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Dylan Crews- 15% catch probability on this ball from Statcast +.85 OAA. Crews covered 107 feet on the play:

The WARmonger

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32,334 views • 1 month ago •via X (Twitter)

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Julio Rodríguez got his first five-star "catch" of the season yesterday on this 15% ball. +.85 OAA, just not in the usual way...

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I just noticed that Andy Pages has a new "best catch of the year" according to catch probability, and it's a great example of how watching the advanced stats can tell you things you won't get from watching on TV. This was the last play of the game last Wednesday. Bogaerts hit the ball 102.3 MPH at a 15° launch angle, and Pages covered 45 feet in 2.9 seconds and did it so efficiently he didn't even have to leave his feet. Statcast has it at just a 5% catch probability.

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Pete Crow-Armstrong is a wizard in CF! Two plays! 🧵 Play One: How good is PCA? This ball (a single) had a ZERO PERCENT catch probability! He covered an insane 43 feet in his "jump", and the play didn't even last long enough to be considered a full jump!

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