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HURRICANE GRAVEYARD - Record strong wind shear has been screaming across the Caribbean all season which is a hallmark of El Nino. We love wind shear because it tears hurricanes apart and protects us from storms. I don't see any tropical trouble for at least the next seven days.

Dylan Federico

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115,477 views • 2 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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Hurricane season starts today. Here’s why we expect it to be a quieter than normal year in the Atlantic. The relatively hotter East Pacific due to a Super El Niño overpowers the near waters of the Atlantic. Rising air, thunderstorms and hurricanes in the East Pacific should subdue the Caribbean with sinking air, wind shear, and less storms. But less storms does not equal no storms. So be prepared as usual. #hurricaneseason #hurricane #science #stem #florida

Hurricane season starts today. Here’s why we expect it to be a quieter than normal year in the Atlantic. The relatively hotter East Pacific due to a Super El Niño overpowers the near waters of the Atlantic. Rising air, thunderstorms and hurricanes in the East Pacific should subdue the Caribbean with sinking air, wind shear, and less storms. But less storms does not equal no storms. So be prepared as usual. #hurricaneseason #hurricane #science #stem #florida

Jeff Berardelli

15,534 views • 4 months ago

The signal for tropical development is getting stronger. This is the Euro AI ensemble. It develops two strong waves exiting the African Coast in 1-2 weeks. The chance of formation of at least one of these is pretty decent. But the trip across the Atlantic won’t be easy, with dusty air in the deep tropics and #elnino fueled strong wind shear in the Caribbean. So if the storm/s form they will struggle for success. Thanks Weather Nerds for the ensemble! #hurricaneseason #hurricane

The signal for tropical development is getting stronger. This is the Euro AI ensemble. It develops two strong waves exiting the African Coast in 1-2 weeks. The chance of formation of at least one of these is pretty decent. But the trip across the Atlantic won’t be easy, with dusty air in the deep tropics and #elnino fueled strong wind shear in the Caribbean. So if the storm/s form they will struggle for success. Thanks Weather Nerds for the ensemble! #hurricaneseason #hurricane

Jeff Berardelli

25,782 views • 2 months ago

Gulf Tropical Development? Hmmmm maybe. Models are 50/50. It is possible, but the window of opportunity is narrow in time and space. To be clear: I certainly think a system may form, but I am skeptical of a strong system. Still am. Let’s discuss why. That’s because wind shear is generally overwhelming, with one small exception over the Central and SW #Gulf. In about a week a short window will open where there will be a corridor of low wind shear, just favorable enough for development- most likely in the S-Central Gulf or SW Gulf / Bay of Campeche. BUT the “bubble” where this can organize and strengthen is tight. So it will face uphill odds thanks to #ElNino strong shear. Still, you never know for certain, sometimes divergence aloft ahead of the strong shear can enhance, so there’s an off chance it over performs. I’ll keep you updated. Perhaps more importantly, with tons of Gulf moisture, the Gulf Coast & #Florida should be ready for an extended period of enhanced rain. #hurricane #hurricaneseason

Gulf Tropical Development? Hmmmm maybe. Models are 50/50. It is possible, but the window of opportunity is narrow in time and space. To be clear: I certainly think a system may form, but I am skeptical of a strong system. Still am. Let’s discuss why. That’s because wind shear is generally overwhelming, with one small exception over the Central and SW #Gulf. In about a week a short window will open where there will be a corridor of low wind shear, just favorable enough for development- most likely in the S-Central Gulf or SW Gulf / Bay of Campeche. BUT the “bubble” where this can organize and strengthen is tight. So it will face uphill odds thanks to #ElNino strong shear. Still, you never know for certain, sometimes divergence aloft ahead of the strong shear can enhance, so there’s an off chance it over performs. I’ll keep you updated. Perhaps more importantly, with tons of Gulf moisture, the Gulf Coast & #Florida should be ready for an extended period of enhanced rain. #hurricane #hurricaneseason

Jeff Berardelli

16,104 views • 7 days ago

TROPICAL UPDATE: Northeasterly shear (white wind streams) and dry air have made development slow for Tropical Depression #2. You can see how it's not verticially aligned, with the circulation at 20,000 ft displayed south of the surface circulation. With that said, it's trying to become better organized with persistent storms flaring up on the southern side. If trends continue, we could see #Bertha by later today.

TROPICAL UPDATE: Northeasterly shear (white wind streams) and dry air have made development slow for Tropical Depression #2. You can see how it's not verticially aligned, with the circulation at 20,000 ft displayed south of the surface circulation. With that said, it's trying to become better organized with persistent storms flaring up on the southern side. If trends continue, we could see #Bertha by later today.

Matt Devitt

39,809 views • 2 months ago

Major Hurricane #Kirk (cat 4) is now in the Atlantic. It will continue moving towards Europe. 🧐 By mid-week, it is expected to weaken into a post-tropical storm and reach France (see wind gust map for the next 5 days).

Major Hurricane #Kirk (cat 4) is now in the Atlantic. It will continue moving towards Europe. 🧐 By mid-week, it is expected to weaken into a post-tropical storm and reach France (see wind gust map for the next 5 days).

Ventusky

96,973 views • 2 years ago

Powering our very unusual pattern - with early season Gulf cold fronts and strong wind shear - is an extremely amplified jet stream for September. It has thrown the whole Northern Hemisphere weather off-kilter. That means cool-dry weather this weekend for North-Central Florida about a month early! It also means hurricane killing wind shear across the Atlantic Basin! Here's the science: Warm air is being forced all the way up to the Arctic circle by an elongated jet stream. That will cause an "Omega block" to form this weekend over Central Canada - you can see the Greek Omega shape with cold air on either side. These "blocking" patterns are very tough to dislodge. Because what goes up, must come down, cool air is being forced south along the Eastern Sea Board bringing Faux Fall to Florida. Faux or not, we will take it! WFLA NEWS

Powering our very unusual pattern - with early season Gulf cold fronts and strong wind shear - is an extremely amplified jet stream for September. It has thrown the whole Northern Hemisphere weather off-kilter. That means cool-dry weather this weekend for North-Central Florida about a month early! It also means hurricane killing wind shear across the Atlantic Basin! Here's the science: Warm air is being forced all the way up to the Arctic circle by an elongated jet stream. That will cause an "Omega block" to form this weekend over Central Canada - you can see the Greek Omega shape with cold air on either side. These "blocking" patterns are very tough to dislodge. Because what goes up, must come down, cool air is being forced south along the Eastern Sea Board bringing Faux Fall to Florida. Faux or not, we will take it! WFLA NEWS

Jeff Berardelli

63,623 views • 1 year ago

TROPICAL UPDATE: Invest #97L in the northern Gulf flaring up pretty impressive storms this morning. If trends continue, might get a bump to orange or a medium chance of development later today. It has a tight window to try and form before pushing into TX / LA on Tuesday. It's certainly possible to squeak out a quick Tropical Depression or even Tropical Storm #Edouard. Water temps are warmer than average for most of the Gulf + low wind shear along its track. What could hurt development is dry air. We'll see, stay tuned...

TROPICAL UPDATE: Invest #97L in the northern Gulf flaring up pretty impressive storms this morning. If trends continue, might get a bump to orange or a medium chance of development later today. It has a tight window to try and form before pushing into TX / LA on Tuesday. It's certainly possible to squeak out a quick Tropical Depression or even Tropical Storm #Edouard. Water temps are warmer than average for most of the Gulf + low wind shear along its track. What could hurt development is dry air. We'll see, stay tuned...

Matt Devitt

47,370 views • 1 month ago

It’s quiet - now - as we head into peak season, but that may change soon. The Atlantic has been under large scale sinking, crushing tropical development. But rising air from the Pacific is rounding the bend, and heading into the Atlantic in the coming weeks. That will cause favorable conditions for hurricanes to develop especially by mid September, but there’s a wave moving off Africa right now with a good chance of development later this week/weekend. The hope is that strong cold fronts in the US will block these Atlantic storms from reaching the US. Stay tuned. (Hurricane pictured is merely an illustration, not a real storm) #fyp # hurricane

It’s quiet - now - as we head into peak season, but that may change soon. The Atlantic has been under large scale sinking, crushing tropical development. But rising air from the Pacific is rounding the bend, and heading into the Atlantic in the coming weeks. That will cause favorable conditions for hurricanes to develop especially by mid September, but there’s a wave moving off Africa right now with a good chance of development later this week/weekend. The hope is that strong cold fronts in the US will block these Atlantic storms from reaching the US. Stay tuned. (Hurricane pictured is merely an illustration, not a real storm) #fyp # hurricane

Jeff Berardelli

24,627 views • 1 year ago

Flip the rainy season switch! A sight for sore eyes, as FL has endured the worst drought in decades. After a brief dry break Friday, the models consistently show a rapid surge in moisture and a rapid start to wet season, as a long southeast fetch of wind forces tropical moisture from the tropics across the state leading daily downpours starting as early as this weekend/ early next week with East coast morning showers, West coast late day downpours. And consistently humid days. #rain #storms #florida

Flip the rainy season switch! A sight for sore eyes, as FL has endured the worst drought in decades. After a brief dry break Friday, the models consistently show a rapid surge in moisture and a rapid start to wet season, as a long southeast fetch of wind forces tropical moisture from the tropics across the state leading daily downpours starting as early as this weekend/ early next week with East coast morning showers, West coast late day downpours. And consistently humid days. #rain #storms #florida

Jeff Berardelli

38,473 views • 4 months ago

Watch #Melissa meander on a path right through some of the hottest (deep) waters on the planet, powering one of the strongest hurricanes ever, then leave a cool wake behind as it turns hot water into power to charge its rain and wind. The #caribbean in October is notorious for monster hurricanes and Melissa literally moved over the hottest waters not just in the Atlantic but also in the entire Caribbean. How it ended up there is part luck, part climatology, and - in a local sense - partly that storms without steering can sometimes be tugged towards areas with the greatest heat/ instability. #hurricane #fyp #jamaica

Watch #Melissa meander on a path right through some of the hottest (deep) waters on the planet, powering one of the strongest hurricanes ever, then leave a cool wake behind as it turns hot water into power to charge its rain and wind. The #caribbean in October is notorious for monster hurricanes and Melissa literally moved over the hottest waters not just in the Atlantic but also in the entire Caribbean. How it ended up there is part luck, part climatology, and - in a local sense - partly that storms without steering can sometimes be tugged towards areas with the greatest heat/ instability. #hurricane #fyp #jamaica

Jeff Berardelli

524,424 views • 11 months ago

We have an unusually High #Tornado Threat from #Hurricane Isaias This movie uses real data, to help educate on why this storm poses an enhanced risk. Notice the yellow vs blue arrows. Yellow are the winds just below the clouds, it’s the low level wind flow (jet) around and feeding into the storm. Blue are the mid-level winds associated with the jet stream. You’ll notice that as Isaias approaches the Gulf Coast the blue arrows increase and the low-level vs mid-levels winds vigorously cross (X) each other. That’s the jet stream (blue arrows) being infused into the tropical system. That will create more cross winds/ shear, weaken #Isaias, but embolden spin in the outer bands. This injection of energy will power strong #tornadoes on the storm’s east side at landfall in the #Florida Panhandle and beyond into the Southeast. Not all storms have this, but it’s more common in fall as the mid-latitude jet stream increases. And it gives the transitioning tropical storm system a different character. It causes the wind field at the core to expand, making the storm larger, empowering the outer bands with more wind, at the expense of the core winds which weaken. (Although all set ups are different, Milton and Sandy come to mind) *This animation does use real wind data, but the tornadoes are added to illustrate where the greatest risk is. They are not meant to forecast exactly where the tornadoes will be.

We have an unusually High #Tornado Threat from #Hurricane Isaias This movie uses real data, to help educate on why this storm poses an enhanced risk. Notice the yellow vs blue arrows. Yellow are the winds just below the clouds, it’s the low level wind flow (jet) around and feeding into the storm. Blue are the mid-level winds associated with the jet stream. You’ll notice that as Isaias approaches the Gulf Coast the blue arrows increase and the low-level vs mid-levels winds vigorously cross (X) each other. That’s the jet stream (blue arrows) being infused into the tropical system. That will create more cross winds/ shear, weaken #Isaias, but embolden spin in the outer bands. This injection of energy will power strong #tornadoes on the storm’s east side at landfall in the #Florida Panhandle and beyond into the Southeast. Not all storms have this, but it’s more common in fall as the mid-latitude jet stream increases. And it gives the transitioning tropical storm system a different character. It causes the wind field at the core to expand, making the storm larger, empowering the outer bands with more wind, at the expense of the core winds which weaken. (Although all set ups are different, Milton and Sandy come to mind) *This animation does use real wind data, but the tornadoes are added to illustrate where the greatest risk is. They are not meant to forecast exactly where the tornadoes will be.

Jeff Berardelli

71,343 views • 23 hours ago

UPDATE: A LOT of tropical moisture on the way across Florida the next 5-10 days. For example, those moisture levels will be 50%-75% above average, which will aid in developing numerous rounds of storms across the state. Values shown are PWATS or precipitable water levels. Around 1.6" is typical this time of the year for Florida, which you'll notice we'll be above the next 7-10 days. Some online chatter about tropical development. Not impossible, but current odds are low. Physics-based models show the potential, AI models largely don't. Rainmaker regardless if it tries to form into a weak tropical/subtropical system or not. We need the rain!

UPDATE: A LOT of tropical moisture on the way across Florida the next 5-10 days. For example, those moisture levels will be 50%-75% above average, which will aid in developing numerous rounds of storms across the state. Values shown are PWATS or precipitable water levels. Around 1.6" is typical this time of the year for Florida, which you'll notice we'll be above the next 7-10 days. Some online chatter about tropical development. Not impossible, but current odds are low. Physics-based models show the potential, AI models largely don't. Rainmaker regardless if it tries to form into a weak tropical/subtropical system or not. We need the rain!

Matt Devitt

36,299 views • 4 months ago

So, my opinion on what the Antarctic (Antarctica) Anomaly is that it's a type of frequency technology. It must be way more powerful than HAARP, as many have claimed it to be, because we would see these anomalies at other HAARP sites, and we don't, not like this. With that said, and I'm very much trying to avoid letting what I want it to be not play a part here, I think it is a technology that is being used either off the coast of Antarctica itself or Bouvet Island. A third possibility is an area just to the northwest of the island that looks odd. It's possible it is a sonar scan from a ship, but why in that remote location? It looks like an antenna set up or rows of something that is out of place. I also believe that the weather events and fires that have taken place in Africa could possibly have been because of this. Each time we saw the anomaly, it was followed by a destructive weather event in Africa. A weird connection to that is we have been told and warned of a very busy 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. This is in part because of the above-average Atlantic ocean temperatures, which is the fuel to Hurricanes. With all this info, it's possible to see how the Anomaly could be a frequency tech that can manipulate or create weather, And or WARM up the Ocean temps to purposely enhance the Hurricane season and Storm growth. Keep in mind that many of our hurricanes and many of the biggest hurricanes have come from the west coast of Africa and form over the Cape Verde islands before heading towards the Caribbean and the United States. This is all of course speculation, and I'm learning many new things every day, so this idea may morph over time as we learn more. In the end, it is very hard to ignore all these findings. #antarctica #anonaly #AntarcticaAnomaly #BouvetIsland

So, my opinion on what the Antarctic (Antarctica) Anomaly is that it's a type of frequency technology. It must be way more powerful than HAARP, as many have claimed it to be, because we would see these anomalies at other HAARP sites, and we don't, not like this. With that said, and I'm very much trying to avoid letting what I want it to be not play a part here, I think it is a technology that is being used either off the coast of Antarctica itself or Bouvet Island. A third possibility is an area just to the northwest of the island that looks odd. It's possible it is a sonar scan from a ship, but why in that remote location? It looks like an antenna set up or rows of something that is out of place. I also believe that the weather events and fires that have taken place in Africa could possibly have been because of this. Each time we saw the anomaly, it was followed by a destructive weather event in Africa. A weird connection to that is we have been told and warned of a very busy 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. This is in part because of the above-average Atlantic ocean temperatures, which is the fuel to Hurricanes. With all this info, it's possible to see how the Anomaly could be a frequency tech that can manipulate or create weather, And or WARM up the Ocean temps to purposely enhance the Hurricane season and Storm growth. Keep in mind that many of our hurricanes and many of the biggest hurricanes have come from the west coast of Africa and form over the Cape Verde islands before heading towards the Caribbean and the United States. This is all of course speculation, and I'm learning many new things every day, so this idea may morph over time as we learn more. In the end, it is very hard to ignore all these findings. #antarctica #anonaly #AntarcticaAnomaly #BouvetIsland

In2ThinAir

442,580 views • 2 years ago

Get ready for a WILD ride across the US this week! Extreme jet stream means extreme heat in the West, and very early cold in the East! 105+ in the Pacific NW, 30s in the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest, and a real taste of Autumn in the East. No Dice for you Florida, but this extreme jet will at least act as a tropical trouble blocker - like a wall - for at least the next 10 days. Temps will reach 35 degrees plus and minus normal in the west and east respectively.

Get ready for a WILD ride across the US this week! Extreme jet stream means extreme heat in the West, and very early cold in the East! 105+ in the Pacific NW, 30s in the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest, and a real taste of Autumn in the East. No Dice for you Florida, but this extreme jet will at least act as a tropical trouble blocker - like a wall - for at least the next 10 days. Temps will reach 35 degrees plus and minus normal in the west and east respectively.

Jeff Berardelli

107,274 views • 1 year ago

Scotland's wind farms are routinely paid to stop generating, because the grid can't move the power south. I was shocked when I heard this from Greg Jackson at our Founders Conference. This abundance of energy makes Scotland a strong candidate for data centres. But we need the infrastructure to make it happen.

Scotland's wind farms are routinely paid to stop generating, because the grid can't move the power south. I was shocked when I heard this from Greg Jackson at our Founders Conference. This abundance of energy makes Scotland a strong candidate for data centres. But we need the infrastructure to make it happen.

Sir Tom Hunter

28,449 views • 16 days ago

⚠️A VERY ACTIVE Weather Pattern is setting up next week, bringing MULTIPLE chances for major Winter Storms to sweep through the US. 🥶👊🔥This setup features a BATTLEGROUND of Warm Tropical Air clashing with Frigid Polar Air, creating an environment that is ripe for Winter Storm development. ❓Specific storm details are still VERY much up in the air, and we should not treat any single model run as gospel at this point. I'm only showing this GFS run as an example. 🌨️ The key takeaway is that the pattern is right, and Heavy Snow, Ice, and Wind are all on the table somewhere across the country. ❄️ Hang in there, my US Snow brotheren. More details to come....

⚠️A VERY ACTIVE Weather Pattern is setting up next week, bringing MULTIPLE chances for major Winter Storms to sweep through the US. 🥶👊🔥This setup features a BATTLEGROUND of Warm Tropical Air clashing with Frigid Polar Air, creating an environment that is ripe for Winter Storm development. ❓Specific storm details are still VERY much up in the air, and we should not treat any single model run as gospel at this point. I'm only showing this GFS run as an example. 🌨️ The key takeaway is that the pattern is right, and Heavy Snow, Ice, and Wind are all on the table somewhere across the country. ❄️ Hang in there, my US Snow brotheren. More details to come....

Brady Harris

59,298 views • 8 months ago

We may have some #aurora fun coming! More than 4 solar storms have been launched in the past few days from Region 4334. Some of them are headed to Earth! Along with the fast solar wind picking up by January 9, we could see a bumpy ride with storm conditions peaking January 11. G1 conditions expected thus far, but another storm just launched so forecasts may be changing rapidly! The first video highlights storms launched since January 6. The second video shows a closeup of Storms 3 and 4, which launched today in the Earth-Strike Zone. More analysis is coming.

We may have some #aurora fun coming! More than 4 solar storms have been launched in the past few days from Region 4334. Some of them are headed to Earth! Along with the fast solar wind picking up by January 9, we could see a bumpy ride with storm conditions peaking January 11. G1 conditions expected thus far, but another storm just launched so forecasts may be changing rapidly! The first video highlights storms launched since January 6. The second video shows a closeup of Storms 3 and 4, which launched today in the Earth-Strike Zone. More analysis is coming.

Dr. Tamitha Skov

15,099 views • 9 months ago

Where is all the smoke coming from? The Gifford Fire north of Santa Barbara has burned nearly 50k acres and due to a persistent southwest flow, we can expect to see these smoky conditions for at least another couple of days. @nvwx @cawx

Where is all the smoke coming from? The Gifford Fire north of Santa Barbara has burned nearly 50k acres and due to a persistent southwest flow, we can expect to see these smoky conditions for at least another couple of days. @nvwx @cawx

NWS Las Vegas

91,589 views • 1 year ago

‼️ POWERFUL NOR'EASTER: The first nor'easter of the season is expected to slam the East Coast later this week. Millions are on alert for flooding and potential wind damage and FOX Weather has you covered through it all. Let us know what you are doing to prepare and join the conversation with us as we continue to follow this developing story.

‼️ POWERFUL NOR'EASTER: The first nor'easter of the season is expected to slam the East Coast later this week. Millions are on alert for flooding and potential wind damage and FOX Weather has you covered through it all. Let us know what you are doing to prepare and join the conversation with us as we continue to follow this developing story.

FOX Weather

38,081 views • 17 days ago

Christmas Eve and Christmas Day feature the most impressive severe thunderstorm setup I’ve seen along the California coastline in at least a decade. The first round of isolated severe thunderstorms will come ashore tonight, bringing the threat of a isolated tornado and severe wind gusts over 60 mph from the Central Coast up to Humboldt County. The severe weather threat then expands into the Central Valley during the afternoon, California’s tornado alley, with the potential for isolated tornadoes, damaging winds, and even large hail. The threat then shifts south into Southern California tomorrow, where isolated severe wind gusts and a brief tornado will be possible. However, Christmas Eve into Christmas morning features the most potent severe weather environment of the week and could lead to a severe thunderstorm outbreak along the coastline from the Central Coast up to the North Coast. The combination of strong low-level and deep-layer shear with sufficient instability is rarely seen in this part of the world. I seriously cannot recall seeing Significant Tornado Parameter (STP) values exceed 3 along the California coastline. The peak threat window appears to be from 10 PM Thursday to 8 AM Friday. It would not be out of the question to see a Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued Christmas Eve night with the potential for a couple tornadoes and scattered severe wind gusts. I also believe this may be the first time on record that San Francisco has been placed under a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms in the Day 1–3 NWS Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlooks.

Christmas Eve and Christmas Day feature the most impressive severe thunderstorm setup I’ve seen along the California coastline in at least a decade. The first round of isolated severe thunderstorms will come ashore tonight, bringing the threat of a isolated tornado and severe wind gusts over 60 mph from the Central Coast up to Humboldt County. The severe weather threat then expands into the Central Valley during the afternoon, California’s tornado alley, with the potential for isolated tornadoes, damaging winds, and even large hail. The threat then shifts south into Southern California tomorrow, where isolated severe wind gusts and a brief tornado will be possible. However, Christmas Eve into Christmas morning features the most potent severe weather environment of the week and could lead to a severe thunderstorm outbreak along the coastline from the Central Coast up to the North Coast. The combination of strong low-level and deep-layer shear with sufficient instability is rarely seen in this part of the world. I seriously cannot recall seeing Significant Tornado Parameter (STP) values exceed 3 along the California coastline. The peak threat window appears to be from 10 PM Thursday to 8 AM Friday. It would not be out of the question to see a Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued Christmas Eve night with the potential for a couple tornadoes and scattered severe wind gusts. I also believe this may be the first time on record that San Francisco has been placed under a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms in the Day 1–3 NWS Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlooks.

Colin McCarthy

68,573 views • 9 months ago