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Dario Amodei says software engineering might get disrupted faster than entry-level white-collar jobs We are currently in a "centaur phase" — managing AI systems rather than writing code, which may briefly increase demand for engineers "but the centaur phase for software may be very brief"

Haider.

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29,991 次观看 • 5 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Dario Amodei: This disruption is happening faster than ever before. AI is transforming software engineering, moving us into a 'centaur' phase where humans manage AI systems. The rapid pace raises concerns about future disruptions, especially for entry-level roles

Dario Amodei: This disruption is happening faster than ever before. AI is transforming software engineering, moving us into a 'centaur' phase where humans manage AI systems. The rapid pace raises concerns about future disruptions, especially for entry-level roles

Chubby♨️

20,337 次观看 • 5 个月前

We’re in the “centaur” moment for software: humans + AI outperform either alone, but it won’t last. Then machines will dominate, and entry-level engineering gets wrecked fast. Don’t assume “we’ll adapt like before.” The pace is different: a brief phase where humans check AI code, then a rapid shift that guts junior white-collar paths. - Anthropic's CEO Dario Amodei "So after Garry Kasparov was beaten by Deep Blue, chess went through a 15–20 year stretch where a “centaur” team, a human checking an AI’s moves, could beat any human or any AI alone. That era eventually ended, and it became mostly just the machine. My worry is that we’re already in that centaur phase for software. During this phase, demand for software engineers might even increase, but the phase could be very short. Then entry-level white-collar work, especially software engineering, gets hit with a major disruption. People compare this to older labor shifts, like farming to industry to knowledge work, and say humans adapt. But those transitions played out over decades or centuries. This one is happening in just a few years, and that speed is the real concern." ---- Video from "Interesting Times with Ross Douthat + New York Times Opinion + New York Times Podcasts" YT channel (link in comment)

We’re in the “centaur” moment for software: humans + AI outperform either alone, but it won’t last. Then machines will dominate, and entry-level engineering gets wrecked fast. Don’t assume “we’ll adapt like before.” The pace is different: a brief phase where humans check AI code, then a rapid shift that guts junior white-collar paths. - Anthropic's CEO Dario Amodei "So after Garry Kasparov was beaten by Deep Blue, chess went through a 15–20 year stretch where a “centaur” team, a human checking an AI’s moves, could beat any human or any AI alone. That era eventually ended, and it became mostly just the machine. My worry is that we’re already in that centaur phase for software. During this phase, demand for software engineers might even increase, but the phase could be very short. Then entry-level white-collar work, especially software engineering, gets hit with a major disruption. People compare this to older labor shifts, like farming to industry to knowledge work, and say humans adapt. But those transitions played out over decades or centuries. This one is happening in just a few years, and that speed is the real concern." ---- Video from "Interesting Times with Ross Douthat + New York Times Opinion + New York Times Podcasts" YT channel (link in comment)

Rohan Paul

17,239 次观看 • 5 个月前

Dario Amodei warns that software may soon become so cheap it feels almost free. The old model, building software for mass distribution to justify cost may no longer apply. Apps could be generated on-demand, even for simple, one-off use cases. But this flexibility comes at a cost: entire careers built around traditional software engineering may vanish. Dario believes we can adapt but most people still don’t grasp how big this shift really is.

Dario Amodei warns that software may soon become so cheap it feels almost free. The old model, building software for mass distribution to justify cost may no longer apply. Apps could be generated on-demand, even for simple, one-off use cases. But this flexibility comes at a cost: entire careers built around traditional software engineering may vanish. Dario believes we can adapt but most people still don’t grasp how big this shift really is.

Wes Roth

81,457 次观看 • 6 个月前

Anthropic CEO, Dario Amodei: "Half of entry-level white-collar jobs could be gone in one to five years." 3 things he said during the interview. The third, OpenAI completely ignores. One: inside Anthropic, engineers say "I don't write code anymore. The model does." Two: the real trigger isn't jobs. It's AI that builds AI, and the loop may close this year. Three: how soon superhuman AI actually lands. The massive buffers they are raising because the compute explosion is moving faster than anticipated. Save it. Reread in 2028 and see who was right.

Anthropic CEO, Dario Amodei: "Half of entry-level white-collar jobs could be gone in one to five years." 3 things he said during the interview. The third, OpenAI completely ignores. One: inside Anthropic, engineers say "I don't write code anymore. The model does." Two: the real trigger isn't jobs. It's AI that builds AI, and the loop may close this year. Three: how soon superhuman AI actually lands. The massive buffers they are raising because the compute explosion is moving faster than anticipated. Save it. Reread in 2028 and see who was right.

Ridark

14,555 次观看 • 1 个月前

Dario Amodei says fast AI progress could come with a hidden cost: job loss and economic concentration "the pie may grow, but fewer people could share it" Entry-level white-collar jobs are especially at risk: law, consulting, and finance. These are the workhorses of the economy, and AI is already pretty good at them

Dario Amodei says fast AI progress could come with a hidden cost: job loss and economic concentration "the pie may grow, but fewer people could share it" Entry-level white-collar jobs are especially at risk: law, consulting, and finance. These are the workhorses of the economy, and AI is already pretty good at them

Haider.

64,975 次观看 • 10 个月前

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei: "We're a 1-2 year away from AI zooming past us." 90% of Anthropic's own engineers use Claude to ship code today. 50% of entry-level white-collar jobs gone by 2030 "Our lead Claude Code engineer hasn't written a single line of code in 2 months. This is worth more than most paid agent courses combined.

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei: "We're a 1-2 year away from AI zooming past us." 90% of Anthropic's own engineers use Claude to ship code today. 50% of entry-level white-collar jobs gone by 2030 "Our lead Claude Code engineer hasn't written a single line of code in 2 months. This is worth more than most paid agent courses combined.

Morty

774,492 次观看 • 14 天前

Dario Amodei says AI disruption isn't different in kind from past technological shifts, but it's deeper and faster Unlike factories or the internet, AI hits multiple entry points at once The worry is we're eliminating jobs faster than we can adapt people or create new ones

Dario Amodei says AI disruption isn't different in kind from past technological shifts, but it's deeper and faster Unlike factories or the internet, AI hits multiple entry points at once The worry is we're eliminating jobs faster than we can adapt people or create new ones

Haider.

26,685 次观看 • 6 个月前

New interview of Anthropic's CEO Dario Amodei on AI's job impact: Entry-level office work gets hit first. "Tthe first thing to be disrupted is these kind of entry-level white-collar jobs: data entry, document review for law, or the stuff you’d give a first-year in finance where you’re analyzing documents. I still think those are going pretty fast. But I actually think software might go even faster because of the reasons I gave. I don’t think we’re that far from models being able to do a lot of it end-to-end. What we’re going to see first is the model only does a piece of what the human software engineer does, and that increases their productivity. Then, even when the models do everything that human software engineers used to do, the human software engineers take a step up. They act as managers and supervise the systems." --- Video from "Interesting Times with Ross Douthat + New York Times Opinion + New York Times Podcasts" YT channel (link in comment)

New interview of Anthropic's CEO Dario Amodei on AI's job impact: Entry-level office work gets hit first. "Tthe first thing to be disrupted is these kind of entry-level white-collar jobs: data entry, document review for law, or the stuff you’d give a first-year in finance where you’re analyzing documents. I still think those are going pretty fast. But I actually think software might go even faster because of the reasons I gave. I don’t think we’re that far from models being able to do a lot of it end-to-end. What we’re going to see first is the model only does a piece of what the human software engineer does, and that increases their productivity. Then, even when the models do everything that human software engineers used to do, the human software engineers take a step up. They act as managers and supervise the systems." --- Video from "Interesting Times with Ross Douthat + New York Times Opinion + New York Times Podcasts" YT channel (link in comment)

Rohan Paul

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Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei says AI companies like his may need to be taxed to offset a coming employment crisis: He worries that entry-level white-collar jobs could be replaced within 1–5 years. “Even if our company stopped… all the other companies would continue. And if they didn't, China would beat us.” The bus can't be stopped, he says. But maybe it can be steered.

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei says AI companies like his may need to be taxed to offset a coming employment crisis: He worries that entry-level white-collar jobs could be replaced within 1–5 years. “Even if our company stopped… all the other companies would continue. And if they didn't, China would beat us.” The bus can't be stopped, he says. But maybe it can be steered.

vitrupo

591,692 次观看 • 1 年前

Andrej Karpathy says software demand will spike in the short term because code is now ephemeral It can be rewritten, modified, and personalized instantly. Everything digital will get rewired But long-term? "even the researchers building AI know they may be automating their own jobs away"

Andrej Karpathy says software demand will spike in the short term because code is now ephemeral It can be rewritten, modified, and personalized instantly. Everything digital will get rewired But long-term? "even the researchers building AI know they may be automating their own jobs away"

Haider.

52,715 次观看 • 4 个月前

Cognition’s Scott Wu: “If anything, there’s going to be a lot more software engineers. Everyone talks about Jevons paradox and how it relates to AI; I think there’s nowhere that it’s more true than software, because we really never seem to run out of demand for more code and more software.”

Cognition’s Scott Wu: “If anything, there’s going to be a lot more software engineers. Everyone talks about Jevons paradox and how it relates to AI; I think there’s nowhere that it’s more true than software, because we really never seem to run out of demand for more code and more software.”

Stripe

15,177 次观看 • 11 个月前

Dario Amodei says Nobel-laureate-level AI (Superintelligence) by 2026–27 still looks surprisingly close - and the turbocharger is a feedback loop where AI writes code and accelerates AI research to build even better models. He thinks full end-to-end AI software engineering could be just 6–12 months away - meaning the pace might jump from “fast” to “holy shit.”

Dario Amodei says Nobel-laureate-level AI (Superintelligence) by 2026–27 still looks surprisingly close - and the turbocharger is a feedback loop where AI writes code and accelerates AI research to build even better models. He thinks full end-to-end AI software engineering could be just 6–12 months away - meaning the pace might jump from “fast” to “holy shit.”

Chubby♨️

117,340 次观看 • 6 个月前

📁 Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, says we may be closer to human level AI than society realizes. It feels like a tsunami on the horizon, visible yet dismissed. Technical alignment may be progressing. Public awareness is not. If society does not wake up, speed will outrun understanding.

📁 Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, says we may be closer to human level AI than society realizes. It feels like a tsunami on the horizon, visible yet dismissed. Technical alignment may be progressing. Public awareness is not. If society does not wake up, speed will outrun understanding.

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26,405 次观看 • 5 个月前

The CEO of Anthropic: "We might be six to twelve months away from when the model is doing most, maybe all, of what software engineers do end to end." In 30 minutes, Dario Amodei and Google DeepMind's Demis Hassabis break down the day after AGI. AGI timeline + self-improving models + the first jobs to go + who stays in control Worth more than a year of AI hot takes on your timeline

The CEO of Anthropic: "We might be six to twelve months away from when the model is doing most, maybe all, of what software engineers do end to end." In 30 minutes, Dario Amodei and Google DeepMind's Demis Hassabis break down the day after AGI. AGI timeline + self-improving models + the first jobs to go + who stays in control Worth more than a year of AI hot takes on your timeline

Phosphen

26,632 次观看 • 1 个月前

White-collar jobs are getting hit harder by AI than blue-collar ones right now. Tasks like writing, data analysis, coding, research, and admin work are exactly what current AI excels at, unlike physical manufacturing work. One analysis puts white-collar automation potential at around 30%, compared to under 1% for blue-collar roles. Goldman Sachs says AI could automate 25% of all US work hours, with 300 million jobs globally exposed, though actual displacement over 10 years might be more like 6-7% of workers. What’s actually happening: AI was linked to about 4.5% of job losses in 2025, and in April 2026 it accounted for 26% of layoffs in one report. Entry-level white-collar roles, junior analysts, coders, paralegals, customer service, are seeing the biggest squeeze, with hiring slowing sharply in AI-exposed fields. BCG projects 50-55% of US jobs will change significantly in the next couple years, but only 10-15% get fully eliminated in the next five. A lot of roles are getting augmented, people using AI tools to work faster rather than being replaced outright. It’s still early, so the big wave of losses some CEOs are warning about hasn’t fully materialized yet. The real story so far is fewer new office jobs being created, especially at the entry level.

White-collar jobs are getting hit harder by AI than blue-collar ones right now. Tasks like writing, data analysis, coding, research, and admin work are exactly what current AI excels at, unlike physical manufacturing work. One analysis puts white-collar automation potential at around 30%, compared to under 1% for blue-collar roles. Goldman Sachs says AI could automate 25% of all US work hours, with 300 million jobs globally exposed, though actual displacement over 10 years might be more like 6-7% of workers. What’s actually happening: AI was linked to about 4.5% of job losses in 2025, and in April 2026 it accounted for 26% of layoffs in one report. Entry-level white-collar roles, junior analysts, coders, paralegals, customer service, are seeing the biggest squeeze, with hiring slowing sharply in AI-exposed fields. BCG projects 50-55% of US jobs will change significantly in the next couple years, but only 10-15% get fully eliminated in the next five. A lot of roles are getting augmented, people using AI tools to work faster rather than being replaced outright. It’s still early, so the big wave of losses some CEOs are warning about hasn’t fully materialized yet. The real story so far is fewer new office jobs being created, especially at the entry level.

Patricia 🇺🇸

72,850 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨 ELON MUSK: "AI will outperform humans at most jobs." “I do think it’s going to be a bumpy road, because AI will be able to do any job better than any person can do that job. That will be true very quickly for jobs that are digital, or really anything that involves a person at a computer or on a phone. AI will be able to do all of that very soon. For software engineering, we already have a situation where AI is better than at least 90% of humans at writing software, including 90% of professional software engineers. It really is getting to the point where it will be better than 99%, and then it will get to the point where there’s just no way to compete. It will get to what I call Stockfish level. Stockfish is a chess program that is so good at chess that it will easily beat Magnus Carlsen, or anyone, even while running on a small computer. I suspect you could probably run Stockfish on your phone and beat Magnus Carlsen. That’s how good it is at chess, and that’s how good AI will be at writing software. And that applies to everything.”

🚨 ELON MUSK: "AI will outperform humans at most jobs." “I do think it’s going to be a bumpy road, because AI will be able to do any job better than any person can do that job. That will be true very quickly for jobs that are digital, or really anything that involves a person at a computer or on a phone. AI will be able to do all of that very soon. For software engineering, we already have a situation where AI is better than at least 90% of humans at writing software, including 90% of professional software engineers. It really is getting to the point where it will be better than 99%, and then it will get to the point where there’s just no way to compete. It will get to what I call Stockfish level. Stockfish is a chess program that is so good at chess that it will easily beat Magnus Carlsen, or anyone, even while running on a small computer. I suspect you could probably run Stockfish on your phone and beat Magnus Carlsen. That’s how good it is at chess, and that’s how good AI will be at writing software. And that applies to everything.”

DogeDesigner

61,112 次观看 • 7 天前

What if we're actually in the middle of the third golden age of software engineering? This is what Grady Booch sees happening. If you are anxious about the state of the industry, you want to watch/listen to Grady's longer-term perspective and stories. Watch the full episode here: 00:00 Intro 01:58 The first golden age of software engineering 18:59 The software crisis 33:01 The second golden age of software engineering 42:21 Y2K and the Dotcom crash 45:47 Early AI 47:34 The third golden age of software engineering 51:48 Why software engineers will very much be needed 58:46 Grady responds to Dario Amodei 1:06:54 New skills engineers will need to succeed 1:10:04 Resources for studying complex systems 1:14:33 How to thrive during periods of change Brought to you by: • Statsig — ⁠ The unified platform for flags, analytics, experiments, and more. • Sonar – The makers of SonarQube, the industry standard for automated code review. Join me online at the Sonar Summit on March 3rd, where I talk about practical tactics for the AI era. • WorkOS – Everything you need to make your app enterprise-ready.

What if we're actually in the middle of the third golden age of software engineering? This is what Grady Booch sees happening. If you are anxious about the state of the industry, you want to watch/listen to Grady's longer-term perspective and stories. Watch the full episode here: 00:00 Intro 01:58 The first golden age of software engineering 18:59 The software crisis 33:01 The second golden age of software engineering 42:21 Y2K and the Dotcom crash 45:47 Early AI 47:34 The third golden age of software engineering 51:48 Why software engineers will very much be needed 58:46 Grady responds to Dario Amodei 1:06:54 New skills engineers will need to succeed 1:10:04 Resources for studying complex systems 1:14:33 How to thrive during periods of change Brought to you by: • Statsig — ⁠ The unified platform for flags, analytics, experiments, and more. • Sonar – The makers of SonarQube, the industry standard for automated code review. Join me online at the Sonar Summit on March 3rd, where I talk about practical tactics for the AI era. • WorkOS – Everything you need to make your app enterprise-ready.

Gergely Orosz

86,896 次观看 • 5 个月前