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Dylan on why access to the most intelligent AI models will determine who wins in every industry: "What really matters is access to the most intelligent tokens and leveraging them at the highest-value tasks. A lot of folks will want tokens, but the shitty SaaS startup in SF who...

36,100 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas on the brutal truth about who actually makes money in AI (and why it's not who you think): Aravind argues that the real value in AI comes from orchestration. He points to products like Codex, Claude Code, and Perplexity Computer: "What is that? It's an orchestration system. It takes a model, pairs it with an agent harness." And what is an agent harness? "The simplest way of describing it is like rules for how the agent loop should run. What are all the skills and sub-agents and connectors and tools it accesses? Without the harness, you don't necessarily capture and convert the intrinsic intelligence in the model into valuable output tokens." This leads to a blunt conclusion about who has a real business in AI, and who doesn't: "If you're literally just a reseller of model tokens, you have no business, because the model will get commoditized. So even if you're a model builder, you don't have a business. As an infra layer, you have some business on serving those output tokens. But as an application layer or model builder, you don't really have a business if you're just a reseller of tokens that come directly out of the model." So where does the value accrue? "You have a business if you know how to take the model, ground it in valuable context, orchestrate it with a really good agent harness, connected to the right set of tools and connectors (whether it's personal connectors or business connectors) and provide the experience to people in one single unified system." Aravind Srinivas then explains Perplexity's specific edge: Beyond orchestrating across tools, files, and connectors, they also orchestrate across models. "That is the differentiation that Anthropic and OpenAI cannot claim, because you wouldn't find GPT-5 inside the Claude Code harness. You wouldn't find Claude Opus inside the Codex harness. These are competing with each other. Whereas you would find both these models inside Perplexity Computer." Why does this matter? Because it all comes down to power. In Aravind's framing, the fundamental cost driver in AI is watts (the one input nobody can subsidize except the government). "Whoever provides the most valuable output tokens with the least amount of power expended to produce them generates the greatest value to the end user, has the most pricing power, has the most value. That is the orchestration problem to solve." His conclusion: "The one single most important metric in AI is token value per watt per user."

Big Brain AI

41,775 görüntüleme • 13 gün önce

Alex Karp reveals why he believes American enterprises have completely lost trust in the frontier AI labs "Something has gone completely wrong. The basic view among enterprises in this country is, I'm going to chill lax and waste my time with tokens, I'm going to get no value, and they're going to get my IP" "Just to say enterprises are unhappy with the frontier labs is to say I'm welcome at the Berkeley faculty. There's a level of discomfort and loss of trust" "Every single enterprise I deal with, these people are livid. They're paying for tokens that create no value. These people are stealing the weights and alpha of my business" "These models have been completely irresponsibly oversold" "If it was so valuable, let's say I can make you a billion dollars tomorrow, wouldn't I say I'll make you a billion and I want 30%? Why are they charging for tokens if it's so valuable?" "The reason everyone is chillaxing with bad financials and growth with losing money is the client refuses to pay the true cost" "What aligns me with Nvidia, and I think is what technical customers want, is control over their compute, their models, their data stack, and their alpha. They want to know they own the means of production" "We need to rebuild trust. That trust is going to happen where everyone gets to ask and answer basic questions. Who owns the data? Where is it cached? Are the prompts secure? Is this being transferred to you?" "Everyone who uses LLMs on the battlefield runs on top of our ontology" "In the classified context, when the Department of War goes to you and says I need this application, do they get to control the weights, or do you get to control the weights?" "Are we really going to outsource the battlefield of this country to the consensus view in Silicon Valley? That is effing insane" "They're creating a wealth tax that does not help the poor. It just punishes" "This is the voice of American business that is being channeled through me. It is absolutely a problem for this country"

Jaynit

12,578 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Jensen Huang: “If that $500,000 engineer did not consume at least $250,000 worth of tokens, I'm going to be deeply alarmed.” The Nvidia CEO expects his highly paid engineers to be spending at least HALF their salaries on tokens to supercharge their abilities. @jason: “ The conversation we've had on the pod a number of times is, ‘Oh my God, look at the token usage in our companies.’ It is growing massively.” “And some people are asking, ‘Hey, when I join a company, how many tokens do I get? Because I want to be an effective employee.’” “You've postulated, I believe, $75,000 in tokens for each engineer, something like that.” “So are you spending, at Nvidia, $1 billion, $2 billion on tokens for your engineering team right now?” Jensen: “We're trying to.” “Let me give you the thought experiment: Let's say you have a software engineer or AI researcher and you pay them $500,000 a year. We do that all the time.” “That $500,000 engineer, at the end of the year, I'm going to ask them, how much did you spend in tokens?” “If that person said, ‘$5,000,’ I will go ape… something else.” “If that $500,000 engineer did not consume at least $250,000 worth of tokens, I'm going to be deeply alarmed. “And this is no different than one of our chip designers who says, ‘Guess what? I'm just going to use paper and pencil, I don't think I'm going to need any CAD tools.’” Jason: “This is a real paradigm shift, to start thinking about these all-star employees, it almost reminds me of what we learned in the NBA when LeBron James started spending a million dollars a year just on his health and his body, like in maintaining it. Here he is at age 41, still playing.” “These are incredible knowledge workers. Why wouldn't we give them superhuman abilities?”

The All-In Podcast

96,648 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

J-Cal’s advice to founders: “If you partner with OpenAI or Anthropic, they will slit your throat and take your business wholesale. Don't trust them. Use your own models.” “There is no free pizza. There's no free beer. When somebody like Sam Altman comes to you and says, ‘Here's some free tokens,’ your alarm should go off. If you follow the Microsoft example, Lotus 1-2-3 and Word Perfect were their partners. They were replaced with Excel. They were replaced, obviously, with Microsoft Word. You don't even know those other two. That's exactly what OpenAI has to do, and they have no choice but to do that now because they have a trillion-dollar market cap. They must win the application layer. And Sam Altman went to Y Combinator and he said, ‘We'll give you $2 million worth of free tokens.’ And I came out and I said, ‘Listen, this is nothing personal against Sam. Sam's a very aggressive deal maker and he wants to get access to those startups because he knows, having run Y Combinator, that if he can get their innovations, those founders' latest thoughts about what's around the corner, he can incorporate them into the platform.’ Zuckerberg did the same thing. He said, ‘Hey, I'm going to give people a bunch of access, going to give them money. Come to the Facebook platform.’ Nobody who went to bed with Microsoft in the '80s, Facebook in the 2000s, or Sam Altman now in the 2020s did not wake up with their throat slit. This is a message to founders. If you partner with any of these people, they will slit your throat and take your business wholesale. There is nothing to discuss here. Don't trust them. Use your own models.”

The All-In Podcast

218,203 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce