正在加载视频...

视频加载失败

加载此视频时出现问题。这可能是由于临时网络问题，或视频可能不可用。

‼️Epstein, Chomsky, & Big Tech's Plan for Human Extinction (w/ Dr. Émile P. Torres (they/them))‼️ "Perhaps I'm misguided in thinking this way, but I guess there's a difference between like a public photo and a photo that is taken in private --as it happens, as far as we know,... show more

Briahna Joy Gray

433,811 subscribers

52,912 次观看 • 6 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

新闻政治教育

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

0 条评论

暂无评论

原始帖子的评论将显示在这里

相关视频

Two years ago today, Elon Musk introduced xAI with these words: “The overarching goal of xAI is to build a good AGI with the purpose of trying to understand the universe. I think the safest AI, the safest way to build an AI is actually make one that is maximally curious and truth seeking. So you go for try to aspire to the truth with acknowledged error. Does one ever actually get fully to the truth? It's not clear, but one should always aspire to that and try to minimize the error between what you think is true and what is actually true. My theory behind the maximally curious, maximally truthful as being probably the safest approach is that I think to a superintelligence, humanity is much more interesting than not humanity. One can look at the various planets in our solar system, the moons and the asteroids, and really probably all of them combined are not as interesting as humanity. As people know, I'm a huge fan of Mars, but Mars is just much less interesting than Earth with humans on it. And so I think that that kind of approach to growing an AI, and I think that is the right word for it, growing an AI is to grow it with that ambition. I've spent many years thinking about AI safety and worrying about AI safety. And I've been one of the strongest voices calling for AI regulation or oversight just to have some kind of oversight, some kind of referee, so that it's not just up to companies to decide what they want to do. I think there's also a lot to be done with AI safety, with industry cooperation. I kind of like Motion Pictures association, so I think there's value to that as well. But I do think there's got to be some like in any kind of situation that is, even if it's a game, they have referees. So I think it is important for there to be regulation. Like I said, my view on safety is like try to make it maximally curious, maximally truth seeking. And I think this is, this is important that you to avoid the inverse morality problem. Like if you try to program a certain morality, you can have the, you, you can basically invert it and get the opposite, what is sometimes called the Waluigi problem. If you make Luigi, you risk creating Waluigi at the same time. So I think that's a metaphor that a lot of people can appreciate.”

Two years ago today, Elon Musk introduced xAI with these words: “The overarching goal of xAI is to build a good AGI with the purpose of trying to understand the universe. I think the safest AI, the safest way to build an AI is actually make one that is maximally curious and truth seeking. So you go for try to aspire to the truth with acknowledged error. Does one ever actually get fully to the truth? It's not clear, but one should always aspire to that and try to minimize the error between what you think is true and what is actually true. My theory behind the maximally curious, maximally truthful as being probably the safest approach is that I think to a superintelligence, humanity is much more interesting than not humanity. One can look at the various planets in our solar system, the moons and the asteroids, and really probably all of them combined are not as interesting as humanity. As people know, I'm a huge fan of Mars, but Mars is just much less interesting than Earth with humans on it. And so I think that that kind of approach to growing an AI, and I think that is the right word for it, growing an AI is to grow it with that ambition. I've spent many years thinking about AI safety and worrying about AI safety. And I've been one of the strongest voices calling for AI regulation or oversight just to have some kind of oversight, some kind of referee, so that it's not just up to companies to decide what they want to do. I think there's also a lot to be done with AI safety, with industry cooperation. I kind of like Motion Pictures association, so I think there's value to that as well. But I do think there's got to be some like in any kind of situation that is, even if it's a game, they have referees. So I think it is important for there to be regulation. Like I said, my view on safety is like try to make it maximally curious, maximally truth seeking. And I think this is, this is important that you to avoid the inverse morality problem. Like if you try to program a certain morality, you can have the, you, you can basically invert it and get the opposite, what is sometimes called the Waluigi problem. If you make Luigi, you risk creating Waluigi at the same time. So I think that's a metaphor that a lot of people can appreciate.”

ELON CLIPS

21,519 次观看 • 1 年前

Garry Nolan says there are more groups doing what skywatcher is doing right now “we know how to call them” “Skywatcher is one group of several that I'm aware of that are doing it independently.” Source -Sol Foundation 🔗 in comments Garry -“The, the information's out there, we, you know, it's already pretty well understood. I mean, look, there's been enough whistleblower types where the information of how to do this has leaked out. You know, we know how to call them. Whether you believe in psionics or not, it seems to be part of the process. So we know how to call them. The question is not can you video them? Skywatcher has already shown that you can video them and there'll be more of that kind of stuff, I think coming in the future, you know, so Skywatcher is one group of several that I'm aware of that are doing it independently. So that's citizen science. I mean, I think the answer is you don't wait for the government to do it, for you. Don't wait for daddy or mommy to tell you what's going on. You just do it yourself. Because as long as you're not going out there with, with guns or energy, weapons, trying to pull something down and, you know, get yourself in a bad situation, there's no reason people can't do it themselves and organize. So, you know, that's, that I think is the threat in a way that one needs to use against the governmental authorities who think that they hold all the, all the, all the marbles at this point, they don't anymore because the people who've been in the program, like Jake and others who've, you know, made that statement publicly, have basically made their knowledge and ability public. So do it.”

Garry Nolan says there are more groups doing what skywatcher is doing right now “we know how to call them” “Skywatcher is one group of several that I'm aware of that are doing it independently.” Source -Sol Foundation 🔗 in comments Garry -“The, the information's out there, we, you know, it's already pretty well understood. I mean, look, there's been enough whistleblower types where the information of how to do this has leaked out. You know, we know how to call them. Whether you believe in psionics or not, it seems to be part of the process. So we know how to call them. The question is not can you video them? Skywatcher has already shown that you can video them and there'll be more of that kind of stuff, I think coming in the future, you know, so Skywatcher is one group of several that I'm aware of that are doing it independently. So that's citizen science. I mean, I think the answer is you don't wait for the government to do it, for you. Don't wait for daddy or mommy to tell you what's going on. You just do it yourself. Because as long as you're not going out there with, with guns or energy, weapons, trying to pull something down and, you know, get yourself in a bad situation, there's no reason people can't do it themselves and organize. So, you know, that's, that I think is the threat in a way that one needs to use against the governmental authorities who think that they hold all the, all the, all the marbles at this point, they don't anymore because the people who've been in the program, like Jake and others who've, you know, made that statement publicly, have basically made their knowledge and ability public. So do it.”

neandrewthal

74,654 次观看 • 1 年前

Zack Snyder on his dyslexia: "It was a challenge for me when I was, you know, young in school, and all I wanted to do was make movies because that was the thing that I got great pleasure from and reward from. I love books, and I'm an avid reader, but I just have a hard time because of the way that I perceive. "I've had a great sort of - one side of me anyways - was really satisfied by art and drawing and sculpture and sort of visual expression. And I think that that started to, you know, was the thing that kind of made me feel un-frustrated. And also the way the system was designed, sort of not to support me when I was in high school at that time. "It was very difficult, you know, there was a lot of, you know, just, difficulty. My English teacher in high school was worried about what my career would be, and I'm like. He would be happy to know that I'm in the Writers Guild of America now. "But, I think that that all those things are, they're all... you can transcend all those things with perseverance and with interest and with with help. And I think that that's an important part of it. "And I just think I've had to adapt, and sort of... I have my own style of the way I write, I write all, you know, but I'm pretty prolific. And I love- I listen to tons of audio books on tape, unabridged hours and hours and hours. That's all I do when I'm driving in the car or wherever I'm doing. And it's helped me a lot. "And yeah, I mean, I just hope that anyone who is- feels trapped or frustrated by the world in general. You know, they need to just, I think that we all have like a magic spark, and you need to just find the thing that makes you, you know, inspires you and, and gets you excited and pursue it as hard as you can find your passion in the world. That's a, that's a great motivator."

Zack Snyder on his dyslexia: "It was a challenge for me when I was, you know, young in school, and all I wanted to do was make movies because that was the thing that I got great pleasure from and reward from. I love books, and I'm an avid reader, but I just have a hard time because of the way that I perceive. "I've had a great sort of - one side of me anyways - was really satisfied by art and drawing and sculpture and sort of visual expression. And I think that that started to, you know, was the thing that kind of made me feel un-frustrated. And also the way the system was designed, sort of not to support me when I was in high school at that time. "It was very difficult, you know, there was a lot of, you know, just, difficulty. My English teacher in high school was worried about what my career would be, and I'm like. He would be happy to know that I'm in the Writers Guild of America now. "But, I think that that all those things are, they're all... you can transcend all those things with perseverance and with interest and with with help. And I think that that's an important part of it. "And I just think I've had to adapt, and sort of... I have my own style of the way I write, I write all, you know, but I'm pretty prolific. And I love- I listen to tons of audio books on tape, unabridged hours and hours and hours. That's all I do when I'm driving in the car or wherever I'm doing. And it's helped me a lot. "And yeah, I mean, I just hope that anyone who is- feels trapped or frustrated by the world in general. You know, they need to just, I think that we all have like a magic spark, and you need to just find the thing that makes you, you know, inspires you and, and gets you excited and pursue it as hard as you can find your passion in the world. That's a, that's a great motivator."

Zack Snyder Film

11,128 次观看 • 6 个月前

Sam Altman on Elon Musk 🔊 “This is tremendously sad.. I grew up with Elon as like a mega hero. I thought what Elon was doing was absolutely incredible for the world. And I'm still, of course, I mean I HAVE DIFFERENT FEELINGS ABOUT HIM NOW, but I'm still glad he exists… And not just because, no I mean that genuinely, not just because I think his like companies are awesome, which I do think, but because… I think he like at a time when most of the world was not thinking very ambitiously, he pushed a lot of people, me included, to think much more ambitiously. And…….. I'm grateful is like the wrong kind of word,…but I'm like thankful. I'm positive about that. You know, we started OpenAI together and then at some point he like totally lost faith in OpenAI and decided to go his own way. And that's fine too, but I think of Elon as a builder and someone who like, you know….. known thing about Elon, he really cares about being the guy. But I think of him as someone that if he is not, that just competes in the market and in technology and whatever else and doesn't resort to lawfare and, you know, whatever the stated complaint is, what I believe is he's just like, he's a competitor and we're doing well. And that's sad to see.”

Sam Altman on Elon Musk 🔊 “This is tremendously sad.. I grew up with Elon as like a mega hero. I thought what Elon was doing was absolutely incredible for the world. And I'm still, of course, I mean I HAVE DIFFERENT FEELINGS ABOUT HIM NOW, but I'm still glad he exists… And not just because, no I mean that genuinely, not just because I think his like companies are awesome, which I do think, but because… I think he like at a time when most of the world was not thinking very ambitiously, he pushed a lot of people, me included, to think much more ambitiously. And…….. I'm grateful is like the wrong kind of word,…but I'm like thankful. I'm positive about that. You know, we started OpenAI together and then at some point he like totally lost faith in OpenAI and decided to go his own way. And that's fine too, but I think of Elon as a builder and someone who like, you know….. known thing about Elon, he really cares about being the guy. But I think of him as someone that if he is not, that just competes in the market and in technology and whatever else and doesn't resort to lawfare and, you know, whatever the stated complaint is, what I believe is he's just like, he's a competitor and we're doing well. And that's sad to see.”

NIK

388,967 次观看 • 1 年前

.Jason Rantz on Seattle Red on a federal judge expressing concern for the alleged WHCD shooter... "I would like to think that perhaps this is a judge who knows this is going to be really high profile, and maybe he's leading in one direction out of an abundance of caution to ensure that there's nothing that ends up causing any problems with this case down the road. But I don't know quite how you can look at the facts as they've been established right now and come to that conclusion. I hope that's what this ends up becoming. But again, I think a lot of us on the right and then awfully suspicious of some comments that have been made postures that have been taken by judges just around country, frankly, anything having to do with Donald Trump. I think the default from a lot of us is that the judges might be just great with Donald Trump is going to go overboard in one direction."

Curtis Houck

20,638 次观看 • 2 个月前

FP Founder Bari Weiss: “A nuclear Iran is not just an existential threat to Israel; it is an existential threat to America. This is a regime that has not just been declaring ‘Death to Israel.’ It is a regime that has been declaring ‘Death to America.’” “One of the key lessons that Israel and perhaps the world has learned since the massacre of October 7 is to take these enemies, not just figuratively, not just seriously, but literally. When they say they want a second genocide, they want a nuclear holocaust, they mean it.” America's Newsroom

FP Founder Bari Weiss: “A nuclear Iran is not just an existential threat to Israel; it is an existential threat to America. This is a regime that has not just been declaring ‘Death to Israel.’ It is a regime that has been declaring ‘Death to America.’” “One of the key lessons that Israel and perhaps the world has learned since the massacre of October 7 is to take these enemies, not just figuratively, not just seriously, but literally. When they say they want a second genocide, they want a nuclear holocaust, they mean it.” America's Newsroom

The Free Press

20,211 次观看 • 1 年前

.Jason Rantz on Seattle Red on Graham Platner... "Number one, this is a guy who the Democratic base chose before the primary season even took place, really took place, and there was actually a vote. So, there was plenty of time to go with someone who doesn't have a Nazi tattoo. To your point, like, they're making a choice. I think if this was someone with a KKK tattoo, the Democratic Party would not be embracing it the same way. This is a different Democratic Party and its relationship to Jews and Israel. It just is, and I think that they're willing to give up certain kinds of morals that they used to hold, all because they've been deeply broken by the threat of Donald Trump, in their eyes. This is not someone who's just deeply flawed. He has a Nazi tattoo. He has a Nazi tattoo. And I think that that goes far beyond someone who is simply flawed. None of this started during Donald Trump either. I think that when it comes to the sexting and whatnot, I don't think people care anymore. I think they should. But that's not a Trump thing. I seem to recall a certain President who was in the Oval Office had sex with an intern" "But Eric Swalwell is a good example of this. The story that came out was everyone knew this was the quiet secret everyone knew, so they allowed it to continue for a very long time, regardless of his potential victims. I think that's the real issue here. It is just beyond bizarre that the Democrats are still defending him."

.Jason Rantz on Seattle Red on Graham Platner... "Number one, this is a guy who the Democratic base chose before the primary season even took place, really took place, and there was actually a vote. So, there was plenty of time to go with someone who doesn't have a Nazi tattoo. To your point, like, they're making a choice. I think if this was someone with a KKK tattoo, the Democratic Party would not be embracing it the same way. This is a different Democratic Party and its relationship to Jews and Israel. It just is, and I think that they're willing to give up certain kinds of morals that they used to hold, all because they've been deeply broken by the threat of Donald Trump, in their eyes. This is not someone who's just deeply flawed. He has a Nazi tattoo. He has a Nazi tattoo. And I think that that goes far beyond someone who is simply flawed. None of this started during Donald Trump either. I think that when it comes to the sexting and whatnot, I don't think people care anymore. I think they should. But that's not a Trump thing. I seem to recall a certain President who was in the Oval Office had sex with an intern" "But Eric Swalwell is a good example of this. The story that came out was everyone knew this was the quiet secret everyone knew, so they allowed it to continue for a very long time, regardless of his potential victims. I think that's the real issue here. It is just beyond bizarre that the Democrats are still defending him."

Curtis Houck

25,039 次观看 • 1 个月前

🇺🇦 Zelensky: At the heart of Russia’s war against Ukraine is the false claim that Ukraine does not exist, that it is supposedly part of Russia. It is not just a matter of history, not just politics or ideology. This is the basis of their goal – to completely wipe Ukraine off the face of the earth. And not just Ukraine. Russia has repeatedly openly stated that it wants to control all its neighbors. It wants to decide what security should be in Europe and whether it should exist at all. Russia has spread its idea of war all the way to Syria and Africa. This is truly a global threat. It is important that many in the world perceive it as such – as a global threat.

🇺🇦 Zelensky: At the heart of Russia’s war against Ukraine is the false claim that Ukraine does not exist, that it is supposedly part of Russia. It is not just a matter of history, not just politics or ideology. This is the basis of their goal – to completely wipe Ukraine off the face of the earth. And not just Ukraine. Russia has repeatedly openly stated that it wants to control all its neighbors. It wants to decide what security should be in Europe and whether it should exist at all. Russia has spread its idea of war all the way to Syria and Africa. This is truly a global threat. It is important that many in the world perceive it as such – as a global threat.

MAKS 25 🇺🇦👀

13,932 次观看 • 3 个月前

Former FBI Assistant Director Chris Swecker warns of Bureau's "very inconsistent" description of the person of interest vs. the photo they released. "There's one thing that I think is very inconsistent and it bothers me, and that is that photo that you're looking at right now. That's the photo of this guy blending in. The description that the FBI put out...was a description of someone who was in tactical gear, fully kitted out." "Now, granted, he could have hid all that stuff, but that hasn't been found. So I'm not sure that, you know, there's an inconsistency there that could actually come back later at a trial to, to be what I would call exculpatory material."

Former FBI Assistant Director Chris Swecker warns of Bureau's "very inconsistent" description of the person of interest vs. the photo they released. "There's one thing that I think is very inconsistent and it bothers me, and that is that photo that you're looking at right now. That's the photo of this guy blending in. The description that the FBI put out...was a description of someone who was in tactical gear, fully kitted out." "Now, granted, he could have hid all that stuff, but that hasn't been found. So I'm not sure that, you know, there's an inconsistency there that could actually come back later at a trial to, to be what I would call exculpatory material."

Ken Klippenstein

3,388,373 次观看 • 10 个月前

P ete Buttigieg: “I would love for identity to play less of a central role” in the Democratic Party Chamath Palihapitiya asked Pete Buttigieg to reflect on the role of identity politics in the Democratic Party in the wake of Kamala Harris saying she didn't pick him as a running mate because he was gay. “Let's just say, I would love for identity to play a less central role in the politics of our country and the politics of my party.” “And not just because I might've been passed over for an opportunity, but just because I think it has really dominated so many people's thinking in a way that makes it harder for us to build a message across identities.” “I mean, don't get me wrong, I don't think it makes sense to pretend that identity doesn't matter. I don't think it makes sense to pretend to be colorblind.” “I also don't think it makes sense to allow that to explain everything, which is one of the habits that's formed, I think definitely on my party’s far left, that made it harder for us to get through.”

P ete Buttigieg: “I would love for identity to play less of a central role” in the Democratic Party Chamath Palihapitiya asked Pete Buttigieg to reflect on the role of identity politics in the Democratic Party in the wake of Kamala Harris saying she didn't pick him as a running mate because he was gay. “Let's just say, I would love for identity to play a less central role in the politics of our country and the politics of my party.” “And not just because I might've been passed over for an opportunity, but just because I think it has really dominated so many people's thinking in a way that makes it harder for us to build a message across identities.” “I mean, don't get me wrong, I don't think it makes sense to pretend that identity doesn't matter. I don't think it makes sense to pretend to be colorblind.” “I also don't think it makes sense to allow that to explain everything, which is one of the habits that's formed, I think definitely on my party’s far left, that made it harder for us to get through.”

The All-In Podcast

256,814 次观看 • 8 个月前

🗣️ Bryson DeChambeau: "Realizing how big this world actually is - yeah, golf in the States is massive and it's one of the most impressive markets in the world for sure, but realizing that there's others out there, as well, and that there's an underserved market was something that we saw and thought that it would be an amazing opportunity for us to grow the game globally, and that's what LIV has done" "I think as I look at it now, what's really impacted me the most is the cultural barriers that get broken down, in a good way, with the game of golf. Everybody comes together. I think that's what's really special about LIV. I think that's what's really special about the game of golf" "We'd be doing ourselves a disservice if we didn't continue to do that. I think there's value in the States. There's value outside of the States. There's a way to match both" #LIVGolfKorea | Crushers GC

🗣️ Bryson DeChambeau: "Realizing how big this world actually is - yeah, golf in the States is massive and it's one of the most impressive markets in the world for sure, but realizing that there's others out there, as well, and that there's an underserved market was something that we saw and thought that it would be an amazing opportunity for us to grow the game globally, and that's what LIV has done" "I think as I look at it now, what's really impacted me the most is the cultural barriers that get broken down, in a good way, with the game of golf. Everybody comes together. I think that's what's really special about LIV. I think that's what's really special about the game of golf" "We'd be doing ourselves a disservice if we didn't continue to do that. I think there's value in the States. There's value outside of the States. There's a way to match both" #LIVGolfKorea | Crushers GC

LIV Golf

60,620 次观看 • 1 个月前

‘Ordo ab chao’ Creating Order Out of Chaos: The Ultimate Goal Is to Install a One-World Government‼️ Dr. Reiner Fuellmich: "What they're after is keeping us in panic mode for as long as it takes for them to install this one-world government. They're trying to give us as much chaos as possible, first through COVID, [and] then there's the breakdown of the supply chains. All of this is staged... but this is all part of the Great Reset. This is all part of causing as much chaos as possible, so that ultimately, we will, in our individual countries, agree [that] our government can't handle this [and create a] one-world government."💥‼️🙏👇 Credit 👉 The Vigilant Fox 🦊

‘Ordo ab chao’ Creating Order Out of Chaos: The Ultimate Goal Is to Install a One-World Government‼️ Dr. Reiner Fuellmich: "What they're after is keeping us in panic mode for as long as it takes for them to install this one-world government. They're trying to give us as much chaos as possible, first through COVID, [and] then there's the breakdown of the supply chains. All of this is staged... but this is all part of the Great Reset. This is all part of causing as much chaos as possible, so that ultimately, we will, in our individual countries, agree [that] our government can't handle this [and create a] one-world government."💥‼️🙏👇 Credit 👉 The Vigilant Fox 🦊

Sophia Dahl

87,089 次观看 • 1 年前

HE (RUBIO) DOES NOT UNDERSTAND, AND THIS IS TRUE OF THE VAST MAJORITY OF PEOPLE IN FOREIGN POLICY ESTABLISHMENT IN THIS COUNTRY, THAT FOR RUSSIA, THIS IS AN EXISTENTIAL THREAT. THE POSSIBILITY OF UKRAINE BECOMING A MEMBER OF NATO IS SIMPLY UNACCEPTABLE TO THE RUSSIANS. IT IS AN EXISTENTIAL THREAT, AND THEY ARE NOT GONNA STOP UNTIL UKRAINE AND THE WEST ARE DEFEATED AND THEY BOTH ACCEPT THE FACT THAT UKRAINE HAS TO BE A NEUTRAL STATE, NUMBER ONE, AND IT HAS TO BE DISARMED TO THE POINT OFFENSIVE THREAT TO RUSSIA. - John Mearsheimer

HE (RUBIO) DOES NOT UNDERSTAND, AND THIS IS TRUE OF THE VAST MAJORITY OF PEOPLE IN FOREIGN POLICY ESTABLISHMENT IN THIS COUNTRY, THAT FOR RUSSIA, THIS IS AN EXISTENTIAL THREAT. THE POSSIBILITY OF UKRAINE BECOMING A MEMBER OF NATO IS SIMPLY UNACCEPTABLE TO THE RUSSIANS. IT IS AN EXISTENTIAL THREAT, AND THEY ARE NOT GONNA STOP UNTIL UKRAINE AND THE WEST ARE DEFEATED AND THEY BOTH ACCEPT THE FACT THAT UKRAINE HAS TO BE A NEUTRAL STATE, NUMBER ONE, AND IT HAS TO BE DISARMED TO THE POINT OFFENSIVE THREAT TO RUSSIA. - John Mearsheimer

Ignorance, the root and stem of all evil

54,393 次观看 • 9 个月前

“It would be nice to think that I wasn’t just a driver in a time of success for the team. I’d like to think I was a driver that helps the success of the team. “Even if I don’t become a world champion or none of that happens, I think just being known as someone who went out racing as hard as they could, did everything they could, to try and be the best, but also in the right way – that’s an important thing for me as well. “I think just being a true racer, a hard racer, but someone that was very committed to the team and tried to make McLaren a better team.” Why am I getting emotional? 🥲 [via McLaren]

“It would be nice to think that I wasn’t just a driver in a time of success for the team. I’d like to think I was a driver that helps the success of the team. “Even if I don’t become a world champion or none of that happens, I think just being known as someone who went out racing as hard as they could, did everything they could, to try and be the best, but also in the right way – that’s an important thing for me as well. “I think just being a true racer, a hard racer, but someone that was very committed to the team and tried to make McLaren a better team.” Why am I getting emotional? 🥲 [via McLaren]

did oscar score points in f1 today?

61,597 次观看 • 2 个月前

Let's assume we close down another thousand points today. I understand why there's a lot of teeth-gnashing, and I get it, but I'm kind of a long-term guy when I look at P/E ratios. So we took the market down from sort of 22 P/E to now around 17 and a half as of this hour, which historically is not, not a bad place to enter if you want to think about long-term sustaining returns. So I'm looking at it, and I've started to nibble. I'm not gonna catch the bottom, but 17 P/E sounds pretty good to me on the S&P 500. Now we go to the question of what happens regarding all these tariffs? You’ve got two pieces to this negotiation. One is remove all tariffs, I'm 100% for that. Everybody's willing to cut a deal to zero tariff both ways as part of a package. I believe in economics driving everything at the end of the day, and I don't think the Trump administration is stupid. They know they've gotta start negotiating deals and show the world what the outcome of this is gonna be.

Let's assume we close down another thousand points today. I understand why there's a lot of teeth-gnashing, and I get it, but I'm kind of a long-term guy when I look at P/E ratios. So we took the market down from sort of 22 P/E to now around 17 and a half as of this hour, which historically is not, not a bad place to enter if you want to think about long-term sustaining returns. So I'm looking at it, and I've started to nibble. I'm not gonna catch the bottom, but 17 P/E sounds pretty good to me on the S&P 500. Now we go to the question of what happens regarding all these tariffs? You’ve got two pieces to this negotiation. One is remove all tariffs, I'm 100% for that. Everybody's willing to cut a deal to zero tariff both ways as part of a package. I believe in economics driving everything at the end of the day, and I don't think the Trump administration is stupid. They know they've gotta start negotiating deals and show the world what the outcome of this is gonna be.

Kevin O'Leary aka Mr. Wonderful

212,117 次观看 • 1 年前

Peter Thiel gave a speech in a Hilton in 2010 that holds the keys to unlocking the source of many of America’s most severe problems. Key quote: “The task in this world… where politics has become so broken… is to find a way to escape from it. It’s not a way to fix it.” Palantir is currently tightening its grip around all of our data. Elon Musk is diverting untold billions into a Mars fantasy. All of the anarchist, antidemocratic ideas of the PayPal Mafia and the “Dark Enlightenment”—to use technology as an “escape”—were already well in process 15 years ago. —The internet as “alternate virtual reality” so you don’t have to “constantly convince people.” This is why he funded Satoshi (Bitcoin), MAGA3X (Pizzagate, Q), and pushed Musk to buy Twitter —PayPal (now blockchain/crypto/BTC) was to “overturn the monetary system” —“Escape” now more often referred to as “exit” —“Autonomous countries” now known as the “network state” JD Vance is a full member of the cult of the broligarchs. Unfortunately, this has been a very thorough coup and they have backup. It’s worth really absorbing what the living Antichrist, Peter Thiel, is saying here: “I don't think despair is the only answer. And I don't think, and it's because I don't think politics is the only way to go. And my thinking on this, you know, started to take a turn towards a more optimistic perspective in the mid to late '90s when I got involved in the tech boom in Silicon Valley. I ended up being the co-founder of a company called PayPal where -- and the initial founding vision was that we were going to use technology to change the whole world and basically overturn on the monetary system of the world. And, you know, we can debate on how much it succeeded or how little it succeeded. And there were parts of it that I think have worked, and parts of it were, you know, the jury is still out. But the basic idea was that we could never win an election on getting certain things. Because we were in such a small minority. But maybe you could actually unilaterally change the world without having to constantly convince people and beg people and plead with people who are never going to agree with you through a technological means. And this is where I think technology is this incredible alternative to politics. And, you know, there are a number of different technologies we can outline, but the task in this world where politics has become so broken and so dysfunctional is to find a way to escape from it. It's not a way to fix it. It is a way to escape. And there are, you know, a number of different options. I think the promising one of the 1990s and this last decade has been to escape onto the Internet and to sort of create an alternate virtual reality. Questions, of course, is still how does it intersect with the real world? There are, I think, escaping to outer space is a promise, although I think the space technology is not quite there. So I think that's sort of for the second half of the 21st century. I think we can try to, you know, create autonomous countries on oceans, underwater, all sorts of other spaces. But I think technology is the vehicle for how we should be looking to escape and move beyond politics as we find it today.”

Peter Thiel gave a speech in a Hilton in 2010 that holds the keys to unlocking the source of many of America’s most severe problems. Key quote: “The task in this world… where politics has become so broken… is to find a way to escape from it. It’s not a way to fix it.” Palantir is currently tightening its grip around all of our data. Elon Musk is diverting untold billions into a Mars fantasy. All of the anarchist, antidemocratic ideas of the PayPal Mafia and the “Dark Enlightenment”—to use technology as an “escape”—were already well in process 15 years ago. —The internet as “alternate virtual reality” so you don’t have to “constantly convince people.” This is why he funded Satoshi (Bitcoin), MAGA3X (Pizzagate, Q), and pushed Musk to buy Twitter —PayPal (now blockchain/crypto/BTC) was to “overturn the monetary system” —“Escape” now more often referred to as “exit” —“Autonomous countries” now known as the “network state” JD Vance is a full member of the cult of the broligarchs. Unfortunately, this has been a very thorough coup and they have backup. It’s worth really absorbing what the living Antichrist, Peter Thiel, is saying here: “I don't think despair is the only answer. And I don't think, and it's because I don't think politics is the only way to go. And my thinking on this, you know, started to take a turn towards a more optimistic perspective in the mid to late '90s when I got involved in the tech boom in Silicon Valley. I ended up being the co-founder of a company called PayPal where -- and the initial founding vision was that we were going to use technology to change the whole world and basically overturn on the monetary system of the world. And, you know, we can debate on how much it succeeded or how little it succeeded. And there were parts of it that I think have worked, and parts of it were, you know, the jury is still out. But the basic idea was that we could never win an election on getting certain things. Because we were in such a small minority. But maybe you could actually unilaterally change the world without having to constantly convince people and beg people and plead with people who are never going to agree with you through a technological means. And this is where I think technology is this incredible alternative to politics. And, you know, there are a number of different technologies we can outline, but the task in this world where politics has become so broken and so dysfunctional is to find a way to escape from it. It's not a way to fix it. It is a way to escape. And there are, you know, a number of different options. I think the promising one of the 1990s and this last decade has been to escape onto the Internet and to sort of create an alternate virtual reality. Questions, of course, is still how does it intersect with the real world? There are, I think, escaping to outer space is a promise, although I think the space technology is not quite there. So I think that's sort of for the second half of the 21st century. I think we can try to, you know, create autonomous countries on oceans, underwater, all sorts of other spaces. But I think technology is the vehicle for how we should be looking to escape and move beyond politics as we find it today.”

Jim Stewartson, Decelerationist 🇨🇦🇺🇦🇺🇸

156,800 次观看 • 1 年前

🐹 To think of it, we were fans of artists who speak different languages from us but we didn’t think differently of them because they spoke a different language. 🐹 I was a fan of them and still am and I don’t think a language is a barrier. 🐹 I’ve always cared more about the emotions in their music and who they are as a person so I don’t think the language barrier is an issue. 🐹 When our fans show us love, I think they feel the same way.

🐹 To think of it, we were fans of artists who speak different languages from us but we didn’t think differently of them because they spoke a different language. 🐹 I was a fan of them and still am and I don’t think a language is a barrier. 🐹 I’ve always cared more about the emotions in their music and who they are as a person so I don’t think the language barrier is an issue. 🐹 When our fans show us love, I think they feel the same way.

jin files

76,535 次观看 • 3 个月前

I explain why the accusation that Israel is committing "genocide" is blood libel. Me: The application of the word genocide to refer to tens of thousands of war deaths is, I mean, I think it is a kind of blood libel. It's trying to import the moral opprobrium that we associate with genocide to a designated enemy, in this case, Israel. I think because I alluded to my side bias, the sides in this case being the sides that a lot of hard left critical theory has defined, namely white oppressors against everyone else's victims. Moynihan: It's pretty strong to say this is like a blood libel. Me: Well, it is a blood libel in the sense that it is an accusation of deliberate murder, ill-founded in that the, and one could disagree with Israel's campaign against Gaza, one could say that this is not justifiable, it's not a just war. It's still different from deliberately murdering as many people as possible, as in, and we know there have been genocides. I think it really is a terrible blood libel, and it's a sign of how people's moralizing in the service of demonizing and dichotomizing, dividing the world into good and evil can just flatten their ability to analyze and to think clearly.

I explain why the accusation that Israel is committing "genocide" is blood libel. Me: The application of the word genocide to refer to tens of thousands of war deaths is, I mean, I think it is a kind of blood libel. It's trying to import the moral opprobrium that we associate with genocide to a designated enemy, in this case, Israel. I think because I alluded to my side bias, the sides in this case being the sides that a lot of hard left critical theory has defined, namely white oppressors against everyone else's victims. Moynihan: It's pretty strong to say this is like a blood libel. Me: Well, it is a blood libel in the sense that it is an accusation of deliberate murder, ill-founded in that the, and one could disagree with Israel's campaign against Gaza, one could say that this is not justifiable, it's not a just war. It's still different from deliberately murdering as many people as possible, as in, and we know there have been genocides. I think it really is a terrible blood libel, and it's a sign of how people's moralizing in the service of demonizing and dichotomizing, dividing the world into good and evil can just flatten their ability to analyze and to think clearly.

Steven Pinker

392,256 次观看 • 9 个月前

VASSY: Do you think the threat of the US leaving NATO is real? STUBB: No, because it is in the self-interest of the US to stay in. But I do think there's going to be a shift of burden, 60-40 to 40-60 US–Europe and Canada.

VASSY: Do you think the threat of the US leaving NATO is real? STUBB: No, because it is in the self-interest of the US to stay in. But I do think there's going to be a shift of burden, 60-40 to 40-60 US–Europe and Canada.

Scott Robertson

26,072 次观看 • 2 个月前