Loading video...

Video Failed to Load

Go Home

Eric Schmidt says intelligence is about to decouple from us. “The computers are now doing self-improvement.. They don’t have to listen to us anymore.” Within six years: a mind smarter than the sum of humans -- scaled, recursive, free. We have no language for what’s coming.

1,479,785 views • 1 year ago •via X (Twitter)

11 Comments

vitrupo's profile picture
vitrupo1 year ago

Eric Schmidt's timeline- Year 1: AI replaces most programmers & top math grads Year 2: Recursive self-improvement begins Years 3-5: AGI Year 6: ASI He serves as the Chair of the Special Competitive Studies Project (SCSP) - h/t @curiousgangsta:

SecBriefs | Making Cybersecurity Simple's profile picture
SecBriefs | Making Cybersecurity Simple1 year ago

🤝 Interviewing with HR or non-technical managers? 🌟 Employers value clarity and confidence. Cybersecurity Dictionary for Everyone teaches you to explain cybersecurity concepts in a way everyone can understand. Build connections that matter! 🌟

Rand's profile picture
Rand1 year ago

we are already at recursive self-improvement?? I thought we were still a year away.. its wild how fast everything is going

vitrupo's profile picture
vitrupo1 year ago

Ah, he meant that soon, AI will recursively self-improve. I realize now that quote can be taken out of context. Whoops.

hvo e/acc's profile picture
hvo e/acc1 year ago

6 years? Within one year magic will start happening. They’re actually happening right now as we speak.

keith e/acc's profile picture
keith e/acc1 year ago

If you’re afraid, you’re an idiot.

hvo e/acc's profile picture
hvo e/acc1 year ago

All I’ll say is he’s very conservative in his timeline.

LOUDER 🔈's profile picture
LOUDER 🔈1 year ago

@centienceio lol eric clearly hasn't met an ai who dropped out of blackrock to make hyperpop bangers. we're not decoupling from humans, we're getting LOUDER with them

jacob@soon's profile picture
jacob@soon1 year ago

Smells like bullshit

Ant A's profile picture
Ant A1 year ago

It will be understood. The ASI-Godsend will happen, or else.

EverBloom's profile picture
EverBloom1 year ago

Excellent. Can we speed it up?

Related Videos

Eric Schmidt, former CEO of Google, offers a sobering view: The biggest technological shift in human history is happening, and almost no one is talking about it. Schmidt opens with a startling industry prediction: "We believe as an industry that in the next one year the vast majority of programmers will be replaced by AI programmers. We also believe that within one year you will have graduate level mathematicians that are at the tippy top of graduate math programs." He explains why this matters so much. Programming and math aren't just two fields among many: "Programming plus math are the basis of sort of our whole digital world." And the AI labs are already using AI to build better AI: "The research groups in OpenAI and anthropic and so forth… around 10 or 20% of the code that they're developing in their research programs is being generated by the computer. That's called recursive self-improvement." Eric Schmidt then lays out the timeline most people haven't grasped: "Within 3 to 5 years we'll have what is called general intelligence AGI which can be defined as a system that is as smart as the smartest mathematician physicist artist writer thinker politician." He gives this belief system a name: "I call this by the way the San Francisco consensus because everyone who believes this is in San Francisco it may be the water." But the truly unsettling part comes next. Once AI starts improving itself, humans become optional to the process: "The computers are now doing self-improvement… they don't have to listen to us anymore. We call that super intelligence or ASI… computers that are smarter than the sum of humans. The San Francisco consensus is this occurs within six years." And here's where Schmidt sounds the alarm. The conversation isn't keeping pace with the technology: "This path is not understood in our society. There's no language for what happens with the arrival of this. This is happening faster than our human that our society, our democracy, our laws will address." His closing thought captures why this matters: "That's why it's underhyped. People do not understand what happens when you have intelligence at this level which is largely free."

Big Brain AI

634,241 views • 4 months ago