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$BTC bottom isn't in yet. We haven't seen the real capitulation.

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Ted

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109,629 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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$BTC bottom is formed by consistently sweeping the lows. We haven't seen that yet.
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Every $BTC cycle bottom has happened when 2M Stoch RSI has crossed bullish. We haven't had this yet in 2026!
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It took 9 monthly red candles in the 2018 and 2022 bear markets for $BTC to bottom out. Bitcoin has closed 7 red monthly candles so far. This means the real capitulation hasn't happened yet.
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It took 9 monthly red candles in the 2018 and 2022 bear markets for $BTC to bottom out. Bitcoin has closed 7 red monthly candles so far. This means the real capitulation hasn't happened yet.

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Still nowhere near the kind of $BTC capitulation volume we saw back in the 2022 bear market Bottom will come when nobody expects it
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Still nowhere near the kind of $BTC capitulation volume we saw back in the 2022 bear market Bottom will come when nobody expects it

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$BTC could probably go for another low. This'll be the peak capitulation before the bottom.
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Peak capitulation is coming for $BTC in Q3. A small pump may happen before that, but the bottom is still not in.
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Kalshi traders just forecast $BTC drops to $40K this year. The LTH Realized Price sits at $48,000. $BTC has NEVER bottomed above that line in 14 years. I don't think the real bottom is in yet.
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$BTC REALIZED PRICE CHECK: STH Realized: $74K → completed Realized: $53.6K → not touched. LTH Realized: $50K → untouched. Every prior cycle bottom traded BELOW the Realized Price. Every major flush kissed the LTH line. We haven't been there yet.
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ALL FOUR PRIOR $BTC CYCLES SAY THE BOTTOM ISN'T IN YET. 🚨 Each historical cycle, projected forward from today, prints a lower low before the next leg up. The targets vary. The path doesn't.
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