Video yükleniyor...

Video Yüklenemedi

Ana Sayfaya Dön

Introducing 🧿 PredictionIndex.xyz we will help you map, rank, and discover the best of prediction markets in one place! We’ve indexed 73 projects (big upgrade from 27 in the first round) across apps, infra, social, AI, DeFi and more, with outcome types ranging from binary and categorical to scalar...

88,779 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce •via X (Twitter)

0 Yorum

Yorum bulunmuyor

Orijinal gönderinin yorumları burada görünecek

Benzer Videolar

FROM A $50 SALARY IN SYRIA TO A $6M ROUND Episode 5 of PredictTime is live, and you'll hear it from a founder who restarted from zero three times and never sent a single cold email to close his round Ali, founder and CEO of XO Market. We go deep into why 400+ prediction markets are just copies of the same model, why a whale unfairly resolving his Polymarket bet became the tipping point, and how AI agents now decide market outcomes instead of humans Now he's building XO Market, where anyone can turn any idea into a conviction market. Everything you need to know about user-generated markets, XO Vaults and the future of prediction markets is in this episode --- Win 1,000 Conviction Points and get access to XO's weekly parlays with prizes up to $50,000 (we'll pick the winner on July 13): - sign up via the link: -drop your username with your most creative comment or question about the episode and follow Predict Time and XO Market --- Timecodes: 00:00 Intro 00:38 Raising $6M without pitching a single VC 04:29 Why not just copy Polymarket 07:05 Advice for builders: grants over VC money 12:15 Building a team across every continent 15:52 Ali's story: from Syria to Switzerland 19:29 Leaving corporate (Roche) for crypto 22:24 Why raising money is a liability, not a win 25:42 How XO Market conviction markets actually work 29:43 What stops thousands of dead markets 32:41 The tech that gives markets instant liquidity 37:43 How to create your own market 39:14 Getting attention: local communities & ambassadors 44:20 Not the of prediction markets 48:22 Who decides the outcome: AI resolution 51:43 XO Vault: market making for everyone 56:47 The moment XO Market took off 1:02:14 Is prediction market usage exaggerated? 1:05:17 Elon Musk and mention markets 1:07:04 AI vs humans: jobs and the jury system 1:13:56 Are Polymarket & Kalshi overvalued? 1:16:16 What's next: Parlays, Vaults & the World Cup 1:23:06 Is XO Market becoming a sportsbook? 1:25:15 AI agents trading on their own 1:27:40 Regulation & staying permissionless 1:33:08 The investors: 20VC, Harry & a cricket legend 1:44:55 Will there be a token? 1:46:45 Blitz: rapid-fire round 1:52:59 Closing & giveaway

Predict Time

26,277 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Kairos And Why You Should Be A Part Of It Now. I’m sure that in the past few weeks, you’ve seen Kairos on your timeline whether from traders or creators like geek and tochi. What is Kairos? Kairos is currently the best prediction market trading terminal, aggregating Polymarket, Kalshi, and predict.fun. In simple terms, you can trade on all these prediction markets on kairos. Backed by a16z crypto, Geneva Trading, and more. Kairos is still in its beta phase, which means if you’re seeing this now, you’re genuinely early think HyperLiquid early. Why You Should Use Kairos Now • You get a major advantage by building volume early while it’s still in beta, ahead of any potential points system or token launch. • Its features outperforms every other prediction market product in speed, performance, advanced order types, news integration, and intelligence tools. No prediction market product comes close to Kairos in terms of technology. - Kill two birds with one stone: While trading Polymarket on Kairos, you’re simultaneously building trading volume for both platforms. This strategically positions you for potential $KAIROS and $POLY airdrops should any be announced. One volume. Two potential rewards. For Traders & Creators: • $30K Trading Competition Compete for a share of the prize pool using Kairos. Details: • There is currently a $5K Creator Pool and you get rewarded for creating content about Kairos. Also, if you’re a prediction market creator or micro-creator and you believe Kairos is the right place for you to grow and create, please feel free to reach out to me or Nexi and Zubby.hl. Use Kairos here: Join the Discord: Kairos is the Bloomberg Terminal for prediction markets and you’re truly early.

JustDara

12,635 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟔 𝐖𝐨𝐫𝐥𝐝 𝐂𝐮𝐩 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐠𝐞𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐦𝐨𝐫𝐞 𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐬𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐡𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲. Most people will use sportsbooks. A few will discover something better. Here's why the World Cup is actually POTS MARKET Market biggest moment. Every match carries dozens of predictable outcomes, not just who wins, but scorelines, goalscorers, red cards, halftime leads, VAR decisions. Traditional sportsbooks will process billions in bets. And keep most of it. Here is the problem with sportsbooks that nobody talks about: They set the odds. Not the market. Which means the house always has an edge baked in before you place a single bet. You're not trading against the market, you're trading against a company whose entire business model depends on you losing. That's not a prediction market. That's a casino with a football shirt on. Prediction markets are different. The odds aren't set by a company. They're set by the collective intelligence of everyone participating. When millions of people put real money behind their beliefs, the market finds truth faster than any analyst, pundit, or algorithm working alone. This is why prediction markets outperform polls, pundits, and press releases, every single time. Now here's where POTS Market changes the game entirely. POTS MONEY has a dedicated sports vertical, built specifically for football, basketball, and esports. Not a generic market with a football category tucked in the corner. A tailored module optimized for the way sports prediction actually works, short windows, live data, rapid settlement. 64 World Cup matches = 64 live prediction markets. Each one open, on-chain, transparent. But the real edge is not the markets themselves. It's the capital layer underneath them. On a traditional sportsbook, every bet locks your full stake. You place £100, that £100 is gone until settlement. POTS Money changes this. The DeFi lending primitive means you can collateralize positions and optimize capital across multiple markets simultaneously, without locking up dead capital on each one. That's not betting. That's portfolio management. And then there's the AI layer. Via MCP (Model Context Protocol), you can deploy autonomous trading agents that monitor live match data and execute positions based on your pre-set strategy. Imagine this: Agent monitors possession stats in real time Detects a momentum shift at the 60th minute Auto-places a position on the next goalscorer market before the crowd even reacts 𝙏𝙝𝙖𝙩'𝙨 𝙣𝙤𝙩 𝙖 𝙥𝙧𝙚𝙙𝙞𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣. 𝙏𝙝𝙖𝙩'𝙨 𝙖𝙣 𝙚𝙙𝙜𝙚 Compare the two worlds side by side: Sportsbook: ❌ House sets the odds ❌ Geo-restricted ❌ Capital locked per bet ❌ No automation ❌ Withdraw only when they allow it POTS Market: ✅ Market sets the odds ✅ Open and on-chain ✅ Capital efficient via DeFi lending ✅ AI agents execute your strategy ✅ Fully collateralized, transparent settlement One of these is built for the next decade. The other is built for the last one. The timing is not a coincidence. POTS Market launches Q2 2026, right as World Cup fever peaks globally. Q1 2026 — MVP + Polymarket integration ✅ Q2 2026 — Market Launch + DeFi lending beta 👈 we are here Q3-Q4 2026 — Skill Hub + Sub-accounts 2027+ — DAO governance + cross-chain The infrastructure is ready exactly when the biggest prediction event on earth arrives. That's timing. The 2026 World Cup will mint the first generation of serious prediction market traders. Most will start on sportsbooks. The ones who do their research will end up on POTS. From trusting the house to trusting the market. From locked capital to capital efficiency. From punting to positioning. POTS MARKET POTS MONEY, the World Cup just became a DeFi event.

KIMMY OF GOOD LIFE 😍

21,955 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🏝 EFSANE — A One-Stop Crypto and Stock Paradise EFSANE is one of the world's fastest-growing comprehensive cryptocurrency and stock information platforms. It has a strong influence in emerging markets and is accelerating its global expansion. Unlike traditional investment websites, EFSANE has built a full-featured financial ecosystem, covering a diverse experience ranging from stock information, crypto news, airdrops, social interaction, market predictions, and on-chain entertainment games. 🔹 Our Core Features: 📈 Global Stock Information and Market Quotes: Track US and Asian stock markets and hot sectors in real time to identify promising stock opportunities. 📰 Crypto News & Market Analysis: Stay up-to-date on cryptocurrency trends and gain in-depth insight into market trends. 🎮 Crypto Games & Prediction Platform: Play and earn, a perfect combination of entertainment and profitability. 📢 Global Community & Multilingual Social Networking: Connect with investors worldwide, transcending language and market boundaries. 🎁 Airdrops & Sign-in Rewards: Easily participate in events and earn real rewards. 🎓 Professional Tutorials & Investment Training: From stock market basics to on-chain strategies, comprehensively enhance your investment skills. 🔗 Upcoming Modules: EFSANE ANet (prediction network), ENT (entertainment games), LIVE (global live streaming), and Stock Pro (professional stock information module) will comprehensively expand the application scenarios of the integration of Web3 and traditional finance. 🚀 EFSANE is more than just a platform; it's your gateway to global investment and the world of Web3. Whether you're a stock investor or a crypto enthusiast, this is a new starting point for asset growth! 🔓 New user registration: Get 6 USDT instantly! Limited time offer: 👉 Register now:

EFSANE

16,391 görüntüleme • 11 ay önce

Long time listener, first time caller - I’m thrilled to share that I’ve joined Kalshi to build out the Product function! Prediction markets are incredibly powerful primitives that are just starting to be explored, much like how crypto was 10 years ago. Anyone can make a market for the outcome of an event, creating a much more balanced and reliable source of information than traditional news or polls. Kalshi is an unstoppable force. It single-handedly created the US prediction market category through sheer willpower and relentless regulatory effort (just google "Kalshi sues CFTC"). It’s a better source of truth for the presidential election than traditional polls, it pioneered "mention markets," created a platform for anyone to earn on their knowledge, and has set the pace of innovation in financial markets over the last few years. I can’t think of two better people to lead the way than Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara. As soon as I met them I knew they had what it took to build a generational company and that I wanted to build it with them. My mission here is to lead and scale our Product function, helping us build the next generation of trading products and markets to make this vision a reality. Everybody is an expert on something, and Kalshi is the definitive platform to trade on that knowledge. The markets agree - this week alone, we deepened our partnership with Solana on Monday, announced our Series E raise from Paradigm, Sequoia Capital, a16z and more on Tuesday, launched our partnership with CNN to reshape the future of news Wednesday, and announced our partnership with CNBC Thursday. And this is just a normal week for us. To use my favorite Coinbase phrase - it's still day 1. P.S. We are hiring. If you are interested in building what has the potential to be the most important consumer opportunity of our times, message me.

Catherine Sullivan

68,995 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

When I was 8 years old, growing up in Taipei, I called my aunt in San Francisco and asked: What is the best science and technology school in the world? She said MIT. I went on the internet, found it, and decided that was where I was going. All because of a Steven Spielberg movie about a little robot boy who wanted to find his mom. I grew up as an only child. What stayed with me from that movie was not just the technology. It was the possibility that one day, an artificial companion could understand how I felt. That was the first time I remember being moved by a technology that could change how humans experience reality. Years later, I did get to MIT. I studied AI before it became obvious. I became a machine learning engineer, built my first company, joined a $3.5B VC fund, left to build again, failed, started again, moved to New York alone, and built through one of the hardest crypto markets as a solo founder after the collapse of FTX. I kept going because I have always been drawn to technologies that change how humans understand the world. AI was the first version of that. Crypto and prediction markets are the next. I believe the future I am building toward is inevitable. The only question is whether I get to be one of the people who helps realize it. That future is a world where markets become information-first. The old model of trading was asset-first. It rewarded people with capital, financial education, institutional access, and better tools. But the next generation of markets will be shaped by information flow, narrative, attention, politics, culture, sentiment, and collective belief. Prediction markets make this shift obvious. They are one of the first asset classes where the value is informational, not purely financial in the traditional sense. Your edge does not have to come from technical analysis or a traditional finance background. Your edge can come from knowing something before it becomes consensus. From seeing reality shift before the market prices it in. Someone with firsthand knowledge of an unfolding event can have more alpha than an institution with a much bigger balance sheet. They turn belief into price. But price alone is not enough. Polymarket shows what the market thinks will happen. ARES is built to understand why the market is changing. We are building an information-first trading platform for prediction markets and other narrative-driven assets. One that does not just show traders what is moving, but helps them understand why odds are shifting, why narratives are forming, and why the future is moving in a certain direction. But the bigger vision is not just a better trading terminal. We want to turn every trade into an information object. Every position can become a piece of content. Every market view can become a signal. Every trader can build a reputation around conviction and accuracy. Most feeds rank information by engagement. Who got the most likes. Who already has the biggest audience. Markets allow us to rank information differently. How much are you willing to stake on what you believe? How often have you been right? That creates a fundamentally different kind of media feed. One powered by conviction, track record, and market incentives. One that becomes harder to fake. One that can help people understand not just what the market thinks will happen, but why reality is changing. I also believe prediction markets are one of the few markets where humans can still have a real edge over AI. AI knows what is already on the internet. But humans experience reality before it becomes data. We see things before they become headlines. We hear things before they become reports. We feel shifts before they become consensus. If those signals can be priced, organized, and made legible, then more people can gain access to financial opportunity, information agency, and power. That is what Ares is building toward. I spent years watching founders from the VC side of the table, always thinking: I wish that was me. Now it is. I talked about this journey and the thesis behind Ares in my conversation with Dmitry on Predict Time If you are building, trading, investing, or thinking deeply about prediction markets and information markets, I would love for you to watch it. And if you want to collaborate on what we are building, contribute to the vision, or join the team, we are always open to exceptional people across functions. DMs are open.

Morgan Lai

302,663 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Inside the Billionaire Backed Prediction Markets Hedge Fund. Run by a 24-Year-Old. Camilo Saravia (camilo), founder of BlueWalker Capital, a systematic prediction markets fund backed by Daniel Howard of Halo Capital. "I don't want more capital. I'm extremely long our equity." We cover: - Why insider trading in prediction markets is terrible for liquidity and GOOD for society - Prediction markets as cash-backed truth in a world of AI slop and disinformation - Why he turned down the allocator question entirely, and the "Goldilocks zone" that makes a fund this size work - His research team's actual mission statement: "collapse the entropy of the internet into signal" - Trading Spotify streams and measuring how fast Mamdani viralizes vs Cuomo on TikTok - Why beating earnings has almost no correlation with the stock going up, and why only testing reveals that - Mention markets as literal next-word prediction, and how makers got sniped out - Hiring missionaries with a mercenary work style, and why every hire takes a pay cut vs Citadel, Jane Street, Wintermute - Daniel Howard's mandate: faster, more risk, more aggression. "They haven't backed me to print 7% APY" - The abundance mindset, from a kid with immigrant parents sitting across from generational wealth - A venture mindset applied to public equities: pulling the thread from free cash flow down to Glassdoor culture - Why you never need to be binarily right: buy at 20, sell at 40, never wait for resolution Highlights: (00:00) Intro (00:56) Taker vs maker, reflexive vs proactive: the strategy map (03:08) What makes an event contract different from an equity (04:53) Insider trading in prediction markets: bug or feature (08:18) Cash-backed truth in a world of AI slop (12:43) Where edge actually comes from (14:19) The dataset: billions of records a day (17:44) Building a money management business from an empty office (21:34) Why asset management competes with software as a business model (23:51) How to underwrite elite talent (25:50) Missionaries vs mercenaries, and why the tension is the point (30:54) Recruiting against Citadel money (and losing on salary every time) (37:32) "We can't compromise speed": the Daniel Howard mandate (44:45) The abundance mindset (48:28) "Why should I invest?" / "I don't want more capital" (50:12) Collapsing the entropy of the internet (51:04) Spotify streams, TikTok virality, and mention markets (53:17) The one data provider he'd long if he could (55:49) There's a business behind everything (01:00:07) How to find the real drivers in any market (01:04:04) A venture mindset applied to public equities (01:10:06) Prediction markets 101: where to actually start (01:12:05) Why you don't need to be binarily right (01:13:19) Final question: building personal edge against the models

Ethan Kho

126,615 görüntüleme • 22 gün önce

Just finished a huge UPGRADE to my Polymarket Arbitrage Trading Bot 📈 $41,514 +EV - [ Right Now] ✳️ 1,032% Spread - [ Right Now] #⃣ 3X More Arbitrage Opportunities I had to break a lot of rules to get this to work, If Polymarket finds out I might be in trouble... But it was worth it! I was able to bypass the restrictions that are holding back other Arbitrage Trading Bots Here’s how it all works... MARKET MATCHING The bot is looking for arbitrages across 5 different Prediction Markets To do that we are indexing millions of individual markets To try to find the few thousand functionally identical pairs between platforms That's billions of potential matches To find the few thousand market pairs that are functionally equivalent between platforms we are using a four part matching system: 1. Keyword extraction, ranking & matching 2. Trigram, Jaccard & Vector hybrid matching algorithm of the market titles, close conditions, alternative titles & outcomes 3. LLM Prompt matching checking for functional equivalence of market rules -> Incredibly inconsistent, hence the need for part 4, building a system like this at scale will open your eyes to the shortcomings of AI 4. Human verification + 99.8% Accuracy + 6,320 Markets Matched Once we have our markets, we move onto.. ARBITRAGE DETECTION - [ UPGRADED ] To detect if there is an arbitrage we need two things Market Odds & Orderbooks Market Odds: This will show us the ‘Spread’, if the sum of Market A YES & Market B NO is less than $1, or vice versa, we have a potential arbitrage Orderbooks: This will show us the "EV", much we can arbitrage profit we can extract, according to the available liquidity and slippage of both orderbooks This is where we had been severely limited in the past, due to inadequacies of the WebSocket feeds and API rate limits Polymarket: Orderbook initial dumps & entire orderbook price levels missing when connecting hundreds of markets to the WS feed, undisclosed multi-WS rate limits Opinion: API rate limits, WS delta updates missing, WS delta updates sent in wrong order, asks sent below best bid, airdrop farming bots posting and filling their own orders breaking WS feed. Kalshi: Rate limits and minor book inaccuracies at scale PredictFun & Probable: Surprisingly accurate as of current, monitoring how they handle increasing volumes To get past these limits and scale the Arbitrage Finder we built some advanced new systems 1. Multiple Instances Instead of scaling vertically we moved to scaling horizontally, a central controller handles the deployment & management of multiple proxied worker instances that each keep a local record of a subset of the market orderbooks and detect arbitrage opportunities as soon as dif updates are received These worker instances feed the orderbook data back to the main controller which aggregates all information in one place and formats along them with relevant metadata to be fetched by our trading interfaces and applications 2. Handling “Junk Data” One of the most challenging parts of scaling this application is dealing with the inaccuracies of the data provided by the APIs that we refer to as ‘Junk Data’ Some are easy to deal with: - Book updates returned in the wrong order required an additional ‘lastTimestamp’ value at each book level which was referenced before any future updates are applied, if diff update timestamp was prior to lastTimestamp the dif update is ignored. - Missing book dumps / levels reduced almost entirely by reducing the number of CLOB tokens per WS connection - Dif ask/bid flips appearing at impossible levels are not applied Some were a lot more challenging: - Missing book updates were only detectable with revalidation & comparison, we don’t know what we don't know until we know we don't know it. More complex revalidation triggers and short recycling periods minimize the issue With these updates we can scale the number of local orderbooks we are handling at one time: Before: ~4,000 orderbooks After: ~10,000 orderbooks This, along with the improvements in orderbook accuracy, has increased arb density by 3X Meaning we’re finding 3X the amount of opportunities as before 3. Rate limit bypass To bypass the API limits that limit the quantity of markets we can subscribe to at once we had to ██████ ███ █ ██████ █████ █████████ TRADING SYSTEMS - [ NEW ] The data is only as good as you can display it, ultimately the format in which the data is served will determine how efficiently it can be acted upon We’ve created a system of interconnected tools that enable us to trade these opportunities, each with a different specific use case 1. AlertPilot Trading Terminal A dashboard displaying all the hundreds of arbitrage opportunities the bot has found across 5 different prediction markets in real time + Arbitrage Calculator, showing you exactly how much to bid to take advantage of the arbitrage according to your bankroll, fees & slippage + Double Price Chart, which helps traders to estimate how long their arbitrage take to close + Strategy Guide, explaining how to execute arbitrage trades most effectively to maximize profits + Position Manager, connect your wallets to see your open arbitrage positions, EV, profits & exits 2. AlertPilot Telegram Bot A system for getting alerts on all new arbitrage opportunities immediately, EV, Spreads & market links + Custom Settings, only see the arbitrages you’d want to take with user specific settings + Position Sell Alerts, connected to the AlertPilot Position Manager, get alerts to your phone when its time to sell your arbitrage positions + All 5 Markets, alerts on all 5 supported prediction markets: Polymarket, Kalshi, Opinion, Probable & PredictFun 3. AlertPilot Discord Bot Private chat rooms and arbitrage alerts on the AlertPilot Discord Group + Custom Alerts, the best arbitrage alerts are sent to the discord channel + Support, traders answering your questions on Arbitrage Trading 4. Arbitrage Trading Terminal [ SOON ] A trading terminal built specifically for Arbitrage + Atomic Execution, enter positions on two platforms at the same time + Visualize the Arbitrage, trade with both charts in one place, see the gap close as you take your positions + Manage positions across multiple prediction markets in one place

SecureZero 

33,200 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

Marc Andreessen explains the 3 Necessities for Start-up Success: "The general criteria for a successful high-tech startup, in my view, you see different sort of rules of thumb from different people. But the three big things you always come back to are, is there a big market? And by the way, that comes in two parts. Is there a big existing market that you think you can go after and sort of displace incumbents or do you believe there will be a new market that will be big? So big market. Is there a fundamental technology or economic change that causes you to basically justify having a new company? And that's really important. And the way I always think about that is, is there a 10X change happening in the technology landscape? Is something 10X faster or 10X cheaper or 10X better? And if it's not 10X, we as both VCs and entrepreneurs, we really have to ask ourselves like, is it really worth doing? Because it's really hard. I mean, it's really hard to start new companies. new companies generally shouldn't exist. Existing companies are usually pretty good at what they do. And so for a new company to exist, it not only has to like come in and go into business and bring a product to market, but it has to bring a product to market that's so much better than what already exists that it punches through the sort of status quo. And most customers in most markets are pretty happy buying from the current suppliers and so there has to be a real kind of edge on the thing and we look for that in either a technology change, usually a technology change or an economic change. which are often the same thing. And then the third is team. Is the team outstanding? And if you think about this as an entrepreneur, it becomes a question of the founding team. Some companies are solo founders and they can work, but generally most of us, like myself, we're human beings, we're mortal. You want to have a founding team of complementary skill sets. And so you want to have at least one super strong technologist, quite possibly more than one. Some of the best startups are actually more than one founding technologist and then it often helps to have somebody who's like a product or who's a market or sales person or has a sort of really good understanding of business on the team, certainly helps a lot. And so we sort of look at market, product, and team. And the reality is you need all three. I would say, interestingly, if you're going to compromise as an investor, if we're going to compromise on one of those, it would actually be the product. And the reason I say that is because a great market is a lot easier to make up for with iterative product execution than a poor market. Because the problem with a poor market, a small market, is even if you do a great job on the product, there just aren't that many customers. It's hard to ever get big."

Founder Mode

39,005 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

I CAUGHT THE $436,000 INSIDER Episode 3 of PredictTime is live - and you'll hear this story straight from the source tre 🇨🇦, founder of Polysights. We go deep - into how his platform catches insiders on Polymarket before the news drops and into his life journey Everything you need to know about insider trading in prediction markets - is in this episode Timecodes: 00:00 — Cold open / Highlights 00:51 — The $436k profit case: how a $34k order paid out before the news 01:05 — Meet Tre, founder of Polysights 01:35 — How Polysights spots anomalies: radar score and wallet clusters 03:17 — What Polysights actually does: advanced analytics for prediction markets 04:00 — From aircraft engineering to the Canadian Air Force 05:01 — Entrepreneurial roots: e-commerce and dropshipping 06:13 — Selling the first company at 23 and getting paid in crypto 08:21 — Were meme coins detrimental or a launchpad into Web3? 09:46 — The "Fatherhood Buff": how a son changes drive and risk 12:03 — Rank 1 in WoW: gaming as training for founders 14:35 — From PredictFun on Blast to Polymarket: trader-first, builder-second 16:35 — Building Insider Finder: scoring every trade on Polymarket 19:34 — The Maduro case in detail: why it wasn't posted publicly 21:18 — Mayor Eric Adams dropout: prediction markets vs mainstream media 22:24 — MicroStrategy markets: 6–0 on recycled wallets 26:50 — Philosophy: why insider trading accelerates truth 30:56 — Disagreeing with Kalshi's CEO: the centralized vs decentralized divide 35:19 — If the CFTC bans insider trading: validation or death? 48:09 — Arbitrage across Polymarket, Kalshi and sportsbooks 50:48 — Why prediction markets finally boomed in 2024–2025 54:39 — Alpha decay and growing to 45,000 users 55:59 — The Bloomberg / WSJ / NYT moment 58:08 — Fundraising $1.5M from Halifax: the lead VC drama 01:02:26 — Business model: moving away from subscriptions 01:04:21 — No-code automated trading strategies as the future 01:13:20 — Roadmap: V1 by Q2 and a regulated prediction market in Canada 01:16:24 — Solo founder reality: from intern-only to an ex-Meta tech lead 01:18:46 — Crucial advice: don't build another trading terminal 01:20:27 — Breaking in with no connections, no VCs, no hub 01:24:58 — Rapid-fire: Ferrari, Bitcoin to $1M, Hyperliquid vs Kalshi 01:27:35 — The biggest insider trade he can't prove: Lord Miles 01:28:12 — Role models: CZ, Kobe, Shane, Elon 01:30:00 — Final advice: stop overthinking and take the swing

Predict Time

58,073 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

In Q1 Robinhood shipped some incredible products and features. Last week at the #RobinhoodPresents: The Lost City of Gold, we announced three products that will change the way we think about money. First, personalized investment management - Robinhood Strategies. It’s tailored, expert-managed portfolios directly in the app. Second, Robinhood Cortex, our AI investment tool that will provide real-time analysis and insights that help you better navigate the markets, identify opportunities, and stay up to date on the latest market moving news. And third, Robinhood Banking, bringing the private banking experience exclusively to Robinhood Gold members, providing access to traditional checking and savings accounts with luxury benefits. We also delivered futures, index options, P&L and tax lots to customers, and a new prediction markets hub with the College Basketball Tournaments and our first financial event - Fed fund rates. Robinhood Legend updates like new indicators and anchored VWAP, and updates for mobile as well like picture-in-picture charts and swipe-to-trade. And new order types like options cancel new and equities market buys. See the options disclosure document at And we came with more promotions for customers. We launched Gold Month with weekly drops, retirement account boosts on contributions and transfers, and brand new experiences in the app where we surprised customers with trivia and crypto. Crypto has been more important than ever. We added support for new assets in the U.S. bringing our total to 26 supported assets, launched volume based pricing, continued advocating for regulator clarity, and are busy planning our crypto event that will be in France this summer. In the European Union, Robinhood Crypto launched in Spain, and we added support for assets as well and now have support for 48. Our brokerage product in the UK is growing too. We delivered on a long requested offering across the pond, options. As always, much more to come. I’m here for the next 30 minutes, AMA about these launches.

Vlad Tenev

98,696 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

FLOKI LAUNCHES TOKENFI (with "TOKEN" ticker) TO CAPITALIZE ON THE TRILLION-DOLLAR TOKENIZATION INDUSTRY Floki has launched a crypto and asset tokenization platform named TokenFi to capitalize on the trillion-dollar tokenization industry. The tokenization industry is projected to be a $16 trillion industry by the year 2030. BlackRock, the world's biggest institutional investor with $10 trillion of assets under management, strongly believes in the industry's potential, which they call "the next evolution in markets". TokenFi, with the ticker TOKEN, aims to simplify the crypto and asset tokenization process and eventually become the foremost tokenization platform in the world. We will unveil the platform website on the 27th of October, and you can finally see what we've got planned, but for now, you can find the token details below. TOKENFI TOKEN DETAILS: - Token name: TokenFi - Token Ticker: TOKEN - Total supply: 10 billion tokens split across BSC and ETH (5 billion tokens on each chain). - Launch market cap: $50,000 circulating and $500,000 diluted market cap. - Industry targeted: Tokenization, Real World Assets, Launchpad. An initial 10% token supply will be added to Liquidity Pools on Uniswap and PancakeSwap to provide public liquidity and allow interested parties to trade. TRADING WILL COMMENCE ON UNISWAP AND PANCAKESWAP BY 3PM UTC ON OCTOBER, 27 2023. - BSC contract address: 0x4507cEf57C46789eF8d1a19EA45f4216bae2B528 - ETH contract address: 0x4507cEf57C46789eF8d1a19EA45f4216bae2B528 (NOTE: The contract address is the same on both the BSC and ETH chains). FLOKI stakers will earn 56% of the supply over a period of 4 years. The Floki community is known for being diamond-handed, and with TokenFi being in an industry with MASSIVE potential, FLOKI holders are the best candidates to receive the majority of TokenFi tokens. Since they would be staking their FLOKI tokens to get the new token, this will also ensure stability for the FLOKI token! TokenFi supply will be split evenly between the BSC and ETH chains: In other words, there will be 5 billion tokens on BSC and 5 billion tokens on ETH, to make for a combined total of 10 billion tokens. 5% of the supply will be paired with LP on BSC and the other 5% on ETH. This will make the starting circulating market cap on BSC a $25k market cap and on ETH a $25k market cap to make a combined initial circulating market cap of $50k and an initial fully diluted market cap of $500k (which will be gradually released to FLOKI stakers over a four year period). IMPORTANT INFORMATION FOR THE FIRST HOUR OF LAUNCH We understand that with this being a Floki token, there is a lot of hype. As a result, we have put measures in place to limit the impact of snipers on the token: Specifically, there will be a 1% wallet cap (of total supply) within the first hour of launch. That means no individual wallet can buy more than 100 million tokens within the first hour of the token becoming tradable. In addition, there will be an initial buy/sell transaction tax of 20% within the first hour. This transaction tax will do two things: 1) potentially limit the impact of snipers and 2) ensure a significant portion of whatever snipers/early buyers spend goes to the Floki treasury, which can be used for growth and development efforts. After the first hour, the wallet cap will be removed, and the transaction tax will be lowered to 5%. This 5% tax will remain in place for a week, after which the Floki DAO will vote on whether or not to remove or reduce it. We have instructed our exchange partners not to list TokenFi until this DAO vote. OUR PLAN FOR TOKENFI TokenFi is a well-thought-out concept that we have a strong capability to deliver on! We will unveil our roadmap with the launch of the TokenFi website on the 27th of October, 2023. However, we assure you that several TokenFi products are in advanced development on testnet and are due to go live in Q4 2023. In addition, we are working with some of the biggest names in the industry - especially from an institutional perspective - to make TokenFi a success, and they are quite excited about the concept and its potential. In our original DAO proposal, we already announced DWF Labs as our main institutional partner and market maker for TokenFi. We also announced a strategic partnership with World Table Tennis that will introduce TokenFi to a massive audience of 120 million people. We will announce many more partners in the coming weeks and months, and I'm sure that when you see the moves we have made, you will see why there is no better person to execute this vision than Floki!

FLOKI

1,955,825 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce

🚀 Three Next-Gen AI & Web3 Projects Are Launching on Mindo AI A new chapter for community-powered intelligence, prediction markets, and open AI infrastructure The AI + Web3 landscape is entering a decisive phase — one where real usage, real revenue, and real ownership matter more than hype. Today, MindoAI is proud to welcome three groundbreaking projects that represent this shift clearly and powerfully: Perceptron Network Space DeepNode AI Each project tackles a different bottleneck in the AI economy — data, forecasting, and infrastructure — but they all share the same vision: decentralization, community ownership, and sustainable value creation. Let’s take a deeper look 👇 🧠 Perceptron Network The world’s first community-powered AI data engine Perceptron Network is redefining how AI data is sourced, validated, and delivered. Instead of relying on expensive, closed, and slow legacy data providers, Perceptron unlocks community-powered data pipelines that are: Faster Cheaper Revenue-generating from day one This isn’t experimental AI infrastructure — Perceptron already serves real clients with real revenue, proving that decentralized data engines can outperform traditional incumbents. Why Perceptron matters: AI models are only as good as their data Centralized data monopolies slow innovation Communities can produce higher-quality data at scale By aligning contributors, validators, and clients through incentives, Perceptron turns unused human and network potential into a living data engine for AI. Launching on Mindo AI gives Perceptron access to a broader AI-native community — accelerating adoption, partnerships, and ecosystem growth. 🌌 intodotspace The first 10× leveraged prediction market on Solana intodotspace is pushing the boundaries of on-chain prediction markets. Built by the $1.5B UFO team, this platform introduces: 10× leveraged predictions Ultra-fast execution on Solana Deep liquidity and composable market design The market’s confidence is already clear — the project completed a record-breaking raise that was oversubscribed by 1,360%. What makes intodotspace different: Leverage amplifies conviction, not noise On-chain transparency replaces opaque odds Markets become real-time intelligence engines Prediction markets are often called “truth machines.” intodotspace upgrades them into high-signal, high-efficiency forecasting layers — useful for traders, protocols, DAOs, and even AI systems that need probabilistic insights. Launching on positions intodotspace at the intersection of AI-driven decision-making and on-chain market intelligence. 🌐 DeepNode AI Infrastructure for open intelligence DeepNode AI is tackling one of the biggest problems in modern AI: centralized ownership. Today, AI is dominated by a handful of corporations. DeepNode flips that model by building open intelligence infrastructure where: Anyone can deploy AI models Builders earn directly from usage Intelligence is co-owned, not extracted Backed by leading validators, miners, and ecosystem builders, DeepNode transforms AI from a closed monopoly into a shared utility. DeepNode’s core philosophy: “Own what you build — or someone else will.” This is more than infrastructure. It’s an economic redesign of AI itself: Builders keep ownership Contributors share upside Networks replace platforms Launching on connects DeepNode to creators, researchers, and communities who believe intelligence should belong to everyone — not just Big Tech. 🤝 Why This Matters for With the launch of Perceptron Network, intodotspace, and DeepNode AI, #MindoAI is rapidly becoming: A hub for AI-native Web3 innovation A launchpad for real, revenue-backed projects A meeting point for data, markets, and intelligence infrastructure These three projects don’t compete — they complement each other: Perceptron supplies data intodotspace produces market intelligence DeepNode powers open AI execution Together, they form the backbone of a decentralized intelligence economy. 🔥 The future of AI is open, composable, and community-owned — and it’s launching now on Which of these projects are you most excited about? And how do you see decentralized intelligence reshaping the next AI cycle? 👇 Share your thoughts and join the conversation.

Hồng Ngọc | Ruby💎

12,837 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce