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Chinese PhD student forgot to close his GitHub before a lab meeting. Screen shared for 11 seconds. His advisor saw a repo called polymarket-sports-arbitrage. The advisor didn't report him. He asked for the wallet address. 432614799197. $2.67M profit. 2,911 predictions. All sports NFL, Premier League, Ligue 1. Account created...

1,372,529 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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Chinese student in my MIT dorm asked ChatGPT and Gemini the same question: How can I make money using the timezone difference between Asia and America? ChatGPT explained forex trading hours and international freelancing. Gemini suggested remote work for Asian companies while living in the US. He closed both tabs. Standard answers he'd heard a hundred times before. Then he opened Claude and asked differently. Not how to make money but who is already making money this way and can you find them. Claude took 30 seconds. Then explained that prediction markets have a gap Asian bookmaker lines move 2-3 hours before American platforms update. Someone in Beijing sees price movements that someone in New York won't see until they wake up. He asked Claude to find wallets that only trade during Beijing morning hours. Wallets that enter positions when America sleeps. Claude found one that matched perfectly. Every single trade executed between 6-9 AM Beijing time. 4,548 of them. 432614799197. $4.5M profit. Joined January 2026. Only sports NFL, Premier League, Ligue 1. The Chinese student understood immediately. While his American classmates sleep from 11 PM to 7 AM Eastern, someone in Asia has an 8 hour window where they see tomorrow's lines today. He showed me the wallet last week. I asked why he shared it. He said the edge isn't the wallet the edge is knowing what question to ask. ChatGPT and Gemini answered the question he asked. Claude answered the question he meant. 305K watching. $79K loaded in active positions.

Carver

71,859 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Statistics professor at MIT taught course Probability Theory in the Real World. Final exam. Question 12: Explain why long term profitability in sports betting is mathematically impossible. Student didn't know the answer. After exam Googled professor's name + sports betting. First result Reddit thread: Who is SeriouslySirius? Second result wallet address. SeriouslySirius. $3,647,648 profit. → Wallet: Professor taught it was mathematically impossible. Proved otherwise himself every day. The wallet: Only sports. NFL, NCAA, NBA. Biggest bet: put in $1,045,545 on Buccaneers spread. Walked away with $2,225,587. One bet = $1,180,042 profit. MIT professor annual salary $180,000. What he teaches vs what he does: In lecture: Bookmaker margin makes long-term winning impossible. In reality: Sees when Vegas shifts lines by 0.5 points. Polymarket lags 2-3 minutes. Buys the difference. Collects 5-8c per dollar. In lecture: Emotional betting always loses to math. In reality: Crowd overvalues favorite. He buys underdog for 47c. Waits for market correction. Collects $1. 6,339 bets in 4 months. $3.6M profit. Student emailed professor: Was question 12 on the exam a trick question? Professor: No. For 99.9% of people sports betting is mathematically unprofitable. Student: And for you? Professor: I teach statistics. Not investment strategies. Week later MIT announced professor took sabbatical for research. Wallet still active. Probability theory course has new professor.

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74,171 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

Someone on Reddit asked has anyone actually made real money on Polymarket? and one comment led me to a wallet that turned 8 trades into $900,000 profit. The thread had 200+ replies, mostly people sharing their $50 wins and $200 losses, the usual stories about bad beats and lucky streaks that every prediction market attracts. But buried somewhere in the middle, one user dropped a single link without explanation just the wallet address and three words: this guy did. → Wallet: I clicked expecting another account with thousands of trades and a modest profit curve that took years to build. What I found instead made me close the tab, reopen it and stare at the numbers for a solid five minutes trying to understand what I was looking at. $900,091 in profit. Not from grinding hundreds of positions over months of careful risk management. From exactly 8 predictions total. For anyone new to prediction markets, let me put this in perspective most successful traders on Polymarket consider a 60% win rate exceptional and they achieve it across hundreds or thousands of small bets that slowly compound into meaningful profit over time. Maze8 has a 100% win rate across 8 bets averaging over $100,000 each, with a biggest single win of $325,100 that most professional traders will never see in their entire career on the platform. The account was created in January 2026, which means this person walked onto the platform less than a month ago and immediately started placing bets larger than what most people have in their retirement accounts. There is no learning curve visible here, no progression from small test bets to larger positions as confidence builds the very first trades were already six figure commitments made with the certainty of someone who already knew the outcomes. Right now the wallet holds $785,000 in active positions, meaning whoever controls this account extracted nearly a million dollars in profit and then decided that was not enough, loading up again for whatever comes next. I went back to that Reddit thread to find more discussion about this wallet but the comment had maybe 3 upvotes and zero replies. 2,700 people have viewed this profile according to Polymarket, yet somehow the internet has almost nothing to say about a wallet printing money at this rate. The profile remains public, the positions are visible in real time, and every future bet will appear on the blockchain the moment it happens. Eight predictions placed. Eight predictions won. $900,000 extracted while everyone else argued about $50 bets in Reddit comments. Some people discuss prediction markets. Others quietly empty them.

Marlow

10,111 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

I asked ChatGPT to find me the most profitable wallet on the platform. It said it can't access live blockchain data. So I asked Claude. Claude wrote a Python script in 4 minutes. Script scanned 200,000 wallets. Ranked them by ROI. Filtered by active in last 30 days. Top result made me close my laptop and go for a walk. RN1. $5,317,622 profit. 36,298 predictions. Since December 2024. → Wallet: I didn't believe the number. Ran the script again. Same result. $5.3 million. In 14 months. Across every sport that exists. Counter-Strike. TheMongolz vs B8. Payout: $158,533. Tennis. NFL. Bundesliga. Serie A. Counter-Strike. Premier League. All at once. 36,298 bets. Every sport. Every league. 624,000 people already watching. Then I did something stupid. I asked Claude to reverse engineer the strategy. Claude analyzed 200 positions. Came back with one sentence: This wallet buys mathematically mispriced underdogs across every market where the crowd overvalues the favorite. I asked: Can you build a bot that does this? Claude: I can write the logic. You need the API key and capital. 14 lines of Python. One prompt. One afternoon. I haven't deployed it yet. Still staring at the code. Still staring at $5.3 million. The wallet doesn't care about teams. Doesn't watch games. Doesn't read news. Just finds where 36 cents should be 65 cents. And buys. I asked Claude one more thing: What's stopping everyone from doing this? Claude: Nothing. They just haven't asked.

Marlow

216,738 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

I made $18,300 in 30 days copying David's wallet on Polymarket. Trump's crypto advisor aka "Czar" wallet is insider trading on Polymarket. This wallet knows in advance when Trump will mention crypto. $187K profit. 90% win rate. I've made the exact guide to auto copy-trade his wallet. Could've sold for $999. Giving It Free for 24 hours. Comment "Wallet" + Retweet + Save This Post. You Must Follow me Himanshu Kumar, so i can send you DM. The play is stupid simple. He sits in meetings before every Trump appearance. He sees the speech draft. Then he opens Polymarket and bets on what Trump's about to say. Mentions of "Bitcoin." Mentions of "stablecoin." Mentions of "regulation." He bets "Yes" before the speech. Trump says the word. "czar" cashes out. $30K-$50K per public appearance. Every single time. His Polymarket Wallet: EscalateFund The numbers are insane: > 90% win rate in the mentions category > Longest win streak: 51 trades in a row > $187K total profit > Active in every Trump-adjacent market Bookmark his wallet. If this guy bets Trump will say something, Trump will definitely say it. Pro tip: skip his NBA trades. Dude yolos on his favorite team and they lose every time. You're trying to predict Trump from his Truth Social posts. Sacks is hearing the speech draft 6 hours before it goes live. You can't out-research that. But you can copy it. Follow me Himanshu Kumar, to stay connected for more post on making money with ai Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. I’m not making claims about any person, only about the wallet activity. This is real, and it’s happening.

Himanshu Kumar

17,112 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

BREAKING: The soldier who captured Maduro just got arrested. Not for what he did in Venezuela. For what he did on his phone the week before. He bet $33,000 on his own classified mission and won $410,000. And the federal government just made history charging him for it. Meet Master Sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke. 38 years old. Active duty U.S. Army Special Forces since 2008. Stationed at Fort Bragg. A communications specialist supporting Joint Special Operations Command. The unit that oversees Delta Force and SEAL Team Six. On December 8, 2025, Van Dyke received a "Classified Information Security Briefing." He signed a nondisclosure agreement. He promised to never reveal classified information about U.S. Army Special Operations. Then he was read into Operation Absolute Resolve. The covert mission to capture Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. 18 days later, on December 26, he opened a Polymarket account. He used a VPN to make it look like he was logging in from a foreign country. He funded it with about $35,000 from his personal bank account. And he started buying. 13 separate "YES" bets between December 27 and January 2. All on Venezuela. "Maduro out by January 31." "U.S. Forces in Venezuela by January 31." "Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31." "Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31." The market gave those outcomes a 17% chance. Long-shot bets that Wall Street wouldn't touch. Van Dyke went all in. Total wagered: $33,034. On January 2, the day before the raid, he placed $26,000 of those bets in a single afternoon. Hours before the operation kicked off. In the predawn hours of January 3, U.S. forces stormed a residence in Caracas. Maduro and his wife were captured. Hours later, Trump posted the announcement on Truth Social. Polymarket resolved the contracts to "YES." Van Dyke's $33,000 became $409,881. A 1,141% return in seven days. The same day Maduro hit American soil, Van Dyke withdrew most of his winnings. He sent the proceeds to a foreign cryptocurrency vault. Then to a brand new brokerage account. Three days later, on January 6, he asked Polymarket to delete his account. He told the platform he had "lost access to the email." He changed the email on his cryptocurrency exchange to one not registered in his name. An email he had created on December 14. Twelve days before the bets. He knew exactly what he was doing. Here's the part that should infuriate every American: A photo was uploaded to his Google account on the day of the raid. The picture, according to the indictment, shows him on the deck of a ship at sea at sunrise. Wearing combat fatigues. Carrying a rifle. Standing alongside three other soldiers. That ship was the USS Iwo Jima. The same vessel where Maduro was held after the operation. He didn't just have classified information. He WAS the operation. For weeks, the trade was an internet mystery. CNN and on-chain analytics firms flagged the suspicious wallet. An anonymous account had turned $33K into $410K on the longest of long shots. Federal prosecutors started watching Polymarket directly. The platform handed over the records, and they pointed to Van Dyke. On April 23, 2026, the Department of Justice unsealed the indictment. Five charges. Unlawful use of confidential government information for personal gain. Theft of nonpublic government information. Commodities fraud. Wire fraud. Engaging in a monetary transaction in property derived from specified unlawful activity. Maximum sentence: 20 years on the wire fraud count alone. 10 years on each of the others. The CFTC filed a parallel civil complaint. They want every dollar back. Plus penalties. Plus a permanent ban from regulated markets. This is the first time in U.S. history a person has been criminally charged for insider trading on a prediction market. The first time.

Insider Trackers

49,736 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

a 22-year-old who never filed taxes just got flagged by the IRS not for the $330K in polymarket bot profit but for 12,000 micro-transactions that looked like structuring 38 days of trading and he triggered the same alerts drug dealers do kid built a bot that trades 5-minute crypto resolution markets on polymarket - eth up or down, sol up or down, new scheduled 5-minute ETH/SOL up/down markets resolving via Chainlink data he didn't even know what structuring was the bot was placing mass volume to capture edge across dozens of active micro-markets and every single trade settled through USDC on-chain every 5 minutes the bot runs the same loop: → pulls live order books across dozens of active micro-markets → estimates fair value using Claude Sonnet 4.6 API inference → detects mispricing above 6% and sizes via kelly criterion → fires the trade, collects payout, rolls into the next market → repeats 288+ times per day without sleeping in 38 days it executed 12,247 transactions at an average size of $27 the problem is that pattern - thousands of small, rapid, sequential transactions flowing through crypto rails - is exactly what the bank secrecy act was written to catch under 31 USC 5324 that's called structuring and it carries civil penalties up to ~$400K or twice the transaction amount per violation, criminal up to 5-10 years and $250K-$500K in fines the bot doesn't know what the IRS is it just knew the expected value math worked: 65% win rate on binary contracts means +$0.10 per dollar risked, compounded across 12,000 trades that's $330K in pure edge his entire infra was a mac mini and a $4.50/month VPS with no accountant, no LLC, no tax software the IRS didn't find him through some sophisticated investigation - his bank's automated AML system flagged the deposit pattern and filed a suspicious activity report before he even knew there was a problem $330K in profit sitting in a wallet and the kid googled "do i need to pay taxes on polymarket" for the first time last tuesday the bot opened 6 new positions while he was on hold with a CPA his trading algorithm is mass accurate and his compliance strategy is mass nonexistent - and somewhere right now there are 50 more kids running the same bot who haven't been flagged yet

Argona

149,781 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Everyone uses Clawdbot to write emails. I asked it one question about Polymarket. Eleven minutes later it returned a wallet with $381K profit and a 45% win rate. Read that again. He loses more than he wins. Still printed $381K. Someone on Reddit said Clawdbot cannot find real alpha. Only saves time. I wanted to prove them wrong. Asked one thing: find wallets where profit to winrate ratio breaks normal statistics. Three addresses came back. First one on the list: → Copy Wallet: Your brain says this math is impossible. Mine did too. Then I looked at what he actually trades. Not elections. Not politics. Not viral headlines. Noise. 15 minute windows. BTC up or down. ETH up or down. Solana. The markets you scroll past. The ones that look like casino games. This wallet turned casino games into $381K. Here is where my stomach dropped. Started matching his entries to exchange charts. Looking for the pattern. The edge. Found something that felt illegal to know. Picture this: 00:00:00 - BTC drops 0.8% on spot markets. Fact. Done. Recorded. 00:00:15 - Polymarket still shows old odds. Has not updated. 00:00:16 - This wallet buys DOWN at 28 cents. 00:02:00 - Market catches up. Pays $1. Fifteen seconds. That is the window. He does not predict anything. He buys what already happened before the market notices. Lottery tickets after the numbers were drawn. While the cashier is still pouring coffee. Now the math clicks: Win: Entry 28c → Payout $1 → +257% Loss: Entry 28c → Payout $0 → -28c Ten losses cost $2.80. One win pays $7.20. 45% accuracy. $381K profit. 8,119 trades. Biggest single hit: $35.9K. The profit curve does not look like trading. Looks like stairs going up. Finding this manually would take weeks. Clawdbot did it in eleven minutes. Same tool everyone uses to book flights. Different question. Different result. Right now somewhere a price is moving. Polymarket has not caught up yet. This wallet might already be entering. Question is simple. Will you keep selling to him at yesterday's prices? Or finally learn where the fifteen second edge hides? Most people ask Clawdbot about dinner recipes. I asked it about statistical anomalies. That was the only difference.

Marlow

56,158 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten