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GRAF now goes out through 1pm Monday, so here is its initial solution for the upcoming system. A lot of mixing at first around DC, when it goes over to snow in DC it's probably "white rain" for a little bit prior to rates overcoming ground warmth for accumulation...

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**WINTER STORM WATCH** TUESDAY'S SNOWFALL FORECAST FOR THE 1ST WINTER STORM OF THE YEAR WHAT TO EXPECT (BY ZONE) 🟢ZONE 1 – Heavy Rain (Central NJ, NYC, Long Island) This region remains solidly in the warm sector, meaning no meaningful snow accumulation. 🔴ZONE 2 – Mix of Snow, Sleet & Rain (Interior NJ, Southern Westchester, Southern CT, Lower Hudson Valley) This transitional zone holds onto snow the longest before eventually flipping to sleet and rain. These areas will likely see: A slushy early accumulation of 1–3 inches of wet snow Highest totals in elevated terrain north of I-95 and north of the Tappan Zee Bridge ❄️ZONE 3 – Heavy Wet Snow (Northwest NJ, Lower Hudson Valley North of I-84, Central CT) This is where the heaviest and most persistent snow occurs. A strong band of lift will develop Tuesday morning into early afternoon, creating snowfall rates capable of outpacing marginal surface temperatures. Expected totals: 3–6 inches of heavy, wet snow Isolated pockets of 6” possible above 600 feet 🌨️ZONE 4 – Jackpot Zone: Highest Elevations North of I-84. This zone includes the highest terrain of the Catskills and interior Connecticut/New York. These areas sit firmly in the cold sector for most of the event, allowing for the most efficient accumulation. Key locations: Monticello Poughkeepsie Walden Redding, CT Northern and high-elevation CT communities Snow totals: 6 inches+ possible FULL BREAKDOWN: ***MORE ON PIX11 News AT 10PM***

Mike Masco

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