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Everyone's debating whether Opus or Codex or Gemini writes better code this month. Jyothi thinks that's the wrong question entirely. Models get replaced. Rankings flip every few months. Whatever wins the coding benchmark this quarter loses it next quarter, and the debate resets to zero. The harness doesn't reset....

17,219 просмотров • 5 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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The entire AI industry is racing to build the smartest model. Satya Nadella just admitted that is not where the money is. The model is not the product. The harness is. That is the exact line. And it changes what Microsoft is actually competing on. OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, xAI, Meta every frontier lab is pouring hundreds of billions into training compute, chasing the next capability jump. Each betting that raw model intelligence is the moat. Microsoft is doing the opposite. It is building the harness the orchestration layer that sits above the model, connecting it to tools, data, permissions, sub-agents, and enterprise workflows. And it is letting OpenAI, Anthropic, and MAI compete to plug into it. "You need the model. But the model is not the product. The harness is." So do the math on what a harness actually does. A raw model dropped into an enterprise answers questions. That is a chatbot. A harness turns that same model into an agent that reads the SharePoint, edits the ERP entry, pulls the GitHub PR, updates Salesforce, and files the Excel report with the right permissions, the right audit trail, and the right sub-agent for each sub-task. The model provides the intelligence. The harness converts intelligence into work. Now here's where it gets interesting. "Even the best model in the world will feel broken without a great harness. And an okay model with a great harness can feel like magic." If that is true, the enterprise buyer is not buying model quality. The enterprise buyer is buying the harness. Which means model quality becomes a commodity input over time, and harness quality becomes the sustainable moat. Compare that to the strategy the entire frontier lab industry is executing. Everyone else is chasing the numerator raw intelligence. Almost nobody at scale is racing to build the denominator the orchestration layer that determines whether that intelligence can actually be deployed profitably inside a real company. The frontier model race has a 10 to 20 percent chance of producing a single dominant winner. Nadella just told the industry he does not need to be that winner. If OpenAI wins, Microsoft wins. If Anthropic wins, Microsoft wins. If MAI wins, Microsoft wins. If someone Microsoft has never heard of trains a better model in 2027, Microsoft still wins. Because the compute they train on, the harness they get plugged into, the enterprise contracts they get delivered through, and the products they sit inside are all Microsoft. He is not building the best AI model. He is building the layer that the best AI model has to run on to make anyone money. I wonder which position looks more valuable in ten years.

Vikram M

21,463 просмотров • 18 дней назад

Jensen Huang just told Silicon Valley it’s fighting on the wrong floor. Every boardroom in tech is locked on the same question. Which model wins. OpenAI or xAI. GPT or Claude. Grok or Gemini. Trillions moving on that bet alone. Huang zoomed out and showed them the whole building. Huang: “AI is actually essentially a five-layer cake.” Energy at the bottom. Chips above it. Cloud above that. Models next. Applications on top. Five layers. One war. Everyone crowded onto the fourth floor. Huang: “This is where most people think AI is.” He was pointing at the model layer. Every pitch deck. Every valuation. Every founder story. All packed onto one floor. One floor below the finish line. Three above the foundation. The middle of the building. Huang: “At the bottom is energy.” Not data. Not parameters. Not talent. Power. You cannot out-code the grid. You cannot train a frontier model with a press release. The smartest model on Earth still needs a dumb turbine spinning somewhere. The smartest engineers alive are building on top of someone else’s silicon, inside someone else’s cloud, powered by someone else’s electricity. They own nothing beneath them. Huang: “This layer on top ultimately is where economic benefit will happen.” Healthcare. Finance. Manufacturing. The only floors where AI actually meets money. Every dollar of real value lives at the top. Every physical constraint that decides who gets to play lives at the bottom. The model sits in between. Squeezed from above and below and owning neither end. Silicon Valley is burning hundreds of billions to build plumbing for somebody else’s economy. The basement decides if it runs. The penthouse decides if it pays. The companies building models think they are building the future. Huang just told them they are the middle layer in someone else’s cake.

Dustin

536,008 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад