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Here is the big question Apollo & others are grappling with on financing data centers. Apollo Pres Jim Zelter. $5-7T needed to fund data center and infra capex over next 5-7 yrs. ~$1.5T from from free cash flow of hyperscalers Next $1.5% from project finance, private capital & variety...

33,928 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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David Friedberg: Michael Burry’s Datacenter Math is Wrong “I actually think Michael Burberry's got this wrong.” “What Michael Burry is saying is that all of these hyperscalers have extended their depreciation schedule or the useful life of their data centers by roughly 2x, which cuts the operating costs in half when they report it in earnings. And so it's making their earnings inflate.” “So he's claiming they're cooking the books. Google first made this change in Q1 of 2021, where they said the servers are now going from 3 to 4 years. Separately in 2021, Google took networking equipment from 3 to 5 years. And then in 2023, they took it from 5 to 6 years.” “And so this is a result of this effort where they went in and did an analysis. So what happened?” “What happened in the data centers is that the data centers transitioned from being primarily data storage and data transfer systems, where you would use hard drives and RAM and memory to store data and then transmit it back out, to being data processing centers because of the AI boom.” “So as AI became more important in the data center, more of the dollars that are going into data centers were allocated towards chips from data storage, which initially was hard drives.” “And then suddenly, when you put these processors in to process the data to do AI, the majority of the spend and the majority of the energy is going towards the processors.” “I made some calls and I checked around with some other friends, and everyone says the same thing: that these 7-8 year old TPUs and GPUs that are sitting in the data centers are still being used and they're being used at 100% utilization.” “So that actually justifies and validates the depreciation schedule being much longer versus shorter.”

The All-In Podcast

304,297 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

🚨JPMORGAN’S STEVE TUSA JUST DROPPED HIS 2026 OUTLOOK, IT’S BULLISH FOR DATA CENTERS🔥 Steve Tusa from JPMorgan has released his 2026 market predictions, with data centers sitting at the center of his outlook. Within the industrials space, he describes data centers as the primary driver, arguing that much of the group’s performance ultimately ties back to the AI and data center buildout. While he acknowledges some recent concern around the sustainability and length of the cycle, his on-the-ground read differs from the narrative that has taken hold in parts of the market. Demand tied to data centers has continued to accelerate through recent months, and he is clear that being materially underexposed to AI data centers is a mistake. In his view, pullbacks should be approached as opportunities rather than warnings. He directly addresses the overbuild debate, which remains a key source of skepticism. According to Tusa, there is no pause in real-world data center construction activity. Order activity has improved in recent weeks and is running stronger than it was around the end of the third quarter. Feedback from hyperscalers suggests supply is still struggling to catch up with demand, reinforcing his belief that the industry remains early in a multi-year buildout rather than late in the cycle. His comment about not seeing any “dark GPUs” sitting idle captures how tight the market still is. From a portfolio perspective, Tusa continues to favor staying with the AI data center buildout trade into 2026. Several data center-exposed industrial names have pulled back, but he views those moves as valuation resets driven by sentiment rather than a deterioration in underlying demand. That reset has created a more attractive entry point than what investors were facing just a few months ago. His preferred setup is a barbell approach. On one side are growth-oriented names with direct exposure to AI infrastructure demand. On the other are idiosyncratic margin expansion stories with some data center leverage, such as Johnson Controls, where he sees earnings growing in the mid-teens to around twenty percent over the next few years at reasonable valuations. Beyond that, he also points to select industrial names with cheaper economic leverage, but the primary focus remains on data center-driven growth and margin expansion. The broader takeaway is that despite skepticism and overbuild chatter, real-world demand, orders, and construction tied to data centers continue to strengthen. From JPMorgan’s perspective, this cycle still has meaningful runway left and is unlikely to be nearing its end anytime soon. $NBIS $IREN $NVDA $ORCL $AMD $GOOGL

Jordan

56,476 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

$IREN $NBIS Goldman Sachs published a report on the AI data-center sector after the sell-off triggered by $CRWV’s results. The report focuses on financing risk and whether recent stress signals a structural problem for AI infrastructure. According to the report, roughly 90% of AI data-center investment is funded with cash and operating cash flow, with only about 10% financed through debt. This directly challenges the narrative that the sector is built on leverage and vulnerable to a debt unwind. Context matters. Goldman has created a dedicated infrastructure investment platform covering large-scale projects, including data centers. The bank was also an underwriter of $IREN’s convertible bond issuances and is providing financing for infrastructure-related deals involving $HUT and $GOOG. That matters because banks do not want instruments they structured sitting in client portfolios as dead weight. Convertible bonds rely on liquidity, active secondary markets, and a stable risk narrative. By reframing the sector’s financing profile, Goldman is effectively reassuring its own clients that the assets they hold are not part of a broken capital structure. Goldman frames the problems revealed by $CRWV as tail risks tied to specific financing models, not as evidence of collapsing demand or flawed economics across the sector. It also notes that the market sold data-center stocks as a single basket, without distinguishing between business models or balance-sheet quality. This context is important given that reports also emerged today that Blue Owl walked away from a planned data-center project with $ORCL in Michigan, reinforcing how quickly isolated deal-level issues are being extrapolated to the entire sector. The report highlights that barriers to entry in AI infrastructure continue to rise due to power access, grid connections, cooling requirements, GPUs, and overall capex. Companies that entered earlier and already control connected power and operating sites remain structurally advantaged. Goldman also points out that a broader range of GPU suppliers beyond $NVDA improves flexibility for data-center operators and reduces concentration risk over time. The report does not call a market bottom or make valuation claims. Its main function is to reset risk perception after an indiscriminate sell-off and to signal that recent weakness reflects narrative compression rather than a breakdown in the fundamentals of AI infrastructure.

Edge Of Power

177,727 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

So I’ve lived in Hillsboro, Oregon for 10 years. Drove around today and tonight and shot this myself. This is what the “Data Center Plains” looks like.👇 My town sits at the end of 6 transpacific sea cables connecting the US to Asia. That’s why 30+ data centers landed here. They’re everywhere. Spread across the entire north and west end of the city. Road after road. Building after building. Miles of it. And they keep building. Pushing further west every year into farmland that’s been here for generations. Buying up land, Giving mass amounts of money to home owners to move, Tearing down homes. Tearing down historic sites. $7.2 billion in exempted property taxes. Some of these finished buildings are literally sitting completely dark… PGE told them no power for 3-5 years. They still built them anyway. A power plant is now going up right next to the data centers because they maxed the local grid. There are families still living next to construction zones. Old farmhouses directly across the street from data center walls. Nobody asked the people who already lived here. These are the families who refused to leave, so they said we are just gonna put them up next to your houses anyway. A pioneer homestead from 1865, 190 years of continuous farming is about to be gone, NTT Global Data Centers got that land tax-free until 2051. Signed in a single day at City Hall. Intel, the employer that actually brought thousands of real jobs here is laying off locals at the same time. This sound runs 24 hours a day. 7 days a week. My electricity bill went from $80 to $150. Water rates are set to increase 105% over 5 years, critics say to fund data center infrastructure, not residents. Data centers aren’t a joke. Just wanted to share my first hand experience with them. #datacenters

The Darkpulse Files  𝕏

421,375 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

In the next 15 years, data centers are expected to add an additional $160 billion to grid costs in the US Estimate say electricity rates for average households will spike by as much as 70% Data centers are projected to triple their share of US electricity demand in the next few years The main driver is the explosive growth of data centers built by Big Tech companies like Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Google, OpenAI and more to power artificial intelligence Places like Northern Virginia already has over 200 data centers with massive new ones planned. Utilities are striking secret proprietary deals with Big Tech companies. These are hidden behind NDAs that shift much of the infrastructure costs onto regular residential customers Just in the PJM energy market of 13 states covering 65 million people, data centers were responsible for 63% of last year’s record 800% spike in capacity prices (This is INSANE) Residential customers in places like Virginia and Louisiana are being forced to subsidize billions in new power plants and grid upgrades for data centers. An Examples of this is in Louisiana, Meta’s data center deal leaves the public potentially on the hook for half or more of a $3–4 billion power plant Again, without major policy changes, average household electricity bills could rise by up to 70% over the next 15 years due to data center demand. There is only one real way we can stop this, we must create a separate customer class for data centers Maryland and Oregon have already passed laws doing this Forces data centers to pay for the specific infrastructure they need instead of spreading the costs to everyone else. More states need to do the same Ban secret sweetheart deals Require full public disclosure of all contracts between utilities and Big Tech Prohibit deals where data centers pay below the actual cost of service Make data centers pay the full cost of new power plants and grid upgrades Change regulations so utilities cannot socialize the cost of data-center-driven infrastructure to residential and small business ratepayers This needs to be done immediately

Wall Street Apes

57,720 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

NEW: Lumentum (NASDAQ: $LITE ) CEO Michael Hurlston on the Optics Boom How Lasers Are Transforming AI Data Centers "We're being asked by hyperscalers to deploy in millions, tens of millions of units." "You're not gonna have birds burning up as these lasers shoot data down to the Earth, right?" "Copper can't carry these signals the distances they need to go. You have more & more optics now coming into the data center." We cover: › Why AI is replacing copper with light › Birds vs. space lasers › Space lasers & the future of the internet › Why we're spending $10T moving data from kilometers to millimeters › Lumentum's 3x revenue growth in just 5 quarters › Stock went up 1000% › U.S.-China geopolitics in optical networking › The manufacturing bottlenecks facing optical infrastructure Michael Hurlston became President & CEO of Lumentum (LITE) on February 7, 2025. Fifteen months later the company reported record quarterly revenue of $808.4M, up 90% year over year, joined the Nasdaq-100, & took a $2B investment from Nvidia. 𝐓𝐈𝐌𝐄𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐌𝐏𝐒 (00:00) Michael Hurlston, CEO at Lumentum Holdings (00:58) Backstage with Tony Kim at RAISE Summit (01:53) What optical connectivity actually means (03:31) The $10 trillion irony of the data center build-out (05:37) Scaling up inside a data center (08:38) 3x revenue in 5 quarters (10:13) From Finisar to Synaptics to Lumentum (11:51) Why Lumentum went all-in on data centers (13:10) Why space is the next big market for optical lasers (14:06) Debunking laser myths (space vs birds) (16:40) Why copper is about to disappear from the server rack (19:00) The geopolitics of the optical supply chain (20:16) The advice that shaped Michael's path

Molly O’Shea

155,453 görüntüleme • 22 gün önce