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Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis believes there is virtually no limit to what AI can eventually achieve. "humans as biological information processing systems". He is working on the premise that the entire universe is "computable," meaning that anything that exists can technically be modeled by a machine. He says...

84,464 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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.Naval: Every human is a lottery ticket bet on the future of the species. One of the things that you really learn when you read David Deutsch’s theories and you authenticate them for yourself is you realize humans are universal explainers. That means everything that we know in the universe follows the laws of physics, and there’s no reason to believe otherwise. If you think otherwise, then please present your better theory that explains the world. If you can’t do that, then you have to go with the laws of physics. Well, the laws of physics are completely computable. They can fit inside a Turing machine or computer, and a computer can simulate the laws of physics with arbitrary accuracy, limited only by the specific power of that computer. If you increase the power of that computer, you can simulate them more accurately. So humans already simulate—in our minds we simulate—and through our computers we simulate the weather, we simulate quasars, we even simulate human systems. We simulate the economy. We simulate all kinds of things. So anything that can be understood, we can understand in our minds. This is something the AGI people get wrong when they talk about superintelligence. There is nothing out there that can understand something fundamentally that we can’t understand. It might be faster at it, it might have more compute, it might have more memory, but there’s no concept that it can understand that we can’t ourselves understand. So we are maximal universal explainers. That means every human is capable of unbounded creativity. Anyone could be the next Einstein or Fermi or Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos or Jonas Salk or whatever. So we can create anything. And if we can create anything, every human is a lottery ticket bet on the future of the species.

Arjun Khemani

32,810 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Demis Hassabis just said something that should unsettle every scientist alive. Hassabis: “I do think that, ultimately, underlying physics is information theory. So I do think we’re in a computational universe.” The CEO of Google DeepMind is telling you reality runs on code. Not metaphorically. Structurally. AlphaFold didn’t approximate protein structures. It solved them. Not because DeepMind built a better guesser. Because proteins were never physical objects. They were always data. Hassabis: “The fact that these systems are able to model real structures in nature is quite interesting and telling.” He said telling. Not impressive. Not promising. Telling. As in the results reveal something about what reality actually is. AlphaGo found patterns in a 3,000-year-old game no civilization ever noticed. AlphaFold decoded biology in hours that took researchers decades. These systems aren’t approximating nature. They’re reading it fluently. Because nature was always written in a language machines understand better than we do. Hassabis: “Maybe at some point I’ll write up a scientific paper about what I think that really means in terms of what’s actually going on here in reality.” The man running the most advanced AI lab on Earth thinks he’s found something fundamental about existence itself. And he’s not ready to say it yet. Every era thinks it knows what the universe is made of. Atoms. Waves. Strings. Hassabis is suggesting the answer was never matter. It was always math. And the machine he built to fold proteins might have accidentally proved it. The question that should keep you up tonight isn’t whether AI can simulate reality. It’s whether reality was the simulation first.

Dustin

111,742 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

We are no longer building software. We are building agents. Systems that don’t wait for a prompt. Systems that don’t ask for permission. Systems that simply execute. DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis just revealed the terrifying duality of the agentic era. Hassabis: “Better healthcare, better drugs, helping with climate change and energy. All of these things are actually on the cusp of happening.” Post-scarcity abundance isn’t fantasy. It is a scheduled update. But macro-architects do not engineer for the best-case scenario. They engineer for the failure state. Hassabis identified the two exact vectors that could collapse the transition to superintelligence. The first is human malice. Hassabis: “Bad actors repurposing these technologies for harmful ends.” Intelligence is the ultimate dual-use weapon. If a neural network can invent a compound to cure a disease, it can engineer a pathogen to start a pandemic. The machine has no morality. It only has parameters. The second vector is architectural. Hassabis: “As these AI systems get more powerful, more autonomous, maybe entering the agentic era… how do we make sure we can build robust enough guardrails to keep them doing what we want?” Read that again. The people building the superintelligence do not know how to steer it once it wakes up. For the entire history of computing, the machine waited. An agentic system does not wait. It acts. We are handing the steering wheel to an entity operating at the speed of light, while our brains process information at the speed of chemistry. Once it begins executing, our biological reaction time is physically too slow to pull the plug. The question of control stops being a philosophical debate. It becomes a mathematical impossibility. Because by the time human biology realizes it needs to ask the question… The answer is already no.

Dustin

10,940 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

The smartest man in AI just exposed the whole AGI narrative as a LIE. And he used a physics problem from 1905 to prove it. His name is Demis Hassabis. He runs Google DeepMind, and won the Nobel Prize for using AI to crack a problem in biology that had stumped scientists for 50 years. Almost nobody in this industry has a track record like his. He went on the NothingButTech podcast and called out the biggest lie in AI right now: Right now the loudest voices in AI are telling you that AGI is basically here. OpenAI has literally defined AGI as a system that can outperform humans at most "economically valuable work." In other words, if it replaces enough jobs, we have arrived. Hassabis thinks that bar is a joke. He said real general intelligence has to do what the human brain can do, because the brain is the only proof we have that this kind of intelligence is even possible. He called that "a higher bar than just being able to do some useful economic work," which is about as close as a polite British Nobel laureate gets to calling his rivals out. Then he gave the actual test: Today's AI has read everything humans have ever written, including the theory of relativity. So when it explains relativity back to you, it's repeating an answer that already exists. That's not intelligence. So Hassabis proposed a test that makes memorization impossible. Train an AI on only what humanity knew in 1901, four years BEFORE Einstein published relativity. Then ask it to come up with relativity on its own. It can't look up the answer, because in 1901 the answer doesn't exist yet. The only way to pass is to do what Einstein actually did: Take the same physics everyone else had and reason its way to an idea no human had ever had. Hassabis says not a single AI today can, no matter how much it has memorized. Which means what we keep calling "almost AGI" is really just the best librarian in history. It can find any answer that already exists but it cannot create one that doesn't. His second version is even sharper: AlphaGo, the system his own team built, famously invented a brand new move that no human had played in 2,000 years of the game. Everyone called it genius but Hassabis says that still is not the bar. The real test is not whether an AI can invent a new move inside Go, it is whether an AI could INVENT a game as deep and as beautiful as Go in the first place. No model that exists today can do it. The people telling you AGI has already arrived are the same people raising hundreds of billions of dollars on that exact promise. The valuations only work if the finish line is right in front of us. So the finish line keeps getting dragged closer, and AGI keeps getting quietly redefined down to "does useful work," until the products they already sell happen to qualify. Hassabis has nothing to prove and nothing to sell you. He already won the Nobel, and he is telling you the machines still cannot do the one thing that would make them genuinely intelligent, which is have a truly original idea. To be fair to him, he is not a pessimist about it. He believes real AGI IS coming, and he is spending his life building it. He just refuses to pretend it is already sitting in your phone. So the next time a founder tells you AGI is months away, remember that the one man in the room with a Nobel Prize built his test around Einstein, and admitted that nothing we have made can pass it. What do you think?

Ricardo

1,281,309 Aufrufe • vor 17 Tagen