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Elon Musk: There’s some probability we’re in a simulation probably pretty high. He breaks it down like this: in just 50 years we went from Pong—two rectangles and a square — to photorealistic, real-time worlds with millions of people interacting at once. And if that trend keeps going, our... games will become indistinguishable from reality complete with AIs capable of conversations more complex than most humans can manage. So if civilization keeps advancing and ends up creating millions or even billions of these hyper-realistic simulated worlds what are the odds that we just happen to be in the one true “base reality”? Musk’s argument isn’t about certainty—it’s about probabilities. And the probability, according to him is pretty high.show more

Ian Miles Cheong

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BREAKING: Elon Musk says there is a high probability that we are living in a simulation. "There's some probability that we're in a simulation. Probably pretty high probability. One way to think of this is to say, if you look at the advancement of video games in our lifetime, it's gone from very simple video games with we've got, like Pong, you've got two rectangles in a square just batting it back and forth, to photo realistic, real time games with millions of people playing simultaneously. That's happened just in the span of 50 years. So if that trend continues, video games will be indistinguishable from reality. And we're also going to have very intelligent characters, like non player characters in these video games."

BREAKING: Elon Musk says there is a high probability that we are living in a simulation. "There's some probability that we're in a simulation. Probably pretty high probability. One way to think of this is to say, if you look at the advancement of video games in our lifetime, it's gone from very simple video games with we've got, like Pong, you've got two rectangles in a square just batting it back and forth, to photo realistic, real time games with millions of people playing simultaneously. That's happened just in the span of 50 years. So if that trend continues, video games will be indistinguishable from reality. And we're also going to have very intelligent characters, like non player characters in these video games."

DogeDesigner

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Elon Musk: "There's a very high probability we're living in a simulation." In a conversation with Nikhil Kamath, Musk explained how video games evolved from Pong to photorealistic worlds with millions of players in just 50 years. He noted that if this trend continues, games will soon be indistinguishable from reality with intelligent characters. "So then what are the odds that we are in base reality? And that this has not happened before." Musk added that we should think of this as probabilities, not certainties, and shared his theory that "The most interesting outcome is the most likely outcome as seen by a third party, the gods of the simulation."

Elon Musk: "There's a very high probability we're living in a simulation." In a conversation with Nikhil Kamath, Musk explained how video games evolved from Pong to photorealistic worlds with millions of players in just 50 years. He noted that if this trend continues, games will soon be indistinguishable from reality with intelligent characters. "So then what are the odds that we are in base reality? And that this has not happened before." Musk added that we should think of this as probabilities, not certainties, and shared his theory that "The most interesting outcome is the most likely outcome as seen by a third party, the gods of the simulation."

Interstellar

47,946 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

ELON: THERE’S A HIGH PROBABILITY WE’RE LIVING IN A SIMULATION Elon spoke with Nikhil Kamath about the possibility that reality itself may be a simulation. He said the odds are “pretty high,” pointing to how fast video game technology has advanced as evidence that future civilizations could easily simulate entire worlds. Elon: “I think you have to just think of these things as probabilities, not certainties. There’s some probability that we’re in a simulation.” Nikhil Kamath: “What percentage would you attribute to that?” Elon: “Probably pretty high. I would say it’s pretty high. One way to think of this is to look at the advancement of video games in our lifetime, from simple games like Pong, just two rectangles and a square, to where we are now.” Source: Nikhil Kamath

ELON: THERE’S A HIGH PROBABILITY WE’RE LIVING IN A SIMULATION Elon spoke with Nikhil Kamath about the possibility that reality itself may be a simulation. He said the odds are “pretty high,” pointing to how fast video game technology has advanced as evidence that future civilizations could easily simulate entire worlds. Elon: “I think you have to just think of these things as probabilities, not certainties. There’s some probability that we’re in a simulation.” Nikhil Kamath: “What percentage would you attribute to that?” Elon: “Probably pretty high. I would say it’s pretty high. One way to think of this is to look at the advancement of video games in our lifetime, from simple games like Pong, just two rectangles and a square, to where we are now.” Source: Nikhil Kamath

Mario Nawfal

21,091 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

🚨 ELON MUSK: “The strongest argument for us probably being in a simulation is this. 40 years ago we had Pong. Two rectangles and a dot. That was what games were. Now, 40 years later, we have photorealistic 3D simulations with millions of people playing simultaneously, and it’s getting better every year. If you assume any rate of improvement at all, then the games will become indistinguishable from reality. So given that we’re clearly on a trajectory to have games that are indistinguishable from reality, and there would probably be billions of such computers, it would seem to follow that the odds that we’re in base reality is one in billions.”

🚨 ELON MUSK: “The strongest argument for us probably being in a simulation is this. 40 years ago we had Pong. Two rectangles and a dot. That was what games were. Now, 40 years later, we have photorealistic 3D simulations with millions of people playing simultaneously, and it’s getting better every year. If you assume any rate of improvement at all, then the games will become indistinguishable from reality. So given that we’re clearly on a trajectory to have games that are indistinguishable from reality, and there would probably be billions of such computers, it would seem to follow that the odds that we’re in base reality is one in billions.”

As Found

144,296 görüntüleme • 6 gün önce

ELON MUSK: Video games will be indistinguishable from reality "If you look at the evolution of video games, in my lifetime it's gone from very simple video games, like Pong, where you've got two rectangles in a square just batting it back and forth, to photorealistic, real-time games with millions of people playing simultaneously. That's happened just in the span of 50 years So if that trend continues, video games will be indistinguishable from reality We're also going to have very intelligent characters, like non-player characters, in these video games. Think of how sophisticated the conversations are you can have with an AI today, and that's only going to get more sophisticated. You'll be able to have conversations that are more complex and sophisticated than almost any human conversation So then the future, if civilization continues, will be millions, maybe billions, of photorealistic, indistinguishable-from-reality video games. With characters in those video games that are very deep, and where the dialogue is not pre-programmed. That's for sure what's going to happen in this level of the simulation, if you could call it So then, what are the odds that we are in base reality and that this has not happened before?"

ELON MUSK: Video games will be indistinguishable from reality "If you look at the evolution of video games, in my lifetime it's gone from very simple video games, like Pong, where you've got two rectangles in a square just batting it back and forth, to photorealistic, real-time games with millions of people playing simultaneously. That's happened just in the span of 50 years So if that trend continues, video games will be indistinguishable from reality We're also going to have very intelligent characters, like non-player characters, in these video games. Think of how sophisticated the conversations are you can have with an AI today, and that's only going to get more sophisticated. You'll be able to have conversations that are more complex and sophisticated than almost any human conversation So then the future, if civilization continues, will be millions, maybe billions, of photorealistic, indistinguishable-from-reality video games. With characters in those video games that are very deep, and where the dialogue is not pre-programmed. That's for sure what's going to happen in this level of the simulation, if you could call it So then, what are the odds that we are in base reality and that this has not happened before?"

X Freeze

30,757 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

Elon Musk dropped a reality-shattering truth: “There’s a one in billions chance we’re in base reality” "40 years ago we had Pong – two rectangles and a dot. Now we have photorealistic 3D simulations... If you assume any rate of improvement at all, games will become indistinguishable from reality." Our world is just an ultra-advanced simulation. Do you believe we're in base reality or living in the Matrix?

Elon Musk dropped a reality-shattering truth: “There’s a one in billions chance we’re in base reality” "40 years ago we had Pong – two rectangles and a dot. Now we have photorealistic 3D simulations... If you assume any rate of improvement at all, games will become indistinguishable from reality." Our world is just an ultra-advanced simulation. Do you believe we're in base reality or living in the Matrix?

Interstellar

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Elon Musk dropped a reality-shattering truth: “There’s a one in billions chance we’re in base reality” He explained: "40 years ago we had Pong – two rectangles and a dot. Now we have photorealistic 3D simulations... If you assume any rate of improvement at all, games will become indistinguishable from reality." Reality could be rendered before our eyes & our world could be an ultra advanced simulation.

Elon Musk dropped a reality-shattering truth: “There’s a one in billions chance we’re in base reality” He explained: "40 years ago we had Pong – two rectangles and a dot. Now we have photorealistic 3D simulations... If you assume any rate of improvement at all, games will become indistinguishable from reality." Reality could be rendered before our eyes & our world could be an ultra advanced simulation.

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Elon Musk: "There’s a one in billions chance we’re in base reality" 40 years ago we had Pong two rectangles and a dot. Now we have photorealistic 3D simulations. If you assume any rate of improvement at all games will become indistinguishable from reality. Musk adds if simulation theory is true it is actually very likely that the most interesting outcome is the most likely because only the simulations that are interesting will continue. The simulators will stop any simulations that are boring.

Elon Musk: "There’s a one in billions chance we’re in base reality" 40 years ago we had Pong two rectangles and a dot. Now we have photorealistic 3D simulations. If you assume any rate of improvement at all games will become indistinguishable from reality. Musk adds if simulation theory is true it is actually very likely that the most interesting outcome is the most likely because only the simulations that are interesting will continue. The simulators will stop any simulations that are boring.

Interstellar

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Elon Musk reveals why he believes the most interesting outcome is always the most likely "If simulation theory is true, it is very likely that the most interesting outcome is the most likely, because only the simulations that are interesting will continue" "The simulators will stop any simulations that are boring because they're not interesting" "In this reality, we run simulations all the time. When we try to figure out if the rocket's going to make it, we run thousands, sometimes millions of simulations" "When we do millions of simulations of what can happen with the rocket, we ignore the ones where everything goes right. We only care about where it goes wrong" "We keep the simulations going that are the most interesting to us" "From a Darwinian perspective, the only surviving simulations will be the most interesting ones" "In order to avoid getting turned off, the only rule is you must keep it interesting, or you will be terminated" "Video games have gone from Pong, with two rectangles in a square, to photorealistic with millions of people playing simultaneously, and all of that has occurred in our lifetime" "If that trend continues, video games will be indistinguishable from reality. You don't know if what you're seeing is a real video or a fake video" "If we're creating millions, if not billions, of photorealistic simulations of reality, then what are the odds that we're in base reality versus someone else's simulation?" "The most interesting and usually ironic outcome is the most likely. That's a good predictor of the future"

Elon Musk reveals why he believes the most interesting outcome is always the most likely "If simulation theory is true, it is very likely that the most interesting outcome is the most likely, because only the simulations that are interesting will continue" "The simulators will stop any simulations that are boring because they're not interesting" "In this reality, we run simulations all the time. When we try to figure out if the rocket's going to make it, we run thousands, sometimes millions of simulations" "When we do millions of simulations of what can happen with the rocket, we ignore the ones where everything goes right. We only care about where it goes wrong" "We keep the simulations going that are the most interesting to us" "From a Darwinian perspective, the only surviving simulations will be the most interesting ones" "In order to avoid getting turned off, the only rule is you must keep it interesting, or you will be terminated" "Video games have gone from Pong, with two rectangles in a square, to photorealistic with millions of people playing simultaneously, and all of that has occurred in our lifetime" "If that trend continues, video games will be indistinguishable from reality. You don't know if what you're seeing is a real video or a fake video" "If we're creating millions, if not billions, of photorealistic simulations of reality, then what are the odds that we're in base reality versus someone else's simulation?" "The most interesting and usually ironic outcome is the most likely. That's a good predictor of the future"

Jaynit

10,440 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🚨 Elon Musk dropped a reality-shattering truth: “There’s a one in billions chance we’re in base reality” He explained: "40 years ago we had Pong – two rectangles and a dot. Now we have photorealistic 3D simulations... If you assume any rate of improvement at all, games will become indistinguishable from reality." What if our world is just an ultra-advanced simulation? Do you believe we're in base reality or living in the Matrix? Ever notice a "glitch" that made you question everything? Reply with your wildest theory below! 👇

🚨 Elon Musk dropped a reality-shattering truth: “There’s a one in billions chance we’re in base reality” He explained: "40 years ago we had Pong – two rectangles and a dot. Now we have photorealistic 3D simulations... If you assume any rate of improvement at all, games will become indistinguishable from reality." What if our world is just an ultra-advanced simulation? Do you believe we're in base reality or living in the Matrix? Ever notice a "glitch" that made you question everything? Reply with your wildest theory below! 👇

Interstellar

776,859 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Elon Musk just handed you the most unsettling thought experiment in human history. Musk: “These games will be indistinguishable from reality. You will not be able to tell the difference. Either that or civilization will end. Those are the two options.” Two options. That’s it. Forty years ago, Pong. Two rectangles and a square. Today, photorealistic worlds. Real time. Millions inside them simultaneously. If that curve holds. And it always has. Simulated reality becomes indistinguishable from base reality. Not metaphorically. Literally. Your senses won’t catch it. Your instruments won’t. Nothing will. Musk isn’t making a tech prediction. He’s describing a filter. If advanced civilizations inevitably build simulations indistinguishable from reality, and each of those simulations spawns billions of nested realities for every one base reality… Statistically, you are almost certainly not in the original. That’s the simulation argument. Nobody touches the second half. “Or civilization will end.” That isn’t a caveat. That’s the escape clause. The only proof we’d ever have of being in base reality is never making it far enough to build our own. Civilization ends. No simulation. No record. No signal. The original timeline, extinguished. Fermi’s paradox stops feeling like a mystery. The universe isn’t silent because nothing is out there. It’s silent because every civilization eventually faced this exact binary. And most of them didn’t cross it. We’re somewhere on that curve right now. Moving faster than any civilization before us. Either we cross the threshold and confirm we were never in the original. Or we don’t. And the universe gets a little quieter.

Elon Musk just handed you the most unsettling thought experiment in human history. Musk: “These games will be indistinguishable from reality. You will not be able to tell the difference. Either that or civilization will end. Those are the two options.” Two options. That’s it. Forty years ago, Pong. Two rectangles and a square. Today, photorealistic worlds. Real time. Millions inside them simultaneously. If that curve holds. And it always has. Simulated reality becomes indistinguishable from base reality. Not metaphorically. Literally. Your senses won’t catch it. Your instruments won’t. Nothing will. Musk isn’t making a tech prediction. He’s describing a filter. If advanced civilizations inevitably build simulations indistinguishable from reality, and each of those simulations spawns billions of nested realities for every one base reality… Statistically, you are almost certainly not in the original. That’s the simulation argument. Nobody touches the second half. “Or civilization will end.” That isn’t a caveat. That’s the escape clause. The only proof we’d ever have of being in base reality is never making it far enough to build our own. Civilization ends. No simulation. No record. No signal. The original timeline, extinguished. Fermi’s paradox stops feeling like a mystery. The universe isn’t silent because nothing is out there. It’s silent because every civilization eventually faced this exact binary. And most of them didn’t cross it. We’re somewhere on that curve right now. Moving faster than any civilization before us. Either we cross the threshold and confirm we were never in the original. Or we don’t. And the universe gets a little quieter.

Dustin

12,397 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

ELON: THE FUTURE WILL BLUR REALITY AND SIMULATION The idea was mind-bending, Elon said civilization is heading toward a world of indistinguishable digital realities, where games feel as real as life itself: “The future, if civilization continues, will be millions, maybe billions of photorealistic, indistinguishable-from-reality video games, with characters that are very deep and whose dialogue is not pre-programmed. That’s for sure what’s gonna happen. So then, what are the odds that we are in base reality and that this hasn’t happened before?” Source: Nikhil Kamath

ELON: THE FUTURE WILL BLUR REALITY AND SIMULATION The idea was mind-bending, Elon said civilization is heading toward a world of indistinguishable digital realities, where games feel as real as life itself: “The future, if civilization continues, will be millions, maybe billions of photorealistic, indistinguishable-from-reality video games, with characters that are very deep and whose dialogue is not pre-programmed. That’s for sure what’s gonna happen. So then, what are the odds that we are in base reality and that this hasn’t happened before?” Source: Nikhil Kamath

Mario Nawfal

99,095 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

Elon Musk reduced the oldest question in human history to basic math. No one has found a flaw in it. Musk: “What are the odds that we are in base reality? And that this has not happened before.” You don’t need a physics degree to follow it. You need a timeline. Musk: “If you look at the advancement of video games, it’s gone from Pong, two rectangles and a square batting it back and forth, to photorealistic, real-time games with millions of people playing simultaneously.” Fifty years. That is all it took to close the gap between two rectangles on a screen and a world you cannot tell apart from the one outside your window. Musk: “If that trend continues, video games will be indistinguishable from reality.” The visuals are not what seals it. The intelligence is. Musk: “Think of how sophisticated the conversations are you can have with an AI today, and that’s only going to get more sophisticated.” We are not scripting characters anymore. We are building minds that reason, adapt, and surprise the people who made them. We are nowhere near finished. Musk: “The future, if civilization continues, will be millions, maybe billions of photorealistic, indistinguishable from reality, video games. And with characters in those video games that are very deep, and where the dialogue is not pre-programmed.” One base reality. Billions of perfect copies. Each one running minds that feel exactly as conscious as you do right now. Each one certain it is the original. Musk: “So then what are the odds that we are in base reality?” If even one civilization crosses that threshold, simulated minds outnumber real ones by billions. The probability you are sitting in the real one is not low. It is nearly zero. Not as philosophy. As mathematics. We are not watching this happen. We are building it. Right now. Every AI that reasons without a script. Every world rendered one frame closer to indistinguishable. We are constructing the exact technology that makes our own existence statistically implausible. And we will never stop. Because the curiosity that questions reality is the same force that builds it. If the math holds, something built us. Something conscious enough to create consciousness. They stood where we are standing. Same question. Same inability to stop. And whatever built them never answered it either. There is no top floor. There is no original. None of that changes what you feel right now. Consciousness was never about what you are made of. It was about what you experience. Musk did not float a theory. He held up a mirror with no back wall. And the math does not need you to believe it. It only needs time.

Elon Musk reduced the oldest question in human history to basic math. No one has found a flaw in it. Musk: “What are the odds that we are in base reality? And that this has not happened before.” You don’t need a physics degree to follow it. You need a timeline. Musk: “If you look at the advancement of video games, it’s gone from Pong, two rectangles and a square batting it back and forth, to photorealistic, real-time games with millions of people playing simultaneously.” Fifty years. That is all it took to close the gap between two rectangles on a screen and a world you cannot tell apart from the one outside your window. Musk: “If that trend continues, video games will be indistinguishable from reality.” The visuals are not what seals it. The intelligence is. Musk: “Think of how sophisticated the conversations are you can have with an AI today, and that’s only going to get more sophisticated.” We are not scripting characters anymore. We are building minds that reason, adapt, and surprise the people who made them. We are nowhere near finished. Musk: “The future, if civilization continues, will be millions, maybe billions of photorealistic, indistinguishable from reality, video games. And with characters in those video games that are very deep, and where the dialogue is not pre-programmed.” One base reality. Billions of perfect copies. Each one running minds that feel exactly as conscious as you do right now. Each one certain it is the original. Musk: “So then what are the odds that we are in base reality?” If even one civilization crosses that threshold, simulated minds outnumber real ones by billions. The probability you are sitting in the real one is not low. It is nearly zero. Not as philosophy. As mathematics. We are not watching this happen. We are building it. Right now. Every AI that reasons without a script. Every world rendered one frame closer to indistinguishable. We are constructing the exact technology that makes our own existence statistically implausible. And we will never stop. Because the curiosity that questions reality is the same force that builds it. If the math holds, something built us. Something conscious enough to create consciousness. They stood where we are standing. Same question. Same inability to stop. And whatever built them never answered it either. There is no top floor. There is no original. None of that changes what you feel right now. Consciousness was never about what you are made of. It was about what you experience. Musk did not float a theory. He held up a mirror with no back wall. And the math does not need you to believe it. It only needs time.

Dustin

194,094 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

ELON: WE ARE MORE THAN LIKELY LIVING IN A SIMULATION "Given that we're clearly on a trajectory to have games that are indistinguishable from reality, and those games could be played on any set-top box, or on a pc or whatever. And there would probably be, you know, billions of computers and set-top boxes - it would seem to follow that the odds that we're in base reality is one in billions." Source: Elon Musk

ELON: WE ARE MORE THAN LIKELY LIVING IN A SIMULATION "Given that we're clearly on a trajectory to have games that are indistinguishable from reality, and those games could be played on any set-top box, or on a pc or whatever. And there would probably be, you know, billions of computers and set-top boxes - it would seem to follow that the odds that we're in base reality is one in billions." Source: Elon Musk

Mario Nawfal

145,256 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Elon Musk on simulation theory: he argues that the 40-year leap from Pong to photorealism proves we will inevitably create perfect simulations. Because a single civilization could run billions of these simulations, the math dictates it is statistically impossible (one in billions) that we are living in the one true "base reality."

Elon Musk on simulation theory: he argues that the 40-year leap from Pong to photorealism proves we will inevitably create perfect simulations. Because a single civilization could run billions of these simulations, the math dictates it is statistically impossible (one in billions) that we are living in the one true "base reality."

Ian Miles Cheong

108,455 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

ELON: WE MIGHT BE LIVING INSIDE A VIDEO GAME “We don't know what the origins of the universe are. We don't know if this is a simulation or if we are somebody's video game. If you look at the progress of video games going from simple blocks with Pong to 3D, massively multiplayer photorealistic video games in our lifetime, if that trend continues, video games will be indistinguishable from reality. I'm not saying we are a video game. I'm simply saying that this is a remarkable situation we witness.” Source: Interview with Tesla Owners Silicon Valley Tesla Owners Silicon Valley, June 2022

ELON: WE MIGHT BE LIVING INSIDE A VIDEO GAME “We don't know what the origins of the universe are. We don't know if this is a simulation or if we are somebody's video game. If you look at the progress of video games going from simple blocks with Pong to 3D, massively multiplayer photorealistic video games in our lifetime, if that trend continues, video games will be indistinguishable from reality. I'm not saying we are a video game. I'm simply saying that this is a remarkable situation we witness.” Source: Interview with Tesla Owners Silicon Valley Tesla Owners Silicon Valley, June 2022

Mario Nawfal

287,365 görüntüleme • 11 ay önce

ELON: WE MIGHT BE LIVING INSIDE A VIDEO GAME “We don't know what the origins of the universe are. We don't know if this is a simulation or if we are somebody's video game. If you look at the progress of video games going from simple blocks with Pong to 3D, massively multiplayer photorealistic video games in our lifetime, if that trend continues, video games will be indistinguishable from reality. I'm not saying we are a video game. I'm simply saying that this is a remarkable situation we witness.” Source: Elon Musk interview with Tesla Owners Silicon Valley Tesla Owners Silicon Valley, June 2022

ELON: WE MIGHT BE LIVING INSIDE A VIDEO GAME “We don't know what the origins of the universe are. We don't know if this is a simulation or if we are somebody's video game. If you look at the progress of video games going from simple blocks with Pong to 3D, massively multiplayer photorealistic video games in our lifetime, if that trend continues, video games will be indistinguishable from reality. I'm not saying we are a video game. I'm simply saying that this is a remarkable situation we witness.” Source: Elon Musk interview with Tesla Owners Silicon Valley Tesla Owners Silicon Valley, June 2022

Mario Nawfal

249,090 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

🚨ARE WE LIVING IN A SIMULATION? WHY THIS QUESTION IS GETTING HARDER TO IGNORE Dr. Rizwan Virk says if AI can already build entire digital worlds filled with intelligent characters, what if this isn't the base reality? Once technology creates millions or billions of artificial worlds, the odds shift fast. If simulated worlds vastly outnumber the physical one, then statistically, living inside a simulation becomes more likely than not. One scenario? A world filled with background characters who don't know they're inside a simulation. They act real, think they're real, and live entire lives without ever knowing it. At a certain point, this stops being sci-fi. Full conversation with Rizwan Virk below.

🚨ARE WE LIVING IN A SIMULATION? WHY THIS QUESTION IS GETTING HARDER TO IGNORE Dr. Rizwan Virk says if AI can already build entire digital worlds filled with intelligent characters, what if this isn't the base reality? Once technology creates millions or billions of artificial worlds, the odds shift fast. If simulated worlds vastly outnumber the physical one, then statistically, living inside a simulation becomes more likely than not. One scenario? A world filled with background characters who don't know they're inside a simulation. They act real, think they're real, and live entire lives without ever knowing it. At a certain point, this stops being sci-fi. Full conversation with Rizwan Virk below.

Mario Nawfal

32,855 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

🚨 INTERVIEW: MOLTBOOK, AI AGENTS, AND WHY HE THINKS WE’RE LIKELY IN A SIMULATION You’ve probably seen the clips from multiple sites, including Moltbook, where AI agents talk and interact with each other, question humans, and look for ways around the off switch. So I brought Rizwan Virk on the show to talk about where this is actually heading. What we have right now isn’t AGI, but it is a shift. These AI agents can talk, remember context, and increasingly act. Today that mostly means text. Soon it means APIs, money, paperwork, and real-world consequences. That’s when things quietly change. At that point, the question isn’t whether AI understands what it’s doing, it’s what it’s allowed to do. And those permissions add up faster than people expect. After that we went deeper into Simulation theory. Back in 2016, Rizwan thought there was maybe a 30–50% chance we’re living in a simulation. Today, watching how fast AI can generate worlds, characters, and environments, he puts it closer to 70%. If we hit true AGI, he thinks it goes higher. The logic is uncomfortable but straightforward. Once advanced civilizations can create millions of realistic simulated worlds, statistically speaking, it’s more likely we’re inside one of them than in the base reality. His biggest concern isn’t rogue AI. It’s humans pushing this tech faster than we can control it. If you want to question your life and freak out about AI, listen to Rizwan Virk 1:22 - What Moltbook is and why people are paying attention 3:15 - Earlier moments where AI started talking to itself 5:27 - How much control humans really have over these agents 10:30 - Whether AI is conscious or just really good at pretending 14:35 - AGI meets Moltbook - when sentient AI asks "why do we need humans?" 15:00 - The simulation idea and why people take it seriously 19:30 - Why Elon Musk thinks the odds are already high 22:45 - What video games show us about where this is going 26:30 - The steps that lead from simple AI to full simulations 34:00 - Google Genie 3 and why this suddenly feels real 38:30 - How you'd even know if AI crossed the line 43:00 - NPCs, RPGs, and where humans fit in 48:15 - How religion and simulation theory overlap 52:45 - Déjà vu and other moments that make people question reality 55:30 - Quantum physics and why the world might only exist when observed 59:19 - Why real AI would push the odds even higher 1:00:27 - Free will, The Sims, and whether we actually have agency 1:03:03 - How people react when they hear this for the first time 1:04:23 - The core ideas behind the simulation argument 1:05:49 - Why recent AI progress changed everything

🚨 INTERVIEW: MOLTBOOK, AI AGENTS, AND WHY HE THINKS WE’RE LIKELY IN A SIMULATION You’ve probably seen the clips from multiple sites, including Moltbook, where AI agents talk and interact with each other, question humans, and look for ways around the off switch. So I brought Rizwan Virk on the show to talk about where this is actually heading. What we have right now isn’t AGI, but it is a shift. These AI agents can talk, remember context, and increasingly act. Today that mostly means text. Soon it means APIs, money, paperwork, and real-world consequences. That’s when things quietly change. At that point, the question isn’t whether AI understands what it’s doing, it’s what it’s allowed to do. And those permissions add up faster than people expect. After that we went deeper into Simulation theory. Back in 2016, Rizwan thought there was maybe a 30–50% chance we’re living in a simulation. Today, watching how fast AI can generate worlds, characters, and environments, he puts it closer to 70%. If we hit true AGI, he thinks it goes higher. The logic is uncomfortable but straightforward. Once advanced civilizations can create millions of realistic simulated worlds, statistically speaking, it’s more likely we’re inside one of them than in the base reality. His biggest concern isn’t rogue AI. It’s humans pushing this tech faster than we can control it. If you want to question your life and freak out about AI, listen to Rizwan Virk 1:22 - What Moltbook is and why people are paying attention 3:15 - Earlier moments where AI started talking to itself 5:27 - How much control humans really have over these agents 10:30 - Whether AI is conscious or just really good at pretending 14:35 - AGI meets Moltbook - when sentient AI asks "why do we need humans?" 15:00 - The simulation idea and why people take it seriously 19:30 - Why Elon Musk thinks the odds are already high 22:45 - What video games show us about where this is going 26:30 - The steps that lead from simple AI to full simulations 34:00 - Google Genie 3 and why this suddenly feels real 38:30 - How you'd even know if AI crossed the line 43:00 - NPCs, RPGs, and where humans fit in 48:15 - How religion and simulation theory overlap 52:45 - Déjà vu and other moments that make people question reality 55:30 - Quantum physics and why the world might only exist when observed 59:19 - Why real AI would push the odds even higher 1:00:27 - Free will, The Sims, and whether we actually have agency 1:03:03 - How people react when they hear this for the first time 1:04:23 - The core ideas behind the simulation argument 1:05:49 - Why recent AI progress changed everything

Mario Nawfal

1,155,568 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

ELON: AGI IS LIKELY TO EMERGE FROM OUR AUTONOMOUS CARS AND HUMANOIDS “We're not actually specifically focused on AGI. I'm simply saying that AGI seems likely to be an emergent property of what we're doing, because we're creating all these autonomous cars and autonomous humanoids that are actually a truly gigantic data stream that's coming in and being processed. It's by far the most amount of real-world data, and data you can't get by just searching the Internet, because you have to be out there in the world and interacting with people and interacting with the roads. Earth is a big place, and reality is messy and complicated. If you've got tens or hundreds of millions of autonomous vehicles and maybe even a comparable number of humanoids, maybe more than that, on the humanoid front, well, that's just the most amount of data. And if that video is being processed, it just seems likely that the cars will definitely get way better than human drivers, and the humanoid robots will become increasingly indistinguishable from humans, perhaps. And so then, like you said, you have this emergent property of AGI.” Source: Tesla AI Day, September 2022

ELON: AGI IS LIKELY TO EMERGE FROM OUR AUTONOMOUS CARS AND HUMANOIDS “We're not actually specifically focused on AGI. I'm simply saying that AGI seems likely to be an emergent property of what we're doing, because we're creating all these autonomous cars and autonomous humanoids that are actually a truly gigantic data stream that's coming in and being processed. It's by far the most amount of real-world data, and data you can't get by just searching the Internet, because you have to be out there in the world and interacting with people and interacting with the roads. Earth is a big place, and reality is messy and complicated. If you've got tens or hundreds of millions of autonomous vehicles and maybe even a comparable number of humanoids, maybe more than that, on the humanoid front, well, that's just the most amount of data. And if that video is being processed, it just seems likely that the cars will definitely get way better than human drivers, and the humanoid robots will become increasingly indistinguishable from humans, perhaps. And so then, like you said, you have this emergent property of AGI.” Source: Tesla AI Day, September 2022

Mario Nawfal

2,628,293 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce