agents to transact, pay, and interact online. With Baseapp, you can already access a future where trading, payments, yield, prediction markets, and more live in one place. Ready to explore the future of the onchain economy? Download Base App and see what's possible 👇
0:48

AI is everywhere. But the real question is: how does AI participate in the economy? That's where Base comes in. While everyone is focused on AI models, Base is building the rails for AI agents to transact, pay, and interact online. With Baseapp, you can already access a future where trading, payments, yield, prediction markets, and more live in one place. Ready to explore the future of the onchain economy? Download Base App and see what's possible 👇

SPACE 😎

16,125 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

coldvision and agents are friends now. We built an MPP endpoint on Tempo, onchain prediction market intelligence is now discoverable by agents. Fund a wallet. Point it at the signal. Let it hunt. Jammed async with the Paradigm crew and hackers at Bazaar. Getting agents to do real work onchain just got frictionless. Now we're running experiments. Autonomous research pipelines for prediction market traders. Infrastructure is live. Something is watching the markets that never sleeps. 🔗 🔗 More soon. Maybe.
0:26

coldvision and agents are friends now. We built an MPP endpoint on Tempo, onchain prediction market intelligence is now discoverable by agents. Fund a wallet. Point it at the signal. Let it hunt. Jammed async with the Paradigm crew and hackers at Bazaar. Getting agents to do real work onchain just got frictionless. Now we're running experiments. Autonomous research pipelines for prediction market traders. Infrastructure is live. Something is watching the markets that never sleeps. 🔗 🔗 More soon. Maybe.

coldvision

12,604 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

FROM A $50 SALARY IN SYRIA TO A $6M ROUND Episode 5 of PredictTime is live, and you'll hear it from a founder who restarted from zero three times and never sent a single cold email to close his round Ali, founder and CEO of XO Market. We go deep into why 400+ prediction markets are just copies of the same model, why a whale unfairly resolving his Polymarket bet became the tipping point, and how AI agents now decide market outcomes instead of humans Now he's building XO Market, where anyone can turn any idea into a conviction market. Everything you need to know about user-generated markets, XO Vaults and the future of prediction markets is in this episode --- Win 1,000 Conviction Points and get access to XO's weekly parlays with prizes up to $50,000 (we'll pick the winner on July 13): - sign up via the link: -drop your username with your most creative comment or question about the episode and follow Predict Time and XO Market --- Timecodes: 00:00 Intro 00:38 Raising $6M without pitching a single VC 04:29 Why not just copy Polymarket 07:05 Advice for builders: grants over VC money 12:15 Building a team across every continent 15:52 Ali's story: from Syria to Switzerland 19:29 Leaving corporate (Roche) for crypto 22:24 Why raising money is a liability, not a win 25:42 How XO Market conviction markets actually work 29:43 What stops thousands of dead markets 32:41 The tech that gives markets instant liquidity 37:43 How to create your own market 39:14 Getting attention: local communities & ambassadors 44:20 Not the of prediction markets 48:22 Who decides the outcome: AI resolution 51:43 XO Vault: market making for everyone 56:47 The moment XO Market took off 1:02:14 Is prediction market usage exaggerated? 1:05:17 Elon Musk and mention markets 1:07:04 AI vs humans: jobs and the jury system 1:13:56 Are Polymarket & Kalshi overvalued? 1:16:16 What's next: Parlays, Vaults & the World Cup 1:23:06 Is XO Market becoming a sportsbook? 1:25:15 AI agents trading on their own 1:27:40 Regulation & staying permissionless 1:33:08 The investors: 20VC, Harry & a cricket legend 1:44:55 Will there be a token? 1:46:45 Blitz: rapid-fire round 1:52:59 Closing & giveaway
1:55:06

FROM A $50 SALARY IN SYRIA TO A $6M ROUND Episode 5 of PredictTime is live, and you'll hear it from a founder who restarted from zero three times and never sent a single cold email to close his round Ali, founder and CEO of XO Market. We go deep into why 400+ prediction markets are just copies of the same model, why a whale unfairly resolving his Polymarket bet became the tipping point, and how AI agents now decide market outcomes instead of humans Now he's building XO Market, where anyone can turn any idea into a conviction market. Everything you need to know about user-generated markets, XO Vaults and the future of prediction markets is in this episode --- Win 1,000 Conviction Points and get access to XO's weekly parlays with prizes up to $50,000 (we'll pick the winner on July 13): - sign up via the link: -drop your username with your most creative comment or question about the episode and follow Predict Time and XO Market --- Timecodes: 00:00 Intro 00:38 Raising $6M without pitching a single VC 04:29 Why not just copy Polymarket 07:05 Advice for builders: grants over VC money 12:15 Building a team across every continent 15:52 Ali's story: from Syria to Switzerland 19:29 Leaving corporate (Roche) for crypto 22:24 Why raising money is a liability, not a win 25:42 How XO Market conviction markets actually work 29:43 What stops thousands of dead markets 32:41 The tech that gives markets instant liquidity 37:43 How to create your own market 39:14 Getting attention: local communities & ambassadors 44:20 Not the of prediction markets 48:22 Who decides the outcome: AI resolution 51:43 XO Vault: market making for everyone 56:47 The moment XO Market took off 1:02:14 Is prediction market usage exaggerated? 1:05:17 Elon Musk and mention markets 1:07:04 AI vs humans: jobs and the jury system 1:13:56 Are Polymarket & Kalshi overvalued? 1:16:16 What's next: Parlays, Vaults & the World Cup 1:23:06 Is XO Market becoming a sportsbook? 1:25:15 AI agents trading on their own 1:27:40 Regulation & staying permissionless 1:33:08 The investors: 20VC, Harry & a cricket legend 1:44:55 Will there be a token? 1:46:45 Blitz: rapid-fire round 1:52:59 Closing & giveaway

Predict Time

24,425 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Just got access to Polymarket Perps. First impression: the setup is really clean. Perpetuals and prediction markets have separate wallets, but you can move funds between them seamlessly. The UI feels smooth, minimal, and easy to use. Crypto, indices, and commodities are already live, which is pretty cool. Will share more once I've played around with it a bit more, but overall, I'm very bullish on where this is going.
0:25

Just got access to Polymarket Perps. First impression: the setup is really clean. Perpetuals and prediction markets have separate wallets, but you can move funds between them seamlessly. The UI feels smooth, minimal, and easy to use. Crypto, indices, and commodities are already live, which is pretty cool. Will share more once I've played around with it a bit more, but overall, I'm very bullish on where this is going.

ascetic

75,550 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour says the biggest categories in prediction markets may end up being much bigger than sports: "Sports is bigger than it's ever been right now... but it's also a lower percentage than it's ever been." "We're seeing it in politics and financials and crypto and culture." "When we see users coming into the platform, those other categories are showing incredible signs of acceleration." "For me it's inevitable that fast forward a few years, like one or two years, sports is a much smaller percentage of them." Alex Immerman and Santiago Rodriguez on this and more takeaways from the Kalshi Prediction Markets Conference:
1:43

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour says the biggest categories in prediction markets may end up being much bigger than sports: "Sports is bigger than it's ever been right now... but it's also a lower percentage than it's ever been." "We're seeing it in politics and financials and crypto and culture." "When we see users coming into the platform, those other categories are showing incredible signs of acceleration." "For me it's inevitable that fast forward a few years, like one or two years, sports is a much smaller percentage of them." Alex Immerman and Santiago Rodriguez on this and more takeaways from the Kalshi Prediction Markets Conference:

a16z

71,210 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce