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Bitcoin had its first red October since 2018, down 4.2%. Volatility is near record lows, the Fed’s easing cycle is underway, QT ends in 4 weeks, and capital is moving out on the risk curve. The path of least resistance for Bitcoin is higher. [Presented ]

Joe Consorti

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Can't be bearish on Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s 4-year moving average is now ~$59,919. One year ago: ~$47,269. That’s +26.8% YoY. Since the February 5th, 2026 drawdown, the 4-year moving average is already up another $2,575, or +4.5%. Bitcoin's 4-year MA has NEVER gone down year over year. The tourists are staring at red candles. The long-term floor is walking uphill like always. Think Bitcoin is “going sideways”? The noise is going sideways. The monetary black hole is still moving up and to the right.

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Zcash rallied 3.4x off the February lows. Bitcoin did 36% in the same window. So ZEC is 6.6x as volatile against Bitcoin, and volatility runs both ways. Monero never did that rally, which is why I think it is the better bet here.

Zcash rallied 3.4x off the February lows. Bitcoin did 36% in the same window. So ZEC is 6.6x as volatile against Bitcoin, and volatility runs both ways. Monero never did that rally, which is why I think it is the better bet here.

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