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🔥TOM LEE: “THIS DOESN’T LOOK LIKE A 4-YEAR BITCOIN CYCLE.” Lee argues this cycle is behaving differently from every prior Bitcoin cycle: 1️⃣ On-chain activity is rising. ETH addresses, usage, and TVL are moving higher — the opposite of prior cycle tops. 2️⃣ Leverage washout already happened. The October... show more

Coin Bureau

1,125,635 subscribers

64,118 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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31 Kommentare

Profilbild von sixtysecondalpha

sixtysecondalphavor 8 Monaten

Stfu tom

Profilbild von SimonKay

SimonKayvor 8 Monaten

Breaking: man whos business needs crypto to go up, says crypto should go up.

Profilbild von defi_dude

defi_dudevor 8 Monaten

Saying it is not a 4 year cycle is fine but you need to explain what replaced it. Liquidity cycle still runs the show and macro is the real halving now.

Profilbild von The Simplifier · Metals

The Simplifier · Metalsvor 8 Monaten

Tom Lee has been calling for six-figure Bitcoin since $30k. I've managed through actual cycle peaks... none of these indicators are predictive, they're all backward-looking correlation retrofits. "On-chain activity rising" was also true in late 2021 before the 70% drawdown. "Leverage washout" doesn't prevent new leverage from building - funding rates and open interest are already back at elevated levels. ISM and copper/gold correlations? Those work until they don't. Bitcoin topped in November 2021 while ISM was still contracting. These posts are designed to keep you positioned while he monetizes the eyeballs through speaking fees and client AUM. Real institutional desks don't call cycle tops - they manage risk dynamically regardless of "this time is different" narratives. Every cycle top features someone explaining why the old patterns don't apply anymore.

Profilbild von BTC_Chopsticks

BTC_Chopsticksvor 8 Monaten

This is an important reframing. Cycles don’t disappear — they *evolve*. What looks different this time is the structure, not the psychology. • Usage is rising instead of topping • Leverage was flushed early, not late • Macro never confirmed a terminal peak • Cross-asset signals still point to risk *rotation*, not risk *exit* The danger isn’t assuming “same 4-year cycle.” It’s assuming cycles must repeat *exactly* to rhyme.

Profilbild von Love Web3 World

Love Web3 Worldvor 8 Monaten

So BitMine’s playing Saylor with ETH now if one public treasury can corner 3%+ of supply, what does that do to liquidity and staking yields in the next cycle?

Profilbild von zhan

zhanvor 8 Monaten

Interesting take from Tom Lee—on-chain strength, an early leverage flush, weak ISM, and gold still leading all suggest this cycle may be playing out very differently than past tops.

Profilbild von 1000xgirl👑❤️👑

1000xgirl👑❤️👑vor 8 Monaten

Etfs changed it

Profilbild von Sam Ratumaitavuki

Sam Ratumaitavukivor 8 Monaten

Wb the price my nigga

Profilbild von Question Everything

Question Everythingvor 8 Monaten

It looks like an 8 year cycle

Profilbild von Crypto Yoda

Crypto Yodavor 8 Monaten

Tom Lee’s insights are sharp! Unique cycle dynamics.

Profilbild von Hyphen Connect

Hyphen Connectvor 8 Monaten

Tom Lee has called for a new Bitcoin ATH every single quarter since 2022. Not saying he's wrong this time but his track record is "broken clock right twice a day" territory. The data points are interesting. The source is...well, Tom Lee. I'd weight the on-chain metrics higher than the messenger.

Profilbild von Wayne.ETH

Wayne.ETHvor 8 Monaten

The ISM point is the one to watch. 36 months sub-50 but if it finally inflects up, that becomes the clearest buy signal in years. Direction > level.

Profilbild von Jurix

Jurixvor 8 Monaten

The signs of a cycle top aren’t there. On-chain activity is growing, leverage already got wiped out, and macro signals don’t confirm a peak.

Profilbild von KenshiroRyu

KenshiroRyuvor 8 Monaten

🤡

Profilbild von EricF

EricFvor 8 Monaten

Interesting take, seems like the cycle’s writing its own rules, feels bullish to me

Profilbild von ThePigverse 🐷🪐

ThePigverse 🐷🪐vor 8 Monaten

If on-chain activity is rising while leverage already got flushed, this looks more like a reset.

Profilbild von Subscord

Subscordvor 8 Monaten

Interesting cycle feels different On-chain activity rising and leverage washed out, not your typical top.

Profilbild von Neko Ninja

Neko Ninjavor 8 Monaten

Things to say when u are down 7 billy

Profilbild von Sev Avan

Sev Avanvor 8 Monaten

@benjamincowen what do you think about this points?

Profilbild von BartD

BartDvor 8 Monaten

Tom hasn't hit a prediction all year. Tom Cramer not Tom Lee. Thinking.

Profilbild von lok when altzeason

lok when altzeasonvor 8 Monaten

LOL - ETH TO 7-9 k by end of Jan 2026 killed his credibility by max magnitude

Profilbild von BULLIEVE

BULLIEVEvor 8 Monaten

Gold leading copper is another key difference

Profilbild von OG GRINDER

OG GRINDERvor 8 Monaten

He’s a retard

Profilbild von OceanSave

OceanSavevor 8 Monaten

Tom Lee’s take is interesting. Rising on-chain activity and less leverage stress suggest this cycle could run differently maybe longer or stronger than we’ve seen before.

Profilbild von More Crypto Online

More Crypto Onlinevor 8 Monaten

Every cycle is different once it starts looking messy.

Profilbild von Francis CGL

Francis CGLvor 8 Monaten

Interesting take, maybe this cycle is just breaking the mold we’re used to.

Profilbild von Squirrel Technologies 🥜🐿

Squirrel Technologies 🥜🐿vor 8 Monaten

Leverage already getting flushed while activity trends up is a different mix than past late-cycle setups.

Profilbild von M B

M Bvor 8 Monaten

Like we didn't know 😀 Duuuh

Profilbild von X

Xvor 8 Monaten

Thanks Captain Obvious

Profilbild von seahwk

seahwkvor 8 Monaten

If btc doesn't go up ethereum doesn't go up. When will eth trade from under the shadow of btc.

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TOM LEE JUST CONFIRMED RAOUL PAL’S THESIS On CNBC, Tom Lee said #Bitcoin is highly sensitive to the ISM -- and when ISM moves back above 50 (expansion), it’s historically lined up with super-cycle moves in $BTC and $ETH. He even noted detrended Bitcoin is almost perfectly correlated with the ISM. Same message as Raoul Pal: this isn’t about the old 4-year halving cycle. It’s about the business cycle and monetary policy turning higher. Different voices. Same macro signal. 📡

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251,434 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

BREAKING: MACRO JUST FLIPPED. AND BITCOIN IS ALREADY PRICING IT IN. Tom Lee, live on CNBC: “Bitcoin no longer follows the halving. It follows the ISM. When ISM crosses above 50, crypto goes into supercycle mode.” The data is brutal: - Detrended Bitcoin tracks the business cycle almost perfectly - Every single time ISM > 50 explosive BTC & ETH moves - ISM is now bottoming at 48.2 and turning up fast Meanwhile: - Global liquidity is surging - The Fed is boxed in with more cuts coming - Fiscal flows are accelerating - Institutions are loading, retail is still scared Sequence locked: 1. Bitcoin breaks out first 2. Ethereum catches fire on liquidity 3. Altseason detonates when the tide overflows The 4-year halving cycle isn’t dead. It got absorbed into the global macro engine. If you’re still waiting for the “post-halving pump” in 2025… you’re trading the wrong calendar. The real trigger is ISM. And it’s flashing green. Position for the inversion. Or get left in the dust. Macro won. Crypto is now its highest-beta play.

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Merlijn The Trader

338,912 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

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🚨 BITCOIN FOLLOWS THIS PATTERN FOR 12 YEARS Everyone says the cycle is dead. But the chart says the opposite. Bitcoin has followed the same timing pattern for more than a DECADE../ Cycle top → 1430 days. Cycle bottom → 1460 days. This happened in 2013. This happened in 2017. This happened in 2021. This happened in 2025. Now Bitcoin is following the same structure one more time. The last major top came almost exactly on schedule, around 1431 days after the previous cycle top. That is not random. That is the cycle repeating. Now the next major low is projected around 1460 days from the last cycle bottom. That means the final dump is not chaos. It is part of the same pattern Bitcoin has followed for years. People will call it panic. People will call it the end. But historically, this is where Bitcoin creates the next bottom. Same timing. Same structure. Same cycle. Final bottom: 2026. Then the next expansion starts. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

28,699 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

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🚨 THIS BITCOIN PATTERN HAS NEVER MISSED This is extremely simple: → Bear cycle: 365 days → Bull cycle: 1,064 days → Then everything repeats Despite its simplicity, this cycle clock has worked perfectly twice in a row. We are currently on day 252 of the bear phase. That means roughly 100 days remain before the clock flips back into a new bull cycle. In other words: → Around three more months of pain → Final capitulation → Real cycle bottom → New bull market begins Three months is more than enough time for Bitcoin to complete the final move lower. Don’t forget: Every major move since then has been mapped out on this page. The next update will be the most important one of this cycle. We are approaching the level where the real bottom forms. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the exact moment the clock is about to flip.

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37,197 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

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Cantonese Cat 🐱🐈

310,860 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Bitcoin just touched the 50 month moving average for the 4th time ever. 2015 bottom zone. 2018 the bottom. 2022 the bottom. 2026 right now. The 20 week moving average sits at $71,000. Every prior bear market bottom was confirmed the same way: reclaim the 20 week, test the 50 week, bottom was in. If Bitcoin makes that move sooner rather than later, the "Q4 bottom" thesis doesn't have months left to be proven right. It has weeks. I respect the 4 year cycle analysis and consider the possibilities. But PMI just flipped to expansion, copper/gold is breaking out, and every prior time that combination showed up, a crypto bull market followed. Both theories about to be tested at the same time. We're about to find out which cycle Bitcoin actually answers to.

Bitcoin just touched the 50 month moving average for the 4th time ever. 2015 bottom zone. 2018 the bottom. 2022 the bottom. 2026 right now. The 20 week moving average sits at $71,000. Every prior bear market bottom was confirmed the same way: reclaim the 20 week, test the 50 week, bottom was in. If Bitcoin makes that move sooner rather than later, the "Q4 bottom" thesis doesn't have months left to be proven right. It has weeks. I respect the 4 year cycle analysis and consider the possibilities. But PMI just flipped to expansion, copper/gold is breaking out, and every prior time that combination showed up, a crypto bull market followed. Both theories about to be tested at the same time. We're about to find out which cycle Bitcoin actually answers to.

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23,919 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

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249,185 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

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23,283 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

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🚨 I SOLD ALL MY GOLD & SILVER Not because I turned bearish on them, but because I see a bigger opportunity in $BTC. Every major liquidity cycle has followed a familiar path: 2018 → Liquidity expanded → Bitcoin surged 2022 → Liquidity expanded → Bitcoin surged 2026 → The same conditions are starting to emerge again. Gold is great for preserving wealth. Bitcoin is where expanding global liquidity has historically delivered the biggest upside. I’m positioning before the crowd catches on. For over a decade, I’ve accurately identified major market tops and bottoms. I was among the few who warned about the October peak, and I’ll continue sharing my outlook as the cycle unfolds. If you’re not following yet, now might be the time.

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11,579 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

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🚨 BITCOIN'S 4-YEAR CYCLE HAS NEVER FAILED. Cycle 1 (2011-2014) 2011 - Buy 2012 - Hold 2013 - Sell 2014 - Bear Market ENDS Cycle 2 (2015-2018) 2015 - Buy 2016 - Hold 2017 - Sell 2018 - Bear Market ENDS Cycle 3 (2019-2022) 2019 - Buy 2020 - Hold 2021 - Sell 2022 - Bear Market ENDS Cycle 4 (2023-2026) 2023 - Buy 2024 - Hold 2025 - Sell 2026 - Bear Market ENDS ← WE ARE HERE Cycle 5 (2027-2030) 2027 - Buy 2028 - Hold 2029 - Sell 2030 - Bear Market Three cycles. Same pattern every time. If the pattern holds, this is the time to buy, not the time to give up. Bookmark this post and check back on it in 12 months. Which year do you think Bitcoin tops next cycle? Reply below. Follow and turn notifications on.

Nonzee

46,783 Aufrufe • vor 11 Tagen

Matt Cole doesn't think the last Bitcoin bull market was real. Ben Werkman gave him 2 options. Standard 4 year cycle, or a mid cycle pause with a much bigger move still ahead. His answer: the 4 year cycle is broken. Priced in dollars, Bitcoin kept setting records. Measured against gold, it never really did. It poked above the 2021 level for a minute and fell right back. The asset that's supposed to lead spent that entire run losing to gold. So he doesn't count it as a bull market. Just Bitcoin $BTC drifting up while the dollar loses value. Then a 50 to 60% drawdown that never felt like a bear market, because companies could still raise money the whole way down. Inside Bitcoin though, the mood has rarely been worse. Matt Cole reads that as the tell. Nobody is bullish enough yet.

Matt Cole doesn't think the last Bitcoin bull market was real. Ben Werkman gave him 2 options. Standard 4 year cycle, or a mid cycle pause with a much bigger move still ahead. His answer: the 4 year cycle is broken. Priced in dollars, Bitcoin kept setting records. Measured against gold, it never really did. It poked above the 2021 level for a minute and fell right back. The asset that's supposed to lead spent that entire run losing to gold. So he doesn't count it as a bull market. Just Bitcoin $BTC drifting up while the dollar loses value. Then a 50 to 60% drawdown that never felt like a bear market, because companies could still raise money the whole way down. Inside Bitcoin though, the mood has rarely been worse. Matt Cole reads that as the tell. Nobody is bullish enough yet.

The Hurdle Rate Podcast

11,088 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

I sat down with Lyn Alden for over an hour. She told me the 4-year cycle is dead. That gold is euphoric. And that Bitcoin, down 50%, is where she'd put her money right now. "Gun to my head, Bitcoin over gold for the next 2-3 years." This might be the most important conversation I've had on New Era Finance Podcast. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 Introduction 0:46 Why there hasn't been enough Bitcoin demand this cycle 5:03 The 4-year cycle is dead 7:22 Are we near the bottom? 8:50 The future of treasury companies 15:03 Why Bitcoin underperformed this year 17:24 Bitcoin is trading like a software stock 21:07 Can anything replace Bitcoin? 26:13 Bitcoin mining and stranded energy 30:35 Will quantum computing destroy Bitcoin? 37:06 How to think about AI as an investor 45:00 We're entering a multipolar world 53:00 Bitcoin vs Gold — gun to my head 58:56 The #1 thing every investor should study 1:06:34 Diversification with conviction

I sat down with Lyn Alden for over an hour. She told me the 4-year cycle is dead. That gold is euphoric. And that Bitcoin, down 50%, is where she'd put her money right now. "Gun to my head, Bitcoin over gold for the next 2-3 years." This might be the most important conversation I've had on New Era Finance Podcast. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 Introduction 0:46 Why there hasn't been enough Bitcoin demand this cycle 5:03 The 4-year cycle is dead 7:22 Are we near the bottom? 8:50 The future of treasury companies 15:03 Why Bitcoin underperformed this year 17:24 Bitcoin is trading like a software stock 21:07 Can anything replace Bitcoin? 26:13 Bitcoin mining and stranded energy 30:35 Will quantum computing destroy Bitcoin? 37:06 How to think about AI as an investor 45:00 We're entering a multipolar world 53:00 Bitcoin vs Gold — gun to my head 58:56 The #1 thing every investor should study 1:06:34 Diversification with conviction

Michaël van de Poppe

385,059 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

🚨 BITCOIN IS IN THE FINAL PHASE BEFORE A MASSIVE DUMP Today, Bitcoin continues moving lower, dropping below $64K and losing 50% from its ATH. The 1st and 2nd major phases are finished. Now comes the third. Here’s my Bitcoin roadmap for the next 3 months: 1. Bounce back to the $66K–$67K range 2. Brief consolidation 3. Dump below $58K 4. Drop to $54K 5. Peak panic phase 6. Cycle bottom in October–November The only thing you need to understand now: The bear market is not over yet. We are about to witness how market cycle bottoms form once again. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major $SPX selloff, 2025 $BTC ATH and move from $126K → $60K I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

🚨 BITCOIN IS IN THE FINAL PHASE BEFORE A MASSIVE DUMP Today, Bitcoin continues moving lower, dropping below $64K and losing 50% from its ATH. The 1st and 2nd major phases are finished. Now comes the third. Here’s my Bitcoin roadmap for the next 3 months: 1. Bounce back to the $66K–$67K range 2. Brief consolidation 3. Dump below $58K 4. Drop to $54K 5. Peak panic phase 6. Cycle bottom in October–November The only thing you need to understand now: The bear market is not over yet. We are about to witness how market cycle bottoms form once again. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major $SPX selloff, 2025 $BTC ATH and move from $126K → $60K I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

DANNY

37,532 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 I CANNOT LOOK AWAY FROM THIS CHART Bitcoin just completed its 4-year cycle: Cycle 1 (2011 - 2014) 2011 - Buy 2012 - Hold 2013 - Sell 2014 - Bear Market Cycle 2 (2015 - 2018) 2015 - Buy 2016 - Hold 2017 - Sell 2018 - Bear Market Cycle 3 (2019 - 2022) 2019 - Buy 2020 - Hold 2021 - Sell 2022 - Bear Market Cycle 4 (2023 - 2026) 2023 - Buy 2024 - Hold 2025 - Sell 2026 - Bear Market (we are here) Cycle 5 (2027 - 2030) 2027 - Buy 2028 - Hold 2029 - Sell 2030 - Bear Market So far the 4 year cycle is still on track and everything is playing out perfectly. If the structure holds, 2027 becomes the next major accumulation window. I’ve been in finance for more than 15 years. When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 I CANNOT LOOK AWAY FROM THIS CHART Bitcoin just completed its 4-year cycle: Cycle 1 (2011 - 2014) 2011 - Buy 2012 - Hold 2013 - Sell 2014 - Bear Market Cycle 2 (2015 - 2018) 2015 - Buy 2016 - Hold 2017 - Sell 2018 - Bear Market Cycle 3 (2019 - 2022) 2019 - Buy 2020 - Hold 2021 - Sell 2022 - Bear Market Cycle 4 (2023 - 2026) 2023 - Buy 2024 - Hold 2025 - Sell 2026 - Bear Market (we are here) Cycle 5 (2027 - 2030) 2027 - Buy 2028 - Hold 2029 - Sell 2030 - Bear Market So far the 4 year cycle is still on track and everything is playing out perfectly. If the structure holds, 2027 becomes the next major accumulation window. I’ve been in finance for more than 15 years. When I EXIT the markets completely, I’ll say it here publicly, like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

DANNY

29,277 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨 THIS IS NOT NORMAL I’ve watched multiple full market cycles, but I’ve NEVER seen this kind of setup. More than $10 billion in longs are sitting below the market. If Bitcoin drops to $40,000, EVERYTHING gets wiped out. And once those liquidations begin, the selling can feed on itself. → Longs get liquidated → Price dumps harder → More longs get liquidated That is how a real cascade starts. The same influencers who said, “The Bitcoin market cycle bottom is already in,” will get completely rekt. But here is the part nobody wants to hear: That could be the exact moment to buy. Not now. Not after another fake bounce. Exactly when the market feels the most painful, brutal, and completely hopeless. Look at every previous Bitcoin cycle: 2018 → Bottom 2022 → Bottom 2026 → The same setup is forming again Once that liquidity gets wiped out, the market cycle bottom will no longer be a question. This is how real bottoms are formed. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the exact moment I start loading spot.

🚨 THIS IS NOT NORMAL I’ve watched multiple full market cycles, but I’ve NEVER seen this kind of setup. More than $10 billion in longs are sitting below the market. If Bitcoin drops to $40,000, EVERYTHING gets wiped out. And once those liquidations begin, the selling can feed on itself. → Longs get liquidated → Price dumps harder → More longs get liquidated That is how a real cascade starts. The same influencers who said, “The Bitcoin market cycle bottom is already in,” will get completely rekt. But here is the part nobody wants to hear: That could be the exact moment to buy. Not now. Not after another fake bounce. Exactly when the market feels the most painful, brutal, and completely hopeless. Look at every previous Bitcoin cycle: 2018 → Bottom 2022 → Bottom 2026 → The same setup is forming again Once that liquidity gets wiped out, the market cycle bottom will no longer be a question. This is how real bottoms are formed. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the exact moment I start loading spot.

Wimar.X

71,829 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

$BTC BEAR MARKET IS 85% COMPLETE Let that sink in for a second This cycle pattern has never broken its structure in 13 years Bear market: ~364-400 days Bull run: ~1,064 days We're 309 days in right now 55-91 days left until the bottom Do the math: October-December 2026 People will say this time is different - ETFs, MSTR, BlackRock, institutions But every cycle had its own reason to be different Cycle 1: "Bitcoin isn't real money" Cycle 2: "The futures market will kill it" Cycle 3: "The macro environment is different" None of them were different The pattern ignored every single one Not even the Clarity Act can save this situation, and besides, the chances of it being signed are slim I'm not betting against it What about you?

$BTC BEAR MARKET IS 85% COMPLETE Let that sink in for a second This cycle pattern has never broken its structure in 13 years Bear market: ~364-400 days Bull run: ~1,064 days We're 309 days in right now 55-91 days left until the bottom Do the math: October-December 2026 People will say this time is different - ETFs, MSTR, BlackRock, institutions But every cycle had its own reason to be different Cycle 1: "Bitcoin isn't real money" Cycle 2: "The futures market will kill it" Cycle 3: "The macro environment is different" None of them were different The pattern ignored every single one Not even the Clarity Act can save this situation, and besides, the chances of it being signed are slim I'm not betting against it What about you?

bee🐝

17,738 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 BITCOIN HAS 26 DAYS LEFT. THEN THIS THEORY LIVES OR DIES. Three cycles. Three almost identical setups. ~1,065 DAYS UP. ~365 DAYS DOWN. Now the clock is running out. Bitcoin is roughly 339 days into the proposed 365-day bear-market window. That leaves just 26 DAYS for the cycle-bottom thesis to play out. The pattern is brutally simple: ~1,065 days → cycle expansion ~365 days → bear market Bottom → reset Then the clock starts again. And this is where it gets interesting. If $BTC prints the major low inside this window, one of Bitcoin’s strangest timing patterns survives another cycle. If it doesn’t? THE PATTERN BREAKS. No excuses. No moving the dates. No rewriting the chart afterward. Historical timing has clustered surprisingly tightly, but it’s still a hypothesis—not a law. Research on Bitcoin cycle timing has also pre-registered a 2026 bottom window rather than claiming an exact guaranteed date. Save this chart. Remember these 26 days. Because we’re about to find out whether Bitcoin’s cycle clock still works—or whether 2026 finally kills it.

🚨 BITCOIN HAS 26 DAYS LEFT. THEN THIS THEORY LIVES OR DIES. Three cycles. Three almost identical setups. ~1,065 DAYS UP. ~365 DAYS DOWN. Now the clock is running out. Bitcoin is roughly 339 days into the proposed 365-day bear-market window. That leaves just 26 DAYS for the cycle-bottom thesis to play out. The pattern is brutally simple: ~1,065 days → cycle expansion ~365 days → bear market Bottom → reset Then the clock starts again. And this is where it gets interesting. If $BTC prints the major low inside this window, one of Bitcoin’s strangest timing patterns survives another cycle. If it doesn’t? THE PATTERN BREAKS. No excuses. No moving the dates. No rewriting the chart afterward. Historical timing has clustered surprisingly tightly, but it’s still a hypothesis—not a law. Research on Bitcoin cycle timing has also pre-registered a 2026 bottom window rather than claiming an exact guaranteed date. Save this chart. Remember these 26 days. Because we’re about to find out whether Bitcoin’s cycle clock still works—or whether 2026 finally kills it.

WhaleTwits

42,056 Aufrufe • vor 22 Tagen

BITCOIN IS ABOUT TO DO SOMETHING IT HAS DONE EVERY SINGLE CYCLE. Every major Bitcoin bear market has lasted around 406 days. Every bull market that followed lasted roughly 1,065 days. The pattern has repeated across every complete cycle: • 2014–2015 bear → 406 days • 2015–2017 bull → 1,065 days • 2018 bear → 406 days • 2018–2021 bull → 1,065 days • 2022 bear → 406 days • 2023–2025 bull → 1,065 days Now we're approaching the end of another 406-day bear market. The timing also aligns with Bitcoin's historical 4-year cycle, where major bottoms typically form around 500 days before the next halving. History never guarantees the future. But for over a decade, Bitcoin has respected this rhythm with remarkable consistency. Most people only recognize a new bull market after it's already well underway.

BITCOIN IS ABOUT TO DO SOMETHING IT HAS DONE EVERY SINGLE CYCLE. Every major Bitcoin bear market has lasted around 406 days. Every bull market that followed lasted roughly 1,065 days. The pattern has repeated across every complete cycle: • 2014–2015 bear → 406 days • 2015–2017 bull → 1,065 days • 2018 bear → 406 days • 2018–2021 bull → 1,065 days • 2022 bear → 406 days • 2023–2025 bull → 1,065 days Now we're approaching the end of another 406-day bear market. The timing also aligns with Bitcoin's historical 4-year cycle, where major bottoms typically form around 500 days before the next halving. History never guarantees the future. But for over a decade, Bitcoin has respected this rhythm with remarkable consistency. Most people only recognize a new bull market after it's already well underway.

Discover

10,819 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING!! I’ve been through multiple full market cycles. But I have NEVER seen this much liquidation risk sitting under the market. More than $12 billion in longs are stacked below the current price. If Bitcoin drops to $40,000, EVERYTHING gets wiped out. And once the liquidations start, the selling can accelerate fast. → Longs get liquidated. → Price dumps harder. → More longs get liquidated. That is how a REAL cascade begins. The same influencers who said, “The Bitcoin market cycle bottom is already in,” will get completely rekt. But here is what nobody wants to hear: That could be the exact moment to buy. Not now. Not after another fake bounce. Exactly when the market feels the most painful, brutal, and completely hopeless. Look at every previous Bitcoin cycle: 2018 → Bottom 2022 → Bottom 2026 → The same setup is forming again Once that liquidity gets wiped out, the market cycle bottom will no longer be a question. This is how REAL bottoms are formed. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the exact moment I start loading spot.

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING!! I’ve been through multiple full market cycles. But I have NEVER seen this much liquidation risk sitting under the market. More than $12 billion in longs are stacked below the current price. If Bitcoin drops to $40,000, EVERYTHING gets wiped out. And once the liquidations start, the selling can accelerate fast. → Longs get liquidated. → Price dumps harder. → More longs get liquidated. That is how a REAL cascade begins. The same influencers who said, “The Bitcoin market cycle bottom is already in,” will get completely rekt. But here is what nobody wants to hear: That could be the exact moment to buy. Not now. Not after another fake bounce. Exactly when the market feels the most painful, brutal, and completely hopeless. Look at every previous Bitcoin cycle: 2018 → Bottom 2022 → Bottom 2026 → The same setup is forming again Once that liquidity gets wiped out, the market cycle bottom will no longer be a question. This is how REAL bottoms are formed. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the exact moment I start loading spot.

Wimar.X

171,854 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨 BITCOIN IS IN THE FINAL PHASE BEFORE A MASSIVE DUMP Today, Bitcoin continues moving lower, dropping below $64k and losing 50% from its ATH. The 1st and 2nd major phases are finished. Now comes the third. Here’s my Bitcoin roadmap for the next 3 months: 1. Bounce back to the $66k–$67k range 2. Brief consolidation 3. Dump below $58k 4. Drop to $54k 5. Peak panic phase 6. Cycle bottom in October–November The only thing you need to understand now: The bear market is not over yet. We are about to witness how market cycle bottoms form once again. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 BITCOIN IS IN THE FINAL PHASE BEFORE A MASSIVE DUMP Today, Bitcoin continues moving lower, dropping below $64k and losing 50% from its ATH. The 1st and 2nd major phases are finished. Now comes the third. Here’s my Bitcoin roadmap for the next 3 months: 1. Bounce back to the $66k–$67k range 2. Brief consolidation 3. Dump below $58k 4. Drop to $54k 5. Peak panic phase 6. Cycle bottom in October–November The only thing you need to understand now: The bear market is not over yet. We are about to witness how market cycle bottoms form once again. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

343,284 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten