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Ivan on Tech calls Bitcoin at the 200-week moving average "God-sent." Why? One month after touching it averages 8% gains—more than the S&P does in a year. Six months out? 53%. He sees it as close to free money if you understand risk-reward.

Ivan on Tech 🍳📈💰 Head Trader @ Bullmania

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12,444 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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CHARLIE MUNGER, ONE OF THE GREATEST INVESTORS OF ALL TIME, SAID: “BUY HIGH-QUALITY ASSETS ON THE 200-WEEK MOVING AVERAGE AND YOU'LL BEAT THE S&P 500 BY A LARGE MARGIN.” THE BEST BUY SIGNAL IN BITCOIN ISN'T A PATTERN OR AN INDICATOR. IT'S THE 200-WEEK MOVING AVERAGE. EVERY TIME $BTC HAS TOUCHED IT, IT MARKED A GENERATIONAL BOTTOM. WE JUST TOUCHED IT AGAIN AT $59K.

CHARLIE MUNGER, ONE OF THE GREATEST INVESTORS OF ALL TIME, SAID: “BUY HIGH-QUALITY ASSETS ON THE 200-WEEK MOVING AVERAGE AND YOU'LL BEAT THE S&P 500 BY A LARGE MARGIN.” THE BEST BUY SIGNAL IN BITCOIN ISN'T A PATTERN OR AN INDICATOR. IT'S THE 200-WEEK MOVING AVERAGE. EVERY TIME $BTC HAS TOUCHED IT, IT MARKED A GENERATIONAL BOTTOM. WE JUST TOUCHED IT AGAIN AT $59K.

Documenting Saylor

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WHY THE BITCOIN BOTTOM IS PROBABLY NOT IN YET. Bitcoin just closed a weekly candle BELOW the 200 weekly moving average. Now look at 2022. Price did not bottom at the 200 week MA. It cut roughly 30% below it before turning. If history rhymes, Bitcoin could still drop lower.

WHY THE BITCOIN BOTTOM IS PROBABLY NOT IN YET. Bitcoin just closed a weekly candle BELOW the 200 weekly moving average. Now look at 2022. Price did not bottom at the 200 week MA. It cut roughly 30% below it before turning. If history rhymes, Bitcoin could still drop lower.

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The DoD's Emil Michael on defense strategy: "The pacing threat is China." "You can do more than one thing at one time, but it has to have a focus... and now it's moving, as it should in my view, to China," he tells our Jack Detsch at POLITICO Live's AI & Tech Summit.

The DoD's Emil Michael on defense strategy: "The pacing threat is China." "You can do more than one thing at one time, but it has to have a focus... and now it's moving, as it should in my view, to China," he tells our Jack Detsch at POLITICO Live's AI & Tech Summit.

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Why did the “S&P pop” fizzle? And why is it back now? Jonathan Levin looked at more than a decade of data to find out 🎥

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📺 THIS IS THE BEST $PLTR SETUP WE’VE SEEN IN MONTHS + CRYPTO IS LOOKING READY $PLTR is no longer the overhyped, “priced for perfection” trade it once was. After months of consolidation and a series of lower highs, the structure has reset, and risk/reward in $PLTR looks more balanced, making this one of the cleaner setups in a while. Still, earnings remain tricky—I don't take shares (only options), and options are expensive and even being right directionally can fail without the right structure. Rather than forcing a trade, my focus is on waiting for confirmation. * At the same time, #Bitcoin and crypto-related names like $CRCL are showing stronger momentum, reclaiming key moving averages and offering more immediate opportunity. I'm bullish on $IBIT, expecting a move toward the 200-day moving average. I'm also in $CRCL, which had a strong recent price action, benefiting from crypto momentum. It reclaimed key moving averages, showing technical strength. * If you found this helpful, please ❤️like and 🔁retweet

📺 THIS IS THE BEST $PLTR SETUP WE’VE SEEN IN MONTHS + CRYPTO IS LOOKING READY $PLTR is no longer the overhyped, “priced for perfection” trade it once was. After months of consolidation and a series of lower highs, the structure has reset, and risk/reward in $PLTR looks more balanced, making this one of the cleaner setups in a while. Still, earnings remain tricky—I don't take shares (only options), and options are expensive and even being right directionally can fail without the right structure. Rather than forcing a trade, my focus is on waiting for confirmation. * At the same time, #Bitcoin and crypto-related names like $CRCL are showing stronger momentum, reclaiming key moving averages and offering more immediate opportunity. I'm bullish on $IBIT, expecting a move toward the 200-day moving average. I'm also in $CRCL, which had a strong recent price action, benefiting from crypto momentum. It reclaimed key moving averages, showing technical strength. * If you found this helpful, please ❤️like and 🔁retweet

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In the last six months, I have seen more antisemitism on the right than at any time in my life. If we refuse to denounce it, it could destroy the Republican Party just as it has destroyed the Democrat Party.

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After more than 2 years working on it, the V1 of is now ready for the big stage - the first month will be free for all of you my dear followers 🫶🏻👇🏻 In Synnax platform you will find cutting edge and real-time risk analytics for more than 20,000 public stocks 1st month free [ and if you love it as I do, access to the platform will only cost less than a cup of coffee ☕️ every month afterwards 😁

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Bitcoin just touched the 50 month moving average for the 4th time ever. 2015 bottom zone. 2018 the bottom. 2022 the bottom. 2026 right now. The 20 week moving average sits at $71,000. Every prior bear market bottom was confirmed the same way: reclaim the 20 week, test the 50 week, bottom was in. If Bitcoin makes that move sooner rather than later, the "Q4 bottom" thesis doesn't have months left to be proven right. It has weeks. I respect the 4 year cycle analysis and consider the possibilities. But PMI just flipped to expansion, copper/gold is breaking out, and every prior time that combination showed up, a crypto bull market followed. Both theories about to be tested at the same time. We're about to find out which cycle Bitcoin actually answers to.

Bitcoin just touched the 50 month moving average for the 4th time ever. 2015 bottom zone. 2018 the bottom. 2022 the bottom. 2026 right now. The 20 week moving average sits at $71,000. Every prior bear market bottom was confirmed the same way: reclaim the 20 week, test the 50 week, bottom was in. If Bitcoin makes that move sooner rather than later, the "Q4 bottom" thesis doesn't have months left to be proven right. It has weeks. I respect the 4 year cycle analysis and consider the possibilities. But PMI just flipped to expansion, copper/gold is breaking out, and every prior time that combination showed up, a crypto bull market followed. Both theories about to be tested at the same time. We're about to find out which cycle Bitcoin actually answers to.

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$Bitcoin is extremely close to having a final capitulation sell-off based on the May 2022 fractal, but what does that mean for the rest of 2026? Will Bitcoin bottom out in October, 52 weeks after topping out, just like it did in November 2022 and December 2018? And could the S&P actually cause BTC to go lower if it crashes here (like I've been expecting it to this year)? It's time to buckle up for the last leg down for BTC in this Bottom year.$

Bitcoin is extremely close to having a final capitulation sell-off based on the May 2022 fractal, but what does that mean for the rest of 2026? Will Bitcoin bottom out in October, 52 weeks after topping out, just like it did in November 2022 and December 2018? And could the S&P actually cause BTC to go lower if it crashes here (like I've been expecting it to this year)? It's time to buckle up for the last leg down for BTC in this Bottom year.

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The Ultimate Guide to Moving Averages This is an ultra deep dive into my moving averages system, shot at a $7,500 in-person event a few years back. You can learn: -How to use moving averages to judge stocks and the broader market -How to use moving averages to adjust market exposure -Why I use EMAs -What most people get wrong -Lessons from the Pandemic, Presidential elections, Brexit, war scares, $NVDA $RBLX $SPX $PENN $DOCN and more After you finish watching, get my free newsletter 2X a week: 💰 And if this video helped you learn at least one valuable thing about trading and technical analysis, Retweet to spread the word.

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GERMANY MOVES TO TAX LONG-TERM BITCOIN GAINS. 🇩🇪 As of now, Germans pay no capital gains tax on crypto held for more than one year. Under a new budget proposal, Germany wants to change that. Crypto profits would be taxed like stocks, meaning gains would be subject to a flat capital gains tax regardless of how long the assets were held. The government says the change could raise around €2 billion per year, and calls it “modernization.”

GERMANY MOVES TO TAX LONG-TERM BITCOIN GAINS. 🇩🇪 As of now, Germans pay no capital gains tax on crypto held for more than one year. Under a new budget proposal, Germany wants to change that. Crypto profits would be taxed like stocks, meaning gains would be subject to a flat capital gains tax regardless of how long the assets were held. The government says the change could raise around €2 billion per year, and calls it “modernization.”

CryptoGoos

34,641 Aufrufe • vor 10 Tagen

Elon Musk just told you why caution kills more companies than risk ever has. Musk: “One of the approaches we did take was to proceed at risk with temporary permits.” Hundreds of millions in concrete before the final signature exists. Knowing the full downside. Musk: “Your long-term permit could be denied, in which case you have to stop everything.” Tear it all down. Back to dirt. Every board on Earth calls that unacceptable. Musk calls it cheaper than the alternative. Musk: “Most companies are not willing to take the risk of the temporary permit, and then the risk of having to stop and tear down.” They think they are avoiding risk. They are selecting one. Waiting is not neutral. Waiting is a position. A bet that the market holds, the team stays, and momentum outlasts a system designed to outlast you. It never does. No one says no. The calendar says it for them. Not rejection. Erosion. Musk saw it for what it was. He chose the risk you can see over the risk you cannot. Gigafactories rose in months while the rest of the industry waited on the meeting about the permit. The gap was never resources. It was the willingness to see that waiting is not free. It is the most expensive decision in business. Because it is the only one nobody knows they are making.

Elon Musk just told you why caution kills more companies than risk ever has. Musk: “One of the approaches we did take was to proceed at risk with temporary permits.” Hundreds of millions in concrete before the final signature exists. Knowing the full downside. Musk: “Your long-term permit could be denied, in which case you have to stop everything.” Tear it all down. Back to dirt. Every board on Earth calls that unacceptable. Musk calls it cheaper than the alternative. Musk: “Most companies are not willing to take the risk of the temporary permit, and then the risk of having to stop and tear down.” They think they are avoiding risk. They are selecting one. Waiting is not neutral. Waiting is a position. A bet that the market holds, the team stays, and momentum outlasts a system designed to outlast you. It never does. No one says no. The calendar says it for them. Not rejection. Erosion. Musk saw it for what it was. He chose the risk you can see over the risk you cannot. Gigafactories rose in months while the rest of the industry waited on the meeting about the permit. The gap was never resources. It was the willingness to see that waiting is not free. It is the most expensive decision in business. Because it is the only one nobody knows they are making.

Dustin

18,985 Aufrufe • vor 23 Tagen

Bitcoin just broke below its daily higher low at $65.8K, ending the two-week uptrend. Oil is back above $100 as the Iran conflict escalates with ground troops preparing for Kharg Island, dragging the S&P below the 200-day SMA. If the S&P doesn't reclaim that level within two weeks, history says 13-15% drawdown, which maps to a Bitcoin target in the low 50Ks. Meanwhile, Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley are all making bottom calls. 0:00 Bitcoin's Uptrend Just Broke 2:32 Bitcoin Price Levels: the 63K to 72K Range 5:22 Sideways Period and What to Expect 9:57 The Iran War and Oil Price Impact 12:22 S&P 500 Below the 200-Day SMA 13:57 Moving Average Deviation: How Bad Can It Get 17:27 How S&P Drawdowns Map to Bitcoin 19:59 Wall Street Bottom Calls: VanEck, Fidelity, Goldman, Bernstein 23:33 Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF Launch 25:33 The Big Picture: Oil, S&P, and the Path Forward

Bitcoin just broke below its daily higher low at $65.8K, ending the two-week uptrend. Oil is back above $100 as the Iran conflict escalates with ground troops preparing for Kharg Island, dragging the S&P below the 200-day SMA. If the S&P doesn't reclaim that level within two weeks, history says 13-15% drawdown, which maps to a Bitcoin target in the low 50Ks. Meanwhile, Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley are all making bottom calls. 0:00 Bitcoin's Uptrend Just Broke 2:32 Bitcoin Price Levels: the 63K to 72K Range 5:22 Sideways Period and What to Expect 9:57 The Iran War and Oil Price Impact 12:22 S&P 500 Below the 200-Day SMA 13:57 Moving Average Deviation: How Bad Can It Get 17:27 How S&P Drawdowns Map to Bitcoin 19:59 Wall Street Bottom Calls: VanEck, Fidelity, Goldman, Bernstein 23:33 Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF Launch 25:33 The Big Picture: Oil, S&P, and the Path Forward

VirtualBacon

35,597 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Everyone's asking why Bitcoin is lagging while the S&P prints all-time highs. Michael Saylor gave me the cleanest answer in Prague: "We're living right now in the summer of the AI bubble... $500 billion of capital is being lurped into the AI complex right now." His framing: a "massive AI black hole spinning through the system," pulling the marginal dollar into every hot AI deal instead of crypto. Nothing broke — the capital just found somewhere louder to go. What I respect is that he didn't leave it vague. He put a clock on it: "I think a lot of that hot money will come back into Bitcoin because Bitcoin is now undervalued" — capital rotating back around Q3, and by Q4 "things will be normalizing to our benefit." That's his call, not mine — but it's dated and testable, which is exactly why it's worth writing down. In six months we either see the rotation or we don't. His yardstick for "undervalued," for what it's worth, is the discount to the 200-week moving average — what he calls the "book value" of Bitcoin. A cleaner lens than the daily candle, whatever you make of the timing. Do you buy the AI-drain thesis — or is the lag telling us something more structural?

Everyone's asking why Bitcoin is lagging while the S&P prints all-time highs. Michael Saylor gave me the cleanest answer in Prague: "We're living right now in the summer of the AI bubble... $500 billion of capital is being lurped into the AI complex right now." His framing: a "massive AI black hole spinning through the system," pulling the marginal dollar into every hot AI deal instead of crypto. Nothing broke — the capital just found somewhere louder to go. What I respect is that he didn't leave it vague. He put a clock on it: "I think a lot of that hot money will come back into Bitcoin because Bitcoin is now undervalued" — capital rotating back around Q3, and by Q4 "things will be normalizing to our benefit." That's his call, not mine — but it's dated and testable, which is exactly why it's worth writing down. In six months we either see the rotation or we don't. His yardstick for "undervalued," for what it's worth, is the discount to the 200-week moving average — what he calls the "book value" of Bitcoin. A cleaner lens than the daily candle, whatever you make of the timing. Do you buy the AI-drain thesis — or is the lag telling us something more structural?

Michaël van de Poppe

74,081 Aufrufe • vor 10 Tagen

MrBeast reveals why a 10% better video gets you four times the views, not 10% more "I mentor YouTubers a lot. One of the people I've been mentoring recently, he was doing $24,000 a month and then he recently had a $400,000 a month on YouTube." "He was doing 4 million views a month, 24 grand. And then probably like seven, eight months into it we got him up to 45 million views." "It's much easier, as weird as it sounds, it's much easier to get five million views on one video than a hundred thousand views on 50 videos." "You could upload one great video a year and get more views than if you uploaded 100 mediocre videos." "If you get people to click your video 10% more and watch a video 10% longer than mine, you don't get 10% more views. You get like four times the views. A 10% better video is four times the views, not 10% more views."

MrBeast reveals why a 10% better video gets you four times the views, not 10% more "I mentor YouTubers a lot. One of the people I've been mentoring recently, he was doing $24,000 a month and then he recently had a $400,000 a month on YouTube." "He was doing 4 million views a month, 24 grand. And then probably like seven, eight months into it we got him up to 45 million views." "It's much easier, as weird as it sounds, it's much easier to get five million views on one video than a hundred thousand views on 50 videos." "You could upload one great video a year and get more views than if you uploaded 100 mediocre videos." "If you get people to click your video 10% more and watch a video 10% longer than mine, you don't get 10% more views. You get like four times the views. A 10% better video is four times the views, not 10% more views."

voided intern

2,462,285 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

TJR reveals he took a six figure loss on Bitcoin “I got out of all my Bitcoin, I’m just in stables right now” “I was buying a bunch as it came down from $100,000 into the $90,000s. I put in close to like $1,500,000” “Obviously that’s gonna hurt. I’m gonna lose six figures on it but I’d rather take that loss and allocate that money elsewhere”

TJR reveals he took a six figure loss on Bitcoin “I got out of all my Bitcoin, I’m just in stables right now” “I was buying a bunch as it came down from $100,000 into the $90,000s. I put in close to like $1,500,000” “Obviously that’s gonna hurt. I’m gonna lose six figures on it but I’d rather take that loss and allocate that money elsewhere”

Jack

133,444 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

“Strategy is going bankrupt.” Peter Schiff just said this today. Saylor’s response? He already gave it two months ago: “You can’t pay a dividend on preferred stock that would create an insolvency event.” Translation: preferred stock does not force bankruptcy. If Strategy can’t pay the dividend without becoming insolvent, the dividend gets suspended. That’s it. But here’s the part people keep missing: “If Bitcoin goes up 2%, we can pay the dividends forever.” If you don’t think Bitcoin can average 2% a year, why are you even looking at preferred equity in a Bitcoin company? h/t Crypto Banter Bankless

“Strategy is going bankrupt.” Peter Schiff just said this today. Saylor’s response? He already gave it two months ago: “You can’t pay a dividend on preferred stock that would create an insolvency event.” Translation: preferred stock does not force bankruptcy. If Strategy can’t pay the dividend without becoming insolvent, the dividend gets suspended. That’s it. But here’s the part people keep missing: “If Bitcoin goes up 2%, we can pay the dividends forever.” If you don’t think Bitcoin can average 2% a year, why are you even looking at preferred equity in a Bitcoin company? h/t Crypto Banter Bankless

Alex 👽

281,088 Aufrufe • vor 18 Tagen

Ivan on Tech lost high seven figures in at one point since he started trading in 2013. He made it back in the bull market that followed but the scars are still there. And that's exactly why he can warn you about the mental prison of holding altcoins in a bear trend. You start to respect capital differently after watching it vanish in weeks. The nervous system remembers. That experience made him truly understand investing and was one of the most pivotal times in his journey....

Ivan on Tech lost high seven figures in at one point since he started trading in 2013. He made it back in the bull market that followed but the scars are still there. And that's exactly why he can warn you about the mental prison of holding altcoins in a bear trend. You start to respect capital differently after watching it vanish in weeks. The nervous system remembers. That experience made him truly understand investing and was one of the most pivotal times in his journey....

Ivan on Tech 🍳📈💰 Head Trader @ Bullmania

14,061 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

JUST IN: $2 BILLION STRIVE CEO JUST SAID LIVE ON CNBC THAT EVERYONE SHOULD BUY THE #BITCOIN DIP RIGHT NOW "LAST 4 TIMES BTC HIT 200 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE IT WAS A GREAT TIME TO BUY" BUY THE DIP WHILE YOU STILL CAN 🔥

JUST IN: $2 BILLION STRIVE CEO JUST SAID LIVE ON CNBC THAT EVERYONE SHOULD BUY THE #BITCOIN DIP RIGHT NOW "LAST 4 TIMES BTC HIT 200 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE IT WAS A GREAT TIME TO BUY" BUY THE DIP WHILE YOU STILL CAN 🔥

The Bitcoin Historian

33,964 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Here’s what you all can expect for gas prices if the Strait of Hormuz is reopened in a week, in a month, in three months, or in six months. None of it is good. Gas prices could jump as high as $8 per gallon on average if the Strait is not opened by November. Even if the Strait is opened tomorrow, gas has likely not yet peaked and gasoline prices would likely stay over $4 per gallon for many many many months. Trump really messed things up

Here’s what you all can expect for gas prices if the Strait of Hormuz is reopened in a week, in a month, in three months, or in six months. None of it is good. Gas prices could jump as high as $8 per gallon on average if the Strait is not opened by November. Even if the Strait is opened tomorrow, gas has likely not yet peaked and gasoline prices would likely stay over $4 per gallon for many many many months. Trump really messed things up

Brian Krassenstein

31,436 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat