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“It’s really like around $20 billion notional traded in contracts per month, which is super, super low.” Steve Gregory, CEO of Binance.US 🇺🇸 breaks down why prediction markets are still small compared to broader crypto markets.

Crypto In America

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In Prediction Markets (which we are being told isn’t Sports Gambling but are sports contracts) you are required to pay income tax on all Unrealized Gains every December 31 due to Mark To Market accounting of Section 1256 for contracts? Is that correct ??

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Mr Shift: What's the true innovation with prediction markets? Kalshi CEO: There's many ways to answer that question. Um there's the Kalshi piece of it, but then there's the prediction market piece of it, which are not exactly the same. “But the... the true innovation in prediction markets, I think, is this notion, like... and, and I think it has been built through a lot of literature, and then I think the prediction markets have come in our generation, like Kalshi and some of the others have proven it” “The best way to answer like all these most pressing questions is like you have to ask the crowd”

Mr Shift: What's the true innovation with prediction markets? Kalshi CEO: There's many ways to answer that question. Um there's the Kalshi piece of it, but then there's the prediction market piece of it, which are not exactly the same. “But the... the true innovation in prediction markets, I think, is this notion, like... and, and I think it has been built through a lot of literature, and then I think the prediction markets have come in our generation, like Kalshi and some of the others have proven it” “The best way to answer like all these most pressing questions is like you have to ask the crowd”

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Prediction markets have been going absolutely crazy over the last few weeks and I don't see that slowing down Prediction markets are platforms that you can bet on the outcome of future events Think politics, crypto, sports, really anything you could think of We have sites like Polymarket Kalshi MYRIAD & some others that are growing on a day to day basis If you enjoyed this type of content please like and share

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The CEO of a $103 Billion market cap company confirmed it: "We're at the beginning of a prediction market super cycle" "Fastest growing business of all time for Robinhood" Sportsbooks are "scrambling" for a reason: - Prediction markets scaled to a "nine-figure revenue business" instantly - It affects "many more industries than just sports" - They are built as "financial infrastructure" for knowledge - 90% accuracy makes it the "best we've got for forecasting" The forecasting era has begun How long until prediction markets flip sportsbooks?

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Ansem explains why Zcash is still undervalued “It’s super cheap compared to a lot of the other coins, it has a great narrative behind it, it already has momentum and it’s by far the best performer in Crypto the past year” “I honestly think it’s gonna consolidate here around $450-$500 and then I think it’s gonna keep going up… it’s only around $9B market cap right now” “Zcash was like $30 or $40 last year before a lot of core technological upgrades got pushed through”

Ansem explains why Zcash is still undervalued “It’s super cheap compared to a lot of the other coins, it has a great narrative behind it, it already has momentum and it’s by far the best performer in Crypto the past year” “I honestly think it’s gonna consolidate here around $450-$500 and then I think it’s gonna keep going up… it’s only around $9B market cap right now” “Zcash was like $30 or $40 last year before a lot of core technological upgrades got pushed through”

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Prediction markets are a (poorly understood) multi-billion dollar industry. This Law of Code episode is a multi-hour deep dive on prediction markets, from conclave betting in 15th century Rome to proposed rulemaking from the CFTC earlier this month. My goal: the internet's most comprehensive explainer on prediction markets. I spent several months and over 100 hours on this podcast, and spoke to the world's leading experts on the legal layer of prediction markets: robertjdenault, Daniel Wallach, Stefan Schropp, Sam Enzer, Paul Grewal, Brad Bourque, Thania Charmani, Michael Passalacqua, Joshua Sterling, Jeff Amico, as well as Koleman Strumpf, Matt Kalish, with clips from prior conversations with Chris Giancarlo, Dustin Gouker. By the end of this episode, I promise you'll be in the top percentile for understanding prediction markets, regardless of your starting point. (You just might want to listen twice. There's a lot here.) 0:00 Intro 1:40 16th century papal betting Koleman Strumpf 11:13 Insider trading rules robertjdenault 16:20 The Google insider case 27:38 Why prediction markets matter Chris Giancarlo 33:20 Election betting in America 44:50 Iowa Electronic Markets 52:11 Dodd-Frank, swaps and the Special Rule 54:23 Senator Lincoln on sports contracts 1:02:04 Parlays as swaps 1:07:38 CFTC's exclusive jurisdiction Thania Charmani 1:13:45 Perspective on CFTC's NPRM Michael Passalacqua 1:21:10 Exceptions that swallow the rule Paul Grewal 1:33:40 How prediction markets actually work 1:42:20 Kalshi's fee structure 1:44:33 Cardi B and the resolution problem Dustin Gouker 1:51:20 Polymarket's decentralized resolution Jeff Amico 1:58:10 The Ninth Circuit case 2:14:04 CFTC's proposed rulemaking Brad Bourque, Stefan Schropp 2:25:21 Kalshi's landmark 2024 win 2:29:20 PASPA, Murphy v. NCAA Daniel Wallach 2:51:29 The case against banning prediction markets robertjdenault Nothing in this podcast is legal or investment advice. Thank you to the sponsors of this episode, Cahill Gordon & Reindel LLP (Lewis Cohen), Hyperliquid Policy Center and .

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59,821 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

The CEO of ICE (NYSE) told Rob Hadick Polymarket will be worth $100B “I was with the founder and CEO of ICE and he said: 'I think Polymarket is going to be a $100B company'. Keep in mind, ICE is like a $95B company. That’s how bullish a lot of the traditional finance guys are on prediction markets”

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