正在加载视频...

视频加载失败

返回首页

Genius Sports data indicates "almost no overlap" between sportsbook and prediction market customers, per CCO Jack Davison. "Only 9% of prediction market customers return within 12 months and deposit far less than sports bettors."

sam_mcquill's profile picture

Sam McQuillan

4,679 subscribers

36,962 次观看 • 9 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

LIVE

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

0 条评论

暂无评论

原始帖子的评论将显示在这里

相关视频

What if you could create your own prediction market and earn 50% of all trading fees on it? Now you can. Only on Takes less than 40 seconds. Here's how 👇
0:49

What if you could create your own prediction market and earn 50% of all trading fees on it? Now you can. Only on Takes less than 40 seconds. Here's how 👇

Worm

55,590 次观看 • 5 个月前

🚨 The future of sports betting is here - and it's on the blockchain > Sharp bettors are already leaving bookmakers for prediction markets. > 15-35% of handle is migrating within 18 months. > The reason - taxes, limits, 12% margin. > Polymarket: ~1% margin, no limits reaction in seconds. > But most people still use it like a regular sportsbook. > What if you compare Polymarket with a bookmaker and an ML model? > Three sources disagree - someone knows more. > That divergence is the edge. > Built a full pipeline: Python + Claude API + XGBoost + ELO.
1:04:31

🚨 The future of sports betting is here - and it's on the blockchain > Sharp bettors are already leaving bookmakers for prediction markets. > 15-35% of handle is migrating within 18 months. > The reason - taxes, limits, 12% margin. > Polymarket: ~1% margin, no limits reaction in seconds. > But most people still use it like a regular sportsbook. > What if you compare Polymarket with a bookmaker and an ML model? > Three sources disagree - someone knows more. > That divergence is the edge. > Built a full pipeline: Python + Claude API + XGBoost + ELO.

zostaff

34,221 次观看 • 5 个月前

Sports books take 10% of every bet and ban winners. Novig founder and CEO Jacob Fortinsky joins our Stateful podcast, hosted by Mason Strom. In this episode, they discuss why prediction markets may replace the casino model in sports: - Sports books kick out profitable users. - 5% better odds on average vs. traditional platforms - CFTC shift: sports event contracts regulated as financial products nationwide - Be your own house: set your own odds, collect the spread - $2T global sports market with zero dominant exchange 00:17 The $75M Bet on Sports Prediction Markets 01:08 From StubHub Algorithms to Prediction Markets 02:21 Replacing the House: Peer-to-Peer Sports Betting 03:59 Do Sportsbooks Survive? 06:14 Be Your Own House: The Market Maker Model 08:35 How Novig Makes Money Without a Vig 10:23 Why Now? The Regulatory Shift Changing Everything 11:51 The Modern Sports Bettor: More Trader Than Fan 14:58 Prediction Market Regulation: Lawsuits, CFTC & Congress 17:45 Novig vs. DraftKings, Polymarket & Robinhood 20:18 Where Prediction Markets Go From Here 22:48 Quickfire: Favorite Sport to Bet On 24:37 Founder Advice: Stay Alive & Don't Chase Trends 26:22 Hiring for Culture Over Raw Talent
29:30

Sports books take 10% of every bet and ban winners. Novig founder and CEO Jacob Fortinsky joins our Stateful podcast, hosted by Mason Strom. In this episode, they discuss why prediction markets may replace the casino model in sports: - Sports books kick out profitable users. - 5% better odds on average vs. traditional platforms - CFTC shift: sports event contracts regulated as financial products nationwide - Be your own house: set your own odds, collect the spread - $2T global sports market with zero dominant exchange 00:17 The $75M Bet on Sports Prediction Markets 01:08 From StubHub Algorithms to Prediction Markets 02:21 Replacing the House: Peer-to-Peer Sports Betting 03:59 Do Sportsbooks Survive? 06:14 Be Your Own House: The Market Maker Model 08:35 How Novig Makes Money Without a Vig 10:23 Why Now? The Regulatory Shift Changing Everything 11:51 The Modern Sports Bettor: More Trader Than Fan 14:58 Prediction Market Regulation: Lawsuits, CFTC & Congress 17:45 Novig vs. DraftKings, Polymarket & Robinhood 20:18 Where Prediction Markets Go From Here 22:48 Quickfire: Favorite Sport to Bet On 24:37 Founder Advice: Stay Alive & Don't Chase Trends 26:22 Hiring for Culture Over Raw Talent

Pantera Capital

25,422 次观看 • 6 个月前

JUST IN: Robinhood CEO says crypto is already taking a “disproportionate share” of prediction market activity. He expects users to increasingly trade views on crypto, Fed rates, legislation like the CLARITY Act and much more. “Within a few years, sports will actually be in the minority.” 👀
1:12

JUST IN: Robinhood CEO says crypto is already taking a “disproportionate share” of prediction market activity. He expects users to increasingly trade views on crypto, Fed rates, legislation like the CLARITY Act and much more. “Within a few years, sports will actually be in the minority.” 👀

CryptosRus

20,068 次观看 • 4 天前

I built a decentralized prediction market app called Aracana Markets, fully live and deployed on Arc network. Arcana Market is an onchain prediction market where anyone trades YES or NO on real-world events using USDC on arc network. Right now , there are active 33 markets covering: crypto, politics, sports, macro, AI , culture , arc , and science. To get started claim faucet at - Visit - connect your wallet - pick any market of your choice - predict either yes or no - trade with USDC - contract settles automatically when the event resolves i would really love it if you could test it out and share your feedback with me. Thank you. ⚠️ testnet only , please use a burner wallet
2:35

I built a decentralized prediction market app called Aracana Markets, fully live and deployed on Arc network. Arcana Market is an onchain prediction market where anyone trades YES or NO on real-world events using USDC on arc network. Right now , there are active 33 markets covering: crypto, politics, sports, macro, AI , culture , arc , and science. To get started claim faucet at - Visit - connect your wallet - pick any market of your choice - predict either yes or no - trade with USDC - contract settles automatically when the event resolves i would really love it if you could test it out and share your feedback with me. Thank you. ⚠️ testnet only , please use a burner wallet

Stephanie

43,885 次观看 • 5 个月前

My conversation with Professor Aswath Damodaran (Aswath Damodaran). We cover: • AI winners and losers in the Magnificent 7 • OpenAI's (projected) growth rates • The software selloff • Corporate Bitcoin balance sheets • Sports franchises as "trophy assets" • The rise of prediction markets 0:00 Starts 0:34 Professor Damodaran on the Magnificent Seven 7:26 OpenAI's growth, AI's impact on valuations, and software industries 16:07 High capex investment risks 23:10 Market timing 33:43 Trust and the rise of gold and silver 45:12 Cryptocurrencies on company balance sheets 47:42 Sports franchises 52:27 Prediction markets
58:21

My conversation with Professor Aswath Damodaran (Aswath Damodaran). We cover: • AI winners and losers in the Magnificent 7 • OpenAI's (projected) growth rates • The software selloff • Corporate Bitcoin balance sheets • Sports franchises as "trophy assets" • The rise of prediction markets 0:00 Starts 0:34 Professor Damodaran on the Magnificent Seven 7:26 OpenAI's growth, AI's impact on valuations, and software industries 16:07 High capex investment risks 23:10 Market timing 33:43 Trust and the rise of gold and silver 45:12 Cryptocurrencies on company balance sheets 47:42 Sports franchises 52:27 Prediction markets

Meb Faber

65,080 次观看 • 6 个月前

BASECASE $CASE IS NOW LIVE! CA: 0x91Af643fc6db5eF56c3001a988bBbe40af6E2CcB Crypto, sports, weather, politics - or even a casual bet between friends. If you can think of it, you can find (or create) a market on BaseCase. The best part? There’s no house setting the odds and extracting value. Participants trade directly against each other, in open, permissionless markets - not against a centralized intermediary designed to always win. But BaseCase is so much more than another prediction market. $CASE underpins a permissionless prediction ecosystem built around a core constraint: liquidity - the factor that has limited prediction markets’ ability to scale, remain efficient, and reach real-world relevance. TLDR? BaseCase is building the base layer all prediction markets will come to rely on - from market leaders like Polymarket, Binance, and MetaMask through to new and emerging platforms. At its core is the $CASE token - unlocking up to 50% of protocol fees, enhanced creator rewards, priority access, and much more to come. BaseCase’s TGE has officially occurred, and $CASE is now live for trading on Pineapple $PAPPLE. Buy $CASE now: #base #tge #seed #papple #launch #crypto
0:49

BASECASE $CASE IS NOW LIVE! CA: 0x91Af643fc6db5eF56c3001a988bBbe40af6E2CcB Crypto, sports, weather, politics - or even a casual bet between friends. If you can think of it, you can find (or create) a market on BaseCase. The best part? There’s no house setting the odds and extracting value. Participants trade directly against each other, in open, permissionless markets - not against a centralized intermediary designed to always win. But BaseCase is so much more than another prediction market. $CASE underpins a permissionless prediction ecosystem built around a core constraint: liquidity - the factor that has limited prediction markets’ ability to scale, remain efficient, and reach real-world relevance. TLDR? BaseCase is building the base layer all prediction markets will come to rely on - from market leaders like Polymarket, Binance, and MetaMask through to new and emerging platforms. At its core is the $CASE token - unlocking up to 50% of protocol fees, enhanced creator rewards, priority access, and much more to come. BaseCase’s TGE has officially occurred, and $CASE is now live for trading on Pineapple $PAPPLE. Buy $CASE now: #base #tge #seed #papple #launch #crypto

Launch with Seed | $SEED

19,303 次观看 • 8 个月前

Young investors are ditching the stock market for sports betting and prediction markets in an effort to escape the permanent underclass. But maybe spending more and investing less could be an even better option. I sat down with Jack Raines to unpack the rise of the degenerate economy, the daunting financial outlook for Gen Z, and how Jack turned $6K into $400K trading SPACS. We also discussed Jack's new book YOUNG MONEY, which is a must-read for ambitious twenty-somethings who want a modern, funnier and more relevant version of The Defining Decade. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Invest less, spend more 2:44 - Retirement vs. cheap thrills 3:36 - Increase income, not savings 5:49 - Can young people afford anything? 8:33 - Sports betting 11:30 - Prediction markets 12:03 - Stage-specificity of life 18:15 - Boring investing for Gen Z 21:08 - Comparing yourself to outliers 23:04 - Status games 26:55 - Trading SPACs 34:23 - Young Money
36:22

Young investors are ditching the stock market for sports betting and prediction markets in an effort to escape the permanent underclass. But maybe spending more and investing less could be an even better option. I sat down with Jack Raines to unpack the rise of the degenerate economy, the daunting financial outlook for Gen Z, and how Jack turned $6K into $400K trading SPACS. We also discussed Jack's new book YOUNG MONEY, which is a must-read for ambitious twenty-somethings who want a modern, funnier and more relevant version of The Defining Decade. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Invest less, spend more 2:44 - Retirement vs. cheap thrills 3:36 - Increase income, not savings 5:49 - Can young people afford anything? 8:33 - Sports betting 11:30 - Prediction markets 12:03 - Stage-specificity of life 18:15 - Boring investing for Gen Z 21:08 - Comparing yourself to outliers 23:04 - Status games 26:55 - Trading SPACs 34:23 - Young Money

Phil Rosen

17,702 次观看 • 28 天前

I kept thinking about one thing while creating this video… What happens when the world’s biggest sports event collides with a decentralized prediction market built for real-time participation? Not just watching football anymore. Not just reacting after matches anymore. But millions of people moving with the same moments together in real time through liquidity, probability, strategy, and market participation. I wanted this video to feel like a glimpse into what that future could actually look like. The 2026 World Cup is coming. POTS MARKET is launching soon. And honestly… this feels bigger than a normal prediction platform. This feels like football, market psychology, and Web3 infrastructure all colliding at the same moment. “Same World Cup. Different Game.” Explore more about the future of prediction markets here: Now take a few minutes to watch the video carefully from start to finish 👇 #PotsMarket #WorldCup2026 #PredictionMarkets
3:38

I kept thinking about one thing while creating this video… What happens when the world’s biggest sports event collides with a decentralized prediction market built for real-time participation? Not just watching football anymore. Not just reacting after matches anymore. But millions of people moving with the same moments together in real time through liquidity, probability, strategy, and market participation. I wanted this video to feel like a glimpse into what that future could actually look like. The 2026 World Cup is coming. POTS MARKET is launching soon. And honestly… this feels bigger than a normal prediction platform. This feels like football, market psychology, and Web3 infrastructure all colliding at the same moment. “Same World Cup. Different Game.” Explore more about the future of prediction markets here: Now take a few minutes to watch the video carefully from start to finish 👇 #PotsMarket #WorldCup2026 #PredictionMarkets

𝗠𝗜𝗥𝗘𝗟 𝗩𝗘𝗚𝗔𝗥

21,657 次观看 • 3 个月前

IF YOU TRADE PREDICTION MARKETS EVERY DAY you probably need a terminal instead of another prediction market app Predict Parity puts polymarket, polymarket us into one professional trading interface where you can search markets by category, volume, liquidity and odds. weather markets are a perfect example because i can scan the most liquid opportunities, save the markets i want to watch and trade without jumping between platforms. then i can do the same with traders by finding profitable weather wallets, bookmarking them and tracking their next moves. polymarket traders use one terminal for prediction markets, market discovery, trader tracking and execution. Parity is FREE to use and much cleaner than trading from a bunch of separate tabs. Enter to Parity only with invite access: Claim invite ➔
2:02

IF YOU TRADE PREDICTION MARKETS EVERY DAY you probably need a terminal instead of another prediction market app Predict Parity puts polymarket, polymarket us into one professional trading interface where you can search markets by category, volume, liquidity and odds. weather markets are a perfect example because i can scan the most liquid opportunities, save the markets i want to watch and trade without jumping between platforms. then i can do the same with traders by finding profitable weather wallets, bookmarking them and tracking their next moves. polymarket traders use one terminal for prediction markets, market discovery, trader tracking and execution. Parity is FREE to use and much cleaner than trading from a bunch of separate tabs. Enter to Parity only with invite access: Claim invite ➔

PolySuccubus

25,800 次观看 • 1 个月前

Prediction markets are no longer a niche corner of crypto. real people are putting real money behind real convictions on sports, crypto, and global geopolitics. the infrastructure is maturing fast. at the center of that shift is POTS MARKET. not just a platform a tool for aggregating collective intelligence. Users bet on outcomes with actual stakes, and the market reveals what the crowd actually believes. The numbers back it up. POTS Market is officially ranked a Top 20 Builder on Polymarket, with over $4M in monthly trading volume. that's not speculation that's traction. sports. financial indicators. major world events. POTS Market gives you the liquidity and depth to turn sharp insights into actual positions. If you see it before the market does, you can profit from it. stop guessing. start backing your conviction with stakes. explore the ecosystem → POTS MARKET POTS MONEY
1:23

Prediction markets are no longer a niche corner of crypto. real people are putting real money behind real convictions on sports, crypto, and global geopolitics. the infrastructure is maturing fast. at the center of that shift is POTS MARKET. not just a platform a tool for aggregating collective intelligence. Users bet on outcomes with actual stakes, and the market reveals what the crowd actually believes. The numbers back it up. POTS Market is officially ranked a Top 20 Builder on Polymarket, with over $4M in monthly trading volume. that's not speculation that's traction. sports. financial indicators. major world events. POTS Market gives you the liquidity and depth to turn sharp insights into actual positions. If you see it before the market does, you can profit from it. stop guessing. start backing your conviction with stakes. explore the ecosystem → POTS MARKET POTS MONEY

KAISER

12,208 次观看 • 3 个月前

⚽ The 2026 FIFA World Cup is shaping up to be more than just the biggest football tournament ever organized, it could also become a defining moment for the growth of prediction markets globally. ⚽🌍 With more countries participating, more matches being played, and billions of fans actively following every stage of the tournament, the amount of real time engagement around outcomes, trends, and public sentiment will likely increase massively. Events of this scale naturally create the perfect environment for prediction based ecosystems to thrive. That’s one reason why Pots Market feels especially interesting right now. Instead of positioning itself as just another betting platform, the project appears to be exploring something much broader, combining prediction markets, on chain liquidity, and community driven insights into a more interactive ecosystem. The social layer around collective forecasting and market participation could become just as valuable as the predictions themselves. What also makes Pots Money stand out is the way it connects DeFi infrastructure with events that already attract global attention organically. Rather than forcing users into complicated financial systems, it brings Web3 mechanics into spaces people are already emotionally invested in like football, tournaments, global narratives, and crowd sentiment. You suddenly have sports culture, market psychology, liquidity movement, and community participation all existing within the same ecosystem. As major global events continue to merge with blockchain based participation models, prediction markets may slowly evolve into one of the clearest and strongest real world applications of Web3 technology. And if adoption continues growing at this pace, the 2026 World Cup might end up becoming one of the biggest catalysts the prediction market sector has seen so far. Pots Money Pots Market
5:47

⚽ The 2026 FIFA World Cup is shaping up to be more than just the biggest football tournament ever organized, it could also become a defining moment for the growth of prediction markets globally. ⚽🌍 With more countries participating, more matches being played, and billions of fans actively following every stage of the tournament, the amount of real time engagement around outcomes, trends, and public sentiment will likely increase massively. Events of this scale naturally create the perfect environment for prediction based ecosystems to thrive. That’s one reason why Pots Market feels especially interesting right now. Instead of positioning itself as just another betting platform, the project appears to be exploring something much broader, combining prediction markets, on chain liquidity, and community driven insights into a more interactive ecosystem. The social layer around collective forecasting and market participation could become just as valuable as the predictions themselves. What also makes Pots Money stand out is the way it connects DeFi infrastructure with events that already attract global attention organically. Rather than forcing users into complicated financial systems, it brings Web3 mechanics into spaces people are already emotionally invested in like football, tournaments, global narratives, and crowd sentiment. You suddenly have sports culture, market psychology, liquidity movement, and community participation all existing within the same ecosystem. As major global events continue to merge with blockchain based participation models, prediction markets may slowly evolve into one of the clearest and strongest real world applications of Web3 technology. And if adoption continues growing at this pace, the 2026 World Cup might end up becoming one of the biggest catalysts the prediction market sector has seen so far. Pots Money Pots Market

Chioma Chukwurah ⚛️🥷⚔️

18,702 次观看 • 4 个月前

𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟔 𝐖𝐨𝐫𝐥𝐝 𝐂𝐮𝐩 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐠𝐞𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐦𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐬𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐡𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲. Most people will use sportsbooks. A few will discover something better. Here's why the World Cup is actually POTS MARKET Market biggest moment. Every match carries dozens of predictable outcomes, not just who wins, but scorelines, goalscorers, red cards, halftime leads, VAR decisions. Traditional sportsbooks will process billions in bets. And keep most of it. Here is the problem with sportsbooks that nobody talks about: They set the odds. Not the market. Which means the house always has an edge baked in before you place a single bet. You're not trading against the market, you're trading against a company whose entire business model depends on you losing. That's not a prediction market. That's a casino with a football shirt on. Prediction markets are different. The odds aren't set by a company. They're set by the collective intelligence of everyone participating. When millions of people put real money behind their beliefs, the market finds truth faster than any analyst, pundit, or algorithm working alone. This is why prediction markets outperform polls, pundits, and press releases, every single time. Now here's where POTS Market changes the game entirely. POTS MONEY has a dedicated sports vertical, built specifically for football, basketball, and esports. Not a generic market with a football category tucked in the corner. A tailored module optimized for the way sports prediction actually works, short windows, live data, rapid settlement. 64 World Cup matches = 64 live prediction markets. Each one open, on-chain, transparent. But the real edge is not the markets themselves. It's the capital layer underneath them. On a traditional sportsbook, every bet locks your full stake. You place £100, that £100 is gone until settlement. POTS Money changes this. The DeFi lending primitive means you can collateralize positions and optimize capital across multiple markets simultaneously, without locking up dead capital on each one. That's not betting. That's portfolio management. And then there's the AI layer. Via MCP (Model Context Protocol), you can deploy autonomous trading agents that monitor live match data and execute positions based on your pre-set strategy. Imagine this: Agent monitors possession stats in real time Detects a momentum shift at the 60th minute Auto-places a position on the next goalscorer market before the crowd even reacts 𝙏𝙝𝙖𝙩'𝙨 𝙣𝙤𝙩 𝙖 𝙥𝙧𝙚𝙙𝙞𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣. 𝙏𝙝𝙖𝙩'𝙨 𝙖𝙣 𝙚𝙙𝙜𝙚 Compare the two worlds side by side: Sportsbook: ❌ House sets the odds ❌ Geo-restricted ❌ Capital locked per bet ❌ No automation ❌ Withdraw only when they allow it POTS Market: ✅ Market sets the odds ✅ Open and on-chain ✅ Capital efficient via DeFi lending ✅ AI agents execute your strategy ✅ Fully collateralized, transparent settlement One of these is built for the next decade. The other is built for the last one. The timing is not a coincidence. POTS Market launches Q2 2026, right as World Cup fever peaks globally. Q1 2026 — MVP + Polymarket integration ✅ Q2 2026 — Market Launch + DeFi lending beta 👈 we are here Q3-Q4 2026 — Skill Hub + Sub-accounts 2027+ — DAO governance + cross-chain The infrastructure is ready exactly when the biggest prediction event on earth arrives. That's timing. The 2026 World Cup will mint the first generation of serious prediction market traders. Most will start on sportsbooks. The ones who do their research will end up on POTS. From trusting the house to trusting the market. From locked capital to capital efficiency. From punting to positioning. POTS MARKET POTS MONEY, the World Cup just became a DeFi event.
3:28

𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟔 𝐖𝐨𝐫𝐥𝐝 𝐂𝐮𝐩 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐠𝐞𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐦𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐬𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐡𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲. Most people will use sportsbooks. A few will discover something better. Here's why the World Cup is actually POTS MARKET Market biggest moment. Every match carries dozens of predictable outcomes, not just who wins, but scorelines, goalscorers, red cards, halftime leads, VAR decisions. Traditional sportsbooks will process billions in bets. And keep most of it. Here is the problem with sportsbooks that nobody talks about: They set the odds. Not the market. Which means the house always has an edge baked in before you place a single bet. You're not trading against the market, you're trading against a company whose entire business model depends on you losing. That's not a prediction market. That's a casino with a football shirt on. Prediction markets are different. The odds aren't set by a company. They're set by the collective intelligence of everyone participating. When millions of people put real money behind their beliefs, the market finds truth faster than any analyst, pundit, or algorithm working alone. This is why prediction markets outperform polls, pundits, and press releases, every single time. Now here's where POTS Market changes the game entirely. POTS MONEY has a dedicated sports vertical, built specifically for football, basketball, and esports. Not a generic market with a football category tucked in the corner. A tailored module optimized for the way sports prediction actually works, short windows, live data, rapid settlement. 64 World Cup matches = 64 live prediction markets. Each one open, on-chain, transparent. But the real edge is not the markets themselves. It's the capital layer underneath them. On a traditional sportsbook, every bet locks your full stake. You place £100, that £100 is gone until settlement. POTS Money changes this. The DeFi lending primitive means you can collateralize positions and optimize capital across multiple markets simultaneously, without locking up dead capital on each one. That's not betting. That's portfolio management. And then there's the AI layer. Via MCP (Model Context Protocol), you can deploy autonomous trading agents that monitor live match data and execute positions based on your pre-set strategy. Imagine this: Agent monitors possession stats in real time Detects a momentum shift at the 60th minute Auto-places a position on the next goalscorer market before the crowd even reacts 𝙏𝙝𝙖𝙩'𝙨 𝙣𝙤𝙩 𝙖 𝙥𝙧𝙚𝙙𝙞𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣. 𝙏𝙝𝙖𝙩'𝙨 𝙖𝙣 𝙚𝙙𝙜𝙚 Compare the two worlds side by side: Sportsbook: ❌ House sets the odds ❌ Geo-restricted ❌ Capital locked per bet ❌ No automation ❌ Withdraw only when they allow it POTS Market: ✅ Market sets the odds ✅ Open and on-chain ✅ Capital efficient via DeFi lending ✅ AI agents execute your strategy ✅ Fully collateralized, transparent settlement One of these is built for the next decade. The other is built for the last one. The timing is not a coincidence. POTS Market launches Q2 2026, right as World Cup fever peaks globally. Q1 2026 — MVP + Polymarket integration ✅ Q2 2026 — Market Launch + DeFi lending beta 👈 we are here Q3-Q4 2026 — Skill Hub + Sub-accounts 2027+ — DAO governance + cross-chain The infrastructure is ready exactly when the biggest prediction event on earth arrives. That's timing. The 2026 World Cup will mint the first generation of serious prediction market traders. Most will start on sportsbooks. The ones who do their research will end up on POTS. From trusting the house to trusting the market. From locked capital to capital efficiency. From punting to positioning. POTS MARKET POTS MONEY, the World Cup just became a DeFi event.

KIMMY OF GOOD LIFE 😍

22,397 次观看 • 4 个月前

A lot of discussion and announcements around prediction markets: purely for fun, I've built a demo app. Meet Betcha, my attempt to broaden the prediction markets TAM. 📊 Current state: Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are powerful truth-seeking tools because money on the line and arbitrage keep prices honest as new information hits. Most participants today are traders and bettors who are very fee-sensitive, so raising fees will be challenging. Growth has to come from much higher volume, which is achievable, but it will take time. 🏛️ Sportsbook/Regulatory Environment: Because CFTC-regulated event contracts create a potential path into some states that have not legalized sports betting, prediction-market rails can help sportsbooks reach markets they previously could not. Reframing parlays and prop-style outcomes as “predictions” is clever and expands reach from zero revenue in states where they can't operate sportsbooks to something. Still, these products will likely remain volume-constrained, struggling to match a traditional sportsbook’s vig. The positive is that the sportsbooks won't be getting gouged by state-level taxes as part of the process of leveraging prediction markets vs. sportsbooks. I still think this will be an exciting category that emerges, but it will take time. I want to see Polymarket build its own PM sports-specific app to compete here vs whitelabel (cc: Shayne Coplan 🦅) 📈 Market expansion thesis: Stop optimizing just for traders. Try building for the culture that lives on TikTok/Twitter/Reddit. They're already making predictions - just give them a scoreboard and an easier way to participate in returns. 🎪 Behavioral unlock: The mass market will never identify as "bettors." They want social proof, bragging rights, and gamified experiences. Critically, they're far less fee-sensitive when entertainment value is high, and that's the opportunity Prediction markets have a volume and take rate dilemma, and I think fun consumer apps like this can help solve it. Fine-tune the algorithm to serve event contracts I actually care about, let me lock in a pick fast, and build simple social features on top. Anyway, here's my demo. Any feedback/discussion is welcome!
0:34

A lot of discussion and announcements around prediction markets: purely for fun, I've built a demo app. Meet Betcha, my attempt to broaden the prediction markets TAM. 📊 Current state: Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are powerful truth-seeking tools because money on the line and arbitrage keep prices honest as new information hits. Most participants today are traders and bettors who are very fee-sensitive, so raising fees will be challenging. Growth has to come from much higher volume, which is achievable, but it will take time. 🏛️ Sportsbook/Regulatory Environment: Because CFTC-regulated event contracts create a potential path into some states that have not legalized sports betting, prediction-market rails can help sportsbooks reach markets they previously could not. Reframing parlays and prop-style outcomes as “predictions” is clever and expands reach from zero revenue in states where they can't operate sportsbooks to something. Still, these products will likely remain volume-constrained, struggling to match a traditional sportsbook’s vig. The positive is that the sportsbooks won't be getting gouged by state-level taxes as part of the process of leveraging prediction markets vs. sportsbooks. I still think this will be an exciting category that emerges, but it will take time. I want to see Polymarket build its own PM sports-specific app to compete here vs whitelabel (cc: Shayne Coplan 🦅) 📈 Market expansion thesis: Stop optimizing just for traders. Try building for the culture that lives on TikTok/Twitter/Reddit. They're already making predictions - just give them a scoreboard and an easier way to participate in returns. 🎪 Behavioral unlock: The mass market will never identify as "bettors." They want social proof, bragging rights, and gamified experiences. Critically, they're far less fee-sensitive when entertainment value is high, and that's the opportunity Prediction markets have a volume and take rate dilemma, and I think fun consumer apps like this can help solve it. Fine-tune the algorithm to serve event contracts I actually care about, let me lock in a pick fast, and build simple social features on top. Anyway, here's my demo. Any feedback/discussion is welcome!

Ryan Wyatt

83,651 次观看 • 1 年前

Okay, this might be the wildest prediction market I've seen on 😂 We spend so much time predicting sports, crypto and politics... Now we're predicting whether humanity gets confirmation we're not alone. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 👽 Will the US confirm alien life in 2026? 🛸 Will aliens actually arrive on Earth before the end of 2026? 💰 YES can pay up to 100x ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ I have absolutely no idea what the answer is, but that's exactly what makes this market interesting. And if you're confident enough to make the call, you can find it in the 1win Markets section. Make your prediction here :👇 1win Markets - Be honest... if you had to pick one, YES or NO? 👽
1:15

Okay, this might be the wildest prediction market I've seen on 😂 We spend so much time predicting sports, crypto and politics... Now we're predicting whether humanity gets confirmation we're not alone. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 👽 Will the US confirm alien life in 2026? 🛸 Will aliens actually arrive on Earth before the end of 2026? 💰 YES can pay up to 100x ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ I have absolutely no idea what the answer is, but that's exactly what makes this market interesting. And if you're confident enough to make the call, you can find it in the 1win Markets section. Make your prediction here :👇 1win Markets - Be honest... if you had to pick one, YES or NO? 👽

F E R R U M ( ♟,♟)

17,793 次观看 • 1 个月前

New Jersey is asking the Supreme Court to settle the prediction markets fight "New Jersey is taking the fight over Kalshi's prediction markets to the Supreme Court, the first time a state has asked for that to happen. This is part of a broader turf war between the CFTC and the states over what a prediction market contract actually is, a federally regulated derivative or sports betting under state jurisdiction." "Kalshi says its sports event contracts are federally regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act. The states say they infringe on their territory to make money on gambling. The Third Circuit ruled for Kalshi in April, finding federal law preempted New Jersey's gambling regulation." "Last week, the Ninth Circuit reached the opposite preliminary conclusion in another case, and the conflicting rulings create a circuit split that could invite Supreme Court review. The Supreme Court has not agreed to hear this yet, but New Jersey is asking for it." "Prediction markets are now letting you bet on whether the Supreme Court will rule that prediction markets are legal."
1:18

New Jersey is asking the Supreme Court to settle the prediction markets fight "New Jersey is taking the fight over Kalshi's prediction markets to the Supreme Court, the first time a state has asked for that to happen. This is part of a broader turf war between the CFTC and the states over what a prediction market contract actually is, a federally regulated derivative or sports betting under state jurisdiction." "Kalshi says its sports event contracts are federally regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act. The states say they infringe on their territory to make money on gambling. The Third Circuit ruled for Kalshi in April, finding federal law preempted New Jersey's gambling regulation." "Last week, the Ninth Circuit reached the opposite preliminary conclusion in another case, and the conflicting rulings create a circuit split that could invite Supreme Court review. The Supreme Court has not agreed to hear this yet, but New Jersey is asking for it." "Prediction markets are now letting you bet on whether the Supreme Court will rule that prediction markets are legal."

The Wolf Of All Streets

25,175 次观看 • 20 天前

The G.I. Bill is the only program in history to send more kids to college than College Sports. 60% of American CEO’s have College Sports backgrounds. Our Olympic development program is housed almost entirely inside College Sports. Competition between schools and conferences is core to the value of the experience, and we all want our teams to win. But College Sports exist for the benefit of ALL Americans and to provide life changing opportunity to kids who would not have it otherwise. It’s about developing leaders for the next generation! We MUST set aside tribalism and greed and recognize that the importance of Saving College Sports goes FAR beyond what happens on the field. And it DEFINITELY matters more than how much money goes into a commissioner or executive’s pocket! More of my CNBC interview…
0:51

The G.I. Bill is the only program in history to send more kids to college than College Sports. 60% of American CEO’s have College Sports backgrounds. Our Olympic development program is housed almost entirely inside College Sports. Competition between schools and conferences is core to the value of the experience, and we all want our teams to win. But College Sports exist for the benefit of ALL Americans and to provide life changing opportunity to kids who would not have it otherwise. It’s about developing leaders for the next generation! We MUST set aside tribalism and greed and recognize that the importance of Saving College Sports goes FAR beyond what happens on the field. And it DEFINITELY matters more than how much money goes into a commissioner or executive’s pocket! More of my CNBC interview…

Cody Campbell

959,244 次观看 • 1 年前

Ex-CFTC chairman Chris Giancarlo's argument on why prediction markets fall under federal rather than state jurisdiction "This Sunday I'm putting out a podcast I recorded with ex CFTC chairman Chris Giancarlo, and he made a very clear point, that this is CFTC jurisdiction and not the states at all, that it's going to go to the Supreme Court and the CFTC is going to win" "His argument was that for the states to be the regulator, there had to be a middleman. A prediction market contract, whether on sports or anything else, is a binary bet between you and me over the outcome" "States get to regulate things like casinos, where there's a house in between keeping a vig. But these contracts do not count"
1:07

Ex-CFTC chairman Chris Giancarlo's argument on why prediction markets fall under federal rather than state jurisdiction "This Sunday I'm putting out a podcast I recorded with ex CFTC chairman Chris Giancarlo, and he made a very clear point, that this is CFTC jurisdiction and not the states at all, that it's going to go to the Supreme Court and the CFTC is going to win" "His argument was that for the states to be the regulator, there had to be a middleman. A prediction market contract, whether on sports or anything else, is a binary bet between you and me over the outcome" "States get to regulate things like casinos, where there's a house in between keeping a vig. But these contracts do not count"

The Wolf Of All Streets

24,433 次观看 • 1 个月前

DROPS E39: Worm - The permissionless truth machine Nass Diba studied quantum physics, worked at Facebook, then left to build in crypto. He's now building Worm - a permissionless prediction market on Solana with leverage. His thesis: prediction markets are the only mechanism that consistently surfaces truth, and they're about to matter more than ever. He grew up in Iran under a dictatorship. He watched state TV claim there was no inflation while the money in people's pockets shrank. That's not a metaphor for him - it's the problem he's building to solve. We talk about: - Why CNN and Fox both showed different election results in 2024 - Growing up in Iran and experiencing information asymmetry under dictatorship firsthand - Building a Poly Market Telegram mini app in September 2024 and getting 56,000 users overnight - Why 90% of those users weren't American - and what that revealed about the technology - How leverage works on prediction markets, why it took 9 months to build, and what liquidation actually means when there's no price - just probability - Why Polymarket and Kalshi are scratching the surface of what's possible - Prediction markets as the engagement layer for Web3 - and what Worm is launching on HyperLiquid HIP-4 And much more… Timestamps: 0:00 Introduction 1:17 Welcome to DROPS 1:57 Prediction Markets in 2026 3:08 Can the crowd be wrong? 4:26 Money Creates Better Truth Discovery 5:22 Who is Nass? 5:55 Growing up in Iran 6:52 Entered Crypto in 2019 8:05 Discovering Prediction Markets 10:08 Signal Behind the 2024 Elections 11:59 How Prediction Markets Disrupt Traditional Media 13:16 Traditional Media Prioritizes Incentives Over Truth 17:33 Polymarket vs Kalshi: Which Model Wins? 18:25 Why is Kalshi or Polymarket enough? 19:43 Lessons Learned Building on Polymarket 21:07 Building Worm on Solana 21:56 What Is Worm and its special elements? 23:36 How Leverage Works on Prediction Markets 25:29 Hedging 27:33 Prediction Markets vs Options & Perps 29:15 How Liquidations Work 31:13 Why Leverage is more than a Gimmick 33:04 Building Leverage Was Harder Than Expected 34:12 Solving Liquidity Problem 36:05 How Worm Acquires Users 36:59 Inflection Point for Prediction Markets 39:06 Why Worm chose Solana 40:24 Becoming the Hyperliquid of Prediction Markets 42:26 Solana vs Hyperliquid: Which Wins? 45:00 Conclusion
46:11

DROPS E39: Worm - The permissionless truth machine Nass Diba studied quantum physics, worked at Facebook, then left to build in crypto. He's now building Worm - a permissionless prediction market on Solana with leverage. His thesis: prediction markets are the only mechanism that consistently surfaces truth, and they're about to matter more than ever. He grew up in Iran under a dictatorship. He watched state TV claim there was no inflation while the money in people's pockets shrank. That's not a metaphor for him - it's the problem he's building to solve. We talk about: - Why CNN and Fox both showed different election results in 2024 - Growing up in Iran and experiencing information asymmetry under dictatorship firsthand - Building a Poly Market Telegram mini app in September 2024 and getting 56,000 users overnight - Why 90% of those users weren't American - and what that revealed about the technology - How leverage works on prediction markets, why it took 9 months to build, and what liquidation actually means when there's no price - just probability - Why Polymarket and Kalshi are scratching the surface of what's possible - Prediction markets as the engagement layer for Web3 - and what Worm is launching on HyperLiquid HIP-4 And much more… Timestamps: 0:00 Introduction 1:17 Welcome to DROPS 1:57 Prediction Markets in 2026 3:08 Can the crowd be wrong? 4:26 Money Creates Better Truth Discovery 5:22 Who is Nass? 5:55 Growing up in Iran 6:52 Entered Crypto in 2019 8:05 Discovering Prediction Markets 10:08 Signal Behind the 2024 Elections 11:59 How Prediction Markets Disrupt Traditional Media 13:16 Traditional Media Prioritizes Incentives Over Truth 17:33 Polymarket vs Kalshi: Which Model Wins? 18:25 Why is Kalshi or Polymarket enough? 19:43 Lessons Learned Building on Polymarket 21:07 Building Worm on Solana 21:56 What Is Worm and its special elements? 23:36 How Leverage Works on Prediction Markets 25:29 Hedging 27:33 Prediction Markets vs Options & Perps 29:15 How Liquidations Work 31:13 Why Leverage is more than a Gimmick 33:04 Building Leverage Was Harder Than Expected 34:12 Solving Liquidity Problem 36:05 How Worm Acquires Users 36:59 Inflection Point for Prediction Markets 39:06 Why Worm chose Solana 40:24 Becoming the Hyperliquid of Prediction Markets 42:26 Solana vs Hyperliquid: Which Wins? 45:00 Conclusion

MR SHIFT 🦁

31,123 次观看 • 3 个月前

ARK: SPACEX IS NO LONGER A ROCKET COMPANY After the largest IPO in history, the pitch to investors was about AI, not rockets: - SpaceX now tells investors more than 90% of its future market is AI, not space, after acquiring Elon Musk's xAI, its Grok models, and two of the most powerful data centers on Earth - The strategy is vertical integration: own the launch, the data centers, and the AI, with compute already rented to customers like Anthropic, Google, and Reflection AI - ARK estimates that at scale, sub $100 per kilogram launch costs make orbital data centers 25% cheaper to build than on the ground, in constant sunlight with nearly free energy
1:37

ARK: SPACEX IS NO LONGER A ROCKET COMPANY After the largest IPO in history, the pitch to investors was about AI, not rockets: - SpaceX now tells investors more than 90% of its future market is AI, not space, after acquiring Elon Musk's xAI, its Grok models, and two of the most powerful data centers on Earth - The strategy is vertical integration: own the launch, the data centers, and the AI, with compute already rented to customers like Anthropic, Google, and Reflection AI - ARK estimates that at scale, sub $100 per kilogram launch costs make orbital data centers 25% cheaper to build than on the ground, in constant sunlight with nearly free energy

Ark Invest Tracker

38,824 次观看 • 2 个月前