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Beijing’s answer is basically: Ask it ten thousand times. The answer will still be the same. China is a Pacific country. China is not bound by a notification regime it never joined. When China gives advance notice, that is responsible conduct. It is not an admission that South Pacific...

41,067 görüntüleme • 14 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

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China slaps down Palau’s malicious attempt to hijack South Pacific island nations and manufacture a regional security crisis out of China’s normal missile tests. China tested a missile into the high seas. China is not a subscriber to the Hague Code of Conduct and is therefore not bound by its notification mechanism. Yet China still issued navigation and airspace warnings and notified relevant states in advance. Meanwhile, the United States has conducted more than 300 ICBM tests and roughly 200 SLBM tests. Washington has given China advance notice only once — in November 2024, after China had first notified the US of its own September launch. And now Palau is behaving as though China owes it a permission slip to conduct a lawful military test in the Pacific. This is the most ironic part: Palau has fewer than 20,000 people and its government has convinced itself that the Pacific is its private backyard. The high seas are not Palauan territorial waters. You do not get to turn an entire ocean into your private security perimeter and then demand that another Pacific power ask your permission to operate in international waters. Palau has sovereignty over Palau. It does not have sovereignty over the Pacific. If China conducts a lawful test in the high seas, your displeasure does not magically create jurisdiction. China is a Pacific country too. The Pacific is not Palau’s private swimming pool, and it certainly is not an American-administered firing range where only Washington gets to normalize missile testing. If every Chinese test is going to trigger a regional morality play, then perhaps China simply has not tested often enough for everyone to get used to the fact that it is a Pacific military power. America tested hundreds of times and made it background noise. China conducts a rare public test and everyone suddenly discovers trauma. Maybe the problem is not the missile. Maybe the problem is that the monopoly is over.

𝘊𝘰𝘳𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘦

59,279 görüntüleme • 15 gün önce

China’s warning about Japan’s re-militarization is not just a warning to Tokyo. It is a warning to the entire region. Japan’s economy has fallen back to roughly its 1992 level in nominal dollar terms, while China has grown into the world’s second-largest economy. China’s military spending has long remained below 1.5% of GDP. Even if Japan pushes defense spending to 5% of its GDP, it still cannot match China’s scale, industrial capacity, military R&D, shipbuilding, missile production, or strategic depth. So let us be honest: Japan’s re-militarization is not a real military threat to China. Japan cannot fight China. The real danger is to the smaller countries that keep telling China to “move on” from history. Japan once invaded, occupied, burned, raped, enslaved, and massacred across Asia. China. Korea. The Philippines. Indonesia. Singapore. Malaysia. Vietnam. Myanmar. Cambodia. Laos. Half of Asia remembers what Imperial Japan did. Or at least it should. The reason Japan has behaved like a “peaceful country” after 1945 is not because Japanese militarism suddenly grew a conscience. It is because the postwar order pulled out the beast’s fangs. And because China became too strong to be swallowed again. Now, as the U.S.-led order weakens, Japan’s Neo-fascist forces are testing the cage. They call it “defense.” They call it “counterstrike capability.” They call it “normalization.” But Asia has heard these words before. Japan has always known how to dress aggression in polite language. Today Japan does not dare confront China directly. So it provokes China, hides behind Washington, cries about Chinese “bullying,” and performs weakness for the Western press. That theater creates a useful illusion: Japan is peaceful. China is aggressive. But the real historical danger is not that Japan will defeat China. It is that Japan will once again turn its militarism toward countries that cannot fight back. And here is the part those countries should understand: China will not sacrifice Chinese soldiers to protect client states that choose the “Indo-Pacific” containment camp and help Tokyo and Washington pressure China. The Chinese people would not allow it. If some countries believe they can cut themselves off from China, stand with Japan, erase history, and become “higher-class Asians” under the U.S. umbrella, then they should prepare to live with the consequences. Japan was restrained by defeat. Not by remorse. And when the leash loosens, the first victims are rarely the strong.

𝘊𝘰𝘳𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘦

29,354 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce