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In 2025, Ukraine's Security Service showed incredible effectiveness, delivering powerful and precise strikes to the enemy. ◾️ During Operation Spiderweb, in just a few hours, the SSU destroyed 41 strategic aircraft, causing losses to Russia of more than $7 billion. ◾️ Novorossiysk: Sub Sea Baby underwater drones hit a...

29,592 views • 8 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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As Mr. Rubio has kindly informed us earlier, today is Russia day. I've prepared several facts of what Putin's rule has brought Russia to in the past 25 years. ◾️ Finances: The Russian government plans to revise the federal budget for 2025, increasing the deficit by 250% – from $12 billion to $42 billion. The official inflation rate is supposedly 7.6%, but according to estimates by the Foreign Intelligence Service, real inflation in Russia already exceeds 20%. According to the US Department of Defense, Russia has spent at least $250 billion on the war against Ukraine since the start of the full-scale invasion. Russia's economic losses from the war and sanctions are around $1.3 trillion. At the same time, according to the Federal State Statistics Service, 12.6 million Russians were living below the poverty line in 2024. But Putin does not care about the standard of living in Russia. ◾️ Demographic decline and huge losses on the front lines: Since the full-scale invasion, according to various estimates, between 650,000 and 1.3 million Russians have left the country. More than 1 million have been killed and injured in the war. Russia has been flooded with criminals who received amnesty for participating in the war in Ukraine. Crime levels have risen dramatically in Russia. ◾️ Oil: Due to sanctions, Russia has lost its rich Western markets and is forced to sell oil to China at bargain prices. Currently, Russian oil is sold in the ports of Primorsk and Novorossiysk for approximately $47-49 per barrel, which is significantly lower than the budgeted figure of $69.7. As a result, Russia's annual oil and gas revenues could fall by up to 30%, or $30-40 billion, which is almost equal to the entire Russian budget deficit for the current year. ◾️ Military: The Russian army has long lost its status as the "second" in the world and has turned into a bunch of looters and criminals, "cannon fodder" that is thrown into battle for a forest area near another destroyed Ukrainian village. ◾️ Navy: Ukrainian drones and missiles are methodically turning the Black Sea Fleet into an underwater fleet. Moreover, recently the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) blew up the Crimean (Kerch) Bridge for the third time. ◾️ Space: In 2024, Russia launched only 17 rockets into space. By comparison, the US launched 152 rockets and China launched 65. A place in the top three with a score of 17 is little consolation, especially considering that New Zealand launched 13 rockets in 2024. Under international sanctions, Russia cannot purchase expensive microchips and other necessary equipment. ◾️ Attacks on Russia: Since the beginning of 2025, more than 17 attacks have been carried out on oil depots and refineries in Russia. In 2024, Ukrainian drones attacked oil refineries and fuel depots in Russia, annexed Crimea, and occupied territories of Ukraine at least 81 times. ◾️ Aviation: The SBU struck four strategic airfields in different regions of Russia with drones. The total losses of enemy aircraft amount to 41 units, including A-50, Tu-95, Tu-22, Tu-160, An-12, and Il-78 aircraft. The operation weakened Russia's strike capabilities by 20-30%. Military experts around the world, commenting on the SBU's special operation, called the actions of Putin's FSB, which allowed everything to happen right under its nose, one of the biggest failures in the history of the Russian special services. 📹: Russian cemeteries in Vladivostok and Krasnoyarsk region.

Anton Gerashchenko

64,295 views • 1 year ago

Why this strike is so significant: ◾️ Primorsk port is Russia’s largest oil-loading port on the Baltic Sea. It is the terminal point of the Baltic Pipeline System (BPS) and plays a key role in exporting Urals crude. The port is a critically important piece of infrastructure, handling around 60 million tons of oil per year. ◾️ Primorsk is Russia’s "cash tap" on the Baltic Sea. Oil revenues help sustain the war against Ukraine and fund the killing of Ukrainians. Every day of downtime means millions of dollars in lost tax revenue for the Russian budget, which finances the army. ◾️ After such attacks, international insurance companies sharply increase premiums for tankers calling at Russian ports, making Russian oil less profitable. ◾️ Primorsk is the endpoint of the Baltic Pipeline System (BPS). If the terminal cannot receive oil, there is nowhere for it to go: oil rigs in Siberia cannot simply be shut down without risking long-term damage. This forces Russian companies to cut production or urgently seek alternative routes. ◾️ To protect such large facilities, Russia has to redeploy scarce air defense systems (such as Pantsir and S-400) from the front deep into the rear (including Russia's Leningrad region). ◾️ Oil terminals rely on complex Western equipment (pumps, control systems, fire suppression systems). Due to sanctions, replacing damaged components is extremely difficult and costly. Repairs can take months, reducing overall export efficiency. Strikes on targets more than 1,000 km from the border demonstrate that there are no longer any safe zones for military or strategic infrastructure inside Russia. ◾️ The shadow fleet of tankers transporting Russian oil is becoming increasingly wary of operating in such areas, complicating Russia’s efforts to circumvent oil sanctions. 📹: Current Time

Anton Gerashchenko

115,210 views • 6 months ago

Where we are now and what can we expect in the coming months within the context of Russia's war in Ukraine: ◾️Ukraine and the world continue to await tensely for the results of the US elections. In the meantime, Ukraine and Russia continue active diplomatic actions to consolidate support for their allies. ◾️ Russia's primary focus is on discrediting Ukraine in the West, dividing our allies, and interfering in the US elections to divide Americans and increase instability. ◾️ During his visit to the US, President Zelensky met with President Biden and had meetings with presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. ◾️ Ukraine continues to destroy Russian military depots and military logistics; Ukraine produces its own drones and other weapons. ◾️ Russia increases its weapons and drones production as much as it can, despite sanctions. It uses weapons supplied by Russian allies - Iran and North Korea. There are reports that production of Russian Shahed drones has exceeded Russian original plans. ◾️ Russia is intensifying its strikes on Ukrainian cities, deliberately targeting apartment blocks, hospitals, and nursing homes. Its main purpose is to cause as much panic as possible, intimidate Ukrainians, and force them to leave their lands and homes. Strikes are unfortunately likely to continue, especially for Sumy and Kharkiv. Zaporizhzhia is now within the range of Russian KAB bombs, so it is likely to be under constant strikes as well. ◾️Despite the lack of "cannon fodder", Putin doesn't dare yet to announce open mobilization in Russia and increases hidden mobilization instead: increases payments for signing army contracts and recruits soldiers from other countries, including countries of Africa. Russia is increasing its presence there at an alarming rate which is very dangerous for this region. ◾️ In the coming month, the Russians will probably try to solve the "Kursk issue" at any cost. The "deadline" is likely set before the US elections at most but a desirable timeline for them is before the BRICS summit in Kazan (22-24 October) - to demonstrate to the BRICS guests that Russia is in control of the situation and is a serious partner. Otherwise, the situation when a part of Russia's territory is under Ukrainian control (when Putin had the intention to capture Ukraine "in three days" almost three years ago), is rather humiliating for Russia. During August and September, Russians have accumulated forces, have reformed and will now try to counterattack our troops. How the situation in Kursk region will develop depends on many factors and on the decisions that AFU leaders will make. ◾️ One of the key elements of these upcoming months are the elections in Moldova and Georgia at the end of October, where the influence of Russia and pro-Russian forces is enormous. ◾️We are likely to hear increased nuclear threats and other escalation rhetoric from Russia. ◾️Ukraine will face further problems due to electricity shortage. ◾️ Due to the escalation in the Middle East and the US elections, Ukraine is fading from the information field, which Russia is actively using, knowing that its crimes against Ukrainian civilians will not make the headlines in the Western media. Accordingly, many people outside Ukraine have the impression that the situation is getting better. But this is not the case at all: the situation is very tough and complicated. And it will continue to get worse. The largest war in Europe since the Second World War continues to rage on. The whole world is waiting for the US elections. The situation of strategic uncertainty will last at least until November. It is crucial to go through this period with a cool head, keeping the focus on Ukraine and showing Russia that the West does not withdraw its support. I'd like to end with a reminder of these Putin's words, which he said in June 2024. Nothing has changed for him: he intends to wage a war until the end. And it must become his own end.

Anton Gerashchenko

166,479 views • 2 years ago