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Chinese PhD student forgot to close his GitHub before a lab meeting. Screen shared for 11 seconds. His advisor saw a repo called polymarket-sports-arbitrage. The advisor didn't report him. He asked for the wallet address. 432614799197. $2.67M profit. 2,911 predictions. All sports NFL, Premier League, Ligue 1. Account created...

1,371,082 views • 4 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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Chinese student in my MIT dorm asked ChatGPT and Gemini the same question: How can I make money using the timezone difference between Asia and America? ChatGPT explained forex trading hours and international freelancing. Gemini suggested remote work for Asian companies while living in the US. He closed both tabs. Standard answers he'd heard a hundred times before. Then he opened Claude and asked differently. Not how to make money but who is already making money this way and can you find them. Claude took 30 seconds. Then explained that prediction markets have a gap Asian bookmaker lines move 2-3 hours before American platforms update. Someone in Beijing sees price movements that someone in New York won't see until they wake up. He asked Claude to find wallets that only trade during Beijing morning hours. Wallets that enter positions when America sleeps. Claude found one that matched perfectly. Every single trade executed between 6-9 AM Beijing time. 4,548 of them. 432614799197. $4.5M profit. Joined January 2026. Only sports NFL, Premier League, Ligue 1. The Chinese student understood immediately. While his American classmates sleep from 11 PM to 7 AM Eastern, someone in Asia has an 8 hour window where they see tomorrow's lines today. He showed me the wallet last week. I asked why he shared it. He said the edge isn't the wallet the edge is knowing what question to ask. ChatGPT and Gemini answered the question he asked. Claude answered the question he meant. 305K watching. $79K loaded in active positions.

Carver

71,859 views • 2 months ago

Statistics professor at MIT taught course Probability Theory in the Real World. Final exam. Question 12: Explain why long term profitability in sports betting is mathematically impossible. Student didn't know the answer. After exam Googled professor's name + sports betting. First result Reddit thread: Who is SeriouslySirius? Second result wallet address. SeriouslySirius. $3,647,648 profit. → Wallet: Professor taught it was mathematically impossible. Proved otherwise himself every day. The wallet: Only sports. NFL, NCAA, NBA. Biggest bet: put in $1,045,545 on Buccaneers spread. Walked away with $2,225,587. One bet = $1,180,042 profit. MIT professor annual salary $180,000. What he teaches vs what he does: In lecture: Bookmaker margin makes long-term winning impossible. In reality: Sees when Vegas shifts lines by 0.5 points. Polymarket lags 2-3 minutes. Buys the difference. Collects 5-8c per dollar. In lecture: Emotional betting always loses to math. In reality: Crowd overvalues favorite. He buys underdog for 47c. Waits for market correction. Collects $1. 6,339 bets in 4 months. $3.6M profit. Student emailed professor: Was question 12 on the exam a trick question? Professor: No. For 99.9% of people sports betting is mathematically unprofitable. Student: And for you? Professor: I teach statistics. Not investment strategies. Week later MIT announced professor took sabbatical for research. Wallet still active. Probability theory course has new professor.

Marlow

74,171 views • 4 months ago

Someone on Reddit asked has anyone actually made real money on Polymarket? and one comment led me to a wallet that turned 8 trades into $900,000 profit. The thread had 200+ replies, mostly people sharing their $50 wins and $200 losses, the usual stories about bad beats and lucky streaks that every prediction market attracts. But buried somewhere in the middle, one user dropped a single link without explanation just the wallet address and three words: this guy did. → Wallet: I clicked expecting another account with thousands of trades and a modest profit curve that took years to build. What I found instead made me close the tab, reopen it and stare at the numbers for a solid five minutes trying to understand what I was looking at. $900,091 in profit. Not from grinding hundreds of positions over months of careful risk management. From exactly 8 predictions total. For anyone new to prediction markets, let me put this in perspective most successful traders on Polymarket consider a 60% win rate exceptional and they achieve it across hundreds or thousands of small bets that slowly compound into meaningful profit over time. Maze8 has a 100% win rate across 8 bets averaging over $100,000 each, with a biggest single win of $325,100 that most professional traders will never see in their entire career on the platform. The account was created in January 2026, which means this person walked onto the platform less than a month ago and immediately started placing bets larger than what most people have in their retirement accounts. There is no learning curve visible here, no progression from small test bets to larger positions as confidence builds the very first trades were already six figure commitments made with the certainty of someone who already knew the outcomes. Right now the wallet holds $785,000 in active positions, meaning whoever controls this account extracted nearly a million dollars in profit and then decided that was not enough, loading up again for whatever comes next. I went back to that Reddit thread to find more discussion about this wallet but the comment had maybe 3 upvotes and zero replies. 2,700 people have viewed this profile according to Polymarket, yet somehow the internet has almost nothing to say about a wallet printing money at this rate. The profile remains public, the positions are visible in real time, and every future bet will appear on the blockchain the moment it happens. Eight predictions placed. Eight predictions won. $900,000 extracted while everyone else argued about $50 bets in Reddit comments. Some people discuss prediction markets. Others quietly empty them.

Marlow

10,111 views • 4 months ago

I asked ChatGPT to find me the most profitable wallet on the platform. It said it can't access live blockchain data. So I asked Claude. Claude wrote a Python script in 4 minutes. Script scanned 200,000 wallets. Ranked them by ROI. Filtered by active in last 30 days. Top result made me close my laptop and go for a walk. RN1. $5,317,622 profit. 36,298 predictions. Since December 2024. → Wallet: I didn't believe the number. Ran the script again. Same result. $5.3 million. In 14 months. Across every sport that exists. Counter-Strike. TheMongolz vs B8. Payout: $158,533. Tennis. NFL. Bundesliga. Serie A. Counter-Strike. Premier League. All at once. 36,298 bets. Every sport. Every league. 624,000 people already watching. Then I did something stupid. I asked Claude to reverse engineer the strategy. Claude analyzed 200 positions. Came back with one sentence: This wallet buys mathematically mispriced underdogs across every market where the crowd overvalues the favorite. I asked: Can you build a bot that does this? Claude: I can write the logic. You need the API key and capital. 14 lines of Python. One prompt. One afternoon. I haven't deployed it yet. Still staring at the code. Still staring at $5.3 million. The wallet doesn't care about teams. Doesn't watch games. Doesn't read news. Just finds where 36 cents should be 65 cents. And buys. I asked Claude one more thing: What's stopping everyone from doing this? Claude: Nothing. They just haven't asked.

Marlow

216,738 views • 3 months ago