Загрузка видео...

Не удалось загрузить видео

На главную

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Even the hawks think Washington had Iran exactly where it wanted it, until the order came to hit back Admiral Mark Montgomery, retired Navy flag officer and no dove, backed the original strike without hesitation: Iran had rehearsed launching sea mines from those rocket batteries, Trump had warned...

MarioNawfal's profile picture

Mario Nawfal

3,884,701 subscribers

218,313 просмотров • 1 день назад •via X (Twitter)

Новости и политика
LIVE

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

Комментарии: 0

Нет доступных комментариев

Здесь появятся комментарии из оригинального поста

Похожие видео

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The statements announcing Iran's strikes on Kuwait and Bahrain went out before the bombs even dropped. Brandon Weichert just explained why that happened and where we are in the war. "Trump is like the kid who keeps putting his hand closer and closer to the burner, thinking it won't burn him. And every time he gets lucky and then eventually he is going to get burned and we're going to get burned in the process." The escalation trap is wide open, and we're walking straight into it. Brandon Weichert
10:01

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The statements announcing Iran's strikes on Kuwait and Bahrain went out before the bombs even dropped. Brandon Weichert just explained why that happened and where we are in the war. "Trump is like the kid who keeps putting his hand closer and closer to the burner, thinking it won't burn him. And every time he gets lucky and then eventually he is going to get burned and we're going to get burned in the process." The escalation trap is wide open, and we're walking straight into it. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

55,220 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

🚨 IRAN HIT KUWAIT. TRUMP SAYS WE’RE READY. Iran fired missiles and drones at KUWAIT overnight. Sirens. Shelters. Sovereignty violated. Trump’s answer: we already hit them hard. Took out the new gear they built on Hormuz. Offensive. Defensive. Radar gone. Ships they can’t even see. “We’re prepared to do another one any time we want.” That’s not a threat. That’s a schedule. Meanwhile the Navy is doing the job Iran said was impossible: 40 commercial vessels escorted Tuesday. 18 million barrels out of the Gulf. Two carriers. 12 destroyers. USS George Washington in the fight. 50,000 U.S. forces in theater. Pre-war was 20 million barrels a day. They’re knocking on the door. Treasury to the world: do not deal with this regime. The rial is collapsing. The people are feeling it. Iran wanted a closed strait and a nuclear clock. They got a blockade, no radar, and a President who calls the last strike a love tap.
3:42

🚨 IRAN HIT KUWAIT. TRUMP SAYS WE’RE READY. Iran fired missiles and drones at KUWAIT overnight. Sirens. Shelters. Sovereignty violated. Trump’s answer: we already hit them hard. Took out the new gear they built on Hormuz. Offensive. Defensive. Radar gone. Ships they can’t even see. “We’re prepared to do another one any time we want.” That’s not a threat. That’s a schedule. Meanwhile the Navy is doing the job Iran said was impossible: 40 commercial vessels escorted Tuesday. 18 million barrels out of the Gulf. Two carriers. 12 destroyers. USS George Washington in the fight. 50,000 U.S. forces in theater. Pre-war was 20 million barrels a day. They’re knocking on the door. Treasury to the world: do not deal with this regime. The rial is collapsing. The people are feeling it. Iran wanted a closed strait and a nuclear clock. They got a blockade, no radar, and a President who calls the last strike a love tap.

Gunther Eagleman™

162,744 просмотров • 7 часов назад

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 Washington named itself guardian of Hormuz and set a 20 PERCENT toll. The catch: the Navy may not have enough ships to collect it Brandon Weichert ran the enforcement math cold. A real blockade means sealing the waterway around the clock, then detaining every intercepted vessel while the cordon holds, and the fleet doesn't have the hulls. No European, Indian, or Japanese ships are volunteering. And the first time American guns open on a merchant hull, insurance markets and volatility start doing Tehran's work for free. The map kept widening as we spoke. Two Adnoc tankers took cruise missiles on the Omani side, one crew member reported killed, eight injured, while the IRGC broadcast live on the emergency channel that it was firing. Axios added the political bombshell: Trump gave MBS backing for military action against the Houthis before the Sana'a strike. Brandon's warning on that one was immediate: provoke the Houthis and they go after Saudi Arabia's Red Sea ports, the alternative to the alternative Riyadh spent the whole war building. His new Substack maps the next front: the Gulf of Aden, with forces staging toward Somaliland to suppress Yemen's missiles. The war, in his phrase, is expanding geometrically. And Iran's strategy, as he reads it, needs no invasion at all: their allies sit on every chokepoint, and they'll keep closing doors until the price of staying is a depression. Brandon Weichert
25:44

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 Washington named itself guardian of Hormuz and set a 20 PERCENT toll. The catch: the Navy may not have enough ships to collect it Brandon Weichert ran the enforcement math cold. A real blockade means sealing the waterway around the clock, then detaining every intercepted vessel while the cordon holds, and the fleet doesn't have the hulls. No European, Indian, or Japanese ships are volunteering. And the first time American guns open on a merchant hull, insurance markets and volatility start doing Tehran's work for free. The map kept widening as we spoke. Two Adnoc tankers took cruise missiles on the Omani side, one crew member reported killed, eight injured, while the IRGC broadcast live on the emergency channel that it was firing. Axios added the political bombshell: Trump gave MBS backing for military action against the Houthis before the Sana'a strike. Brandon's warning on that one was immediate: provoke the Houthis and they go after Saudi Arabia's Red Sea ports, the alternative to the alternative Riyadh spent the whole war building. His new Substack maps the next front: the Gulf of Aden, with forces staging toward Somaliland to suppress Yemen's missiles. The war, in his phrase, is expanding geometrically. And Iran's strategy, as he reads it, needs no invasion at all: their allies sit on every chokepoint, and they'll keep closing doors until the price of staying is a depression. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

317,336 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's answer spread to Jordan, Kuwait and Bahrain in a single night, while the American strikes meant to stop it hit radars that will likely be rebuilt by the weekend Larry Johnson joined as sirens went off in Kuwait, drones reached Bahrain, missiles fell on Jordan and the US consulate in Erbil was reportedly targeted. Iran's promised twelve-fold rule is being enforced in real time, and Larry's source says the CENTCOM battle staff has been stood back up, which in his words means you are going to war. Washington's side of the exchange hit radars, mine-laying gear and communications along the entire Iranian coast. Larry's problem with that is history: the same campaign ran for three weeks a month ago, satellites showed the radars back within days, and the weapons that matter never surface for a strike anyway: "they're launching out of caves. They're not destroying the caves" Meanwhile Treasury insisted 17 million barrels crossed the strait yesterday on the same day Brent spiked, and the Financial Times reported Russia has been secretly helping Iran build supersonic cruise missiles since 2023, the kind that make every ship in the Gulf harder to defend. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
50:39

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's answer spread to Jordan, Kuwait and Bahrain in a single night, while the American strikes meant to stop it hit radars that will likely be rebuilt by the weekend Larry Johnson joined as sirens went off in Kuwait, drones reached Bahrain, missiles fell on Jordan and the US consulate in Erbil was reportedly targeted. Iran's promised twelve-fold rule is being enforced in real time, and Larry's source says the CENTCOM battle staff has been stood back up, which in his words means you are going to war. Washington's side of the exchange hit radars, mine-laying gear and communications along the entire Iranian coast. Larry's problem with that is history: the same campaign ran for three weeks a month ago, satellites showed the radars back within days, and the weapons that matter never surface for a strike anyway: "they're launching out of caves. They're not destroying the caves" Meanwhile Treasury insisted 17 million barrels crossed the strait yesterday on the same day Brent spiked, and the Financial Times reported Russia has been secretly helping Iran build supersonic cruise missiles since 2023, the kind that make every ship in the Gulf harder to defend. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

285,602 просмотров • 1 день назад

🇦🇪🇮🇷 Four fifths of Iran's foreign payments clear through banks in one Gulf country, and that country just cut Tehran off Admiral Mark Montgomery ran military relations with both Israel and Turkey at EUCOM, and he spent the night pushing back on nearly every comfortable assumption in this war. Start with the blockade this show has heard called leaky, fanciful, a fiction. His audit: "the blockade is doing its job" Fossil fuel exports down 90% by his count, and fuels were the plurality of Iran's economy. The famous Pakistan land routes? Six-thousand-gallon tankers over the Khyber Pass cannot move a nation's oil exports. The Omani-side seepage exists only because American strikes blinded Iranian radar around the strait, and that gets restruck when it regrows. Now the UAE is signaling a financial squeeze, and he says roughly 80% of Iran's purchases and receipts clear through Emirati banks. On Israel and Turkey he sees signal, not war: six to eight aim points, timed before any Turk arrived, engineered to kill nobody. Mark Montgomery Brandon Weichert
41:37

🇦🇪🇮🇷 Four fifths of Iran's foreign payments clear through banks in one Gulf country, and that country just cut Tehran off Admiral Mark Montgomery ran military relations with both Israel and Turkey at EUCOM, and he spent the night pushing back on nearly every comfortable assumption in this war. Start with the blockade this show has heard called leaky, fanciful, a fiction. His audit: "the blockade is doing its job" Fossil fuel exports down 90% by his count, and fuels were the plurality of Iran's economy. The famous Pakistan land routes? Six-thousand-gallon tankers over the Khyber Pass cannot move a nation's oil exports. The Omani-side seepage exists only because American strikes blinded Iranian radar around the strait, and that gets restruck when it regrows. Now the UAE is signaling a financial squeeze, and he says roughly 80% of Iran's purchases and receipts clear through Emirati banks. On Israel and Turkey he sees signal, not war: six to eight aim points, timed before any Turk arrived, engineered to kill nobody. Mark Montgomery Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

213,314 просмотров • 12 дней назад

😳 JUST-IN: SOME THINGS NEVER CHANGE, IS THOM TILLIS BETRAYING THE RIGHT ONE LAST TIME?! Ok, now the mask is all the way off. Thom Tillis is retiring, so there are no voters to answer to and no primary to survive. He used that freedom to walk onto the Senate floor and declare war on the one bill President Trump wants most. "I'm a no," Tillis said. "I'm going to do everything I can to prevent it from even moving forward." Now here is the math he never wants you to do. Gallup has 84 percent of Americans backing voter ID, including 98 percent of Republicans and 67 percent of Democrats. Pew puts it at 83 percent in favor, just 16 percent opposed. Tillis is not standing on principle, he is standing with the 16 percent. He cosponsored this same bill before Trump put his name on it, which tells you everything about who he is really serving on his way out the door.
0:23

😳 JUST-IN: SOME THINGS NEVER CHANGE, IS THOM TILLIS BETRAYING THE RIGHT ONE LAST TIME?! Ok, now the mask is all the way off. Thom Tillis is retiring, so there are no voters to answer to and no primary to survive. He used that freedom to walk onto the Senate floor and declare war on the one bill President Trump wants most. "I'm a no," Tillis said. "I'm going to do everything I can to prevent it from even moving forward." Now here is the math he never wants you to do. Gallup has 84 percent of Americans backing voter ID, including 98 percent of Republicans and 67 percent of Democrats. Pew puts it at 83 percent in favor, just 16 percent opposed. Tillis is not standing on principle, he is standing with the 16 percent. He cosponsored this same bill before Trump put his name on it, which tells you everything about who he is really serving on his way out the door.

Bill Mitchell

25,323 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

🇮🇷🇺🇸 An IRGC general says Iran will stretch the war past Trump's term while the Navy's most overworked carrier begs for relief that has no date... Iran's plan is no longer a theory. A senior IRGC adviser told PBS the strategy is to "prolong this war until we get to the next term of the presidency," adding that America's military proved weaker than Tehran expected and that Iran builds missiles faster than it fires them. The day's other headlines back his confidence. The Abraham Lincoln has now spent 260 days at sea with two days ashore and no return date, families are confronting Navy officials in San Diego, and the relief carrier is stuck behind shipyards that lack workers. WSJ reports Ukrainian drone crews routed American armor in NATO war games. Meanwhile Tehran hiked petrol prices 74%, a sign the blockade bites, and the State Department told Mideast embassies to plan for reduced staffing. Brandon Weichert ties it together, calling this the weakest US Navy since the interwar years and saying of the blockade: "It's there on paper, but it ain't there in reality." His fix is a decade of rebuilding at home to make America great again, because a waiting game against Iran runs on Tehran's clock. Brandon Weichert
37:58

🇮🇷🇺🇸 An IRGC general says Iran will stretch the war past Trump's term while the Navy's most overworked carrier begs for relief that has no date... Iran's plan is no longer a theory. A senior IRGC adviser told PBS the strategy is to "prolong this war until we get to the next term of the presidency," adding that America's military proved weaker than Tehran expected and that Iran builds missiles faster than it fires them. The day's other headlines back his confidence. The Abraham Lincoln has now spent 260 days at sea with two days ashore and no return date, families are confronting Navy officials in San Diego, and the relief carrier is stuck behind shipyards that lack workers. WSJ reports Ukrainian drone crews routed American armor in NATO war games. Meanwhile Tehran hiked petrol prices 74%, a sign the blockade bites, and the State Department told Mideast embassies to plan for reduced staffing. Brandon Weichert ties it together, calling this the weakest US Navy since the interwar years and saying of the blockade: "It's there on paper, but it ain't there in reality." His fix is a decade of rebuilding at home to make America great again, because a waiting game against Iran runs on Tehran's clock. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

363,240 просмотров • 21 дней назад

🇺🇸🇮🇷 How did Iran manage to attack 3 U.S. destroyers? Iran's mosquito boats, small and nearly impossible to track, swarmed U.S. destroyers in the Strait of Hormuz. The CIA had already flagged Iran's underground stockpiles of anti-ship missiles. The U.S. knew what was coming, so they let it happen. While the destroyers sat in position, carrier fighter jets and cruise missiles were already coordinated and ready. The moment Iran made their move, the U.S. had already traced them back to their source. They absorbed the attack just long enough to lock onto the origin, then they hit back with everything. It's a brutal calculation: take the hit, confirm the location, eliminate the threat permanently. In one of the most contested waterways on earth, the U.S. turned Iran's asymmetric playbook against itself. Source: AiTelly
13:01

🇺🇸🇮🇷 How did Iran manage to attack 3 U.S. destroyers? Iran's mosquito boats, small and nearly impossible to track, swarmed U.S. destroyers in the Strait of Hormuz. The CIA had already flagged Iran's underground stockpiles of anti-ship missiles. The U.S. knew what was coming, so they let it happen. While the destroyers sat in position, carrier fighter jets and cruise missiles were already coordinated and ready. The moment Iran made their move, the U.S. had already traced them back to their source. They absorbed the attack just long enough to lock onto the origin, then they hit back with everything. It's a brutal calculation: take the hit, confirm the location, eliminate the threat permanently. In one of the most contested waterways on earth, the U.S. turned Iran's asymmetric playbook against itself. Source: AiTelly

Mario Nawfal

768,715 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump says the U.S is going to “hit Iran hard,” while Tehran is warning that from now on, every American attack will be met with a response “dozens of times greater.” That's an extremely dangerous change in the rules of this war. The latest U.S strike was deliberately limited: American forces hit rocket launchers on Larak Island that CENTCOM says were preparing to deploy sea mines into the Strait of Hormuz. Iran didn't respond proportionally; it launched a much larger barrage of missiles and drones toward U.S positions in the region. And that's the part that matters. Earlier in the war, Iran largely calibrated its responses because it still believed there was a deal to be made with Washington. That calculation appears to be disappearing, because Tehran believes America no longer possesses the escalation dominance it had at the beginning of the war. And Iran is now willing to prove it by deliberately responding harder than it gets hit, meaning Trump now faces a brutal dilemma. If he doesn't respond after publicly promising to “hit them hard,” Tehran can portray it as proof that American threats have lost their force. But if he does hit Iran hard, Tehran is explicitly threatening to escalate even more, and warning that no target in the region is beyond its reach. The most dangerous assumption Trump could make now is that the U.S still gets to decide where the escalation ends. Iran's telling him it has a say in that. Brandon Weichert
56:52

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump says the U.S is going to “hit Iran hard,” while Tehran is warning that from now on, every American attack will be met with a response “dozens of times greater.” That's an extremely dangerous change in the rules of this war. The latest U.S strike was deliberately limited: American forces hit rocket launchers on Larak Island that CENTCOM says were preparing to deploy sea mines into the Strait of Hormuz. Iran didn't respond proportionally; it launched a much larger barrage of missiles and drones toward U.S positions in the region. And that's the part that matters. Earlier in the war, Iran largely calibrated its responses because it still believed there was a deal to be made with Washington. That calculation appears to be disappearing, because Tehran believes America no longer possesses the escalation dominance it had at the beginning of the war. And Iran is now willing to prove it by deliberately responding harder than it gets hit, meaning Trump now faces a brutal dilemma. If he doesn't respond after publicly promising to “hit them hard,” Tehran can portray it as proof that American threats have lost their force. But if he does hit Iran hard, Tehran is explicitly threatening to escalate even more, and warning that no target in the region is beyond its reach. The most dangerous assumption Trump could make now is that the U.S still gets to decide where the escalation ends. Iran's telling him it has a say in that. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

336,090 просмотров • 2 дней назад

#WATCH | Mumbai, Maharashtra: On Iran's 10-point proposal amid announcement on the ceasefire, Former Minister of State for External Affairs, MJ Akbar says, "I do not believe that a ceasefire could have been announced without a broad agreement on key factors. And obviously, Iran's nuclear program has to be one of the major factors, because if you don't have an agreement on that, then this is a hoax. But the point of fact is that one day before this war began, America and Iran had agreed, even on the language, which leaves the world perplexed as to what this war was about. Because over and over again, you say that the war is about nuclear weapons and Iran's potential. So if on the eve of the war, you had accepted an agreement in which Iran had also accepted America's language, then I think the war had to be an exercise in political hysteria, for purposes that are not fully comprehensible to the same world..."
7:23

#WATCH | Mumbai, Maharashtra: On Iran's 10-point proposal amid announcement on the ceasefire, Former Minister of State for External Affairs, MJ Akbar says, "I do not believe that a ceasefire could have been announced without a broad agreement on key factors. And obviously, Iran's nuclear program has to be one of the major factors, because if you don't have an agreement on that, then this is a hoax. But the point of fact is that one day before this war began, America and Iran had agreed, even on the language, which leaves the world perplexed as to what this war was about. Because over and over again, you say that the war is about nuclear weapons and Iran's potential. So if on the eve of the war, you had accepted an agreement in which Iran had also accepted America's language, then I think the war had to be an exercise in political hysteria, for purposes that are not fully comprehensible to the same world..."

ANI

15,240 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 U.S. strikes reportedly reached the railway linking Iran to China, and that target choice says plenty about what this phase of the war is actually about Brandon Weichert connected the dots on the map. Kharg yesterday, the Gorgan line today, the final link of the Eurasian Land Bridge that starts in Xi'an and ends in Tehran. Producing oil means nothing if you can't move it, and in his read Washington is now going after Iran's entire energy profile, the flow as much as the fields. Iran's answer? The same Bahrain and Kuwait packages, third wave tonight, smoke rising over the Fifth Fleet headquarters again in unconfirmed footage. Brandon sees discipline in that restraint: Tehran is running an economic countdown while Washington burns through its reserve, and by his math the regime only needs to hold on another 20 or 30 days. Qatar sits "on the menu," untouched, which tells him the red line hasn't been crossed. His sharpest detail was legal, not military. The whole fight over the Omani corridor exists because every ship that uses Iran's traffic separation scheme strengthens Tehran's case to charge its fee. The routes ARE the war. One reassuring cross-check: a genuine clearing operation for a ground push would drop fifty times this ordnance. He agreed without hesitation. His words: that's a blessing. Brandon Weichert
33:41

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 U.S. strikes reportedly reached the railway linking Iran to China, and that target choice says plenty about what this phase of the war is actually about Brandon Weichert connected the dots on the map. Kharg yesterday, the Gorgan line today, the final link of the Eurasian Land Bridge that starts in Xi'an and ends in Tehran. Producing oil means nothing if you can't move it, and in his read Washington is now going after Iran's entire energy profile, the flow as much as the fields. Iran's answer? The same Bahrain and Kuwait packages, third wave tonight, smoke rising over the Fifth Fleet headquarters again in unconfirmed footage. Brandon sees discipline in that restraint: Tehran is running an economic countdown while Washington burns through its reserve, and by his math the regime only needs to hold on another 20 or 30 days. Qatar sits "on the menu," untouched, which tells him the red line hasn't been crossed. His sharpest detail was legal, not military. The whole fight over the Omani corridor exists because every ship that uses Iran's traffic separation scheme strengthens Tehran's case to charge its fee. The routes ARE the war. One reassuring cross-check: a genuine clearing operation for a ground push would drop fifty times this ordnance. He agreed without hesitation. His words: that's a blessing. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

429,406 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Cornelius Chepsoi, Chair Rig Owners Association: There is a lot of talk in the media that this is a matatu strike; it is not a matatu strike. This is a nationwide strike by Kenyans. The Minister came back with an offer from the state of 8 shillings, which our members out rightly refused. The original proposal was that they take out the entire 46 shillings that they increased in the last cycle. The agreement was that the strike goes on, and we maintain it until we agree. In the Minister’s words, he said in Michuki’s time, people walked to work for two months until a solution was found. It is not right for CS Wandayi to change the statement on the floor, that is not speaking in good faith #CitizenMondayReport
5:19

Cornelius Chepsoi, Chair Rig Owners Association: There is a lot of talk in the media that this is a matatu strike; it is not a matatu strike. This is a nationwide strike by Kenyans. The Minister came back with an offer from the state of 8 shillings, which our members out rightly refused. The original proposal was that they take out the entire 46 shillings that they increased in the last cycle. The agreement was that the strike goes on, and we maintain it until we agree. In the Minister’s words, he said in Michuki’s time, people walked to work for two months until a solution was found. It is not right for CS Wandayi to change the statement on the floor, that is not speaking in good faith #CitizenMondayReport

Citizen TV Kenya

78,581 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump wants to "take the oil in Iran"... In an interview with the Financial Times, Trump compared seizing Iran's oil to what the U.S. did in Venezuela, where he intends to control the industry "indefinitely." He said his "favorite thing is to take the oil" and dismissed critics as "stupid people." On Kharg Island specifically: "I don't think they have any defense. We could take it very easily." Then he added the quiet part: "It would also mean we had to be there for a while." But the most revealing details were about the back-channel. Trump says Pakistan-flagged tankers through Hormuz doubled from 10 to 20, and credits Ghalibaf personally for authorizing them. "He's the one who authorized the ships to me." Trump is simultaneously threatening to seize Iran's oil infrastructure and crediting Iran's top wartime leader by name for making diplomatic gestures. He's negotiating and escalating in the same sentence, in the same interview, about the same person. He also claimed Iran has already had "regime change" because the old leadership is dead. "The people we're dealing with are a totally different group of people. Very professional." Source: Financial Times
2:21

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump wants to "take the oil in Iran"... In an interview with the Financial Times, Trump compared seizing Iran's oil to what the U.S. did in Venezuela, where he intends to control the industry "indefinitely." He said his "favorite thing is to take the oil" and dismissed critics as "stupid people." On Kharg Island specifically: "I don't think they have any defense. We could take it very easily." Then he added the quiet part: "It would also mean we had to be there for a while." But the most revealing details were about the back-channel. Trump says Pakistan-flagged tankers through Hormuz doubled from 10 to 20, and credits Ghalibaf personally for authorizing them. "He's the one who authorized the ships to me." Trump is simultaneously threatening to seize Iran's oil infrastructure and crediting Iran's top wartime leader by name for making diplomatic gestures. He's negotiating and escalating in the same sentence, in the same interview, about the same person. He also claimed Iran has already had "regime change" because the old leadership is dead. "The people we're dealing with are a totally different group of people. Very professional." Source: Financial Times

Mario Nawfal

360,960 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

🇮🇷 Iran doesn't need to escalate, it just needs to keep this going another year Tehran looks comfortable holding the war right where it sits, no bigger strikes and no retreat, just another six to eighteen months of the same. The logic behind that patience is easy enough to follow. Two months ago the ask was ending the war, and it now includes unfrozen assets, reparations from every country that joined in, and a halt to hostilities well past Iran's own borders, so each round of waiting has priced higher than the one before it. Underneath the concessions sits a bigger wager, that the dollar's reserve status cracks within a few years and whoever holds the physical gold ends up on top, with America nowhere near that list. Brandon Weichert
3:34

🇮🇷 Iran doesn't need to escalate, it just needs to keep this going another year Tehran looks comfortable holding the war right where it sits, no bigger strikes and no retreat, just another six to eighteen months of the same. The logic behind that patience is easy enough to follow. Two months ago the ask was ending the war, and it now includes unfrozen assets, reparations from every country that joined in, and a halt to hostilities well past Iran's own borders, so each round of waiting has priced higher than the one before it. Underneath the concessions sits a bigger wager, that the dollar's reserve status cracks within a few years and whoever holds the physical gold ends up on top, with America nowhere near that list. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

72,731 просмотров • 21 дней назад

🇺🇸🇨🇳 Last night the U.S. bombed a railway in Iran, and the real message was addressed to Beijing. The strike hit the Mashhad railway in Iran's northeast, and here's why that target matters: it's part of the Belt and Road's sixth corridor, the China-Central Asia-West Asia route running from China through Iran to Iraq, the Gulf, and Syria. Economist Hussein Askary says the physical damage is limited and easily repairable, which is exactly the point. This was SYMBOLIC: "It's very difficult to threaten Iran, but it's a simple symbolic thing." And the timing tells the bigger story. Hussein notes the first train from China arrived in Tehran through this very line in May 2025. Weeks later, the war on Iran began. In his institute's analysis, this whole conflict sits inside one frame: a shift in global economic power, and Washington's answer to it. Hussein Askary
1:40

🇺🇸🇨🇳 Last night the U.S. bombed a railway in Iran, and the real message was addressed to Beijing. The strike hit the Mashhad railway in Iran's northeast, and here's why that target matters: it's part of the Belt and Road's sixth corridor, the China-Central Asia-West Asia route running from China through Iran to Iraq, the Gulf, and Syria. Economist Hussein Askary says the physical damage is limited and easily repairable, which is exactly the point. This was SYMBOLIC: "It's very difficult to threaten Iran, but it's a simple symbolic thing." And the timing tells the bigger story. Hussein notes the first train from China arrived in Tehran through this very line in May 2025. Weeks later, the war on Iran began. In his institute's analysis, this whole conflict sits inside one frame: a shift in global economic power, and Washington's answer to it. Hussein Askary

Mario Nawfal

266,556 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

🚨🇮🇷 🇺🇸 The Pentagon's halt in bombing Iran looks like a stand-down before the biggest strike of the war... For the first time in two weeks, Malcolm Nance's war notes came back almost empty. No American strikes, no Iranian strikes, pages of blank. Twenty years in naval intelligence taught him what that emptiness means, and his reaction ran three words: "HERE IT COMES." A day without sorties is a pre-mission stand-down. Every strike aircraft goes into maintenance at once, crews count bomb inventories in the magazines, planners build the packages, and carriers prepare to launch everything simultaneously. That rhythm is reportedly running from Kuwait and Israel to Jordan, England and the B-2 base in Missouri, warning orders already out to theater commanders. His window: 24 to 48 hours from the order. The tells are countable. Seven aerial tankers over the Gulf reads as small shaping. The real push looks like 20 or 30 stacked over Jordan, Kuwait, southern Iraq and Saudi Arabia, cruise missiles first, B-2s leading, six or seven flights of B-1s out of England behind them. Then it is DAY ONE of the war all over again. Malcolm Nance
42:18

🚨🇮🇷 🇺🇸 The Pentagon's halt in bombing Iran looks like a stand-down before the biggest strike of the war... For the first time in two weeks, Malcolm Nance's war notes came back almost empty. No American strikes, no Iranian strikes, pages of blank. Twenty years in naval intelligence taught him what that emptiness means, and his reaction ran three words: "HERE IT COMES." A day without sorties is a pre-mission stand-down. Every strike aircraft goes into maintenance at once, crews count bomb inventories in the magazines, planners build the packages, and carriers prepare to launch everything simultaneously. That rhythm is reportedly running from Kuwait and Israel to Jordan, England and the B-2 base in Missouri, warning orders already out to theater commanders. His window: 24 to 48 hours from the order. The tells are countable. Seven aerial tankers over the Gulf reads as small shaping. The real push looks like 20 or 30 stacked over Jordan, Kuwait, southern Iraq and Saudi Arabia, cruise missiles first, B-2s leading, six or seven flights of B-1s out of England behind them. Then it is DAY ONE of the war all over again. Malcolm Nance

Mario Nawfal

383,192 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. has struck Iran again. And Glenn Diesen thinks Washington may have just solved one of Tehran’s biggest problems for it. Iran had been debating whether to strike first in the next round of fighting, but doing so risked making Tehran look like the aggressor. Now it doesn't have to. After U.S. strikes on Larak Island, Iran can retaliate while arguing that Washington restarted the shooting war. Diesen says the stranger part is that America's military position hasn't meaningfully improved since the last round. U.S. interceptor stocks remain under pressure, while Iran appears better able to replenish its missiles and drones and improved the power and accuracy of its strikes as the fighting progressed. So what exactly has changed? His answer: perhaps very little. Washington can't win the war on acceptable terms, can't accept Iran's peace demands, and can't comfortably freeze the conflict while Tehran strengthens relations with its neighbors and maintains control over Hormuz. That leaves America reaching for escalation without a convincing endgame. And Diesen argues the latest strike may strengthen Iranian voices calling for a much more dangerous doctrine: Stop allowing Washington to decide when wars start and stop. If the U.S. attacks Iran, it may no longer get to decide when the shooting ends. Glenn Diesen
45:02

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. has struck Iran again. And Glenn Diesen thinks Washington may have just solved one of Tehran’s biggest problems for it. Iran had been debating whether to strike first in the next round of fighting, but doing so risked making Tehran look like the aggressor. Now it doesn't have to. After U.S. strikes on Larak Island, Iran can retaliate while arguing that Washington restarted the shooting war. Diesen says the stranger part is that America's military position hasn't meaningfully improved since the last round. U.S. interceptor stocks remain under pressure, while Iran appears better able to replenish its missiles and drones and improved the power and accuracy of its strikes as the fighting progressed. So what exactly has changed? His answer: perhaps very little. Washington can't win the war on acceptable terms, can't accept Iran's peace demands, and can't comfortably freeze the conflict while Tehran strengthens relations with its neighbors and maintains control over Hormuz. That leaves America reaching for escalation without a convincing endgame. And Diesen argues the latest strike may strengthen Iranian voices calling for a much more dangerous doctrine: Stop allowing Washington to decide when wars start and stop. If the U.S. attacks Iran, it may no longer get to decide when the shooting ends. Glenn Diesen

Mario Nawfal

319,645 просмотров • 3 дней назад

🇧🇭 🇰🇼 The mystery country that struck Iran turned out to be two of them. Ret. U.S. Admiral Mark Montgomery confirms what he can: the WSJ report that Bahrain and Kuwait carried out airstrikes on Iran holds up, and his reaction is blunt. It's about time. His fury lands on the continent still sitting out. Europe treats a regime that killed 30,000 protesters in 36 hours as a co-equal belligerent with the United States: "The Europeans continue to weave a tapestry of stupid." No skin in the game, no economic risk, while Gulf states finally put warplanes in the air. Mark Montgomery
2:19

🇧🇭 🇰🇼 The mystery country that struck Iran turned out to be two of them. Ret. U.S. Admiral Mark Montgomery confirms what he can: the WSJ report that Bahrain and Kuwait carried out airstrikes on Iran holds up, and his reaction is blunt. It's about time. His fury lands on the continent still sitting out. Europe treats a regime that killed 30,000 protesters in 36 hours as a co-equal belligerent with the United States: "The Europeans continue to weave a tapestry of stupid." No skin in the game, no economic risk, while Gulf states finally put warplanes in the air. Mark Montgomery

Mario Nawfal

50,471 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Hegseth: I watch that first strike live. At the Department of War, we got a lot of things to do so I not stick around. Couple of hours later, I learned that commander had made -- which he had the complete authority to do, he made the correct decision to sink the boat and eliminated the threat. And it was the right call. We have his back. Reporter: So you did not see the survivors after that first strike? Hegseth: I did not personally see survivors. The thing was on fire. This is what is called the fog of war. This is what you in the press don’t understand. You sit in your air conditioned offices and you plant fake stories in The Washington Post not based in any truth at all
2:01

Hegseth: I watch that first strike live. At the Department of War, we got a lot of things to do so I not stick around. Couple of hours later, I learned that commander had made -- which he had the complete authority to do, he made the correct decision to sink the boat and eliminated the threat. And it was the right call. We have his back. Reporter: So you did not see the survivors after that first strike? Hegseth: I did not personally see survivors. The thing was on fire. This is what is called the fog of war. This is what you in the press don’t understand. You sit in your air conditioned offices and you plant fake stories in The Washington Post not based in any truth at all

Acyn

680,870 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад