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JACK DORSEY: “Bitcoin fails by being irrelevant.” Bitcoin $BTC launched in 2009 as peer-to-peer electronic cash, with payments as a core use case. 17 years later, Bitcoin’s actual use as money remains tiny and irrelevant. Even Lightning - Bitcoin’s purpose-built payments network - processes only millions of transactions per...

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Common Sense Investor (CSI)

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MARA CEO: Bitcoin Has Missed Its Chance to Become a Payment Method Fred Thiel Fred Thiel , CEO of MARA, one of the world’s largest listed Bitcoin miners, said in a July 23 interview with Natalie Brunell that Bitcoin’s opportunity to serve as a payment method has passed. In commercial settings with thousands of transactions per second and thin margins, even small price fluctuations can alter the value received. He expects AI-related crypto payments to rely mainly on stablecoins. However, Bitcoin remains a useful store of value for keeping assets outside centralized control and transferring them quickly worldwide.
2:56

MARA CEO: Bitcoin Has Missed Its Chance to Become a Payment Method Fred Thiel Fred Thiel , CEO of MARA, one of the world’s largest listed Bitcoin miners, said in a July 23 interview with Natalie Brunell that Bitcoin’s opportunity to serve as a payment method has passed. In commercial settings with thousands of transactions per second and thin margins, even small price fluctuations can alter the value received. He expects AI-related crypto payments to rely mainly on stablecoins. However, Bitcoin remains a useful store of value for keeping assets outside centralized control and transferring them quickly worldwide.

Wu Blockchain

32,438 просмотров • 24 дней назад

Jack Mallers’ appearance on Bloomberg is NO EXAGGERATION one of the sharpest 9-minute Bitcoin segments you’ll find this year. Here’s what stuck with me: – Performance in dollars is a distraction. “The only metric that matters: Bitcoin per share.” – Scarcity isn’t a narrative device. If you want more Bitcoin, you PAY UP. – Altcoins? Tech stocks at best. Bitcoin is gunning for the world’s $400T store of value market. – “I’ll never own another asset outside of Bitcoin.” Not diversification but CONVICTION. – The real use case: You create value, you want to keep it. Bitcoin is the answer. Mallers doesn’t hype. He just points at the inevitable.
9:08

Jack Mallers’ appearance on Bloomberg is NO EXAGGERATION one of the sharpest 9-minute Bitcoin segments you’ll find this year. Here’s what stuck with me: – Performance in dollars is a distraction. “The only metric that matters: Bitcoin per share.” – Scarcity isn’t a narrative device. If you want more Bitcoin, you PAY UP. – Altcoins? Tech stocks at best. Bitcoin is gunning for the world’s $400T store of value market. – “I’ll never own another asset outside of Bitcoin.” Not diversification but CONVICTION. – The real use case: You create value, you want to keep it. Bitcoin is the answer. Mallers doesn’t hype. He just points at the inevitable.

Fernando Nikolić 🇦🇷 🟠

261,560 просмотров • 1 год назад

Bitcoin is money AND digital gold. The two are not mutually exclusive. For Michael Saylor - it's the purest form of digital credit. For David Marcus - it's the payment rails of the future. "No one cares what humans think about how people need to Bitcoin because it's an unopinionated, code-based money platform." The Lightspark founder is forging ahead with building Bitcoin-based payment rails, while Saylor and Strategy are doubling down on Bitcoin-backed financial products. "I'm really grateful that Michael is really focused on the store of value use case, and he can do that, and I can be the one focused on bringing utility to Bitcoin. Both things will actually help one another to make Bitcoin more relevant to many more people and that's the beauty of building on an open network," Marcus told Robert Baggs and me on our latest Chain Reaction show. Marcus has been keenly focused on abstracting complexity away from payments using Bitcoin payments infrastructure with the launch of Lightspark Grid. "It's like Bitcoin as a network being used to move all kinds of other money, whether it's stablecoin or fiat at the edges, and you don't even understand that you're using Bitcoin. For instance, if you're a SoFi client in the US, and you want to send money to Europe or India, Brazil or Mexico, you send dollars and the other person on the other side receives Mexican peso, you have no clue you're using Bitcoin. And it's like magical TCP/IP for money between payment systems in the world." Bitcoin infrastructure works. Like most widely adopted technologies, the average person has no idea what's going on under the hood. That is the future that takes Bitcoin global. And it's being built in real-time.
4:50

Bitcoin is money AND digital gold. The two are not mutually exclusive. For Michael Saylor - it's the purest form of digital credit. For David Marcus - it's the payment rails of the future. "No one cares what humans think about how people need to Bitcoin because it's an unopinionated, code-based money platform." The Lightspark founder is forging ahead with building Bitcoin-based payment rails, while Saylor and Strategy are doubling down on Bitcoin-backed financial products. "I'm really grateful that Michael is really focused on the store of value use case, and he can do that, and I can be the one focused on bringing utility to Bitcoin. Both things will actually help one another to make Bitcoin more relevant to many more people and that's the beauty of building on an open network," Marcus told Robert Baggs and me on our latest Chain Reaction show. Marcus has been keenly focused on abstracting complexity away from payments using Bitcoin payments infrastructure with the launch of Lightspark Grid. "It's like Bitcoin as a network being used to move all kinds of other money, whether it's stablecoin or fiat at the edges, and you don't even understand that you're using Bitcoin. For instance, if you're a SoFi client in the US, and you want to send money to Europe or India, Brazil or Mexico, you send dollars and the other person on the other side receives Mexican peso, you have no clue you're using Bitcoin. And it's like magical TCP/IP for money between payment systems in the world." Bitcoin infrastructure works. Like most widely adopted technologies, the average person has no idea what's going on under the hood. That is the future that takes Bitcoin global. And it's being built in real-time.

Gareth Jenkinson

19,172 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Watching Strategy accumulate Bitcoin in real time is insane... 4.6 BTC per minute so far today. A few days ago we surpassed 20,000,000 Bitcoin meaning there are less than 999,956 BTC left. People haven't done the math. Michael Saylor has figured out the product that 1% of a $300 trillion bond market is going to want. Satoshi Nakamoto figured out how to make peer to peer electronic cash. Michael Michael Saylor has finally figured out how to dig a channel in the ground from the massive ocean of endless fiat money so that gravity can do the work for water to flow into the kiddie pool that is Bitcoin. STRC is still only $3.8 billion and 1% of $300 trillion is $3 trillion... This Bitcoin price is not sustainable. STRC accumulated now well over 1,100 BTC today. There are less than a million Bitcoin to be issued and a handful of million that can be sold. What happens after 1,000 trading days? Bitcoin is infinity divisible so we won't run out or lose volume, but price must go up. What happens when a major world government simply "copy+paste" this for it's own sovereign debt+currency? The playbook is literally right here in real time. The demand is insatiable because you can print currency forever. "The first country that prints it's own currency for Bitcoin wins." - Michael Saylor
0:31

Watching Strategy accumulate Bitcoin in real time is insane... 4.6 BTC per minute so far today. A few days ago we surpassed 20,000,000 Bitcoin meaning there are less than 999,956 BTC left. People haven't done the math. Michael Saylor has figured out the product that 1% of a $300 trillion bond market is going to want. Satoshi Nakamoto figured out how to make peer to peer electronic cash. Michael Michael Saylor has finally figured out how to dig a channel in the ground from the massive ocean of endless fiat money so that gravity can do the work for water to flow into the kiddie pool that is Bitcoin. STRC is still only $3.8 billion and 1% of $300 trillion is $3 trillion... This Bitcoin price is not sustainable. STRC accumulated now well over 1,100 BTC today. There are less than a million Bitcoin to be issued and a handful of million that can be sold. What happens after 1,000 trading days? Bitcoin is infinity divisible so we won't run out or lose volume, but price must go up. What happens when a major world government simply "copy+paste" this for it's own sovereign debt+currency? The playbook is literally right here in real time. The demand is insatiable because you can print currency forever. "The first country that prints it's own currency for Bitcoin wins." - Michael Saylor

Luke Broyles

144,156 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

🎙️Architecting the Monetary Endgame Ep. 97 with allen farrington My guest today is Allen Farrington, writer, investor, and co-founder of Axiom, a Bitcoin-focused venture capital firm backing companies that use Bitcoin as real infrastructure rather than speculation. Allen co-authored “Bitcoin is Venice” and “Only the Strong Survive” and draws on a background in math, philosophy, Austrian economics, and long-term equity investing to explain why Bitcoin is both a technological breakthrough and a venture opportunity hiding in plain sight. In this episode, he shares why he believes the most valuable startups will use Bitcoin as invisible plumbing for payments, energy, and financial services rather than marketing themselves as “Bitcoin companies.” We explore why current stablecoin systems break under real demand, how Lightning and Taproot Assets enable issuer competition and scalable payments, and why the long arc ends with e-cash and Bitcoin-native money. Allen frames Axiom’s edge as “temporal arbitrage”: investing early where technical understanding and adoption are low, anticipating that in a decade the market will recognize the value created by Bitcoin-based infrastructure. ► If you got value, please like, comment, share, follow and support my work. Thank you! 00:00 - Coming Up 01:12 - Introduction to Allen 03:20 - Discovering Bitcoin & Career Trajectory 12:03 - Ad Break - Trezor & BitVault 15:22 - Investment Philosophy & Lightning as Inspiration 17:52 - Company and Investment Selection for Axiom VC 30:12 - Stablecoins & Regulations 37:32 - Why Most Stablecoin Systems Fail At Scale? 44:50 - The Importance of Stablecoin Issuers 51:16 - Stablecoins on Lightning & Taproot Assets: A New Approach 1:01:23 - The Future of Digital Money: E-Cash 1:05:47 - Steps to Migrate From Fiat To Bitcoin 1:10:28 - Companies to Watch in the Bitcoin & Lightning Space 1:16:43 - Allen Loves What He Does & Why He Does It >>
1:24:35

🎙️Architecting the Monetary Endgame Ep. 97 with allen farrington My guest today is Allen Farrington, writer, investor, and co-founder of Axiom, a Bitcoin-focused venture capital firm backing companies that use Bitcoin as real infrastructure rather than speculation. Allen co-authored “Bitcoin is Venice” and “Only the Strong Survive” and draws on a background in math, philosophy, Austrian economics, and long-term equity investing to explain why Bitcoin is both a technological breakthrough and a venture opportunity hiding in plain sight. In this episode, he shares why he believes the most valuable startups will use Bitcoin as invisible plumbing for payments, energy, and financial services rather than marketing themselves as “Bitcoin companies.” We explore why current stablecoin systems break under real demand, how Lightning and Taproot Assets enable issuer competition and scalable payments, and why the long arc ends with e-cash and Bitcoin-native money. Allen frames Axiom’s edge as “temporal arbitrage”: investing early where technical understanding and adoption are low, anticipating that in a decade the market will recognize the value created by Bitcoin-based infrastructure. ► If you got value, please like, comment, share, follow and support my work. Thank you! 00:00 - Coming Up 01:12 - Introduction to Allen 03:20 - Discovering Bitcoin & Career Trajectory 12:03 - Ad Break - Trezor & BitVault 15:22 - Investment Philosophy & Lightning as Inspiration 17:52 - Company and Investment Selection for Axiom VC 30:12 - Stablecoins & Regulations 37:32 - Why Most Stablecoin Systems Fail At Scale? 44:50 - The Importance of Stablecoin Issuers 51:16 - Stablecoins on Lightning & Taproot Assets: A New Approach 1:01:23 - The Future of Digital Money: E-Cash 1:05:47 - Steps to Migrate From Fiat To Bitcoin 1:10:28 - Companies to Watch in the Bitcoin & Lightning Space 1:16:43 - Allen Loves What He Does & Why He Does It >>

Efrat Fenigson

75,862 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад

“How many bitcoin do you own?” That’s how it starts, a stupid question from the host. From there, it goes downhill fast. Christine Lagarde repeats every tired anti-bitcoin cliché the ECB has ever pushed. Let's go... 1️⃣ “Bitcoin has no intrinsic value.” Neither does fiat. Intrinsic value is an outdated economic myth, money derives value from scarcity, credibility, and demand for settlement. Bitcoin’s scarcity is mathematically enforced; fiat’s is politically decided. 2️⃣ “It has no anchor of safety.” Bitcoin’s anchor is energy. Every coin represents irreversible work, proof of energy expended to secure the network. Fiat’s anchor is faith in central banks that inflate at will. 3️⃣ “It could collapse.” So can any monetary system. But bitcoin has operated with 99.99% uptime for 15 years, through wars, recessions, bans, and collapses, that you and your friends created! Now go and compare that to banking crises that occur every decade. 4️⃣ “It’s speculative.” Yes! In the same way that every emerging monetary asset is. Gold was speculative in 600 BC. Bonds were speculative in 17th-century Europe. Bitcoin is price discovery in real time. A Feature! 5️⃣ “A digital euro will be safer.” Hmmmm... no! That’s not safety. That’s dependency. A CBDC is not money you own; it’s credit you’re allowed to use, programmable and reversible at will. While bitcoin is ownership; CBDCs are permission. 6️⃣ “Stablecoins are different.” Exactly! They’re IOUs, not assets. They rely on trust in an issuer, exactly what bitcoin removes. Bottom line: Every critique Lagarde makes of bitcoin describes fiat more accurately. Trust math, not mandates.
1:14

“How many bitcoin do you own?” That’s how it starts, a stupid question from the host. From there, it goes downhill fast. Christine Lagarde repeats every tired anti-bitcoin cliché the ECB has ever pushed. Let's go... 1️⃣ “Bitcoin has no intrinsic value.” Neither does fiat. Intrinsic value is an outdated economic myth, money derives value from scarcity, credibility, and demand for settlement. Bitcoin’s scarcity is mathematically enforced; fiat’s is politically decided. 2️⃣ “It has no anchor of safety.” Bitcoin’s anchor is energy. Every coin represents irreversible work, proof of energy expended to secure the network. Fiat’s anchor is faith in central banks that inflate at will. 3️⃣ “It could collapse.” So can any monetary system. But bitcoin has operated with 99.99% uptime for 15 years, through wars, recessions, bans, and collapses, that you and your friends created! Now go and compare that to banking crises that occur every decade. 4️⃣ “It’s speculative.” Yes! In the same way that every emerging monetary asset is. Gold was speculative in 600 BC. Bonds were speculative in 17th-century Europe. Bitcoin is price discovery in real time. A Feature! 5️⃣ “A digital euro will be safer.” Hmmmm... no! That’s not safety. That’s dependency. A CBDC is not money you own; it’s credit you’re allowed to use, programmable and reversible at will. While bitcoin is ownership; CBDCs are permission. 6️⃣ “Stablecoins are different.” Exactly! They’re IOUs, not assets. They rely on trust in an issuer, exactly what bitcoin removes. Bottom line: Every critique Lagarde makes of bitcoin describes fiat more accurately. Trust math, not mandates.

Eli Nagar

187,398 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад

Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, chief investment officer of Goldman Sachs Wealth Management: bitcoin lacks a fundamental value thesis, it is just a speculative trading asset, not an investment asset. Counter-argument: bitcoin is a growth currency, its fundamentals driving adoption are (1) the freedom to save a monetary asset with a verifiably, finitely scarce supply and (2) a decentralized open-source software protocol that maximizes reliability. Synthesis: bitcoin is not a cash-flow investment because it is cash, and its advantageous properties as a monetary asset are attracting new adoption which drives value accrual. That's why it's the best performing asset over the past 10 years and should be in GS clients' portfolios.
1:47

Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, chief investment officer of Goldman Sachs Wealth Management: bitcoin lacks a fundamental value thesis, it is just a speculative trading asset, not an investment asset. Counter-argument: bitcoin is a growth currency, its fundamentals driving adoption are (1) the freedom to save a monetary asset with a verifiably, finitely scarce supply and (2) a decentralized open-source software protocol that maximizes reliability. Synthesis: bitcoin is not a cash-flow investment because it is cash, and its advantageous properties as a monetary asset are attracting new adoption which drives value accrual. That's why it's the best performing asset over the past 10 years and should be in GS clients' portfolios.

Pierre Rochard

91,501 просмотров • 1 год назад

WARREN BUFFETT AND JAMIE DIMON ON WHY NOT TO INVEST IN CRYPTO $BTC $ETH! Warren Buffett explains it perfectly: - "If you buy something like Bitcoin or some cryptocurrency, you don't really have anything that is producing" ..like a farm or a business... "YOU ARE JUST HOPING THE NEXT GUY PAYS MORE". I agree with Buffett and personally do not invest in crypto. The risk of catastrophic drawdowns in this asset class alone gives me heartburn. In the past 9 years, $BTC has experienced: - 6 declines greater than -50% - 3 declines greater than -75% That level of volatility is far beyond what I’m comfortable with for an “asset,” if you can even call it that, where you are essentially just hoping the next person pays more. People often argue that Bitcoin’s value comes from its finite supply: - The maximum amount of Bitcoin that can ever exist is 21 million $BTC. - As of now, about 19.7M+ BTC have already been mined. - The last bitcoin is expected to be mined around the year 2140. - This limit is "hard-coded" into Bitcoin’s protocol by Satoshi Nakamoto. But as Jamie Dimon (JPM CEO) said last year - - "How do you know if it's going to stop at 21 million" - "Maybe it gets to 21 million and Satoshi's picture comes up laughing at you all, and by then he would take taken out billions of dollars"!
0:42

WARREN BUFFETT AND JAMIE DIMON ON WHY NOT TO INVEST IN CRYPTO $BTC $ETH! Warren Buffett explains it perfectly: - "If you buy something like Bitcoin or some cryptocurrency, you don't really have anything that is producing" ..like a farm or a business... "YOU ARE JUST HOPING THE NEXT GUY PAYS MORE". I agree with Buffett and personally do not invest in crypto. The risk of catastrophic drawdowns in this asset class alone gives me heartburn. In the past 9 years, $BTC has experienced: - 6 declines greater than -50% - 3 declines greater than -75% That level of volatility is far beyond what I’m comfortable with for an “asset,” if you can even call it that, where you are essentially just hoping the next person pays more. People often argue that Bitcoin’s value comes from its finite supply: - The maximum amount of Bitcoin that can ever exist is 21 million $BTC. - As of now, about 19.7M+ BTC have already been mined. - The last bitcoin is expected to be mined around the year 2140. - This limit is "hard-coded" into Bitcoin’s protocol by Satoshi Nakamoto. But as Jamie Dimon (JPM CEO) said last year - - "How do you know if it's going to stop at 21 million" - "Maybe it gets to 21 million and Satoshi's picture comes up laughing at you all, and by then he would take taken out billions of dollars"!

Common Sense Investor (CSI)

294,341 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

CryptoKaleo claims MicroStrategy is trapped in an endless cycle that is hurting its shareholders "They are diluting $MSTR holders directly to pay the bill for everything else." "They're buying the Bitcoin as a mask to be able to say, 'Hey, we're still buying Bitcoin,' but they're not increasing Bitcoin per share at all. For the longest time, that was the No. 1 metric." "They can't raise money through $STRC as long as it's trading this far below par... they can't tap that facility, and that was where they were raising the majority of their capital over the past year." "The real options left are dilution via either selling $MSTR or selling Bitcoin. Either way, both are hurting shareholders."
3:11

CryptoKaleo claims MicroStrategy is trapped in an endless cycle that is hurting its shareholders "They are diluting $MSTR holders directly to pay the bill for everything else." "They're buying the Bitcoin as a mask to be able to say, 'Hey, we're still buying Bitcoin,' but they're not increasing Bitcoin per share at all. For the longest time, that was the No. 1 metric." "They can't raise money through $STRC as long as it's trading this far below par... they can't tap that facility, and that was where they were raising the majority of their capital over the past year." "The real options left are dilution via either selling $MSTR or selling Bitcoin. Either way, both are hurting shareholders."

Fibonacci 🥷

57,821 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

"I used to be a bitcoiner. The transition to a new store of value only happens once every 3,000 years. That's the main prize -- just focus on that. But [security] is the criteria that ultimately convinced me to flip from Bitcoin to ETH." "I have a higher degree of certainty that Ethereum will be around longer [than Bitcoin]. The reason for that is because Bitcoin relies on proof-of-work, which is less efficient than proof-of-stake and doesn't scale with the value of the network. And as the block subsidy of Bitcoin halves every four years, it is increasingly becoming more and more reliant on transaction fees to fund the security budget paid to miners." "If you look at [Bitcoin's] security budget right now, about 0.6% of revenue to miners is transaction fees... The problem with that is if Bitcoin becomes 'digital gold', flips gold, and becomes a $30 trillion asset, but it only costs $10-20 billion to attack it, that's too asymmetric." "You want the security budget to scale with the market cap, similar to how countries spend a % of their GDP on defense. The more valuable something is, the more you need to spend to protect it." "Ethereum, with the Merge, migrated to proof-of-stake, which is fundamentally more secure because it's less reliant on transaction fees and it scales with the value of the network. If 1/3rd of ETH is staked and then you need 1/3rd of those ETH to censor the network, you're looking at roughly 10% of the total market cap as the cost to attack the network." "So if Ethereum flips Bitcoin and gold and becomes a $30 trillion asset, it'll cost ~$3 trillion to attack the Ethereum network versus Bitcoin at like $10 billion." "The other aspect here is that as AI hyperscalers invest more and more in AI, proof-of-work becomes increasingly vulnerable because the cost to attack the Bitcoin network is starting to look close to the quarterly CapEx these hyperscalers are spending on their data centers." Full interview on Bankless with Vivek Raman discussing the new Etherealize "Productive Money" report below.
2:34

"I used to be a bitcoiner. The transition to a new store of value only happens once every 3,000 years. That's the main prize -- just focus on that. But [security] is the criteria that ultimately convinced me to flip from Bitcoin to ETH." "I have a higher degree of certainty that Ethereum will be around longer [than Bitcoin]. The reason for that is because Bitcoin relies on proof-of-work, which is less efficient than proof-of-stake and doesn't scale with the value of the network. And as the block subsidy of Bitcoin halves every four years, it is increasingly becoming more and more reliant on transaction fees to fund the security budget paid to miners." "If you look at [Bitcoin's] security budget right now, about 0.6% of revenue to miners is transaction fees... The problem with that is if Bitcoin becomes 'digital gold', flips gold, and becomes a $30 trillion asset, but it only costs $10-20 billion to attack it, that's too asymmetric." "You want the security budget to scale with the market cap, similar to how countries spend a % of their GDP on defense. The more valuable something is, the more you need to spend to protect it." "Ethereum, with the Merge, migrated to proof-of-stake, which is fundamentally more secure because it's less reliant on transaction fees and it scales with the value of the network. If 1/3rd of ETH is staked and then you need 1/3rd of those ETH to censor the network, you're looking at roughly 10% of the total market cap as the cost to attack the network." "So if Ethereum flips Bitcoin and gold and becomes a $30 trillion asset, it'll cost ~$3 trillion to attack the Ethereum network versus Bitcoin at like $10 billion." "The other aspect here is that as AI hyperscalers invest more and more in AI, proof-of-work becomes increasingly vulnerable because the cost to attack the Bitcoin network is starting to look close to the quarterly CapEx these hyperscalers are spending on their data centers." Full interview on Bankless with Vivek Raman discussing the new Etherealize "Productive Money" report below.

Michael McGuiness

120,514 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Debunking the Flat Bitcoin Theory 🧵 In the early days of Bitcoin (2009-2014) there was a massive amount of experimentation and innovation on bitcoin The first NFTs and cryptoart started on Bitcoin The first memecoins started on Bitcoin The first stablecoins and real world assets started on Bitcoin The first dapps started on Bitcoin The first DEX started on Bitcoin The first on-chain governance started on Bitcoin The first crypto degens were playing Satoshi Dice on Bitcoin But then the OP_RETURN wars happened and people like Luke Dashjr vilified innovation and scared builders away resulting in a long period of stagnation (2015-2023) This period of stagnation gave birth to the Flat Bitcoin Theory which infected the minds of nearly everyone The Flat Bitcoin Theory is a belief held by "Flat Bitcoiners" who think that Bitcoin is a boring blockchain that is not capable of the innovative use cases that we see on alt L1s like Ethereum or Solana But thankfully in January 2023 Casey burst onto the scene with the ordinals protocol and one by one people have been waking up from this lie and realizing that Bitcoin is actually multidimensional and capable of everything you could possibly imagine and more Since then Bitcoin has experienced a renaissance of innovation with a new set of builders picking up where the set of OG builders left off Jeremy Lin | 🔄 DotSwap (On Nexus) from DOTSWAP•DOTSWAP - Official has defied all FUD and delivered a trustless liquidity pool style experience on Bitcoin L1 for Runes with zero MEV Stan from Sats Terminal has built an advanced order routing and aggregation engine for Runes trading on Bitcoin L1 Scott | Bound from radFi has revived the Runes trenches with a token launchpad on Bitcoin L1 that thousands of people use every day Robin from Liquidium | Bitcoin Loans built a Runes and Ordinals lending protocol that has processed hundreds of millions of dollars of volume which proves that DeFi can thrive on Bitcoin L1 domo and Binari from BRC 2.0 and Tagga from Alkanes have been relentlessly pursing a vision for general purpose smart contracts on Bitcoin L1 TO from Pizza Pets built a fully on-chain multiplayer game directly on Bitcoin L1 Ken Liao from built a Bitcoin wallet for interacting with Bitcoin L1 dapps that is so sleek that it puts Ethereum's flagship wallet MetaMask to shame danny huuep from OnChainMonkey® pioneered a new way to store an entire 10K PFP collection on Bitcoin for only $23 that is now widely adopted by hundreds of other Ordinals collections SergeSats has formed the Bitcoin Art Society to preserve Bitcoin's on-chain culture for future generation has dedicated months of his life to ensuring that once a year there is a place where bitcoin builders can gather to celebrate experimentation on bitcoin at Bitcoin Summit Massive decentralized communities like the $DOG Army and Bitcoin Puppets have rallied together to support all of these innovations and champion the Bitcoin ecosystem Do not ever let anyone tell you that Bitcoin is not capable of something or that you must only use Bitcoin in a certain way The Bitcoin network is more secure and robust longterm when it is winning at developer mindshare and blocks are filled with a diverse set of on-chain activity It is up to us, the Ordinals, Runes, and Bitcoin DeFi ecosystem to be stewards of this technology now so go build the most badass applications possible and never stop fighting for innovation on Bitcoin!
13:29

Debunking the Flat Bitcoin Theory 🧵 In the early days of Bitcoin (2009-2014) there was a massive amount of experimentation and innovation on bitcoin The first NFTs and cryptoart started on Bitcoin The first memecoins started on Bitcoin The first stablecoins and real world assets started on Bitcoin The first dapps started on Bitcoin The first DEX started on Bitcoin The first on-chain governance started on Bitcoin The first crypto degens were playing Satoshi Dice on Bitcoin But then the OP_RETURN wars happened and people like Luke Dashjr vilified innovation and scared builders away resulting in a long period of stagnation (2015-2023) This period of stagnation gave birth to the Flat Bitcoin Theory which infected the minds of nearly everyone The Flat Bitcoin Theory is a belief held by "Flat Bitcoiners" who think that Bitcoin is a boring blockchain that is not capable of the innovative use cases that we see on alt L1s like Ethereum or Solana But thankfully in January 2023 Casey burst onto the scene with the ordinals protocol and one by one people have been waking up from this lie and realizing that Bitcoin is actually multidimensional and capable of everything you could possibly imagine and more Since then Bitcoin has experienced a renaissance of innovation with a new set of builders picking up where the set of OG builders left off Jeremy Lin | 🔄 DotSwap (On Nexus) from DOTSWAP•DOTSWAP - Official has defied all FUD and delivered a trustless liquidity pool style experience on Bitcoin L1 for Runes with zero MEV Stan from Sats Terminal has built an advanced order routing and aggregation engine for Runes trading on Bitcoin L1 Scott | Bound from radFi has revived the Runes trenches with a token launchpad on Bitcoin L1 that thousands of people use every day Robin from Liquidium | Bitcoin Loans built a Runes and Ordinals lending protocol that has processed hundreds of millions of dollars of volume which proves that DeFi can thrive on Bitcoin L1 domo and Binari from BRC 2.0 and Tagga from Alkanes have been relentlessly pursing a vision for general purpose smart contracts on Bitcoin L1 TO from Pizza Pets built a fully on-chain multiplayer game directly on Bitcoin L1 Ken Liao from built a Bitcoin wallet for interacting with Bitcoin L1 dapps that is so sleek that it puts Ethereum's flagship wallet MetaMask to shame danny huuep from OnChainMonkey® pioneered a new way to store an entire 10K PFP collection on Bitcoin for only $23 that is now widely adopted by hundreds of other Ordinals collections SergeSats has formed the Bitcoin Art Society to preserve Bitcoin's on-chain culture for future generation has dedicated months of his life to ensuring that once a year there is a place where bitcoin builders can gather to celebrate experimentation on bitcoin at Bitcoin Summit Massive decentralized communities like the $DOG Army and Bitcoin Puppets have rallied together to support all of these innovations and champion the Bitcoin ecosystem Do not ever let anyone tell you that Bitcoin is not capable of something or that you must only use Bitcoin in a certain way The Bitcoin network is more secure and robust longterm when it is winning at developer mindshare and blocks are filled with a diverse set of on-chain activity It is up to us, the Ordinals, Runes, and Bitcoin DeFi ecosystem to be stewards of this technology now so go build the most badass applications possible and never stop fighting for innovation on Bitcoin!

Leonidas 🧡 $DOG

63,009 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад

Matthew Kratter of Bitcoin University gives one of the best talks on Bitcoin: "If self sovereign adoption took us from zero dollars a coin to sixty nine thousand dollars a coin, all of those flows from BlackRock and the Trumps and Saylor and everything has has only taken us a few ten thousand dollars higher than at this moment." "Instead of looking to the government or Saylor or BlackRock or someone else as our saviors, if you want the price of Bitcoin to go up, you just need to use it as money yourself. You need to because if Bitcoiners aren't going to use Bitcoin as money, I'm not sure who is." "Ask to pay in Bitcoin, ask to be paid to be paid in Bitcoin, because this is how real Bitcoin adoption works. You should be HODLing your sats, trying to get rid of US dollars, whatever your fiat currency is, because this is the money of pedophile rings and forever wars. Don't hold US dollars. And that's the that's the fastest way we get to higher Bitcoin prices is we need to destroy US dollar network effects. And we need to increase Bitcoin network effects. And the way you do that is every Bitcoiner runs a node, gets paid in Bitcoin and tries to buy as much as possible using using Bitcoin."
4:33

Matthew Kratter of Bitcoin University gives one of the best talks on Bitcoin: "If self sovereign adoption took us from zero dollars a coin to sixty nine thousand dollars a coin, all of those flows from BlackRock and the Trumps and Saylor and everything has has only taken us a few ten thousand dollars higher than at this moment." "Instead of looking to the government or Saylor or BlackRock or someone else as our saviors, if you want the price of Bitcoin to go up, you just need to use it as money yourself. You need to because if Bitcoiners aren't going to use Bitcoin as money, I'm not sure who is." "Ask to pay in Bitcoin, ask to be paid to be paid in Bitcoin, because this is how real Bitcoin adoption works. You should be HODLing your sats, trying to get rid of US dollars, whatever your fiat currency is, because this is the money of pedophile rings and forever wars. Don't hold US dollars. And that's the that's the fastest way we get to higher Bitcoin prices is we need to destroy US dollar network effects. And we need to increase Bitcoin network effects. And the way you do that is every Bitcoiner runs a node, gets paid in Bitcoin and tries to buy as much as possible using using Bitcoin."

Simply Bitcoin

58,954 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

The World Economic Forum doesn't talk about Bitcoin - so I made sure that we did in 2025. I took the chance to ask if the US will adopt a Bitcoin strategic reserve during the 'Crypto at a Crossroads' session inside this year's WEF conference. Coinbase's Brian Armstrong remains confident we will see a Bitcoin reserve in America. Interestingly, South Africa's Reserve Bank Governor Lesetja Kganyago made it evident that many still don't understand the underlying value proposition of Bitcoin. Armstrong provided an important response: "Many things have been used as money over the years. I think it's clear at this point that, you know, Bitcoin is a better form of money than gold. It is provably scarce, just like gold, but it's more portable and divisible. So you can actually use it. It was the best performing asset of the last ten years. And so for a store of value, I think it's going to be important for governments to hold this over time. It may not it might start with being 1% of their reserves, but I think over time it'll come to be equal to or greater than gold reserves." Cointelegraph
4:31

The World Economic Forum doesn't talk about Bitcoin - so I made sure that we did in 2025. I took the chance to ask if the US will adopt a Bitcoin strategic reserve during the 'Crypto at a Crossroads' session inside this year's WEF conference. Coinbase's Brian Armstrong remains confident we will see a Bitcoin reserve in America. Interestingly, South Africa's Reserve Bank Governor Lesetja Kganyago made it evident that many still don't understand the underlying value proposition of Bitcoin. Armstrong provided an important response: "Many things have been used as money over the years. I think it's clear at this point that, you know, Bitcoin is a better form of money than gold. It is provably scarce, just like gold, but it's more portable and divisible. So you can actually use it. It was the best performing asset of the last ten years. And so for a store of value, I think it's going to be important for governments to hold this over time. It may not it might start with being 1% of their reserves, but I think over time it'll come to be equal to or greater than gold reserves." Cointelegraph

Gareth Jenkinson

452,090 просмотров • 1 год назад

VanEck CEO Jan van Eck on CNBC: “There’s something else going on within the Bitcoin community that non-crypto people need to know about. And that is: ultimately, VanEck has been around before Bitcoin. We will walk away from Bitcoin if we think the thesis is fundamentally broken. We don’t right now, but you always have to look at the underlying technology and the crypto. What the Bitcoin community has been asking itself is: Is there enough encryption in Bitcoin, because quantum computing is coming? And secondly: Is there enough privacy in Bitcoin? And so a lot of Bitcoin OGs or maxis have been looking at Zcash. Zcash is a token. It’s sort of related to Bitcoin with a lot more privacy. The kind of garbage that we got about Bitcoin four years ago was: ‘It’s used for all bad illicit behavior.’ But now everyone kind of realizes that when you move money around on the Bitcoin blockchain, you can see it. You can see it move from one wallet to another. And a lot of people are looking for more privacy.”
1:00

VanEck CEO Jan van Eck on CNBC: “There’s something else going on within the Bitcoin community that non-crypto people need to know about. And that is: ultimately, VanEck has been around before Bitcoin. We will walk away from Bitcoin if we think the thesis is fundamentally broken. We don’t right now, but you always have to look at the underlying technology and the crypto. What the Bitcoin community has been asking itself is: Is there enough encryption in Bitcoin, because quantum computing is coming? And secondly: Is there enough privacy in Bitcoin? And so a lot of Bitcoin OGs or maxis have been looking at Zcash. Zcash is a token. It’s sort of related to Bitcoin with a lot more privacy. The kind of garbage that we got about Bitcoin four years ago was: ‘It’s used for all bad illicit behavior.’ But now everyone kind of realizes that when you move money around on the Bitcoin blockchain, you can see it. You can see it move from one wallet to another. And a lot of people are looking for more privacy.”

Arjun Khemani

569,098 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

ONE OF THE WORLD GREATEST INVESTORS ON WHY BITCOIN $BTC IS ANTISOCIAL, STUPID AND IMMORAL! Charlie Munger gave this interview not long before his death, here are his key thoughts on $BTC: - "The Computer Science that is behind Bitcoin is a great triumph for the human mind" - "They've actually created a product that is hard to create more of, but not impossible" - "A lot of the Computer Science people love it just because its such an extreme achievement of Computer Science" - "I see an artificial speculative medium, that people are buying just because they think they can sell it to somebody else at a higher price, even though it inherently has no intrinsic value" - "I regard the whole business as anti-social, stupid and immoral" In summary: 1. Munger’s issue wasn’t the tech - it was the economics. He admired the innovation but saw no cash flow or intrinsic value behind the asset. 2. His critique reflects classic value-investing logic: if you can’t price it, you’re not investing..you’re speculating. 3. He viewed Bitcoin’s rise as a product of FOMO and gambler psychology, not productive economic activity. I agree with him, Bitcoin is not a store of value it's dropped 30% in just the last few weeks. BITCOIN IS NOT THE NEW GOLD!
0:55

ONE OF THE WORLD GREATEST INVESTORS ON WHY BITCOIN $BTC IS ANTISOCIAL, STUPID AND IMMORAL! Charlie Munger gave this interview not long before his death, here are his key thoughts on $BTC: - "The Computer Science that is behind Bitcoin is a great triumph for the human mind" - "They've actually created a product that is hard to create more of, but not impossible" - "A lot of the Computer Science people love it just because its such an extreme achievement of Computer Science" - "I see an artificial speculative medium, that people are buying just because they think they can sell it to somebody else at a higher price, even though it inherently has no intrinsic value" - "I regard the whole business as anti-social, stupid and immoral" In summary: 1. Munger’s issue wasn’t the tech - it was the economics. He admired the innovation but saw no cash flow or intrinsic value behind the asset. 2. His critique reflects classic value-investing logic: if you can’t price it, you’re not investing..you’re speculating. 3. He viewed Bitcoin’s rise as a product of FOMO and gambler psychology, not productive economic activity. I agree with him, Bitcoin is not a store of value it's dropped 30% in just the last few weeks. BITCOIN IS NOT THE NEW GOLD!

Common Sense Investor (CSI)

184,748 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

Making Sense Of Strategy What is happening with $MSTR? If you’ve been following me on X for any meaningful length of time, you will know that I have been attempting to calibrate people’s expectations of the stock's performance for the best part of 2025. Here I have synthesised all of my thoughts and distilled them into a single video. If you prefer YouTube, you can watch it here: If you prefer written format, continue reading. The first thing we need to understand is what Strategy is and why people invest in it. Strategy At the highest level, Strategy is leveraged Bitcoin. That’s it. Strategy leverages debt to acquire more Bitcoin. Therefore, the main reason you invest in Strategy is because you want to outperform Bitcoin. The only thing better than Bitcoin is more Bitcoin. The second thing we need to understand is mNAV. mNAV Generally speaking for a pure-play Bitcoin Treasury Company like Strategy, mNAV is a reflection of the market's expectation of future Bitcoin Yield. Bitcoin Yield comes with diminishing returns because each additional Bitcoin purchase contributes less to Bitcoin Per Share. Thus, the larger your Bitcoin stack, the harder it becomes to generate Bitcoin Yield and by extension the harder it becomes to outperform Bitcoin. This is why on a Bitcoin Standard, over a long enough time horizon, mNAV trends towards 1 since the maximum amount of Bitcoin you can own is 21M. With all this in mind, why is Strategy trading where it is and why is it trading at such a low mNAV? There are a few reasons. 1. Strategy Is A Different Company In 2025 Firstly, Strategy is a totally different company in 2025 to the one it was in 2020. For context, believe it or not, the company only introduced Bitcoin Yield and Bitcoin Per Share in the July 2024 Q2 Earnings Call and so it was only after that that they began optimising for those metrics. In my view, that is also when Michael Saylor truly started to understand the opportunity that was in front of him, which is why in October 2024 we saw Strategy announce the 21/21 plan which became the catalyst for the parabolic run we saw in November 2024 where $MSTR went on to briefly hit an all-time-high of around $550. Since people are comparing $MSTR this cycle to the $MSTR of last cycle when it briefly traded at an mNAV of over 8x, it is distorting their expectations. Again, Strategy is a totally different company today with a totally different set of dynamics. 2. New Industry Secondly, we need to recognise that the Bitcoin Treasury Company industry is entirely new which means that the market has been forced to learn and adapt in real-time. With Strategy being the first and by far the largest Bitcoin Treasury Company, it has gained a disproportionate amount of attention and as a result it has attracted a disproportionate amount of speculative capital along the way while everyone has been trying to figure out how to value it. Consequently, in my view, the move we saw in November 2024 was an over-correction to the upside — which by the way coincided with Bitcoin’s parabolic run following Donald Trump’s election win — and what we’re now seeing is an over-correction to the downside. 3. Bitcoin Yield Thirdly, as I mentioned at the beginning, Bitcoin Treasury Companies are currently valued based on how much Bitcoin Yield they are expected to generate in the future. At the time of recording, Strategy currently holds precisely 637,460 Bitcoin — that’s over 3% of the total Bitcoin supply — which means that it is much, much harder to generate meaningful Bitcoin Yield, which again is why we’re seeing the mNAV compress. However, there is a caveat here. There is another metric that Strategy have introduced which is Bitcoin $ Gain. Bitcoin $ Gain is defined as the $ value of newly acquired Bitcoin within any period. Strategy — and I don’t blame them — have been attempting to encourage the market to interpret Bitcoin $ Gain as “earnings” and to value the company based on how much earnings it is expected to generate in the future. For full disclosure, I personally dislike Bitcoin $ Gain as a valuation metric. I think framing it as “earnings” is misleading and disingenuous. I understand why it has been introduced because it speaks the language of Wall Street. However, traditional earnings are final. Bitcoin $ Gain is not because it is forever subject to the price of Bitcoin. Therefore, for Bitcoin $ Gain to be embraced by Wall Street, the market must collectively agree that Bitcoin is going up forever. I remain very sceptical of that happening — especially in the short-to-medium term. However, I am also not attached to my beliefs and so if Wall Street does decide to embrace Bitcoin $ Gain as its primary valuation metric, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 5-10x. If not, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 1-2x. If you’re not content with the latter being the worst case scenario, then the stock probably isn’t for you. 4. Preferred Products Fourthly, the Strategy thesis right now revolves entirely around the success of its preferred products. Remember, Michael Saylor wants Strategy to become the Amazon of the fixed income market. Thus, we’re not talking about a small innovation here — we are talking about completely transforming global finance. This means that the process of generating awareness and educating the market that will ultimately drive demand for these products is going to take years — not months — which is why you need to have a long time-horizon. Presently, the market is completely discounting the success of Strategy’s preferred products. What it’s not factoring in however is that the capital markets are desperate for yield right now. Thus, when — not if — but when, they eventually wake up to Bitcoin, how do you think they’re going to get that yield? Who is going to be the entity that is offering Bitcoin-backed credit instruments at scale? The answer is obviously Strategy, but again, this is a 5-to-10 year and beyond story. So with all that said, if you’re reading this right now, what should you do? Valuing Strategy There are 3 steps you need to take: 1. Firstly, you need to define your time horizon. In other words, how long do you intend on holding the stock for? 2. Secondly, you need to estimate either — depending on your preferred metric — how much Bitcoin Yield or how much Bitcoin $ Gain you expect Strategy to generate during that period and then calculate how much you expect $MSTR to outperform Bitcoin based on those values. 3. Thirdly, ask yourself whether you’d be satisfied with the level of outperformance you have calculated? In other words, is the trade-off worth it? Or would you be better off investing in either spot Bitcoin, an alternative Bitcoin Treasury Company or a Bitcoin ETF. If you’re satisfied with the level of outperformance that you’ve calculated, then $MSTR it probably a good choice of investment for you. If you're not satisfied, then $MSTR is probably a bad choice of investment for you. I personally believe that $MSTR will outperform Bitcoin by a minimum factor of 1-2x over the next 5/10 years and potentially much more if Bitcoin $ Gain becomes the primary metric by which it is valued, but again, I remain sceptical of that happening. Regardless, the best is yet to come.
11:54

Making Sense Of Strategy What is happening with $MSTR? If you’ve been following me on X for any meaningful length of time, you will know that I have been attempting to calibrate people’s expectations of the stock's performance for the best part of 2025. Here I have synthesised all of my thoughts and distilled them into a single video. If you prefer YouTube, you can watch it here: If you prefer written format, continue reading. The first thing we need to understand is what Strategy is and why people invest in it. Strategy At the highest level, Strategy is leveraged Bitcoin. That’s it. Strategy leverages debt to acquire more Bitcoin. Therefore, the main reason you invest in Strategy is because you want to outperform Bitcoin. The only thing better than Bitcoin is more Bitcoin. The second thing we need to understand is mNAV. mNAV Generally speaking for a pure-play Bitcoin Treasury Company like Strategy, mNAV is a reflection of the market's expectation of future Bitcoin Yield. Bitcoin Yield comes with diminishing returns because each additional Bitcoin purchase contributes less to Bitcoin Per Share. Thus, the larger your Bitcoin stack, the harder it becomes to generate Bitcoin Yield and by extension the harder it becomes to outperform Bitcoin. This is why on a Bitcoin Standard, over a long enough time horizon, mNAV trends towards 1 since the maximum amount of Bitcoin you can own is 21M. With all this in mind, why is Strategy trading where it is and why is it trading at such a low mNAV? There are a few reasons. 1. Strategy Is A Different Company In 2025 Firstly, Strategy is a totally different company in 2025 to the one it was in 2020. For context, believe it or not, the company only introduced Bitcoin Yield and Bitcoin Per Share in the July 2024 Q2 Earnings Call and so it was only after that that they began optimising for those metrics. In my view, that is also when Michael Saylor truly started to understand the opportunity that was in front of him, which is why in October 2024 we saw Strategy announce the 21/21 plan which became the catalyst for the parabolic run we saw in November 2024 where $MSTR went on to briefly hit an all-time-high of around $550. Since people are comparing $MSTR this cycle to the $MSTR of last cycle when it briefly traded at an mNAV of over 8x, it is distorting their expectations. Again, Strategy is a totally different company today with a totally different set of dynamics. 2. New Industry Secondly, we need to recognise that the Bitcoin Treasury Company industry is entirely new which means that the market has been forced to learn and adapt in real-time. With Strategy being the first and by far the largest Bitcoin Treasury Company, it has gained a disproportionate amount of attention and as a result it has attracted a disproportionate amount of speculative capital along the way while everyone has been trying to figure out how to value it. Consequently, in my view, the move we saw in November 2024 was an over-correction to the upside — which by the way coincided with Bitcoin’s parabolic run following Donald Trump’s election win — and what we’re now seeing is an over-correction to the downside. 3. Bitcoin Yield Thirdly, as I mentioned at the beginning, Bitcoin Treasury Companies are currently valued based on how much Bitcoin Yield they are expected to generate in the future. At the time of recording, Strategy currently holds precisely 637,460 Bitcoin — that’s over 3% of the total Bitcoin supply — which means that it is much, much harder to generate meaningful Bitcoin Yield, which again is why we’re seeing the mNAV compress. However, there is a caveat here. There is another metric that Strategy have introduced which is Bitcoin $ Gain. Bitcoin $ Gain is defined as the $ value of newly acquired Bitcoin within any period. Strategy — and I don’t blame them — have been attempting to encourage the market to interpret Bitcoin $ Gain as “earnings” and to value the company based on how much earnings it is expected to generate in the future. For full disclosure, I personally dislike Bitcoin $ Gain as a valuation metric. I think framing it as “earnings” is misleading and disingenuous. I understand why it has been introduced because it speaks the language of Wall Street. However, traditional earnings are final. Bitcoin $ Gain is not because it is forever subject to the price of Bitcoin. Therefore, for Bitcoin $ Gain to be embraced by Wall Street, the market must collectively agree that Bitcoin is going up forever. I remain very sceptical of that happening — especially in the short-to-medium term. However, I am also not attached to my beliefs and so if Wall Street does decide to embrace Bitcoin $ Gain as its primary valuation metric, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 5-10x. If not, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 1-2x. If you’re not content with the latter being the worst case scenario, then the stock probably isn’t for you. 4. Preferred Products Fourthly, the Strategy thesis right now revolves entirely around the success of its preferred products. Remember, Michael Saylor wants Strategy to become the Amazon of the fixed income market. Thus, we’re not talking about a small innovation here — we are talking about completely transforming global finance. This means that the process of generating awareness and educating the market that will ultimately drive demand for these products is going to take years — not months — which is why you need to have a long time-horizon. Presently, the market is completely discounting the success of Strategy’s preferred products. What it’s not factoring in however is that the capital markets are desperate for yield right now. Thus, when — not if — but when, they eventually wake up to Bitcoin, how do you think they’re going to get that yield? Who is going to be the entity that is offering Bitcoin-backed credit instruments at scale? The answer is obviously Strategy, but again, this is a 5-to-10 year and beyond story. So with all that said, if you’re reading this right now, what should you do? Valuing Strategy There are 3 steps you need to take: 1. Firstly, you need to define your time horizon. In other words, how long do you intend on holding the stock for? 2. Secondly, you need to estimate either — depending on your preferred metric — how much Bitcoin Yield or how much Bitcoin $ Gain you expect Strategy to generate during that period and then calculate how much you expect $MSTR to outperform Bitcoin based on those values. 3. Thirdly, ask yourself whether you’d be satisfied with the level of outperformance you have calculated? In other words, is the trade-off worth it? Or would you be better off investing in either spot Bitcoin, an alternative Bitcoin Treasury Company or a Bitcoin ETF. If you’re satisfied with the level of outperformance that you’ve calculated, then $MSTR it probably a good choice of investment for you. If you're not satisfied, then $MSTR is probably a bad choice of investment for you. I personally believe that $MSTR will outperform Bitcoin by a minimum factor of 1-2x over the next 5/10 years and potentially much more if Bitcoin $ Gain becomes the primary metric by which it is valued, but again, I remain sceptical of that happening. Regardless, the best is yet to come.

Chris Millas

36,835 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад

Gold since April 2025: +60% Bitcoin since April 2025: -30% Gold since its January high: still near all-time highs. Bitcoin since its October high: -48%. 5 consecutive red months for Bitcoin. A 0.55 correlation with the S&P 500 as of March 1st. And people still call it "digital gold." Let me explain why that framing will cost you money: When the Middle East escalated, gold surged above $5,300. Bitcoin dropped. When equities sold off, gold held. Bitcoin sold with them. When uncertainty spiked, gold hit all-time highs. Bitcoin bled. This isn't an accident. It's the nature of WHAT these assets actually are. Gold is an asset that isn't somebody else's liability. It's not correlated with the general level of risk assets. It doesn't shift identities depending on what the market needs it to be that week. Bitcoin does. Sometimes it's digital gold. Sometimes it's correlated to NASDAQ. Sometimes it follows the dollar. Sometimes it follows liquidity. It depends on whatever narrative is convenient at the time. And narrative always follows price. That's the way it works. When Bitcoin was ripping to $126,000 in October, everyone called it a store of value. Now that it's trading at $66,000 with 5 red months, NOBODY talks about the digital gold thesis anymore. Gold doesn't have that problem. Central banks bought 863 tonnes of gold in 2025. Accumulating at the fastest pace in decades. China is buying like crazy for months. Nobody's buying Bitcoin for their sovereign reserves. Nobody's rewriting the gold thesis every quarter. I said this on back in April last year when Bitcoin was reclaiming $90,000 and everyone wanted me to be bullish on crypto: "If NASDAQ takes a header, if risk assets take another leg down, you want to bet Bitcoin goes up or down? I'd vote down." NASDAQ took a header. Risk assets took a leg down. Bitcoin went down. Gold went up. It's not complicated. Gold is insurance against irresponsible policies from central bankers and government officials. It protects you against the falling dollar. It's been doing this for 5,000 years. Bitcoin is a speculative instrument that acts like protection only when everything else is going up too. And in the environment we're heading into (geopolitical risk at generational highs, the dollar under pressure, central banks still buying, the Fed boxed in on rates) you want the real thing. Not the imitation. GOLD SURVIVED EMPIRES BITCOIN SURVIVED TWITTER
1:25

Gold since April 2025: +60% Bitcoin since April 2025: -30% Gold since its January high: still near all-time highs. Bitcoin since its October high: -48%. 5 consecutive red months for Bitcoin. A 0.55 correlation with the S&P 500 as of March 1st. And people still call it "digital gold." Let me explain why that framing will cost you money: When the Middle East escalated, gold surged above $5,300. Bitcoin dropped. When equities sold off, gold held. Bitcoin sold with them. When uncertainty spiked, gold hit all-time highs. Bitcoin bled. This isn't an accident. It's the nature of WHAT these assets actually are. Gold is an asset that isn't somebody else's liability. It's not correlated with the general level of risk assets. It doesn't shift identities depending on what the market needs it to be that week. Bitcoin does. Sometimes it's digital gold. Sometimes it's correlated to NASDAQ. Sometimes it follows the dollar. Sometimes it follows liquidity. It depends on whatever narrative is convenient at the time. And narrative always follows price. That's the way it works. When Bitcoin was ripping to $126,000 in October, everyone called it a store of value. Now that it's trading at $66,000 with 5 red months, NOBODY talks about the digital gold thesis anymore. Gold doesn't have that problem. Central banks bought 863 tonnes of gold in 2025. Accumulating at the fastest pace in decades. China is buying like crazy for months. Nobody's buying Bitcoin for their sovereign reserves. Nobody's rewriting the gold thesis every quarter. I said this on back in April last year when Bitcoin was reclaiming $90,000 and everyone wanted me to be bullish on crypto: "If NASDAQ takes a header, if risk assets take another leg down, you want to bet Bitcoin goes up or down? I'd vote down." NASDAQ took a header. Risk assets took a leg down. Bitcoin went down. Gold went up. It's not complicated. Gold is insurance against irresponsible policies from central bankers and government officials. It protects you against the falling dollar. It's been doing this for 5,000 years. Bitcoin is a speculative instrument that acts like protection only when everything else is going up too. And in the environment we're heading into (geopolitical risk at generational highs, the dollar under pressure, central banks still buying, the Fed boxed in on rates) you want the real thing. Not the imitation. GOLD SURVIVED EMPIRES BITCOIN SURVIVED TWITTER

George Noble

11,852 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Most people think about Bitcoin treasury companies incorrectly Here is why I think they are good for Bitcoin & why they are misunderstood: 1) Treasury companies are capitalizing the Bitcoin industry for a century to come 2) They are future Bitcoin Banks 3) However, they are developing in the reverse order compared to everything else - monetization first and then later on core business activities -- Bitcoin has traditionally received $1 for every $100 in funds that Crypto took in - it has historically been challenging to raise money for Bitcoin focused businesses. My view is that Treasury companies are changing this, and while the first phase will simply be acquiring as much Bitcoin as possible - they will later need to ensure the value of Bitcoin grows and find ways to use BTC as capital in a larger marketplace. These firms will become the future Bitcoin Banks and also Bitcoin conglomerates. In this exact moment in time the best use of capital is simply buying Bitcoin. It's hard to meaningfully outperform BTC, and as such all these businesses will do for a while is acquire BTC. But eventually that shifts, and these firms will see more incentive to both grow and deploy Bitcoin. They then will provide capital which, among other things, supports Bitcoin businesses and projects. Many people struggle to contextualize the current "land rush" phase with what will come later. You need to take a longer view to understand these firms. The order of operations is also reversed here. Typically you build a business or technology and then as a final step monetize it via an IPO. With Bitcoin, stage 1 is looking more like direct monetization prior to creating value via products, etc. This is deeply counter intuitive to many people in traditional finance, and also to many Bitcoiners. However, because Bitcoin is primarily money at a base level it makes sense the developmental path it is taking differs significantly from other tech. The amount of time it will take for other investors to understand this presents an opportunity for those who see it sooner. More thoughts below 👇
7:48

Most people think about Bitcoin treasury companies incorrectly Here is why I think they are good for Bitcoin & why they are misunderstood: 1) Treasury companies are capitalizing the Bitcoin industry for a century to come 2) They are future Bitcoin Banks 3) However, they are developing in the reverse order compared to everything else - monetization first and then later on core business activities -- Bitcoin has traditionally received $1 for every $100 in funds that Crypto took in - it has historically been challenging to raise money for Bitcoin focused businesses. My view is that Treasury companies are changing this, and while the first phase will simply be acquiring as much Bitcoin as possible - they will later need to ensure the value of Bitcoin grows and find ways to use BTC as capital in a larger marketplace. These firms will become the future Bitcoin Banks and also Bitcoin conglomerates. In this exact moment in time the best use of capital is simply buying Bitcoin. It's hard to meaningfully outperform BTC, and as such all these businesses will do for a while is acquire BTC. But eventually that shifts, and these firms will see more incentive to both grow and deploy Bitcoin. They then will provide capital which, among other things, supports Bitcoin businesses and projects. Many people struggle to contextualize the current "land rush" phase with what will come later. You need to take a longer view to understand these firms. The order of operations is also reversed here. Typically you build a business or technology and then as a final step monetize it via an IPO. With Bitcoin, stage 1 is looking more like direct monetization prior to creating value via products, etc. This is deeply counter intuitive to many people in traditional finance, and also to many Bitcoiners. However, because Bitcoin is primarily money at a base level it makes sense the developmental path it is taking differs significantly from other tech. The amount of time it will take for other investors to understand this presents an opportunity for those who see it sooner. More thoughts below 👇

Steven Lubka ☀️

29,280 просмотров • 1 год назад