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Here is a PERFECT Example of what I am talking about Step 1: Yoru sets up his TP 2: Waylay dashes onto target 3: Waylay Saturates Target 4: Waylay Refracts Away 5: Yoru TP + Flash onto target 6: Yoru kills target Now JOBLIFE 🇫🇷 have full mid control...

186,256 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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$QUBIC The 3 Performance Scenarios (2026 Projections) Currently, Qubic is floating with a market cap around $100M to $150M. Compared to AI giants like Bittensor ($TAO) which have already hit multi-billion dollar valuations, the upside potential is mathematically massive. 1. The "Fundamental Catch-up" Scenario (Probability: High) • Target: Reaching mid-cap AI status. • Performance: 10x to 15x • Price Target: ~$0.000010 - $0.000012 • Catalyst: The massive adoption of Oracle Machines (launched this Jan 21st) and real-world network usage for training lightweight AI models. At this stage, Qubic enters the Global Top 100. 2. The "Euphoria / Tier-1 Listing" Scenario (Probability: Moderate) • Target: Listing on major exchanges (Binance/Coinbase) and the explosion of the DePIN/AI narrative. • Performance: 40x to 60x • Price Target: ~$0.000040 - $0.000050 • Catalyst: This is where the 55% burn rate leverage hits hard. If demand surges while supply is aggressively burned by smart contract fees and Doge/XMR mining buybacks, we witness a "supply squeeze." Qubic begins to rival the peak valuations of previous cycle leaders. 3. The "AI Sovereignty" Scenario (Probability: Speculative) • Target: Aigarth becomes a credible, decentralized alternative to closed-source "Big Tech" models. • Performance: 100x and beyond • Price Target: ~$0.000080+ (deleting two zeros) • Catalyst: Qubic becomes the base layer for the "Internet of Machines." The token is no longer just a currency; it becomes "digital oil" required to power global decentralized intelligence. Why This Performance is Possible (The Analyst's Alpha) What sets Qubic apart from other "AI coins" is its internal economic engine: 1. Forced Deflation: With the activation of execution fees on January 14, 2026, every on-chain DeFi interaction destroys tokens. In a bull run, on-chain activity spikes by 1000%, mechanically accelerating scarcity. 2. Real Yield (uPoW): In 2026, investors are fleeing "vaporware." Qubic generates value through "Useful Proof-of-Work." The imminent shift to Doge mining (alongside AI) creates a unique liquidity bridge with one of the largest retail ecosystems. 3. Accessibility: The "MetaMask Snap" and Solana/L2 bridges have finally solved Qubic’s technical isolation. Liquidity can now enter with a single click. Analyst's Verdict Qubic is the ultimate "High-Risk, High-Reward" play of 2026. It’s not a coin for a 24-hour flip; it’s a bet on the decentralized AI infrastructure of the future. Expert Tip: In this 2026 bull run, don’t just watch the price. Watch the weekly burn rate. If the burn rate exceeds emissions (which is mathematically possible by Q2), we won't just be in a bull run we'll be in a parabolic "hyper-deflationary" event. And you? What is your prediction?

Rudy Nakamoto ₿ ױ

10,602 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

[Backpropagation] by Hand✍️ [1] Forward Pass ↳ Given a multi layer perceptron (3 levels), an input vector X, predictions Y^{Pred} = [0.5, 0.5, 0], and ground truth label Y^{Target} = [0, 1, 0]. [2] Backpropagation ↳ Insert cells to hold our calculations. [3] Layer 3 - Softmax (blue) ↳ Calculate ∂L / ∂z3 directly using the simple equation: Y^{Pred} - Y^{Target} = [0.5, -0.5, 0]. ↳ This simple equation is the benefit of using Softmax and Cross Entropy Loss together. [4] Layer 3 - Weights (orange) & Biases (black) ↳ Calculate ∂L / ∂W3 and ∂L / ∂b3 by multiplying ∂L / ∂z3 and [ a2 | 1 ]. [5] Layer 2 - Activations (green) ↳ Calculate ∂L / ∂a2 by multiplying ∂L / ∂z3 and W3. [6] Layer 2 - ReLU (blue) ↳ Calculate ∂L / ∂z2 by multiplying ∂L / ∂a2 with 1 for positive values and 0 otherwise. [7] Layer 2 - Weights (orange) & Biases (black) ↳ Calculate ∂L / ∂W2 and ∂L / ∂b2 by multiplying ∂L / ∂z2 and [ a1 | 1 ]. [8] Layer 1 - Activations (green) ↳ Calculate ∂L / ∂a1 by multiplying ∂L / ∂z2 and W2. [9] Layer 1 - ReLU (blue) ↳ Calculate ∂L / ∂z1 by multiplying ∂L / ∂a1 with 1 for positive values and 0 otherwise. [10] Layer 1 - Weights (orange) & Biases (black) ↳ Calculate ∂L / ∂W1 and ∂L / ∂b1 by multiplying ∂L / ∂z1 and [ x | 1 ]. [11] Gradient Descent ↳ Update weights and biases (typically a learning rate is applied here). 💡 Matrix Multiplication is All You Need: Just like in the forward pass, backpropagation is all about matrix multiplications. You can definitely do everything by hand as I demonstrated in this exercise, albeit slow and imperfect. This is why GPU's ability to multiply matrices efficiently plays such an important role in the deep learning evolution. This is why NVIDIA is now close to $1 trillion in valuation. 💡Exploding Gradients: We can already see the gradients are getting larger as we back-propagate up, even in this simple 3-layer network. This motivates using methods like skip connections to handle exploding (or diminishing) gradients as in the ResNet. I did the calculations entirely by hand. Please let me know if you spot any error or have any questions!

Tom Yeh

64,645 просмотров • 2 лет назад

$ASTS My Massive Misunderstanding About BlueBird 6 Mea Culpa: I thought BlueBird 6 unfolded immediately. I was completely wrong. Here is the REAL timeline. 🛰️🤯 Like many excited investors, when I saw the notification that AST SpaceMobile's BlueBird 6 (BB6) successfully reached orbit, I imagined an immediate, dramatic transformation. I thought: "Rocket separates, boom, giant antenna pops open, let's start beaming 5G!" I couldn't have been more wrong. I just got a crash course in orbital mechanics, and here is my "aha!" moment. Unfolding a 2,400 sq ft array (the size of a tennis court!) immediately after ejection from a rocket is suicidal for a satellite. It would be like trying to open a massive parachute while tumbling out of a car on the highway. It would rip apart or spin out of control. The Reality: The "Space Origami" Wait The process is much slower, more deliberate, and nerve-wracking. Here is the actual, realistic timeline we need to watch over the next few months: Phase 1: The Deep Breath (Current Status - Next ~7 Days)Right now, BB6 is likely stabilizing its tumble, deploying solar panels for power, and undergoing full system "health checks." Ground control is ensuring the launch didn't break anything. No unfolding happens yet. Phase 2: The Great Unfold (Estimated Week 2-3)Once stable, the "space origami" begins. This is the most critical physical step. The massive array will slowly, methodically unfold and lock into place over several days. We wait for official confirmation that the array is fully deployed and rigid. Phase 3: Lighting Up the ASIC (Q1 2026)Only after a perfect unfold do they turn on the revolutionary AST5000 ASIC chips. The next few months are dedicated to end-to-end connectivity tests with partners like AT&T and Verizon. We are looking for data on real-world speeds (120 Mbps target) and stability. Space is hard, and patience is a requirement. The launch was just the commute to work; now the real job begins. 😊There is too much misinformation out there on $ASTS. If this thread helped clarify the reality, please RT to help others find quality due diligence #ASTS #ASTSpaceMobile #BlueBird6 #SpaceTech #OrbitalMechanics #SatelliteDeployment #5G #Telecom #Investing #LearningCurve #ASIC

Grey

62,362 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

I spent 48 hours running AI from my phone. Here are 11 things that turned out to be possible and 3 that almost cost me money Forgot my laptop at home and thought the day was lost. Opened a terminal from my phone and decided to see how long I could last Lasted 2 days. Not just lasted but made $840 What works from a phone: 1. Set up Claude Code through SSH in 10 minutes while riding the subway 2. Get Telegram pushes every time a wallet enters a position 3. Copy a trade with 1 tap without taking out my earbuds 4. Launch scripts by voice through Shortcuts 5. Monitor 3 wallets simultaneously without a single lag 6. Get a morning report at 7 AM as a regular message 7. Rebuild the bot when it crashed while sitting in a cab 8. Check PnL without opening a browser 9. Add a new wallet to tracking in 30 seconds 10. Set up auto-copying without confirmation on verified wallets 11. Get a full strategy breakdown of a wallet through Claude Code in a regular chat And here is what almost killed the deposit: 1. My finger slipped and I entered at twice the planned size. Did not notice for 20 minutes. Got lucky that the position ended up in profit but it could have gone very differently 2. My phone died at 2 AM. Missed the exit signal and the position dropped $110 while I slept. By morning I realized that a power bank is just as much a part of the strategy as the bot itself 3. The delay when copying was 40 seconds. On a 15-minute market that is an eternity. The price moved from 8 cents to 23, and instead of a 12x return I got a 4x. Still profit but you feel the difference immediately Total for 48 hours: +$840. Screen time on the phone: 47 minutes. Never needed the laptop The entire time I was following the same wallet. That is the 1 that was sending me signals at 2 AM: The phone turned out to be a fully functional control panel. But this control panel has no safety switch. And that is worth remembering every time you are tapping with 1 hand in the coffee line

Blaze

93,477 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

My entire Polymarket strategy right now is Ctrl+C on a wallet making $20K a month and Ctrl+V on my account. Yeah. I know how that sounds. 6 months ago I would have closed the chat on anyone who said this. Probably blocked them too. But here is where I am: last month, +$2,700. Trading decisions I made: 0. For context, my best month of manual trading was $580. And that took 3-4 hours a day. Let me back up. For 6 months I was a "real trader." Charts on 2 monitors. 3 Discord alpha groups. NOAA weather data at 2 AM because someone said temperature markets were free money. Spreadsheets tracking 40 wallets. Every thread read. An opinion on every market. Average month: somewhere between $400 and "I would rather not say." I was very busy. Just not very profitable. Then something clicked. Not an insight about markets. An insight about me. The wallets I was tracking, the ones pulling $15K-$30K a month, had data pipelines, sub-second execution, and models I could not replicate in a year of trying. I was not competing with other retail traders. I was competing with infrastructure. You do not outrun a car. You get in the car. So I stopped. Stopped picking markets. Stopped reading forecasts. Stopped setting 3 AM alarms for data drops. Found 3 wallets with 90+ day track records and consistent returns. Not the flashy ones posting $3M screenshots on Twitter. The boring ones pulling 4-6% weekly on liquid markets. Connected automatic copying. 1 evening. Maybe 15 minutes of actual setup. That was 5 weeks ago. 1st week I checked the dashboard every 2 hours. Old habits. 2nd week, once a day. Now I check maybe every 5 or 6 days. Trades execute on their own. I do not choose markets. I do not analyze odds. I do not decide position sizes. 5 weeks in: +$3,100 total. Same capital that would have made me $300-400 doing it manually. Same money. Different operator. Or rather, no operator. I did not make a single trading decision. That was the whole point. The logic is short: top wallets have speed, data, and execution you and I will never have. You can not beat them. But you can stand next to them and do exactly what they do, at roughly the same time, in the same markets. The tool I use: PMX 1 evening. 15 minutes. 0 decisions since: 6 months of charts taught me less than 1 evening of copying. Turns out the smartest move in trading is not trading at all.

Blaze

48,476 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад