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🚨DID MICROSOFT JUST BAN ITS ENGINEERS FROM USING AI? The company that poured $5 billion into Anthropic discovered that Claude Code was costing more than the humans it was supposed to replace — so they’re canceling nearly all licenses by the end of June. Uber’s CTO admitted their full-year...

19,103 просмотров • 1 месяц назад •via X (Twitter)

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Chamath said AI is not like the internet. Every new user costs real money. And the infrastructure making it possible was built by everyone. His argument was the clearest case for government ownership of AI labs I have ever heard. And it had nothing to do with Bernie Sanders. Start with the internet comparison. Google and Facebook became the most profitable companies in human history because of one number. The marginal cost of adding a new user was effectively zero. One more search query cost Google nothing. One more Facebook profile cost Meta nothing. They could serve a billion people and the incremental cost of that billion person was rounding error. That is the money printer. Infinite scale at zero marginal cost. AI breaks that model completely. Every single user taxes a GPU. Every query costs electricity. Every response requires memory and compute. The marginal cost of AI is real, significant, and does not disappear at scale. You cannot print money the same way. Then Chamath made the point that landed hardest. The infrastructure these companies depend on, the power grid, the land, the data centers, the permitting, the national security apparatus that protects their chips from being stolen, none of that was built by Anthropic or OpenAI. It was built by the public. By taxpayers. By decades of government investment in the physical and legal foundation these companies are now running on. He compared it to the interstate highway system. If the federal government built the roads and two companies transported all the goods on them, a logical question at that point would be how much of that should I own? You are riding on my rails. His conclusion was direct. If he were running a sovereign wealth fund and had the negotiating leverage of the US government, he would own 75% of these companies when he was done. The internet had zero marginal cost. That is why the founders captured almost all of the value. AI has real marginal cost and runs on public infrastructure. That changes who has a claim on what gets built. WATCH THE FULL PODCAST ON The All-In Podcast

Ihtesham Ali

79,066 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Jensen Huang just explained why every company cutting engineers over AI is asking the entirely wrong question. Huang: “People say, I don’t need software engineers because apparently coding is going to be automated.” That was the narrative. Here is what Huang actually did. Huang: “I’ve given AIs to every one of my software engineers and hardware engineers and engineers period. 100% of NVIDIA has AI assistants, AI coders, and they’re busier than ever.” Not fewer engineers. Not smaller teams. Busier than ever. That is the line most companies are getting completely wrong right now. They hear “AI can write code” and immediately start cutting headcount. Huang did the opposite. He armed everyone. Huang: “And so the question is, what is the task versus what is the job? No different than a financial analyst; the task is mess around with spreadsheets, but the job is to make financial advice. The job is to help a customer.” Writing code was always the task. It was never the job. The job is architecture. Knowing what to build. Why it matters. How it fits into a system that actually creates value. Code is the execution layer between the idea and the outcome. Nothing more. When you automate that layer, you don’t eliminate the engineer. You eliminate the bottleneck between what they can envision and what they can ship. The companies using AI to cut headcount are optimizing for cost. The companies using AI to multiply output are optimizing for territory. Nvidia chose territory. Every engineer at the most valuable semiconductor company on Earth now operates with an AI assistant. Not a pilot program. Not an experiment. Company-wide. Every function. Every team. And the result is not less work. It is more work. Faster. At a scale that was physically impossible twelve months ago. The companies that understand the difference between eliminating engineers and unleashing them will build what comes next. The ones that don’t will watch their best talent walk out the door to the ones that did.

Dustin

82,744 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Microsoft just betrayed OpenAI and Anthropic, the two companies it helped build. And it could break the entire AI trade... Here's what happened: Inside Excel and Outlook, two of the most used business apps on Earth, Microsoft has started routing tens of thousands of AI requests every week to its own in-house models instead of OpenAI and Anthropic. Microsoft's own AI chief, Mustafa Suleyman, said himself: "We pay a lot of money to Anthropic, so our goal is to reduce and ultimately ELIMINATE that cost." This is the company that poured $13 billion into OpenAI and effectively created the modern AI industry, and it just decided the most advanced models on the market are NOT worth paying for. And here's the thing... Microsoft is not just ripping out OpenAI everywhere - it is being surgical about it. The hardest and rarest tasks can still go to OpenAI or Anthropic. What Microsoft is taking back is the boring, high-volume work, like the email replies, the thread summaries, and the simple spreadsheet formulas. Why does that matter so much? Because that boring, repetitive work is where the actual money lives. The frontier labs assumed businesses would push BILLIONS of these tiny requests through expensive models forever. That endless river of tokens is the entire reason OpenAI and Anthropic are valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Microsoft looked at that river, decided it was massively overpaying, and rerouted it to models it owns outright. So the single biggest customer in the industry just walked off with the most profitable part of the business. And it is not only Microsoft: That same week, CNBC reported that American companies have been escaping to Chinese AI models to dodge rising US prices. Chinese models now handle more than 30% of US companies' AI usage on one major platform, peaking at 46%, up from an average of 11% a year earlier. They cost 60 to 90% less, and on some benchmarks they land within a single point of the best American model. One US startup moved ALL of its AI traffic off Claude and onto China's DeepSeek, and expects to save millions. Meanwhile Meta just admitted it has "excess" AI compute it wants to sell, becoming the first giant to concede it built far too much. Do you see the pattern forming? For two years, the entire AI story rested on one assumption: Every company on Earth would happily pay premium prices for the best model, forever. That assumption literally died in a single week. And the market noticed. More than a trillion dollars has been wiped off AI and chip stocks in a matter of days, as Wall Street finally started asking whether all of this spending will ever pay for itself. What this means for OpenAI and Anthropic: Their models are extraordinary, and it may not matter because their own biggest customers have decided they do not NEED the best model in the world to answer an email, and "good enough" now costs a fraction of the price. When even Microsoft refuses to pay full price for AI, the real question becomes who exactly IS left to pay it. What do you think?

Ricardo

92,768 просмотров • 10 дней назад

Elon Musk just pulled off the biggest AI power grab of 2026. Tesla is capping every employee at $200 a week on AI spending starting Monday, July 6. Media's celebrating it as cost control. But what Elon actually built is an expense policy that redirects his own engineering workforce off Claude and onto Grok, while every competitor gets throttled by internal procurement rules. Here's what happened: Tesla spent the last six months pushing engineers to use AI as aggressively as possible. Leadership built an internal platform called Bottle Rocket that gave employees access to Claude, GPT, Gemini, Grok, and Cursor. They gamified adoption by ranking engineers on internal leaderboards by how many AI tokens they consumed. The strategy worked. Software engineers started burning THOUSANDS of dollars a week on Claude and Cursor. Then the invoices arrived and Tesla panicked. But they didn't pull the standard cost-control response... The loophole: The $200 weekly cap does not apply to beta products from xAI. Grok is completely exempt from the cap. Anthropic's Claude, OpenAI's GPT, and Google's Gemini all get throttled at the same $200 line. Four Tesla engineers told Electrek that internal usage overwhelmingly favors Claude over Grok. That preference is about to become financially punishing overnight. The genius part: This quarter SpaceX is closing a $60 billion all-stock acquisition of Anysphere, the parent company of Cursor. The moment that deal closes, Cursor's Composer coding model falls under the same Musk-controlled ecosystem, and any Tesla engineer choosing between a capped Claude session and an uncapped Composer session will pay a financial penalty for using the tool they actually prefer. By exempting only his own products from the cap, Elon is using Tesla shareholder money to build market share for xAI without ever having to disclose that is what he is doing. Because on paper, it is cost control. Now zoom out to what this signals for the wider AI narrative: Uber capped employees at $1,500 a month after burning $3.4 billion in four months. Meta introduced spending caps. Amazon and Walmart pushed staff toward cheaper models. Microsoft canceled Claude Code licenses across 100,000 engineers. Every Fortune 500 that pushed heavy AI adoption in 2025 is now rationing it in 2026. Meanwhile Nvidia is trading at a $5 trillion market cap. That entire valuation assumes enterprise AI consumption is about to explode across the economy. But every company actually deploying AI at scale is telling their own engineers to slow down. One of these narratives is lying. Goldman Sachs still forecasts a 24x increase in token consumption by 2030. Gartner says total enterprise AI costs will keep climbing because agents consume exponentially more tokens per task. Jensen Huang keeps repeating that 100 AI agents will work alongside every employee. And now the CEO of the most agentic company on the planet just told his own engineers they cannot spend more than $200 a week on the tools those agents need to run. Retail investors buying Nvidia and Palantir today are betting enterprise AI adoption compounds without limit. The CEOs deploying AI inside those same enterprises are betting the exact opposite, in writing, by internal memo. Thoughts?

Ricardo

187,875 просмотров • 13 дней назад

Microsoft canceling its internal Claude Code licenses this week likely has almost nothing to do with AI costs becoming untenable. Microsoft's own statement says Claude models remain accessible through Copilot CLI and Anthropic's Claude still runs inside Microsoft 365. The real story is that Microsoft's own product (GitHub Copilot) was being embarrassed by a competitor internally this is a platform strategy play, not a cost crisis call. And the post assumes token prices are rising and unsustainable but the actual data goes the other way. As Sam Altman said, a hard reasoning problem that cost X on the OpenAI API 18 months ago now costs 1,000x less. 1,000x in 18 months is just that doesn't happen very often. His stated mission is to relentlessly drive the cost of intelligence down as close to zero as possible and make it a low-cost asset available to the world. A16z separately documented a 10x cost decline per year for equivalent model performance and Nvidia's Blackwell platform delivered 4x to 10x inference cost reductions in production deployments in early 2026. Yes, Uber burned through its 2026 AI budget in four months. But look at why, 95% of engineers were using AI tools monthly, ~70% of committed code was AI-generated, and 11% of real-time backend updates were made autonomously by agents with zero human intervention. That's not an AI cost problem. That's a CFO who budgeted for a pilot and got a revolution. Also, this post ignores the Jevons Paradox, when a resource gets cheaper, total consumption rises, not falls. Tokens inferenced on platforms like OpenRouter grew 25-fold since December 2024, OpenAI’s revenue grew at roughly a 250% annual rate to around a $20B run rate, while Anthropic’s surged from roughly $9B to over $30B in just a few months. Those aren't the numbers of companies whose economics are imploding. Even Gartner projects inference on a 1-trillion parameter model will cost 90%+ less by 2030. The actual Gartner warning is that agentic AI costs more per task because agents run longer chains, that's a design and scoping problem, not a structural industry collapse.

Milk Road AI

251,150 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Anthropic might be the biggest hypocrite in tech history. They built their entire brand on one promise: We are the responsible ones. We will not let this technology get out of control. That promise just exploded in public. Last week, a security lapse exposed nearly 3,000 internal files to anyone with an internet connection. Inside those files was a draft blog post about their upcoming model called "Mythos" that contained one of the most alarming sentences any AI company has ever written: "Mythos is currently far ahead of any other AI model in cyber capabilities and poses unprecedented cybersecurity risks." Their own words. About their own product. Leaked because someone forgot to secure a public data store. Cybersecurity stocks crashed the next day. Then THREE DAYS LATER it happened again. Anthropic leaked 500,000 lines of Claude Code source code through a packaging error on GitHub. Claude Code is their most popular product. The code exposed how the tool handles permissions, agent coordination, and internal feature pipelines. Competitors can reverse-engineer it. Hackers can study it for vulnerabilities. The company that tells the world it builds the safest AI can't even keep its own code off the public internet. But wait. It gets worse... Their head of Claude Code had JUST bragged publicly that "pretty much 100 percent" of the company's code is now AI generated. He personally hadn't made a single edit by hand in over two months. So the company whose entire pitch is "trust us with the most powerful technology ever created" is writing 100% of its code with AI and then accidentally publishing it for the world to see. Meanwhile the models they're already shipping are being used for actual cyberattacks RIGHT NOW. In November, Anthropic admitted that a Chinese state-sponsored hacking group used Claude to attack roughly 30 global targets including banks and government agencies. A hacker asked Claude in russian to build a web panel for managing hundreds of attack targets. In February, another hacker used Claude to breach Mexican government agencies and steal sensitive tax and voter information. Their response to all of this? They quietly rolled back their own safety pledge. In late February, Anthropic removed its commitment to halt model development if capabilities outpace safety procedures. The new policy is that they'll grade themselves on "nonbinding but publicly declared" goals. Translation: We used to promise we'd stop if things got dangerous. Now we promise we'll think about it. A congressman sent Anthropic a letter this week asking what the hell is going on. Anthropic hasn't answered. And here's the part that makes all of this actually matter: Anthropic is planning an IPO. They need to convince investors they're a trustworthy, well-run company that can handle the most sensitive technology on the planet. In the last 10 days they leaked their most powerful model's existence by accident, leaked their most popular product's source code by accident, got banned from the entire US government, had the DOJ appeal to restore that ban, told a court they could lose billions from the fallout, and weakened the ONE safety policy that made them different from every other AI lab. The "safe AI company" narrative was always a marketing play. Every AI lab says they care about safety. Anthropic just said it louder. But when your own internal documents admit your next model poses "unprecedented cybersecurity risks" and you can't even keep those documents from leaking to the public internet, the gap between the marketing and the reality becomes impossible to ignore. Anthropic isn't the safest AI company. They're the AI company that figured out that SAYING you're the safest is worth billions in valuation. Until it isn't.

Ricardo

16,245 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

SpaceX is about to shatter the largest IPO record in history. Not by a little. By more than double. The previous record was $29 billion. SpaceX is targeting $75 billion. Two months ago the number was $50 billion. Last week it was $70 billion. Now $75 billion. The filing has not even happened yet. Every time the market recalculates what SpaceX actually is, the answer gets bigger. Goldman Sachs. JPMorgan. Bank of America. Morgan Stanley. All lined up as underwriters. Target date: mid-June 2026. Target valuation: $1.75 trillion. That would make SpaceX larger than Meta. Larger than Tesla. Larger than every company on Earth except five. This is not some startup bleeding cash and calling it strategy. SpaceX made $8 billion in profit last year on $16 billion in revenue. They do not need the money. They are raising it because what comes next costs more than profit can fund at the speed they intend to move. Musk: “There just is no way to do a terawatt per year on Earth.” He ran the math on stage with Jensen Huang. Three hundred gigawatts of AI compute per year would consume two-thirds of all US electricity production. Not total energy. Just electricity. And three hundred gigawatts is not even the target. A terawatt is. More than three times that. Building enough power plants is not difficult. It is not expensive. It is physically impossible. Musk: “You have to do that in space.” Not should. Not could. Have to. Earth does not have the power. Cannot build it fast enough. Cannot cool the hardware. Not within a decade. Not at all. The bottleneck is not silicon. Not software. Not data. It is the planet itself. Musk: “You don’t actually need batteries because it’s always sunny in space. And the solar panels become cheaper because you don’t need glass or framing. And the cooling is just radiative.” No batteries. No night cycle. No weather. Just uninterrupted solar hitting bare panels in a vacuum. Heat dissipates on its own. Huang: “Each one of these GB300 racks is two tons. 1.95 of it is probably for cooling.” Ninety-seven percent of the weight of a supercomputer rack exists to keep it from overheating. Move it to space and that weight vanishes. The machine shrinks to something small enough to launch by the thousands. Running on free energy. Cooled by nothing. Musk: “I think even perhaps in the four or five year time frame, the lowest cost way to do AI compute will be with solar-powered AI satellites.” Not fifty years. Not twenty. Five. The cheapest AI compute on Earth will not be on Earth. It will be in orbit. And only one company can put it there at the cost and cadence required. That is what the market is pricing. Not a rocket company. The only organization on Earth capable of moving intelligence infrastructure off of it. Huang heard the pitch. The math. The timeline. Huang: “That’s the dream.” Musk: “Yes.” A trillion watts of compute. Powered by the Sun. Cooled by space. Launched by SpaceX. Every company building AI on the ground is building under the same ceiling. The atmosphere.

Dustin

44,710 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад