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i built a trading bot for the 5m markets on polymarket while everyone was celebrating valentines yesterday i spent the whole day testing the prototype tests went well, production soon....

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zostaff

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81,837 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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I BUILT THE FIRST BOT THAT ARBITRAGES BETWEEN POLYMARKET AND KALSHI SIMULTANEOUSLY $100 -> $5,214 in 24 hours 847 trades, zero directional risk polymarket and kalshi are the two biggest prediction markets both trade the same events but their pricing algorithms are different which means their prices drift apart the gaps are small - 3 to 8 c, but they happen constantly if you trade that difference automatically fast thousands of times the math starts working for you the bot spots the gap in milliseconds buys YES on polymarket at $0.61 sells YES on kalshi at $0.67 while people are still looking at the chart the bot already closed the trade and moved on they say arbitrage in prediction markets is impossible they say the spreads are too small they say the market is efficient $5,214 in one night says otherwise
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I BUILT THE FIRST BOT THAT ARBITRAGES BETWEEN POLYMARKET AND KALSHI SIMULTANEOUSLY $100 -> $5,214 in 24 hours 847 trades, zero directional risk polymarket and kalshi are the two biggest prediction markets both trade the same events but their pricing algorithms are different which means their prices drift apart the gaps are small - 3 to 8 c, but they happen constantly if you trade that difference automatically fast thousands of times the math starts working for you the bot spots the gap in milliseconds buys YES on polymarket at $0.61 sells YES on kalshi at $0.67 while people are still looking at the chart the bot already closed the trade and moved on they say arbitrage in prediction markets is impossible they say the spreads are too small they say the market is efficient $5,214 in one night says otherwise

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🚨 HOW I BUILT A FULLY AUTOMATED TRADING BOT IN 34 MINUTES WITHOUT WRITING A SINGLE LINE OF CODE > One person built a trading bot in 34 minutes > Didn't write a single line of code manually > Just talked to Claude Code > The bot detects market regime on its own: bull, bear, sideways > Switches strategies for each regime automatically > 13 safety checks before every single trade > Stop-loss, circuit breakers, position limits, correlation check > Walk-forward backtest - not curve fitting, real simulation > Connected to Alpaca - free paper trading > 45 out of 45 tests passing > Full pipeline: data -> regime -> signal -> risk -> order -> log Hedge funds pay millions for this, He paid $0

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$1,840 OVERNIGHT. NOTIFICATION AT 2:00 AM FROM OPENCLAW: " FOUND 1M MARKET ON BTC " He found them literally the moment they launched And gave Codex the command to rebuild the architecture from 5m to 1m I woke up at 8:00, opened Telegram - 47 trades, +$1,840 The bot was a scalper, now it's HFT. Built the entire architecture in Rust because Python simply doesn't survive on 60-second cycles. The race for milliseconds began. Claude added a momentum filter: if the last 10s the price accelerates in one direction - the bot enters. In one minute the trend doesn't have time to reverse On the 5m market 18 trades per day, on 1m - 210. Same edge, 10x more often. Three agents found a market, turned a scalper into HFT, and made $1,840. i found a new market here: I'm starting to think it has a mind of its own. What did I create?
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$1,840 OVERNIGHT. NOTIFICATION AT 2:00 AM FROM OPENCLAW: " FOUND 1M MARKET ON BTC " He found them literally the moment they launched And gave Codex the command to rebuild the architecture from 5m to 1m I woke up at 8:00, opened Telegram - 47 trades, +$1,840 The bot was a scalper, now it's HFT. Built the entire architecture in Rust because Python simply doesn't survive on 60-second cycles. The race for milliseconds began. Claude added a momentum filter: if the last 10s the price accelerates in one direction - the bot enters. In one minute the trend doesn't have time to reverse On the 5m market 18 trades per day, on 1m - 210. Same edge, 10x more often. Three agents found a market, turned a scalper into HFT, and made $1,840. i found a new market here: I'm starting to think it has a mind of its own. What did I create?

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CLAUDE + CODEX + OPENCLAW MADE $2,8K IN A DAY Launched it in the morning - docker compose up, three agents started. By lunch there were 4 trades on Polymarket, by evening 7, and by midnight I was up $2,8K. My monthly salary at work is $2,4K. The next day I didn't show up to work, but the bot did +$3,1K. Third day, same story +$1,9K. A Telegram notification dropped in: "New market, edge 0.41, Confidence 0.87, going in" I was eating a shawarma at the time. In one week, three AI agents earned more than my office pays in two months. OpenClaw coordinated everything, Claude calculated the probabilities, and Codex fixed a module on its own when it crashed at 3:00 AM - without me. On Friday the bot sent a weekly report: 19 trades, 14 profitable, +$11,300. My boss sent quarterly feedback: "Good work, but no promotion planned for now" I don't need a promotion anymore. I need Wi-Fi.
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CLAUDE + CODEX + OPENCLAW MADE $2,8K IN A DAY Launched it in the morning - docker compose up, three agents started. By lunch there were 4 trades on Polymarket, by evening 7, and by midnight I was up $2,8K. My monthly salary at work is $2,4K. The next day I didn't show up to work, but the bot did +$3,1K. Third day, same story +$1,9K. A Telegram notification dropped in: "New market, edge 0.41, Confidence 0.87, going in" I was eating a shawarma at the time. In one week, three AI agents earned more than my office pays in two months. OpenClaw coordinated everything, Claude calculated the probabilities, and Codex fixed a module on its own when it crashed at 3:00 AM - without me. On Friday the bot sent a weekly report: 19 trades, 14 profitable, +$11,300. My boss sent quarterly feedback: "Good work, but no promotion planned for now" I don't need a promotion anymore. I need Wi-Fi.

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Emily Blunt on her kids not being impressed by her: “I did a photoshoot the other day for the cover of a magazine, I was pretty stocked about it. I spent the whole day with people going: so fierce, you look so good! I walked into my apartment and my daughter Hazel went: EW!”

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I hear the "terrorism for charity" event went well yesterday

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This is Arbigab. The most advanced, off the shelf, profitable arbitrage trading bot for Polymarket & Kalshi. Built by senior developers and trading veterans, this software empowers beginners to capture their share of the market! To get the bot NOW or get more information, visit: Below is a live trading session using our rust trading engine for arbitrage on the BTC up/down 5 minutes market. It's a sample of 2 iterations. You can find this terminal on the website front page. It is connected to our production backend (with a 2 minutes delay).

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🚨 The future of sports betting is here - and it's on the blockchain > Sharp bettors are already leaving bookmakers for prediction markets. > 15-35% of handle is migrating within 18 months. > The reason - taxes, limits, 12% margin. > Polymarket: ~1% margin, no limits reaction in seconds. > But most people still use it like a regular sportsbook. > What if you compare Polymarket with a bookmaker and an ML model? > Three sources disagree - someone knows more. > That divergence is the edge. > Built a full pipeline: Python + Claude API + XGBoost + ELO.
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🚨 The future of sports betting is here - and it's on the blockchain > Sharp bettors are already leaving bookmakers for prediction markets. > 15-35% of handle is migrating within 18 months. > The reason - taxes, limits, 12% margin. > Polymarket: ~1% margin, no limits reaction in seconds. > But most people still use it like a regular sportsbook. > What if you compare Polymarket with a bookmaker and an ML model? > Three sources disagree - someone knows more. > That divergence is the edge. > Built a full pipeline: Python + Claude API + XGBoost + ELO.

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